Author Topic: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system  (Read 80017 times)

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« on: 12/03/2015 10:32 pm »
http://freebeacon.com/national-security/russia-conducts-successful-flight-test-of-anti-satellite-missile/

Quote
  Russia carried out the first successful flight test of a new anti-satellite missile this month, marking a new phase in the global militarization of space. The flight test of Russia’s direct ascent anti-satellite missile, known as Nudol, took place Nov. 18, according to defense officials familiar with reports of the test. It was the first successful test in three attempts, said officials who spoke on condition of anonymity.                           


New thread: Political discussion - Russian Nudol ASAT test, November 15, 2021
« Last Edit: 11/16/2021 12:55 am by zubenelgenubi »

Offline Prof68

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #1 on: 12/07/2015 04:38 am »
Most sources define Nudol missile as a part of the new generation of Russian anti-ICBM system A-235. Its anti-satellite capabilities are secondary and very limited, if exists at all.

Offline Liss

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #2 on: 08/21/2016 09:48 am »
As of Nudol, there's an interesting side note on the source of the name.
In the beginning there was a small river called Nudol, an afluente of Istra, some 100 km east of Moscow, and a township (or a large village) of the same name built on it.
In 1950s, an S-25 Berkut anti-aircraft system position was built near Nudol, and in 1970s, two start positions for the A-35M ABM system were built alongside. Their military personnel live in a township called Klin-10, some 2 km north of Nudol itself.
In 1994, the Klin-10 position was converted into the Russia Central Bank Satellite Communcations Center, and the former Klin-10 township was renamed as Narynka.
Yet the old name lived in hearts of the Russian ABM officers, and in 2000s it made a rebirth as the name of the A-235 system.

And the Nudol river still flows...

« Last Edit: 08/21/2016 09:49 am by Liss »
This message reflects my personal opinion based on open sources of information.

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #3 on: 12/21/2016 08:52 pm »
http://freebeacon.com/national-security/russia-conducts-fifth-test-new-anti-satellite-missile/

Quote
Russia Conducts Fifth Test of New Anti-Satellite Missile

Third successful flight test of satellite-killing weapon

BY: Bill Gertz    
December 21, 2016 5:00 am

Russia successfully flight tested a new missile capable of knocking out strategic U.S. communications and navigation satellites, according to Pentagon officials. The test of the PL-19 Nudol missile was carried out Dec. 16 from a base in central Russia, and was monitored by U.S. intelligence agencies. It was the fifth test of the Nudol missile and the third successful flight of a system Moscow has claimed is for use against enemy missiles, said officials familiar with the reports of the launch. The exact location of the flight test was not disclosed. Earlier tests of the missile took place from a facility near Plesetsk, located 500 miles north of Moscow. It could not be learned if the Nudol was sent into space or fired in a sub-orbital trajectory.

Pentagon spokeswoman Lt. Col. Michelle Baldanza declined to comment. “We generally don’t comment on other countries’ capabilities,” she said.

Earlier tests took place May 24 and Nov. 18, 2015. Both tests were first reported by the Washington Free Beacon.

The high rate of testing is an indication the program is a military priority and is progressing toward deployment.
The new anti-satellite missile is among several new strategic weapons systems being developed by the Russian military. The Nudol is viewed by the Pentagon as a so-called “direct ascent” anti-satellite missile. Russia, however, has sought to mask the missile’s anti-satellite capabilities by claiming the missile is for defense against incoming ballistic missiles.

The Pentagon is worried about the development of anti-satellite weapons by both Russia and China. Gen. John Hyten, the commander of Air Force Space Command who was recently promoted to lead Strategic Command, has stated that Russia and China are building space warfare systems that are worrying. “They are developing capabilities that concern us,” Hyten has said.

In March, Air Force Lt. Gen. David J. Buck, commander of the Joint Functional Component Command for Space, revealed during House testimony that the Russian military is developing weapons with “counter-space capabilities.” “Russia views U.S. dependency on space as an exploitable vulnerability, and they are taking delite actions to strengthen their counter-space capabilities,” Buck said.

Mark Schneider, a former Pentagon strategic arms policymaker, said the current asymmetry between the United States and other nations in anti-satellite capabilities “is of enormous significance.” “Potentially, it could result in our defeat in a high intensity conflict,” Schneider said. “The complete loss of the GPS network, or its serious degradation, would eliminate the effectiveness of all existing long-range conventional strike cruise missiles and would degrade the functioning of many of our precision guided weapons.” Anti-satellite missiles also could be used to knock out communications satellites. “We have begun to take some steps to reduce our reliance on GPS but this will not be near term,” Schneider said.

Michaela Dodge, a defense analyst at the Heritage Foundation, said the Russian test highlights the growing threat to space from new weapons. “The test demonstrates the need for the United States to treat space as an increasingly contested environment where access might not be guaranteed as it has been in the past,” she said.
“It demonstrates the need to exercise scenarios in which U.S. military might not have a complete access to its complete utilization,” Dodge added. “The test also illustrates the need to protect and diversify U.S. space infrastructure.”

U.S. intelligence agencies have estimated that U.S. military operations could be severely disrupted with only two dozen or so anti-satellite attacks. Satellites are used for precision navigation, targeting, and communications and intelligence gathering. The Pentagon is very dependent on satellites for long-range warfare operations, an American military specialty. Both Russia and China have recognized the strategic vulnerability of U.S. dependency on satellites. Anti-satellite missiles are regarded as important asymmetric warfare weapons.

Both China and Russia are developing lasers and other directed-energy weapons that can blind or disrupt satellites. Small satellites capable of maneuvering in space and grabbing and crushing satellites also are being developed. Russian generals have mentioned their forces fielding anti-satellite capabilities in public statements, but with few details. For example, Russian Lt. Gen. Oleg Ostapenko, former commander of space forces, has said the S-500 anti-missile system is capable of hitting “low-orbit satellites and space weapons.”

In May, Vadim Kozyulin, a professor at the Academy of Military Sciences, was quoted as saying that discussion of “space kamikazes” suggests Moscow is preparing for a conflict in space with the United States.

The TASS news agency reported that the A-60, a variation of the IL-76 transport aircraft, has a laser anti-satellite capability. In October, TASS reported that the Nudol is called the A-235 and is being developed to replace the current nuclear-tipped missile defense system ringing Moscow. Missile defense interceptors share characteristics with space-faring satellite killers. Both travel at high rates of speed and require precision targeting and guidance.

The United States has no anti-satellite weapons. However, a Navy SM-3 anti-missile interceptor was modified to shoot down a de-orbiting intelligence satellite in 2008, indicating U.S. missile defenses could be used to target foreign satellites.The Defense Intelligence Agency stated in a report to Congress last year that Russia leaders “openly assert that the Russian armed forces have anti-satellite weapons and conduct anti-satellite research.”
China conducted a flight test of its new anti-satellite missile in early December. Preparations for the test were first reported by the Free Beacon.The missile was identified as a DN-3 direct ascent missile. That system, like the Russian Nudol, is being developed under cover as a missile-defense weapon. China’s Defense Ministry said the Free Beacon report of test preparations for the DN-3 was “groundless.”

Offline hkultala

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #4 on: 12/21/2016 09:06 pm »
It seems that the writer of the last article does not understand the difference between
1) suborbital space
2) LEO
3) MEO
4) GEO

I've heard no credible source saying nudol can reach 18Mm (height of Navstar satellites) or 36 Mm, but this article talks about it killing GPS asatellites or US military communication satellites.


Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #5 on: 12/21/2016 09:42 pm »
It seems that the writer of the last article does not understand the difference between
1) suborbital space
2) LEO
3) MEO
4) GEO

I've heard no credible source saying nudol can reach 18Mm (height of Navstar satellites) or 36 Mm, but this article talks about it killing GPS asatellites or US military communication satellites.

The Pentagon and Air Force officials quoted in the article are probably referring not only to Nudol, but also to other ASAT capabilities being developed by Russia. It has been widely rumored that three mysterious piggyback payloads launched by the Rokot launch vehicle in 2013-2015 (Kosmos-2491, 2499 and 2504) may have been tests of some type of ASAT system. These objects were not placed into the high orbits used by GPS and comsats, but could potentially target these satellite constellations if launched by heavier launch vehicles. Interestingly, Kosmos-2499 is mentioned in a CNN report on the recent ASAT test. Unlike the Washington Free Beacon article, the CNN report does not specifically link the recent test to the Nudol system.

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/12/21/politics/russia-satellite-weapon-test/index.html

Quote
Sources: Russia tests anti-satellite weapon
By Jim Sciutto, Ryan Browne and Barbara Starr, CNN
Updated 1712 GMT (0112 HKT) December 21, 2016

(CNN)Russia has recently tested what is believed to be an anti-satellite weapon, US sources with knowledge of the test told CNN.

The US tracked the weapon and it did not create debris, indicating it did not destroy a target, the source said.
The Russian test, coming as President-elect Donald Trump prepares to enter the White House next month, could be seen as a provocative demonstration of Moscow's capability in space.

Russia has demonstrated the ability to launch anti-satellite weapons in the past, including its Nudol missile.
US military officials have expressed concerns about Russia's burgeoning anti-satellite arsenal, as the US has become increasingly dependent on satellites for both military and commercial uses.

US officials believe Russia has also deployed what could be kamikaze satellites, known as "Kosmos 2499," which are designed to sidle up to American satellites and, if ordered, destroy or disable them. "We have very good surveillance and intelligence capabilities, so we can see the threats that are being built," Gen. John Hyten, the commander of US Strategic command, told CNN in November. "So we're developing capabilities to defend ourselves."

Russia is not alone in the development of these type of weapons. China has conducted similar tests, destroying an old weather satellite in 2007 -- a move analysts saw as indicative of China's growing military capability.
The US has also destroyed a satellites in space, obliterating one with a missile in 2008 after American officials said the satellite's orbital decay posed a risk.

Capt. Nicholas Mercurio, a spokesman for the command that oversees US space operations, declined to comment on the report of a Russian anti-satellite weapon test.

Offline weedenbc

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #6 on: 12/22/2016 12:00 am »
What I'm interested in is whether the Nudol is a replacement for the Gorgon or Gazelle missiles that were part of the old A-135 system. If it's a replacement for the endoatmospheric Gorgon, that makes it much less capable as an ASAT than if it's a replacement for the exoatmospheric Gazelle.

This article seems to hint that it's a Gorgon replacement, but it's not conclusive:
http://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Frbth.com%2Fdefence%2F2016%2F06%2F23%2Frussia-successfully-tests-new-missile-for-defense-system-near-moscow_605711&h=lAQFNau1m
---
Brian Weeden

Online catdlr

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #7 on: 05/21/2017 03:50 am »
Russia has reawakened 3 mystery satellites — and no one knows what they are for

http://www.businessinsider.com/russian-satellites-that-could-be-equipped-lasers-explosives-are-move-again-2017-5

Quote
Three Russian satellites that were sent into low orbit in 2013 are on the move again, and no one knows what they are for, The Daily Beast reports.

Having been idle for more than a year, one of the satellites went hundreds of meters off its orbit last month to within 1,200 meters of a piece of a Chinese weather satellite that China smashed in a 2007 anti-satellite rocket test.

The Daily Beast: http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2017/05/19/russias-killer-satellites-re-awaken


« Last Edit: 05/21/2017 03:51 am by catdlr »
It's Tony De La Rosa, ...I don't create this stuff, I just report it.

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #8 on: 01/18/2020 11:16 pm »
Analysis of documents available on Russia’s government procurement website zakupki.gov. ru has made it possible to gather some new information on Nudol, which is believed to be a mobile ground-based anti-missile and/or ASAT system.

INFORMATION KNOWN SO FAR

What has been written about Nudol so far is largely based on snippets of information that began appearing in various company annual reports in 2011. Good summaries of our current knowledge can be found here (in Russian):

http://militaryrussia.ru/blog/topic-806.html
https://topwar.ru/97079-ohotniki-za-sputnikami.html
the latter source translated into English here:
https://southfront.org/satellite-hunters/

In a nutshell, Nudol (also identified as 14Ts033) is led by VKO Almaz-Antey, a concern established in 2002 that unifies dozens of companies producing missiles, anti-aircraft systems, radars, naval artillery and other systems. “VKO” stands for “air and space defense”.     

Nudol is said to consist of several elements, including:
- a rocket called 14A042 (developed by OKB Novator, a company in Yekaterinburg which belongs to Almaz-Antey and has developed a wide range of missiles. It is now working on the 9M730 cruise missile, popularly known as the nuclear-powered Burevestnik missile)

- a transporter erector launcher with a launch installation called (14)P22 (with a chassis provided by the Minsk Wheeled Tractor Plant (MZKT), 14P932 missile launch tubes built by OAO Avangard and also a role for the Design Bureau of Special Machine Building (KBSM))

- a mobile command post called 14P078 also using a MZTK chassis

- a stationary long-range radar system called 14Ts031 (situated in Chekhov near Moscow, adapted to detect “small-size space objects” by OAO Radiofizika under OKR (“experimental design work”) Razvyazka-RF)

A transporter erector launcher with two missile launch tubes depicted in a calendar of Almaz-Antey for 2015 may be the one intended for Nudol (see attachment).

There is a lot of confusion over what the name Nudol stands for. Numerous sources (including Wikipedia) claim that Nudol is the code name of the A-235 system, an upgraded version of the A-135 anti-missile system to defend the Moscow region against missile attacks. However, the actual code name of that system appears to be Samolyot-M. Moreover, work on A-235 began back in the 1980s, whereas the name Nudol did not appear until after 2010.

Western sources (citing US intelligence sources) say that Nudol has so far seen seven test flights from Plesetsk (12 August 2014, 22 April 2015, 18 November 2015, 25 May 2016, 16 December 2016, 26 March 2018, 23 December 2018), the first two of which were unsuccessful. NOTAMs were issued for what was expected to be the eighth Nudol launch on 15 November last year, but I have not seen confirmation that it took place. A history of the Plesetsk cosmodrome published in 2017 confirms that launches “in the interests of the Space Forces” took place on 22 April 2015, 18 November 2015 and 25 May 2016, claiming they were all successful (although there were Russian press reports confirming a launch failure at Plesetsk on 22 April 2015).

There is debate over whether Nudol is primarily an anti-missile system with a complementary ASAT role or vice versa. Western sources (notably Bill Gertz of the Washington Free Beacon, who has done most of the reporting on Nudol) have usually stressed the ASAT role, whereas most Russian analysts lean towards the view that is primarily an anti-missile system.

The most powerful surface-to-air missile that OKB Novator has so far built is the 53T6M, an upgraded version of the 10-ton two-stage 53T6 (NATO designation “Gazelle”), which was the short-range interceptor of the A-135 anti-ballistic missile system. 53T6M is supposed to become part of the A-235 system, but there is no reliable information on its range or flight ceiling. At any rate, the very existence of 536TM is an indication that Nudol’s 14A042 is not simply a replacement for the 53T6. The mass of the 14A042 interceptor is not known. Russian press reports on the April 2015 launch failure gave the mass as 9.6 tons. If that is indeed true, the rocket’s ASAT capability would probably be very limited, but it is impossible to say how reliable this figure is.

It should be noted that the 14A index of the rocket is usually reserved for “space rockets” (for instance, 14A14 is the Soyuz-2 rocket). Launch statistics given in the 2017 Plesetsk history indeed suggest that 14A042 is considered a “space rocket”.  14A042 is also described as “a rocket for space purposes” in this official document, which mentions safety precautions that need to be taken when the rocket flies over the Nenets Autonomous District (which is in the Arkhangelsk province where Plesetsk is located):
 
http://oborona.adm-nao.ru/media/uploads/userfiles/2015/04/17/13.04-17.04.pdf

A “space rocket” should obviously not be interpreted here as a rocket to place satellites into orbit, but as a rocket whose main goal is to intercept targets flying outside the Earth’s atmosphere, whether that be satellites or nuclear warheads.


NEW FINDINGS

Finding documentation on Nudol on the government procurement website is challenging. Entering the name “Nudol” in the website’s search tool (which only looks for key words in contract names) does not produce any results. However, as soon as one can identify contract numbers and names of subcontractors and systems for the project, it does become possible to expand the search and collect a fairly significant amount of information. Still, in the thirty-five or so contracts that I’ve been able to find, the name Nudol appears only twice, hidden deep in the documentation. Some additional information on the project can be gleaned from a handful of court documents and annual reports.

The most surprising finding is that work on Nudol is seemingly being conducted under two different government contracts by two different missile manufacturers, namely OKB Novator and Korporatsia MIT. Almaz-Antey acts as prime contractor for both these components of the Nudol project.

Nudol phase 1: OKB Novator

The original contract for the project was signed between the Ministry of Defense and Almaz-Antey on 10 August 2009.  For some reason, the same contract was then renewed on 10 April 2015 and got the number 1517187310881010128000191/EP/1/03/R/1583/2015. Contracts that had been signed under the project prior to that date were retrospectively given numbers beginning with the same basic 25-digit number. 

Key contracts that can be identified from the available documentation are:

10 August 2009 : Ministry of Defense – Almaz-Antey
10 August 2009  :  Almaz-Antey – OKB Novator
10 August 2009 : OKB Novator – KB Tochmash
7 December 2010 : OKB Novator – NPO Iskra
10 April 2015 : Ministry of Defense – Almaz-Antey (renewed contract)
10 April 2015 : Almaz-Antey – OKB Novator  (renewed contract)

There can be no doubt that these contracts are related to Nudol. The names 14A042 and Nudol appear in two contracts with the same basic 25-digit number as the 10 April 2015 contract: 

- a November 2016 contract between KB Tochmash and a company called NPP Gamma:

https://zakupki.gov.ru/223/contract/public/contract/view/general-information.html?id=2756839

- a December 2017 contract between NPO Iskra and NPP Krasnoznamyonets:

https://zakupki.gov.ru/223/contract/public/contract/view/general-information.html?style44=false&id=4375552


Three of the companies seen in the contracts for this part of Nudol were already known to be involved in the project (Almaz-Antey, OKB Novator and OAO Avangard), but several others can now also be identified.

KB Tochmash (popularly known as the Nudelman design bureau) has a history of developing anti-satellite systems. It developed a rapid-fire cannon for one of the Almaz military space stations launched in the 1970s and was also involved in several Soviet-era ASAT projects that ultimately never flew (including Naryad). It also seems to have a role in the current Burevestnik space project (not to be confused with the Burevestnik/9M730 missile), presumably a co-orbital ASAT system.

KB Tochmash’s role in Nudol is briefly mentioned in the company’s annual report for 2013 (the only one available online), which links Nudol to the acronyms MOEGSN and OEGSN, which stand for “(multispectral) electro-optical homing head”. The contract between KB Tochmash and NPP Gamma refers to a system called 14Sh129 (14Ш129). 14Sh indexes are used for optical targeting systems. 14Sh129 is also seen in a bio of Igor Denisov, a researcher of the State Institute of Applied Optics (GIPO), who was the chief designer of а “combined frameless television/infrared channel” for 14Sh129. 
https://soyuzmash.ru/ajax/team-member-detail/121073.html

All this leaves little doubt that KB Tochmash and GIPO jointly develop the optical system of Nudol’s kinetic kill vehicle.

NPO Iskra, based in Perm, develops solid-fuel rocket motors. Two of those are identified in the Nudol documentation, namely 14D807 and 14D809 (presumably for the first and second stages). The Scientific Research Institute of Polymer Materials (NIIPM) (also based in Perm) according to its 2013 annual report provides a solid propellant for Nudol called 14Kh609 (14X609 in Cyrillic), which it says “has no equivalents in the rest of the world”. Mentioned in conjunction with both the 14D807 and 14D809 motors is a component called 15Kh615 (15Х615 in Cyrillic), apparently part of the ignition system. It is provided by the Scientific Research and Technological Institute (NITI) named after P.I. Snegiryov.  Other subcontractors to NPO Iskra under Nudol include the Perm Powder Plant (Permskiy porokhovoi zavod), the Perm Machine Building Factory (PZ Mashinostroitel) and OAO Kompozit.             

A company called "EOKB Signal named after A.I. Glukharyov" provides pressure sensors (DSU-20A and DSU-180A) for a gas generator used aboard the 14A042 rocket (according to its 2015 annual report). NPP Kvant, best known as a manufacturer of solar panels for satellites, will provide batteries for the rocket called 9B280-1 (according to a document on zakupki.gov.ru). The company supplies the same type of battery for the 9M730 Burevestnik missile.

Two more companies involved in the construction of the transporter erector launcher are the Obukhov State Plant (GOZ Obukhovskiy zavod) (for the “launch installation”, according to its 2013 annual report) and FNPTs Titan-Barrikady. The latter may be responsible for final integration of the TEL.   

A contract signed by OKB Novator with a rail transportation company in April 2017 has a schedule of transports expected to take place under the Nudol project in the remainder of that year.
https://zakupki.gov.ru/223/contract/public/contract/view/general-information.html?style44=false&id=3099746

The schedule called for four transports in the second quarter of the year and three both in the third and fourth quarter of the year. All of these were from Yekaterinburg (the home base of NPO Novator) to Plesetsk, except for two in the second quarter, which were from Yekaterinburg to a railway station (“Vayenga”) in Severemorsk and back from Severemorsk to Yekaterinburg. Severomorsk, situated in the Murmansk province, is on the coast of the Barents sea and is best known as the main administrative base of the Russian Northern Fleet. The purpose of that transport is unclear.

Although Nudol is known to fly from Plesetsk, the exact location from where it is launched is still a mystery. Since it uses a mobile launcher, the launch locations may vary. Early last year there was speculation that the defunct launch complex of the Tsiklon-3 rocket was being adapted for Nudol, but that was later called into question.

One document placed on zakupki.gov.ru in September 2017 said preparations were being made to prepare “Site 104” at Plesetsk for test flights of the 14Ts033 complex. It referred more specifically to “Building 100” at the site.

https://zakupki.gov.ru/223/purchase/public/purchase/info/common-info.html?regNumber=31705565837

Other documentation on zakupki.gov.ru mentions the use of Site 104 to collect and process information on test flights of the Angara rocket. Building 100 is described there as a communications facility, so it would appear Site 104 is not a launch site, but a tracking site.


Nudol phase 2: Korporatsia MIT

What appears to be a hitherto unknown second phase of the Nudol project began on 12 July 2013 with another contract signed between the Ministry of Defense and VKO Almaz-Antey (contract number 1321187310891010128000184/EP/1/03/N/1357/2013). It is worth adding that Almaz-Antey also signed two other contracts with the Ministry of Defense on 12 July 2013. One of these is for an OKR (“experimental design work”) called “Selektsia” (Селекция) and the other for an OKR called “Ukazchik-KV” (Указчик-КВ), both of which appear to be related to missile defense.

There is no sign of OKB Novator in the work related to the July 2013 contract (at least not in the documents I’ve been able to find). Instead, another missile manufacturer shows up in the documentation, namely the Corporation “Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology” (Korporatsia MIT), which specializes in solid-fuel ICBMs. After the break-up of the Soviet Union it developed the Topol-M, Yars and Bulava ICBMs (the latter a submarine-launched missile) and it is currently working on ICBMs called Barguzin and Rubezh. It also developed space launch vehicles called Start and Start-1 (based on the Soviet-era Topol missile), which were used to launch a number of satellites between 1993 and 2006.

It is not clear from the available documentation when MIT got involved, but it seems to perform the same role as OKB Novator in the initial phase of the project, acting as a subcontractor to Almaz-Antey (although, unlike OKB Novator, MIT is not subordinate to Almaz-Antey, but to Roskosmos).

Also involved is KB Tochmash, which signed a contract with MIT under the project on 20 June 2016. Most of the contracts that can be found are between KB Tochmash and other subcontractors to perform work envisaged under the MIT-Tochmash contract. It is through one of these that the 12 July 2013 contract can be positively linked to Nudol. A contract signed between KB Tochmash and a company called NKB VS in December 2016 which has the same basic 25-digit number as the July 2013 contract is for work called Nudol-AOZTs-TsVS:

https://zakupki.gov.ru/223/contract/public/contract/view/general-information.html?style44=false&id=2443765

What can also be inferred from the documentation is that some of the contracts signed by KB Tochmash under the August 2009/April 2015 contracts on the one hand and under the July 2013 contract on the other hand are with the same subcontractors and for exactly the same components:

- with NPP Gamma for work related to the 14Sh129 system (June 2017):
 https://zakupki.gov.ru/223/contract/public/contract/view/general-information.html?style44=false&id=3479379

This is for testing of exactly the same type and number of components of 14Sh129 as in the November 2016 contract between KB Tochmash and NPP Gamma mentioned above. This includes AOZTs-TsVS (with TsVS possibly referring to an on-board computer system).

- with ZAO Elkus for electronic parts:

https://zakupki.gov.ru/223/purchase/public/purchase/info/common-info.html?regNumber=31400944164
(early 2014, signed under the August 2009 contract )

https://zakupki.gov.ru/223/purchase/public/purchase/info/common-info.html?regNumber=31704782918
(early 2017, signed under the July 2013 contract)

- with NITsEVT for computer equipment:   

https://zakupki.gov.ru/223/contract/public/contract/view/general-information.html?id=3463326
(signed on 30 June 2016, under the April 2015 contract)

https://zakupki.gov.ru/223/contract/public/contract/view/general-information.html?id=3464437
(also signed on 30 June 2016, under the July 2013 contract)

- with OOO Spetsrobot for various parts:

https://zakupki.gov.ru/223/contract/public/contract/view/general-information.html?style44=false&id=2826856
(signed in January 2017 under the April 2015 contract)

https://zakupki.gov.ru/223/contract/public/contract/view/general-information.html?id=2942570
(signed in March 2017 under the July 2013 contract)

Conclusion

The most logical interpretation of all this is that Nudol is an umbrella name for two projects led by Almaz-Antey, one (started in August 2009) using the 14A042 rocket of OKB Novator and another (started in July 2013) using an unidentified missile of the MIT Corporation. They would seem to have kinetic kill vehicles with similar or identical optical systems developed jointly by KB Tochmash and GIPO.

Whether the MIT rocket is totally new or a modified version of an existing missile is impossible to tell at this point, although the latter would appear more likely. Considering MIT’s experience with ICBMs, its rocket may be more powerful than Novator’s 14A042, making it possible to target satellites in higher orbits, but this is entirely speculative. At any rate, the fact that contracts for both elements of Nudol are being awarded in parallel suggests that they are intended to complement rather than to replace one another.     

   

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #9 on: 04/15/2020 09:16 pm »
Russia seems to have conducted another test of the Nudol direct-ascent ASAT missile today. The test was not entirely unexpected because NOTAMs had been issued for a launch today that looked very much like it would be Nudol.

https://www.spacecom.mil/MEDIA/NEWS-ARTICLES/Article/2151611/russia-tests-direct-ascent-anti-satellite-missile/

Quote
PETERSON AIR FORCE BASE, Colo., April 15, 2020 —

U.S. Space Command is aware and tracking Russia’s direct-ascent anti-satellite (DA-ASAT) missile test April 15.

“Russia’s DA-ASAT test provides yet another example that the threats to U.S. and allied space systems are real, serious and growing,” said Gen. John W. “Jay” Raymond, USSPACECOM commander and U.S. Space Force Chief of Space Operations. “The United States is ready and committed to deterring aggression and defending the Nation, our allies and U.S. interests from hostile acts in space.”

Russia’s missile system is capable of destroying satellites in low Earth orbit (LEO) and comes on the heels of Russia’s on-orbit testing the U.S. highlighted in February, namely COSMOS 2542 and COSMOS 2543. These satellites, which behaved similar to previous Russian satellites that exhibited characteristics of a space weapon, conducted maneuvers near a U.S. Government satellite that would be interpreted as irresponsible and potentially threatening in any other domain.

“This test is further proof of Russia’s hypocritical advocacy of outer space arms control proposals designed to restrict the capabilities of the United States while clearly having no intention of halting their counterspace weapons programs,” Raymond said. “Space is critical to all nations and our way of life. The demands on space systems continue in this time of crisis where global logistics, transportation and communication are key to defeating the COVID-19 pandemic.

“It is a shared interest and responsibility of all spacefaring nations to create safe, stable and operationally sustainable conditions for space activities, including commercial, civil and national security activities,” Raymond concluded.

Offline Star One

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« Last Edit: 04/16/2020 10:38 am by Star One »

Offline satcomopsuk

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #11 on: 04/16/2020 03:02 pm »


As posted last week , when the Nav Warns were issued , two areas came to light.
Area B the splash zone , but was area "A" related to the fall area of the booster?



As the news gradually breaks , there is no detail about the actual time of the incident. Does anyone have any info please ?

« Last Edit: 04/16/2020 03:08 pm by satcomopsuk »

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #12 on: 04/16/2020 08:45 pm »

As posted last week , when the Nav Warns were issued , two areas came to light.
Area B the splash zone , but was area "A" related to the fall area of the booster?

As the news gradually breaks , there is no detail about the actual time of the incident. Does anyone have any info please ?

Michael Thompson on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/m_r_thomp

Quote
The NOTAM for the first stage was active between 15:00 and 21:00 UTC, and the NOTAM for the splashdown over the Arctic Ocean was between 15:15 and 15:21.  Not sure why there's a discrepancy there, but that would put the launch sometime around 15:00 UTC today.

And a lot of analysis by him on potential targets for this test, but like the earlier Nudol tests, this was probably aimed at a phantom target.

Jonathan McDowell:

Quote
Based on comments by @nktpnd and @M_R_Thomp I conclude this was a flight test of the Nudol' antisatellite launch vehicle from Plesetsk at about 1500 UTC, probably with a dummy kill vehicle that fell in the Laptev Sea. Likely that no actual intercept was carried out

Offline satcomopsuk

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #13 on: 04/17/2020 05:50 am »
Thanks Bart

This is the splash area notice , only issued once .

In my original post to Seesat when I quoted the notice  I suggested the launch time was 1500-1521  ,but that's not so

15th 1500 to 15th 2100 is the actual time , so this warning had the same six hour window just expressed in a different way.


100557Z APR 20
HYDROARC 51/20(38,41).
ARCTIC.
LAPTEV SEA.
RUSSIA.
DNC 22, DNC 27.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING,
   151500Z TO 152100Z APR IN AREA BOUND BY
   83-00N 099-00E, 83-00N 137-00E,
   77-10N 137-00E, 76-00N 134-30E,
   77-20N 121-40E, 77-50N 109-40E,
   78-20N 106-50E, 78-40N 106-50E,
   80-30N 099-00E.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 152200Z APR 20.



There is still a notice for the next few days relating to an area further west relating to missile exercises.

An accurate time for launch might give us a better idea as to which Space Force assets were overhead at the time.
« Last Edit: 04/17/2020 05:52 am by satcomopsuk »

Offline Star One

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #14 on: 04/17/2020 06:58 am »
https://mobile.twitter.com/planet4589/status/1250538503768768518

Quote
If they do do a real intercept in future (hope they don't), one might  first expect launch of a target satellite in very low orbit (like the Indians did). No good candidates right now. Kosmos-2525/EMKA is low enough but they still seem to be using it for its recon mission

Offline satcomopsuk

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #15 on: 04/17/2020 09:46 am »
For the sake of completeness here are both Notices , released 9th and 10th of April...
A line dissecting the drop zone leads back to Plesetsk and suggests a launch inclination of 28degs


Offline owais.usmani

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #16 on: 04/17/2020 10:58 am »
https://mobile.twitter.com/planet4589/status/1250538503768768518

Quote
If they do do a real intercept in future (hope they don't), one might  first expect launch of a target satellite in very low orbit (like the Indians did). No good candidates right now. Kosmos-2525/EMKA is low enough but they still seem to be using it for its recon mission

Can anybody guide me why would Russia be better off NOT doing a real satellite intercept in future? Is it due to littering the lower earth orbit with debris or political reasons?

Offline eeergo

Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #17 on: 04/17/2020 12:09 pm »
Can anybody guide me why would Russia be better off NOT doing a real satellite intercept in future? Is it due to littering the lower earth orbit with debris or political reasons?

Both?

If the testing regime is sophisticated enough, actual intercepts shouldn't even be needed besides their symbolism, more so for organizations that already had mature operational ASATs not long ago (and consequently know all about the criteria that make the system robust and dependable). Nobody needs chest-thumping stunts sprinkled with more debris in orbit, especially now.
-DaviD-

Offline Blackstar

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #18 on: 04/21/2020 12:30 pm »
https://www.thespacereview.com/article/3927/1

To attack or deter? The role of anti-satellite weapons

by Dwayne A. Day
Monday, April 20, 2020

Last week, Russia conducted another anti-satellite (ASAT) test, apparently one of a series they have been undertaking as part of what increasingly looks to be a broad-ranging ASAT program. This follows a recent statement by the commander of US Space Command, General John Raymond, who acknowledged something that amateur space trackers have noticed for a few months: a Russian satellite appears to be “stalking” USA 245, an American reconnaissance satellite, raising the possibility that the Russian satellite might have offensive capabilities. As Bart Hendrickx noted in a 2018 article in Jane’s Intelligence Review, there was ample evidence that Russia was developing a co-orbital anti-satellite weapon designated “Burevestnik,” although the satellite that may be following USA 245 is probably of a different but related type named “Nivelir.”

China, Russia, and India are all reported to have anti-satellite capabilities. The Director of National Intelligence’s annual report to Congress stated that the PRC and Russia have operational ASATs for targeting low Earth orbiting satellites, and the PRC is “probably” developing capabilities for geostationary orbit. Even the French, who were vehemently opposed to American ASATs in the 1980s and one of the loudest advocates of ASAT arms control, have now declared their intent to develop an anti-satellite weapon. The United States demonstrated the ability to knock low-flying satellites out of orbit over a decade ago and has made major classified expenditures on space systems in recent years, making it entirely possible that the US has an unacknowledged ASAT program of its own.

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #19 on: 06/25/2020 09:32 pm »
Nudol as well as the anti-ballistic missile system S-500 (Prometey) were the subject of a rare article on the gazeta.ru news website on June 19.
https://www.gazeta.ru/army/2020/06/19/13123189.shtml

Gazeta.ru quotes what it calls “a highly placed source in the military-industrial complex” as saying that Nudol and Prometey will be declared operational “no earlier than 2021”. One of the reasons for that is the absence of suitable test ranges for such systems on Russian territory. In the Soviet days, tests of anti-missile systems were mainly conducted on the territory of what are now former Soviet republics. Although not mentioned in the article, this is probably a reference to the Sary Shagan test range in Kazakhstan.

In addition to that, Nudol still has some technical hurdles to overcome as well: “The task of completely testing this system, the more so in near-Earth space and with the proper targets,  still has to be solved”, gazeta.ru’s source said.

The article also says that Nudol can reach missiles or satellites at an altitude of “at least 500-750 km” and has a range of “at least 700-800 km” and can use both conventional and nuclear warheads or, possibly, a kinetic kill vehicle to destroy its targets. However, all that appears to be no more than speculation on the part of the article’s author.

Although there is still uncertainty over whether Nudol is primarily an anti-ballistic missile or anti-satellite system, the presumption that it has an ASAT capability is further supported by documents published in 2017 describing a court case between the Ministry of Defense and MAK Vympel, a company closely involved in the development of Russia’s ground-based space surveillance system.

https://kad.arbitr.ru/Card/b05db239-1875-46a2-8e1c-5aef126e7603

Nudol is referred to here with its Ministry of Defense designator 14Ts033 (14Ц033). The documents mention communication systems needed to connect 14Ts033 (as well as the 14Ts034 mobile laser system, publicly known as Peresvet) with “Object 3006M”, which is known from other sources to be a code name for Russia’s space surveillance headquarters in Noginsk-9. This is a clear indication that both Nudol and Peresvet are supposed to receive targeting data from the space surveillance headquarters and therefore have a counterspace role.

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #20 on: 12/11/2020 02:45 pm »
http://www.satobs.org/seesat/Dec-2020/0040.html

A navigation warning points to a possible Nudol test from Plesetsk scheduled for December 16 (back-up date December 20). So far all Nudol tests seem to have been aimed at phantom targets in space. No reason to assume this one will be any different, but one never knows...


Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #21 on: 12/16/2020 01:34 pm »
US Space Command confirms that the Nudol test took place today. It is clear from the statement that no satellites were targeted. The statement also mentions two other Russian ASAT systems, the objects ejected from Kosmos-2521 and Kosmos-2543 in 2017 and 2020 and the Peresvet mobile laser system.

https://www.spacecom.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/2448334/russia-tests-direct-ascent-anti-satellite-missile/

Quote
Russia tests direct-ascent anti-satellite missile
By U.S. Space Command Public Affairs Office

“Russia has conducted a test of a direct-ascent anti-satellite (DA-ASAT) missile. Russia publicly claims it is working to prevent the transformation of outer space into a battlefield, yet at the same time Moscow continues to weaponize space by developing and fielding on-orbit and ground-based capabilities that seek to exploit U.S. reliance on space-based systems,” said U.S. Army Gen. James Dickinson, U.S. Space Command commander.

“Russia’s persistent testing of these systems demonstrates threats to U.S. and allied space systems are rapidly advancing. The establishment of U.S. Space Command as the nation’s unified combatant command for space and U.S. Space Force as the primary branch of the U.S. Armed Forces that presents space combat and combat support capabilities to U.S. Space Command could not have been timelier. We stand ready and committed to deter aggression and defend our Nation and our allies from hostile acts in space.”

The United States is concerned by Russia’s continued development and deployment of several types of ground-based and space-based ASAT weapons. These actions are contrary to Russia’s diplomatic and public stance against the weaponization of space. Specifically, Russia has demonstrated two completely different types of space weapons.

The first type of kinetic weapon is a DA-ASAT system capable of destroying satellites in low Earth orbit, which they have tested multiple times. If this weapon is tested on an actual satellite or used operationally, it will cause a large debris field that could endanger commercial satellites and irrevocably pollute the space domain.

The second type is a co-orbital ASAT, a space-based weapon system, which demonstrated an on-orbit kinetic weapon in 2017 and again in 2020. Furthermore, in March 2018, President Putin announced the development of a ground-based laser system for use by the Russian Space Forces, which the Russian military acknowledged as a “combat laser system.” This pattern of behavior would be considered potentially threatening in any other domain.

“Russia has made space a warfighting domain by testing space-based and ground-based weapons intended to target and destroy satellites," Dickinson added. "This fact is inconsistent with Moscow’s public claims that Russia seeks to prevent conflict in space. Space is critical to all nations. It is a shared interest to create the conditions for a safe, stable, and operationally sustainable space environment. The demands on the space systems continue in this time of crisis where global logistics, transportation, and communications are key to defeating the COVID-19 pandemic.”

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #22 on: 05/25/2021 10:50 am »
Another test of the Nudol anti-satellite system is possibly scheduled for May 29.

http://www.satobs.org/seesat/May-2021/0142.html

Quote
https://i.postimg.cc/pXH3nNZR/LAPTEV-SEA.jpg

Looks familiar...if we see a further Nav warn for POMORSKY STRAIT
CHYOSHSKAYA GUBA , then this suggests another  satellite missile test as  last December...

https://www.spacecom.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/2448334/russia-tests-direct-ascent-anti-satellite-missile/

240530 UTC MAY 21
NAVAREA XX 64/21
LAPTEV SEA.
CHARTS RUS 10102, 10104.
1. ROCKET LAUNCHING 1600 TO 1800 UTC 29 MAY
IN AREA TEMPORARILY DANGEROUS TO NAVIGATION BOUNDED BY:
83-00.0N 099-00.0E, 83-00.0N 137-00.0E, 77-10.0N 137-00.0E,
76-00.0N 134-30.0E, 77-20.0N 121-40.0E, 77-50.0N 109-40.0E,
78-20.0N 106-50.0E, 78-40.0N 106-50.0E, 80-30.0N 099-00.0E.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 291900 UTC MAY 21.=
NNNN

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #23 on: 05/25/2021 08:02 pm »
The expected second NOTAM has now appeared, leaving little doubt that a Nudol launch is scheduled from Plesetsk on May 29 between 16.00 and 18.00 UTC.

http://www.satobs.org/seesat/May-2021/0146.html

Quote
..and here is the follow up.

Same window as the Laptev Nav Warn and same pattern as previous missile
tests.

https://i.postimg.cc/Yq79fCpy/C-GUBA.jpg

251730 UTC MAY 21
NAVAREA XX 65/21
BARENTS * SEA AND CHYOSHSKAYA GUBA.
CHART RUS * 10100.
1. ROCKET LAUNCHING 1600 TO 1800 UTC 29 MAY
NAVIGATION PROHIBITED IN TERRITORIAL WATERS DANGEROUS
OUTSIDE IN AREA BOUNDED BY:
68-33-09N 047-36-22E, 68-20-31N 048-45-25E,
67-01-42N 046-43-04E, 67-13-00N 045-51-00E,
67-53-06N 046-50-32E.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 291900 UTC MAY 21.=
NNNN


The question now is will this be another dummy test , or considering the
nature of the two hour window , a "live" target ?

Offline satcomopsuk

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #24 on: 05/30/2021 03:53 pm »
Pretty sure this will have taken place , although no mention in the media as yet.
No amended / replacement Nav warnings have appeared  .

Offline satcomopsuk

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #25 on: 06/10/2021 05:52 am »
Still no news about the possible ASAT Launch last month.
Lets see what happens with this one...

SLICBM  today?



Offline owais.usmani

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #26 on: 06/10/2021 02:22 pm »
Still no news about the possible ASAT Launch last month.
Lets see what happens with this one...

SLICBM  today?

https://t.me/warbolts/421

Quote
Today or tomorrow (June 10 or 11, from 06:00 to 12:00 UTC) an ICBM is scheduled to be launched from the Plesetsk test site. The allotment of zones for the fall fields suggests the launch of the 15A28 "Sarmat" ICBM.

Offline satcomopsuk

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #27 on: 06/18/2021 08:21 pm »
Still no news of the test back on May 29th , however this may be why...


Offline satcomopsuk

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #28 on: 06/23/2021 05:53 am »
Be interested to hear of any media reports later if this test goes ahead.

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #29 on: 07/05/2021 02:27 pm »
On June 28,  the TASS news agency quoted a source in the military-industrial complex as saying that “the newest unique ballistic missile” developed by the MIT Corporation had been successfully tested from Plesetsk in mid-June. The MIT Corporation develops solid-fuel intercontinental ballistic missiles (MIT stands for “Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology”).

https://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/11767013

The exact launch date was not given. Navigation warnings related to missile launches (possibly from Plesetsk) were issued for the Kara Sea for June 10-11 and the Barents Sea for June 14-18.

Russian analysts have focused on two possible candidates for the mid-June launch:

- a slightly improved version of the Yars ICBM which has been under development since 2019 under a project known as Osina-RV. All that is known about this comes from an environmental impact assessment report quoted by the “Warbolts” telegram channel on June 15.  According to the report, the missile was to undergo two test flights from Plesetsk in 2021-2022, with the simulated warhead impacting in the Kura test range on the Kamchatka peninsula. The person who posted this information did add that the first of those flights was expected no earlier than August 2021. 

- a missile known as Sirena-M, presumably a Yars modified to serve as a so-called “command missile”, which in a doomsday scenario would be launched over Russian territory to broadcast launch codes to all remaining nuclear-tipped missiles in the absence of a command structure.  In  December 2019,  Deputy Defense Minister Aleksei Krivoruchko said it would be delivered “before 2025”.


Another possibility, not considered by the Russian analysts, is that it was the first test flight of a new direct-ascent anti-satellite missile that uses the same infrared homing system as Nudol. This missile has never been mentioned in the Russian press, but its existence can be deduced from procurement documentation published in 2016-2017. I presented the evidence for that in Reply 8 in this thread.

Nudol began in 2009 with a contract awarded by the Ministry of Defense to Almaz-Antei (the prime contractor), which in turn assigned most of the development work on the missile (14A042)  to OKB Novator. Test flights from Plesetsk began in 2014. On July 12, 2013, Almaz-Antei got a contract for another missile project, which it subcontracted to the MIT Corporation. Procurement documents show that it is supposed to carry the same infrared homing system as Nudol’s 14A042 missile. This system, designated 14Sh129 (14Ш129), was jointly developed by KB Tochmash and the State Institute of Applied Optics (GIPO).

The rocket is likely based on one of the MIT Corporation’s ICBMs and should have a much longer range than 14А042, targeting satellites in higher orbits. Coincidentally or not, the project began just two months after a test flight of what is believed to have been a Chinese direct-ascent ASAT system capable of knocking out satellites in high orbits. While inheriting technology from Nudol, the larger ASAT missile is possibly being developed under another name. In November 2017,  a Russian defense official speaking before the upper house of parliament was reported to have mentioned a “mobile anti-satellite strike system” with the name  “Rudolf”, but this most likely was a misspelling of the similarly sounding name “Nudol” (Rudolf is a German name with no connection to Russian culture or geography).

The only procurement documentation that I’ve seen for the MIT Corporation project was for work ordered by KB Tochmash. The latest of this appeared in late 2017. Another participant in the project is NPTsAP (the former Pilyugin design bureau), which develops flight control systems for launch vehicles. In December 2017, it signed a contract under this project for the delivery of helium leak detectors, as can be determined from this court documentation published in 2019.

https://kad.arbitr.ru/Card/e2f6bf57-b8eb-4ec1-a7a1-8a9c812ebc24

The absence of publicly available documentation in recent years does not necessarily mean that the project has been canceled. Considering the fact that it was started in 2013 and is likely based on existing ICBM technology, it could very well have reached the test flight stage by now. I should stress that there is no specific evidence to assume that the mid-June test was related to this project  (actually, one might have expected a public reaction from the Pentagon if it was). It’s just a third possibility besides the two considered by Russian analysts.     

It’s also worth noting that the MIT Corporation has been studying the possibility of reviving its Start-1 solid-fuel launch vehicle. This was a rocket derived from the Topol ICBM that launched a number of satellites from Plesetsk and Svobodnyy between  1993 and 2006. MIT’s director Yuri Solomonov mentioned the possible resurrection of the project in interviews in 2018 and 2020.

https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3826140
https://tass.ru/interviews/9886891

Also see these recent patents:
https://yandex.ru/patents/doc/RU2698838C1_20190830
https://edrid.ru/rid/219.017.da1b.html

Judging from various papers, MIT has also been doing research on a new solid-fuel upper stage, which it has considered for use on the Soyuz-2 rocket. However, there are no clear indications that any of this work is in any way related to the ASAT missile.

Offline owais.usmani

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« Last Edit: 11/15/2021 12:29 pm by owais.usmani »

Offline weedenbc

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #31 on: 11/15/2021 12:45 pm »
Do we have any data to connect this potential test to the Nudol? Was there any associated NOTAM over the weekend?

This seems like a really small amount of debris for a DA-ASAT test, so I would suspect it was more likely a co-orbital test (unless we start to get reports of more debris). Were any of the Burevestnik satellites in the area?
---
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Offline Targeteer

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #32 on: 11/15/2021 12:59 pm »
CAPCOM has mentioned "debris field" passage with stable ISS pressures and gave the time of the next passage so...
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Offline eeergo

Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #33 on: 11/15/2021 01:34 pm »
FWiW:

https://mobile.twitter.com/Skyrocket71/status/1460251016557998085

If true though, it would be one of the, if not the, most reckless and stupid ASAT ever.
-DaviD-

Offline RotoSequence

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #34 on: 11/15/2021 01:37 pm »
If true though, it would be one of the, if not the, most reckless and stupid ASAT ever.

With the stuff going on around Ukraine, I interpret it as telegraphing of intent.

Offline satcomopsuk

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #35 on: 11/15/2021 01:54 pm »
Not seen any Nav Warnings coming down off the satellites and Area  XIX seems clear other than the Kourou Launch/Debris notification

Offline weedenbc

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #36 on: 11/15/2021 03:21 pm »
Purported NOTAM warning here, not sure how valid it is:

https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/status/1460243765935976454
---
Brian Weeden

Offline satcomopsuk

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #37 on: 11/15/2021 03:27 pm »
The area defined there is interesting .... not the same as I have reported in the past and we usually see two areas active .
Curious to see how this pans out.

Offline weedenbc

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #38 on: 11/15/2021 03:38 pm »
NOTAM text here:
https://t.me/warbolts/707


Военно-болтовой
Военно-болтовой
Еще один пуск о котором промолчат Роскосмос с МО РФ. С Плесецка в период с 06:00 по 18:00 UTC, 23 или 24 июня, районы падения ассоциируются с «Нудоль». Текст уведомлений: HYDROARC 110/21 BARENTS SEA. RUSSIA. DNC 22. 1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING…
Еще один пуск из этой серии. Что за изделие испытывается достоверно не известно до сих пор, но эксперты связывают его с "Нудоль". Закрытия в целом повторяют ранее объявляемые, период действия 15/11/2021 02:00 (UTC) - 17/11/2021 05:00 (UTC). Из интересного, в данных NOTAM на Плесецк и Чёшскую губу указан номер телефона некоего Чирикова.

HYDROARC 316/21
BARENTS SEA.
RUSSIA.
DNC 22.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING,
0200Z TO 0500Z DAILY 15 AND 17 NOV
IN AREA BOUND BY
68-33.1N 047-36.2E, 68-20.3N 048-45.3E,
67-01.4N 046-43.0E, 67-13.0N 045-51.0E.
67-53.1N 046-50.3E.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 170600Z NOV 21.//

Authority: NAVAREA XX 187/21 101728Z NOV 21.
Date: 101800Z NOV 21
Cancel: 17060000 Nov 21

HYDROARC 314/21
ARCTIC.
LAPTEV SEA.
RUSSIA.
DNC 27.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
150200Z TO 150500Z NOV, ALTERNATE
170200Z TO 170500Z NOV IN AREA BOUND BY
83-00N 099-00E, 83-00N 137-00E,
77-10N 137-00E, 76-00N 134-30E,
77-20N 121-40E, 77-50N 109-40E,
78-20N 106-50E, 78-40N 106-50E,
80-30N 099-00E.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 170600Z NOV 21.//

Authority: NAVAREA XX 184/21 091732Z NOV 21.
Date: 091740Z NOV 21
Cancel: 17060000 Nov 21

NOTAM

Ь9260/21 НОТАМН
Щ)УЛАА/ЩРТЦА/ИЖ/БО/В/000/999/6528С04407В205
А)УЛАА
Б)2111150200 Ц)2111170500 Д)15 17 0200-0500
Е)ЗАПРЕЩЕНО ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЕ ВОЗДУШНОГО ПРОСТРАНСТВА:
1. РАЙОН: 631600С0412300В-625200С0420200В-624000С0412200В-622900С0402500В-624000С0394200В-624800С0393200В- 625700С0401800В-631600С0412300В
2. РАЙОН: 683309С0473622В-682031С0484525В-670142С0464304В-671300С0455100В-675306С0465032В-683309С0473622В (ВР6895 КОНТАКТНЫЕ ДАННЫЕ: 4ИРИКОВ +74956966267).
Ф)ЗЕМЛЯ Г)1500 М УР.ЗЕМЛИ

Ь9243/21 НОТАМН
Щ)УУЬЬ/ЩРТЦА/ИЖ/БО/В/000/999/7956С12247В278
А)УЛММ УНКЛ УХММ Б)2111150200 Ц)2111170500 Д)15 17 0200-0500
Е)ОБЬЯВЛЕН РАЙОН ВРЕМЕННО ОПАСНЫМ ДЛЯ ПОЛЕТОВ ВС:830000С0990000В-803000С0990000В-784000С1065000В-782000С1065000В-775000С1094000В-772000С1214000В-760000С1343000В-771000С1370000В- 830000С1370000В-830000С0990000В.
Ф)ПОВЕРХНОСТЬ Г)НЕОГРАНИ4ЕННО
t.me/warbolts
/707
1.9Kviewsedited 
Nov 13 at 04:22
---
Brian Weeden

Offline satcomopsuk

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #39 on: 11/15/2021 04:35 pm »
Coincidentally[ ??? ]  this has just shown up on Inmarsat

151730 UTC NOV 21
NAVAREA XX 192/21
BARENTS SEA.
CHART RUS 10100.
1. SPECIAL ACTIVITIES 19 AND 23 TO 26 NOV 0600 TO 2100 UTC
IN AREAS DANGEROUS TO NAVIGATION BOUNDED BY:
A. 72-18.0N 049-32.0E, 72-03.0N 050-30.0E,
68-53.0N 043-25.0E, 69-06.0N 042-32.0E.
B. 76-26.0N 055-22.0E, 76-16.0N 056-46.0E,
72-25.0N 050-35.0E, 72-32.0N 049-25.0E.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 262200 UTC NOV 21.=
NNNN

Offline thirtyone

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #40 on: 11/15/2021 06:24 pm »
Just confirmed. Debris due to this ASAT test, and it's threatening the ISS.



Definitely an ASAT test, 1,500 trackable objects so far, many more untrackable, and threatens ISS and HSF activities
« Last Edit: 11/15/2021 06:29 pm by thirtyone »

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Offline gosnold

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #42 on: 11/15/2021 09:11 pm »
Is there any way to know when the NOTAM/Navigational warning was posted? I'd like to know if it was planned for a long time or just appeared recently, and if what is the usual lead time on those things.

Offline zubenelgenubi

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« Last Edit: 04/29/2022 10:59 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #44 on: 11/15/2021 09:42 pm »
Is there any way to know when the NOTAM/Navigational warning was posted? I'd like to know if it was planned for a long time or just appeared recently, and if what is the usual lead time on those things.

The NOTAM was posted on the "Voyenno-boltovoi" telegram channel on November 13, but it may have been published earlier.

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #45 on: 11/15/2021 09:43 pm »
https://tass.ru/kosmos/12931753

TASS reports that Dmitri Rogozin will be discussing the space debris situation in a meeting with NASA officials in Moscow beginning at 8.00 UTC on Tuesday. Taking part in the meeting from the US side will be ISS Program Manager Joel Montalbano and NASA Associate Administrator Robert Cabana. The meeting had already been scheduled, but the space debris situation has been added to the agenda. It will be interesting to see how Rogozin talks himself out of this one. One wonders if he was involved in the decision-making process that led up to the ASAT test. After all, Nudol is a Ministry of Defense project and the test was aimed against a defunct Soviet military satellite. 

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #46 on: 11/15/2021 10:09 pm »
US Space Command statement:

https://www.spacecom.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/2842957/russian-direct-ascent-anti-satellite-missile-test-creates-significant-long-last/

Quote
Russian direct-ascent anti-satellite missile test creates significant, long-lasting space debris
By U.S. Space Command Public Affairs Office

PETERSON SPACE FORCE BASE, Colo.  – 

Russia tested a direct-ascent anti-satellite (DA-ASAT) missile on Nov. 15, 2021, Moscow Standard Time, that struck a Russian satellite [COSMOS 1408] and created a debris field in low-Earth orbit. The test so far has generated more than 1,500 pieces of trackable orbital debris and will likely generate hundreds of thousands of pieces of smaller orbital debris.

“Russia has demonstrated a deliberate disregard for the security, safety, stability, and long-term sustainability of the space domain for all nations,” said U.S. Army Gen. James Dickinson, U.S. Space Command commander. “The debris created by Russia's DA-ASAT will continue to pose a threat to activities in outer space for years to come, putting satellites and space missions at risk, as well as forcing more collision avoidance maneuvers. Space activities underpin our way of life and this kind of behavior is simply irresponsible.”

USSPACECOM's initial assessment is that the debris will remain in orbit for years and potentially for decades, posing a significant risk to the crew on the International Space Station and other human spaceflight activities, as well as multiple countries' satellites. USSPACECOM continues to monitor the trajectory of the debris and will work to ensure all space-faring nations have the information necessary to safeguard their on-orbit activities if impacted by the debris cloud, a service the United States provides to the world, to include Russia and China.

“Russia is developing and deploying capabilities to actively deny access to and use of  space by the United States and its allies and partners,” Dickinson added. “Russia's tests of direct-ascent anti-satellite weapons clearly demonstrate that Russia continues to pursue counterspace weapon systems that undermine strategic stability and pose a threat to all nations.”

Offline QuantumG

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #47 on: 11/15/2021 10:51 pm »
This is atrocious  >:(

I haven’t been this upset about space debris since Elon Musk proposed “Chomper” in response to a perfectly reasonable request for information on the Starlink end-of-life plan.

When is the world going to start taking space debris in LEO seriously??
Human spaceflight is basically just LARPing now.

Offline DistantTemple

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #48 on: 11/15/2021 11:45 pm »
As this new debris decays it will pass through the Starlink layers! will it pose a significant risk? will it be widely dispersed by then?
Right now it is just above Starlink.
We can always grow new new dendrites. Reach out and make connections and your world will burst with new insights. Then repose in consciousness.

Offline zubenelgenubi

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #49 on: 11/16/2021 12:56 am »
New thread: Political discussion - Russian Nudol ASAT test, November 15, 2021

Technical updates and discussion should continue here.
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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #50 on: 11/16/2021 12:59 am »
As this new debris decays it will pass through the Starlink layers! will it pose a significant risk? will it be widely dispersed by then?
Right now it is just above Starlink.
I forgot; is the Starlink satellite autonomous collision avoidance operational?

They may be the satellites best able to handle the threat.
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Offline Stan-1967

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #51 on: 11/16/2021 01:17 am »
I haven't seen any mention of the altitude of the debris field.  Anyone else see it mentioned anywhere?  The inclination looked highe than ISS based on the upthread posts, but that also is not mentioned.

Offline launchwatcher

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #52 on: 11/16/2021 01:29 am »
I haven't seen any mention of the altitude of the debris field.  Anyone else see it mentioned anywhere?  The inclination looked highe than ISS based on the upthread posts, but that also is not mentioned.
A more recent post from LeoLabs: altitudes of 440-520km for the 100+ fragments they observed:

https://twitter.com/LeoLabs_Space/status/1460405672907059200

Offline Lee Jay

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #53 on: 11/16/2021 01:30 am »
I haven't seen any mention of the altitude of the debris field.  Anyone else see it mentioned anywhere?  The inclination looked highe than ISS based on the upthread posts, but that also is not mentioned.

Cosmos 1408 was at 465km to 490km by 82.56 degrees inclination.

Offline Asteroza

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #54 on: 11/16/2021 03:02 am »
As this new debris decays it will pass through the Starlink layers! will it pose a significant risk? will it be widely dispersed by then?
Right now it is just above Starlink.
I forgot; is the Starlink satellite autonomous collision avoidance operational?

They may be the satellites best able to handle the threat.

Allegedly only as operational as the TLE's given to it. Which means SpaceX is hitting that F5 button on Celestrak pretty hard right now...

Offline AstroDave

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #55 on: 11/16/2021 04:14 am »
  It is my hope that more trustworthy and truthful information will come out of Russia about the decision making process behind this. Unfortunately, that possibility doesn't look good, and it won't change the fact that the debris field is now a reality. With the experience that Russia has in space operations, it seems far fetched to think that they are unaware of all, and I mean all, the repercussions of a satellite kill test like this one. The potential negative consequences of this test are just staggering. Alas, what is viewed by the west as negative could very well be viewed as positive through the current Russian geopolitical/economic lens.   
  As a fan of international partnerships in space, the decision by Russia to carry out this test is disappointing beyond words.


Mods, I see now that an L2 thread has been started up in the 'General Discussion, Space Policy' category. Apologies if this is off topic here, L2 membership is not in the cards for me currently. Please feel free to delete if needed.
« Last Edit: 11/16/2021 04:29 am by AstroDave »

Offline flyright

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #56 on: 11/16/2021 05:09 am »
The Chinese Space Station, at around 400 KM, would be below the debris cloud for now, but I would think it would eventually be a concern, unless maybe the phasing of the cloud's position vs the position of the Chinese Station would be enough to ensure separation.

Offline eeergo

Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #57 on: 11/16/2021 07:49 am »
Absolutely appalling, absurd behavior by Russia's executive echelons. Power crazed gorillas*. Given the consequences on crews, one can only hope Roscosmos wasn't privy, or forced to be just a spectator, to the decision-making process, and are as outraged and embarrassed as the rest of us.

As many have been saying: it was reckless in 2007, in 2009, in 2019 and now. Only now it was even "boringly" repetitive and the causes for condemnation were abundantly discussed and overwhelmingly accepted by every rational actor in the space domain.

Estimates for reentry seem to point to 2-3 years of greatly increased danger in LEO, and about 15 until most of the pieces are down:

https://twitter.com/ProfHughLewis/status/1460369576277991428

* In case someone objects to my language, you can take it up against this fun 14-gram piece of plastic: https://twitter.com/megsylhydrazine/status/1251528896656207875
« Last Edit: 11/16/2021 07:51 am by eeergo »
-DaviD-

Offline satcomopsuk

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #58 on: 11/16/2021 09:45 am »
FROM
https://www.spacewar.com/reports/Russia_seeks_to_reassure_ISS_astronauts_after_missile_claims_999.html

"US officials said they were not informed in advance of the anti-satellite missile test -- only the fourth ever to hit a spacecraft from the ground -- which generated over 1,500 pieces of trackable orbital debris."

Really ?
Do they not monitor Navigational Warnings and NOTAMs ?

Must admit I took my eye off the ball on this one , but previous tests by both Russia and India have been given a heads  up  days before .
On two previous occassions I have even given US Space Command  all the details , days in advance which they completely ignored.

This time round I suspect the Nav Warn was issued just once and unfortunately my sat system went down at just the wrong time  :-[




Offline libra

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #59 on: 11/16/2021 10:07 am »
The Chinese Space Station, at around 400 KM, would be below the debris cloud for now, but I would think it would eventually be a concern, unless maybe the phasing of the cloud's position vs the position of the Chinese Station would be enough to ensure separation.

Quote
posing a significant risk to the crew on the International Space Station and other human spaceflight activities

Quote
Right now it is just above Starlink.

This sounds like the beginning of that movie, what was the title ?
...
Gravity ?

Offline owais.usmani

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Offline Liss

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #61 on: 11/16/2021 10:52 am »
Russian Ministry of Defense has just confirmed the intentional destruction of K1408: https://ria.ru/20211116/kosmos-1759291977.html
This message reflects my personal opinion based on open sources of information.

Offline eeergo

Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #62 on: 11/16/2021 11:05 am »
https://twitter.com/katlinegrey/status/1460574303821385728

Well, that take by the Russian MoD is extraordinarily asinine (and trivially factually wrong).

At least the former head of the 4th Central Research Institute (TsNII) of the Russian Defense Ministry, retired Major General Vladimir Dvorkin, said it like it is: "There is nothing special about this test, except for negligence. It was not necessary to arrange such a cloud of debris"
-DaviD-

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #63 on: 11/16/2021 11:06 am »
Quick translation of the Ministry of Defense statement:

Quote
On November 15  the Russian Defense Ministry successfully conducted a test that hit the inoperable Russian Tselina-D spacecraft, which has been in orbit since 1982. The U.S. knows for certain that based on the time of the test and the orbital parameters the fragments that were created did not and will not pose a threat to orbital stations, spacecraft and space activities. The fragments have been  included in the main catalog of the national space surveillance system and will be tracked until they are destroyed. Previously, similar tests in space have been conducted by the United States, China and India.

Offline satcomopsuk

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #64 on: 11/16/2021 11:40 am »
СГОРЕВШИЙ МОРОЗ ? ::)

Offline Colodie

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #65 on: 11/16/2021 12:05 pm »
FROM
https://www.spacewar.com/reports/Russia_seeks_to_reassure_ISS_astronauts_after_missile_claims_999.html

"US officials said they were not informed in advance of the anti-satellite missile test -- only the fourth ever to hit a spacecraft from the ground -- which generated over 1,500 pieces of trackable orbital debris."

Really ?
Do they not monitor Navigational Warnings and NOTAMs ?

Must admit I took my eye off the ball on this one , but previous tests by both Russia and India have been given a heads  up  days before .
On two previous occassions I have even given US Space Command  all the details , days in advance which they completely ignored.

This time round I suspect the Nav Warn was issued just once and unfortunately my sat system went down at just the wrong time  :-[

I suspect they are saying they were not formally notified with all the details.  I'm pretty sure that based on various information they could get, that they were pretty sure that *something* was going to happen.

Offline Skyway

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #66 on: 11/16/2021 12:58 pm »
I think similar to you, but if something in these years investigating occurrences has taught me, it is that most of the time who should know something, doesn't know until the occurrence happens.

It wouldn't surprise me if they didn't have a clue as to what was about to happen. Or because they really don't know, or because the information didn't arrive on time.

I had the hypothesis that the test had been designed one way, but it turned out to have an unexpected result (maybe it was to pass close, no impact. Or the target was another higher satellite...) But after that Russian MoD statement , there is no longer any way to deny that it was intentional. Which means it was an absurd operation.
Everything is fail-proof until it fails.

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #67 on: 11/16/2021 01:42 pm »
Updated plot in inertial coordinates showing the estimated intercept location (where densest debris region will be) and the orbit of the Chinese space station (green), Of course what's missing in this plot is height above the Earth

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1460355721699246087

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #68 on: 11/16/2021 02:18 pm »
Russian military confirms successful tests of anti-satellite weapons

15:46 16 Nov 2021

The Russian Defense Ministry has confirmed that the inoperative Tselina-D spacecraft was shot down during tests on November 15, TASS reports . The Russian military argue that the resulting fragments did not and will not pose a threat to orbital stations and spacecraft.

On Monday, the US Space Command's press office said a spacecraft had collapsed in low Earth orbit, creating a cloud of debris. The State Department believes that this is the result of Russia's testing of anti-satellite weapons .

According  to the website Space-track.org, the Kosmos-1408 (Celina-D) satellite, which was launched in 1982 , collapsed . It was in orbit with an altitude of 400-500 kilometers. The US Space Command estimates that the result was at least 1,500 debris.

Also on November 15, the ISS crew had to move to spacecraft due to space debris. The dangerous object at intervals of one and a half hours passed the station twice .

The Russian Defense Ministry on Tuesday confirmed that the Tselina-D spacecraft had been hit as a result of successful tests. The Russian military say that the debris left from it was immediately taken for escort and did not pose a threat to orbital stations, spacecraft and space activities.

Field tests of anti-satellite missiles were also carried out by the United States, India and China. The United States conducted two such tests, hitting two of its own vehicles in  1985 and  2008  . In 2007, the Chinese military shot down an inoperative meteorological satellite Fengyun-1C, which led to the formation of about 3.4 thousand fragments, one of which in 2013 damaged the Russian microsatellite Blitz. And the Indians tested an anti-satellite missile in March 2019. As a result, a cloud of more than 100 debris more than 10 centimeters in size was formed, which dispersed in orbits with an altitude of 200 to 1600 kilometers.

Anna Kachalova

https://nplus1.ru/news/2021/11/16/tselinad

Offline Lee Jay

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #69 on: 11/16/2021 02:25 pm »
The Russian Defense Ministry on Tuesday confirmed that the Tselina-D spacecraft had been hit as a result of successful tests. The Russian military say that the debris left from it was immediately taken for escort and did not pose a threat to orbital stations, spacecraft and space activities.

Wow - a straight-forward, no-nonsense, pure lie.

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #70 on: 11/16/2021 04:21 pm »
At 19.00. Moscow time, I had a detailed telephone conversation with the head of the NASA administration, Senator Nelson. The parties stated ... Okay. In short, in Russian, we are moving on, ensuring the safety of our crews on the ISS, making joint plans.

https://twitter.com/Rogozin/status/1460651722154594316

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #71 on: 11/16/2021 04:23 pm »
Rogozin had a telephone conversation with the head of NASA.

Rogozin and NASA Chief Nelson Discuss By Phone the Safety of ISS Crews.

19:51 11/16/2021 (updated: 20:19 11/16/2021)

MOSCOW, November 16 - RIA Novosti. Roscosmos CEO Dmitry Rogozin said that he had a telephone conversation with NASA head Bill Nelson, they agreed to move on and ensure the safety of the crews at the International Space Station .

"At 19.00 Moscow time, I had a detailed telephone conversation with the head of the NASA administration, Senator Bill Nelson . The parties stated ... Okay. In short, and in Russian, we are moving on, ensuring the safety of our crews on the ISS, making joint plans," wrote Rogozin on Telegram .

He added that he hopes to see the head of NASA soon and is waiting for him in Moscow , since he himself cannot visit the United States .

On Monday, space debris flew past the ISS several times at intervals of an hour and a half. Cosmonauts and astronauts hid in the Soyuz MS-19 and Crew Dragon spacecraft docked to the station.

US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said that a cloud of 1,500 debris appeared as a result of Russia's testing of anti-satellite systems. US space command claims that a right ascension anti-satellite missile was tested on November 15, which hit the Russian Kosmos-1408 satellite.

The Pentagon said that Russia did not warn the American military about the planned tests, and the anti-satellite weapons being developed could pose a threat to the United States and other space powers. The head of NASA Bill Nelson agrees that the cloud of debris was formed as a result of tests of Russian weapons.

Roscosmos stated that the Russian system for warning of dangerous situations in space is monitoring the situation, and called the safety of the ISS crew a top priority in the creation and operation of space technology.

The Russian Defense Ministry called the accusations of the West hypocritical, and clarified that the United States should be "known for certain" that the fragments of the Tselina-D satellite, in terms of test time and orbit parameters, did not and will not pose a threat to orbital stations and spacecraft. Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu confirmed the successful testing of the anti-satellite system by Russia. According to him, “it struck the old satellite with jewelry,” and its debris does not threaten space activities.

https://ria.ru/20211116/nasa-1759363182.html

Offline SciNews

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #72 on: 11/16/2021 06:23 pm »
The fragmentation of Cosmos 1408 satellite — observations from Romanian SST sensor
http://rosa.ro/index.php/en/news-menu/stiri/5850-fragmentarea-satelitului-cosmos-1408-observatii-de-la-senzorul-romanesc-sst
"The RO_AROAC-T08 telescope, dedicated to Low Earth Orbit (LEO) object detection, was able to acquire images and perform astrometric measurements on two fragments (as depicted in the gif image)."
Image credit: © COSST, ©AROAC
« Last Edit: 11/16/2021 06:28 pm by SciNews »

Offline Star One

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #73 on: 11/16/2021 08:47 pm »
Scott Manley’s video on this incident:


Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #74 on: 11/16/2021 10:16 pm »
US pledged to respond to Russia's test of an anti-satellite system.

White House: US Will Look For Answer To Russian Test Of Anti-Satellite System.

21:57 11/16/2021

WASHINGTON, November 16 - RIA Novosti. The United States, together with its allies, will seek an answer to Russia's testing of an anti-satellite system in space, White House spokesman Andrew Bates said.

Earlier, the Russian military department said that on November 15, Russia successfully conducted tests, as a result of which the inoperative Russian Tselina-D spacecraft was hit. Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said on Tuesday that the fragments of the old satellite formed during the testing of the anti-satellite system do not pose any threat to space activities. The head of the Russian military department confirmed the successful test of the anti-satellite system by the Russian Federation.

“The United States will work with our allies and partners to find a response to this irresponsible action,” Bates said at the briefing.

He also called on "all responsible space powers to join our efforts to develop norms of responsible behavior (in space - ed.) And refrain from conducting dangerous and irresponsible tests, like the one conducted by Russia."

Also, Russia, while testing an anti-satellite system in space, has neglected safety, White House spokesman Andrew Bates said at a briefing on Tuesday.

"These actions demonstrate Russia's complete disregard for security, stability and long-term sustainability of outer space for all countries," said a White House spokesman.

He stressed that the resulting test "debris in the coming years will continue to pose a threat to (human - ed.) Activities in space and pose a risk to the operation of satellites, which all countries rely on to ensure their national security, economic prosperity and scientific research," - said the representative of the US administration.

On Monday, space debris flew past the ISS several times at intervals of an hour and a half. Cosmonauts and astronauts hid in the Soyuz MS-19 and Crew Dragon spacecraft docked to the station .

US Space Command and the Department of State said that the cloud of 1,500 debris appeared as a result of Russia's testing of anti-satellite systems. The Pentagon said that Russia did not warn the American military about the planned tests, and the anti-satellite weapons being developed could pose a threat to the United States and other space powers. The head of NASA  Bill Nelson agrees that the cloud of debris was formed as a result of tests of Russian weapons .

In " Roskosmos " said that the Russian system of prevention of dangerous situations in space control the situation, and called the safety of the crew of the ISS main priority in the creation and exploitation of space technology.

The Russian Defense Ministry called the accusations of the West hypocritical, and clarified that the United States should be "known for certain" that the fragments of the Tselina-D satellite, in terms of test time and orbital parameters, did not and will not pose a threat to orbital stations and spacecraft. According to Shoigu, the anti-satellite system "hit the old satellite with jewelry," and its debris does not threaten space activities.

https://ria.ru/20211116/sistema-1759376597.html


Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #75 on: 11/16/2021 10:21 pm »
NASA chief told Rogozin about the continuing threat to the ISS crew.

NASA chief Nelson told Rogozin that the ISS crew is still in danger.

00:14 11/17/2021 (updated: 00:22 11/17/2021)

WASHINGTON, November 17 - RIA Novosti. NASA chief Bill Nelson said that he had expressed concern to Dmitry Rogozin, Roscosmos CEO, about the danger that, in his opinion, the crew of the International Space Station continues to be exposed to in connection with the RF testing of the anti-satellite system.

According to the American authorities, the threat to cosmonauts and astronauts working at the station is space debris, the cloud of which was formed as a result of a recent test of Russian anti-satellite weapons.

“I spoke with Roscosmos CEO Rogozin , expressing concern about the danger that continues to threaten our astronauts and cosmonauts on the ISS. It is critical that we ensure the safety of our people and objects in space - now and in the future,” Nelson wrote on Twitter .

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu confirmed the successful testing of the anti-satellite system by Russia . According to him, “it struck the old satellite with jewelry,” and its debris does not threaten space activities.

The Russian Defense Ministry called the accusations of the West "hypocritical". The military clarified that the United States should be "known for certain" that the fragments of the Tselina-D satellite, in terms of test time and orbit parameters, did not and will not pose a threat to orbital stations and spacecraft.

https://ria.ru/20211117/mks-1759383921.html

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #76 on: 11/16/2021 10:52 pm »
Space Command is tracking more than a thousand pieces of new debris from Russia's anti-satellite test this morning, with thousands more that are untrackable, a US official says.

https://twitter.com/joroulette/status/1460317532812939273

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #77 on: 11/16/2021 10:55 pm »
11 tweet thread when you have to move out of the way of a Starlink satellite, but silence when Russia intentionally creates thousands of pieces of new debris?

https://twitter.com/nextspaceflight/status/1460709441435684864

Offline tyrred

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #78 on: 11/17/2021 12:15 am »

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu confirmed the successful testing of the anti-satellite system by Russia . According to him, “it struck the old satellite with jewelry,” and its debris does not threaten space activities.


What are we to make of the bolded statement?

Offline RotoSequence

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #79 on: 11/17/2021 12:57 am »

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu confirmed the successful testing of the anti-satellite system by Russia . According to him, “it struck the old satellite with jewelry,” and its debris does not threaten space activities.


What are we to make of the bolded statement?

An unusual euphemism for shrapnel?

Offline jpo234

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #80 on: 11/17/2021 07:11 am »

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu confirmed the successful testing of the anti-satellite system by Russia . According to him, “it struck the old satellite with jewelry,” and its debris does not threaten space activities.


What are we to make of the bolded statement?

Probably something like "it brilliantly struck the old satellite".
You want to be inspired by things. You want to wake up in the morning and think the future is going to be great. That's what being a spacefaring civilization is all about. It's about believing in the future and believing the future will be better than the past. And I can't think of anything more exciting than being out there among the stars.

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #81 on: 11/17/2021 07:49 am »

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu confirmed the successful testing of the anti-satellite system by Russia . According to him, “it struck the old satellite with jewelry,” and its debris does not threaten space activities.


What are we to make of the bolded statement?

What Shoigu meant to say was that it struck the satellite with the precision of a jeweler.

Among the people who are probably elated with the results of the test are the specialists of KB Tochmash (the "Nudelman design bureau") and the State Institute of Applied Optics (GIPO) who developed the so-called "multispectral electro-optical homing head" (MOEGSN or 14Sh129) that guided Nudol to its target. A very similar or identical optical system is also supposed to be flown on the more capable Aerostat missile, so the Nudol test also was a successfully technology demonstration for that project.

Offline SciNews

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #82 on: 11/17/2021 11:38 am »
11 tweet thread when you have to move out of the way of a Starlink satellite, but silence when Russia intentionally creates thousands of pieces of new debris?
twitter.com/nextspaceflight/status/1460709441435684864
Statement by Thierry Breton, European Commissioner for Space, following the Russian test of an anti-satellite weapon
Quote
At this time, none of the Galileo or Copernicus satellites have been impacted. However, close monitoring of the situation is necessary to track the potential impact on the 240 European satellites covered by EU SST. 
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/commissioners/2019-2024/breton/announcements/statement-thierry-breton-european-commissioner-space-following-russian-test-anti-satellite-weapon_en

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #83 on: 11/17/2021 05:44 pm »
Stealing 2 interesting plots to tell a story. The 1st is a Gabbard plot from @SpaceNav2 showing the orbital spread of debris from the ASAT test. Risk to most of LEO is now increased. The 2nd is from @ProfHughLewis showing how long the debris stays in orbit.

https://twitter.com/mikeclindsay/status/1460809637079355399

Offline Vahe231991

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #84 on: 11/17/2021 10:40 pm »
Is it possible that Russia chose to destroy the Cosmos 1408 because it was concerned about any derelict Soviet spy satellite colliding with active American and European communications and weather satellites, like what happened in February 2009 when the Cosmos 2251 collided with the Iridium 33? The Space-Track website lists the Cosmos 1437 radio surveillance satellite as scheduled to re-enter the atmosphere next month.

Offline Bob Niland

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #85 on: 11/17/2021 11:08 pm »
Is it possible that Russia chose to destroy the Cosmos 1408 because it was concerned about any derelict Soviet spy satellite colliding with active American and European communications and weather satellites, like what happened in February 2009 when the Cosmos 2251 collided with the Iridium 33?

Severely doubtful:
a. that story line needs to be telegraphed before or shortly after the event, and wasn't
a. the way to do a safing is with a de-orbit tech, and not by an kinetic impact that net increases collision risks.

[Moderator: Please use the forum's quote function button.  It's between "Like" and "Modify" above the the text of the post that you wish to quote.  The text can be edited as needed as you compose your reply.]
« Last Edit: 11/17/2021 11:17 pm by zubenelgenubi »
Working for SX could be exhilarating, as long as the job description doesn't include Master PERT Chart.

Offline eeergo

« Last Edit: 11/18/2021 05:46 am by eeergo »
-DaviD-

Offline eeergo

Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #87 on: 11/18/2021 08:58 am »
Cross-posting (re: inclination distribution):

We now have good input on the range of inclination distribution in the debris cloud: the ASAT appears to have generated a Gaussian +/-1.5 degrees structure, which is significant, beyond the +/- 60-100 km in altitude for most of the debris pieces tracked so far.

https://twitter.com/mikeclindsay/status/1461252315839488003
-DaviD-

Offline Lee Jay

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #88 on: 11/18/2021 01:34 pm »
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said on Tuesday that the fragments of the old satellite formed during the testing of the anti-satellite system do not pose any threat to space activities.

In other news, it is now considered safe to shoot a shotgun shell in a random direction in your neighborhood every 90 minutes because the Russian military has determined that the resulting projectiles pose no threat to life or property.

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #89 on: 11/19/2021 02:36 am »
We've shared some thoughts and preliminary analysis on the #Cosmos1408 breakup in our newest blog post, read it here:

https://twitter.com/LeoLabs_Space/status/1461393153194344454

Offline SciNews

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #90 on: 11/19/2021 08:43 am »
You're really missing something here. After the US performed its ASAT test in 1985 that generated debris, the United States sought to develop "non-kinetic" counter-satellite technology--in other words, stuff that did not create debris. That included jamming, hacking, and other ways of negating a satellite without creating debris that poses a hazard to other satellites.
Just pointing out escalating tensions. Intentionally creating space debris is unjustifiable.

EU Space Surveillance and Tracking
"this video represents a simulation of the initial dispersion of the fragments resulting from the reported #ASAT test. The event has increased the collision risk of spacecraft in the LEO regime registered to #EUSST, hence impacting the safety of EU #space infrastructure."
https://twitter.com/EU_SST/status/1461312176967368706

Gabbard diagrams representing the expected evolution of the tracked fragments from 15 to 30 November 2021
https://www.eusst.eu/newsroom/eu-sst-confirms-fragmentation-cosmos-1408/

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #91 on: 11/19/2021 01:54 pm »
@planet4589
@Eurekablog
@SpaceNosey
Plots of range between ISS and Kosmos-1408 since yesterday nov. 14 and the zoomed closest passes. Those closest passes where been at 21h+ of nov. 14th UTC, but ISS's event was reported later than this. Closest approach @ Nov. 14 21h50' ~170 Km.

https://twitter.com/Itzalpean/status/1460278013174632448

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #92 on: 11/19/2021 01:55 pm »
The point here was that if the ASAT test was made the 14th of November (not a confirmed fact at time of writing that) the 170 Km pass was more than enough to be a dangerous pass over a cloud of debris pieces. (1/2).

https://twitter.com/Itzalpean/status/1461687053721157640

Offline libra

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #93 on: 11/20/2021 03:01 pm »
It's a nudol in a haystack... of space debris (runs for cover).

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #94 on: 11/20/2021 05:37 pm »
NSF Live: Russian ASAT Test w/ Jonathan McDowell.


Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #95 on: 11/20/2021 05:47 pm »
This is different than the Gabbard diagram at:

https://leolabs-space.medium.com/part-ii-new-observations-on-cosmos-1408-breakup-3d8e5441f720

The whole episode is bad news and these altitudes are nearer the planned orbits of SpaceX, OneWeb, Telesat, GuoWang, and Kuiper.

https://twitter.com/larrypress/status/1462107344662241284

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #96 on: 11/20/2021 08:03 pm »
Rogozin said that the fragments of the downed satellite are not dangerous for the ISS.

Rogozin: Roscosmos is tracking fragments of a downed satellite, they are not dangerous for the ISS.

22:22 20.11.2021 (updated: 23:28 20.11.2021)

MOSCOW, November 20 - RIA Novosti. " Roskosmos " monitors fragments downed Russian Defense Ministry satellite "Celina-D", they do not pose a risk to the International Space Station (ISS), said on Saturday, the head of "Roskosmos" Dmitry Rogozin .

"These fragments are being monitored, we are exchanging this information with the Ministry of Defense ... We are monitoring, and these fragments do not affect the security of the ISS," he said on the Soloviev Live YouTube channel .

According to Rogozin, during the testing of anti-satellite weapons, wreckage remains, "but the Ministry of Defense, and it spoke about it, was modeling this situation in order not to harm anyone."

The Russian Defense Ministry previously reported that Russia successfully conducted tests on November 15, as a result of which the inoperative Russian Tselina-D spacecraft was hit. Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said on Tuesday that the fragments of the old satellite formed during the testing of the anti-satellite system do not pose any threat to space activities. He also confirmed a successful test of the anti-satellite system.

Later, the Russian Ministry of Defense showed a video proving that the International Space Station is located 40-60 kilometers below the fragments of the Tselina-D satellite, and nothing threatens the station.

https://ria.ru/20211120/sputnik-1760003701.html

Offline Lee Jay

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #97 on: 11/20/2021 11:51 pm »
Rogozin said that the fragments of the downed satellite are not dangerous for the ISS.

Rogozin: Roscosmos is tracking fragments of a downed satellite, they are not dangerous for the ISS.

...

Later, the Russian Ministry of Defense showed a video proving that the International Space Station is located 40-60 kilometers below the fragments of the Tselina-D satellite, and nothing threatens the station.

I'm trying to figure out if these people are liars or morons. Anyone have insight?

Offline dglow

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #98 on: 11/21/2021 12:36 am »
Rogozin said that the fragments of the downed satellite are not dangerous for the ISS.

Rogozin: Roscosmos is tracking fragments of a downed satellite, they are not dangerous for the ISS.

...

Later, the Russian Ministry of Defense showed a video proving that the International Space Station is located 40-60 kilometers below the fragments of the Tselina-D satellite, and nothing threatens the station.

I'm trying to figure out if these people are liars or morons. Anyone have insight?

Bit of both; the latter leads to the former.

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #99 on: 11/30/2021 10:31 am »
Gabbard diagram for the Russian ASAT test based on Space-Track TLEs for first 100 or so objects cataloged. Each object gets two dots: perigee (red) and apogee (blue)

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1465587994119880705

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #100 on: 11/30/2021 08:59 pm »
Preliminary results of parsing the velocity changes of the debris objects as a result of the ASAT test. Of course, this is using current TLE's (2 weeks post-impact) so objects have been affected by atmospheric drag. Will see about leaving out objects under 400km or something.

https://twitter.com/Spacecomm_Joey/status/1465728316086923274

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #101 on: 12/02/2021 02:48 pm »
21 more debris objects cataloged today from the Russian ASAT event - here is the updated Gabbard diagram. As usual, each object has a red dot for perigee height and blue dot for apogee height..

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1466420651615531010


Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #102 on: 12/03/2021 11:58 am »
Impact of the November 2021 Russian ASAT Weapon Test. Further discussion can be found here:

https://twitter.com/OuterSpaceInst/status/1466534198253023238

Offline Blackstar

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #103 on: 12/07/2021 10:18 pm »
https://spacenews.com/u-s-was-not-blindsided-by-russias-anti-satellite-test-say-officials/

U.S. was not blindsided by Russia’s anti-satellite test, say officials
by Sandra Erwin — December 5, 2021

WASHINGTON — The U.S. military for years has watched Russia’s attempts to demonstrate it could destroy a satellite with a ground-based weapon, so the Nov. 15 missile test that blew up a satellite in orbit did not come as a complete shock, officials said Dec. 4 at the Reagan National Defense Forum.

“These advances in capabilities are concerning, they are not a surprise,” Gen. David Thompson, vice chief of space operations of U.S. Space Force, said during a panel discussion at the forum held at the Ronald Reagan presidential library in Simi Valley, California.

SNIP

Rep. Jim Cooper (D-Tenn.) said Russia attempted to do this several times in recent years and failed, so it was predictable that they would keep trying until they scored a hit. “It’s part of a pattern,” said Cooper, who chairs the House Armed Services Committee’s subcommittee on strategic forces which oversees U.S. nuclear and space programs.



Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #104 on: 12/08/2021 11:05 am »
Updated Gabbard diagram for the Kosmos-1408 debris

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1468408839028584448

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #105 on: 12/24/2021 10:27 am »
745 debris objects now cataloged from the Kosmos-1408/ASAT event; 23 have already reentered. Here's the latest Gabbard diagram (red: perigee; blue: apogee for each object)

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1474257260239073282

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Offline GWR64

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #107 on: 12/26/2021 09:06 pm »
745 debris objects now cataloged from the Kosmos-1408/ASAT event; 23 have already reentered. Here's the latest Gabbard diagram (red: perigee; blue: apogee for each object)

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1474257260239073282

The NORAD 50000 passed very quickly.
The vast majority of the objects in the last few days are Kosmos 1408 fragments.
Whereby the NORAD 50000 is an very old Transtage upper stage.  ???
If this continues + the mega-constellation launches, then will NORAD very soon no longer got by with 5 digits.
 :-\

Offline su27k

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #108 on: 12/28/2021 03:30 am »
https://twitter.com/joroulette/status/1475565161784221706

Quote
Some new bits in this story. In an interview, Dmitry Rogozin indicates he's unhappy with all the "debris scattered across the orbit" from Russia's ASAT test and says its unlikely the Russian military will test-launch another one in the future.



Also - the State Department is considering calling for an antisatellite test moratorium, possibly during the Conference on Disarmament in Geneva next year, per two US officials.



A day before the ASAT test, senior NASA officials flew to Moscow to negotiate two key ISS agreements, meeting with Rogozin for dinner at one point. They echoed Nelson's condemnation of the test, and "it was a very productive discussion,” Cabana says.



Nelson strongly condemned the RU military's ASAT test, but speculated that his counterpart Rogozin didn't see it coming. Indeed, in the interview, Rogozin said Roscosmos wasn't consulted prior. But he added: “I’m not going to tell you everything I know.”

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #109 on: 12/29/2021 02:47 am »
Now 807 debris objects cataloged from Kosmos-1408

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1476002054271340549

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #110 on: 01/10/2022 11:34 pm »
@planet4589 Is a debris strike from the Russian ASAT test plausible as a cause of the #Sentinel1b malfunction, given the orbital parameters?

https://twitter.com/BrianKardon/status/1480683845930389504

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #111 on: 01/10/2022 11:36 pm »
It's not impossible, but I don't see any change to the orbit, so there's no *active* reason to suspect a debris hit at this time. There are plenty of things that can break spontaneously inside a satellite without needing a debris hit.

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1480687166338568194

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #112 on: 02/02/2022 03:46 pm »
A patent for a transporter erector launcher (TEL) published in 2019 has recently been linked by several analysts to Nudol.

https://patents.s3.yandex.net/RU187952U1_20190325.pdf

The first three attachments are taken from this patent. The official patent holder is the Ministry of Defense, but the authors can be identified as working for the Design Bureau of Special Machine Building (KBSM), which is known to have a role in developing Nudol’s TEL (based on some of its annual reports). There is no specific reference to Nudol in the patent description. Presumably, the conclusion that this is the Nudol TEL is based on the fact that it looks identical to a drawing of a TEL with two missile launch tubes that appeared in a 2015 calendar of Almaz-Antei, Nudol’s prime contractor (see attachment 4). This has been interpreted by some Russian analysts as showing the Nudol TEL, although that has never been confirmed.

The patent deals in particular with a thermal conditioning system that maintains the proper temperature and humidity inside the missile tubes. Unlike similar systems used on other TELs, this one remains active even after the missile tubes are placed into vertical position prior to launch.

There are several other patents that can be positively linked to Nudol. One, published in 2020, belongs to OKB Novator, the company that builds Nudol’s 14A042 rocket.

https://patents.s3.yandex.net/RU2728019C1_20200728.pdf

It deals with a mechanism that automatically deploys rudders and stabilizers on the first stage after the missile leaves its launch tube. Quite unusually, the patent actually refers to the 14A042 rocket. It briefly describes the mechanism used by 14A042 and then goes on to describe an improved version, but it is not certain if that will be used by Nudol as well. The most important thing that can be learned from this patent is that 14A042’s first stage is equipped with aerodynamic surfaces.


Four more patents are linked to Nudol on a website containing inspection reports of the Federal Service for Intellectual Property:
https://prokuratura.top/index.php?erpid=001900997076
(report published after an inspection of Almaz-Antei in December 2019)

https://prokuratura.top/index.php?erpid=002104897908
(report published after an inspection of OKB Novator in April 2021)

All these four patents are available online.

https://patents.s3.yandex.net/RU2507469C2_20140220.pdf
https://patents.s3.yandex.net/RU2492048C1_20130910.pdf
https://patents.s3.yandex.net/RU2467278C1_20121120.pdf

These three were published in 2012-2014 and are owned by researchers of Kompaniya Armoproekt and OAO Avangard. They contain very detailed technical descriptions of multi-layered housings of missile launch tubes made of composite materials. OAO Avangard’s role in building Nudol’s missile launch tubes was already known from some of its annual reports.

https://patents.s3.yandex.net/RU2759035C1_20211109.pdf

This is a patent written by OKB Novator researchers that was published last November. It describes a two-layer thermal coating made of composite materials to protect the metal surface of what are described as “hypersonic flying apparatuses” (obviously, without the connection made with Nudol in the inspection report it would be impossible to tell that this has anything to do with the project).

The coating is needed to protect the vehicle from the aerodynamic heating that it experiences when flying at high speeds through the dense layers of the atmosphere. The outer layer is an “erosion-resistant ablation layer made of a bulk-woven silica fabric impregnated with a polymer binder filled with refractory aluminum oxide particles”. The inner thermal insulation layer is made of “a polymer organosilicon binder with a filler made of glass microspheres filled with gas”. The coating has been tested in wind tunnels with simulated heat flows and also “during successful test flights”. Before last November’s intercept of Kosmos-1408, Nudol’s 14A042 missile had already performed at least 10 test flights from Plesetsk since 2014.


Incidentally, the inspection report for OKB Novator mentions something called “103T6/Novator”. This probably is a new anti-missile project of OKB Novator. The only other place where 103T6 appears is the 2020 annual report of PAO Radiofizika, which probably develops radar systems in support of this project. Possibly, this is supposed to become the medium-range component of the upgraded A-235 ABM system to defend the Moscow region against missile attacks.

What likely will become the system’s short-range component, Novator’s 53T6M, has been undergoing test flights for about a decade. The long-range component is probably supposed to become the MIT Corporation’s Aerostat/106T6 missile (which possibly has an added ASAT capability). Nudol has long been rumored to be part of A-235 as well  (Wikipedia even claims that Nudol is just another name for the entire A-235 system). However, it is becoming ever more clear that Nudol is a dedicated anti-satellite system that has no relation whatsoever to A-235.       


Offline weedenbc

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #113 on: 02/02/2022 04:37 pm »
Bart, great stuff as usual.

One clarification question - those patents for the "hypersonic flying apparatuses" refer to the missile body and not the launch tube or TEL, right?
---
Brian Weeden

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #114 on: 02/02/2022 07:07 pm »
Bart, great stuff as usual.

One clarification question - those patents for the "hypersonic flying apparatuses" refer to the missile body and not the launch tube or TEL, right?

Yes, that's right.

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #115 on: 02/02/2022 10:43 pm »
Gabbard diagram for the Russian ASAT test based on Space-Track TLEs for first 100 or so objects cataloged. Each object gets two dots: perigee (red) and apogee (blue)

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1465587994119880705

It would be neat if someone (Dr McDowell?) coukd make a GIF or video of these Gabbard diagrams to show the evolution with time. 

Compare these the early one above to the more recent one below.
It is clear that the left end, short period debris with low perigees and apogees, is “bending down” and”stretching left” as their orbits decay from the exospheric drag.

It can be reasoned that for each of these detectable and trackable debris there are many smaller untrackable debris. Because they are smaller, it is likely their ballistic coefficients are lower and their decay faster. One can imagine that each apogee point on the graphs is the source of a mini-shower descending from it to the lower left, filling up that space on the diagrams.
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

Offline eeergo

Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #116 on: 02/03/2022 08:12 am »
Gabbard diagram for the Russian ASAT test based on Space-Track TLEs for first 100 or so objects cataloged. Each object gets two dots: perigee (red) and apogee (blue)

It would be neat if someone (Dr McDowell?) coukd make a GIF or video of these Gabbard diagrams to show the evolution with time. 

Compare these the early one above to the more recent one below.
It is clear that the left end, short period debris with low perigees and apogees, is “bending down” and”stretching left” as their orbits decay from the exospheric drag.

It can be reasoned that for each of these detectable and trackable debris there are many smaller untrackable debris. Because they are smaller, it is likely their ballistic coefficients are lower and their decay faster. One can imagine that each apogee point on the graphs is the source of a mini-shower descending from it to the lower left, filling up that space on the diagrams.

They're following the usual decay pattern, at least qualitatively, illustrated previously here for a wider timespan and object class:

https://www.reddit.com/r/space/comments/ld4vlq/gabbard_diagram_animation_of_space_debris_since/

But there already are specific animations for the Kosmos-1408 debris such as:

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:share:6877126992156790784/

As a bonus, here's what the current distribution looks like in the other two spatial dimensions. A ring has formed and is spreading out laterally:

https://twitter.com/Itzalpean/status/1477803180624863234
-DaviD-

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #117 on: 02/18/2022 07:53 pm »
Here was my first attempt at the Russian ASAT plot - one object had a bad TLE set and it is obvious. Deleted it from the database and reran to make the plot I showed earlier. But there are still a few objects that look suspicious, these plots make them easy to spot..

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1494759889700278281


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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #118 on: 02/19/2022 02:05 am »
So much for this being a "clean" ASAT test

https://twitter.com/brianweeden/status/1494786322514522114

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #119 on: 02/19/2022 01:10 pm »
OK this looks better. Couple of bugs fixed.

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1494905004095909889

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #120 on: 05/14/2022 07:56 pm »
More Kosmos-1408 ASAT debris cataloged as 52514-52532, 52571-73, 52590-94.  Unclear what the gaps are being reserved for 52533-570, 52574-89; not quite enough space for Starlink 4-13.

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1525340207494701056

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #121 on: 05/19/2022 02:47 pm »
The debris that may prompt an ISS avoidance maneuver Thursday is from the Russian ASAT test last 11/15 that destroyed a defunct satellite, officials confirm; more tracking data is expected overnight that should determine whether an avoidance maneuver is necessary or not..

https://twitter.com/cbs_spacenews/status/1527098103811166209

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #122 on: 06/13/2022 11:06 pm »
A patent for a transporter erector launcher (TEL) published in 2019 has recently been linked by several analysts to Nudol.

https://patents.s3.yandex.net/RU187952U1_20190325.pdf

The first three attachments are taken from this patent. The official patent holder is the Ministry of Defense, but the authors can be identified as working for the Design Bureau of Special Machine Building (KBSM), which is known to have a role in developing Nudol’s TEL (based on some of its annual reports). There is no specific reference to Nudol in the patent description. Presumably, the conclusion that this is the Nudol TEL is based on the fact that it looks identical to a drawing of a TEL with two missile launch tubes that appeared in a 2015 calendar of Almaz-Antei, Nudol’s prime contractor (see attachment 4). This has been interpreted by some Russian analysts as showing the Nudol TEL, although that has never been confirmed.

This is something I posted in this thread in early February  (see Reply 112, I've copied the same attachments here). It now looks like this patent indeed describes the transporter erector launcher used by Nudol. Exactly the same TEL is depicted in two other patents (with the same authors) that are linked to Nudol in an inspection report of the Federal Service for Intellectual Property, published after an inspection of the Design Bureau of Special Machine Building (KBSM) (a subcontractor for Nudol) on October 4, 2021. The report is available via these links:
https://prokuratura.top/index.php?erpid=002104897929
https://www.list-org.com/company/5797

The two patents, which describe various elements of the TLE, are here:
https://patents.s3.yandex.net/RU2620007C2_20170522.pdf
https://patents.s3.yandex.net/RU2629763C2_20170901.pdf
(English abstracts included).

This also means that the TEL shown in a calendar of Almaz-Antei (see attachment 4) is indeed the one for Nudol, as has long been suspected, but could never be confirmed.

The vehicle seen is the 12-wheeled MZKT-79291 of the Minsk Wheel Tractor Plant (MZKT). This was reportedly first ordered by the MIT Corporation for its RS-26 Rubezh missile, a lightweight two-stage intercontinental missile, the development of which has now been suspended. The MZKT-79291 is capable of carrying a maximum load of 50 tons. In its configuration for Nudol it has two missile launch tubes. The mass of the launch tubes is not known, but this does imply that the launch mass of Nudol's 14A042 rocket is probably somewhere in the 15-20 ton range.     

So far no pictures or video of Nudol are publicly available. The numerous websites that do claim to have them are wrong. The confusion stems from the fact that Nudol (a dedicated ASAT system based at Plesetsk) continues to be mixed up with A-235, the next-generation anti-ballistic missile defense system for the Moscow region. 

In the same post last February I mentioned another report published after an inspection of OKB Novator (the lead developer of Nudol, but also of various ABM systems).

Quote
Incidentally, the inspection report for OKB Novator mentions something called “103T6/Novator”. This probably is a new anti-missile project of OKB Novator. The only other place where 103T6 appears is the 2020 annual report of PAO Radiofizika, which probably develops radar systems in support of this project. Possibly, this is supposed to become the medium-range component of the upgraded A-235 ABM system to defend the Moscow region against missile attacks.

What likely will become the system’s short-range component, Novator’s 53T6M, has been undergoing test flights for about a decade. The long-range component is probably supposed to become the MIT Corporation’s Aerostat/106T6 missile (which possibly has an added ASAT capability).

103T6/Novator showed up again in procurement documentation last month:
http://zakupki.gov.ru/223/purchase/public/purchase/info/common-info.html?regNumber=32211388520
(the link does not work outside Russia)

The documents contain information on a contract awarded under the project by NPO Iskra in Perm, which builds solid-fuel rocket motors, including the two stages of Nudol's 14042 rocket (as a subcontractor to OKB Novator). The only valuable thing that can be learned from the documents is that the 103T6 project officially started on December 1, 2021 with a contract awarded by the Ministry of Defense to the Almaz-Antei Concern. It is clear that OKB Novator (part of Almaz-Antei) is in charge of the development, with NPO Iskra again acting as a subcontractor. The index 103T6 strongly suggests that this missile will become an element of A-235 (possibly its medium-range component). It is not impossible that this is something derived from Nudol's 14A042, but adapted for an ABM role.

Online FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #123 on: 07/21/2022 04:59 pm »
https://twitter.com/jeff_foust/status/1550161115979579395

Quote
ASAP’s Mark Sirangelo says the ISS received 681 conjunction notifications through June 1 of this year; 505 linked to Russian ASAT test. Number of conjunctions has increased “by multiples” in recent years.

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #124 on: 07/28/2022 10:50 am »
#SpaceDebris update from Russia's 15 Nov 2021 DA-ASAT test. As of 25 July 2022, 1774 objects have been cataloged w 1086 having already decayed. 419 objects pose a potential risk to human space flight (i.e., geometric intersection possible) and 37 of the fragments are "lost".

https://twitter.com/shell_jim/status/1551743824862388225

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #125 on: 08/07/2022 03:43 pm »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS
August 07, 2022
1784 objects cataloged
1118 decayed
510 due to decay within 1000 days
Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1556287646103703556

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #126 on: 08/10/2022 02:43 am »
Starlink satellites encounter Russian ASAT debris squalls.

by Jeff Foust — August 9, 2022.

LOGAN, Utah — Debris from a Russian antisatellite weapon demonstration that caused “squalls” of close approaches to satellites earlier this year is now affecting a new series of Starlink satellites.

During a presentation at a Secure World Foundation event during the Small Satellite Conference here Aug. 8, Dan Oltrogge, director of integrated operations at COMSPOC, said his company found a “conjunction squall” affecting Starlink satellites Aug. 6, with a spike in the number of close approaches of debris from the former Cosmos 1408 satellite.

That debris, created when a Russian direct-ascent ASAT destroyed Cosmos 1408 in a November 2021 test, is in an orbit that lines up with satellites in sun-synchronous orbit. COMSPOC found earlier this year that this created surges of close approaches, or conjunctions, as the satellites run head-on into the debris.

In the Aug. 6 event, Oltrogge said there were more than 6,000 close approaches, defined as being within 10 kilometers, involving 841 Starlink satellites, about 30% of the constellation. It’s unclear how many, if any, of the satellites had to maneuver to avoid collisions.

This conjunction squall was exacerbated by a new group of Starlink satellites. SpaceX launched the first set of “Group 3” Starlink satellites July 10 from Vandenberg Space Force Base into polar orbit, followed by a second set July 22. A third batch of Group 3 satellites is scheduled to launch Aug. 12.

Those satellites are in similar orbits to the remote sensing satellites in sun-synchronous orbit whose orbits lined up earlier this year with the ASAT debris, causing conjunction squalls. “It’s the very orbit that’s put at risk by the ASAT,” Oltrogge said.

SpaceX has long emphasized the ability of its Starlink satellites to autonomously maneuver to avoid conjunctions. The company said that, between December 2021 and May 2022, Starlink satellites performed nearly 7,000 collision avoidance maneuvers, of which 1,700 were linked to Russian ASAT debris.

While SpaceX may be able to manage those conjunctions with its technology, it may be more difficult for other operators of satellite constellations. “If you didn’t have that automated system taking care of a spike like this, it could be really challenging to work it though,” he said.

Those conjunction squalls will subside over time as the debris decays. However, Oltrogge said that may only shift the risk to other orbits, notably the International Space Station. “It’s going to put ISS and others at risk.”

https://spacenews.com/starlink-satellites-encounter-russian-asat-debris-squalls/

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #127 on: 08/14/2022 01:16 pm »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS
August 14, 2022
1784 objects cataloged
1132 decayed
652 still in orbit
539 due to decay within 1000 days
Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1558775886857609219

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Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #130 on: 08/31/2022 12:26 pm »
Allegedly this a PL-19 / NUDOL ASAT test launch:

This is not Nudol. The desert-like terrain seen in the video suggests this is an anti-missile test launch from Kapustin Yar or Sary Shagan. It's definitely not Plesetsk, which is the home base of Nudol. Many websites confuse Nudol with the A-235 anti-ballistic missile system to be installed around Moscow and incorrectly link test flights under A-235 to Nudol. This also seems to have happened here. We do know what Nudol looks like (see Reply 122), but so far the Russians have released no video of it.

Offline Star One

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #131 on: 08/31/2022 01:59 pm »
Allegedly this a PL-19 / NUDOL ASAT test launch:

This is not Nudol. The desert-like terrain seen in the video suggests this is an anti-missile test launch from Kapustin Yar or Sary Shagan. It's definitely not Plesetsk, which is the home base of Nudol. Many websites confuse Nudol with the A-235 anti-ballistic missile system to be installed around Moscow and incorrectly link test flights under A-235 to Nudol. This also seems to have happened here. We do know what Nudol looks like (see Reply 122), but so far the Russians have released no video of it.
Thank you for the clarification.

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #132 on: 09/01/2022 09:45 am »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS
September 01, 2022
1785 objects cataloged
1173 decayed
612 still in orbit
500 due to decay within 1000 days
Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1565266468438171648

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #133 on: 09/10/2022 01:05 am »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS
September 09, 2022
1785 objects cataloged
1190 decayed
595 still in orbit
541 due to decay within 1000 days
Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1568207120666923010

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #134 on: 09/16/2022 11:14 am »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS
September 16, 2022
1785 objects cataloged
1200 decayed
585 still in orbit
547 due to decay within 1000 days
Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1570728337261367299

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #135 on: 09/24/2022 11:42 am »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS
September 24, 2022
1785 objects cataloged
1215 decayed
570 still in orbit
522 due to decay within 1000 days
Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1573633417606037504

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #136 on: 10/03/2022 10:45 am »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS
October 03, 2022
1788 objects cataloged
1240 decayed
548 still in orbit
523 due to decay within 1000 days
Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1576847643430424576

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #137 on: 10/10/2022 02:47 pm »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS
October 10, 2022
1788 objects cataloged
1267 decayed
521 still in orbit
503 due to decay within 1000 days
Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1579467246103322625

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #138 on: 10/13/2022 11:10 am »
Borisov announced the Russian space debris tracking station in South Africa.

Borisov: a Russian ground station for tracking space debris will soon be opened in South Africa.

02:27 13.10.2022

BAIKONUR COSMODROME, Oct 13 - RIA Novosti. A Russian ground-based space debris tracking station in South Africa will be opened in the near future, Roscosmos CEO Yuri Borisov told reporters on Thursday.

"The space debris monitoring station is located on the territory of the satellite applications center of the South African National Space Agency. Commissioning work has been completed in general, trial observation sessions have been conducted. We will cut the ribbon in the near future," Borisov said.

Earlier, Roscosmos reported that the Precision Instrumentation Systems Research and Production Corporation (part of the state corporation) and the South African National Space Agency (SANSA) signed a contract to deploy a Russian space debris detection complex in South Africa at altitudes from 120 to 40 thousand kilometers. It was assumed that the station would be able to determine their angular coordinates and identify them with objects in the database.

The complex in South Africa should become the second of four specialized optoelectronic complexes being created for the Russian automated system for warning about dangerous situations in near-Earth outer space. The first one is installed in Brazil.

Prior to that, in South Africa, Russia had installed a Sazhen-TM no-question measuring system from the same manufacturer.

In November 2020, Yury Roy , CEO of the Precision Instrumentation Systems Research and Production Corporation, told RIA Novosti that South Africa was under pressure to prevent the installation of the Russian station, but the country did not succumb to the pressure. Initially, the space debris detection station was supposed to be installed back in 2019.

https://ria.ru/20221013/roskosmos-1823560621.html


Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #139 on: 10/23/2022 07:27 pm »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS
October 23, 2022
1788 objects cataloged
1297 decayed
491 still in orbit
455 due to decay within 1000 days
Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1584173185993674752

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #140 on: 10/25/2022 12:04 pm »
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1584876370555031553

Quote
The International Space Station had to burn thrusters for more than 5 minutes on Monday night to avoid a chunk of debris from the satellite Russia shot down in November.

https://blogs.nasa.gov/spacestation/2022/10/24/space-station-maneuvers-to-avoid-orbital-debris/

Quote
Space Station Maneuvers to Avoid Orbital Debris

This evening, the International Space Station’s Progress 81 thrusters fired for 5 minutes, 5 seconds in a Pre-Determined Debris Avoidance Maneuver (PDAM) to provide the complex an extra measure of distance away from the predicted track of a fragment of Russian Cosmos 1408 debris.

The thruster firing occurred at 8:25 p.m. EDT and the maneuver had no impact on station operations. Without the maneuver, it was predicted that the fragment could have passed within about three miles from the station.

The PDAM increased the station’s altitude by 2/10 of a mile at apogee and 8/10 of a mile at perigee and left the station in an orbit of 264.3 x 255.4 statute miles.

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #141 on: 10/25/2022 04:56 pm »
twitter.com/planet4589/status/1584949564443922438

Quote
Another ISS collision avoidance burn; the debris culprit this time is probably object 51561  (1982-092BMN), a piece of Kosmos-1408 debris

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1584950525081964544

Quote
51561 is in an elliptical 408 x 603 km orbit, and its perigee recently crossed the ISS orbital height range

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #142 on: 10/30/2022 03:33 pm »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS

October 30, 2022

1788 objects cataloged
1317 decayed
471 still in orbit
445 due to decay within 1000 days

Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1586686184255791104

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #143 on: 11/10/2022 08:12 pm »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS:

November 10, 2022

1788 objects cataloged
1344 decayed
444 still in orbit
426 due to decay within 1000 days

Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1590704909438943232
« Last Edit: 11/10/2022 08:12 pm by Rondaz »

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #144 on: 11/16/2022 11:17 am »
1/ Today is the 1-year anniversary of the COSMOS 1408 satellite destruction via ASAT missile impact from Russia. Three days after,
@LeoLabs_Space published a blog post with our initial assessment of the event and its ramifications on space safety:

https://twitter.com/MattShouppe/status/1592555720863813632

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #145 on: 11/23/2022 01:48 pm »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS

November 23, 2022

1788 objects cataloged
1363 decayed
425 still in orbit
381 due to decay within 1000 days

Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1595398319475507206

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #146 on: 11/30/2022 07:32 am »
Russia has developed a new technology for cleaning up space debris.

Samara scientists have developed a technology for efficient and safe removal of debris from orbit.

10:30 30.11.2022

SAMARA, November 30 - RIA Novosti. Samara University scientists have developed a technology to carry out a mission to efficiently and safely remove debris from orbit using a space cleaner, the press service of the university reports .

"Scientists from Samara University named after Korolev have developed a technology to carry out a mission to efficiently and safely remove space debris from orbit," the message says.

According to the press service, the technology is an improved technique for cleaning the orbit using a plasma torch - an ion stream created by the electric engine of the space cleaner. With this method of cleaning, the plasma "broom" of the space "janitor" sweeps space debris with a stream of ions in the right direction, sending it into the Earth's atmosphere for subsequent combustion in dense layers or moving it to a special disposal orbit - an orbital garbage landfill, the university specified.

The technology is described in the book "Space Dynamics and Control of Space Debris during Ion Flow Transport", published in November by Elsevier, one of the four largest scientific publishing houses in the world. The authors of the monograph are Professor, Head of the Department of Theoretical Mechanics of Samara University Vladimir Aslanov and Associate Professor of the Department of Theoretical Mechanics of the Institute of Rocket and Space Technology of the University Alexander Ledkov.

"Cleaning up old non-functioning satellites or spent rocket stages that remained in orbit after the payload was withdrawn is a multifaceted and complex scientific and technical task. To solve it, many schemes and methods have already been proposed in the world, including using ion flows, but missions to clean up space debris have not yet been carried out.Our monograph presents in detail the method of non-contact cleaning of debris in orbit using an automatic space cleaner equipped with ion engines, such engines are widely used in modern astronautics. distance of about ten meters, will send an ion jet of the engine, the so-called plasma torch, to it. Colliding with the surface of space debris,the particles of the ion jet generate a force that will be used to move the debris in the right direction," Ledkov was quoted as saying by the press service.

As the scientist noted, most of the methods developed in the world for cleaning up space debris involve direct contact - docking or capturing a transported object with a harpoon, net, cable or robotic arm. However, all these methods are quite complicated and dangerous, they can lead to an emergency collision and the appearance of a large amount of small space debris. The non-contact method is safer: the cleaning device does not come into direct mechanical contact with debris, which reduces the likelihood of their collision. In addition, in this way it is possible to transport rapidly rotating objects that are very difficult to capture with a robotic arm or a space network.​ ​ ​ ​

https://ria.ru/20221130/kosmos-1835194775.html

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #147 on: 11/30/2022 08:33 am »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS

November 30, 2022

1788 objects cataloged
1380 decayed
408 still in orbit
379 due to decay within 1000 days

Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1597882213449596928

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #148 on: 12/06/2022 09:59 pm »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS

December 06, 2022

1788 objects cataloged
1390 decayed
398 still in orbit
375 due to decay within 1000 days

Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1600130073620684802

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #149 on: 12/12/2022 09:47 am »
Russian satellites’ near-misses with space debris rise almost twofold — tech firm.

It is reported that the growth of the amount of debris in outer space leads to a larger number of dangerous situations with space vehicles.

12 DEC, 02:18

MOSCOW, December 12. /TASS/. Dangerous near-misses of Russian satellites and the International Space Station (ISS) with space debris reached about 70,000 instances in 2022 compared to over 40,000 in the previous year, Adviser to the CEO of TsNIImash Maksim Penkov said in an interview with the Vestnik Glonass journal published on Monday.

"The number of launches of space vehicles has grown considerably nowadays and this, naturally, has led to an increase in the amount of man-made space objects, including space debris," he said.

"The growth of the amount of debris in outer space leads to a larger number of dangerous situations with space vehicles. Over this year, about 70,000 dangerous near-misses of space vehicles of the Russian orbital cluster, including the International Space Station, with potentially dangerous man-made space objects have been registered. Throughout 2021, over 40,000 near-misses were registered," he said.

https://tass.com/science/1549255

Offline Rondaz

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Re: Russia tests Nudol ASAT system
« Reply #150 on: 12/13/2022 11:13 am »
COSMOS 1408 ASAT OBJECTS

December 13, 2022

1788 objects cataloged
1404 decayed
384 still in orbit
363 due to decay within 1000 days

Decay dates predicted with SATEVO

https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1602627107984928768

 

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