Countdown to new smallsat launchers

[PM3]

Smallsat launcher schedule / first (successful) orbital flight since thread opening:

2018-01  Electron      US/NZ   Rocket Lab
2019-07  Hyperbola-1   China   iSpace
2019-08  Jielong-1     China   Chinarocket (state-owned)

Planned or expected (NET)

2020-03  Rocket        US      Astra

2020-Q2  Kuaizhou-11   China   ExPace (state-owned)
2020-Q2  LauncherOne   US      Virgin
2020-Q2  SSLV          India   ISRO (state-owned)
2020-06  Ceres-1       China   Galactic Energy

2020-Q3  Simorgh       Iran    (state-owned)
2020-Q3  Firefly α     US/Ukr  Firefly

2020     OS-M1         China   OneSpace
2020     Blue Whale 1  Korea   Perigee
2020     RS1           US      ABL
2020     Jielong-2     China   Chinarocket (state-owned)
2020     Nebula-1      China   Deep Blue
2020?    Super Strypi  US      X-Bow

2021     Newline-1     China   LinkSpace -- reusable booster ♲
2021     (unnamed)     Japan   Space One
2021?    Hapith V      Taiwan  TiSpace

All the rest (realistically) 2022+, including Relativity/Terran 1.

Failed: Vector, Boeing XS-1

Updates
[2020-02-29: Astra slips from February to March]
[2020-03-04: LauncherOne => Q2; Terran 1 => 2022; added Space One]
[2020-03-13: Kuaizhou-11 (made in Wuhan) slips to Q2 after viral break]
[2020-03-13: Simorgh likely slips to Q3 for the same reason]

[high road]

I see Kuaizhou 1A is missing. Do you count it as an evolution of Kuaizhou 1 which launched before the opening of this thread?

[Asteroza]

Space One is still penciled in for 2021H2 shortly after their launchpad construction is completed...

[PM3]

I see Kuaizhou 1A is missing. Do you count it as an evolution of Kuaizhou 1 which launched before the opening of this thread?

yes

Space One is still penciled in for 2021H2 shortly after their launchpad construction is completed...

Space One was founded in late 2017. I am not aware of any company that made it to orbit in less than five years, so I would put their first launch rather in the 2022/2023 timeframe.

[Asteroza]

Space One is still penciled in for 2021H2 shortly after their launchpad construction is completed...

Space One was founded in late 2017. I am not aware of any company that made it to orbit in less than five years, so I would put their first launch rather in the 2022/2023 timeframe.

The actual development work was started several years before Space One was officially founded (and only because it is a convenient corporate structure to isolate Canon Electronics). The launchpad construction is on schedule, but whether the rocket will fly in 2021 as announced may be up for debate.

[PM3]

The actual development work was started several years before Space One was officially founded (and only because it is a convenient corporate structure to isolate Canon Electronics). The launchpad construction is on schedule, but whether the rocket will fly in 2021 as announced may be up for debate.

Okay, Space One has replaced Relativity in the list. All those dates are debatable; as long as they don't say "late 2021" and there is no obvious indication of delay, it fits to the other 2021 entries.

[FutureSpaceTourist]

Small launch startup Leo Aerospace suspends operations
by Jeff Foust — March 16, 2020

WASHINGTON — A startup developing a balloon-borne small launch vehicle has gone into “hibernation” after struggling to raise money, a fate that may be facing many other companies in the sector.

https://spacenews.com/small-launch-startup-leo-aerospace-suspends-operations/

[PM3]

Smallsat launcher schedule / first (successful) orbital flight since thread opening:

2018-01  Electron      US/NZ   Rocket Lab
2019-07  Hyperbola-1   China   iSpace
2019-08  Jielong-1     China   Chinarocket (state-owned)
2020-04  Qased         Iran    (military)

Planned or expected (NET)

2020-Q2  LauncherOne   US      Virgin
2020-06  Kuaizhou-11   China   ExPace (state-owned)
2020-06  Ceres-1       China   Galactic Energy
2020-06  Simorgh       Iran    (state-owned)

2020-Q3  Rocket        US      Astra
2020-Q3  Firefly α     US/Ukr  Firefly

2020     SSLV          India   ISRO (state-owned)
2020     OS-M1         China   OneSpace
2020     Blue Whale 1  Korea   Perigee
2020     RS1           US      ABL
2020     Jielong-2     China   Chinarocket (state-owned)
2020     Nebula-1      China   Deep Blue
2020?    Super Strypi  US      X-Bow

2021     Newline-1     China   LinkSpace -- reusable booster ♲
2021     (unnamed)     Japan   Space One
2021?    Hapith V      Taiwan  TiSpace

All the rest (realistically) 2022+, including Relativity/Terran 1.

Failed: Vector, Boeing XS-1

Updates
[2020-04-05: Astra Q2 => Q3, SSLV Q2 => ?]
[2020-04-22: added Qased]
[2020-05-19: Kuaizhou-11 Q2 => 06]

[Comga]

From SpaceNews corona virus page dated yesterday (30-March):

A Wuhan-based Chinese commercial launch service provider is preparing a next launch from Jiuquan launch center following the lifting of lockdown measures at the epicenter of the COVID-19 outbreak. The Expace Kuaizhou-1A rocket, Xingyun-2 (01, 02) narrowband IoT satellites and test teams have arrived at Jiuquan in the Gobi Desert for launch in mid to late April. Expace is situated in the Wuhan National Space Industry Base for commercial space activities. The firm is a spinoff from defense contractor CASIC and its subsidiary, China Sanjiang Space Group.

In this case, I wonder what "spinoff" means in this case.
Launching from Jiuquan should give them the same risk of dropping a booster on someone or something valuable, so they appear to have some governmental coverage, however "indemnification" works in China.

So Kuaizhou does seem to deserve to be at the top of the list, but SpaceNews calls it Kuaizhou-1A, not -11.

[high road]

I see Kuaizhou 1A is missing. Do you count it as an evolution of Kuaizhou 1 which launched before the opening of this thread?

yes

Kuaizhou 1A and 11 are not considered to be the same rocket in this list.

[Comga]

I see Kuaizhou 1A is missing. Do you count it as an evolution of Kuaizhou 1 which launched before the opening of this thread?

yes

Kuaizhou 1A and 11 are not considered to be the same rocket in this list.

I forgot about that “opening of this list” cutoff.
Kuaizhou-1A first flew in January of 2017 according to Wikipedia
I guess -1A is too early for the list and -11 is too late, if not too big.
This thread started in 2015, so is -1A excluded because it’s derived from Kuaizhou-1 which flew in 2013?

[russianhalo117]

Add Japan IST's new Zero launcher.

[Comga]

Shopper buys $6M rocket in China

Without attempting to translate any of the Chinese, it looks like a Kuaizhou
Can anyone verify and say if it’s a -1A or a -11?
Is $6M much of a bargain for a Kuaizhou-1A?

[Steven Pietrobon]

Here's what OCR and Bing translation give. Doesn't seem to say what the rocket is, but the picture shows a KZ-1A.

"Said

Today, 8 p.m., Room Live
Secretary. On sputum foil. In order to make it easier for the novicegui to pick up the anger to build their own rocket, we invited clear
   Let's explain it to everyone. Good advance wish everyone pushed to the favourite rocket about

Hui Sputum Heng happiness is true Remember 7
Before the spell is also true, remember the return of the beans two receive"

[Galactic Penguin SST]

Here's what OCR and Bing translation give. Doesn't seem to say what the rocket is, but the picture shows a KZ-1A.

"Said

Today, 8 p.m., Room Live
Secretary. On sputum foil. In order to make it easier for the novicegui to pick up the anger to build their own rocket, we invited clear
   Let's explain it to everyone. Good advance wish everyone pushed to the favourite rocket about

Hui Sputum Heng happiness is true Remember 7
Before the spell is also true, remember the return of the beans two receive"

According to what I have seen in Chinese forums this is indeed a KZ-1A contract, however that online auction part is just a promotional event - a formal launch contract was signed some time earlier. 

[ringsider]

Here's what OCR and Bing translation give. Doesn't seem to say what the rocket is, but the picture shows a KZ-1A.

"Said

Today, 8 p.m., Room Live
Secretary. On sputum foil. In order to make it easier for the novicegui to pick up the anger to build their own rocket, we invited clear
   Let's explain it to everyone. Good advance wish everyone pushed to the favourite rocket about

Hui Sputum Heng happiness is true Remember 7
Before the spell is also true, remember the return of the beans two receive"

Did anybody read this? It's Hall of Fame level translation.

[john smith 19]

Here's what OCR and Bing translation give. Doesn't seem to say what the rocket is, but the picture shows a KZ-1A.

"Said

Today, 8 p.m., Room Live
Secretary. On sputum foil. In order to make it easier for the novicegui to pick up the anger to build their own rocket, we invited clear
   Let's explain it to everyone. Good advance wish everyone pushed to the favourite rocket about

Hui Sputum Heng happiness is true Remember 7
Before the spell is also true, remember the return of the beans two receive"

Did anybody read this? It's Hall of Fame level translation.

Machine learning. It's brilliant.

Not by this example it isn't. 

[PM3]

And the first successfull smallsat maiden launcher of this decade is ... Qased of Iran, operated by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard.

https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=50687.msg2071630#msg2071630

[john smith 19]

And the first successfull smallsat maiden launcher of this decade is ... Qased of Iran, operated by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard.

https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=50687.msg2071630#msg2071630

Hmm.

I'd love to watch someone license this for commercial use. 

Explaining to the State Dept "Yes I understand there are ITAR issues around technology transfer to Iran but we're buying  it from then, not the other way round" promises months of innocent entertainment.

Joking aside that is more than a number of LV startups have achieved, despite having burned through a fair bit of their backers capital.

The vision of one of their boosters being recovered by a crew on an inflatable also gives me a few quiet chuckles.  . Launchers designed with a fanatical attention to detail.

[FutureSpaceTourist]

twitter.com/spacenews_inc/status/1256682381861359619

SMC says a new study “confirms the heavy lift launch market is unlikely to support more than two U.S. launch providers in the long term, and highlights the short term schedule risks of transitioning to new providers.” bit.ly/35mCjJv

https://twitter.com/peter_j_beck/status/1256694797571506176

This assumption is probably also true for Small launch.