Speculation: A possible problem with using F9: SpaceX any not have any spare F9 flights this year. Elon told us he was counting on Starship to launch a bunch of Starlinks, but Starship seems to be slipping. If SpaceX really needs those Starlinks as badly as Elon stated, All the F9s may be booked for 2022.How many F9 launches are possible in 2022? They are probably limited by the turnaround time of the barges, even in the likely event that Hawthorne can produce enough boosters and second stages. Furthermore, Oneweb uses polar orbits, which I think usually launch from Vandenberg.
Quote from: DanClemmensen on 03/03/2022 07:00 pmSpeculation: A possible problem with using F9: SpaceX any not have any spare F9 flights this year. Elon told us he was counting on Starship to launch a bunch of Starlinks, but Starship seems to be slipping. If SpaceX really needs those Starlinks as badly as Elon stated, All the F9s may be booked for 2022.How many F9 launches are possible in 2022? They are probably limited by the turnaround time of the barges, even in the likely event that Hawthorne can produce enough boosters and second stages. Furthermore, Oneweb uses polar orbits, which I think usually launch from Vandenberg.SpaceX has no incentive and certainly no obligation to fit any proposed OneWeb launches into this year’s schedule. All they have to do is agree to launch OneWeb sats at a reasonable market price, at a time when their current customer commitments have been fulfilled.So somewhere in 2023 for a first launch, with the remaining launches probably stretching into 2024, seems quite reasonable.OneWeb is then free to take it or leave it, and SpaceX cannot be accused of anti-competitive behaviour.
It may just turn out that a consequence of the invasion into Ukraine is that SpaceX orders another barge...
Quote from: M.E.T. on 03/03/2022 10:17 pmQuote from: DanClemmensen on 03/03/2022 07:00 pmSpeculation: A possible problem with using F9: SpaceX any not have any spare F9 flights this year. Elon told us he was counting on Starship to launch a bunch of Starlinks, but Starship seems to be slipping. If SpaceX really needs those Starlinks as badly as Elon stated, All the F9s may be booked for 2022.How many F9 launches are possible in 2022? They are probably limited by the turnaround time of the barges, even in the likely event that Hawthorne can produce enough boosters and second stages. Furthermore, Oneweb uses polar orbits, which I think usually launch from Vandenberg.SpaceX has no incentive and certainly no obligation to fit any proposed OneWeb launches into this year’s schedule. All they have to do is agree to launch OneWeb sats at a reasonable market price, at a time when their current customer commitments have been fulfilled.So somewhere in 2023 for a first launch, with the remaining launches probably stretching into 2024, seems quite reasonable.OneWeb is then free to take it or leave it, and SpaceX cannot be accused of anti-competitive behaviour.On the other hand, if they gave them a quick launch slot, that would send a powerful signal to other Starlink competitors that they can still launch on SpaceX and get good service.And also SpaceX has plenty of launch capacity with the rapid reusability. It's unlikely to be a big burden for them to launch one more quickly.
No, *IF* flying with SpaceX they would have to be dedicated flights due to the target orbit (1200km polar at 86.4 degrees) which is not SSO (~700km at 98 degrees) - like all Transporter missions so far.
“We’re looking at U.S., Japanese and Indian options,” Chris McLaughlin, OneWeb’s chief of government, regulatory affairs and engagement, said March 3.“But in the first instance, we’re pointing to Ariane and saying you still owe us a number of launches.”Arianespace spokeswoman Cyrielle Bouju did not respond to requests for comment.
Quote from: smoliarm on 03/03/2022 06:28 pmI have some questions about the batch of OneWeb sats which got stuck at Baikonur.In general, assuming the launch will not happen - what would be routine for returning them home?Do they have hydrazine propulsion for initial orbit raising?What they have to do with Xe tanks before transportation?good chance Russia will just steal them like they are the airliners they leased.
I have some questions about the batch of OneWeb sats which got stuck at Baikonur.In general, assuming the launch will not happen - what would be routine for returning them home?Do they have hydrazine propulsion for initial orbit raising?What they have to do with Xe tanks before transportation?