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Mmm, yes, for having "probed" that specific aspect of the pendulum system used at EagleWorks, their design is quite stiff : produces small deviation wrt forces. The forces are small and this relatively high stiffness (due to flexure bearings as pivots) doesn't help. Rambling again : the exact apparent stiffness (in µN/µm at end of arm) at EW is a poorly characterised aspect of the experiments, taking the calibration pulses as a reliable starting point gives between 9µN/µm to 40µN/µm across the various released charts, and all are in contradiction with both flexure bearings ratings and harmonic oscillation period (when visible, on underdamped plots). Appears the measures on the vertical scale of plots show much higher stiffness than it should be (too low displacement readings ?).
Anyway, there is no reason not to go with a much lower stiffness system, or no stiffness at all (no position restoring force) and record mm or cm displacements (linear or angular) as thrust accelerates the mass (as in Shawyer).
What measured force at NASA Eagleworks would be high enough to give confidence in the force, in your opinion?
Or there would still be a problem in your opinion with higher measured forces and higher measured displacements, as long as the stiffness remains in that range?
For example would a measured force of 200 µN and a measured displacement of 20 µm giving 10 µN/µm stiffness still lack confidence in your opinion ?
(200 µN is twice the minimum of NASA Glenn's threshold force 100 µN stipulated for measuring the EM Drive)
Concerning the stiffness specifically, my remark that a relatively high stiffness (like the one at EW) "doesn't help" was for measuring displacements in the context of DIY replication attempts. Less stiffness, i.e. more displacement for a given thrust, seems more easy to measure (but at the price of longer time constants).
This is all going a frantic pace... not sure my opinion will matter in a few month but as you can guess me and a lot of people sceptics of the results are waiting for a better characterised/uncharacterised ratio rather than necessarily reaching a given absolute thrust magnitude or displacement threshold. For instance, if experiments with huge particle colliders can reliably claim fundamental discoveries from signals that are sometimes deviations less than 1% of background is because the Standard Model background is so well understood and precisely characterised (by so many people) in the context of the beams and detectors. That and a
lot of data and exhaustively recorded and documented parameters to dig and slice into.
Obviously, having an experiment with a better SN ratio from the ground up is always better than recording at bad SN and then subtracting the noise or background effects, because in the latter case validity of discovery rests on the proper characterisation of such background.
Come to think of it, in the unlikely (ahem) event that there is no EM drive effect after all. Then where all those (false) positives would come from ? Necessarily from a methodology that might try to diminish backgrounds that clearly don't look like what is expected (
we are trying to reduce the drift thermal effect...) but that will keep the backgrounds that look like what is expected and confounding them with signal :
because removing the dielectrics slabs make thrust disappear we keep running with dielectric slabs. And those slabs are fixed with nylons screws that sometimes melt but that appear to do the job otherwise. In the hypothesis that there is no EM drive effect, experiments showing positives will always depend on strange recipes, dark corners, and overall lack of consistency and reliability. Like one shot performances that are too hard to reproduce and experiment with, or thrust that wont show same magnitude when turning test article 180°...
What I fear is that the new experiment at kW range at EW makes more thrust but no better characterised/uncharacterised ratio, that the inconsistencies or poorly characterised aspects of the experiments at 16W and 50W get forgotten or never quite elucidated, and the new experiment introduces new poorly characterised aspects, and so on.
So, what would count as a true positive IMO ? Absence of dark corners, either much better SN ratio (preferably) or much much better justified and recorded and tested background, stability against a range of parameters and phenomenological predictability wrt such parameters, no man in the feedback loop, 100s plots with more parameter studies (like the one on power), stationary or pulsed stationary operation long enough to reach new thermal equilibrium. This takes time, patience, rigoristic methodology, and enthusiasm to discover nothing if there is nothing. Not necessarily millions of $ or kW.