Thank for later part of previous answer. It does answer clearly to some aspects of my innocent questions, for the other aspects I'll have to learn German. Thank for editing the beginning. Unfortunately the tone is becoming a bit harsh so it becomes difficult to talk casually about just, you know, "what you think of ... patati patata", without resorting to lawyers. So I will stop asking casual questions.
...
1) Experiments (like reversing at will the direction of the thrust from the small base to the big base directions) that would nullify yet another mechanism (like the one you proposed) pretending to show the EM Drive experiment as an artifact, are very important in that they advance our state of knowledge about "EM Drive Developments - related to space flight applications."
Yes. The problem is that we have no experimental data (from Eagleworks) concerning such EM mode induced reversal.
On the other hand, discrepancies in sign between a blue plot and other plots, do not rise to the same level of significance.
If the discrepancies prevent to ascertain or leave ambiguity about the the experimental existence of reversal, then it becomes significant.
One explanation, for example, could be simply that one (or both) of the plots have the wrong sign. Such errors in presentation do not rise anywhere to the same level of significance.
The same blue plot is up for TE modes and down for TM modes. The sign
changes in function of mode in the theoretical prediction (never mind up and down, a
change of orientation is what is expected) and
don't change in function of mode in the experiments.
Absence of proof is not proof of absence : that's why I say it is not a death blow to the theoretical formula used to get this plot. The magnitude also, of 10µN/W up or 20µN/W down is much higher than those recorded. That is also not by itself a nullification of the formula. It could be that the theory behind the formula is ok but that the exciting frequency is not right on peak, or too spread, or not enough spread. Very well. But excuse me, at some point, one is to say the case for the formula is weakened. Not more, not less. If saying that, after spending quite a lot of time of reading and checking the publicly available data, is immaterial, then all what we say on this forum is immaterial, and we should then all shut up and wait the next peer reviewed publication of those research.
I'm a very reasonable person. I do approach the thrust anomaly with a sceptical eye, but I wouldn't be here in the first place if I hadn't a little excitation at the prospect that it might be worth a discovery (of new physics or new possibility inside known physics). Most sceptical people hearing about the anomaly will dismiss the case on short notice, and having forged an opinion that it must be an artefact just plain don't care.
Sceptics that do care like me
don't even require the EM thrust to exhibit reverse modes. It could be (in the hypothesis that there is indeed a thrust) that the still unknown principle of operation involved prevents any possibility of thrust toward the big end of the asymmetrical cavity (when it is a frustum). If the effect is checked on other scales, at other labs, is phenomenologically consistent and reproducible, all people that do care (sceptics and enthusiasts along) will be very pleased, even if there is no reverse mode. If it does show mode reversal, all the better, mechanistic artefact hypothesis (as unique source of signal) defenestrate right now. Other artefacts might hold. If it don't reverse, well then it don't reverse, and then neither EM thrust nor purely mechanistic explanations are ruled out, yet. Isn't it reasonable ?
Do you know how many plots and equations contain errata in Feynman's original QED and path integral publications?
No I don't. But I'm sure that it attracted a lot more competent and
sceptical peers and third parties to get involved than the experiments at Eagleworks so far.
Ultimately what matters is whether the EM Drive experiments show phenomena that can be used for spaceflight applications, and ultimately what will matter least is whether plots were mislabeled.
Showing a phenomena requires a minimum of care in the communication of the results. I find the communication from Eagleworks is reasonably clear and consistent most of the time, but unfortunately a bit scarce on some data, we would really like to see the "negligible thrusts" charts of tests without dielectric, as this could by itself be enough to "slaughter" the mechanistic thermal hypothesis. Also it would have been nice that the report gave the "detail" that the horizontal pendulum wasn't quite horizontal after all and that the tilt in axis played a role in stabilizing the equilibrium rest position. I doubt that without my attempts at clarifying the mechanical aspects of the experiment and my attention to "insignificant" problems of labels and scale we would have this little piece of extra info, with due thanks to Paul March for answering with clarity to my request on that (and taking time to check and take pictures, unfortunately hardly workable due to parallax). Before savagely assassinating the competing artefactual hypothesis shouldn't we be eager to learn all the gory details below the signal ?
Ultimately, if 10 years from now, the EM thrust is still in a state of indetermination, with people believing in real EM thrust in spite of inconsistencies of EM thrust signals in one camp, and people believing in artefactual explanations in spite of inconsistencies wrt some experimental results in the other camp, science (and spaceflight) is not the winner. The EM drive effect could float a long time in such a state of indetermination before it floats in space.
When finding a contradiction between plots, one should not rush to judgement to toll the bell that the experiment is an artifact: it may simply be an innocent error in labeling a plot.
So when finding a contradiction between a WIP classical explanation and some interpretation of ambiguous statements (or the reverse) about the results, one should jump to the throat of the classical explanation...
If I really wanted to pinpoint and quibble miserably on insignificant label contradiction, long time I would have raised the fact that the file name (in the picture, the Browse box of the display)
in one of the charts states 3 10^-3 Torr when the picture is commented 5 10^-6 Torr, and that in
another one (hot topic recently) we have "In-Air" vs 5 10^-4 Torr. As anyone who saw that apparent disparity, I just classified that in the "innocent error", probably that was the previous file recorded (before the new conditions).
That is insignificant and mean. Can do that. Significance of other discrepancies I raised and put emphasis on, you are not the only judge.
2) That there may be labeling questions is shown by:
2a) What NASA Eagleworks labels as mode TM212 I have shown should be labeled TM222
2b) The mode labeled as TM211 in the "Anomalous ..." report was reported to occur at 1.9326 GHz and 1.9367
GHz, with COMSOL FEA frequency calculated at 1.947 GHz. Yet now they report mode labeled TM212 to be tested and to occur at about the same frequency range.
I calculate that the mode labeled "TM212" (which I think should be labeled TM222) -which does not appear in http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=36313.0;attach=778912;image should occur at a significantly higher frequency than TM211, never at the same frequency ( "TM212" at 2.49 GHz without dielectric and "TM211" at 2.01 GHz without dielectric). These modes were analyzed and labeled (I understand) by different engineers. It is possible that they may be one and the same mode that has been mislabeled.
Yes, all right, sounds possible. So ? There is no clear experimental data showing thrust toward big end, thermal is not dead, EM thrust is not dead, blue plot is not dead but weakened (not all mode tested but no reversal so far TE vs TM as seen in the plot)
3)All the emphasis you place on the signs on the blue NASA Eagleworks plot and the other plots (which could be just an error in labeling the plots), yet you ignore the fact that Roger Shawyer published experimental information showing his EM Drive Demonstrator Engine showed practically the same magnitude thrust was experimentally observed to be reversed: Shawyer reports forces in opposite directions (towards the big end and towards the small end of practically the same magnitude: 214 mN/kW and 243 mN/kW) for his Demonstrator engine.
The data being ignored (showing forces in opposite directions, towards the big end and towards the small end of practically the same magnitude), what should I say
, oh yes, defenestrates, mechanical explanations for the EM Drive measurements being a mechanical artifact.
Excuse me but when I see how Shawyer treats the sign conventions with his "special Newtons" that do accelerate (but the other way) and don't know how to push on a spring, I wouldn't care defenestrating any attempt at explaining that classically. Why do we spend so much time here on Eagleworks results that are 2 orders of magnitude below the µN/W yields of Shawyer ? That was your own interrogation (long ago, thread 1). Maybe because the work at Eagleworks is much more transparent, is in vacuum, is rather clearly communicated, gives a better impression of reliability overall ?
I won't trash a mechanical explanation specific to Eagleworks' balance in vacuum just to be consistent with Shawyer's partially known apparatus and inconsistent sign conventions in results reporting. Hell, at 200µN/W how Shawyer hasn't succeeded in convincing the 3 or 4 hard headed sceptics needed to get a chain reaction of replications all over the world ? Wake up, it's reality we are talking about. Those things have been around for years and years, and always failed to get ... momentum.
Also if I can't put emphasis on what IMO I find weak in the publicly available data, then end of discussion. I don't deter you from putting emphasis on whatever you see fit. If some of my emphasis points seem insignificant to you, don't answer them.
Best