...
That's what I have in mind when I say that inward buckling to the left will appear as a kick to the right for the system :
....
From 3 to 4 : the consequence of an "inward oil canning" alone is a kick to the right initially. Do I have to write down equations ? For me this is more a matter of proper forces orientation conventions than anything else. I hope this is clear enough as to why I said that buckling would kick opposite to the observed thrust. So, what's wrong with this way of seeing orientations ?
Get rid of the pendulum and everything else for the time being, as it further muddles the picture. Just consider the flat plate and a rigid ring around it and ask yourself in which direction you have to push the plate's center for the plate's center to move towards the left. Of course that one has to have a force moving to the left.
To make the plate start to move to the left, I have to push the plate to the left. Certainly.
Now, on what
else am I pushing when I push on the plate ? Either there is nothing else, in this case I am only "pushing on my inertia" i.e. recoil to the right. Or I am also pushing with my feet on a wall of the spacecraft and in this case me+spacecraft recoils to the right (a bit less, but still).
All those words and images above are associated with a discussion of a reaction from the pendulum.
You could use all those words to also talk about a reaction from the pendulum concerning EM Drive's thrust, and get into a similar mambo jambo as Shawyer's discussion of thrust in EM Drives.
No, I am very clear and very standard as for the conventions of usual solid mechanics. When an object A and an object B exchange a force, the force A on B is noted Fab. The observable acceleration of object B (assuming no other forces) will be in the same direction as Fab, this leaves no mambo jambo to speak of. Is it a test ?
Now Newton's third law still states that for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction.We have a clear unambiguous way to tell the orientations conventions from mambo jambo (observable acceleration) and we have Fab = -Fba (vectors).
If the pendulums restoring spring creates confusion, the very same arguments as for the direction of the start of the apparent displacement of rim of a free floating frustum are valid, see attached picture with pendulum's spring removed.
Note how a displacement of green mass (representing the plate) to the left implies at least initially an acceleration to the left. Being only linked to the rim, this acceleration of the plate must be due to a force F_rim_on_plate oriented to the left, and by Newton's third law there is a force F_plate_on_rim that is oriented to the right, and by definition (of the above mentioned usual convention) the rim and rest of frustum (assumed solid) accelerates to the right. Hope some passer-bys will enjoy.
First you have to address in which direction is the movement of the buckled shape (it is towards the left), and when it moves towards the left , in which direction it is pulling the supports (towards the left). The buckled material cannot move towards the left without pulling on the supports towards the left: it is all connected.
Yes the movement is toward the left, and when it move toward the left it is
not pulling the support, because if it would be pulling the support when departing (to the left) of its initial rest position then it would not be departing from its rest position in the first place ! That would be the case if the springs where in tension, and a coplanar plate were a stable situation (like for a drum). Only because the rise in temperature increases the rest length of the springs the springs will be compressed, and the situation becomes unstable as the spring want to push.
Now all right, this is only a toy model, the real situation is much more complex because plate's weight is distributed on the whole surface, because plate is very stiff in compression and more supple in flexure so that for instance when a static equilibrium is reached (when there is no more buckling
movement) there are still radial forces (but no longer axial ones, that we agree) while in my toy model the complete absence of flexure stiffness leaves no radial forces when the static equilibrium is reached. + copper/epoxy left/right asymmetry of the sheet... damping...
But even if considering a quasi-static evolution in the real situation, where the rise of temperature is slow enough for the plate to always be near static equilibrium, near equilibrium is not exactly equilibrium. That's the whole point : however small is the deviation from perfect static equilibrium, this is this deviation that makes
inertial things move in the first place. And whenever a part of mass m of a free floating system moves to the left a distance x, the rest of the system of mass M recoils to the right a distance X=x*m/M (where x and X are measured relative to initial inertial rest frame of the free floating system before the part started to move).
What you are discussing instead is what is the effect of the buckling force pulling the supports to the left, on the pendulum. That is an entirely different question. You can ask yourself exactly the same question regarding what is the effect of the EM Drive moving towards the left, with a force pulling towards the left, on the pendulum.
? What I was discussing is the effect of the buckling recoil (momentum...) pushing the supports to the
right, transiently. Main point. Then the plate would slow down, giving an equal amount of momentum in the opposite direction (to the left) and neutralise the speed acquired by the initial kick. That's for a free floating device.
After you have accepted that fact, you can talk about the reaction, which involves elastic deformation, and it is also present for the EM Drive thrust.
And, it is unclear why you think that this is so relevant, because the flat plate can theoretically buckle towards the left or towards the right (if there would be no plastic insulation on the outside and if the copper would be very thin) depending on initial imperfections. An even if you think that when the buckled plate moves towards the left it gives a force towards the right (which is a misscommunication based on the fact that you are focusing on the pendulum's reaction rather than the buckling force itself, but for argument sake's) then even per your admission then if the plate buckles towards the right according to you would produce a force towards the left.
I do think that for the buckled plate to move (have a speed) toward the left it has to accelerate to the left, and that when the buckled plate
accelerates towards the left it gives to the frustum (and attached mass) an apparent force towards the right (the frustum accelerates to the right,
regardless of later dynamics due to it being attached to position restoring torque, ie a pendulum, so please forget pendulum if you want, my argument still holds).
This is so relevant at least because we are discussing here a potentially groundbreaking device that has an enigmatic relation to momentum conservation : the least we can do is to put such mundane engineering matter straight, on a forum read by people who breath (conventional) action/reaction... and contributions are useful if they stand correct (or can be read correctly if it is case of miscommunication).
If the buckling effect adds an initial downward step to the other effects, this is good to know, no ? An other interesting effect would look differently (ie. more square) when this negative term would be subtracted...
It seems to me that if you wanted to argue about this for intellectual reasons, a much safer ground would be to say that the buckling force is self-balanced and that it produces no forces on the center of mass, either to the left or to the right (for the aforementioned reasons in my above post).
By self-balanced you mean quasi-static, always near equilibrium ?
Anyway, if you prefer (and yes, this is probably more elegant) :
Self repeat : whenever a part of mass m of a free floating system moves to the left a distance x, the rest of the system of mass M recoils to the right a distance X=x*m/M (where x and X are measured relative to initial inertial rest frame of the free floating system before the part started to move).
Because : the centre of mass of the whole system m+M can't depart from its initial inertial trajectory.
EDIT: And having said that, the thermal expansion explanation by Oak Ridge does not make any sense in this case for the HD PE (to think that an unrestrained, homogeneous, isotropic, free to expand material, will produce a force when expanding. Thermal expansion changes the VOLUME of a material. The mass stays the same. If free to expand, then the density of the HD PE will change (larger volume, same mass = lower density). Thermal expansion produces forces only when there is a thermal gradient through the material or the material is anisotropic, or the most general case: when the material is constrained so that it cannot expand !!!!! )

When thermal expansion displaces a part of a system relative to the rest of a system, the rest of the system will recoil. Whatever displaces a part of a system relative to the rest of the system, this displacement implies a force F_system_part. The rest of the system will recoil. Recoil is the acceleration due to the opposite force (F_part_system). An unrestrained, homogeneous, isotropic,
free to expand but in one direction material, will produce a force when expanding against the wall against which it rests.
Why is it so hard to reach consensus now ?