....
Later on thread 2 (related to spaceflight) while explaining why the buckling analysed by Rodal ... would make a ... thrust in opposite direction to the one observed by the pendulum, ...
That's incorrect.
Maybe, but it appears Paul March
in this post says that it is opposite, and I don't see that this disagreement was acknowledged or settled. I understand his argument, not yours (on this particular point).
The buckling analysis (thermal instability) gives a force precisely in the same direction as measured.
It was the thermal expansion explanation (advanced by Oak Ridge Labs in another context) that gives a force in the completely opposite direction.
Please refer back to the original image to see that the thermal expansion force (of the dielectric, which is what thermally expands the most, as per Oak Ridge) is the one in the wrong direction.
The buckling on the end plate is in the opposite direction to the thermal expansion of the dielectric.
Buckling movement of the large diameter end is towards the left, and the buckling force is towards the left. (Paul indicates it as "oil canning" of the flat plate).
If we leave aside thermal expansion of the dielectric at small end (admittedly I forgot to take that one into account in my post...) the point made by March is that a movement to the left will first appear as a thrust to the
right (action/reaction).
Now Newton's third law still states that for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction. So when the copper frustum's large OD end-cap's prompt and inward oil canning action, followed by the slower frustum cone thermal expansions, they both push the copper frustum's Center of Mass (CoM) to the left as viewed from the front of the Eagleworks' vacuum chamber looking back at the test article and torque pendulum, while noting how the copper frustum is bolted on to the T.P.. These thermally induced actions to the left requires the torque pendulum's arm to move to the right to maintain the balance of the torque pendulum's arm in the lab's 1.0 gee gravity field, since we also use the Earth's g-field to help null the pendulum's movements.
The last part
" in the lab's 1.0 gee gravity field, since we also use the Earth's g-field to help null the pendulum's movements." remains obscure, are we to understand that the system is not adjusted to keep the balance arm's rotation axis as vertical as possible and that a small bias is introduced so that the heavier end of arm rests at a lower position than the lighter one (rotation not on horizontal plane but slightly inclined one) ?
Anyhow, if a centre of mass displacement induced thrust signature is to be understood as an action/reaction effect, the thrust would indeed be to the right, at least initially during a phase of acceleration of CoM to the left. Or are you considering that the buckling induces another apparent thrust than an action/reaction effect ?
Thermal expansion of the HD PE dielectric is towards the right.
Movement of the EM Drive is towards the left, exactly the same direction as the buckling movement, and the same as the buckling force.
That's paradoxical, why a displacement to the right of CoM of dielectric (relative to frustum cone) would induce a thrust signature in the same direction as a displacement to the left of CoM of end plate (relative to frustum cone) ?
The buckling force is analogous to somebody pushing (actually bending) the center of the end plate towards the left, which will deflect the plate inwards. If the structure (the EM Drive) is free to move, it will move to the left, as a consequence of the plate being pushed inwards towards the left.
That's I don't get. The forces that induce the inward deflection can't reciprocally push on anything fixed (vacuum chamber rest frame). The reciprocal push (first radial but then with an axial component as soon as buckling occurs) is on the rim of the cone, in the moving frame of pendulum's arm.
If someone stands on a bank and pushes to the left a heavy chain that hangs from the mast of a boat, the chain will be deflected to the left and the boat will move to the left. Yes. But if someone stands on the deck of the boat, and pushes the same chain to the left, the chain is deflected to the left and the boat will recoil to the right. And buckling a large "oil canning" plate would show same effects as a freely hanging chain : depending on whether one is pushing from the bank or from the boat.
The buckling force perfectly explains the initial impulse magnitude, time duration of the impulse, and direction of travel. The buckling force cannot explain the sustained 40 sec force, hence the buckling force explanation is rejected on the grounds that it cannot explain the 40 sec duration of the force.
The thermal expansion explanation is rejected, upon inspection, on several grounds that the thermal expansion movement (of the HD PE) is in the opposite direction as the movement of the EM Drive, rejected on the basis that the HD PE has a free surface, hence free to expand, and therefore there should be no force arising from an unrestrained isothermal homogeneous thermal expansion. Thermal stresses arise in restrained materials or those under a temperature gradient or those with anisotropic coefficients of thermal expansion. This follows from the equations of thermoelasticity. The equations presented in the Oak Ridge report do not abide by the equations of thermoelasticity (Boley and Wiener).

I have to think again about all that. You seem to make a difference whether thermal expansion is "restrained" or not on how to account for forces as seen from the outside, while it seems to me that, when all stresses and buckling have been taken into account
within the system to predict a given displacement (of one part relative to another), then "recoil force"
as seen from the outside depends only on those displacements of CoM (no memory if such displacement where due to constrained dynamics or not, the constraints forces "stay" inside the system). I understand March's statements as having the same difficulty to understand your take on that.