Because if they refurbish a Dragon and fly it again for CRS, that's one new Dragon they don't get to have NASA pay for.So while NASA is paying for new Dragons, build new Dragons. Every new one is an additional Dragon in the barn that they don't have to pay for themselves. It's pure economics - nothing more.
Quote from: clongton on 05/17/2014 11:27 amBecause if they refurbish a Dragon and fly it again for CRS, that's one new Dragon they don't get to have NASA pay for.So while NASA is paying for new Dragons, build new Dragons. Every new one is an additional Dragon in the barn that they don't have to pay for themselves. It's pure economics - nothing more.It's a fixed price contract, right? So a reused Dragon == spare cash for Raptor development or whatever.So it comes down to whether or not they want that many dragons in the barn. And/or how much it costs to refurbish one after salt water immersion.
All NASA said to Spacex was to bid the costs of new vehicles since refurb costs were unknown at the time. And since they did, NASA gets a new Dragon each mission.
Quote from: Lar on 05/17/2014 03:24 amQuote from: QuantumG on 05/17/2014 02:59 amQuote from: clongton on 05/17/2014 01:28 amIt is to SpaceX's advantage therefore to supply a new Dragon for each CRS mission and keep the already flown (and paid for) reusable spacecraft for their own developing in-house spaceflight program.It's also to their advantage to refurbish a Dragon and fly it again, if it costs less than a new Dragon. Assuming mission success, they get paid the same either way. So why haven't they? Surely, making a bigger profit on a signed contract makes a lot more sense than building up a supply for some unspecified future business. Maybe they're not so certain of mission success with a refurbished Dragon?I agree. And I'd expect it tried sometime before CRS-12. But maybe they want to build up the fleet a bit or the design hasn't stabilised yet? (why reuse one you know is wrong when a better one is in the wings). Or maybe they're just too busy right now and wil have time in a flight or 3... So ya, I think they will, just not next flight.A little bit of upgrades each flight as they learn more. They will want them quick turn around and at as little cost as possible. That should be after the first land-landing.They might reuse one for a Dragon Lab mission, less to risk and no risk for CRS/ISS.
Quote from: QuantumG on 05/17/2014 02:59 amQuote from: clongton on 05/17/2014 01:28 amIt is to SpaceX's advantage therefore to supply a new Dragon for each CRS mission and keep the already flown (and paid for) reusable spacecraft for their own developing in-house spaceflight program.It's also to their advantage to refurbish a Dragon and fly it again, if it costs less than a new Dragon. Assuming mission success, they get paid the same either way. So why haven't they? Surely, making a bigger profit on a signed contract makes a lot more sense than building up a supply for some unspecified future business. Maybe they're not so certain of mission success with a refurbished Dragon?I agree. And I'd expect it tried sometime before CRS-12. But maybe they want to build up the fleet a bit or the design hasn't stabilised yet? (why reuse one you know is wrong when a better one is in the wings). Or maybe they're just too busy right now and wil have time in a flight or 3... So ya, I think they will, just not next flight.
Quote from: clongton on 05/17/2014 01:28 amIt is to SpaceX's advantage therefore to supply a new Dragon for each CRS mission and keep the already flown (and paid for) reusable spacecraft for their own developing in-house spaceflight program.It's also to their advantage to refurbish a Dragon and fly it again, if it costs less than a new Dragon. Assuming mission success, they get paid the same either way. So why haven't they? Surely, making a bigger profit on a signed contract makes a lot more sense than building up a supply for some unspecified future business. Maybe they're not so certain of mission success with a refurbished Dragon?
It is to SpaceX's advantage therefore to supply a new Dragon for each CRS mission and keep the already flown (and paid for) reusable spacecraft for their own developing in-house spaceflight program.
@elonmusk Apr 29Sounds like this might be a good time to unveil the new Dragon Mk 2 spaceship that @SpaceX has been working on with @NASA. No trampoline needed@elonmuskCover drops on May 29. Actual flight design hardware of crew Dragon, not a mockup.
I suspect they'll not want to re-fly their current stock, unless maybe for some form of DragonLab.
Maybe SpaceX should start transporting cargo to the ISS using crew Dragons. That way they get to test fly the crew Dragons and end up with a more valuable/versatile Dragon when it is recovered, paid for by the current contract. Of course it would cost them money now based on the nature of the contract.
Quote from: aero on 05/17/2014 05:18 pmMaybe SpaceX should start transporting cargo to the ISS using crew Dragons. That way they get to test fly the crew Dragons and end up with a more valuable/versatile Dragon when it is recovered, paid for by the current contract. Of course it would cost them money now based on the nature of the contract.There will be no differences between cargo Dragon and crew Dragon except that crew accommodations are removed to make room for cargo accommodations. I expect there to be a single manufacturing line for Dragon, with 2 final destination stations; 1 for crew and 1 for cargo for appropriate outfitting, which would include the appropriate docking or birthing mechanism. They are and will be the same basic vehicle. SpaceX will not be building or flying 2 different spacecraft.
SpaceX is not going to build 2 different Dragons. That goes against the fundamental design concept of the vehicle. Musk has stated many times that there will be only 1 spacecraft, with appropriate mods for mission definition (cargo v.s. crew).
Quote from: clongton on 05/18/2014 12:32 pmSpaceX is not going to build 2 different Dragons. That goes against the fundamental design concept of the vehicle. Musk has stated many times that there will be only 1 spacecraft, with appropriate mods for mission definition (cargo v.s. crew).I'm glad you seem to know that with such "certainty". Because it goes against all evidence so far.When has he stated that "there will only be 1 spacecraft"?
I took clongton's statement just a bit diffferently. Not that there are not now, currently, two different models of Dragon. There clearly are: the crew Dragon currently flying on CRS-3 (which is a "Dragon v2" with upgraded power and avionics), and perhaps with others in the production pipeline (as we've seen) for future CRS flights); and the new SuperDraco-included Dragons that will be unveiled late this month, and will participate in the ground-abort test and launch-abort test in the coming months.