The current CRS contract with NASA requires new spacecraft for each delivery,
Quote from: Coastal Ron on 05/16/2014 11:01 pmThe current CRS contract with NASA requires new spacecraft for each delivery,Where does it say that?I think this forum has had this discussion about a dozen times.
The current CRS contract with NASA requires new spacecraft for each delivery, so the only customer for a used Dragon would be for DragonLab. As of today there are two DragonLab missions SpaceX shows on their manifest, with the earliest being the fourth payload listed in 2016.I would imagine they will use a more recently flown Dragon for the DragonLab missions since those will have all the latest hardware and software updates, but overall SpaceX will have 12 slightly-used (or "fully tested") cargo versions of Dragon available by the end of the current CRS contract.I would imagine that when SpaceX bids for the CRS-2 contract they might submit two bids, one with new-build Dragons, and one with reused ones. For a number of reasons, I hope NASA selects the reused ones.
The current CRS contract with NASA requires new spacecraft for each delivery, ...
...so the only customer for a used Dragon would be for DragonLab. As of today there are two DragonLab missions SpaceX shows on their manifest, with the earliest being the fourth payload listed in 2016.
I would imagine they will use a more recently flown Dragon for the DragonLab missions since those will have all the latest hardware and software updates, but overall SpaceX will have 12 slightly-used (or "fully tested") cargo versions of Dragon available by the end of the current CRS contract.I would imagine that when SpaceX bids for the CRS-2 contract they might submit two bids, one with new-build Dragons, and one with reused ones. For a number of reasons, I hope NASA selects the reused ones.
Quote from: QuantumG on 05/16/2014 11:07 pmQuote from: Coastal Ron on 05/16/2014 11:01 pmThe current CRS contract with NASA requires new spacecraft for each delivery,Where does it say that?I think this forum has had this discussion about a dozen times.I've certainly heard that started several times. Currently, for some reason, CRS Dragons have to be new. Not sure why.
All NASA said to Spacex was to bid the costs of new vehicles since refurb costs were unknown at the time. And since they did, NASA gets a new Dragon each mission.
The contract did not specify "only" a new Dragon could be flown, but SpaceX was instructed to price each spacecraft at the "new" price because the cost to refurbish and re-certify a flown Dragon was unknown.
The contract is public information right? I remember reading it. Pretty sure I got a copy from this forum.
It is to SpaceX's advantage therefore to supply a new Dragon for each CRS mission and keep the already flown (and paid for) reusable spacecraft for their own developing in-house spaceflight program.
Quote from: clongton on 05/17/2014 01:28 amIt is to SpaceX's advantage therefore to supply a new Dragon for each CRS mission and keep the already flown (and paid for) reusable spacecraft for their own developing in-house spaceflight program.It's also to their advantage to refurbish a Dragon and fly it again, if it costs less than a new Dragon. Assuming mission success, they get paid the same either way. So why haven't they? Surely, making a bigger profit on a signed contract makes a lot more sense than building up a supply for some unspecified future business. Maybe they're not so certain of mission success with a refurbished Dragon?
Quote from: QuantumG on 05/17/2014 02:59 amQuote from: clongton on 05/17/2014 01:28 amIt is to SpaceX's advantage therefore to supply a new Dragon for each CRS mission and keep the already flown (and paid for) reusable spacecraft for their own developing in-house spaceflight program.It's also to their advantage to refurbish a Dragon and fly it again, if it costs less than a new Dragon. Assuming mission success, they get paid the same either way. So why haven't they? Surely, making a bigger profit on a signed contract makes a lot more sense than building up a supply for some unspecified future business. Maybe they're not so certain of mission success with a refurbished Dragon?I agree. And I'd expect it tried sometime before CRS-12. But maybe they want to build up the fleet a bit or the design hasn't stabilised yet? (why reuse one you know is wrong when a better one is in the wings). Or maybe they're just too busy right now and wil have time in a flight or 3... So ya, I think they will, just not next flight.
Quote from: clongton on 05/17/2014 01:28 amIt is to SpaceX's advantage therefore to supply a new Dragon for each CRS mission and keep the already flown (and paid for) reusable spacecraft for their own developing in-house spaceflight program.It's also to their advantage to refurbish a Dragon and fly it again, if it costs less than a new Dragon. Assuming mission success, they get paid the same either way. So why haven't they?
Because if they refurbish a Dragon and fly it again for CRS, that's one new Dragon they don't get to have NASA pay for.So while NASA is paying for new Dragons, build new Dragons. Every new one is an additional Dragon in the barn that they don't have to pay for themselves. It's pure economics - nothing more.
Quote from: clongton on 05/17/2014 11:27 amBecause if they refurbish a Dragon and fly it again for CRS, that's one new Dragon they don't get to have NASA pay for.So while NASA is paying for new Dragons, build new Dragons. Every new one is an additional Dragon in the barn that they don't have to pay for themselves. It's pure economics - nothing more.It's a fixed price contract, right? So a reused Dragon == spare cash for Raptor development or whatever.So it comes down to whether or not they want that many dragons in the barn. And/or how much it costs to refurbish one after salt water immersion.
Quote from: Lar on 05/17/2014 03:24 amQuote from: QuantumG on 05/17/2014 02:59 amQuote from: clongton on 05/17/2014 01:28 amIt is to SpaceX's advantage therefore to supply a new Dragon for each CRS mission and keep the already flown (and paid for) reusable spacecraft for their own developing in-house spaceflight program.It's also to their advantage to refurbish a Dragon and fly it again, if it costs less than a new Dragon. Assuming mission success, they get paid the same either way. So why haven't they? Surely, making a bigger profit on a signed contract makes a lot more sense than building up a supply for some unspecified future business. Maybe they're not so certain of mission success with a refurbished Dragon?I agree. And I'd expect it tried sometime before CRS-12. But maybe they want to build up the fleet a bit or the design hasn't stabilised yet? (why reuse one you know is wrong when a better one is in the wings). Or maybe they're just too busy right now and wil have time in a flight or 3... So ya, I think they will, just not next flight.A little bit of upgrades each flight as they learn more. They will want them quick turn around and at as little cost as possible. That should be after the first land-landing.They might reuse one for a Dragon Lab mission, less to risk and no risk for CRS/ISS.
@elonmusk Apr 29Sounds like this might be a good time to unveil the new Dragon Mk 2 spaceship that @SpaceX has been working on with @NASA. No trampoline needed@elonmuskCover drops on May 29. Actual flight design hardware of crew Dragon, not a mockup.
I suspect they'll not want to re-fly their current stock, unless maybe for some form of DragonLab.
Maybe SpaceX should start transporting cargo to the ISS using crew Dragons. That way they get to test fly the crew Dragons and end up with a more valuable/versatile Dragon when it is recovered, paid for by the current contract. Of course it would cost them money now based on the nature of the contract.
Quote from: aero on 05/17/2014 05:18 pmMaybe SpaceX should start transporting cargo to the ISS using crew Dragons. That way they get to test fly the crew Dragons and end up with a more valuable/versatile Dragon when it is recovered, paid for by the current contract. Of course it would cost them money now based on the nature of the contract.There will be no differences between cargo Dragon and crew Dragon except that crew accommodations are removed to make room for cargo accommodations. I expect there to be a single manufacturing line for Dragon, with 2 final destination stations; 1 for crew and 1 for cargo for appropriate outfitting, which would include the appropriate docking or birthing mechanism. They are and will be the same basic vehicle. SpaceX will not be building or flying 2 different spacecraft.
SpaceX is not going to build 2 different Dragons. That goes against the fundamental design concept of the vehicle. Musk has stated many times that there will be only 1 spacecraft, with appropriate mods for mission definition (cargo v.s. crew).
Quote from: clongton on 05/18/2014 12:32 pmSpaceX is not going to build 2 different Dragons. That goes against the fundamental design concept of the vehicle. Musk has stated many times that there will be only 1 spacecraft, with appropriate mods for mission definition (cargo v.s. crew).I'm glad you seem to know that with such "certainty". Because it goes against all evidence so far.When has he stated that "there will only be 1 spacecraft"?
I took clongton's statement just a bit diffferently. Not that there are not now, currently, two different models of Dragon. There clearly are: the crew Dragon currently flying on CRS-3 (which is a "Dragon v2" with upgraded power and avionics), and perhaps with others in the production pipeline (as we've seen) for future CRS flights); and the new SuperDraco-included Dragons that will be unveiled late this month, and will participate in the ground-abort test and launch-abort test in the coming months.
Quote from: Llian Rhydderch on 05/18/2014 06:18 pmI took clongton's statement just a bit diffferently. Not that there are not now, currently, two different models of Dragon. There clearly are: the crew Dragon currently flying on CRS-3 (which is a "Dragon v2" with upgraded power and avionics), and perhaps with others in the production pipeline (as we've seen) for future CRS flights); and the new SuperDraco-included Dragons that will be unveiled late this month, and will participate in the ground-abort test and launch-abort test in the coming months.Dragon V2 is the docking and land-landing capable dragon initially intended for crew transport. CRS-3 dragon is upgraded but not a new main version. It have been called Dragon v1.5 on one occasion, but that seems a bit high a version number, since the only confirmed changes are improved power system that can provide much more power to payloads and more waterproof solutions for electronics boxes in the unpressurized but internal part of dragon. Perhaps the upgrades are much more extensive than what is confirmed -- It would probably be smart to "backport" much of the minor v1.x compatible changes intended for V2 back into v1.x cargo dragons to get them tested early, spread out the risks on more than one flight and avoid unnecessary parallel versions of subsystems.edit: typos etc.
Quote from: Lars_J on 05/18/2014 05:53 pmQuote from: clongton on 05/18/2014 12:32 pmSpaceX is not going to build 2 different Dragons. That goes against the fundamental design concept of the vehicle. Musk has stated many times that there will be only 1 spacecraft, with appropriate mods for mission definition (cargo v.s. crew).I'm glad you seem to know that with such "certainty". Because it goes against all evidence so far.When has he stated that "there will only be 1 spacecraft"?It has been stated that Cargo Dragon will eventually have propulsive landing.
Quote from: InfraNut2 on 05/18/2014 07:04 pmQuote from: Llian Rhydderch on 05/18/2014 06:18 pmI took clongton's statement just a bit diffferently. Not that there are not now, currently, two different models of Dragon. There clearly are: the crew Dragon currently flying on CRS-3 (which is a "Dragon v2" with upgraded power and avionics), and perhaps with others in the production pipeline (as we've seen) for future CRS flights); and the new SuperDraco-included Dragons that will be unveiled late this month, and will participate in the ground-abort test and launch-abort test in the coming months.Dragon V2 is the docking and land-landing capable dragon initially intended for crew transport. CRS-3 dragon is upgraded but not a new main version. It have been called Dragon v1.5 on one occasion, but that seems a bit high a version number, since the only confirmed changes are improved power system that can provide much more power to payloads and more waterproof solutions for electronics boxes in the unpressurized but internal part of dragon. Perhaps the upgrades are much more extensive than what is confirmed -- It would probably be smart to "backport" much of the minor v1.x compatible changes intended for V2 back into v1.x cargo dragons to get them tested early, spread out the risks on more than one flight and avoid unnecessary parallel versions of subsystems.edit: typos etc.The 1.5 Dragon would be a cargo Dragon that lands on land with parachutes.
Quote from: yg1968 on 05/18/2014 07:11 pmQuote from: Lars_J on 05/18/2014 05:53 pmQuote from: clongton on 05/18/2014 12:32 pmSpaceX is not going to build 2 different Dragons. That goes against the fundamental design concept of the vehicle. Musk has stated many times that there will be only 1 spacecraft, with appropriate mods for mission definition (cargo v.s. crew).I'm glad you seem to know that with such "certainty". Because it goes against all evidence so far.When has he stated that "there will only be 1 spacecraft"?It has been stated that Cargo Dragon will eventually have propulsive landing. That is correct. As Dragon 2 crew comes on line, the cargo Dragons will already be transitioning to the same base spacecraft. Like I said - there will eventually be a single base spacecraft which will take 2 different tracks at the end of assembly to become mission specific - either crew or cargo. All Dragons - crew and cargo - will default to propulsive landing. Sea-parachute landings will not be nominal for either spacecraft. They are the future backup recovery mode for both crew and cargo. I believe the transition has either already begun or will begin soon. It is paced to bring Dragon 2 crew on line first. Dragons 1/1.5 that are in the assembly pipeline will be completed to their original design specs but no new ones of that generation will be started once the transition is underway. At some point the first full Dragon 2 cargo spacecraft will start construction, and it will share the assembly process with its identical twin - Dragon 2 crew. For those that keep asking me for source, I will only say that I can't begin to count the number of times Elon has stated that there is/will be no difference in the base spacecraft between cargo and crew. He has repeatedly said that Crew Dragon IS Cargo dragon, modified at the end of assembly for crew. Dragon was designed from the beginning for crew. Cargo Dragon is Crew Dragon minus crew equipment. That is a fundamental design intent of Dragon.
Quote from: yg1968 on 05/18/2014 04:24 pmIt has been stated that Cargo Dragon will eventually have propulsive landing.If it has been stated, then you wouldn't mind posting a source, right? This forum can be a cesspool of speculation that after being repeated a few times turn into "facts". So source it, please.
It has been stated that Cargo Dragon will eventually have propulsive landing.
"When will the cargo version of Dragon begin making propulsive landings?" "So the current version of Dragon lands in water on parachute descent, we are looking at landing it on land under parachute. As for propulsive landing that is for our new version, we call it V2 for Dragon and that's the primary vehicle, that's the vehicle for crew, and we will retrofit that for cargo."
Chuck, what is the point of attempting to argue things with you when you ignore evidence that contradicts your assumption?
But for the record, here is possibly the most well-known source: a quote from Shotwell transcripted by manboy from here: http://archive.thespaceshow.com/shows/2212-BWB-2014-03-21.mp3 :Quote from: manboy on 03/21/2014 10:21 pm "When will the cargo version of Dragon begin making propulsive landings?" "So the current version of Dragon lands in water on parachute descent, we are looking at landing it on land under parachute. As for propulsive landing that is for our new version, we call it V2 for Dragon and that's the primary vehicle, that's the vehicle for crew, and we will retrofit that for cargo."
How they would deal with the drogue chutes I don't know.
Read a quote from Elon saying Dragon 2 will be not have solar panels at all. Can't find it now.
Quote from: Dudely on 05/20/2014 08:55 pmRead a quote from Elon saying Dragon 2 will be not have solar panels at all. Can't find it now.I remember something about the crewed Dragon not having solar panels. If there is a cargo version of Dragon2 (which I personally find plausible), then it might still have solar panels.
QuoteBut for the record, here is possibly the most well-known source: a quote from Shotwell transcripted by manboy from here: http://archive.thespaceshow.com/shows/2212-BWB-2014-03-21.mp3 :Quote from: manboy on 03/21/2014 10:21 pm "When will the cargo version of Dragon begin making propulsive landings?" "So the current version of Dragon lands in water on parachute descent, we are looking at landing it on land under parachute. As for propulsive landing that is for our new version, we call it V2 for Dragon and that's the primary vehicle, that's the vehicle for crew, and we will retrofit that for cargo."Per Shotwell, Cargo Dragon will be backfitted from Crew Dragon.
Does anyone know if the trunk is large enough to house a VF-200 VASIMR rocket, or a modified one?
Quote from: swervin on 05/20/2014 06:51 pmDoes anyone know if the trunk is large enough to house a VF-200 VASIMR rocket, or a modified one?Current Dragon supplies about 3kW of power to payload. VF-200 requires 200kW.
I think the Dragon and the trunk should be considered two separate entities.
Quote from: baldusi on 05/22/2014 07:56 pmQuote from: swervin on 05/20/2014 06:51 pmDoes anyone know if the trunk is large enough to house a VF-200 VASIMR rocket, or a modified one?Current Dragon supplies about 3kW of power to payload. VF-200 requires 200kW.For sure! ...and thanks for following up with me. My understanding was that the possible test when/if flown to the ISS would utilize battery packs to provide power during tests vs only relying on the solar panels.Not sure how large a battery pack that may be, if that method is to be used, but perhaps the internal volume of Dragon could be packed with batteries?
Quote from: baldusi on 05/22/2014 07:56 pmQuote from: swervin on 05/20/2014 06:51 pmDoes anyone know if the trunk is large enough to house a VF-200 VASIMR rocket, or a modified one?Current Dragon supplies about 3kW of power to payload. VF-200 requires 200kW.For sure! ...and thanks for following up with me. My understanding was that the possible test when/if flown to the ISS would utilize battery packs to provide power during tests vs only relying on the solar panels.Not sure how large a battery pack that may be, if that method is to be used, but perhaps the internal volume of Dragon could be packed with batteries?Also, would VASIMR physically FIT in the trunk?All questions we may not know, but I'm a fan of finding different uses and re-uses of existing hardware to advance technology!Cheers,Splinter
Quote from: llanitedave on 05/21/2014 01:44 amI think the Dragon and the trunk should be considered two separate entities.No, it shouldn't. Dragon has limited capabilities (mission life) once it sheds the trunk.
i'm also not clear on how this relates to used Dragons
It might still be feasible. A Tesla Model S uses a 310 kW motor and has a 60 kWh battery. At 200 kW that should last for the 15 minute burst planned for the ISS test. Though that's ~1000 pounds of batteries in addition to the mass of the VF-200 which is 620 kg (1300 pounds).This link may help get an idea about the size of the VF-200: http://www.adastrarocket.com/aarc/VF-200
The plan is to fit VASIMR engines to ISS and power them from a 50kwhr battery to enable 15 min bursts at full thrust. Using Dragon as free flying test platform with a 60kwhr battery should be able to achieve same result. Allow 24 HR between tests for batteries to recharge. They could even send it around the moon.
Quote from: TrevorMonty on 05/23/2014 04:58 amThe plan is to fit VASIMR engines to ISS and power them from a 50kwhr battery to enable 15 min bursts at full thrust. Using Dragon as free flying test platform with a 60kwhr battery should be able to achieve same result. Allow 24 HR between tests for batteries to recharge. They could even send it around the moon. I was thinking precisely that, Trevor. Sounds like a great technology demonstration platform to me. Would daily 15min firings (or maybe twice daily if you had enough room/capacity for two battery buses) provide much increase in thrust or would such short VF-200 firings be similar to an ion engine running continuously? (big picture?)Why stop at the moon? Splinter
Quote from: TrevorMonty on 05/23/2014 04:58 amThe plan is to fit VASIMR engines to ISS and power them from a 50kwhr battery to enable 15 min bursts at full thrust. Using Dragon as free flying test platform with a 60kwhr battery should be able to achieve same result. Allow 24 HR between tests for batteries to recharge. They could even send it around the moon.Why is that any better than using a light weight 3kw constant acceleration engine?
It's funny how, when SpaceX opts for mass production instead of reusability, a lot of people start to tout the benefits of mass production. Streamlining the process, enhancing the design iteratively, etc...
About original topic of this thread: I don't think these dragons will be ever reused.
Quote from: InfraNut2 on 05/18/2014 07:04 pmQuote from: Llian Rhydderch on 05/18/2014 06:18 pmI took clongton's statement just a bit diffferently. Not that there are not now, currently, two different models of Dragon. There clearly are: the crew Dragon currently flying on CRS-3 (which is a "Dragon v2 v1.1" with upgraded power and avionics), and perhaps with others in the production pipeline (as we've seen) for future CRS flights); and the new SuperDraco-included Dragons that will be unveiled late this month, and will participate in the ground-abort test and launch-abort test in the coming months.Dragon V2 is the docking and land-landing capable dragon initially intended for crew transport. CRS-3 dragon is upgraded but not a new main version. It have been called Dragon v1.5 on one occasion, but that seems a bit high a version number, since the only confirmed changes are improved power system that can provide much more power to payloads and more waterproof solutions for electronics boxes in the unpressurized but internal part of dragon. Perhaps the upgrades are much more extensive than what is confirmed -- It would probably be smart to "backport" much of the minor v1.x compatible changes intended for V2 back into v1.x cargo dragons to get them tested early, spread out the risks on more than one flight and avoid unnecessary parallel versions of subsystems.edit: typos etc.I do understand the major distinction between the cargo Dragon and the new, soon-to-be-unveiled, crew Dragon. I thought that Shotwell referred to the upgraded Dragon (new avionics and additional power for the NASA cargos) as "v2". I could quite easily be wrong. (I was wrong, it is v1.1 I know I was surprised to hear her say that as I had been aware of the major upgrades for crew that had been planned for a long time.What is SpaceX formally referring to the particular model of cargo Dragon that just flew on CRS-3?
Quote from: Llian Rhydderch on 05/18/2014 06:18 pmI took clongton's statement just a bit diffferently. Not that there are not now, currently, two different models of Dragon. There clearly are: the crew Dragon currently flying on CRS-3 (which is a "Dragon v2 v1.1" with upgraded power and avionics), and perhaps with others in the production pipeline (as we've seen) for future CRS flights); and the new SuperDraco-included Dragons that will be unveiled late this month, and will participate in the ground-abort test and launch-abort test in the coming months.Dragon V2 is the docking and land-landing capable dragon initially intended for crew transport. CRS-3 dragon is upgraded but not a new main version. It have been called Dragon v1.5 on one occasion, but that seems a bit high a version number, since the only confirmed changes are improved power system that can provide much more power to payloads and more waterproof solutions for electronics boxes in the unpressurized but internal part of dragon. Perhaps the upgrades are much more extensive than what is confirmed -- It would probably be smart to "backport" much of the minor v1.x compatible changes intended for V2 back into v1.x cargo dragons to get them tested early, spread out the risks on more than one flight and avoid unnecessary parallel versions of subsystems.edit: typos etc.
I took clongton's statement just a bit diffferently. Not that there are not now, currently, two different models of Dragon. There clearly are: the crew Dragon currently flying on CRS-3 (which is a "Dragon v2 v1.1" with upgraded power and avionics), and perhaps with others in the production pipeline (as we've seen) for future CRS flights); and the new SuperDraco-included Dragons that will be unveiled late this month, and will participate in the ground-abort test and launch-abort test in the coming months.
Elon Musk @elonmusk 2h@QuantumG Dragon V1.1 doesn't have a launch escape system. Probably comparable reliability to Shuttle, but we need to do better.
1. From www.spacelaunchreport.com/falcon9v1-1.html the empty mass of the second stage is approx 6 tonnes, which should be within the capability of the dragon control system (www.spacex.com/dragon).2. Once berthed, the ISS now has a fuel depot capability able to hold over 40 tonnes each of RP1 and LOX. Power to the second stage (for valve control and stage health monitoring) can be supplied via an umbilical from ISS to what would have been the standard pad umbilical connectors, likewise pump connections for loading fuel or taking it off could be done via it's existing pad connectors.3. Potentially if suitable relocation takes place, the Merlin could also provide ISS reboost and debris avoidance capability (given the 40% throttle capability), though whether a standard second stage / trunk / dragon configuration is structurally robust enough to handle that I don't know.