Launch forecast for today, courtesy of our servicemembers at Patrick AFB:http://www.patrick.af.mil/shared/media/document/AFD-070716-028.pdf
Did I just see the launch constraint forecast on the last weather briefing being raised to 60%?
NASA TV signed off--that was quick
It's every 4 days, isn't it? So 4/22?
they use helium for turbopump spin up, right? Or was this for the helium tanks for the legs?
Quote from: The_Ronin on 04/14/2014 08:00 pmthey use helium for turbopump spin up, right? Or was this for the helium tanks for the legs?Fuel pressurization. Secondary function is leg deployment.
Quote from: The_Ronin on 04/14/2014 08:06 pmIt's every 4 days, isn't it? So 4/22?I believe so too. Will check.Ok, so this thread is no longer a live thread. We'll set up a new one for the next attempt. However, posts must be specific to this scrub. If not, use the discussion threads.
Synoptic Discussion:Weather will begin to deteriorate Tuesday as a cold frontal system moves into the area with widespread clouds, rain and isolated thunderstorms. There is also a slight chance for hail and severe winds. The front should clear south of the Spaceport on Wednesday, allowing clouds to diminish. Temperatures will struggle to reach the mid 70’s as strong northeasterly surface winds remain through Thursday. On Friday, models indicate a wave developing in the Gulf of Mexico and moving over Central Florida. Thick cloud cover and periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms are typical with these systems. Maximum upper level winds will be 70 knots from the west-northwest at 43,000 feet.
Launch day probability of violating launch weather constraints: 60%Primary concern(s): Thick Cloud Rule, Lightning Rule, Flight Through Precipitation
Quote from: Jim on 04/14/2014 08:14 pmQuote from: The_Ronin on 04/14/2014 08:00 pmthey use helium for turbopump spin up, right? Or was this for the helium tanks for the legs?Fuel pressurization. Secondary function is leg deployment.And stage separation, which happens to be today's culprit, I'm hearing.
Quote from: beancounter on 04/16/2014 02:34 amNo, F9 uses pneumatic pushers, not helium.Huh? The pneumatic pushers use helium
No, F9 uses pneumatic pushers, not helium.
No issue was detected with the backup valve and a flight would likely have been successful, but SpaceX policy is not to launch with any known anomalies. We have brought the vehicle back to horizontal and are replacing the faulty valve, as well as inspecting the whole system for anything that may have contributed to the valve not working as designed.
So, two scenarios then:Scenario 1:SpX-3 launch: Friday 18/04 @ 3:25 PM EDT / 8:25 PM GMTSpX-3 capture: Sunday 20/04 @ 7:14 AM EDT / 12:14 PM GMTMDM R&R EVA: Wednesday 23/04Scenario 2:SpX-3 launch: Saturday 19/04 @ 3:02 PM EDT / 8:02 PM GMTSpX-3 capture: Tuesday 22/04MDM R&R EVA: Sunday 20/04
GMT is four hours later than EDT not five. Please adjust the times.
So, two scenarios then:Scenario 1:Scenario 2:
Quote from: Chris Bergin on 04/16/2014 02:06 pmNo issue was detected with the backup valve and a flight would likely have been successful, but SpaceX policy is not to launch with any known anomalies. We have brought the vehicle back to horizontal and are replacing the faulty valve, as well as inspecting the whole system for anything that may have contributed to the valve not working as designed.Sure, the backup value worked. But if there was a helium leak, would there be enough gas remaining in the system ? Is it just a backup value, or an entire duplicate set of helium lines that are able to maintain pressure when the primary lines have low pressure due to the leak ?
? what's changed
If Friday doesn't work out, the backup date is Saturday according to the press release above. Is the weather more favourable on Saturday?
Synoptic Discussion: The front that passed through Central Florida yesterday has stalled in SouthernFlorida. The front will remain to the south today and Thursday bringing partly cloudy skies and a chanceof isolated rain showers. In addition, an upper-level feature move through Central Florida on Thursdayand will bring a slight chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Winds will be strong and gusty from thenortheast both days. On Friday, the frontal boundary will move back to the north into Northern Florida asa wave develops in the Gulf of Mexico. This wave will move through the Florida Peninsula and off to thenortheast by Saturday morning. Thick cloud cover, with periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms areexpected as this system transits through Florida on Friday.Maximum upper level winds will be 70 knots from the west-northwest at 43,000 feet.
Jeff Foust @jeff_foust 1hGerst: if Dragon doesn't launch on Friday, go with Cygnus launch on May 6.
But there was this tweet.QuoteJeff Foust @jeff_foust 1hGerst: if Dragon doesn't launch on Friday, go with Cygnus launch on May 6.https://twitter.com/jeff_foustUltimatum?
Quote from: GalacticIntruder on 04/16/2014 05:49 pmBut there was this tweet.QuoteJeff Foust @jeff_foust 1hGerst: if Dragon doesn't launch on Friday, go with Cygnus launch on May 6.https://twitter.com/jeff_foustUltimatum?I think that Gerst said this weekend (not this Friday).
Weather for tmw's @SpaceX launch to #ISS is 40% "go." The forecast improves for a Saturday launch attempt to 60% "go" http://www.nasa.gov/spacex
Here is the update:http://www.patrick.af.mil/shared/media/document/AFD-070716-028.pdfSpaceX have now 3 launch opportunities! On April 22 the weather is looking good at 80%.
Here is the update:http://www.patrick.af.mil/shared/media/document/AFD-070716-028.pdf