The problem of lunar industry developing is not a legal regimen, but a business case that closes and everything else is pure fantasy. There are loads of industries that act outside of legal protection on Earth, but because they serve someone's needs and provide things people are willing to exchange funds for willingly, they survive. If someone steals your kilo of coke on Earth, you can't exactly go crying to the government to sanction the thieves. Hasn't caused those industries to collapse. In fact, modern electronics use a whole heap of conflict minerals, that are obtained from places that basically have no law and order, but it still works. I will be unpopular here for saying it and I'm not trolling, but I think the huge focus in the discussion of legal regimens for space markets is a fig leaf for the lack of a plausible business plan that doesn't get you laughed off the planet. If you blame bad laws, people will focus on them and not the serious holes in your plan. If Bigelow wants property rights on the Moon or whatever, I think he should pay for the "moon police" himself for his plot of land! But to be honest, I think he just wants the US Tax Payer to foot the bill whilst decrying the evils of socialism!!!/rant over.My own prediction for this is that when it's possible to make a buck out of sending humans to the moon or using its resources, the facts will have been established on the ground by several players and the legal codifying of it will follow.
The problem of lunar industry developing is not a legal regimen, but a business case that closes ...My own prediction for this is that when it's possible to make a buck out of sending humans to the moon or using its resources, the facts will have been established on the ground by several players and the legal codifying of it will follow.
One advantage of going back to the Moon before other nations is to establish precedent -- property-rights are so fundamental to our freedom and individual rights that establishing them on the Moon (or Mars) would be occupying the high ground.Contrast this to other Nations' (e.g., China's, Russia's, Iran's) potential approach if they were to get there first and establish precedent that stemmed from their world-view.
It is impossible to close a business case without some assurance that what you are creating will be your to profit from. Something of the chicken/egg issue here.
Another article:http://www.economist.com/news/science-and-technology/21642065-attempt-stake-claim-airless-desert-lunar-lunacy?fsrc=scn%2Ftw%2Fte%2Fbl%2Fed%2Flunarlunacy
I find the desire of a manufacturer of habitats for property-rights to be very silly. It's like a shipbuilder saying he needs to own the ocean to make his business viable.Bigelow's is a manufacturer of physical HARDWARE which has already has an iron-clad ownership structure when in space and can be readily bought and sold before or after being placed in space. Should then go on to act as the owner/operator of a habitat in LEO or on the Moon their ownership of their habitat asset is again iron-clad, they can perfectly legally operate a Moon hotel without owning the ground on which it is placed.Now if you want to say that mining the moon requires property-rights then that is another thing all together. Currently the legality of owning what ever you can bring back from the moon looks fairly strong and the OST prevents any claims or interference between people in space, thus mining the moon is like some of thouse 'free for all' gold panning areas, anyone can go and collect but no one can exclude anyone else other then the minimum safety buffer around any vessel or person.Arguably some kind of prospecting and mining claim system can promote investment in mining activity above the level that the 'free for all' creates as investors will put up more capitol because of the reduced risk that some discovery of rich minerals will be gobbled up by competitors (and on the Moon their is no way to keep your activity secret so competitors are guaranteed). This is an argument for some kind of international body to grant such claims, something very much like the International Seabed authority which dose exactly this on Earth. Unfortunately the Moon treaty which called for the establishment of just such a body (and a ban on mining only UNTIL such a body was formed to sanction it) was stymied by the usual libertarian nut-jobs who have likewise attacked the Seabed authority and crippled the nascent sea-floor mining industry by creating a division between international and US claims. While the moon has no business case for mining which closes (and likely won't for many many decades) the seabed is right on the cusp of economic viability and the precedents set their are likely to be applied to the Moon someday.
Quote from: Impaler on 02/13/2015 07:55 pmI find the desire of a manufacturer of habitats for property-rights to be very silly. It's like a shipbuilder saying he needs to own the ocean to make his business viable.Bigelow's is a manufacturer of physical HARDWARE which has already has an iron-clad ownership structure when in space and can be readily bought and sold before or after being placed in space. Should then go on to act as the owner/operator of a habitat in LEO or on the Moon their ownership of their habitat asset is again iron-clad, they can perfectly legally operate a Moon hotel without owning the ground on which it is placed.Now if you want to say that mining the moon requires property-rights then that is another thing all together. Currently the legality of owning what ever you can bring back from the moon looks fairly strong and the OST prevents any claims or interference between people in space, thus mining the moon is like some of thouse 'free for all' gold panning areas, anyone can go and collect but no one can exclude anyone else other then the minimum safety buffer around any vessel or person.Arguably some kind of prospecting and mining claim system can promote investment in mining activity above the level that the 'free for all' creates as investors will put up more capitol because of the reduced risk that some discovery of rich minerals will be gobbled up by competitors (and on the Moon their is no way to keep your activity secret so competitors are guaranteed). This is an argument for some kind of international body to grant such claims, something very much like the International Seabed authority which dose exactly this on Earth. Unfortunately the Moon treaty which called for the establishment of just such a body (and a ban on mining only UNTIL such a body was formed to sanction it) was stymied by the usual libertarian nut-jobs who have likewise attacked the Seabed authority and crippled the nascent sea-floor mining industry by creating a division between international and US claims. While the moon has no business case for mining which closes (and likely won't for many many decades) the seabed is right on the cusp of economic viability and the precedents set their are likely to be applied to the Moon someday.By treaty any US Corporation wishing to mine the Moon or asteroid needs permission from the US Federal Government. Currently the US Federal Government does not have any way of giving such authorisation.
Quote from: AncientU on 02/04/2015 07:06 pmIt is impossible to close a business case without some assurance that what you are creating will be your to profit from. Something of the chicken/egg issue here.Amen!Mr. Bigelow would have much more credibility and more political influence on this issue if he had potential customers lined up or interested in 'something' from the lunar surface.As for what that 'something' could be? Let's say for argument's sake that it's HE-3 that he wants to mine on the moon and sell to customers. Are there any serious customers on Earth for HE-3?