Author Topic: Proton-M Failure Reaction and Discussion Thread - July 2, 2013  (Read 188854 times)

Offline 360-180

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"The number of launches is limited by the capacity of the station fueling Briz-M upper stages of Proton-M rockets. The station can fuel only one upper stage per month," he said.


I presume this "station" is the carwash.

But, is this statement actually true? Have Protons recently been launched within 30 days of one another?

This statement can be caused by non-technical reasons, probably conditions of the agreement with Kazakhstan's Baikonur lease
« Last Edit: 07/19/2013 04:24 pm by 360-180 »

Offline 360-180

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Engine trust angle profile

Are those
1/ commanded angles
or
2/ effected angles
?

Also, how about a chamber pressure profile ... any chance to be published  ?


I think it's measured angles from telemetry. 

Offline 360-180

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Map of debris
shellcrater 40x20x5m

Offline 360-180

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location three units PV-301 on the board

Offline Kabloona

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More from Anatoly Zak at russianspaceweb.com about the incorrect installation of the sensors:

" Even though the operation is classified as "under special control," there was neither established procedure for video or photo documentation of the process or its inspection by an outside agency. However the technician's supervisor and a quality control specialist were supposed to check on the completion of the installation. All three people involved in this process did leave their signatures in the assembly log.

Lopatin stressed that along with a human error, the investigation commission identified deficiencies in the installation instructions and in the mechanical design of the hardware, which both contributed to the problem. For example, the mounting plate lacked an arrow which would match the direction of an arrow on the DUS unit."

Sounds like maybe the supervisor and/ or QC guy didn't actually check the work but signed off anyway. Wow. And now for the lie detector tests...
« Last Edit: 07/19/2013 08:33 pm by Kabloona »

Offline russianhalo117

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LINK: http://www.ilslaunch.com/updates-failure-glonass-july-2013

UPDATE ON RUSSIAN FEDERAL PROTON GLONASS MISSION FAILURE

July 19, 2013

Dear Colleague,
Below is an update on the 2 July 2013 Russian Federal Proton M/Block DM-03 GLONASS mission failure.

Russian Investigation and FROB Status
On 17 July 2013, the Roscosmos Commission submitted a preliminary report to the Russian State Commission on the potential root cause(s) of the failure. The Roscosmos Commission issued a press release on 18 July and is summarized below:

•The failure was caused by the improper installation of the three yaw angular rate sensors located on the Proton launch vehicle.

•The Commission also established that during the failed launch, the “lift-off” signal was generated prior to the actual separation of the LV from the launch pad, and occurred 0.4 seconds earlier than scheduled. Earlier generation of the “lift-off” signal may have been caused by premature de-mating of the aft electrical/pneumatic connector. Based on the telemetry data review and analysis as well as flight simulation, the Commission concludes that premature generation of the “lift-off” signal did not cause the failure. The Commission will continue to investigate the causes of the premature de-mating of the aft electrical/pneumatic connector.

The Russian State Commission will be reviewing these preliminary findings of the Roscosmos Commission, including the early lift-off of the vehicle.

It is projected that the Russian State Commission will complete its review of the Roscosmos Commission findings at the end of July. At that time, a summary is expected to be provided by Khrunichev to ILS. An official public release of the Russian State Commission findings based on the summary information provided to ILS will follow, along with a schedule for the upcoming Failure Review Oversight Board (FROB). It is our estimation that the FROB will begin no earlier than the end of the week of 5 August.

Astra 2E Campaign Status
The Astra 2E team will resume campaign operations after the Russian State Commission and ILS FROB complete their work on root cause and required corrective actions and all parties agree to re-start the campaign.

Return to Flight and Proton Manifest
The schedule for the return to flight and subsequent missions will be determined once the Russian State Commission and ILS FROB complete their efforts and the required corrective actions have been implemented.

We will continue to provide you with regular updates as new information develops.

Related Links:
GLONASS Failure Update - July 12 (http://www.ilslaunch.com/update-failure-glonass-july-12)
GLONASS Failure Update - July 08 (http://www.ilslaunch.com/update-failure-glonass-july-08)
Investigation into Russian Federal Proton Glonass Mission Failure is Underway (http://www.ilslaunch.com/newsroom/news-releases/investigation-russian-federal-proton-glonass-mission-failure-underway)
GLONASS July 2 (http://www.ilslaunch.com/category/tags/glonass-july-2)

Offline xm11

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the launch astra 2e not be before 5 august ?

Offline MP99

More from Anatoly Zak at russianspaceweb.com about the incorrect installation of the sensors:

" Even though the operation is classified as "under special control," there was neither established procedure for video or photo documentation of the process or its inspection by an outside agency. However the technician's supervisor and a quality control specialist were supposed to check on the completion of the installation. All three people involved in this process did leave their signatures in the assembly log.

Lopatin stressed that along with a human error, the investigation commission identified deficiencies in the installation instructions and in the mechanical design of the hardware, which both contributed to the problem. For example, the mounting plate lacked an arrow which would match the direction of an arrow on the DUS unit."

Sounds like maybe the supervisor and/ or QC guy didn't actually check the work but signed off anyway. Wow. And now for the lie detector tests...

Or maybe they checked electrical connections, etc, but it didn't occur to them to check the orientation either?

Cheers, Martin

Offline Stan Black

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As with Echostar-15 this Proton found itself no longer in contact with the launch site, and throttled up the engines to get clear? So they will need to inspect both launch sites?

Whilst it does not appear to cause an issue with the rocket, I wonder if in this emergency situation it goes full thrust?

Proton-M take off at a lower thrust (107% of an RD-253), before throttling up at six-seconds.

As the first ten-seconds is straight up, I guess this is done to protect the launch site. So in such a situation there is the potential that the launch site could sustain damage?

Offline Kabloona

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As with Echostar-15 this Proton found itself no longer in contact with the launch site, and throttled up the engines to get clear? So they will need to inspect both launch sites?

Whilst it does not appear to cause an issue with the rocket, I wonder if in this emergency situation it goes full thrust?

Proton-M take off at a lower thrust (107% of an RD-253), before throttling up at six-seconds.

As the first ten-seconds is straight up, I guess this is done to protect the launch site. So in such a situation there is the potential that the launch site could sustain damage?

From Anatoly Zak at russianspaceweb.com, the last sentence seems to answer your question:

"On July 4, a source at GKNPTs Khrunichev reported on the online forum of the Novosti Kosmonavtiki magazine that an interface plate connecting a series of cables from ground equipment to the aft end of the launch vehicle, had separated earlier than planned. The plate, designed to shift by around 5 millimeters, normally trails the rocket for few millimeters and separates as the vehicle rises above the pad. However in this case, it apparently moved by as much as 11 millimeters before the rocket had a chance to leave the pad. As a result, all electrical connections between the pad and the rocket were severed, while the vehicle's engines were yet to develop their full thrust. At that point, the engines could still propel the rocket into the air, but could not keep it in stable flight. (According to the telemetry, the pressure inside the combustion chambers of the engines was 90 kilograms per square centimeter, instead of required 150 kilograms per square centimeter.) The flight control system could interpret such a situation as an emergency, (even if the rocket was still standing on the launch pad), and sharply throttle all engines to a maximum thrust in order to prevent the vehicle from falling onto the launch pad."

Offline Stan Black

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As with Echostar-15 this Proton found itself no longer in contact with the launch site, and throttled up the engines to get clear? So they will need to inspect both launch sites?

Whilst it does not appear to cause an issue with the rocket, I wonder if in this emergency situation it goes full thrust?

Proton-M take off at a lower thrust (107% of an RD-253), before throttling up at six-seconds.

As the first ten-seconds is straight up, I guess this is done to protect the launch site. So in such a situation there is the potential that the launch site could sustain damage?

From Anatoly Zak at russianspaceweb.com, the last sentence seems to answer your question:

"On July 4, a source at GKNPTs Khrunichev reported on the online forum of the Novosti Kosmonavtiki magazine that an interface plate connecting a series of cables from ground equipment to the aft end of the launch vehicle, had separated earlier than planned. The plate, designed to shift by around 5 millimeters, normally trails the rocket for few millimeters and separates as the vehicle rises above the pad. However in this case, it apparently moved by as much as 11 millimeters before the rocket had a chance to leave the pad. As a result, all electrical connections between the pad and the rocket were severed, while the vehicle's engines were yet to develop their full thrust. At that point, the engines could still propel the rocket into the air, but could not keep it in stable flight. (According to the telemetry, the pressure inside the combustion chambers of the engines was 90 kilograms per square centimeter, instead of required 150 kilograms per square centimeter.) The flight control system could interpret such a situation as an emergency, (even if the rocket was still standing on the launch pad), and sharply throttle all engines to a maximum thrust in order to prevent the vehicle from falling onto the launch pad."

Thank you. Two failures on one launch. I guess they’ll need to inspect both launch sites.

Offline Lars_J

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As with Echostar-15 this Proton found itself no longer in contact with the launch site, and throttled up the engines to get clear? So they will need to inspect both launch sites?

Whilst it does not appear to cause an issue with the rocket, I wonder if in this emergency situation it goes full thrust?

Proton-M take off at a lower thrust (107% of an RD-253), before throttling up at six-seconds.

As the first ten-seconds is straight up, I guess this is done to protect the launch site. So in such a situation there is the potential that the launch site could sustain damage?

From Anatoly Zak at russianspaceweb.com, the last sentence seems to answer your question:

"On July 4, a source at GKNPTs Khrunichev reported on the online forum of the Novosti Kosmonavtiki magazine that an interface plate connecting a series of cables from ground equipment to the aft end of the launch vehicle, had separated earlier than planned. The plate, designed to shift by around 5 millimeters, normally trails the rocket for few millimeters and separates as the vehicle rises above the pad. However in this case, it apparently moved by as much as 11 millimeters before the rocket had a chance to leave the pad. As a result, all electrical connections between the pad and the rocket were severed, while the vehicle's engines were yet to develop their full thrust. At that point, the engines could still propel the rocket into the air, but could not keep it in stable flight. (According to the telemetry, the pressure inside the combustion chambers of the engines was 90 kilograms per square centimeter, instead of required 150 kilograms per square centimeter.) The flight control system could interpret such a situation as an emergency, (even if the rocket was still standing on the launch pad), and sharply throttle all engines to a maximum thrust in order to prevent the vehicle from falling onto the launch pad."

But wasn't that just the early speculation about the cause - before the wrongly installed equipment was revealed as the culprit? In retrospect this report seems highly suspect and speculative.

Offline simonbp

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It was the early speculation because they could tell right away that it had launched too soon. Then they found in wreckage that the sensors were mounted wrong.

Hopefully the rolling heads will be replaced by competent people, but that's not really the precedent...

Offline Kabloona

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As with Echostar-15 this Proton found itself no longer in contact with the launch site, and throttled up the engines to get clear? So they will need to inspect both launch sites?

Whilst it does not appear to cause an issue with the rocket, I wonder if in this emergency situation it goes full thrust?

Proton-M take off at a lower thrust (107% of an RD-253), before throttling up at six-seconds.

As the first ten-seconds is straight up, I guess this is done to protect the launch site. So in such a situation there is the potential that the launch site could sustain damage?

From Anatoly Zak at russianspaceweb.com, the last sentence seems to answer your question:

"On July 4, a source at GKNPTs Khrunichev reported on the online forum of the Novosti Kosmonavtiki magazine that an interface plate connecting a series of cables from ground equipment to the aft end of the launch vehicle, had separated earlier than planned. The plate, designed to shift by around 5 millimeters, normally trails the rocket for few millimeters and separates as the vehicle rises above the pad. However in this case, it apparently moved by as much as 11 millimeters before the rocket had a chance to leave the pad. As a result, all electrical connections between the pad and the rocket were severed, while the vehicle's engines were yet to develop their full thrust. At that point, the engines could still propel the rocket into the air, but could not keep it in stable flight. (According to the telemetry, the pressure inside the combustion chambers of the engines was 90 kilograms per square centimeter, instead of required 150 kilograms per square centimeter.) The flight control system could interpret such a situation as an emergency, (even if the rocket was still standing on the launch pad), and sharply throttle all engines to a maximum thrust in order to prevent the vehicle from falling onto the launch pad."

But wasn't that just the early speculation about the cause - before the wrongly installed equipment was revealed as the culprit? In retrospect this report seems highly suspect and speculative.

AFAIK, that report about the excessive plate motion and early separation is still correct, even though it turned out not to be the cause of the crash. So far Anatoly Zak's early reports of the facts have turned out to be quite accurate, judging from Roskosmos statements.

Offline js117

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More from Anatoly Zak at russianspaceweb.com about the incorrect installation of the sensors:

" Even though the operation is classified as "under special control," there was neither established procedure for video or photo documentation of the process or its inspection by an outside agency. However the technician's supervisor and a quality control specialist were supposed to check on the completion of the installation. All three people involved in this process did leave their signatures in the assembly log.

Lopatin stressed that along with a human error, the investigation commission identified deficiencies in the installation instructions and in the mechanical design of the hardware, which both contributed to the problem. For example, the mounting plate lacked an arrow which would match the direction of an arrow on the DUS unit."

Sounds like maybe the supervisor and/ or QC guy didn't actually check the work but signed off anyway. Wow. And now for the lie detector tests...

Or maybe they checked electrical connections, etc, but it didn't occur to them to check the orientation either?

Cheers, Martin

Angular rate sensors at crashed Proton-M rocket were installed 'upside down'


http://www.space-travel.com/reports/Angular_rate_sensors_at_crashed_Proton_M_rocket_were_installed_upside_down_999.html

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Offline Ben the Space Brit

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update 26 july
http://www.ilslaunch.com/updates-failure-glonass-july-2013

It will be interesting to find out just what 'corrective action' is needed.  It's possible every Proton will need to be opened up and its IU examined to ensure it was assembled correctly.
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Offline russianhalo117

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LINK: http://www.ilslaunch.com/updates-failure-glonass-july-2013

UPDATE ON RUSSIAN FEDERAL PROTON GLONASS MISSION FAILURE

Friday, July 26, 2013

Dear Colleague,

Below is an update on the 2 July 2013 Russian Federal Proton M/Block DM-03 GLONASS mission failure.

Russian Investigation and FROB Status
On July 17, 2013, the Roscosmos Commission submitted a preliminary report to the Russian State Commission on the potential root cause(s) of the failure. The Russian State Commission will complete its review of the Roscosmos Commission findings at the end of this month, including the premature Loss of Contact (LOC) of the electrical/pneumatic launch pad interface.

A summary is expected to be provided by Khrunichev to ILS next week after Roscosmos and Russian Security approval. An official public release of the Russian State Commission findings based on the summary information provided to ILS will follow, along with a schedule for the upcoming Failure Review Oversight Board (FROB).

The FROB is currently expected to begin on August 9 and conclude by August 16. Confirmation of the FROB start date will be made by August 5 (Eastern Time).

Astra 2E Campaign Status
The Astra 2E team will resume campaign operations after the Russian State Commission and ILS FROB complete their work on root cause and required corrective actions and all parties agree to re-start the campaign.

The schedule for the return to flight and subsequent missions will be determined once the Russian State Commission and ILS FROB complete their efforts and the required corrective actions have been implemented.

We will continue to provide you with regular updates as new information develops.

Related Links:
GLONASS Failure Update - July 19 (http://www.ilslaunch.com/update-failure-glonass-july-19)
GLONASS Failure Update - July 12 (http://www.ilslaunch.com/update-failure-glonass-july-12)
GLONASS Failure Update - July 08 (http://www.ilslaunch.com/update-failure-glonass-july-08)
Investigation into Russian Federal Proton Glonass Mission Failure is Underway (http://www.ilslaunch.com/newsroom/news-releases/investigation-russian-federal-proton-glonass-mission-failure-underway)
GLONASS July 2 (http://www.ilslaunch.com/category/tags/glonass-july-2)

Offline xm11

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http://www.ilslaunch.com/updates-failure-glonass-july-2013

Friday, August 2, 2013

Dear Colleague,

Below is an update on the 2 July 2013 Russian Federal Proton M/Block DM-03 GLONASS mission failure.

Russian Investigation and FROB Status
 The Russian State Commission has completed its review of the Roscosmos Commission findings. A translated summary of the findings is expected to be provided to ILS on Saturday, August 3.

The summary includes information pertaining to the improper installation of the three yaw angular rate sensors located on the Proton launch vehicle and details that the premature Loss of Contact (LOC) of the electrical/pneumatic launch pad interface was not a contributing factor to the failure.  An official ILS/KhSC public release of the Russian State Commission findings based on the summary information provided will follow, along with a schedule for the upcoming Failure Review Oversight Board (FROB).

Based on the progress to date, it is expected that the Failure Review Oversight Board (FROB) will begin on August 9 and will tentatively conclude by August 16.

Astra 2E Campaign Status, Return to Flight and Proton Manifest
 The Astra 2E team will resume campaign operations after the Russian State Commission and ILS FROB complete the required work on root cause and required corrective actions and all parties agree to re-start the campaign.

The schedule for the return to flight and subsequent missions will be determined once the Russian State Commission and ILS FROB complete their efforts and the required corrective actions have been implemented. A public release will be issued at that time.

We will continue to provide you with regular updates as new information develops

Offline xm11

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http://www.ilslaunch.com/newsroom/news-releases/summary-findings-released-proton-launch-failure-ils

ILS
Summary of Findings Released on Proton Launch Failure to ILS
ILS FROB TO CONVENE
August 8, 2013 - A summary of the findings on the root cause and corrective action plan following the failure of the July 2 Proton M/Block DM mission with three GLONASS navigational satellites for the Russian Federal Government has been released to International Launch Services (ILS) upon being cleared by Russian security.

The summary indicates that the most probable root cause of the failure was due to the improper installation of the three yaw angular rate sensors located on the Proton launch vehicle, which caused the vehicle to deviate from its flight path shortly after lift-off.

The ILS Failure Review Oversight Board (FROB) will begin on August 9 and will provide an independent review of the investigation, probable root cause and corrective actions required prior to return to commercial flight, in accordance with U.S. and Russian government export control regulations. The FROB will tentatively conclude by August 16.

The FROB consists of ILS customers, industry subject experts, and insurance industry representatives. After the conclusion of the FROB, the FROB report will be briefed to ILS customers and the launch insurance industry.

Additional information will be provided as it becomes available

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