No, that's not my thought, that's the USAF 2nd SOPS mode of operation, specially during a period when military budgets are being questioned.
the 2nd SOPS has no say in it, they are not responsible for making such decisions.
Isn't their role being part of the process/team that recommends which slot to launch into based on constellation health and requirements as well as "flying" the birds as well? Don't get me started on space jockeys wearing flight suits 
Humm... Here's my real point. Now that SpaceX is becoming a bigger threat to ULA, and that ULA has a contract for a guaranteed bunch of launches, out of a sudden they're launching, fast.
Just launching another 4 IIF birds would place the constellation at 12 IIR, 7 IIRM, SVN49, 9 IIF, or 28 healthy birds (with SVN49 a questionable reserve), none of the IIR have health problems.
It would be enough healthy birds to execute the current official 24+3 plan (plus one healthy bird plus SVN49) while decommissioning all IIA birds.
I know Jim, I don't have proof of that, ULA wouldn't be stupid enough to let people know how many congressman and senators they have in their pocket. But I don't believe in coincidences.
I would actually love if they launched all remaining IIF and the first 4 IIIA, but why now ?
Finally, I'm still doubtful, this aggressive schedule will be met.
The last year 3 birds were launched in a single year, was 2004.
Perhaps the other thinking is, let's launch now that we have the budget, before they take it away from us.
Anyhow, it's not a technical decision, it's politics.
The only factor that is technical is the solar maximum is ending, so launching quickly maximize longevity.