Quote from: Lar on 05/05/2013 10:48 pmQuote from: Prober on 05/05/2013 07:23 pm extra funds were found.....seems the WH screwed up the numbers on cuts FY 2013, and found a bunch of funds. Google for the story a couple days ago.Your google-fu may be better than mine, can you do the honors? Second that. I'd think that would be Big News and can not find anything to suggest such.
Quote from: Prober on 05/05/2013 07:23 pm extra funds were found.....seems the WH screwed up the numbers on cuts FY 2013, and found a bunch of funds. Google for the story a couple days ago.Your google-fu may be better than mine, can you do the honors?
extra funds were found.....seems the WH screwed up the numbers on cuts FY 2013, and found a bunch of funds. Google for the story a couple days ago.
Alternatively CCiCAP starts carrying the full 6 ISS crew at seat prices substantially below the Russian price (which continues to rise).
Quote from: Lobo on 05/01/2013 11:58 pmI am mistaken?The decision to go with Orion and two rockets in CXP was Griffin's and he was Bush's guy so that can be laid squarely on the previous President.It was Griffin's alone and President Bush had nothing to do with that. The VSE was a brilliant and bold move by the President but Congress was having none of Administrator O'Keefe's implementation plans. Those plans didn't bring enough hard cash to the Alabama and Utah coffers so O'Keefe had to go. So Sean decided it was time to "spend time with his family" (with a little "help" from his "friends"). This fiasco convinced the President that he no longer had enough capital in Congress to move his VSE forward so he effectively washed his hands of HSF. Griffin was not the President's choice - he was the last man standing after all the other *FAR* more qualified candidates said "no thank you". The slot had to be filled by somebody and Griffin was the only one willing to fill it so the President gave the nod and then walked away. CxP was Griffin's alone.
I am mistaken?The decision to go with Orion and two rockets in CXP was Griffin's and he was Bush's guy so that can be laid squarely on the previous President.
Well it's also Congress's fault for not giving NASA enough funding but yes VSE could have been done for far cheaper then the plan that was eventually chosen.
Quote from: john smith 19 on 05/05/2013 12:11 pmAlternatively CCiCAP starts carrying the full 6 ISS crew at seat prices substantially below the Russian price (which continues to rise). Nits: (a) ISS crew will be carried out under a CTS contract (crew transportation system) not CCiCap; (b) the full ISS USOS crew is 4 (4 seats x 2 flights/yr = 8 seats/yr), not 6; (c) whether that marginal CTS pricing for those ISS crew seats will be substantially lower than Soyuz is speculative at best.Again, on an all-up cost basis (that is, including DDT&E) and based on current projections, CCP can not compete with Soyuz on a $/seat basis at 6 seats/yr for the foreseeable future; break-even appears to be in the late 2020's at best. Pitting CCP against Soyuz on a strictly $/seat basis is a fast way to get marginalized and reamed by the accountants.That's not to say that we should simply give up and send money to Russia, but you gotta bring more to the table than simply $/seat to make a convincing argument. (Of which I have opined previously, so won't repeat myself here.)
Quote from: Patchouli on 05/06/2013 01:58 amWell it's also Congress's fault for not giving NASA enough funding but yes VSE could have been done for far cheaper then the plan that was eventually chosen... again.. on his one appearance on The Space Show, Mike Griffin said Congress gave him every dollar that he requested for Constellation.
Several NASA centres are quite deeply involved in all aspects of both COTS and CCiCAP.
Are you kidding? $5Bn = 2 new LVs and cargo carriers, 1 already delivering cargo to the ISS, 2 human rated LVs and substantial work done on 3 human rated spacecraft, 1 of which is already racking up delivery experience. As for how much CC will cost has any supplier issued pricing?It's only a service because the former Soviet Union invested in Soyuz to begin with. [Edit NASA made several attempts to replace Shuttle over the last 30 years. All failed. So far the more "arms length" approach of COTS has got them 2 cargo ELVs and 2 cargo spacecraft, one with the capability of being upgraded to carry humans. Contrast that with every internally managed programme from X33 onward (and a few before that).
BTW COTS and CCiCAP require all winning bidders to commit some of their own funds to their vehicles, [edit unlike SLS/Orion where the contractors commit nothing and NASA meets any cost increases (presumably until they get too big even for the Legislature to swallow, which so far they have not)]
Except with Dragon, CTS100 or Dream Chaser most of those funds remain in the US on every launch.
I think that should be "IYHO".
Then they should be careful what they wish for. The simplest option is to end all NASA human space flight. I'm pretty sure they really won't like that option. [Edit with the modern news cycle no one is going to be that impressed by a 1st Orion launch 13 years after it was first proposed, with a possible crewed mission 19 years after 1st proposal.
True some factions of NASA want this. Others consider this an inappropriate use of resources at this time. I'm sure others view it as just a giant jobs programme for some states.
Alternatively CCiCAP starts carrying the full 6 ISS crew at seat prices substantially below the Russian price (which continues to rise). A sudden change of key Senators and Congressmen prompts a review of the SLS programme and a recognition that up to $16Bn and has no launch date in sight while ESA delivers the Support Module for Orion and NASA comes up with a better plan to use it and the other assets available to them (Delta, Atlas, F9 and F9H) to build a more sustainable exploration that lands 2 astronauts on a NEO by 2018.
Maybe he is mostly at fault then.Personally I think if an EELV based architecture was chosen we would be flying something today.
Nits: (a) ISS crew will be carried out under a CTS contract (crew transportation system) not CCiCap; (b) the full ISS USOS crew is 4 (4 seats x 2 flights/yr = 8 seats/yr), not 6; (c) whether that marginal CTS pricing for those ISS crew seats will be substantially lower than Soyuz is speculative at best.Again, on an all-up cost basis (that is, including DDT&E) and based on current projections, CCP can not compete with Soyuz on a $/seat basis at 6 seats/yr for the foreseeable future; break-even appears to be in the late 2020's at best.
Pitting CCP against Soyuz on a strictly $/seat basis is a fast way to get marginalized and reamed by the accountants.That's not to say that we should simply give up and send money to Russia, but you gotta bring more to the table than simply $/seat to make a convincing argument. (Of which I have opined previously, so won't repeat myself here.)
Second that. I'd think that would be Big News and can not find anything to suggest such.
They are? Perhaps Charlie should've spoke up about it. SpaceX tests everything at their own facilities. Which NASA center was Boeing testing at in Nevada? Also which NASA center was SNC testing at in Colorado?
Cargo isn't crew. The modifications and milestones to bring Dragon up to scratch are expensive.
That information is around somewhere. The seats will cost whatever the company wants to bid the contract for which will be more the less competition there is.
This makes the program less attractive. Boeing wouldn't even still be going if Bigelow wasn't putting in those required funds.
QuoteExcept with Dragon, CTS100 or Dream Chaser most of those funds remain in the US on every launch.True but many other things worth much more money are outsourced. Does the USA make the Iphones Apple loves to peddle for insane prices?
Fair enough it should be IMHO.Doesn't meet the pork test. NASA wants it's own launch vehicles and spacecraft built in house.
Nobody at NASA is going to speak out against SLS/Orion.
The price has never been a big issue until now. The shuttle was acceptable for a long time which is why it has launched more people to LEO than any other spacecraft.
Shuttle met the required standards of pork. Look at how many people were laid off in Florida.
Astronauts on a NEA in any time frame isn't possible under NASAs flat and falling budget.
That would be nice as long as NASA centers wanted to build payloads. From what I can tell they don't.
SpaceX tests everything at their own facilities.
Quote from: spectre9 on 05/06/2013 07:10 amSpaceX tests everything at their own facilities.Wrong.
That implies the vehicle is sub standard in some way. It is not. Like man rating the F9, if you plan for it from day 1 it's an upgrade, not a re-design.
Funny how that works. Downselect to 1 LV/SC combination and the supplier prices can rise almost without limit, which, strange to say is what is happening with Soyuz. OTOH fund say 3 to completion (a 1 time cost) and those prices could start to fall because no supplier would have NASA by the sensitive parts.But as someone pointed out a long time back all vehicles that connect to he ISS have to be crew rated otherwise you could (literally) suffocate inside them while you were unloading them. If you plan from day 1 to a) Survive reentry to Earths atmosphere (even from a Mars return) and b) Plan to carry humans it's not that expensive to do so when the time comes.
The polite answer is that if the US government were the only buyers I would bet some member of the Legislature would ask why production was not moved to Arkansas, or whatever part of the country they represented. The short answer is that's a strawman argument as you should know.
Silence does not mean agreement.
No. Carrying 7 people at a time and being the only vehicle capable of carrying most of the ISS sections (because they were designed to fit it) gave it that status.
True. The challenge is to educate the Legislature that there is more to a space programme than pork.
By your yardstick "So what?" You're pitching SLS as a jobs programme with most of key Legislature who backed it taking the view that it keeps people in high paid jobs and that fact it won't lauch this decade is simply irrelevant to them.
Again that rather depends on which NASA centres you're talking about.
The milestones are so expensive NASA doesn't know how they will pay for them at this point. NASA man rated and able to safely transport humans are 2 different things. Thorough qualification and testing of the LAS is needed.
The technology might be well proven but it's not cheap. Since 3 vehicles funded to completion is now almost certainly off the table it's a moot point about falling seat prices.
ISS modules were built in Europe. The US government loves it's Atlas V, where do you think the engines come from? Saving money is saving money. There's only so much money to meet the demands for US built space hardware and that goes to big states, not Arkansas.
QuoteSilence does not mean agreement. If any NASA employee is against SLS speak now or forever hold your peace.*crickets*
It's not my place to challenge NASAs mission selection. Has Obama said anything about the matter?
QuoteAgain that rather depends on which NASA centres you're talking about. If NASA wants payloads for HSF they need to ask for them. Charlie has found a way around needing a DSH by moving the goal (NEA) closer.
Quote from: gospacex on 05/01/2013 11:12 pmBecause giving more money to a grossly inefficient organization is a questionable strategy.And that is over the top. Without this organization, your handle would be just "Go"
Because giving more money to a grossly inefficient organization is a questionable strategy.
Quote from: john smith 19 on 05/05/2013 12:11 pmAlternatively CCiCAP starts carrying the full 6 ISS crew at seat prices substantially below the Russian price (which continues to rise). Nits: (a) ISS crew will be carried out under a CTS contract (crew transportation system) not CCiCap; (b) the full ISS USOS crew is 4 (4 seats x 2 flights/yr = 8 seats/yr), not 6; (c) whether that marginal CTS pricing for those ISS crew seats will be substantially lower than Soyuz is speculative at best.
Quote from: Jim on 05/02/2013 02:29 amQuote from: gospacex on 05/01/2013 11:12 pmBecause giving more money to a grossly inefficient organization is a questionable strategy.And that is over the top. Without this organization, your handle would be just "Go"Without police, there would be anarchy on the streets. Does it mean that criticizing police should be off-limits?
Never said anything about criticizing. Just sweeping unsubstantiated and biased statements
Quote from: gospacex on 05/06/2013 01:55 pmQuote from: Jim on 05/02/2013 02:29 amQuote from: gospacex on 05/01/2013 11:12 pmBecause giving more money to a grossly inefficient organization is a questionable strategy.And that is over the top. Without this organization, your handle would be just "Go"Without police, there would be anarchy on the streets. Does it mean that criticizing police should be off-limits?Note, without Ames developing the PICA ablative (and supplying test facilities) their would be no PICAX ablative for Dragon capsules. Those facilities are quite specialized and very expensive to duplicate.OTOH I would suggest some sections of NASA do seem to consume a huge amount of cash for certain programmes without showing very much progress in achieving their goals. I'll note in 2006 NASA (as an institution) had built 3 generations of capsule (Mercury, Gemini and Apollo), Spacex had built none. In 7 years they have gone from no history to a partly human rated capsule capable of carrying live cargo poised to upgrade to a human carrying capsule, learning (and applying) everything they needed in that time.People will say it's not a fair comparison, apples to oranges etc but you'd expect NASAto have something flying by this time, given NASA substantial existing knowledge of the size of the problems it would face. Note it's likely most of what Spacex know they got from NASA. It's not some "secret stash" of information only they have access to. But it's NASA's to begin with. It's not a race but given NASA's intimate connection with all this information it's not unreasonable to expect a block 1 vehicle in orbit by now. The fact they have not (for a programme which essentially started in 2004) suggests some kind of institutional problem between getting the idea (and the funding) and actually implementing it. I think that's a fair criticism.
You're rather fond of that verbal sleight-of-hand, implying that somehow Commercial Crew is hugely expensive. As we know from Shuttle if NASA wanted it badly enough they'd just sign a safety waiver (which they did on numerous items on Shuttle launches). Of course that system was NASA's direct brain child. The test flights were affordable in the budget NASA requested.
Interesting point. The RD180 was built in the same part of the world as the Antares 1st stage and its engines. Yet only the design built in the US has any down mass available. So you can outsource and get a lower price. But you don't get the performance, or if you do you don't get redundancy.
NASA is a mature federal bureaucracy, not a marriage ceremony. You're either startlingly naive about how such institutions operate, very trusting in human nature or an outright troll.
You don't seem backward about coming forward on other matters.
Or perhaps they don't trust SLS will stay within budget and swallow anything that the get allocated to a payload because, let's just remember SLS is the only programme that is hard wired into the funding.In case you haven't noticed there has been an across the board downsizing of the NASA budget and a rocket that big needs a huge payload to justify it. Given that situation anyone pushing for serious funding for a massive payload to stick on top of SLS would be a) delusional b) on mind altering drugs. They may be forced to cut everything else but SLS has to continue its snails pace death march to 1st launch.
Unless of course the rest of the Legislature decides to stick a stake through its heart and take the remaining funding away from NASA for something perceived to be more "useful."By that point of course Commercial Crew will be a memory, as shortly will NASA's HSF division.
Of course as non Americans this is an academic exercise for us. I imagine US readers are less sanguine.
I could argue that the spacecraft being developed are too big and the reason for that is forced bloat to meet the requirements. 7 seats, big batteries, LAS that pulls the ever increasing mass away from a potential disaster.
Quote from: spectre9 on 05/07/2013 08:51 amI could argue that the spacecraft being developed are too big and the reason for that is forced bloat to meet the requirements. 7 seats, big batteries, LAS that pulls the ever increasing mass away from a potential disaster.I have a question for that. Is 7 seats a requirement by NASA? One would think so because all three vehicles offer 7. But I have found only a document where 4 seats were mentioned as requirement.