The OSP program was cancelled in favor of Constellation
OSP was cancelled for a "streamlined" program to make the Crew Exploration Vehicle and took at lot of OSP with it.. but so did Constellation. Both changes slowed the program and left devastation, but the ultimate result of the OSP-capsule proposals was Orion.
From a programmatic point I agree with your evolution. But OSP was most emphatically a program to provide human access to LEO only, as thre CAIB recommended.
Constellation at first abandoned LEO in an attempt to recapture the glory of Apollo, then added it as a secondary task for which it was poorly suited.
It wasn't the changes that left devastation, it was the lack of a practical goal.
CCDev is very much a return to the goals, strategies, and vehicle designs of OSP, with the major changes being the addition of SpaceX and Sierra Nevada and the reduced level of NASA oversight.
OSP was intended to provide manned access to ISS initially as a backup to Shuttle and later as a replacement. Boeing and Orbital were each asked to provide two proposals for OSP, a winged vehicle and a capsule. Boeing proposed a capsule somewhat similar to the CST and a winged vehicle based on the X-37 although larger. Orbital proposed a similar capsule and a winged vehicle called Prometheus. The OSP program was cancelled in favor of Constellation but before this occurred NASA indicated a preference for the capsule because it had a larger internal volume. This may have influenced Boeing to propose the capsule for the CCDev program. Orbital again proposed the Prometheus for CCDev but was not funded, partly because it had only four seats, although this clearly met the minimum requirement. The capsules held seven. Sierra Nevada's lifting body held six and was based on a side-by-side seating configuration with liked by the astronauts with two front seats directly behind a windshield, and still received less funding than the Dragon and CST.The X-37C could carry six and had about the same internal volume as the Dreamchaser. The round pressurized cabin would have been easier to fabricate but was longer and thinner, making it necessary for the six crew to sit single file, and difficult to put even one crewman behind a traditional pilot's canopy. Of course it can land perfectly well on autopilot or with the pilot flying by video camera but this would not go over well. I think Boeing simply saw that NASA was more likely to choose a seven-seat capsule design, and that it would be easier and less expensive to build.I still feel the wing-and-fuselage designs are better aerodynamically than lifting bodies for any given landing mass and volume. Lifting bodies are very difficult to land because of their high drag and low lift and require very high touchdown speeds. As size and mass increase, landing a lifting body in gliding flight becomes impossible, and anything significantly heavier than the Dreamchaser would have to use a parachute, rockets or some similar method to support its weight during landing, leaving it with little or no advantage over a capsule. In contrast, a winged spacecraft can land at a mass of 100 tons or more. This was why wings were chosen for the Shuttle after a decade of work with lifting bodies.
There are better shapes see Spacex's and Blue Origin's capsules but these come with greater risk.
Quote from: Patchouli on 03/19/2013 02:40 amThere are better shapes see Spacex's and Blue Origin's capsules but these come with greater risk.How do you figure the "greater risk" part?
Surprisingly the Rockwell X-33 did not win out as it pretty much reused the STS orbiter OML.It's construction was to be much more conventional too.
Quote from: Patchouli on 03/19/2013 02:40 amSurprisingly the Rockwell X-33 did not win out as it pretty much reused the STS orbiter OML.It's construction was to be much more conventional too.I thought the same. Some people say that NASA deliberately went for the most ambitious of the proposals. The one with the most new technology in it. Didnt learn from the shuttle...
Surprisingly the Rockwell X-33 did not win out as it pretty much reused the I thought the same. Some people say that NASA deliberately went for the most ambitious of the proposals. The one with the most new technology in it. Didnt learn from the shuttle...
You said the shuttle was too great of a leap and should not have been an operational system but a technology development program. X-33 is exactly what NASA should be doing, it was a technology development program.
Quote from: Elmar Moelzer on 03/19/2013 11:48 pmSurprisingly the Rockwell X-33 did not win out as it pretty much reused the I thought the same. Some people say that NASA deliberately went for the most ambitious of the proposals. The one with the most new technology in it. Didnt learn from the shuttle...Typical of a NASA basher, you are talking out of both sides of your mouth. You said the shuttle was too great of a leap and should not have been an operational system but a technology development program. X-33 is exactly what NASA should be doing, it was a technology development program.
Jim, the lead up to the X-33 program was focused more on the demonstration of a viable high flight rate CONOPS than generic technology development. While there was a desire (and need) for technology development to both support that aim and the flight rate improvement, for many of those of us involved technology (as NASA usually uses the term) wasn't the prime driver. (In fact, I lost the argument that a high mass fraction demonstration for SSTO had to be a primary component of DC-X along with the operability demo.)Further, Gary Payton specifically told me that as Source Selection Authority he chose the most ambitious of the proposals (this was also echoed at the public announcement, though I don't recall if Gary or Dan Golden said it). Since I regard Gary as a friend, it pained me to have to publicly disagree with his management of the X-33 in front of a Congressional committee a short while afterwards – he and I being the only two witnesses. I still think selecting the LM proposal was a serious error of judgement. And while I personally promoted the MDAC VTOL approach, I would have been much happier to see Rockwell win (with a very fine proposal, I might add) in place of LM.(I hasten to add that "technology" is so generic a word in our business as to be almost meaningless. I wanted to see development and test progress on a number of fronts, but felt that propulsion (a major focus of X-33's efforts) need not be among them. The RL-10 used for DC-X and even the SSME of the day would have been perfectly acceptable to employ for a near SSTO demonstrator that could have flown on a weekly basis, for example.)
The RL-10 used for DC-X and even the SSME of the day would have been perfectly acceptable to employ for a near SSTO demonstrator that could have flown on a weekly basis, for example.)
Quote from: HMXHMX on 03/20/2013 10:45 pmThe RL-10 used for DC-X and even the SSME of the day would have been perfectly acceptable to employ for a near SSTO demonstrator that could have flown on a weekly basis, for example.)Was there ever a near SSTO design with conventional engines? Why do you think SSTO capability was so critical? Wouldn't it require an impractically small payload mass fraction? I heard when X-33 was cancelled that one reason was the conclusion that the planned operational derivative of the design could not achieve SSTO. Others said that flying the prototype as a suborbital would still provide useful information.
Glad to read a first hand account of this, Gary!
Quote from: go4mars on 03/19/2013 03:12 amQuote from: Patchouli on 03/19/2013 02:40 amThere are better shapes see Spacex's and Blue Origin's capsules but these come with greater risk.How do you figure the "greater risk" part?Maybe because those shapes haven't had as much flight experience? Just a guess/attempt to read Patchouli's mind...
Quote from: Jim on 03/20/2013 09:54 pmQuote from: Elmar Moelzer on 03/19/2013 11:48 pmSurprisingly the Rockwell X-33 did not win out as it pretty much reused the I thought the same. Some people say that NASA deliberately went for the most ambitious of the proposals. The one with the most new technology in it. Didnt learn from the shuttle...Typical of a NASA basher, you are talking out of both sides of your mouth. You said the shuttle was too great of a leap and should not have been an operational system but a technology development program. X-33 is exactly what NASA should be doing, it was a technology development program. Jim, the lead up to the X-33 program was focused more on the demonstration of a viable high flight rate CONOPS than generic technology development. While there was a desire (and need) for technology development to both support that aim and the flight rate improvement, for many of those of us involved technology (as NASA usually uses the term) wasn't the prime driver. (In fact, I lost the argument that a high mass fraction demonstration for SSTO had to be a primary component of DC-X along with the operability demo.)Further, Gary Payton specifically told me that as Source Selection Authority he chose the most ambitious of the proposals (this was also echoed at the public announcement, though I don't recall if Gary or Dan Golden said it). Since I regard Gary as a friend, it pained me to have to publicly disagree with his management of the X-33 in front of a Congressional committee a short while afterwards – he and I being the only two witnesses. I still think selecting the LM proposal was a serious error of judgement. And while I personally promoted the MDAC VTOL approach, I would have been much happier to see Rockwell win (with a very fine proposal, I might add) in place of LM.(I hasten to add that "technology" is so generic a word in our business as to be almost meaningless. I wanted to see development and test progress on a number of fronts, but felt that propulsion (a major focus of X-33's efforts) need not be among them. The RL-10 used for DC-X and even the SSME of the day would have been perfectly acceptable to employ for a near SSTO demonstrator that could have flown on a weekly basis, for example.)
The X-37B reusable spaceplane has “great utility” and the Air Force intends to keep using it “for a while” because it is helping service officials understand the “re-usability aspect of space” for satellites, said Gen. John Hyten, Air Force Space Command boss, on Thursday at AFA’s Air Warfare Symposium in Orlando, Fla. “That is the fundamental thing that X-37 is really getting at,” he said during a meeting with reporters. Pretty much everything the Air Force does in space is “a throwaway,” said Hyten.