Author Topic: LIVE: Proton-M launch with Yamal-402 satellite - December 8, 2012 (1313UTC)  (Read 65533 times)

Offline Artyom.

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Quote
December 8 – Yamal-402 – Proton-M/Briz-M – Baikonur 200/39

Briz-M upper stage for this mission was today delivered to Baykonur
http://www.khrunichev.ru/main.php?id=1&nid=2637 (in Russian)
« Last Edit: 12/08/2012 02:48 am by Chris Bergin »

Offline Stan Black

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Quote
December 8 – Yamal-402 – Proton-M/Briz-M – Baikonur 200/39

Briz-M upper stage for this mission was today delivered to Baykonur
http://www.khrunichev.ru/main.php?id=1&nid=2637 (in Russian)

According to Rui this launch was to use 99528
http://www.zenite.nu/orbita/index.php?catid=4

Briz-M 99528 was previously delivered for Sirius-FM6
http://www.khrunichev.ru/main.php?id=1&nid=2295

99528 was then to be used for Intelsat-23

This was the eighth delivery of Briz-M for 2012
http://www.aex.ru/news/2012/11/1/99554/

So were the two previously delivered Briz-M for Sirius-FM6 and Luch-5B with Yamal-300K ever returned to Moscow for refurbishment?
http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=27791.msg952783#msg952783
Or were they repaired on site at Baikonur?

Offline Artyom.

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Yamal-402 satellite was delivered by An-124-100 "Ruslan" aircraft to Baikonur cosmodrome today 
http://www.tsenki.com/news/news_tsenki/?ELEMENT_ID=96430 (on Russian)

Offline anik

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As per NK forum, the launch is planned at 13:14 UTC on December 8th.

Offline russianhalo117

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Yamal-402 satellite was delivered by An-124-100 "Ruslan" aircraft to Baikonur cosmodrome today 
http://www.tsenki.com/news/news_tsenki/?ELEMENT_ID=96430 (on Russian)
http://www.khrunichev.ru/main.php?id=1&nid=2642

Offline beidou

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Offline beidou

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An overview of this launch.

Offline Lewis007

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Khrunichev's webpage with photos is avialable now
http://www.khrunichev.ru/main.php?id=282

Offline Artyom.

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Offline Artyom.

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Baikonur: Proton Breeze M/Yamal 402 Erected on Pad

Following the State Review Board’s decision, the Proton M integrated launch vehicle (ILV) carrying the Yamal 402 spacecraft has rolled out to its launch pad earlier today.
 
After the ILV was installed on the pad and erected, operations envisaged by Day 1 Countdown Schedule started .
 
The liftoff of the Proton M launch vehicle with Yamal 402 is scheduled for December 08.

http://www.khrunichev.ru/main.php?id=1&nid=813

Offline Artyom.

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Offline Artyom.

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Offline Artyom.

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Roscosmos video of the roll-out 


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Launch information from Khrunichev (http://coopi.khrunichev.ru/main.php?id=624)

Offline input~2

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NOTAM for 3rd stage debris
Quote
A5137/12 - QWMLW THE RUSSIAN FEDERAL SPACE AGENCY HAS PLANNED A MISSILE 
LAUNCH.  DEBRIS FROM THIS LAUNCH WILL FALL WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY
2515N/16000E  2600N/16045E  2330N/16335E  2245N/16248E BACK TO THE
POINT OF ORIGIN.  IN THE INTEREST OF SAFETY ALL NON-PARTICIPATING AIR
TRAFFIC ARE ADVISED TO AVOID THE NOTAMED AREA.  IFR AIRCRAFT UNDER
ATC JURISDICTION SHOULD ANTICIPATE CLEARANCE AROUND THE NOTAMED AREA. SFC -
UNL, 1300-1430Z DLY, 08 DEC 13:00 2012 UNTIL 11 DEC 14:30 2012. CREATED: 29 NOV
17:34 2012

Offline input~2

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NOTAM for 1st stage debris
Quote
K0753/12 - ATS ROUTE SEGMENTS CLSD:
1.A113 TIROK-GISIR FM 25 TO 65KM.
2.B822 LUGER-BETIK FM 35 TO 75KM.
SFC/UNL. SFC - UNL, DAILJ 1300/1400, 08 DEC 13:00 2012 UNTIL 09 DEC 14:00 2012.
CREATED: 05 DEC 09:45 2012

and for 2nd stage & fairing debris
Quote

P4951/12 - RESTRICTED AREA ACT: UNR1238. SFC - UNL, DAILY 1300-1400, 08 DEC 13:00 2012 UNTIL
09 DEC 14:00 2012. CREATED: 07 DEC 10:31 2012

P4948/12 - ATS RTE A814 SEGMENT ARNUL-LANBI CLSD. SFC - UNL, DAILY 1300-1400, 08 DEC 13:00
2012 UNTIL 09 DEC 14:00 2012. CREATED: 07 DEC 06:06 2012

P4917/12 - FLW ATS RTE SEGMENTS CLSD:
B206 ARNUL - AKTAS,
G489 TELRU - AKTAS. SFC - UNL, DAILY 1300-1400, 08 DEC 13:00 2012 UNTIL 09 DEC
14:00 2012. CREATED: 04 DEC 08:12 2012
« Last Edit: 12/07/2012 07:46 pm by input~2 »

Offline Chris Bergin

Moved for live coverage...
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Offline Artyom.

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State commission has given "go" for a fuelling of Proton-M rocket.
http://www.khrunichev.ru/main.php?id=1&nid=2680 (in Russian)

Offline Artyom.

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Live broadcast  :)

Offline Artyom.

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Offline Artyom.

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Tower moving away..

Offline Artyom.

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« Last Edit: 12/08/2012 11:04 am by Artyom. »

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Offline dsmillman

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What is the URL for the live broadcast?

Offline Artyom.

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Offline Mapperuo

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- Aaron

Offline Artyom.

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8)

Offline Artyom.

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40 mins to launch.

Offline Chris Bergin

« Last Edit: 12/08/2012 11:57 am by Chris Bergin »
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Offline Chris Bergin

Here we go boys and girls.
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Offline Chris Bergin

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Offline Chris Bergin

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Offline Chris Bergin

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Offline Chris Bergin

Love these mission profile videos. Voiceover lady has an amazing accent too...I could listen to her all day :)
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Offline Chris Bergin

Nice graphics too.
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Offline Chris Bergin

T-5 mins. Twitter pimping enabled.
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Offline Chris Bergin

Nice angle of the Proton core.
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Offline Chris Bergin

Angara preview again. Going to be rather epic.
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Offline Chris Bergin

T-60 seconds.
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Offline Chris Bergin

LAUNCH!! BOOOOOM! :)

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Offline Artyom.

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And launch 8) !!!

Offline Chris Bergin

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Offline Chris Bergin

Pitch and roll. Into the clouds.
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Offline Chris Bergin

Coming up on staging.
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Offline Chris Bergin

MaxQ - nominal first stage.

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Offline Chris Bergin

STAGING.

Second Stage ignition.
1-2 Sep.
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Offline Chris Bergin

Good staging. All four second stage engines firing.
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Offline Chris Bergin

Trajectory looks good.
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Online Galactic Penguin SST

Damn, those ILS guys were mistaken  - TsENKI cameras shows a relatively clear sky with a only a clear layer of low clouds.... (in fact the cameras are still tracking clearly the second stage!)  :(
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Offline Chris Bergin

Promo video. Milestones after this video.
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Offline Chris Bergin

Staging.

2-3 Sep.

Payload Fairing Sep.
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Offline Chris Bergin

More videos, this time from the team.
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Offline Chris Bergin

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Offline Chris Bergin

Staging.

3-4 Sep. On to the Briz-M.
« Last Edit: 12/08/2012 12:26 pm by Chris Bergin »
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Offline Chris Bergin

Big Russian boss man.
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Offline Chris Bergin

Satellite boss.
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Offline Chris Bergin

First time ILS are doing a webcast in English and Russian.
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Offline Chris Bergin

First burn by the Briz-M started and completed.
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Offline Chris Bergin

Baikonur getting a promo video.
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Offline Chris Bergin

And that's the coverage over.

Still a long way to go with the next three burns....over eight and a half hours to go yet.
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Offline Artyom.

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Offline Stan Black

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Article for the launch:
http://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2012/12/ils-proton-m-launches-yamal-402-satellite/

Quote
Overall, this was the eighth and final ILS Proton launch in 2012…
What happened to Satmex-8?

Offline Chris Bergin

Whoops. Corrected :)
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Offline xm11

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satmex8 plan to launch 28 december

Offline Artyom.

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Online Satori

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Exact launch time 1313:42.928UTC.

Offline akula2

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I'm quite happy with this launch.

Offline Artyom.

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satmex8 plan to launch 28 december
27th december ;).

Online Galactic Penguin SST

satmex8 plan to launch 28 december
27th december ;).

I guess it would be another night launch featuring crossing midnight between GMT/Moscow/Baikonur time......  ;) (18:34 UTC / 22:34 MSK / 00:34 @ Baikonur)

BTW http://www.space-center.ru/LiveEvents.aspx shows that the Briz-M second burn has been completed.
« Last Edit: 12/08/2012 01:52 pm by Galactic Penguin SST »
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Offline Chris Bergin

ILS ‏@ILSLaunch
Breeze M MECO 2 confirmed! #Yamal402

Oh, GP is faster than I - again :)
« Last Edit: 12/08/2012 01:56 pm by Chris Bergin »
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Offline input~2

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3rd burn complete and Briz-M tank was jettissoned

Offline input~2

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4th burn complete (4 minutes shorter than planned according to TM)

S/C separation (16 minutes earlier than planned according to TM)

Offline input~2

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USSTRATCOM has catalogued a first object (presumably Briz tank)
39022/2012-070A in 511.1 km x 35656.4 km x 47.96°

Offline edkyle99

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4th burn complete (4 minutes shorter than planned according to TM)

S/C separation (16 minutes earlier than planned according to TM)

ILS hasn't confirmed yet.  Did something go wrong?

 - Ed Kyle

Offline akula2

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I don't see any 4th stage confirmation on their site. Its blog last entry says:

Yamal 402 | Third Burn
December 8, 2012 |

We have confirmed that the Breeze M upper stage has successfully completed its 3rd burn, as well as jettisoning its additional propellant tank. The vehicle is now in a 5-hour coast period, during...


I don't know if 5-hour coast period completed or not  ???

http://www.ilslaunch.com/mission-control/mission-yamal-402


Offline patchfree

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Data from Khrunichev Telekom:

Final Transfer orbit estimation by Main Ballistic Center:
Estimation  Nominal   Deviation

T [h.m.s]
10:35:35.2   10:34:15.1   0:1:20.1

a (semi-major axis) [km]
24487.43      24453.13   34.30

e (eccentricity)
0.7186755   0.7183134   0.0003622

i
48 °0 '28 "   48 °0 '10 "   0 °0 '18 "
   
Hp [km]
510.78      509.98      0.79
   
Ha [km]
35707.81   35640.00    67.81
« Last Edit: 12/08/2012 11:18 pm by patchfree »
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Offline Chris Bergin

Still nothing from ILS. Any other routes for confirmation?
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Offline patchfree

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The data in my preceding post was directly received on my email from Khrunichev so I suppose that they are those of the SC. They are similar to those received for the preceding Proton Launch for ILS. More detailed parameters of the last events will come in several hours.

Wait and see.
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Offline B. Hendrickx

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Still nothing from ILS. Any other routes for confirmation?

http://www.federalspace.ru/main.php?id=2&nid=19752

Roskosmos is saying that the spacecraft separated from the Briz-M four minutes early and that the orbit insertion scheme is being revised.

Looks like the Briz-M shut down early on its final burn.

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Roscosmos isses the following info (automatic translation from russian):

Quote
The launch of a spacecraft "Yamal-402"
12/09/2012 ::

December 9 at the launch of the spacecraft (SC) "Yamal-402" to the target orbit spacecraft separation occurred at 4 minutes before the estimated time.

Currently, the spacecraft captured a management basis for specifying the schemes of his propel spacecraft to the point of standing with subsequent commissioning.

Press Service of the Russian Federal Space Agency
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Offline akula2

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Mission Timeline

T-0:00:02.5     Ignition Sequence Start     
T-0:00:00.9     Stage 1 at 100% Thrust     
T-0                 LIFTOFF     
T+0:01:02.0     Maximum Dynamic Pressure     
T+0:02:00.0     Stage 1/2 Separation     
T+0:05:27.0     Stage 2/3 Separation     
T+0:05:47.0     Payload Fairing Separation     
T+0:09:42.0     3rd Stage / Briz-M Separation     
T+0:11:16.0     Briz-M First Ignition     
                     Burn Duration: 4m39s     
T+0:15:55.0     Briz-M Shutdown     
                      Coast Phase   
T+1:07:15.0     Briz-M Second Ignition     
                      Burn Duration: 18m14s     
T+1:25:29.0     Briz-M Shutdown     
                     Coast Phase     
T+3:29:44.0     Briz-M Third Ignition     
                      Burn Duration: 17m50s     
T+3:47:34.0     Briz-M Shutdown     
T+3:48:55.0     APT Separation     
T+8:54:01.0     Briz-M Fourth Ignition     
                      Burn Duration: 8m49s     
T+9:02:49.0     Briz-M Shutdown     
T+9:15:00.0     Spacecraft Separation     


Khrunichev gave T+8:58:49 as the 4th Burn Shutdown time making the burn  240 seconds shorter than planned, resulting in the spacecraft being  delivered to a lower-than-planned orbit.

In case of a problem  during a Briz-M burn, the upper stage executes an emergency procedure  that is pre-programmed to be started in the event of an aborted burn.

In  that emergency scenario, the payload would be separated into the  present orbit and Briz-M would vent its propellant tanks and undergo  passivation after sending emergency signals to ground stations.

With  this possible problem occurring 4 minutes before the regularly  scheduled shutdown time, it is probable that Yamal 402 can achieve its  desired Geostationary Orbit by using its own propulsion system which  consists of liquid-fueled apogee engines as well as an electric  propulsion system.

Khrunichev confirmed that shutdown on the  final burn was four minutes early and that evaluations are underway to  assess the situation.


The first three burns were performed as planned,  but there was a problem on the fourth upper stage burn, causing  Spacecraft Separation to occur prematurely.

http://www.spaceflight101.com/yamal-402-launch-updates.html
« Last Edit: 12/09/2012 12:01 am by akula2 »

Offline akula2

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Note: Yamal 402 is equipped with an S400 Propulsion System for apogee burns and larger orbit maintenance maneuvers. The S400 series are bi-propellant engines using Monomethylhydrazine and Mixed Oxides of Nitrogen as propellants.

Depending on the version used, S400 provides 420 to 425 Newtons of Thrust with a specific impulse of 318-321 seconds.

In addition, Yamal 402 is equipped with four SPT-100 plasma thrusters. The Stationary Plasma Thrusters provide 83 Millinewtons of thrust each. The spacecraft will operate from 55 degrees East in Geostationary Transfer Orbit and it has an operational lifetime of 15 years.


A brief (good) read about the Propulsion Systems featured in this Satellite (9 pages in PDF):

www.thalesgroup.com/Portfolio/Documents/Propulsion_Systems/

Offline Chris Bergin

Roscosmos isses the following info (automatic translation from russian):

Quote
The launch of a spacecraft "Yamal-402"
12/09/2012 ::

December 9 at the launch of the spacecraft (SC) "Yamal-402" to the target orbit spacecraft separation occurred at 4 minutes before the estimated time.

Currently, the spacecraft captured a management basis for specifying the schemes of his propel spacecraft to the point of standing with subsequent commissioning.

Press Service of the Russian Federal Space Agency

Thanks. Any hope for the satellite with the 240 second miss on the fourth and final burn?
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Offline Chris Bergin

Note: Yamal 402 is equipped with an S400 Propulsion System for apogee burns and larger orbit maintenance maneuvers. The S400 series are bi-propellant engines using Monomethylhydrazine and Mixed Oxides of Nitrogen as propellants.

Depending on the version used, S400 provides 420 to 425 Newtons of Thrust with a specific impulse of 318-321 seconds.

In addition, Yamal 402 is equipped with four SPT-100 plasma thrusters. The Stationary Plasma Thrusters provide 83 Millinewtons of thrust each. The spacecraft will operate from 55 degrees East in Geostationary Transfer Orbit and it has an operational lifetime of 15 years.


A brief (good) read about the Propulsion Systems featured in this Satellite (9 pages in PDF):

www.thalesgroup.com/Portfolio/Documents/Propulsion_Systems/

Sounds like it can at least put up a fight then!
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Offline akula2

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Briz-M Firing № 1

Expected orbit: 177 x 177 km, 51°.55 inclination
Achieved orbit: 177 x 177 km, 51°.55 inclination

Briz-M Firing № 2

Expected orbit: 320 x 5000 km, 49°.60 inclination
Achieved orbit: 320 x 4999 km, 49°.62 inclination

Briz-M Firing № 3

Expected orbit: 510 x 35640 km, 48°.03 inclination
Achieved orbit: 511 x 35708 km, 48°.08 inclination

Briz-M Firing № 4

Expected orbit: 7470 x 35696 km, 9°.0 inclination.

The Briz-M shut down early and released the satellite almost immediately. The orbit is likely to be something in the region of 3000 x 35700 km, 25° – 30° inclination. First indication of the problem came when Khrunichev unexpectedly shut down its information feed part way through the engine firing

For detailed timeline:

http://www.zarya.info/blog/?p=443

Offline Chris Bergin

ILS presser:


ILS DECLARES PROTON LAUNCH ANOMALY




BAIKONUR COSMODROME, Kazakhstan, December 8, 2012– Khrunichev State Research and Production Space Center (Khrunichev) and International Launch Services (ILS) regret to announce an anomaly during the launch of the Yamal 402 satellite. The satellite had been built by Thales Alenia Space for Russian satellite operator, Gazprom Space Systems.
 
The Proton Breeze M rocket lifted off at 7:13 p.m. today local time from the Baikonur Cosmodrome, carrying the Yamal 402 satellite.  Preliminary flight information indicates that the 4th and final burn of the Breeze M engine ended about four minutes early and subsequently separated the spacecraft.

Thales Alenia Space is recalculating all the Launch Early Orbit Phase (LEOP) parameters in order to propose the possible recovery plans to Gazprom Space Systems.
 
A Russian State Commission will begin the process of determining the reasons for the anomaly.  ILS will release details when data becomes available.  In parallel with the State Commission, ILS will form its own Failure Review Oversight Board (FROB).  The FROB will review the commission’s final report and corrective action plan, in accord with U.S. and Russian government export control regulations.
 
ILS will work diligently to identify the cause and implement corrective actions.  Additional information will be provided as it becomes available.

 

 

Karen Rose Monaghan

Director of Communications and Customer Relations

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Offline Stan Black

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The data in my preceding post was directly received on my email from Khrunichev so I suppose that they are those of the SC. They are similar to those received for the preceding Proton Launch for ILS. More detailed parameters of the last events will come in several hours.

Wait and see.

 Is it those ‘NewsPosting’ you received from Khrunichev? Can you post any or send me p.m., because all the details have been removed from their website http://coopi.khrunichev.ru/

Offline Stan Black

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Whoops. Corrected :)

Chris,

 Looks like you were correct the first time that this would be the last flight of 2012?

Offline owais.usmani

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Seems to be a pattern these days....Briz-M gonna fail every time there would be a russian payload... ::)

Online Galactic Penguin SST

Am I correct that the Agena stage (which is probably the only other upper stage that frequently does a lot of restarts and has a very long mission period, just like the Briz)  also had a lot of failures during its period in service? If so, I wonder if the decision not to accelerate the development of a LH2 upper stage (instead waiting for the Angara to come online) is prudent.....

.......

.......or heck, bring back the Block-D (which S.P. Energia would be thrilled to do so)! Its recent record is much closer to the Centaur than the Briz-M did.....
« Last Edit: 12/09/2012 07:50 am by Galactic Penguin SST »
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http://www.federalspace.ru/main.php?id=2&nid=19753

Roskosmos informs that Yamal-402 satellite's systems are working well. There will be two burns of spacecraft's engine for its delivery to planned orbit. The first burn will be tonight. On January 8th spacecraft will be given to Gazprom Space Systems.

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http://www.federalspace.ru/main.php?id=2&nid=19753

Roskosmos informs that Yamal-402 satellite's systems are working well. There will be two burns of spacecraft's engine for its delivery to planned orbit. The first burn will be tonight. On January 8th spacecraft will be given to Gazprom Space Systems.
1) Will there be any reduction in Satellite's 15-year life? 
2) If they successfully raise Satellite in orbit, then this mission will be deemed as success or partial success  ???

Nevertheless, I reckon Gazprom folks are in 'touch' with Mr. Putin.
« Last Edit: 12/09/2012 09:58 am by akula2 »

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Seems to be a pattern these days....Briz-M gonna fail every time there would be a russian payload... ::)
Interesting, but take a look at this: In the past 24 months a total of 22 Briz-M or Briz-KM missions have flown. Four of those are failures. That put's the failure rate for Briz on 18 percent over the past 24 months. That's a pretty bad number.

Offline owais.usmani

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Another sad part is that the KVTK LH2 upper stage is still in early stage of developement. Early Angara launches will also be using this same Briz-M. Sigh... :-[

Online Galactic Penguin SST

New tracking data are up:

2012-070A/39022: 3071 x 35672 km x 26.05°
2012-070C/39024: 3038 x 35680 km x 26.08°

Both are time-stamped about 1.5 hours ago.
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Looks like the satellite's lifetime is down to 11 years......

http://ria.ru/science/20121209/914045139.html
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Offline akula2

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The term of the Yamal-402 after propel spacecraft into orbit reduced by 4 years

MOSCOW, December 9 - RIA Novosti, Alexander Kovalev. Lifetime communications satellite "Yamal-402", derived night in an unplanned orbit by abnormal operation booster "Briz-M", drops roughly from 15 to 11 years due to the additional fuel required for the conversion of the spacecraft in the operating point of standing on the geostationary orbit, told RIA Novosti the client company "Gazprom - Space systems."

"The situation is not fatal, the satellite can dovyvesti the calculated point of standing where it can be used for the intended purpose. However, translation into geostationary require additional fuel consumption, which, unfortunately, reduce the active lifetime companion from current 15 to about 11 years," - said.

According to him, while the satellite is not translated into a geostationary orbit, is responsible for its management of the manufacturer - Thales Alenia Space. "Gazprom - Space Systems" will take over the management of the satellite when it comes to the geostationary orbit. A company representative explained that the foreign-made satellites in contrast to the Russian-built spacecraft, did not immediately appear on the geostationary orbit.

"At first satellite to geosynchronous transfer output or elliptical orbit and then normally brought to the point of standing on the geostationary due to fuel and its own propulsion system. According to the" Gazprom - Space systems' operation to propel spacecraft satellite was to be completed in about a week after its launch the "proton" from the Baikonur Cosmodrome.

"After the satellite to geostationary we take it to the management," - said the representative of the company. He said that during the transfer of a spacecraft with an elliptical orbit to geosynchronous manufacturing company will test all its systems.

"According to my information," Yamal-402 "healthy. His system even after a premature separation from the upper stage" Briz-M "function normally. We have some optimism that the satellite can be used for their intended purpose," - said a company representative.

According to the sequence diagram of flight, the spacecraft now has opened the solar panels.

"Fully disclose the battery is premature, as identified several dynamic of the transfer of a satellite in geostationary, the first scheduled on Monday night," - said the representative of "Gazprom - Space systems."

He said that if the satellite separated from the upper stage "Briz-M" to the standard sequence diagram, it would take four inclusion propulsion.

"Now, perhaps, you will need two additional impulse: first to correct the orbit, and only then to realize a standard scheme propel spacecraft to geostationary spacecraft," - said the source.

Replying to a question whether the company will put the claim to the developer and manufacturer of the booster "Briz-M" - Russian Khrunichev Center, representative of "Gazprom - Space systems" said: "While the issue of claims not discussed ... But then, of course, will be analyzed situation and debriefing - why booster worked abnormally. Actually, this is in the interest of the Khrunichev Center, because the company is to carry out the following launches of "Proton" using boosters "Briz-M".
« Last Edit: 12/09/2012 12:56 pm by akula2 »

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Seems to be a pattern these days....Briz-M gonna fail every time there would be a russian payload... ::)
Interesting, but take a look at this: In the past 24 months a total of 22 Briz-M or Briz-KM missions have flown. Four of those are failures. That put's the failure rate for Briz on 18 percent over the past 24 months. That's a pretty bad number.

got a feeling this failure is going to hurt. 
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Offline Space Pete

Oh, not again.... ::)
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Offline woods170

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Seems to be a pattern these days....Briz-M gonna fail every time there would be a russian payload... ::)
Interesting, but take a look at this: In the past 24 months a total of 22 Briz-M or Briz-KM missions have flown. Four of those are failures. That put's the failure rate for Briz on 18 percent over the past 24 months. That's a pretty bad number.

got a feeling this failure is going to hurt. 
Putin will likely have another senior manager of some company/agency involved sacked, just like he did the last couple of times. It won't change anything however...

Offline input~2

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With the recently released tles, let's see what we can get:

Object A
epoch Dec 9, 1059UTC in 3071 x 35672 km x 26.06°
epoch Dec 9, 1248UTC in 3068 x 35673 km x 26.05°

Object B
epoch Dec 9, 0610UTC in 508 x 35605 km x 47.96°
epoch Dec 9, 1401UTC in 508 x 35605 km x 47.95°

Object C
epoch Dec 9, 1108UTC in 3038 x 35680 km x 26.08°
epoch Dec 9, 1544UTC in 3069 x 35686 km x 26.07°

The nominal geo transfer orbit was to be: 7470 x 35696 km x 9°
The fourth burn of the Briz lasted 4min49s instead of 8min49s planned

So it seems that the perigee of the achieved transfer orbit is short by some 4400km and the inclination is 17 degrees too high..
« Last Edit: 12/09/2012 04:30 pm by input~2 »

Offline input~2

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From ILS website:

Quote
Operations with Yamal 402 Spacecraft                       Statement from Khrunichev
On 9 December, during the target orbit insertion phase, the Yamal 402  spacecraft separated ahead of the scheduled time. At present the  spacecraft is under control. The delta insertion profile is being  currently defined for translating the spacecraft to its station and  subsequent commissioning.
   Early on 9 December evaluation was performed of the Yamal 402 orbit parameters. All SC systems are functioning nominally.
   Experts believe two additional burns of the propulsion system will  be required for the delta insertion of Yamal 402 to the design orbital  slot. The first such burn is scheduled for the late Sunday-early Monday.
   Following the completion of all maneuvers, the spacecraft will be  handed over to OAO Gazprom Space Systems for operation as originally  planned, i.e. on 8 January.
   

Offline Ben the Space Brit

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Bad luck to the ILS team who always try so hard, and also to the Proton team who get their booster running perfectly only for the transfer stage to glitch.

This has got to be a good thing for Arianespace, Sea Launch, SpaceX and maybe even ULA.  Every time Proton/Briz-M has an anomaly, the risk of using it starts looking like it outweighs any cost advantage.  ILS might start looking seriously at getting another rocket provider.
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Offline edkyle99

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Bad luck to the ILS team who always try so hard, and also to the Proton team who get their booster running perfectly only for the transfer stage to glitch.

This has got to be a good thing for Arianespace, Sea Launch, SpaceX and maybe even ULA.  Every time Proton/Briz-M has an anomaly, the risk of using it starts looking like it outweighs any cost advantage.  ILS might start looking seriously at getting another rocket provider.
You do realize that ILS is majority owned by, and is a subsidiary of, Khrunichev, which builds both Proton and Briz M?

Even with this failure, Proton M/Briz M has a slightly better record than Zenit 3SL.  SpaceX has no record in the GTO business.  ULA, with its $400+ million launches, can't compete.  Ariane 5 is the reliability winner here.

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/09/2012 06:46 pm by edkyle99 »

Offline Prober

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Bad luck to the ILS team who always try so hard, and also to the Proton team who get their booster running perfectly only for the transfer stage to glitch.

This has got to be a good thing for Arianespace, Sea Launch, SpaceX and maybe even ULA.  Every time Proton/Briz-M has an anomaly, the risk of using it starts looking like it outweighs any cost advantage.  ILS might start looking seriously at getting another rocket provider.
You do realize that ILS is majority owned by, and is a subsidiary of, Khrunichev, which builds both Proton and Briz M?

Even with this failure, Proton M/Briz M has a slightly better record than Zenit 3SL.  SpaceX has no record in the GTO business.  ULA, with its $400+ million launches, can't compete.  Ariane 5 is the reliability winner here.

 - Ed Kyle

and I would add that some talk of "upgrading" the Zenit to use the BritzM has been talked about.
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Offline Rocket Science

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I would like to say “bad luck” but there is something more than that going on here. I hope they find a single root cause if any...
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Offline mdo

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Here are a few calculated numbers based on public data:

Shutting down the Briz-M 4 minutes early corresponds to an underperformance of 0.7 km/s. That is consistent with the TLEs for the object 12070A/39022.

The planned deployment orbit (7500 x 36000 km x 9°) was 1 km/s short of GEO. Hence, the satellite will have to provide a total delta-v of 1.7 km/s to reach GEO. Given an isp of 320 s for the apogee engine that means an additional 650 kg of propellant (1850 kg instead of 1200 kg for a s/c separation mass of 4500 kg).

If the electric thrusters with an isp of 1500 s are used instead then it would (differences of continuous thrusting vs. impulsive maneuvers set aside) consume an extra 200 kg only. There were, however, no data on actual tank capacities at hand to explore the options.

Nonetheless, it would be interesting to see how the reported four year penalty in lifetime came about. If we spread the missing 700 m/s evenly across four years we get 175 m/s/yr for stationkeeping. For the nominal life of 15 years that makes a delta-v budget of 2625 m/s which looks way off. So, 15 years was probably with some margin and the new lifetime of 11 years is without.

Btw, as mentioned a few posts back 12070B/39023 appears to be the APT tank. Note that its first TLE is time tagged 16:52 UTC, although separation reportedly occurred 10 minutes later at 17:02 UTC.

Offline jcm

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Btw, as mentioned a few posts back 12070B/39023 appears to be the APT tank. Note that its first TLE is time tagged 16:52 UTC, although separation reportedly occurred 10 minutes later at 17:02 UTC.

This is not unusual - the TLE time tag is usually not the epoch of orbit determination, but the epoch of equator crossing on that orbit - depending on parameters it can end up before the time of the actual observations,
as in this case.
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Offline mdo

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Btw, as mentioned a few posts back 12070B/39023 appears to be the APT tank. Note that its first TLE is time tagged 16:52 UTC, although separation reportedly occurred 10 minutes later at 17:02 UTC.

This is not unusual - the TLE time tag is usually not the epoch of orbit determination, but the epoch of equator crossing on that orbit - depending on parameters it can end up before the time of the actual observations,
as in this case.

Right, the ascending node as well as perigee passage occurred at that time. Thanks for clarifying.

Online Galactic Penguin SST

A somewhat tangential topic: ex-ILS chief technical director James Bonner was charged with fraud charges in the US (Virginia) in October, associated with setting up shell companies and taking away Russian federal money (amount not known) for paying expertise on documentation analysis for ITAR compliance. This apparently lead to the sudden change of the whole ILS leadership earlier on. (or at least from what I can intercept from the Russian news report)

Are we seeing the downfall of ILS and the annihilation of the Proton?  ::)

Edit: This is the case filed in Alexandria, VA: http://dockets.justia.com/docket/virginia/vaedce/1:2012cv01140/287043/
« Last Edit: 12/10/2012 06:41 am by Galactic Penguin SST »
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Offline input~2

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The first "delta insertion" maneuver of the satellite has been completed last night according to RIA Novosti
http://ria.ru/space/20121210/914085760.html  (in Russian)

(AFAICT: tles with epoch Dec 10, 0650UTC reflect no change in the orbits for Object A or C)
« Last Edit: 12/10/2012 08:09 am by input~2 »

Offline input~2

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Briz-M main engine could be involved in the problem
(source in Russian)

Offline input~2

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Change in the orbit of Object A at epoch Dec 10, 0834UTC:

Object A now in 3503.7 x 36245.2 km x 26.17° (so it's confirmed it's the spacecraft!)

Object C orbit didn't change (so it's confirmed it's the Briz-M)

« Last Edit: 12/10/2012 08:46 am by input~2 »

Offline Prober

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A somewhat tangential topic: ex-ILS chief technical director James Bonner was charged with fraud charges in the US (Virginia) in October, associated with setting up shell companies and taking away Russian federal money (amount not known) for paying expertise on documentation analysis for ITAR compliance. This apparently lead to the sudden change of the whole ILS leadership earlier on. (or at least from what I can intercept from the Russian news report)

Are we seeing the downfall of ILS and the annihilation of the Proton?  ::)

Edit: This is the case filed in Alexandria, VA: http://dockets.justia.com/docket/virginia/vaedce/1:2012cv01140/287043/

The whole Russian space program is in major trouble 

http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=30535.msg990056#msg990056
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Offline edkyle99

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Are we seeing the downfall of ILS and the annihilation of the Proton?  ::)
No. 

Krunichev will need a Western commercial service front office, whether it be ILS or some other entity.

Proton itself is fine.  The problem is with the upper stage.  General Dynamics went through a similar set of problems with Centaur's RL10 during the 1980s-90s, which drove Atlas Centaur reliability down into the 70-80% range for a time.  The program was even shut down at one point in favor of Shuttle.  That was almost 100 Atlas II/III/V - Centaur launches ago now.

 - Ed Kyle   


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Here are a few calculated numbers based on public data:

Shutting down the Briz-M 4 minutes early corresponds to an underperformance of 0.7 km/s. That is consistent with the TLEs for the object 12070A/39022.

The planned deployment orbit (7500 x 36000 km x 9°) was 1 km/s short of GEO. Hence, the satellite will have to provide a total delta-v of 1.7 km/s to reach GEO. Given an isp of 320 s for the apogee engine that means an additional 650 kg of propellant (1850 kg instead of 1200 kg for a s/c separation mass of 4500 kg).

If the electric thrusters with an isp of 1500 s are used instead then it would (differences of continuous thrusting vs. impulsive maneuvers set aside) consume an extra 200 kg only. There were, however, no data on actual tank capacities at hand to explore the options.

Nonetheless, it would be interesting to see how the reported four year penalty in lifetime came about. If we spread the missing 700 m/s evenly across four years we get 175 m/s/yr for stationkeeping. For the nominal life of 15 years that makes a delta-v budget of 2625 m/s which looks way off. So, 15 years was probably with some margin and the new lifetime of 11 years is without.

Btw, as mentioned a few posts back 12070B/39023 appears to be the APT tank. Note that its first TLE is time tagged 16:52 UTC, although separation reportedly occurred 10 minutes later at 17:02 UTC.

Although you state the otherwise, the Russian media says;

"Ожидалось, что "Ямал" выйдет на геопереходную орбиту в воскресенье, 9 декабря, в 02.28 мск...-It was expected that the "Yamal" come to geosynchronous transfer orbit on Sunday, 9 December, at 02.28 MSK. "

at http://ria.ru/space/20121210/914085760.html

So, the amount of fuel and DeltaV requirement on your post might need an update, if the news is correct.
« Last Edit: 12/10/2012 02:33 pm by osiossim »

Offline kevin-rf

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Wow, claim that it may not delay Satmex-8.

http://ria.ru/science/20121209/914023802.html
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Offline Danderman

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Wow, claim that it may not delay Satmex-8.

http://ria.ru/science/20121209/914023802.html

A better approach is that the Official Decision to Delay Satmex-8 has not yet been made, which happens to be true.

In other words, they need to analyze the data to make a recommendation for the new launch date for Satmex-8.

Offline akula2

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Thales Alenia Space statement concerning Yamal-402 satellite

Cannes, December 10, 2012– The Yamal-402 telecommunication satellite was launched on December 8, 2012 from Baikonour by a Proton Breeze-M rocket.

Satellite acquisition was carried out and the solar panels partially deployed. The satellite was confirmed to be nominal :)

http://www.thalesgroup.com/Press_Releases/Markets/Space/2012/Thales_Alenia_Space_statement_concerning_Yamal-402_satellite/

Offline belegor

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Satellite acquisition was carried out and the solar panels partially deployed. The satellite was confirmed to be nominal :)

A question for clarification: The partial deployment of the solar panels was part of the plan? What is the reason behind it? (Or do I understand that incorrectly and what they're saying is, that the satellite is performing nominally except for a partial deployment of the solar panels?)

Offline jcm

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Quote
December 8 – Yamal-402 – Proton-M/Briz-M – Baikonur 200/39

Briz-M upper stage for this mission was today delivered to Baykonur
http://www.khrunichev.ru/main.php?id=1&nid=2637 (in Russian)

According to Rui this launch was to use 99528
http://www.zenite.nu/orbita/index.php?catid=4

Briz-M 99528 was previously delivered for Sirius-FM6
http://www.khrunichev.ru/main.php?id=1&nid=2295

99528 was then to be used for Intelsat-23

This was the eighth delivery of Briz-M for 2012
http://www.aex.ru/news/2012/11/1/99554/

So were the two previously delivered Briz-M for Sirius-FM6 and Luch-5B with Yamal-300K ever returned to Moscow for refurbishment?
http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=27791.msg952783#msg952783
Or were they repaired on site at Baikonur?


So after all this, do we know the s/n of this newly failed Briz-M?
99535 maybe?
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Offline mdo

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Although you state the otherwise, the Russian media says;

"Ожидалось, что "Ямал" выйдет на геопереходную орбиту в воскресенье, 9 декабря, в 02.28 мск...-It was expected that the "Yamal" come to geosynchronous transfer orbit on Sunday, 9 December, at 02.28 MSK. "

at http://ria.ru/space/20121210/914085760.html

So, the amount of fuel and DeltaV requirement on your post might need an update, if the news is correct.

Above snippet talks about entering "transfer" orbit which in this context can be any eccentric orbit with an apogee at GEO altitude. My numbers, however, refer to the leg of the journey that follows GTO insertion and leads to the final GEO position.

Offline anik

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So after all this, do we know the s/n of this newly failed Briz-M? 99535 maybe?

99532 - Экспресс-МД2/Telkom-3
99534 - Intelsat 23
99533 - Луч-5Б/Ямал-300К
99528 - EchoStar 16
99535 - Ямал-402

Offline input~2

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Satellite acquisition was carried out and the solar panels partially deployed. The satellite was confirmed to be nominal :)

A question for clarification: The partial deployment of the solar panels was part of the plan? What is the reason behind it? (Or do I understand that incorrectly and what they're saying is, that the satellite is performing nominally except for a partial deployment of the solar panels?)
Partial solar array deployment right after injection in GTO is standard procedure.

Offline belegor

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Partial solar array deployment right after injection in GTO is standard procedure.

Thanks, that's interesting. What's the reason behind it? To minimize loads during the following manoeuvers?

Offline akula2

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Thanks, that's interesting. What's the reason behind it? To minimize loads during the following manoeuvers?
Unless Satellite reaches Geostationary Earth Orbit those panels won't be deployed completely. Solar panels are deployed from GTO (partial) to GEO (complete) to minimize any shock loads on the panel interconnects and to protect the sensitive electronics/equipment.
« Last Edit: 12/11/2012 09:18 am by akula2 »

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Offline spectre9

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Luanching a massive investigation every time this happens just doesn't seem cost effective to me.

Rockets have standing armies to launch them.

Highly skilled aerospace workers.

Stand them down and you still pay them, your cost per launch is going up.

Offline Danderman

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Luanching a massive investigation every time this happens just doesn't seem cost effective to me.

Rockets have standing armies to launch them.

Highly skilled aerospace workers.

Stand them down and you still pay them, your cost per launch is going up.

The Strategic Rocket Forces don't specialize in any one type of rocket, they are generalists, so if Proton is grounded, the standing army launches Soyuz.

Offline spectre9

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Well that's good to know.

The Russians don't have their own little per vehicle cliques.  8)

Offline jcm

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So after all this, do we know the s/n of this newly failed Briz-M? 99535 maybe?

99532 - Экспресс-МД2/Telkom-3
99534 - Intelsat 23
99533 - Луч-5Б/Ямал-300К
99528 - EchoStar 16
99535 - Ямал-402

Thanks!
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Offline Antares

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That doesn't mean the generalists have fixed the root cause.
If I like something on NSF, it's probably because I know it to be accurate.  Every once in a while, it's just something I agree with.  Facts generally receive the former.

Offline akula2

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The Strategic Rocket Forces don't specialize in any one type of rocket, they are generalists, so if Proton is grounded, the standing army launches Soyuz.
What they have to do with Proton  ??? They deal with ICBMs, and handle all kinds of missiles in their arsenal.

Proton isn't going anywhere for some time. But it will eventually get replaced by Angara 5 Rocket in 5 years or so. My concern is the same Briz-M upper stage might go into Angara 5 or a new design.
« Last Edit: 12/12/2012 03:51 am by akula2 »

Offline Danderman

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That doesn't mean the generalists have fixed the root cause.

The Strategic Rocket Forces are not a design bureau; they are the standing army that handles launches. Each rocket is designed by a design bureau (some bureaux handle multiple rockets, though). In addition, each production facility has a design bureau that overseas production, to make sure that the production is within spec, as laid down by the integration design bureau (ie the prime contractor).

In the case of Khrunichev, it is the odd duck as a production facility that happens to be the prime; they have an attached design bureau that handles, AFAIK, both the engineering design and the production design bureau functions.

Errr ... what was the question again?   ???
« Last Edit: 12/12/2012 04:08 am by Danderman »

Offline akula2

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That has become obsolete so I asked about it.

Recently formed Russian Aerospace Defence Forces is in charge of all Satellite launches in Plesetsk. But Roscosmos manages Baikanour Satellite launches along with Aerospace Defence Forces. I guess the upcoming Vostochny project in Eastern Russia will be jointly operated too.

Offline patchfree

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Gazprom’s Yamal-402 Reaches Correct Orbit

http://www.themoscowtimes.com/news/article/gazprom-satellite-reaches-orbit-after-correction/472957.html


No!

Quote
12/12/2012 There remains one step

Experts of the Mission Control Center of the European company Thales Alenia Space have implemented the third of four planned maneuvers final ascent Gazprom satellite "Yamal-402" to the calculated point in orbit, the hosts announced the device, not too successfully launched from Baikonur on December 9.

"According to preliminary estimates, the maneuver is successful," - "Interfax" by "GSS", without specifying at what height could raise the spacecraft at this time.

If success is confirmed, will make the second maneuver to "put the squeeze" communications satellite to the desired point in the geostationary orbit. A date to be determined later.

http://novosti-kosmonavtiki.ru/news/4043/

Quote
On Dec. 12, 2012, the semi-official Interfax news agency quoted Gazprom representatives as saying that controllers of Thales Alenia Space in Cannes, France, had succeeded in conducting the third out of four planned maneuvers to insert Yamal-402 into its planned orbit. According to the Russian media, the first engine firing onboard the satellite was conducted during the night from December 9 to December 10 and the second maneuver took place during the night from December 10 to December 11, 2012. According to RIA Novosti news agency, an hour-long third firing was conducted during the day on December 12 and the final orbit correction was planned for the night from December 14 to December 15, 2012.

http://www.russianspaceweb.com/proton_2012.html#yamal402
http://kosmosnews.fr l'actualité spatiale russe en français

Offline Danderman

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That has become obsolete so I asked about it.

Recently formed Russian Aerospace Defence Forces is in charge of all Satellite launches in Plesetsk. But Roscosmos manages Baikanour Satellite launches along with Aerospace Defence Forces. I guess the upcoming Vostochny project in Eastern Russia will be jointly operated too.

Same same.

There is a standing army in Baikonur responsible for launches. Whether Proton is grounded or not, the standing army handles other launches, so no launch vehicle event would cause the cost of that army to operate a particular launch to increase.

Offline Chris Bergin

INVESTIGATION UNDERWAY ON PROTON LAUNCH ANOMALY

December 14, 2012- International Launch Services (ILS) and Khrunichev State Research and Production Space Center (Khrunichev) announce that a Russian commission has convened and an investigation is underway to determine the root cause of the December 8 ILS Proton launch anomaly with the Yamal 402 satellite.

The anomaly occurred during the 4th and final burn of the Breeze M engine during a planned 9 hour and 15 minute mission. The 4th burn ended about four minutes early and the spacecraft was subsequently separated. The satellite had been built by Thales Alenia Space for Russian satellite operator, Gazprom Space Systems.

The Russian commission, convened by Khrunichev, will include independent experts from TsNIIMash (Central Scientific Research Institute of Machine Building), the leading institution of Roscosmos to support design, development and research into rocket and space articles, and M.V. Keldysh Research Center, the leading Russian entity for rocket engines. In parallel with the Russian commission, ILS will form its own Failure Review Oversight Board (FROB).  The FROB will consist of representatives from ILS customers, insurance underwriters and technical experts from the industry. The FROB will review the commission’s findings and corrective action plan, in accordance with U.S. and Russian government export control regulations.
 
Additional information on the status of the investigation will be provided as it becomes available.

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Offline patchfree

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Online Galactic Penguin SST

Apparently the Russians now blame the failure on a turbopump bearing destruction during the final burn.

http://en.rian.ru/science/20121225/178385673.html

How frequent does that happen before in rocket engine flights?
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Offline akula2

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a) Any update on Yamal-402 satellite? I mean, reduction from 15 to 11 years due to use of its fuel. Is this confirmed? Or drastically down to even more (say 8 or 9 years).

b) Anyone know how to compute RoI on Satellites? At least rough estimate will do.

Online smoliarm

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Apparently the Russians now blame the failure on a turbopump bearing destruction during the final burn.

http://en.rian.ru/science/20121225/178385673.html

How frequent does that happen before in rocket engine flights?

Yes, "Kommersant" newspaper confirmed this yesterday (in Russian)

http://www.kommersant.ru/doc-y/2097660

and gave more details:
= The Kommersant's source in the investigation board confirmed the engine (C5.98) failure;
= the board believes that turbopump bearing destruction was the most probable cause;
= Turbopump developer and manufacturer ("КБ Химмаш") will conduct testing of all its turbopumps (that's how the put it in article - ALL);
= two coming launches with Briz-M - Satmex-8 and Anik G1 - are currently postponed till the end of testings;

Also, Kommersant's analyst, Ivan Sofronov noted, that this is not the first case of turbopump bearing destruction. In Feb 2006, Briz-M failed to deploy Arabsat-4A, later the failure was attributed to the bearing destruction, and "КБ Химмаш" concurred with this conclusion.

Offline Prober

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any change in bearing suppliers?

2017 - Everything Old is New Again.
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Offline Chris Bergin

ILS presser:

INVESTIGATION INTO PROTON LAUNCH ANOMALY CONTINUES AS ROOT CAUSE IS BEING EVALUATED

 

December 27, 2012- The Russian Commission, convened by Khrunichev, continues its investigation and is preparing a report concerning the root cause of the December 8th ILS Proton launch anomaly with the Yamal 402 satellite. Various root cause scenarios are being evaluated  prior to the issuance of a final conclusive report.

 

The anomaly occurred during the 4th and final burn of the Breeze M engine during a planned 9 hour and 15 minute mission. The 4th burn ended about four minutes early and the spacecraft was subsequently separated. The spacecraft, built by Thales Alenia Space for Russian satellite operator, Gazprom Space Systems, was successfully maneuvered to its orbital position and has started in-orbit tests.

 

ILS has formed a Failure Review Oversight Board (FROB) in serial process at the conclusion of the Russian Commission. The FROB will review the Commission’s final report and corrective action plan, in accordance with U.S. and Russian government export control regulations.  The FROB will begin in Moscow after the report is issued and consists of ILS customers, industry subject experts, and insurance industry representatives. The FROB will provide an independent review of the investigation, root cause and corrective actions of the Russian Commission required prior to return to commercial flight.  After the conclusion of the FROB, the FROB report will be briefed to ILS customers and the launch insurance industry.

 

Additional information will be provided as it becomes available.

 

 

About ILS and Khrunichev

ILS is a leading launch services provider for global satellite operators and offers a complete array of services and support, from contract signing through mission management and on-orbit delivery.  ILS has exclusive rights to market the Proton vehicle to commercial satellite operators worldwide and is a U.S. company headquartered in Reston, VA., near Washington, D.C.  For more information, visit www.ilslaunch.com.

 

Khrunichev, which holds the majority interest in ILS, is one of the cornerstones of the Russian space industry. Khrunichev manufactures the Proton system and is developing the Angara launch system. The Proton launches from facilities at the Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan, and has a heritage of more than 380 missions since 1965. Khrunichev includes, among its branches, a number of key manufacturers of launch vehicle and spacecraft components in Moscow and in other cities of the Russian Federation.  For more information, visit www.khrunichev.com.

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Offline akula2

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Also, Kommersant's analyst, Ivan Sofronov noted, that this is not the first case of turbopump bearing destruction. In Feb 2006, Briz-M failed to deploy Arabsat-4A, later the failure was attributed to the bearing destruction, and "КБ Химмаш" concurred with this conclusion.
I don't discount this at all. We have loads of bad-quality spares experience as well as huge project delays...

= the board believes that turbopump bearing destruction was the most probable cause;
=  Turbopump developer and manufacturer ("КБ Химмаш") will conduct testing  of all its turbopumps (that's how the put it in article - ALL);
If  that's true then Medvedev should have penalized them by now. I don't get why the delay. Perhaps it's  time for the Russian President to set the ball rolling...

Offline Chris Bergin

ILS:

ROSCOSMOS MANAGEMENT RELEASES INVESTIGATIVE COMMISSION’S REPORT
ON PROTON LAUNCH ANOMALY
TO KHRUNICHEV STATE RESEARCH AND SPACE PRODUCTION CENTER

January 11, 2012- Roscosmos management has reviewed and approved the report provided by the Russian working group investigating the Proton launch anomaly during the Yamal 402 mission and have provided the report to Khrunichev State Research and Space Production Center (Khrunichev).The findings on the identified most probable root cause of the anomaly and the required corrective actions will be released to ILS after the report clears Russian security during the week of January 21st.

 

The Russian working group, convened by Roscosmos, included independent experts from TsNIIMash (Central Scientific Research Institute of Machine Building), the leading institution of Roscosmos to support design, development and research into rocket and space articles, and M.V. Keldysh Research Center, the leading Russian entity for rocket engines.

International Launch Services (ILS) has formed a Failure Review Oversight Board (FROB) which will review the Commission’s final report and corrective action plan, in accordance with U.S. and Russian government export control regulations.  The FROB will begin in Moscow on January 30thand consists of ILS customers, industry subject experts, and insurance industry representatives. The FROB will provide an independent review of the investigation, root cause and corrective actions required prior to return to commercial flight.  After the conclusion of the FROB, the FROB report will be briefed to ILS customers and the launch insurance industry.

The anomaly occurred during the 4th and final burn of the Breeze M engine during a planned 9 hour and 15 minute mission. The 4th burn ended about four minutes early and the spacecraft was subsequently separated. The spacecraft, built by Thales Alenia Space for Russian satellite operator, Gazprom Space Systems, was successfully maneuvered to its orbital position and was declared fully operational on January 8th 2013 after completing its on orbit tests.

Additional information will be provided as it becomes available.
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Online Galactic Penguin SST

Hmmm....... again the long periods of operation by the Breeze-M seems to do no good to its reliability (or at least decreasing its margins) - someone put forward the hypothesis that the long 4+ hours coast between the third and fourth burns was almost entirely on the sunlit side of the Earth, which means that the fuel was not cooled down before the last burn, affecting their viscosity. Then when the burn took place, there was cavitation in the fuel lines, resulting in bearing destruction and fuel line leak. Does that make sense at all?  ???
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Offline anik

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someone put forward the hypothesis

It is not the hypothesis, it is an actual conclusion of commission.

Offline Stan Black

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While it was in flight I captured some additional events from
http://www.space-center.ru/LiveGroundTrack.aspx

582Конец АУ РН, отделение ОБ08.12.201213:23:25
662Начало поджатия08.12.201213:24:45
676Запуск МД08.12.201213:24:59
678Конец поджатия08.12.201213:25:01
955Выключение МД08.12.201213:29:38
965Конец 1-ого маневра08.12.201213:29:48
1020Начало разворота для ориентации по вектору скорости08.12.201213:30:43
1170Выход из зоны ИП08.12.201213:33:13
3410Конец разворота для ориентации по вектору скорости08.12.201214:10:33
3415Начало разворота для выполнения маневра08.12.201214:10:38
4015Начало поджатия08.12.201214:20:38
4015Конец разворота для выполнения маневра08.12.201214:20:38
4035Запуск МД08.12.201214:20:58
4037Конец поджатия08.12.201214:21:00
5129Выключение МД08.12.201214:39:12
7160Начало разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201215:13:03
7460Конец разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201215:18:03
10360Начало разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201216:06:23
10660Конец разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201216:11:23
11960Начало разворота для выполнения маневра08.12.201216:33:03
11984Открытие ТЗК08.12.201216:33:27
12560Начало поджатия08.12.201216:43:03
12584Запуск МД08.12.201216:43:27
12586Конец поджатия08.12.201216:43:29
13654Выключение МД08.12.201217:01:17
13654Выработка топлива из ДТБ08.12.201217:01:17
13729Начало поджатия08.12.201217:02:32
13735Сброс ДТБ08.12.201217:02:38
13737Конец поджатия08.12.201217:02:40
13865Вход в зону ИП08.12.201217:04:48
13900Начало разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201217:05:23
14500Конец разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201217:15:23
21152Начало разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201219:06:15
21352Конец разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201219:09:35
24578Начало разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201220:03:21
24778Конец разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201220:06:41
28004Начало разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201221:00:27
28204Конец разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201221:03:47
29717Начало разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201221:29:00
29971Конец разворота для ориентации на Солнце08.12.201221:33:14
31430Начало разворота для выполнения маневра08.12.201221:57:33
31440Открытие ТЗК08.12.201221:57:43
32030Конец разворота для выполнения маневра08.12.201222:07:33
32030Начало поджатия08.12.201222:07:33
32040Запуск МД08.12.201222:07:43
32042Конец поджатия08.12.201222:07:45
32569Выключение МД08.12.201222:16:32
32579Конец 4-ого маневра08.12.201222:16:42
32690Начало разворота на отделение КА08.12.201222:18:33
33290Конец разворота на отделение КА08.12.201222:28:33
33290Начало зоны отделения КА08.12.201222:28:33
33300Отделение КА08.12.201222:28:43
41000Начало увода РБ09.12.201200:37:03
41015Окончание увода РБ09.12.201200:37:18
45130Начало увода РБ09.12.201201:45:53
45230Окончание увода РБ09.12.201201:47:33

Offline Chris Bergin

INTERNATIONAL LAUNCH SERVICES (ILS) FAILURE REVIEW OVERSIGHT BOARD (FROB) CONCLUDES THE YAMAL 402 PROTON LAUNCH ANOMALY INVESTIGATON

February 12, 2013- The ILS Failure Review Oversight Board (FROB) concluded its review on February 7, concurring on the most probable root cause and the associated corrective action plan of the December 8, 2012 anomaly of the Yamal 402 Proton launch The FROB analyzed the findings and recommendations of the Russian working group, which included participation from experts from TsNIIMash (Central Scientific Research Institute of Machine Building), M.V. Keldysh Research Center and Khrunichev State Research and Space Production Center (Khrunichev).

 

The members of the FROB agreed with the findings of the Russian investigation that the most probable root cause of the failure was due to a combination of adverse conditions which affected the operation of the Breeze M main engine during the startup of the 3rd burn causing damage to a bearing on the oxidizer side of the turbo pump. This ultimately resulted in the failure of the bearing during the 4th burn and caused the 4th burn of the Breeze M to end about four minutes early, with subsequent separation of the spacecraft. The spacecraft, built by Thales Alenia Space for Russian satellite operator, Gazprom Space Systems, was successfully maneuvered to its orbital position and was declared fully operational on January 8th 2013 after completing its on orbit tests.

 

“My sincere appreciation goes out to our customers, insurance underwriters and independent subject matter experts for their thorough and diligent participation in the ILS FROB process. We thank our customers for their support as ILS Proton proceeds towards return to flight,” said ILS Vice President of Programs and Operations, John Palmé.


The ILS Proton return to flight mission will be the Satmex 8 satellite for Satélites Mexicanos, S.A. de C.V. (Satmex) next month. Scheduling of this mission and of the remainder of the ILS Proton near term manifest for 2013 is currently being determined.

 

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About ILS and Khrunichev

ILS is a leading launch services provider for global satellite operators and offers a complete array of services and support, from contract signing through mission management and on-orbit delivery.  ILS has exclusive rights to market the Proton vehicle to commercial satellite operators worldwide and is a U.S. company headquartered in Reston, VA., near Washington, D.C.  For more information, visit www.ilslaunch.com.

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Offline owais.usmani

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INTERNATIONAL LAUNCH SERVICES ISSUES ADDITIONAL DETAILS ON THE YAMAL 402 PROTON LAUNCH ANOMALY CAUSE AND CORRECTIVE ACTIONS


February 14, 2013 - International Launch Services (ILS) has issued additional details regarding the most probable root cause and corrective actions presented to the ILS Failure Review Oversight Board (FROB) concerning the Yamal 402 Proton launch anomaly which occurred on December 8, 2012.
 
The members of the FROB agreed with the findings of the Russian investigation that the most probable cause of the Yamal 402 Proton launch anomaly was due to a combination of adverse conditions which affected the operation of the Breeze M main engine during the startup of the 3rd burn.
The combination of adverse conditions were predominantly thermal in nature and affected the conditions at the oxidizer inlet line to the Breeze M main engine prior to the 3rd burn ignition and resulted in a large volume of oxidizer gas (rather than liquid oxidizer) at the engine inlet, exceeding the Breeze M main engine specifications. The volume of gas was ingested by the Breeze M turbopump at the start of the 3rd burn, leading to over-speed of the oxidizer turbopump bearing without the cooling normally supplied by liquid oxidizer. The over-speed damaged the bearing, which eventually led to the premature shutdown of the fourth burn. The adverse thermal conditions were due to higher than previously recorded propellant temperatures at liftoff combined with higher than previously recorded thermal soak-back of engine heat to the Breeze M prior to the 3rd burn.
Several corrective actions will be implemented, and include management of both satellite and Breeze M thermal requirements to ensure adequate margin to prevent future recurrence of this anomaly. No Breeze M hardware modifications are required.
The ILS Proton return to flight mission will be the Satmex 8 satellite for Satélites Mexicanos, S.A. de C.V. (Satmex) on March 27 (March 26 EST) from the Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan. The corrective actions required by the FROB to prevent future recurrence of the anomaly have been started and are currently on schedule to support the new launch date. Scheduling of the remainder of the ILS Proton near term manifest for 2013 is currently being determined.

http://www.ilslaunch.com/newsroom/news-releases/international-launch-services-issues-additional-details-yamal-402-proton-laun

Offline edkyle99

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66 times Briz M has flown on Proton, and 18 more times as Briz K(M) on Rokot.  Amazing that new things keep happening.

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 02/14/2013 08:01 pm by edkyle99 »

Offline Stan Black

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Quote
December 8 – Yamal-402 – Proton-M/Briz-M – Baikonur 200/39

Briz-M upper stage for this mission was today delivered to Baykonur
http://www.khrunichev.ru/main.php?id=1&nid=2637 (in Russian)

According to Rui this launch was to use 99528
http://www.zenite.nu/orbita/index.php?catid=4

Briz-M 99528 was previously delivered for Sirius-FM6
http://www.khrunichev.ru/main.php?id=1&nid=2295

99528 was then to be used for Intelsat-23

This was the eighth delivery of Briz-M for 2012
http://www.aex.ru/news/2012/11/1/99554/

So were the two previously delivered Briz-M for Sirius-FM6 and Luch-5B with Yamal-300K ever returned to Moscow for refurbishment?
http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=27791.msg952783#msg952783
Or were they repaired on site at Baikonur?



http://www.gazprom-spacesystems.ru/ru/news/publications/index.php?ELEMENT_ID=2142
Quote
«Новости космонавтики»
01.2013
А. Красильников
После этого Роскосмос принял решение детально перепроверить произведенные «Бризы-М»: №99528 и №99533, находившиеся на космодроме, а также №99534 и №99535, пребывавшие в Центре Хруничева. На это потребовалось время. В результате 14 октября на «Протоне-М» первым после аварии полетел спутник Intelsat 23. Причем для его запуска использовался «Бриз-М» №99534, доставленный на Байконур 21 сентября, а не №99528, хранившийся в МИКе площадки 92А. А вот «Луч-5Б» и «Ямал-300К», как изначально планировалось, отправились на орбиту на блоке №99533.
Как сообщил НК заместитель директора Завода по эксплуатации ракетно-космической техники Центра Хруничева по летно-испытательной базе «Байконур» Леонид Горюшкин, «Бризы-М» №99528 и №99533 были подвергнуты специальной проверке прямо в МИКе площадки 92А.

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