Bu the wheel situation is still very dire. Remember they have to go another 8 km compared to the 10 they have done already, over much rockier ground.
Thanks Dalhousie.
It still sounds like they are bemoaning the unchangeable.
The rover is headed uphill, and is drilling where there is an interesting spot.
Can't drive any faster...
"Lack of focus" suggests that the reviewer thinks there's something else that can be done. As in "stop getting distracted by taking pictures of Phobos"... But since this is not the case, and the reviewer does not have a better drive plan, I don't see his point.
If anything, they are being disciplined, not taking samples just in order to generate vanity data, and keeping their eye on the goal.
Suppose you sent a probe to a comet, and due to a thruster problem, the trip took 2x as long... Would you bemoan the lack of data while enroute?
I think the review panel were very careful not to bemoan the unchangeable. They very carefully (IMHO) did not mention the past. The criticisms are all on the future plans. E.g. once they get to the lower part Mt Sharp they are only going to do eight analyses in the next two years? Really? In the most interesting part of the succession? With CheMin and SAM still capable of 60 or more analyses after than?
Keep in mind that the wheel situation is probably much worse than the brave words from JPL. A contradiction in the press conference shows it up. While talking about the eight km drive over the next two years climbing through much rockier terrain than hitherto, they said that they had shortened the next segment by 100 m to save wear on the wheels. If the wheel situation is so bad that a 100 m shortening of the route is significant, planning on another 8 km seems rather optimistic.
Thanks Dalhousie.
It still sounds like they are bemoaning the unchangeable.
The rover is headed uphill, and is drilling where there is an interesting spot.
Can't drive any faster...
"Lack of focus" suggests that the reviewer thinks there's something else that can be done. As in "stop getting distracted by taking pictures of Phobos"... But since this is not the case, and the reviewer does not have a better drive plan, I don't see his point.
If anything, they are being disciplined, not taking samples just in order to generate vanity data, and keeping their eye on the goal.
Suppose you sent a probe to a comet, and due to a thruster problem, the trip took 2x as long... Would you bemoan the lack of data while enroute?
I think the review panel were very careful not to bemoan the unchangeable. They very carefully (IMHO) did not mention the past. The criticisms are all on the future plans. E.g. once they get to the lower part Mt Sharp they are only going to do eight analyses in the next two years? Really? In the most interesting part of the succession? With CheMin and SAM still capable of 60 or more analyses after than?
Keep in mind that the wheel situation is probably much worse than the brave words from JPL. A contradiction in the press conference shows it up. While talking about the eight km drive over the next two years climbing through much rockier terrain than hitherto, they said that they had shortened the next segment by 100 m to save wear on the wheels. If the wheel situation is so bad that a 100 m shortening of the route is significant, planning on another 8 km seems rather optimistic.
My question was - what are the alternatives?
The distance they can cover in the next two years is fixed. The route is pretty much agreed on.
Should they drill and take more samples just because if the wheels die early, at least the magazine would be spent, so to speak?
What they are saying is - they'll drill and sample according to the scientific worth of the terrain, and that's the best they can do. If they wheels last long enough, then at least they'll have more samples to take.
But wasting them early actually sounds a bit panicky to me. Imagine the red faces if the wheels do hold, but they're out of ammo since they wanted to look good?
The wheels wont die early, especially now JPL are aware of the concern.
They are saving the sample wheel because they know that once they reach Mt. Sharp they can get samples from obviously different eras on Mars.
In Grotzinger we trust!
Yup, but given all of the above, we're now talking about risk management under very uncertain conditions.
That's not quite "lack of scientific focus", is it?
The PI decided that on the terrain reachable in the next two years, doing more than 8 drills will not add much science value. (Unless they find something new of course)
Meandering on the way up and stopping at extra points would have been "erring on the side of lack of focus".
Honestly, the right thing to do would have been to point out constructive alternatives, not just count samples.
The JPL response has basically gone from "It's not a problem, why is everyone making a fuss?" to It's a problem, but we are managing it by driving backwards and selecing the route carefully" to We are managing it by shortening the route by a kilometre"
So despite their best efforts the wheels are getting worse and, while they will probably hold for a bit longer it is very questionable whether they will make another 8 km.
Remember the terrain is steeper and rockier than anything seen to date.
Okay the science team knows from a couple of the instruments like ChemCam and APXS that the rocks are the same composition for the last several kms driven. Sampling the same stuff over and over, what is to be gained from that when they know the really interesting formation is at least as far as Pahrump Hills/base of Mt. Sharp?
I am not impressed with the review, just sounded like they can't handle the damage to the wheels and used at as a platform to bellyache about "flagship" this and that and Grotzinger was absent from multiple meetings. Shouldn't one meeting suffice?
Plus the review panel does not look back - because that would mean discussing the inconvenient truth that the primary science goals for MSL were attained at Yellowknife Bay. Hard to kvetch about that.
The JPL response has basically gone from "It's not a problem, why is everyone making a fuss?" to It's a problem, but we are managing it by driving backwards and selecing the route carefully" to We are managing it by shortening the route by a kilometre"
So despite their best efforts the wheels are getting worse and, while they will probably hold for a bit longer it is very questionable whether they will make another 8 km.
This does not appear to be an accurate summary of the actual situation. From everything I've heard, once they dug into the problem the wheel damage has followed their predictions pretty well. They are obviously taking every opportunity they can to maximize the life, including route changes and driving strategies.
This is pretty typical JPL... no one catches every problem in advance, but once they do find one, they analyze the heck out of it.
Remember the terrain is steeper and rockier than anything seen to date.QuoteAs noted in
my earlier post, rockier alone doesn't necessarily mean worse. They have the ability to identify bad terrain from orbital data, and this has proven pretty reliable so far.
Okay the science team knows from a couple of the instruments like ChemCam and APXS that the rocks are the same composition for the last several kms driven. Sampling the same stuff over and over, what is to be gained from that when they know the really interesting formation is at least as far as Pahrump Hills/base of Mt. Sharp?
What's past is history, but since you raise it, there have been a number of very interesting rocks that could have done with more analysis, for example Turkey screatch rock, which didn't even get the AXPS or Chemcam treament, desite being the only porphyritic rock we have seen anywhere on Mars. Because it was loose it could not have been drilled and thus not able to be analysed by CheMin.
There have been a few texturally different sedimentary rocks that would have been worth looking at in more detail at the other waypoints. Remember that Chcham and APXS both give only chemistry. One of the weaknesses of the Curiosity design is that it has no equivalent drive by or contact instrument for minerally (unlike the MERs which have the MiniTES spectrometer). Rocks can have similar chemistries but different mineralogy.
And of course the only way that organic compounds can be detected is with SAM. Having come up with a hypothesis for the preservation of organics in the regolith back at Glenelg, they have driven past several opportunities to test that hypothesis. This would be useful to know prior to the lower succession of Mt Sharp. It would be a shame with only eight samples planned that they ended up taking the wrong places on the basis of an untested hypothesis.QuoteI am not impressed with the review, just sounded like they can't handle the damage to the wheels and used at as a platform to bellyache about "flagship" this and that and Grotzinger was absent from multiple meetings. Shouldn't one meeting suffice?
The review is biggest criticism was about the lack of science, not the wheel damage. Wheel damage wasn't mentioned.
And yes, this is the senior review, which is about the amount of funding the mission should get over the next two years. The PI should have it as a priority. Not turning up is rude, arrogant and demonstrates, as the senior reviewer said, a "too big to fail" mentality.QuotePlus the review panel does not look back - because that would mean discussing the inconvenient truth that the primary science goals for MSL were attained at Yellowknife Bay. Hard to kvetch about that.
The review panel was for the extended mission, not to reflect on past glories. It's poor return for the EM1 phase that concerned them.
But since you raise it, what's inconvenient about the success at Yellowknife Bay? It was pure luck. However it is questionable whether the science goals were fully meant there. From the launch media kit the science goals were:
1) Assess the biological potential of at least one target environment by determining the nature and inventory
of organic carbon compounds, searching for the chemical building blocks of life and identifying features that may record the actions of biologically relevant processes.
At best only partially achieved at Yellowknife Bay given the problematic of organic detection with SAM at the site due to contamination and the interaction with soil perchlorate.
2) Characterize the geology of the rover’s field site at all appropriate spatial scales by investigating the chemical, isotopic and mineralogical composition of surface and near-surface materials and interpreting the processes that have formed rocks and soils.
Achieved
3) Investigate planetary processes of relevance to past habitability (including the role of water) by assessing
the long timescale atmospheric evolution and determining the present state, distribution and cycling
of water and carbon dioxide.
Achieved in part.
4) Characterize the broad spectrum of surface radiation, including galactic cosmic radiation, solar proton events and secondary neutrons.
Achieved.
Curiosity has no problem with rocky terrain. It does however have a problem with a particular terrain which has many sharp edges.
The terrain is changing, maybe this will be more/less of a problem.
Exciting, init?
Yellowknife Bay was not pure luck (MRO images/data to work from prior to landing)...
and inconvenient for the review panel in that the mission science goals achieved at that location, well it's hard to complain about that, right?
Anyway, most important thing MSL received funding for extended mission.
That's the story they are putting about, but I don't believe it for one moment.
Prior to launch the notion was to drive 30 km or more in the primary mission. I find it hard to believe that would have been considered had the sort of damage seen been expected.
As a general rule, rockier is worse for wheel damage. So are slopes. Rocky slopes are worse. Rocky rough slopes, where the roughness limits the choices as to which route can be taken, are the worst of all. Curiosity has all three ahead of it.
There is some ability to identify surface roughness from orbit, especially when the terrain ahead is similar to what has been traversed. But the terrain ahead of Curiosity is nothing like what has been traversed so far. However the surface roughness and rockiness predictive ability of HiRISE with it's 30 cm resolution is very limited, as the problem appears to be small sharp rocks in the cm to 10 cm range.
That's the story they are putting about, but I don't believe it for one moment.You are certainly entitled to your opinion, but it appears to be contradicted by the people who spent a whole lot of time actually working on the problem.
QuotePrior to launch the notion was to drive 30 km or more in the primary mission. I find it hard to believe that would have been considered had the sort of damage seen been expected.
I'm not sure why you are bringing up pre-launch estimates. There is no question that this kind of damage was not expected pre-launch. I'm talking about the testing and analysis done after the problem was recognized. The statements I've seen are that the ongoing damage has been consistent with those results.
QuoteAs a general rule, rockier is worse for wheel damage. So are slopes. Rocky slopes are worse. Rocky rough slopes, where the roughness limits the choices as to which route can be taken, are the worst of all. Curiosity has all three ahead of it.Your "general rule" appears to conflict with statements of the people who actually operate the vehicle. Specific types of rocky terrain are worse.
QuoteThere is some ability to identify surface roughness from orbit, especially when the terrain ahead is similar to what has been traversed. But the terrain ahead of Curiosity is nothing like what has been traversed so far. However the surface roughness and rockiness predictive ability of HiRISE with it's 30 cm resolution is very limited, as the problem appears to be small sharp rocks in the cm to 10 cm range.You are making a lot of assumptions.
September 11, 2014
RELEASE 14-245
NASA’s Mars Curiosity Rover Arrives at Martian Mountain
NASA's Mars Curiosity rover has reached the Red Planet's Mount Sharp...
The first leg of the Curiosity traverse was away from Mt Sharp to a location called Glenelg...
My question was - what are the alternatives?
The distance they can cover in the next two years is fixed. The route is pretty much agreed on.
Should they drill and take more samples just because if the wheels die early, at least the magazine would be spent, so to speak?
What they are saying is - they'll drill and sample according to the scientific worth of the terrain, and that's the best they can do. If they wheels last long enough, then at least they'll have more samples to take.
But wasting them early actually sounds a bit panicky to me. Imagine the red faces if the wheels do hold, but they're out of ammo since they wanted to look good?