Author Topic: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread  (Read 260984 times)

Offline Jim

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #640 on: 09/04/2012 02:12 am »


“You said ATK had a tested design, which it does not.”
What are you talking about?  I’ve watched the video of the system ATK planned on using.

Yes, my “evaluation” and I have done many in my lifetime, and they are respected.  My clients this time are the US taxpayer.

I can spot a flubbed up evaluation like the CCiCap with very little effort.  If the criteria were based on “Commercial market” it’s flawed. Jim as you enjoy saying “Unknown”, that just what the “Commercial market” is.    It was being factored so heavily into this process skews the outcome.  Maybe the same people that said the high launch rates of the EELV did this one, sigh. 


The "test" was no where close to an actual abort system.  It was just as bogus as Ares I-X

No one's asking for your flawed evaluation. 
A.  The commercial aspects do not affect the technical aspects.  So the ranking remains the same.
B.  The solicitation was for "commercial"CiCAP, there was no flub up
« Last Edit: 09/04/2012 02:13 am by Jim »

Offline DaveH62

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #641 on: 09/04/2012 03:38 am »
NASA is not in the business of picking “Winners and losers”.

You mean they shouldn't be... because they most certainly have been for decades now.

Somebody has to win eventually. What is the point. The contracts were bid out, the process was transparent and the winners to date have clear realistic plans.

Offline QuantumG

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #642 on: 09/04/2012 04:02 am »
Somebody has to win eventually. What is the point. The contracts were bid out, the process was transparent and the winners to date have clear realistic plans.

Japan.
Human spaceflight is basically just LARPing now.

Offline beancounter

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #643 on: 09/04/2012 05:52 am »
Somebody has to win eventually. What is the point. The contracts were bid out, the process was transparent and the winners to date have clear realistic plans.

Japan.
China!
Beancounter from DownUnder

Offline QuantumG

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #644 on: 09/04/2012 06:26 am »
Japan.
China!

China gave up on industrial policy. They learnt the lesson of Japan.

Or were you just trying to be witty?
Human spaceflight is basically just LARPing now.

Offline thydusk666

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #645 on: 09/04/2012 08:04 am »
Somebody has to win eventually. What is the point. The contracts were bid out, the process was transparent and the winners to date have clear realistic plans.

Japan.

What would Japan have to do with the CCiCAP award?

Offline QuantumG

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #646 on: 09/04/2012 09:43 am »
What would Japan have to do with the CCiCAP award?

Not a lot.. we were slightly off-topic, discussing NASA "picking winners and losers" in general. The Japanese industrial crash is the canonical example of a non-soviet state with widespread market interference.

Carry on.
Human spaceflight is basically just LARPing now.

Offline yg1968

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #647 on: 09/04/2012 03:56 pm »
This was released publicly on Friday

Thanks!
obligatory stoplight chart attached...

Thanks! I decided to put numbers for all of these criterias in order to give each company an overall score based on the evaluations given by the Participant Evaluation Panel (PEP):

1- Boeing 18/20 (tied with SpaceX)
1- SpaceX 18/20 (tied with Boeing)
3- SNC 16/20
4- ATK 12/20

Legend:

Effectiveness ratings:
Blue = 5
Green = 4
White = 3
Yellow = 2
Red = 1

Confidence ratings:
High = 5
Medium = 3
Low = 1
« Last Edit: 09/04/2012 04:08 pm by yg1968 »

Offline yg1968

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #648 on: 09/04/2012 04:30 pm »
In respect of DC, this paragraph on page 12 of the selection statement is worth noting:

Quote
SNC has the most significant amount of risk reduction and technology development work to do before reaching CDR, and I would like to see what kind of progress SNC can make on increasing the maturity of some of its key technologies and reducing some of its key risks to increase my confidence in its ability to reach CDR before providing them with additionnal funding. For this reason, I decided that SNC will receive a significantly reduced award.

This quote from Gerst is interesting as it seems to leave the door open for SNC receiving additionnal CciCap optional milestones funding if they are succesful in their CCiCap base period milestones.
« Last Edit: 09/04/2012 04:32 pm by yg1968 »

Online robertross

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #649 on: 09/05/2012 01:12 am »
Any thoughts or news on when we can expect the selection statement?  It's been four weeks since the CCiCap awards, yet still nothing from the usual suspects, or on the Commercial Crew site.  IIRC, NASA promised the selection statement would be available soon--"within a couple weeks" or some such at the time of the awards 03-Aug.  (I had my money on Fri 31-Aug, but obviously no such luck.)

This was released publicly on Friday

Adding my thanks Sir!

Offline erioladastra

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #650 on: 09/05/2012 01:34 am »
Quote from: sdsds link=topic=29583.msg949730#msg949730 Do they have [i
any[/i] skin in the game?

Absolutely!

Online Lee Jay

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #651 on: 09/05/2012 01:36 am »
This quote from Gerst is interesting as it seems to leave the door open for SNC receiving additionnal CciCap optional milestones funding if they are succesful in their CCiCap base period milestones.

This, to me, is good.  It's all about execution to Gerst and the program.  That's as it should be.  Hopefully SNC will rise to the occasion.

Offline joek

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #652 on: 09/05/2012 04:08 am »
"the DC is more proven in some respects"  you have no idea what information I am referencing.

Per the selection statement...
Quote
[SNC] All Weaknesses were fully addressed except as follows: does not adequately address the risk associated with spacecraft Thermal Protection System (TPS) damage.
[...]
SNC Confidence rating is driven by several factors: complexity of the heat shield design, complexity in abort conditions, controlling weight of the design, and ability to bring green propeilants on line in a cost effective and timely manner.
[...]
but SNC has many more technologies that need to be matured in order to reach CDR and its winged lifting body design presents some uinique challenges not found in a capsule design.  This technology development and the rest of tis development actifivies within the CCiCap base period make SNC's proposal a higher risk choice.

All of which is consistent with what is publicly known.  Would you share what information you are referencing that would help shed light on, or otherwise modify, the findings of the CCiCap selection committee?
« Last Edit: 09/05/2012 04:13 am by joek »

Offline bolun

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #653 on: 09/05/2012 11:17 am »
http://www.spacenews.com/civil/120904-nasa-dropped-atk-comm-crew.html

Quote
A design by Alliant Techsystems (ATK) was dropped from NASA’s shortlist of potential space station crew taxis because the company did not present a technically sound plan for combining existing rocket and spacecraft designs into a single transportation system, according to a NASA source selection document released Sept. 4.

“I had some significant concerns about the lack of detail in some areas of ATK’s technical approach,” William Gerstenmaier, associate administrator for NASA’s Human Exploration and Operations Mission Directorate, wrote in the document. “Basically, the proposal lacked enough detail to determine if a safe crew transportation system could be developed in a timely and cost effective manner out of the heritage components ATK selected for this concept.”

Offline yg1968

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #654 on: 09/05/2012 03:35 pm »
Any thoughts or news on when we can expect the selection statement?  It's been four weeks since the CCiCap awards, yet still nothing from the usual suspects, or on the Commercial Crew site.  IIRC, NASA promised the selection statement would be available soon--"within a couple weeks" or some such at the time of the awards 03-Aug.  (I had my money on Fri 31-Aug, but obviously no such luck.)

This was released publicly on Friday

It is now also available on the website:
http://commercialcrew.nasa.gov/document_file_get.cfm?docID=645
http://commercialcrew.nasa.gov/page.cfm?ID=38
« Last Edit: 09/05/2012 03:37 pm by yg1968 »

Offline yg1968

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #655 on: 09/05/2012 05:31 pm »
The selection statement has the following interesting comments on page 8 on SpaceX' business plans:

Quote
[...] demonstrates a viable business plan that targets different markets beyond crew transportation to LEO and ISS with multiple spacecraft and launch vehicle configurations.

I imagine that SpaceX' business plans includes launches to Mars as stated by Musk on various occasions.

Offline DigitalMan

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #656 on: 09/05/2012 06:26 pm »
The selection statement has the following interesting comments on page 8 on SpaceX' business plans:

Quote
[...] demonstrates a viable business plan that targets different markets beyond crew transportation to LEO and ISS with multiple spacecraft and launch vehicle configurations.

I imagine that SpaceX' business plans includes launches to Mars as stated by Musk on various occasions.

I don't see how NASA would have been able to categorize that as 'viable' at this point.

Offline yg1968

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #657 on: 09/05/2012 06:41 pm »
The selection statement has the following interesting comments on page 8 on SpaceX' business plans:

Quote
[...] demonstrates a viable business plan that targets different markets beyond crew transportation to LEO and ISS with multiple spacecraft and launch vehicle configurations.

I imagine that SpaceX' business plans includes launches to Mars as stated by Musk on various occasions.

I don't see how NASA would have been able to categorize that as 'viable' at this point.

I think that they were trying to make two separate points in that sentence: SpaceX has a viable business plan and their business plan targets various markets. I don't think that they were trying to say that SpaceX' business plan is viable because it targets Mars and other BLEO destinations.
« Last Edit: 09/06/2012 04:55 pm by yg1968 »

Online Ronsmytheiii

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Offline joek

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Re: The CCiCAP Award (PRE- and Post-AWARD DISCUSSION) Thread
« Reply #659 on: 09/06/2012 02:43 am »
I decided to put numbers for all of these criterias in order to give each company an overall score based on the evaluations given by the Participant Evaluation Panel (PEP):

Nice, thanks.  Me, I used the product of effectiveness and confidence to produce a unified score. YMMV...
« Last Edit: 09/06/2012 02:51 am by joek »

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