Ok, this is preliminary and difficult...
.../...
If all the signals are false, then there is no progress to be made by comparing the signals...
This is now several pages back but didn't want to leave it unchallenged -- frobnicat, it's not a detour for Eagleworks or Woodward to be focusing, decades into their separate work, building thrust levels as a primary focus compared to eliminating spurious, conventional sources of potential thrust. The fact is, the effort to eliminate spurious sources can go on forever if you are pumping hundreds of watts into a box and measuring micronewtons at a small distance above the noise threshold. In Woodward's case it's been over I believe 17 years of experiments.
But but but, if those thrust levels are false, I mean not about any backing theory but by the most basic experimental criteria :
thrust/power > 1/c with no loss of mass (beyond the mass equivalence of energy involved) and not directly or indirectly pushing on a nearby ground. Those are exactly the conditions of applicability of the effect for space propulsion (and cheap energy generation BTW).
This is the extraordinary experimental claim. I insist on the experimental aspect of it : possible backing theories are interesting, but need not be considered to discuss the
practical implications of such experimental result, nor the methodology to ascertain the reality of the results (that is, it fulfils the above criteria). So for commodity what I call a false effect is a thrust or force that is not fulfilling those requirements, while a true effect does.
My point was, if measured forces are false effect then it is pointless to focus on devices with better thrust levels, unless very specifically this shows that the effect is false. For instance (excuse the cheap analogy, just to make my point clear) say some team of medieval scientists is interested in flying/hovering. They might note that jumping is a good start, gets them closer to the situation they want. But only for a limited amount of time. So they try to jump on a scale and measure the average weight. By integrating the weight over time they notice a small disparity of the average with the weight at rest. They deduce (posito quod deducunt ?) that a moving object has a different weight, on average, when compared to a resting mass. Now they will try to optimise the effect (lower average weight) by finding the best way to repetitively hop. They will likely succeed and getting better and better at having a lower average weight on the scale they will claim that surely there must be something since something is improving, so they are onto something. Looking at that with modern eyes we clearly see that this is a dead-end, they are only improving on exploiting some complex hard to understand measuring apparatus imperfection and coupling with varying weights, therefore improving on fooling themselves, as far as flying/hovering is concerned.
It will sound harsh and maybe unfair to put forward this cartoonesque analogy, given the genuine efforts of Woodward March et al for so many years. Even sceptics on this thread are convinced of the sincerity of those science adventurers and that we need people to take risks and explore unconventional things, otherwise we would not be discussing at length those results and theories, we wouldn't even care criticize.
Point is : " the effort to eliminate spurious sources can go on forever" will be the case if there is no true effect here, and we are just confirming the (expected) fact that it is just plain impossible, within ever better accuracy. Which is valid and interesting scientific progress : excluded at 300000/c, excluded at 1000/c, excluded at 1.0001/c ... But then it would always be possible to say "this device is not producing thrust, but another one, backed by a better theory, could..." so yes it is endless, and will most likely be if no real effect is possible.
So before trying to improve thrusts levels of some design, please do the experiments in such a way that the effect has true meaning. If it is impossible (for budget/technical reasons) to get a clean yes/no answer to the question "is it real at all ?" then it is irrelevant (scientifically speaking) to get better thrusts and you would just be getting better at fooling yourself.
Being unable to build a consistent and reproducible experiment in 17 years is completely compatible with "no true effect is possible" or "true effect is possible but were never encountered yet", and less and less compatible with "some true effect was witnessed at some point". Regardless of priors and theories.
The one thing that changes the dynamic is if you can increase the thrust/power to the level where spurious sources of thrust are differentiated by the power level. The larger the thrust being measured, the easier it is to figure out the source.
So even if the theory is wrong, after so many years of chasing something uncertain, and if you're convinced either by the underlying theory or previous results, surely it makes sense to keep trying to increase the thrust while only slowly chipping away at the spurious potential sources.
If "my" theory is correct (true effect is impossible) : the thrust is spurious, trying to augment it is trying to augment a spurious effect. At some point it could appear clearly as spurious because it was augmented. Ok, I give you that. But it is also possible that in this antagonistic interplay between lowering the effects one recognize as spurious and augmenting the effects believed to be true (still spurious, but not recognized as such), and changing constantly from set-ups, devices, experimental conditions... one is just keeping on the level of confusion needed to maintain an illusion of true effect and progress when there is none.
So even if augmenting the thrust could be a way to find and understand it as a spurious effect (real progress) my take is that it is not the best way. Focus should be on a good appropriate balance
and isolating the device,
first, like Brito et al. Then if you have a positive result, this is a clean result, apply for Nobel. Else, null result (like Brito et al), this is also a clean result.
Then try another theory/design. Don't expect better thrusting as any guideline for the new design as this is all or nothing, either you have a real effect (and improvement can come later, after the Nobel) or you have no real effect (and improving thrust is pointless). So every new design is a blank page.
Consider our medieval scientists, after some time at becoming expert at hoping on a given scale to optimise the averaged apparent weight they build a new and better scale. The experience gained in hoping to fool a mechanical scale is still useful to get non null result with the new model of scale, but not as good. Disparate results... but still non null, and still possible to refine the aptitude to fool this new kind of scale... (also at lower levels). Better and better scales, lower and lower effects, but still non null, and still possible to "improve" on any given scale. At some point a monk remarks that blowing downward has a very small but significant and continuous effect on apparent weight. That would be a real effect (for the goal of flying/hovering). What was gained in terms of progress by all those years of hoping when discovering this new real effect ? Better scales, I grant you that, but for the real effect it's like starting from a blank page.
This theory is falsifiable : show us a working reproducible effect fulfilling the requirements beyond any doubt. I'm not saying it would be easy (especially since I more and more believe this is impossible) but
if it is possible, the methodology appears far from fundamental research standards. And I'm not the only one with this feeling. And a lot of them educated and usually open minded people won't even care sharing that thought but directly trash anything like "propellantless propulsion" in the abstract, not the least because the apparently poor methodology strategies and high confusion.
Best