Author Topic: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list  (Read 187049 times)

Offline quark

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #600 on: 07/13/2012 10:13 pm »
The way I refer to ULA has been criticised before and I'm sorry I snapped. It's just confusing not knowing what the type.

ULA wants to offer the Atlas V as a man rated rocket. They would obviously have needed permission from higher up as they need to build the thing.

I'm saying those higher ups like it very much because they are desperate for payloads.

The reason they are desperate is simple all the commercial sats are on Proton and Ariane 5.

Doesn't matter if my assessment of "desperate" is wrong to me it looks like they have the ability to launch the extra rockets on time, on budget with no problem at all.

SpaceX to me looks like have much further to go to get to that point where they can ramp up in the same way.



To clarify ULA's role in commercial crew:  ULA can contract directly with any commercial crew service provider to provide human rated launch services.  LMCLS and BLS are not involved.  ULA has supported the CCiCap bids of some of these prospective providers, but can't bid directly because of charter limitations.

Offline spectre9

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #601 on: 07/14/2012 12:35 am »
I like that Dream Chaser says they're launch vehicle agnostic.

Not wanting to jump straight on F9 is a worry but wanting to keep the option open might be a good thing.

I think Dream Chaser could move across and save some money (when F9 launch rate/reliability is up) where as CST-100 might not be as willing being a Boeing spacecraft and not wanting to take payloads away from ULA.

Dream Chaser is still the #1 choice and I think the fact that they've been more willing to share their progress than CST-100 which is almost impossible to get public updates on is a big bonus for them. NASA is the publics space agency after all.

Offline rmencos

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #602 on: 07/14/2012 02:55 am »
I like that Dream Chaser says they're launch vehicle agnostic.

Not wanting to jump straight on F9 is a worry but wanting to keep the option open might be a good thing.

I think Dream Chaser could move across and save some money (when F9 launch rate/reliability is up) where as CST-100 might not be as willing being a Boeing spacecraft and not wanting to take payloads away from ULA.

Dream Chaser is still the #1 choice and I think the fact that they've been more willing to share their progress than CST-100 which is almost impossible to get public updates on is a big bonus for them. NASA is the publics space agency after all.

Boeing has said that they are using the Atlas V as a preliminary launch vehicle.  They're willing to switch to other launch vehicles.  The Atlas V is a Lockheed creation, so I don't think Boeing feels any allegiance/obligation to using it.

Boeing's been out to the masses.  Most recently recently at SpaceUp a few weeks ago (link below - skip to about 1:17 and hear them talk about how they are not committed to Atlas V).  I think that NASA tends to control the press on CCDEV2 updates, and Boeing also seems to act pretty secure.

http://www.livestream.com/spaceuphouston/video?clipId=pla_2bc5d644-9de1-4166-8b62-8ae04f22369f

The Dream Chaser should come through.  SNC, Boeing and ULA (as a sub-contract) are feeding off each other to get the integrated capacity (it's mentioned in the video).

Offline Jim

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #603 on: 07/14/2012 12:17 pm »

Dream Chaser is still the #1 choice and I think the fact that they've been more willing to share their progress than CST-100 which is almost impossible to get public updates on is a big bonus for them. NASA is the publics space agency after all.

That has no bearing on the matter.

Offline JohnFornaro

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #604 on: 07/14/2012 01:25 pm »
SpaceX is a business venture, and the invested money is called capital.

So, in your little version of reality, everyone who invests in a business is a venture capitalist?

You certainly have an altitude problem, but yes, everyone who invests capital in a business venture is a VC.  It's not a matter of size, your dig about "little versions" notwithstanding.  If the parents invest in the daughter's travel business, or the son's contracting business, they are VC's.  It's a matter of function, not size, nor industry, nor tailor, nor the sign on the door.  And whether the investor is friend or family has no bearing on the VC function.

Sheesh.
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Offline Downix

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #605 on: 07/14/2012 07:51 pm »
SpaceX is a business venture, and the invested money is called capital.

So, in your little version of reality, everyone who invests in a business is a venture capitalist?

You certainly have an altitude problem, but yes, everyone who invests capital in a business venture is a VC.  It's not a matter of size, your dig about "little versions" notwithstanding.  If the parents invest in the daughter's travel business, or the son's contracting business, they are VC's.  It's a matter of function, not size, nor industry, nor tailor, nor the sign on the door.  And whether the investor is friend or family has no bearing on the VC function.

Sheesh.
I'd qualify this as to say someone who invests capital in a start up, non-public firm is a VC.
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Offline FinalFrontier

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #606 on: 07/14/2012 08:11 pm »
Quote
Dream Chaser is still the #1 choice and I think the fact that they've been more willing to share their progress than CST-100 which is almost impossible to get public updates on is a big bonus for them. NASA is the publics space agency after all.


How do you quantify that? Who said that and when? DC is not the number one choice and neither is CST 100 quite frankly.

The "number one" choice, politically anyway, is ATK Liberty. And when I say politically I mean internal inter-center inter-agency politics as much as I mean hill politics. 

« Last Edit: 07/14/2012 08:11 pm by FinalFrontier »
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Offline spectre9

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #607 on: 07/14/2012 11:27 pm »
My #1 choice lol

That was opinion and I should've made that clear.

On what Jim said taking NASA money and being insular about your progress might be allowed and nothing against it but I think it is frowned upon.  :(

Offline A_M_Swallow

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #608 on: 07/15/2012 12:05 am »
everyone who invests capital in a business venture is a VC.
I'd qualify this as to say someone who invests capital in a start up, non-public firm is a VC.

So, not to get into another semantic argument on this thread but that's not how the word is used by everyone else. For example:

http://www.privco.com/knowledge-bank/private-equity-and-venture-capital

It is simply impossible to have a sensible conversation if you don't even know what the words mean.

"... and venture capital firms, which typically make high risk equity investments in seed, early, and growth stage private companies."

That covers start ups.

Online docmordrid

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #609 on: 07/15/2012 12:56 am »
Quote
ven·ture cap·i·tal
Noun:   
Capital invested in a project in which there is a substantial element of risk, typically a new or expanding business.

I invest $1k of my private funds to help someone open a storefront, which statistically has a rather high risk of failure, in return for part of the business and any profits if it succeeds. How is this different than a richer person investing $1m, $100m, or $1b in a larger enterprise?

IMO we have all invested our capital resources in new ventures.  To call that not VC is a distinction with little difference other than scale.
« Last Edit: 07/15/2012 12:59 am by docmordrid »
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Offline Jim

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #610 on: 07/15/2012 11:45 am »
nothing against it but I think it is frowned upon.  :(

Not even that.  NASA has no say.

Offline spectre9

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #611 on: 07/15/2012 03:49 pm »
Perhaps I have a different meaning of "frowned upon" then.

It's not what's said but what's unsaid.

Offline Jim

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #612 on: 07/15/2012 03:56 pm »
Perhaps I have a different meaning of "frowned upon" then.

It's not what's said but what's unsaid.

Not even that.  There is no requirement written or unwritten, said or unsaid.  Boeing is free to do what they want and without recourse or bias.

Offline mmeijeri

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #613 on: 07/15/2012 04:06 pm »
Perhaps I have a different meaning of "frowned upon" then.

Or perhaps you are merely describing a personal preference. It's perfectly OK for you to prefer more transparency, but it's not a selection criterion. Perhaps it should be (or perhaps not), but currently it isn't.
Pro-tip: you don't have to be a jerk if someone doesn't agree with your theories

Offline erioladastra

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Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #614 on: 07/15/2012 05:01 pm »

Dream Chaser is still the #1 choice and I think the fact that they've been more willing to share their progress than CST-100 which is almost impossible to get public updates on is a big bonus for them. NASA is the publics space agency after all.

You are just showing your own biases.  If you look at press releases I think you will see that your statement is incorrect.   Also there can be issues of accuracy in some of the releases.

Online Chris Bergin

Re: Narrowing the CCDev candidate list
« Reply #615 on: 07/15/2012 09:44 pm »
Long messy thread now. Locking and will look to start a better one tomorrow.
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