Author Topic: CCDev to CCiCAP to CCtCAP Discussion Thread  (Read 811340 times)

Offline oiorionsbelt

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #200 on: 08/01/2012 09:01 pm »
How about we just start a poll thread of the choices.  It won't let me for some reason but here are the options I would allow

Full - DC, Dragon; Half - CST
Full - DC, Dragon; Half - Liberty
Full - CST, Dragon; Half - DC
Full - CST, Dragon; Half - Liberty
Full - Liberty, Dragon; Half - CST
Full - Liberty, Dragon; Half - DC
Full - CST, DC; Half - Dragon
Full - CST, DC; Half - Liberty
Full - CST, Liberty; Half - Dragon
Full - CST, Liberty; Half - DC
Full - DC, Liberty; Half - Dragon
Full - DC, Liberty; Half - CST
Other (please post)
Don't forget blue origin

Offline kirghizstan

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #201 on: 08/01/2012 09:02 pm »
How about we just start a poll thread of the choices.  It won't let me for some reason but here are the options I would allow

Full - DC, Dragon; Half - CST
Full - DC, Dragon; Half - Liberty
Full - CST, Dragon; Half - DC
Full - CST, Dragon; Half - Liberty
Full - Liberty, Dragon; Half - CST
Full - Liberty, Dragon; Half - DC
Full - CST, DC; Half - Dragon
Full - CST, DC; Half - Liberty
Full - CST, Liberty; Half - Dragon
Full - CST, Liberty; Half - DC
Full - DC, Liberty; Half - Dragon
Full - DC, Liberty; Half - CST
Other (please post)
Don't forget blue origin

the reason for other, because really does anyone actually expect them to be funded?

Offline Norm Hartnett

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #202 on: 08/01/2012 09:04 pm »
What I'd like to see; Full Awards: SpaceX, Dream Chaser, Partial Award Blue Origin (diversity triumphant)

What I hope to see; Full Awards: SpaceX, Dream Chaser, Partial Award CST-100

What I expect to see; Full Awards: CST-100, SpaceX, Partial Award Dream Chaser

What I fear to see; Full Awards: CST-100, Liberty, Partial Award SpaceX (old boy network triumphant)
“You can’t take a traditional approach and expect anything but the traditional results, which has been broken budgets and not fielding any flight hardware.” Mike Gold - Apollo, STS, CxP; those that don't learn from history are condemned to repeat it: SLS.

Offline PeterAlt

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #203 on: 08/01/2012 09:20 pm »
I just hope Dream Chaser doesn't miss out.

Me too! My gut tells me they'll get half, but I hope they get full!

Offline PeterAlt

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #204 on: 08/01/2012 09:24 pm »
It's a good thing the conference will be at 9am. As Han Solo once said "I hate long waits!"

Offline jongoff

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #205 on: 08/01/2012 09:33 pm »
For those who didn't see yet, I setup a poll with the selections that kirghizstan suggested: http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=29570.0

Offline PeterAlt

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #206 on: 08/01/2012 09:44 pm »
What I'd like to see; Full Awards: SpaceX, Dream Chaser, Partial Award Blue Origin (diversity triumphant)

What I hope to see; Full Awards: SpaceX, Dream Chaser, Partial Award CST-100

What I expect to see; Full Awards: CST-100, SpaceX, Partial Award Dream Chaser

What I fear to see; Full Awards: CST-100, Liberty, Partial Award SpaceX (old boy network triumphant)

Dido... NASA has invested so much in the previous rounds in CST-100... Add the fact that they've passed every milestone so far in a timely manner in flying colors... I don't see NASA trading that favoritism with another candidate. SpaceX has been a "second" favorite, so I don't see that going away either....

Offline A_M_Swallow

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #207 on: 08/01/2012 10:44 pm »
{snip}

Other (please post)

At this stage of the game it can also be

Full - man-rate Atlas V, man-rate Falcon 9; Half - DC.

Offline manboy

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #208 on: 08/01/2012 10:54 pm »
Gerst is the selecting officer. If he decides that ATK gets full funding, it gets full funding. The White House (or even Bolden for that matter) cannot undo his selections. The only thing that the White House can do about it is delay the announcement or perhaps renegotiate the deal with Wolf to have four providers instead of three.

If NASA has actually chosen ATK, I hope that it is not for political reasons or because it is launching from KSC or because it has commonality with SLS/MPCV. But given NASA's past history, I am not too confident that Gerst decisions will be based solely on business and technical merits as it should be. If that is the case, I can understand the White House being unhappy about one of Gerst's selections.  Gerst must have know how the White House would react ahead of time. The White House doesn't think of the commercial crew program as an SLS/MPCV supplement program. 

I have heard only good things spoken about Gerstenmeier. Any decisions made purely on business and technical merit will probably - over time, at least - be accepted.

Let’s all try and be kind to him.  Have a feeling some will throw the mud all over regarding this civil servant.

I have a lot of respect for Gerstenmaier, and I'm sure that respect will continue irregardless to who he chooses.

EDIT: Although I am hoping SpaceX gets a full, with Dream Chaser and CST-100 getting the other two awards.
« Last Edit: 08/02/2012 11:38 am by manboy »
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Offline yg1968

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #209 on: 08/01/2012 11:24 pm »
{snip}

Other (please post)

At this stage of the game it can also be

Full - man-rate Atlas V, man-rate Falcon 9; Half - DC.

NASA gets to choose among the proposals that were made. It doesn't get  to make its own proposals. Each proposal has to be an end to end system.

Offline Jim

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #210 on: 08/02/2012 12:31 am »

Full - man-rate Atlas V, man-rate Falcon 9; Half - DC.

Lost for words that I can post without being moderated.

That is not what is being competed. NASA is looking total crew to orbit package, which the spacecraft is the major part and launch vehicle is done by a supplier or subtier element of the proposer.
« Last Edit: 08/02/2012 12:33 am by Jim »

Offline Jason1701

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #211 on: 08/02/2012 04:30 am »

Full - man-rate Atlas V, man-rate Falcon 9; Half - DC.

Lost for words that I can post without being moderated.

That is not what is being competed. NASA is looking total crew to orbit package, which the spacecraft is the major part and launch vehicle is done by a supplier or subtier element of the proposer.

This must be the tenth time Jim has had to post that message for the same person.

Offline A_M_Swallow

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #212 on: 08/02/2012 08:21 am »

Full - man-rate Atlas V, man-rate Falcon 9; Half - DC.

Lost for words that I can post without being moderated.

That is not what is being competed. NASA is looking total crew to orbit package, which the spacecraft is the major part and launch vehicle is done by a supplier or subtier element of the proposer.

This must be the tenth time Jim has had to post that message for the same person.

Which means the spacecraft companies have to pay for man rating the launch vehicles.  Those costs will be charged back to NASA.

It helps that Boeing make the CST-100 and are a major shareholder in ULA.  So the practical difference is which salesman gets the commission on the sale.

Offline Jim

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #213 on: 08/02/2012 11:24 am »

1.  Which means the spacecraft companies have to pay for man rating the launch vehicles. 

2.  Those costs will be charged back to NASA.


1.  Was always the intent.

2.  Not true, but so what?  Either way, NASA would pays.  But  NASA isn't fully funding CCiCAP cost just as it didn't for COTS. The companies have to provide internal funding. 

Offline Jim

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #214 on: 08/02/2012 11:26 am »

It helps that Boeing make the CST-100 and are a major shareholder in ULA.  So the practical difference is which salesman gets the commission on the sale.

huh?  Another meaningless point.  Then, how is it any different than Spacex, who both builds the Dragon and Falcon?

Offline Chris Bergin

Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #215 on: 08/02/2012 01:57 pm »
I can see it becoming a bit tense on here. Let's not, after all, the Internet is a happy place, right? ;)

Gerst is the selecting officer. If he decides that ATK gets full funding, it gets full funding. The White House (or even Bolden for that matter) cannot undo his selections. The only thing that the White House can do about it is delay the announcement or perhaps renegotiate the deal with Wolf to have four providers instead of three.

If NASA has actually chosen ATK, I hope that it is not for political reasons or because it is launching from KSC or because it has commonality with SLS/MPCV. But given NASA's past history, I am not too confident that Gerst decisions will be based solely on business and technical merits as it should be. If that is the case, I can understand the White House being unhappy about one of Gerst's selections.  Gerst must have know how the White House would react ahead of time. The White House doesn't think of the commercial crew program as an SLS/MPCV supplement program. 

I have heard only good things spoken about Gerstenmeier. Any decisions made purely on business and technical merit will probably - over time, at least - be accepted.

Let’s all try and be kind to him.  Have a feeling some will throw the mud all over regarding this civil servant.

I have a lot of respect for Gerstenmaier, and I'm sure that respect will continue irregardless to who he chooses.

EDIT: Although I am hoping SpaceX gets a full, with Dream Chaser and CST-100 getting the other two awards.

Huge amount of respect for Mr Gerstenmeier. He could select a bunch of washing machines for CCiCAP tomorrow and that wouldn't change.
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Offline yg1968

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #216 on: 08/02/2012 02:05 pm »
Yes, I agree. I may have been off on this. Gerst seems like a common sense kind of guy. I would expect his picks for CCicap to reflect that. My first impression was likely the right one. I don't think that Gerst likes to play politics eventhough he is often thrown into the political arena.
« Last Edit: 08/02/2012 02:44 pm by yg1968 »

Offline Drkskywxlt

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #217 on: 08/02/2012 03:17 pm »
What I'd like to see; Full Awards: SpaceX, Dream Chaser, Partial Award Blue Origin (diversity triumphant)

What I hope to see; Full Awards: SpaceX, Dream Chaser, Partial Award CST-100

What I expect to see; Full Awards: CST-100, SpaceX, Partial Award Dream Chaser

What I fear to see; Full Awards: CST-100, Liberty, Partial Award SpaceX (old boy network triumphant)

Absolutely agree.  Anyone but ATK. 

Offline A_M_Swallow

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #218 on: 08/02/2012 03:41 pm »

It helps that Boeing make the CST-100 and are a major shareholder in ULA.  So the practical difference is which salesman gets the commission on the sale.

huh?  Another meaningless point.  Then, how is it any different than Spacex, who both builds the Dragon and Falcon?

It is highly unlikely that large amounts of money from Dream Chaser's allocation will be going to pay for the man rating of the Falcon 9, SpaceX will have attached all the money to the Dragon bid.  If Boeing is not given a grant for the CST-100 then ULA will almost certainly be sending the bill for man rating the Atlas V to Sierra Nevada.  NASA may have bids that will pay twice for man rating the Atlas V.

Offline Jim

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Re: CCDev to CCiCAP Discussion Thread
« Reply #219 on: 08/02/2012 07:24 pm »
  NASA may have bids that will pay twice for man rating the Atlas V.

No.

A.  There are no "bids", just work proposals
b.  The teaming arrangements will determine who pays for what, but ULA is not going to double bill its partners.  It is even ludicrous to think that
ULA would try to stick it to its partners.  They know that future business rides on this

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