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Jiuquan launch - March 2012
by
Galactic Penguin SST
on 16 Mar, 2012 13:13
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OMG WHAT'S THIS!? Something new from Jiuquan at 05:xx UTC tomorrow!?
A0181/12 - A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED BY N393509E1000000-N392150E0995703-N392056E1000357-N393415E1000654 BACK TO START. VERTICAL LIMITS: SFC-UNL.ALL ACFT ARE PROHIBITED TO FLY INTO THE AREA. SFC - UNL, 17 MAR 05:00 2012 UNTIL 17 MAR 05:35 2012. CREATED: 16 MAR 03:08 2012
A0182/12 - A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED BY N311612E0980325-N301228E0974857-N301026E0980112-N311406E0981546 BACK TO START. VERTICAL LIMITS: SFC-UNL.ALL ACFT ARE PROHIBITED TO FLY INTO THE AREA. SFC - UNL, 17 MAR 05:00 2012 UNTIL 17 MAR 05:39 2012. CREATED: 16 MAR 03:15 2012
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#1
by
Satori
on 16 Mar, 2012 13:34
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I was about to talk about that! What can this be?
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#2
by
Galactic Penguin SST
on 16 Mar, 2012 13:37
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I was about to talk about that! What can this be?
The first drop zone is very close to JSLC (<200km), very peculiar indeed. And add this closure of one air route right in the first drop zone....
A0183/12 - THE SEGMENT JIAYUGUAN VOR 'CHW'- YABRAI VOR 'YBL' OF ATS RTE B215 CLSD. 17 MAR 04:40 2012 UNTIL 17 MAR 05:40 2012. CREATED: 16 MAR 11:15 2012
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#3
by
Galactic Penguin SST
on 16 Mar, 2012 13:55
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Solid launcher test? Shenlong spaceplane test?
Somehow I have a crazy vision of a NG CZ-2E launching from the 921 pad carrying a 4-6 tonne optical recon bird to SSO....
(an optical recon bird built by CASC and the Changchun Optical Institiute was reported to be launched soon, but we don't know what's launching it, other than it seems to be pretty powerful... (
source))
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#4
by
Satori
on 16 Mar, 2012 14:02
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Solid launcher test? Shenlong spaceplane test?
Somehow I have a crazy vision of a NG CZ-2E launching from the 921 pad carrying a 4-6 tonne optical recon bird to SSO....
(an optical recon bird built by CASC and the Changchun Optical Institiute was reported to be launched soon, but we don't know what's launching it, other than it seems to be pretty powerful... (source))
How!!! That would be amazing... do you have any more info on that?
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#5
by
Galactic Penguin SST
on 16 Mar, 2012 14:07
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Solid launcher test? Shenlong spaceplane test?
Somehow I have a crazy vision of a NG CZ-2E launching from the 921 pad carrying a 4-6 tonne optical recon bird to SSO....
(an optical recon bird built by CASC and the Changchun Optical Institiute was reported to be launched soon, but we don't know what's launching it, other than it seems to be pretty powerful... (source))
How!!! That would be amazing... do you have any more info on that?
It's just a crazy guess from the short range between the first drop zone and JSLC, comparing with the "nominal" second drop zone: don't take it too seriously (although I don't know if China can make something like the Russian Yantar-4KS/Persona).
I do wonder how far downrange do the CZ-2F boosters fall?
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#6
by
Galactic Penguin SST
on 16 Mar, 2012 14:09
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Solid launcher test? Shenlong spaceplane test?
Somehow I have a crazy vision of a NG CZ-2E launching from the 921 pad carrying a 4-6 tonne optical recon bird to SSO....
(an optical recon bird built by CASC and the Changchun Optical Institiute was reported to be launched soon, but we don't know what's launching it, other than it seems to be pretty powerful... (source))
How!!! That would be amazing... do you have any more info on that?
It's just a crazy guess from the short range between the first drop zone and JSLC, comparing with the "nominal" second drop zone: don't take it too seriously (although I don't know if China can make something like the Russian Yantar-4KS/Persona). I do wonder how far downrange do the CZ-2F boosters fall?
Ah disregard my crazy idea: the boosters for CZ-3C (the shortest burning stage for the whole current CZ family) travels > 300 km downrange...
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#7
by
Skyrocket
on 16 Mar, 2012 14:20
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Perhaps a solid fuel launcher like KT-1?
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#8
by
Satori
on 16 Mar, 2012 14:25
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Perhaps a solid fuel launcher like KT-1?
I would bet on that one! Maybe the KT-2 or something like that.
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#9
by
Galactic Penguin SST
on 16 Mar, 2012 14:28
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Perhaps a solid fuel launcher like KT-1?
Did the DF-31 ever flown out of Jiuquan (or at least known to the outside world)? Something like KT-2? However CASIC has not hinted at the re-start of the program for the past few years....
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#10
by
Satori
on 16 Mar, 2012 14:31
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The strange thing here is the 130 km distance drop area. I think this would be consistent with a solid fuel launcher... I think...
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#11
by
ChileVerde
on 16 Mar, 2012 14:53
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Perhaps a solid fuel launcher like KT-1?
I would bet on that one! Maybe the KT-2 or something like that.
Or an SC-19?
Nah...
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#12
by
input~2
on 16 Mar, 2012 20:35
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The center of the first zone (A0181/12) is 166km from JSLC.
The heading of the second zone (A0182/12)as measured from JSLC is 191°.
Launch to be expected around 1pm LT (0500UTC) tomorrow then.
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#13
by
Galactic Penguin SST
on 17 Mar, 2012 03:46
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Looks like there's a launch after all.... (the post refers to that even the staff at the military communication post at JSLC are going to watch the launch). The problem is what is launching what?
Source
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#14
by
Satori
on 17 Mar, 2012 04:09
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Well, let's hope news come early after the supposed launch time.
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#15
by
Satori
on 17 Mar, 2012 05:02
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Still no news about this one. Usual Internet sources are also silent about what might haven been launched on Jiuquan.
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#16
by
Liss
on 17 Mar, 2012 06:15
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NOTAMs has self-destructed with no new ones issued, and no orbital elements appeared as of now.
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#17
by
Satori
on 17 Mar, 2012 07:33
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I'm starting to think that this thing was delayed or was a some kind of missile test.
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#18
by
Phillip Clark
on 17 Mar, 2012 08:31
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NOTAMs has self-destructed with no new ones issued, and no orbital elements appeared as of now.
A bit too soon after any Chinese launch at ~05:00 to have TLEs available!!!
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#19
by
Galactic Penguin SST
on 17 Mar, 2012 08:54
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Looks like this one was postponed!
Source
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#20
by
input~2
on 21 Mar, 2012 13:49
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It can be noted that both NOTAMed zones were neither strictly aligned with JSLC nor between themselves...
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#21
by
vill
on 21 Mar, 2012 15:21
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It can be noted that both NOTAMed zones were neither strictly aligned with JSLC nor between themselves...
Huh, brainstorming question for me.
How definite is that launch will be in March?
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#22
by
Galactic Penguin SST
on 22 Mar, 2012 09:45
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Oops! Apparently there are no rockets nor satellites in JSLC right now, or any launch within the next two months.
Maybe something on a sub-orbital launch?
(unfortunately that will be very difficult to track)
Source
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#23
by
vill
on 28 Mar, 2012 19:57
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No news about this Jiuquan launch?
It sounds surprisingly - announcement day before launch without rocket in launch center
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#24
by
Satori
on 30 Mar, 2012 10:06
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No other informations about what happened there. Will remain a mystery for some time.
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#25
by
Galactic Penguin SST
on 25 Sep, 2013 13:15
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No other informations about what happened there. Will remain a mystery for some time.
Well one and a half years later..... can we now say this is a sub-orbital test flight of the Kuaizhou LV? Or could it have been a failed orbital launch attempt?
Edit: Another possible scenario: today's launch was once planned on 2012.3.17, but maybe some last minutes problem cropped up and the launch didn't took place on that day and ended up 1.5 years later?
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#26
by
Phillip Clark
on 22 Nov, 2014 00:52
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Have we decided or is there any evidence that this was an actual launch which failed to reach orbit? Or a KZ launch attempt which was scrapped before the first stage fired?
Reading on here and on the KZ-1 thread makes the situation very unclear, yet in the KZ-2 thread reference is made to this actually being a launch which didn't reach orbit.
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#27
by
Liss
on 19 Dec, 2016 13:19
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#28
by
Galactic Penguin SST
on 19 Dec, 2016 13:33
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EXPACE web site seems to accept the fact of the launch:
http://build.whir.net/htkg/index_12.aspx (see the 'History' timeline)
......but calls it as the first flight of the "KZ-1T". That seems to lean more towards the theory that it was an intentional sub-orbital flight.....
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#29
by
Stan Black
on 13 Jan, 2018 08:20
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EXPACE web site seems to accept the fact of the launch:
http://build.whir.net/htkg/index_12.aspx (see the 'History' timeline)
......but calls it as the first flight of the "KZ-1T". That seems to lean more towards the theory that it was an intentional sub-orbital flight..... :-\
Would this have a launch code? Guess 01-48?
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#30
by
Liss
on 13 Jan, 2018 10:29
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On Dec 17, 2017, it was reported that Jiuquan was being prepare for its 98th space launch which occured on Dec 23.
You must include the KZ-1T launch to come to the total number.
Its launch code could be 01-49; we know for sure 2011.08.18 was 01-47 and 2012.05.06 was 01-50.
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#31
by
Phillip Clark
on 13 Jan, 2018 10:55
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On Dec 17, 2017, it was reported that Jiuquan was being prepare for its 98th space launch which occured on Dec 23.
You must include the KZ-1T launch to come to the total number.
Its launch code could be 01-49; we know for sure 2011.08.18 was 01-47 and 2012.05.06 was 01-50.
Perhaps I am being too logical here. As far as I have noted these launch codes are goven to launches intended to reach orbit, so this means that the KZ-1T was an orbital attempt, right?
I seem to have codes 01-60 and 01-67 missing. And we don't have launch codes (as far as I am aware) for the two KZ-1 orbital missions.
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#32
by
Liss
on 13 Jan, 2018 18:49
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By the way, another statistical problem.
CALT lists (
http://calt.spacechina.com/n482/n505/index.html ):
2017.12.11 (CZ-3B, Alcomsat) as 170th launch of CALT
2017.12.26 (CZ-2C, YG-30-03) as 171th launch of CALT
SAST says (
http://www.sast.spacechina.com/n1323881/n1323961/c1786718/content.html ):
2017年12月23日12时14分，我国在酒泉卫星发射中心用长征二号丁运载火箭，成功将陆地勘查卫星二号发射升空。
At 1214 hours on December 23, 2017, China successfully launched [Land Survey Satellite 2] at Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center with [CZ-2D carrier rocket].
这次任务是长征系列运载火箭的第259次飞行，是八院抓总研制的长征系列火箭第88次飞行试验任务。
This mission is the 259th flight of the Long March series launch vehicle and is the 88th flight test mission of the Long March series of rockets developed by the 8th academy.
But how can 170 CALT launches and 88 SAST launches sum up to the total of 259 Long March launches? Which one is missed?
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#33
by
limen4
on 14 Jan, 2018 15:07
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By the way, another statistical problem.
CALT lists ( http://calt.spacechina.com/n482/n505/index.html ):
2017.12.11 (CZ-3B, Alcomsat) as 170th launch of CALT
2017.12.26 (CZ-2C, YG-30-03) as 171th launch of CALT
SAST says ( http://www.sast.spacechina.com/n1323881/n1323961/c1786718/content.html ):
2017年12月23日12时14分，我国在酒泉卫星发射中心用长征二号丁运载火箭，成功将陆地勘查卫星二号发射升空。
At 1214 hours on December 23, 2017, China successfully launched [Land Survey Satellite 2] at Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center with [CZ-2D carrier rocket].
这次任务是长征系列运载火箭的第259次飞行，是八院抓总研制的长征系列火箭第88次飞行试验任务。
This mission is the 259th flight of the Long March series launch vehicle and is the 88th flight test mission of the Long March series of rockets developed by the 8th academy.
But how can 170 CALT launches and 88 SAST launches sum up to the total of 259 Long March launches? Which one is missed?
I have checked the numbering system of CASC (which counts all CALT and SAST launches). According to this system the launch of LKW-2 was indeed the 259th Long March launch. But the same system counts 89 (not 88) SAST launches. I guess that the author has excluded the failed CBERS-3 launch.
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#34
by
Liss
on 19 Apr, 2018 19:10
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I do wonder how far downrange do the CZ-2F boosters fall?
How definite is that launch will be in March?
(unfortunately that will be very difficult to track)