Author Topic: Fobos-Grunt EOM Re-Entry Latest (Read 235081 times)

Lee Jay · « **Reply #140 on:** 01/15/2012 12:43 am »

Quote from: JimO on 01/14/2012 11:55 pm

Quote from: Lee Jay on 01/14/2012 10:32 pm
Quote from: JimO on 01/14/2012 10:05 pm
Quote from: Lee Jay on 01/14/2012 09:35 pm
So, the launch site is still a possibility.

You do know that this has happened, at least once -- in 1968??

I did not.

An off course Zond probe, returning from the moon, missed its landing zone and came down not far from its original launch pad.

It's always nice to have a human encyclopedia around!

kevin-rf · « **Reply #141 on:** 01/15/2012 01:01 am »

Quote from: Lee Jay on 01/15/2012 12:43 am

It's always nice to have a human encyclopedia around!

Yeah, he sent me on a good half hour google search to figure out which Zond. Btw. I found more details on his website than I turned up with the google search.

SPOILER ALERT Zond 6, and missed by 30,500 cubits (royal not standard).

So if Fobos-Grunt ends up in the flame trench, does it count as a hole in one?

sdsds · « **Reply #142 on:** 01/15/2012 02:23 am »

If I'm doing the math correctly, the most recent window provided by Roscosmos extends from 1/15/2012 14:36 to 1/15/2012 22:24, UTC. That would mean they are confident it will be down 19 hours from now.

Chris Bergin · « **Reply #143 on:** 01/15/2012 02:39 am »

Quote from: sdsds on 01/15/2012 02:23 am

If I'm doing the math correctly, the most window provided by Roscosmos extends from 1/15/2012 14:36 to 1/15/2012 22:24, UTC. That would mean they are confident it will be down 19 hours from now.

Thanks! That's really helpful for planning.

Lee Jay · « **Reply #144 on:** 01/15/2012 02:43 am »

http://www.satflare.com/track.html?q=phobos#MAP

Scroll down and click on "View Reentry Track" after Harro Zimmer in the table.

olasek · « **Reply #145 on:** 01/15/2012 02:54 am »

Quote from: sdsds on 01/15/2012 02:23 am

.. they are confident it will be down 19 hours from now.

This could be misinterpreted... not later than 19 hrs.

input~2 · « **Reply #146 on:** 01/15/2012 04:56 am »

USSTRATCOM reentry window reported at 2012-01-14 20:30:00 UTC:

15 JAN 2012 1452UTC - 15 JAN 2012 1940UTC

daver · « **Reply #147 on:** 01/15/2012 04:59 am »

It will be directly over my head (North Myrtle Beach) at 1:58 EST. Going outside with the camera just in case.

DeanG1967 · « **Reply #148 on:** 01/15/2012 05:52 am »

Quote from: daver on 01/15/2012 04:59 am

It will be directly over my head (North Myrtle Beach) at 1:58 EST. Going outside with the camera just in case.

Might want a catchers mit also

daver · « **Reply #149 on:** 01/15/2012 06:10 am »

North Myrtle is safe. No sign of it. I even waited a couple extra minutes.

Halidon · « **Reply #150 on:** 01/15/2012 08:19 am »

Not too late for 7th Fleet to take a shot at her, pity the Russians aren't keen on the idea.

JimO · « **Reply #151 on:** 01/15/2012 09:30 am »

Latest Roskosmos predicted interval, just released:
http://www.roscosmos.ru/main.php?id=2&nid=18563

1641 to 2105 gmt

input~2 · « **Reply #152 on:** 01/15/2012 11:04 am »

Latest USSTRATCOM predicted interval:
1611 to 1835 UTC

Johnny Rönnberg · « **Reply #153 on:** 01/15/2012 11:43 am »

Latest rapports http://www.spaceflight101.com/phobos-grunt-re-entry-information.html

Prober · « **Reply #154 on:** 01/15/2012 02:34 pm »

SpaceGeek: wokeup and had to check the orbit.

Lee Jay · « **Reply #155 on:** 01/15/2012 02:36 pm »

"15 January,18:02 UT +/- 24 minutes"

http://satobs.org/seesat/Jan-2012/0178.html

http://satobs.org/seesat_ref/phsrm/Fobos-Grunt_decay_estimates_v12.pdf

rickl · « **Reply #156 on:** 01/15/2012 02:54 pm »

Quote from: Prober on 01/15/2012 02:34 pm

SpaceGeek: wokeup and had to check the orbit.

Yep, same here, even though I have no chance of seeing it.

Avariel · « **Reply #157 on:** 01/15/2012 02:59 pm »

I get the feeling a lot of us checked up on poor doomed Fobos-Grunt first thing today.

So its looking like South America, or the Atlantic?

kevin-rf · « **Reply #158 on:** 01/15/2012 03:07 pm »

Quote from: Avariel on 01/15/2012 02:59 pm

I get the feeling a lot of us checked up on poor doomed Fobos-Grunt first thing today.

So its looking like South America, or the Atlantic?

Guilty, I checked the ground tracks, then (eeer.. will next) check to see if I have a new niece yet

Lee Jay · « **Reply #159 on:** 01/15/2012 03:08 pm »

Quote from: Lee Jay on 01/15/2012 02:43 am

http://www.satflare.com/track.html?q=phobos#MAP

Scroll down and click on "View Reentry Track" after Harro Zimmer in the table.