Quote from: Jim on 12/18/2011 02:10 pmQuote from: HappyMartian on 12/18/2011 01:19 pmQuote from: Jim on 12/18/2011 12:48 pmQuote from: HappyMartian on 12/18/2011 05:43 amYep. Pretty nifty. Lots of countries could eventually gain routine access to LEO. Stratolaunch could turn out to be better than ice cream on apple pie! Cheers!Edited.No, there still is ITAREventually Jim, eventually...Cheers!Nope, not in your lifetime, ITAR will always be around. The issues now days is components and satellites. This is an integrated system that does have military applications. It is not going to be sold to anyone.Jim, you seem to be assuming that I think it would be sold. I do not. Most small and medium sized countries would most likely prefer the cheaper option of renting the launch service from Stratolaunch when they need it. Non ITAR spacecraft are available. Most countries wouldn't have enough space traffic to justify owning such a Stratolaunch aircraft.
Quote from: HappyMartian on 12/18/2011 01:19 pmQuote from: Jim on 12/18/2011 12:48 pmQuote from: HappyMartian on 12/18/2011 05:43 amYep. Pretty nifty. Lots of countries could eventually gain routine access to LEO. Stratolaunch could turn out to be better than ice cream on apple pie! Cheers!Edited.No, there still is ITAREventually Jim, eventually...Cheers!Nope, not in your lifetime, ITAR will always be around. The issues now days is components and satellites. This is an integrated system that does have military applications. It is not going to be sold to anyone.
Quote from: Jim on 12/18/2011 12:48 pmQuote from: HappyMartian on 12/18/2011 05:43 amYep. Pretty nifty. Lots of countries could eventually gain routine access to LEO. Stratolaunch could turn out to be better than ice cream on apple pie! Cheers!Edited.No, there still is ITAREventually Jim, eventually...Cheers!
Quote from: HappyMartian on 12/18/2011 05:43 amYep. Pretty nifty. Lots of countries could eventually gain routine access to LEO. Stratolaunch could turn out to be better than ice cream on apple pie! Cheers!Edited.No, there still is ITAR
Yep. Pretty nifty. Lots of countries could eventually gain routine access to LEO. Stratolaunch could turn out to be better than ice cream on apple pie! Cheers!Edited.
Does the stratolauncher only need a really long runway assuming the rocket is fueled on the ground? Phrased differently, could a lighter load use more common, shorter runways?
Quote from: go4mars on 12/19/2011 02:39 pmDoes the stratolauncher only need a really long runway assuming the rocket is fueled on the ground? Phrased differently, could a lighter load use more common, shorter runways? Probably, but I'd think the huge wingspan would be a more serious limitation than the length of the runway required.
Quote from: sanman on 12/18/2011 02:08 amAlso - can anyone guess at what the velocity of the aircraft would be, when releasing the rocket? What initial velocity would that rocket have, as it ignites its engines? (Sorry if the answer was already posted, because I didn't see it anywhere.)A guess, (an only a guess ) @30,000ft to around 40,000ft and around Mach-0.87 or so (645)
Also - can anyone guess at what the velocity of the aircraft would be, when releasing the rocket? What initial velocity would that rocket have, as it ignites its engines? (Sorry if the answer was already posted, because I didn't see it anywhere.)
Launch flexibility is a big one, bigger than the performance improvement you get with airlaunch. They're looking to target orbital human spaceflight at relatively high launch rates. At high launch rates, it really starts making sense to try to do first-orbit rendezvous. There are considerably more opportunities for that if you have the flexibility of airlaunch.As far as the advantages of first-orbit rendezvous with a space station, imagine if Soyuz didn't have to have the orbital module, didn't need solar arrays, and didn't need consumables for several days waiting for orbital phasing. It'd be considerably less massive (probably around 30% less mass, maybe even more).Or, more pertinently, imagine what first-orbit rendezvous would do for Dragon... Dragon could get by without needing the trunk (just relying on Dragon's thermal mass or maybe some phase-change material for thermal control) except for structure. Also, it could well be that fitting 7 people for 2 or 3 days in a Dragon may be too crowded (and so could only do 4 or 5 or so), but if you have first-orbit rendezvous, they can withstand a few hours cramped in the Dragon capsule. Plus fewer consumables, no significant food provisions, etc, etc. And happier customers, since they get to the roomier space station with the big windows and the full toilets a lot sooner.This all adds up to a significant reduction in mass for the spacecraft (and perhaps even along with an increase in viable crew size from 4 to 7) and better responsiveness and more reusability for the Dragon spacecraft itself (don't need to build new solar arrays or radiators each trip). That will probably end up being much more valuable than a small reduction in cost per kg to orbit compared to a Falcon 9. Remember, people are their big target market and spacecraft are generally more expensive than launch vehicles, so improving that side of the equation may well have more opportunity for improving the economics of the whole thing than just the cost-per-kg-to-LEO part.If you can get almost twice as many people into space with the same IMLEO and a lot faster, that's a pretty big difference. Launch On Need would be an easier capability, as well, with the launch flexibility that airlaunch provides.
Quote from: Robotbeat on 12/19/2011 03:15 amLaunch flexibility is a big one, bigger than the performance improvement you get with airlaunch. They're looking to target orbital human spaceflight at relatively high launch rates. At high launch rates, it really starts making sense to try to do first-orbit rendezvous. There are considerably more opportunities for that if you have the flexibility of airlaunch.As far as the advantages of first-orbit rendezvous with a space station, imagine if Soyuz didn't have to have the orbital module, didn't need solar arrays, and didn't need consumables for several days waiting for orbital phasing. It'd be considerably less massive (probably around 30% less mass, maybe even more).Or, more pertinently, imagine what first-orbit rendezvous would do for Dragon... Dragon could get by without needing the trunk (just relying on Dragon's thermal mass or maybe some phase-change material for thermal control) except for structure. Also, it could well be that fitting 7 people for 2 or 3 days in a Dragon may be too crowded (and so could only do 4 or 5 or so), but if you have first-orbit rendezvous, they can withstand a few hours cramped in the Dragon capsule. Plus fewer consumables, no significant food provisions, etc, etc. And happier customers, since they get to the roomier space station with the big windows and the full toilets a lot sooner.This all adds up to a significant reduction in mass for the spacecraft (and perhaps even along with an increase in viable crew size from 4 to 7) and better responsiveness and more reusability for the Dragon spacecraft itself (don't need to build new solar arrays or radiators each trip). That will probably end up being much more valuable than a small reduction in cost per kg to orbit compared to a Falcon 9. Remember, people are their big target market and spacecraft are generally more expensive than launch vehicles, so improving that side of the equation may well have more opportunity for improving the economics of the whole thing than just the cost-per-kg-to-LEO part.If you can get almost twice as many people into space with the same IMLEO and a lot faster, that's a pretty big difference. Launch On Need would be an easier capability, as well, with the launch flexibility that airlaunch provides.So . . . Stratalaunch is designed to ferry to Bigelow? Because right now the destination space station you describe isn't there.
If the stratolaunch carrier plane carried a scaled up version of spaceshiptwo, that was powered by merlin engines, any idea how much payload it would be able to lift into an equivalent suborbit?And if this suborbital payload was a third stage, what the final payload this might give to orbit?
What I'm asking is, if the falcon is a placeholder, then removing the placeholder and reverting to the original spaceship1, spaceship2 concept, what a 3rd stage launched from a merlin powered spaceship3 (sized to the stratolaunch carrier), might be able to get to orbit?
Will the stratolaunch falcon 5 also fly from F9 pads? That is: will F5 be in competition with stratolaunch as well?
Would a throttled-down middle engine be useful/helpful during takeoff? If they eventually do boost-back reusability (ala F9 & Grasshopper), the middle engine on F5 would probably be a sea-level optimized engine anyways for stratolauncher architecture.
Do you mean a giant suborbital tourist "spacecraft" like a big spaceship 2? Seating 100 instead of 6? Or something like that?
Starting one of the rocket engines on the ground sounds like a serious operational inconvenience and a non-trivial safety hazard. What's the benefit?
Quote from: HappyMartian on 12/19/2011 01:21 pmQuote from: Jim on 12/18/2011 02:10 pmQuote from: HappyMartian on 12/18/2011 01:19 pmQuote from: Jim on 12/18/2011 12:48 pmQuote from: HappyMartian on 12/18/2011 05:43 amYep. Pretty nifty. Lots of countries could eventually gain routine access to LEO. Stratolaunch could turn out to be better than ice cream on apple pie! Cheers!Edited.No, there still is ITAREventually Jim, eventually...Cheers!Nope, not in your lifetime, ITAR will always be around. The issues now days is components and satellites. This is an integrated system that does have military applications. It is not going to be sold to anyone.Jim, you seem to be assuming that I think it would be sold. I do not. Most small and medium sized countries would most likely prefer the cheaper option of renting the launch service from Stratolaunch when they need it. Non ITAR spacecraft are available. Most countries wouldn't have enough space traffic to justify owning such a Stratolaunch aircraft. And the spacecraft would come to the US to be launched vs Stratolaunch going to another country's airport. That is how to work around ITAR.