Author Topic: Stratolaunch: General Company and Development Updates and Discussions  (Read 1052183 times)

Offline spectre9

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I don't like it.

Building some giant plane for an uninspiring payload for a market that isn't demanding it.

What's to like?  ???

Offline docmordrid

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Must be something because the USAF recently let a contract to LockMart for early work on a flyback system.

http://www.lockheedmartin.com/news/press_releases/2011/125_ss_reusablebooster.html

DM

Online yg1968

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Here is the archived press conference:

Offline Andrew_W

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While others here are asking what the big deal is, I think the development of a large carrier aircraft is a huge step in the development of cheap access to space. This is a system with the potential to evolve to carry other upper stages, including fully reusable space planes.
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Offline neilh

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I still just find it astounding that so many think we should just "go commercial" as if it exists (partially based on the perpetuated internet myth and ill-formed bloggers) but government should pay for it all and then when something truly commercial happens, it met with skepticism and arm-chair quaterbacking, when none of those questions were asked (either out of ignorance, a reluctance to want to know the truth or both) for government-funded "commercial". 

Have you been reading a different forum from the rest of us? This thread has a mix of cheerers, skeptics, and those waiting for more information, just like any other commercial announcement thread on this forum.

For the record, I'm one of the many folks excited by this announcement, and I look forward to seeing it progress.
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Offline jongoff

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Yeah, Dynetics is doing the SE&I of the overall system.

Ah, I hadn't read all the details on how they were doing the team.  Yeah, I might be more concerned about culture clash between them and SpaceX/Scaled in that case. But hopefully they've already been working together on this enough behind the scenes to have reason to believe they can make the intra-team relationships work.

~Jon

Offline neilh

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Wonder if the Stratolaunch carrier aircraft is capable of ferrying  something like a empty 10m diameter  FXX core stage? If it does, than SpaceX will probably pay for the service. Guess the 6m diameter FX core shouldn't be a problem as a ferry payload.

I was wondering the same. I was also wondering how the cost/risk of transporting an empty Falcon 9 stage on such a carrier aircraft would compare to ground transportation.
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Offline quanthasaquality

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Like some others here, I am skeptical about the cost effectiveness of air launched rockets. Pegasus has been doing this for twenty years, and it is still expensive per pound. If air launch has potential, why hasn't Orbital Sciences put more effort into Pegasus' costs, instead of going after conventional liquid fuel rockets?

Offline jongoff

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Excellent. The more companies working on space launch with NASA out of equation the better!
Except what are they going to launch? We have Delta IV (possibly also remnants of Delta II), Atlas V, Falcon 9, Taurus II Antares, and now Stratalaunch plus other people seriously vying for a medium-to-heavy launch service including Blue Origin and ATK (not just Liberty). Those are just the domestic folks. You also have Soyuz, Proton, Ariane 5, Indian, and Chinese launch vehicles. It's getting pretty crowded, here!

I think it's a really cool concept, but what the heck are these going to all launch? The EELVs were already having a hard time finding payloads just by themselves...

Everyone loves to make a big sexy rocket, and wings are icing on the cake! :)

They are clearly pushing for new or greatly expanded markets with this. I'm not going to bet against them.

Not only are there not enough payloads- there are not enough tourists. The only proof you need is that the Russians are not flying any. And don't be fooled into thinking that NASA and RSA need all the seats - I can guarantee that if a paying customer showed up who wasn't a nutcase the Russians would find a way to take their money and launch them. The problem is that they have run out of people with sufficient funds who can invest the amount of training time that is required. Think about what this means for the "tourist" launch companies - they will have to SIGNIFICANTLY reduce below Soyuz and/or not train them as much as a spaceflight participant.


Well, Eric Anderson could be lying through his teeth, but if he isn't, he says that they actually have a backlog of interested customers.  The problem is also:

1-What price point?
2-How much time does it take out of a high-net-worth individual's life to train for the flight?
3-Is it out of the US or a somewhat sketchy not quite 1st world country that doesn't speak English, etc?

If you can get the price point right, you can have a massive market.  The question is can they come up with a system that can make a price point that starts getting into elastic demand ranges.

~Jon

Offline neilh

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I applaud Mr Allen's willingness to invest (yet again) in space flight. We can't get enough people like him.

It may not be the architecture I'd choose, but it's still interesting and workable. Plus it's his money. :)


I wonder: is Gary Hudson involved at all?  His company AirLaunch LLC were until recently experimenting with air-dropped liquid fuel launchers, and also involved in T/Space, (with Scaled Composites), looking at a very similar concept.  If it was up to me, I'd at least hire him as a consultant on this project.

Right after I saw the announcement, one of my first thoughts was about how we haven't seen him around here in the past couple of months...
« Last Edit: 12/14/2011 04:40 am by neilh »
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Online sanman

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Richard Branson was heard muttering, "Crap! I got last year's model!" :'(

Offline jongoff

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Like some others here, I am skeptical about the cost effectiveness of air launched rockets. Pegasus has been doing this for twenty years, and it is still expensive per pound. If air launch has potential, why hasn't Orbital Sciences put more effort into Pegasus' costs, instead of going after conventional liquid fuel rockets?

Space launch is such an interesting field. I wonder where computers or even airplanes would be if people in those fields were as used to drawing hasty generalizations from single data points.

"Sam Langley's Aerodrome didn't work out, so that obviously shows that heavier than air flight can't work"...

~Jon

Offline Wyvern

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Honestly this concept seems so crazy that it simply must work.  Or at least be tried so that humanity can have the dignity to say that we attempted to make it fly.

Still I do agree with those who wanted payloads instead of another launcher.  After all commercial needs commercial payloads in order to take off (no pun intended) and bigelow being the only people around needing orbital access doesn't seem to be good for the market place.  What we don't need is yet another launcher, even if the launcher is really cool. 

I know that there are apparently a lot of tiny science experiments that could net a tidy sum but those seem to limited to suborbital.  I guess the launch guys are hoping that if they build it then payload will come.
Darn it where is my Moon base!

Offline neilh

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I wonder: is Gary Hudson involved at all?  His company AirLaunch LLC were until recently experimenting with air-dropped liquid fuel launchers, and also involved in T/Space, (with Scaled Composites), looking at a very similar concept.  If it was up to me, I'd at least hire him as a consultant on this project.

I was going to say, I wonder what the t/Space folks think of this?

I took a quick look, and was surprised to see that (assuming I'm reading things correctly) the payload of t/Space's pre-ESAS CEV proposal is fairly similar to Stratolaunch's:

http://exploration.nasa.gov/documents/reports/cer_midterm/tSpace.pdf
http://exploration.nasa.gov/documents/reports/cer_final/tSpace.pdf

Besides the involvement of Scaled, another similarity is the involvement of Orion Propulsion (since acquired by Dynetics).
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Offline kkattula

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Like some others here, I am skeptical about the cost effectiveness of air launched rockets. Pegasus has been doing this for twenty years, and it is still expensive per pound. If air launch has potential, why hasn't Orbital Sciences put more effort into Pegasus' costs, instead of going after conventional liquid fuel rockets?

Space launch is such an interesting field. I wonder where computers or even airplanes would be if people in those fields were as used to drawing hasty generalizations from single data points.

"Sam Langley's Aerodrome didn't work out, so that obviously shows that heavier than air flight can't work"...

~Jon

LOL.

Pegasus has a pretty small payload, about 10% of this new vehicle's. I expect many of the operational costs of air launch won't scale up with payload size.

Offline Comga

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Like some others here, I am skeptical about the cost effectiveness of air launched rockets. Pegasus has been doing this for twenty years, and it is still expensive per pound. If air launch has potential, why hasn't Orbital Sciences put more effort into Pegasus' costs, instead of going after conventional liquid fuel rockets?

Space launch is such an interesting field. I wonder where computers or even airplanes would be if people in those fields were as used to drawing hasty generalizations from single data points.

"Sam Langley's Aerodrome didn't work out, so that obviously shows that heavier than air flight can't work"...

~Jon

LOL.

Pegasus has a pretty small payload, about 10% of this new vehicle's. I expect many of the operational costs of air launch won't scale up with payload size.

It will probably cost way more than ten times as much to build this one-off, six engine, twin hulled behemoth than it cost to buy an old, used L-1011.

Still, one data point....
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

Offline Tcommon

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Honestly this concept seems so crazy that it simply must work.  Or at least be tried so that humanity can have the dignity to say that we attempted to make it fly.
It's not crazy. It does work. It has been tried (Pegasus) and is still in operation. It doesn't make sense though; reduced capacity of an F9 with more complexity and, presumably, more cost.

It just doesn't make sense unless the F5 is a placeholder, as proposed earlier in this thread.

Online Robotbeat

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I'm not convinced that it'd be higher cost than a fully expendable Falcon 9. There are real operational advantages, and in the real world that translates to cost advantages. But this is a huge airplane.
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Offline Comga

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Not that it hasn't been said before, but the contrast with "the SpaceX way" is stark

SpaceX: Minimalist launch pad - rails, pivoting hold-down block, strong-back/umbilical tower
Stratolaunch:  Maximum launch pad - a giant six jet engine aircraft

SpaceX: Two stages, one profile - up
Stratolaunch: Three stages, three profiles - suspended, aerodynamic flight, rocket flight.

SpaceX: ten versions of one engine in two flavors, sea level & vacuum
Stratolaunch: 11 engines of 3 types- turbofan, high altitude rocket and vacuum rocket

SpaceX: Hold down ground startup - used twice so far?
Stratolaunch: Air start in a very time critical fashion

SpaceX: Reusability is supposedly key, reasonable plan to bring back first stage, single expendable engine,
Stratolaunch: Reusable zeroth stage, no reuse of the rocket, six expendable engines

SpaceX: If capacity is insufficient, add 4 more engines, lengthen tanks
Stratolaunch: If capacity is insufficient, then what?

SpaceX: SpaceX as entrepreneurial entity, build the hardware and market or disappear
Stratolaunch: SpaceX as aerospace contractor, its a job with limited upside, possibly a good way to amortize manufacturing capacity

It will be very interesting to watch.
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

Offline Comga

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Other questions:

The engine cowls on the "Falcon 5".  Don't think they needed them "the first time".  Only the corner engines, the last 4 of 9, project beyond the tank diameter on the Falcon 9.

No solar panel pontoons on Service Module.  Just a graphic detail that was ignored?  If there is lift on the wing, there is lateral force on the pontoon.

Hard to tell, but that wing looks to be really far back.  How does that compare to Pegasus?  It almost looks to be near the C/M of an empty first stage, which would be good for the flyback they announced they weren't working on.

How would you sit in a Dragon launch couch while waiting for takeoff, and as the force vector rotates?  T/space pivoting couches?
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

 

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