Author Topic: Stratolaunch: General Company and Development Updates and Discussions  (Read 1052203 times)

Offline Zed_Noir

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Wonder if the Stratolaunch carrier aircraft is capable of ferrying  something like a empty 10m diameter  FXX core stage? If it does, than SpaceX will probably pay for the service. Guess the 6m diameter FX core shouldn't be a problem as a ferry payload.
« Last Edit: 12/13/2011 11:48 pm by Zed_Noir »

Online kevin-rf

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The idea of mid-air refueling of aircraft used to be considered scary too.
~Jon
It still is, notice only some military's do it. It does not always go well... planes and sadly crews are sometimes lost.

To me, remembering SpaceX's several launch aborts, lighting an air drop turbo pumped liquid engine is scary. If they switched to pressure fed...

Honestly, the story is they are building a plane that can air drop a large rocket. To me the Falcon V is a place holder. What about a Falcon V first stage, a X-37 shape that is mostly a fuel tank, and a couple of seats as the second stage. See where I am going?
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Offline Namechange User

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Honestly, the story is they are building a plane that can air drop a large rocket. To me the Falcon V is a place holder. What about a Falcon V first stage, a X-37 shape that is mostly a fuel tank, and a couple of seats as the second stage. See where I am going?

Essentially correct.  However, currently, SpaceX is a subcontractor/partner to Stratolaunch.

Could other rockets do it theoretically in place of the SpaceX booster? Sure.  However, there are a slew of system engineering issues and integrated vehicle performance issues to address first. 
« Last Edit: 12/13/2011 11:57 pm by OV-106 »
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Offline Namechange User

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Wonder if the Stratolaunch carrier aircraft is capable of ferrying  something like a empty 10m diameter  FXX core stage? If it does, than SpaceX will probably pay for the service. Guess the 6m diameter FX core shouldn't be a problem as a ferry payload.


There is no FX or FXX.  There is not even an FH at this point in time. 
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Offline Rocket Science

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The idea of mid-air refueling of aircraft used to be considered scary too.
~Jon
It still is, notice only some military's do it. It does not always go well... planes and sadly crews are sometimes lost.

To me, remembering SpaceX's several launch aborts, lighting an air drop turbo pumped liquid engine is scary. If they switched to pressure fed...

Honestly, the story is they are building a plane that can air drop a large rocket. To me the Falcon V is a place holder. What about a Falcon V first stage, a X-37 shape that is mostly a fuel tank, and a couple of seats as the second stage. See where I am going?
Look right here... ;D

http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=27477.15
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Online Robotbeat

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Like Chris said, all rockets are exciting. That said, I was really hoping, given the location, that this was going to involve Blue Origin, and funding for a two-stage fully reusable.
I keep getting the feeling that this idea was in the process for quite a while and that they were just looking for a cheap enough and realistic enough rocket.

It does seem relatively logical to me that they may tank it up only once they're airborne for structural (and safety) reasons. Can you imagine a full abort stop on the runway with a fueled rocket?

If they do the "zoom" maneuver that Jon was talking about (I doubt it, but you never know), this should be a very big boost (1km/s total) to orbit. If it were hydrolox, it could be even more powerful. On the other hand, they could use the extra performance for making a reusable version.

I get the feeling they aren't married to SpaceX as much as you might think. It will be a while before they get airborne.

And yeah, it is too bad the big announcement wasn't about a bunch of payloads.
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Offline Jim

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Well, one thing to remember is that the part of Dynetics most likely involved in this is going to be the old Orion Propulsion guys.  While Dynetics is run by a lot of the old Ares-I people, the former Orion group is led by Tim Pickens--who helped with the SS1 propulsion system, and also built his daughter a hybrid rocket powered bike...I think at least that part of Dynetics isn't goint to have any problem interfacing with the SpaceX/Scaled people... :-)

Really?  This isn't a propulsion task for them but an system engineering task and that is what the people listed in the PR documents are supposed to be "good" at.
« Last Edit: 12/14/2011 12:00 am by Jim »

Offline grr

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Its cool, but the question becomes, to where and how often?
It seems to me that the smart thing for Allen and other billionaires would be to invest into Bigelow or IDC Dover and get a private space station up there along with ONE human launch company. And that needs to be ASAP.

once you have at least one private space station up there along with a human launcher, then you will have loads of competition to drop the prices. Without it, then all of the various launchers are chasing the same dollars and it will not be enough.

Offline simonbp

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What about a Falcon V first stage, a X-37 shape that is mostly a fuel tank, and a couple of seats as the second stage. See where I am going?

Makes sense, and could be made into a fully reusable system with a recoverable Falcon (e.g if you took off from California, launched out in the Pacific, and recovered again in California).

Developing the spacecraft would be quite expensive though, similar in cost to the entire Stratolaunch vehicle. Best to get that working first.

Offline Namechange User

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Yeah, Dynetics is doing the SE&I of the overall system.
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Offline Namechange User

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Its cool, but the question becomes, to where and how often?
It seems to me that the smart thing for Allen and other billionaires would be to invest into Bigelow or IDC Dover and get a private space station up there along with ONE human launch company. And that needs to be ASAP.

once you have at least one private space station up there along with a human launcher, then you will have loads of competition to drop the prices. Without it, then all of the various launchers are chasing the same dollars and it will not be enough.

What the hell?  Why do so many refuse to address this question with government-funded "commercial" but then when someone decides to spend their own money, for something truly commercial, then everyone decides to find religion?  And then people say instead how they should spend *their* money.

It is as simple as this.  A business case has been assessed for this concept.  ROM numbers have been created to show what the ROI is (under "normal" assumptions and then "worse-case" and "best-case" assumptions) versus the investment required to bring it to fruition.  The investor, Paul Allen (and maybe others), has determined this to be worth their time. 
« Last Edit: 12/14/2011 12:08 am by OV-106 »
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Offline M_Puckett

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Wonder if the Stratolaunch carrier aircraft is capable of ferrying  something like a empty 10m diameter  FXX core stage? If it does, than SpaceX will probably pay for the service. Guess the 6m diameter FX core shouldn't be a problem as a ferry payload.


As long as it doesn't drag the runway with its belly it might work.

Offline yinzer

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It's hard to see how this makes sense on what's been released so far.  The mid-sized Delta-2-ish launch market is pretty small, as can be seen by the Delta 2 being withdrawn for lack of customers.  That airplane is not going to be cheap even if you get Scaled Composites to build it, nor are the modifications to existing Falcon launch vehicles.  With the comparatively small market, paying back the development costs is going to be tricky.

Of course, it was also hard to see how you could make money mining manganese nodules from the sea floor...
California 2008 - taking rights from people and giving rights to chickens.

Offline grr

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Its cool, but the question becomes, to where and how often?
It seems to me that the smart thing for Allen and other billionaires would be to invest into Bigelow or IDC Dover and get a private space station up there along with ONE human launch company. And that needs to be ASAP.

once you have at least one private space station up there along with a human launcher, then you will have loads of competition to drop the prices. Without it, then all of the various launchers are chasing the same dollars and it will not be enough.

What the hell?  Why do so many refuse to address this question with government-funded "commercial" but then when someone decides to spend their own money, for something truly commercial, then everyone decides to find religion?  And then people say instead how they should spend *their* money.

It is as simple as this.  A business case has been assessed for this concept.  ROM numbers have been created to show what the ROI is (under "normal" assumptions and then "worse-case" and "best-case" assumptions) versus the investment required to bring it to fruition.  The investor, Paul Allen (and maybe others), has determined this to be worth their time. 


As to checking ROIs etc, you obviously have not tuned into Allen's previous work.  He was the person predominately responsible for pushing cable into the internet (think allen's original backing of SC's SS1 or Musk's creation of Tesla and the impact on electric cars). Allen backed it by creating Charter to expand this.  He is obviously doing the same thing here. 

My earlier posting was hazarding a SWAG that he will be spending more down the road on destinations. It was not meant as criticism.

Offline simonbp

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The mid-sized Delta-2-ish launch market is pretty small, as can be seen by the Delta 2 being withdrawn for lack of customers.

Delta II was not withdrawn for lack of customers, it was withdrawn because ULA wanted to focus on EELVs, which are more profitable. There were plenty of government payloads for the mass range. Whether the market can support both Stratolaunch and Antares, I don't know.

Offline NotGncDude

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Excellent. The more companies working on space launch with NASA out of equation the better!

Offline edkyle99

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Honestly, the story is they are building a plane that can air drop a large rocket. To me the Falcon V is a place holder. What about a Falcon V first stage, a X-37 shape that is mostly a fuel tank, and a couple of seats as the second stage. See where I am going?

I did notice that the launch vehicle mass just about matches the liftoff weight of a Delta IV CBC.  With a more efficient engine (J-2X?), a CBC-sized stage drop-launched in this manner might be able to lift itself into orbit, or nearly so, with a 10-ish tonne payload, eliminating the staging. 

I'll have to figure out what 232 tonnes of solid motor rocket might be able to do air-launched.  It would have to be multi-stage of course.  A first guess would be 4 tonnes, as a straight scale-up estimate of Pegasus XL.

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/14/2011 12:31 am by edkyle99 »

Offline lorahpj

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I'm glad to see it (Paul Allen spending his money on this project) - it is good to see different approaches being pursued and Allen definitely has the resources to go the distance on any project he chooses.  I wish he had gone with a more ambitious approach.  I don't see how a subsonic carrier plane dropping a rocket at 30,000 feet is going to give any kind of order of magnitude cost reduction - we haven't seen that Orbital's Pegasus has had a breakthrough on costs from what I know, so why would a scaled up Pegasus (with a fully custom carrier plane) have a breakthrough? I guess the risk is lower but it seems like the rewards are too.

Offline docmordrid

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Aviation Week article....

13.5 MT
747-400 engines, flight deck, landing gear & systems.
Falcon 5/6
Falcon will use a feathered flight profile (!?!)
DM

Online Robotbeat

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Excellent. The more companies working on space launch with NASA out of equation the better!
Except what are they going to launch? We have Delta IV (possibly also remnants of Delta II), Atlas V, Falcon 9, Taurus II Antares, and now Stratalaunch plus other people seriously vying for a medium-to-heavy launch service including Blue Origin and ATK (not just Liberty). Those are just the domestic folks. You also have Soyuz, Proton, Ariane 5, Indian, and Chinese launch vehicles. It's getting pretty crowded, here!

I think it's a really cool concept, but what the heck are these going to all launch? The EELVs were already having a hard time finding payloads just by themselves...

Everyone loves to make a big sexy rocket, and wings are icing on the cake! :)

They are clearly pushing for new or greatly expanded markets with this. I'm not going to bet against them.
« Last Edit: 12/14/2011 12:45 am by Robotbeat »
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

 

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