Author Topic: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011  (Read 117349 times)

Offline input~2

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #140 on: 12/24/2011 04:56 pm »

Offline Patchouli

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #141 on: 12/24/2011 05:29 pm »
There's probably very few common parts between the two engines even the thrust structure is different.

As for remarks on a second crew rated LV the Atlas V is almost already crew rated.

Actually by Russian and Chinese definitions both EELVs probably would be considered perfectly safe for a crew.
« Last Edit: 12/24/2011 05:32 pm by Patchouli »

Offline oldAtlas_Eguy

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #142 on: 12/24/2011 05:34 pm »
Since these engines don’t look to be gimbaled, a high pitch or yaw rate indicates a single chamber explosion or a single chamber thrust failure (due to injector clog or some sort of plumbing related failure). These failure modes are very significantly different but would result in the same high pitch/yaw rate and pressure spike that has been so far correctly or incorrectly reported.

Offline Chris Bergin

Have we heard anything from Roscosmos yet? Mr Popovkin said they expected to "publish" (if that's the right term) their telemetry findings.
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Offline edkyle99

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #144 on: 12/24/2011 10:09 pm »
Since these engines don’t look to be gimbaled, a high pitch or yaw rate indicates a single chamber explosion or a single chamber thrust failure (due to injector clog or some sort of plumbing related failure). These failure modes are very significantly different but would result in the same high pitch/yaw rate and pressure spike that has been so far correctly or incorrectly reported.

The main chambers aren't gimbaled, but the vernier chambers do gimbal to provide steering.  The verniers may be fed from the same turbopump assembly as the main chambers, so possible failure modes resulting in loss of steering seem numerous.

 - Ed Kyle

Offline Patchouli

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #145 on: 12/24/2011 10:48 pm »
Since these engines don’t look to be gimbaled, a high pitch or yaw rate indicates a single chamber explosion or a single chamber thrust failure (due to injector clog or some sort of plumbing related failure). These failure modes are very significantly different but would result in the same high pitch/yaw rate and pressure spike that has been so far correctly or incorrectly reported.

The main chambers aren't gimbaled, but the vernier chambers do gimbal to provide steering.  The verniers may be fed from the same turbopump assembly as the main chambers, so possible failure modes resulting in loss of steering seem numerous.

 - Ed Kyle

The RD-0124 doesn't have verniers I decided to do some research and apparently the nozzles do gimbal along a single axis.
http://www.russianspaceweb.com/rd0124.html

Loss of one of the actuators would result in loss of control.
« Last Edit: 12/24/2011 11:00 pm by Patchouli »

Offline PeterAlt

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #146 on: 12/24/2011 11:06 pm »
I would hate to be in a management position at the RSA at about now! Heads are gonna roll! Remember the Russian President's comments just a few weeks ago about how space agency officials will be "punished" after an investigation over recent failures, assuring the punishment won't be "firing squad" like the previous Soviet management under Stalin would have executed? With this failure I wonder if firing squad is being reconsidered... Not likely, but, still I would hate to be in the shoes of those "responsible"!

Offline kevin-rf

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #147 on: 12/25/2011 12:34 am »
This is a dumb question, but several posters have referred to this failure as an "explosion" of one form or another.

How do you get telemetry for a long enough period that indicates the stage pitched over enough to gimbal lock?

Based on what has been posted it sounds more like a rupture (maybe violent)  in either the plumbing or one the chambers. It does not sound like an immediate RUD that shredded the stage, something more akin to the failure that doomed the second Delta III flight.
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Offline sdsds

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #148 on: 12/25/2011 02:03 am »
problem, we have is failures in both engines now.  What is common in both set of engines?

Possibly just personnel.

Even if the production lines have no individuals in common, it might be that many different individuals respond in the same way (leading to lower quality) when working in environments where they face similar cultural or economic challenges.  Put more succinctly the common cause could be, "Low morale."
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Offline kch

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #149 on: 12/25/2011 02:09 am »
This is a dumb question, but several posters have referred to this failure as an "explosion" of one form or another.

How do you get telemetry for a long enough period that indicates the stage pitched over enough to gimbal lock?

Based on what has been posted it sounds more like a rupture (maybe violent)  in either the plumbing or one the chambers. It does not sound like an immediate RUD that shredded the stage, something more akin to the failure that doomed the second Delta III flight.

The "explosion" references may be misquotes of this post ...

From Analoly Zak's site:
Quote
Latest update: According to industry sources, the analysis of available telemetry on the fuel line pressure before the entrance to the engine's injection system indicated a possible bulging of the combustion chamber No. 1, leading to its burn through and a catastrophic fuel leak.

... which sounds very much like what happened to the Delta III.

Offline PeterAlt

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #150 on: 12/25/2011 02:44 am »
This is a dumb question, but several posters have referred to this failure as an "explosion" of one form or another.

How do you get telemetry for a long enough period that indicates the stage pitched over enough to gimbal lock?

Based on what has been posted it sounds more like a rupture (maybe violent)  in either the plumbing or one the chambers. It does not sound like an immediate RUD that shredded the stage, something more akin to the failure that doomed the second Delta III flight.

The "explosion" references may be misquotes of this post ...

From Analoly Zak's site:
Quote
Latest update: According to industry sources, the analysis of available telemetry on the fuel line pressure before the entrance to the engine's injection system indicated a possible bulging of the combustion chamber No. 1, leading to its burn through and a catastrophic fuel leak.

... which sounds very much like what happened to the Delta III.

I know Analoly Zak is a member here. Analoly, if you're listening, what is the mood in Russia concerning the recent string of failures and the Russian space program in general of late? I know a new administrator was appointed not too long ago...

Offline edkyle99

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #151 on: 12/25/2011 04:01 am »
The RD-0124 doesn't have verniers I decided to do some research and apparently the nozzles do gimbal along a single axis.
http://www.russianspaceweb.com/rd0124.html

Loss of one of the actuators would result in loss of control.

Thanks for that.  I always learn more about rockets when they fail...

 - Ed Kyle

Offline Jorge

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #152 on: 12/25/2011 06:10 am »
Looks like eight fragments of Meridian have been located in the Novosibirsk region:

http://www.1tv.ru/news/techno/194869
JRF

Offline jcm

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #153 on: 12/25/2011 06:49 am »
Looks like eight fragments of Meridian have been located in the Novosibirsk region:

http://www.1tv.ru/news/techno/194869

Great video of the hole in that guy's roof!  And a little crater in the snow
where a small tank hit and rolled..
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Offline B. Hendrickx

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #154 on: 12/25/2011 08:44 am »
Spectacular footage of the Meridian launch as seen from the cockpit of a Russian airplane :



This appears to show the shutdown of the third stage engine (about 1m25s into the clip).

Online Salo

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #155 on: 12/25/2011 08:49 am »
Screenshots 1:23-1:24-1:25-1:26 sec from video.
« Last Edit: 12/25/2011 08:50 am by Salo »

Offline Space101

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #156 on: 12/25/2011 11:08 am »
Crew in background speaking in English tell the passengers it's a UFO :D
Let's go and explore space.

Offline ugordan

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #157 on: 12/25/2011 11:28 am »
It's *always* a UFO, what else *could* it possibly be to be even remotely plausible as that...

Offline edkyle99

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #158 on: 12/25/2011 02:30 pm »
Spectacular footage of the Meridian launch as seen from the cockpit of a Russian airplane :

This appears to show the shutdown of the third stage engine (about 1m25s into the clip).


If so, the stage looks rock stable until the shutdown (no spinning, etc.).

An interesting view of the launch.  It looks to be directly downrange on the flight azimuth!

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/25/2011 02:31 pm by edkyle99 »

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Interesting photo showing the Block I spinning out of control at about T+450 seconds seen from Tobolsk.
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