> I'm aware that whenever Atlantis lifts off on STS-121, it will carry Thomas Reiter
> as the first European 'expedition' crew member for the ISS.
It seems to be very hazardous to anticipate if the ISS permanent crew would be of 3.
The decision to have only 2 was taken after the Columbia disaster and the unavailability
of the Shuttle fleet.
It is not an evidence to assure a safe session (oxygen, food etc..) when only
Progress Cargo and Soyuz TM are available to do the job.
At the moment Shuttle fleet is grounded. Hope the engineers and technicians will
soon solve the foam problem on the ET.
On the other hand, if the delay to a safe return to flight increase, I'm not sure, even
it's possible, that european and russian decide to launch the european spationaut with a Soyuz if the Shuttle still get bogged down.
At the moment the deal between USA and the ISS partners is completely out of the
original agreement (russian had to to sharply increase their participation for supplying
the ISS, european and japonese modules are still grounded, no permanent spationaut in the station for Europe or Japan).
Nonetheless some voices in america suggest to simply stop using the Shuttle.
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/08/14/opinion/14sun1.htmlI really hope, this is not the future.