Author Topic: CCDev-2 Awards PRE-Announcement Discussion - April 18  (Read 76917 times)

Offline vt_hokie

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Re: CCDev-2 Awards PRE-Announcement Discussion - April 18
« Reply #140 on: 04/18/2011 08:27 pm »
I didn't realize the dollar amounts for this award were so low.  What does $80 million get you nowadays?  Preliminary design work?

Online Ronsmytheiii

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Re: CCDev-2 Awards PRE-Announcement Discussion - April 18
« Reply #141 on: 04/18/2011 08:27 pm »
Well this might be the death of Liberty (the rocket), lets see how ATK responds. Too pad to see Paragon snubbed as well, but still not sure what blue origin is up to.

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Offline rcoppola

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Re: CCDev-2 Awards PRE-Announcement Discussion - April 18
« Reply #143 on: 04/18/2011 08:28 pm »
Looks like they got it about right. Nice..
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Offline baldusi

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Re: CCDev-2 Awards PRE-Announcement Discussion - April 18
« Reply #144 on: 04/18/2011 08:28 pm »
Or may be they are putting some pressure on ULA to move their lobbyist for some AJAX or such architecture.

Offline Antares

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Re: CCDev-2 Awards PRE-Announcement Discussion - April 18
« Reply #145 on: 04/18/2011 08:29 pm »
What does $80 million get you nowadays?

About 200 people for a year.  Yes, American aerospace rates are way too high.
« Last Edit: 04/18/2011 08:30 pm by Antares »
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Offline Namechange User

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Re: CCDev-2 Awards PRE-Announcement Discussion - April 18
« Reply #146 on: 04/18/2011 08:31 pm »
No USA  :(


Wasn't expected.  Too much politics and misconception out there mixed with a desire to rid the world of the "evil" space shuttle. 
Enjoying viewing the forum a little better now by filtering certain users.

Offline Robotbeat

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Re: CCDev-2 Awards PRE-Announcement Discussion - April 18
« Reply #147 on: 04/18/2011 08:31 pm »
Nice. 3 roughly equal chunks to the three folks furthest along (that we can tell), plus another small chunk to Blue Origin (I hope we'll find out more about them as a result of this award). I'm a little surprised it wasn't spread out more, but otherwise looks good!
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Offline hektor

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Re: CCDev-2 Awards PRE-Announcement Discussion - April 18
« Reply #148 on: 04/18/2011 08:38 pm »
So the launcher activities are wrapped into the crew vehicles activities ?

Offline RocketEconomist327

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Re: LIVE: CCDev-2 Awards Announcement - April 18
« Reply #149 on: 04/18/2011 09:52 pm »
My Top 3 in order:

1) SpaceX

2) Boeing -CST & Atlas V

3) Dream Chaser

We get FOUR for the price of three!  Three orbital vehicles and two rockets. 

VR
TEA
RE327

I realize you talk a lot about economics and belittle many but perhaps I just don't understand the "economics" of how the Boeing's CST and ULA's Atlas are considered one entity. 

I pretty much nailed CCDev-2 dead on.

The train left the station.  Hope you are on bored.

Your comment pretty much lets everyone know who "belittles" who.

TEA
RE327
You can talk about all the great things you can do, or want to do, in space; but unless the rocket scientists get a sound understanding of economics (and quickly), the US space program will never achieve the greatness it should.

Putting my money where my mouth is.

Offline RocketEconomist327

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Re: LIVE: CCDev-2 Awards Announcement - April 18
« Reply #150 on: 04/18/2011 09:55 pm »
I'm surprised very few are saying anything about Orbital.

There is no substantial documentation public or otherwise to suggest that Taurus II could be rated for humans.

Why waste the money?

Dream Chaser is further along too.  Bean counters in charge here.

VR
TEA
RE327
« Last Edit: 04/18/2011 09:57 pm by RocketScientist327 »
You can talk about all the great things you can do, or want to do, in space; but unless the rocket scientists get a sound understanding of economics (and quickly), the US space program will never achieve the greatness it should.

Putting my money where my mouth is.

Offline Namechange User

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Re: LIVE: CCDev-2 Awards Announcement - April 18
« Reply #151 on: 04/18/2011 09:57 pm »
My Top 3 in order:

1) SpaceX

2) Boeing -CST & Atlas V

3) Dream Chaser

We get FOUR for the price of three!  Three orbital vehicles and two rockets. 

VR
TEA
RE327

I realize you talk a lot about economics and belittle many but perhaps I just don't understand the "economics" of how the Boeing's CST and ULA's Atlas are considered one entity. 

I pretty much nailed CCDev-2 dead on.

The train left the station.  Hope you are on bored.

Your comment pretty much lets everyone know who "belittles" who.

TEA
RE327

Well, yeah, look at the post of yours above that one to see the example of "belittling" as well as previous posts.  More to the point, my question about how Boeing and ULA are one entity is entirely accurate. 

Also I named those same "three" (if you don't count the fact that you tried to marry Boeing and ULA) as did a lot of people so I'm not sure if you are just looking out for some unfounded ego stroking or what. 
« Last Edit: 04/18/2011 10:45 pm by OV-106 »
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Offline RocketEconomist327

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Re: CCDev-2 Awards PRE-Announcement Discussion - April 18
« Reply #152 on: 04/18/2011 09:58 pm »
I didn't realize the dollar amounts for this award were so low.  What does $80 million get you nowadays?  Preliminary design work?

80 million is only peanuts if you work for the government.  In an organization like SpaceX that is a TON of money.  Hell, that is like 15% of what SpaceX has spent to date.

That is a lot of money.

Again, changing the paradigm.  I don't need CxP money to get to space.  Just get the heck out of the way.

VR
TEA
RE327
You can talk about all the great things you can do, or want to do, in space; but unless the rocket scientists get a sound understanding of economics (and quickly), the US space program will never achieve the greatness it should.

Putting my money where my mouth is.

Offline vt_hokie

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Re: LIVE: CCDev-2 Awards Announcement - April 18
« Reply #153 on: 04/18/2011 09:58 pm »
I'm surprised very few are saying anything about Orbital.

There is no substantial documentation public or otherwise to suggest that Taurus II could be rated for humans.

Why waste the money?

Dream Chaser is further along too.  Bean counters in charge here.

I was actually on the Orbital website the other day looking for a Prometheus page, and found that there wasn't one. 

I sort of figured that DreamChaser was more likely to take the funding, given its head start.

Offline RocketEconomist327

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Re: CCDev-2 Awards PRE-Announcement Discussion - April 18
« Reply #154 on: 04/18/2011 09:59 pm »
No USA  :(


Wasn't expected.  Too much politics and misconception out there mixed with a desire to rid the world of the "evil" space shuttle. 

Not that you believe me, but I wanted USA in CCDev-2.

I really did.

Respectfully,
Andrew
You can talk about all the great things you can do, or want to do, in space; but unless the rocket scientists get a sound understanding of economics (and quickly), the US space program will never achieve the greatness it should.

Putting my money where my mouth is.

Offline Namechange User

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Re: LIVE: CCDev-2 Awards Announcement - April 18
« Reply #155 on: 04/18/2011 09:59 pm »
I'm surprised very few are saying anything about Orbital.

There is no substantial documentation public or otherwise to suggest that Taurus II could be rated for humans.

Why waste the money?

Dream Chaser is further along too.  Bean counters in charge here.

VR
TEA
RE327

TII was not related to Prometheus.  DC and Prometheus are different vehicles.  By your logic you are suggesting that there is some sort of "agenda" at work here where lifting bodies are being unfairly biased against but capsules, then we can't ever have enough?  Strange....but guess that is what you get when only "bean counters" are in charge. 
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Offline Robotbeat

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Re: LIVE: CCDev-2 Awards Announcement - April 18
« Reply #156 on: 04/18/2011 10:02 pm »
I'm surprised very few are saying anything about Orbital.

There is no substantial documentation public or otherwise to suggest that Taurus II could be rated for humans.

Why waste the money?

Dream Chaser is further along too.  Bean counters in charge here.

VR
TEA
RE327
Taurus II wasn't the proposed vehicle for Prometheus. Orbital proposed using Atlas V (some version with some number of solids strapped to it). Part of the reason Orbital wasn't selected was because they only had 4 crew (versus something like 7 for Dreamchaser) and the version of Atlas V required was bigger than that required for Dreamchaser, so there was less room for mass growth.
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Offline RocketEconomist327

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Re: LIVE: CCDev-2 Awards Announcement - April 18
« Reply #157 on: 04/18/2011 10:08 pm »
I'm surprised very few are saying anything about Orbital.

There is no substantial documentation public or otherwise to suggest that Taurus II could be rated for humans.

Why waste the money?

Dream Chaser is further along too.  Bean counters in charge here.

VR
TEA
RE327

TII was not related to Prometheus.  DC and Prometheus are different vehicles.  By your logic you are suggesting that there is some sort of "agenda" at work here where lifting bodies are being unfairly biased against but capsules, then we can't ever have enough?  Strange....but guess that is what you get when only "bean counters" are in charge. 

There is no agenda.  Who is further along and who is more reliable in the eyes of those making the decisions?

I'm surprised very few are saying anything about Orbital.

There is no substantial documentation public or otherwise to suggest that Taurus II could be rated for humans.

Why waste the money?

Dream Chaser is further along too.  Bean counters in charge here.

VR
TEA
RE327
Taurus II wasn't the proposed vehicle for Prometheus. Orbital proposed using Atlas V (some version with some number of solids strapped to it). Part of the reason Orbital wasn't selected was because they only had 4 crew (versus something like 7 for Dreamchaser) and the version of Atlas V required was bigger than that required for Dreamchaser, so there was less room for mass growth.

I believe you.  I also believe DC is much further along than Prometheus.

VR
TEA
RE327
You can talk about all the great things you can do, or want to do, in space; but unless the rocket scientists get a sound understanding of economics (and quickly), the US space program will never achieve the greatness it should.

Putting my money where my mouth is.

Offline Namechange User

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Re: CCDev-2 Awards PRE-Announcement Discussion - April 18
« Reply #158 on: 04/18/2011 10:12 pm »
Well clearly Orbital and SNC were very close in the evaluations.  If there is no "agenda" and the evaluations prove my point, then why is "who is further along" relevent and not a consideration for capsule-based designs?
« Last Edit: 04/18/2011 10:12 pm by OV-106 »
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Offline Joris

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Re: CCDev-2 Awards PRE-Announcement Discussion - April 18
« Reply #159 on: 04/18/2011 10:32 pm »
Why is "who is further along" relevant and not a consideration for capsule-based designs?

What makes you think it wasn't?

Spacex is obviously further along than the rest, and Boeing seems to be ahead of the other competitors too.
JIMO would have been the first proper spaceship.

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