The Commercial Spaceflight Federation, the industry association of leading businesses and organizations working to make commercial human spaceflight a reality, will be making a major announcement on Wednesday, April 13, 2011, the day after the 50th anniversary celebration of the world’s first human spaceflight in 1961. Following the announcement, a press availability will be held at 1:30 pm Mountain Time at the National Space Symposium in Colorado Springs, Colorado. Representatives of the media onsite in Colorado Springs are invited join us at Symposium Media Center Press Room #1, on the 2nd floor of the Exhibit Center.Participants in the press availability will include:- Mark Sirangelo, Chairman of Sierra Nevada Corporation Space Systems and Chairman Emeritus of the Commercial Spaceflight Federation- George Whitesides, President and CEO, Virgin Galactic- Robert Bigelow, Founder and President, Bigelow Aerospace- Bretton Alexander, President, Commercial Spaceflight Federation
Notable is the absense of Lockheed Martin or ULA, whose Atlas V was originally to be the launcher for both Dream Chaser and Bigelow. The recent announcement of SpaceX's Falcon Heavy and its $1,000/lb price point (and the possible up-rating of F9 to 16 mT) might have a bit to do with that - option exploring & all that.
Another rule of thumb is if announcements of new projects are made without specific mention of customers, then the organization(s) are basically trolling for customers (billionaires) and don't have their act together. You will find that most announcements of big new commercial projects are customer focused, not technology focused. This does not apply to consumer products, like the IPAD, that depend on zillions of small customers, but it does apply to airliners and space projects.
Maybe I noticed LM/ULA's absence because someone has to get that stuff to orbit & they've been at least mentioned in most other pressers regarding DC & Bigelow. We'll see tomorrow if they couch their comments.
SpaceX was mentioned purely based on $/kg, the 800 lb gorilla in the room after the FH announcement. Are you proposing Mr. Big would go with Atlas V based just on loyalty? He's too $$ oriented for that.
I'll have a slight bit more faith in Virgin Galactic and Sierra Nevada when SS2 finally starts power based testing and Dreamchaser has a drop test. Right now, Spacex is the only one holding any real cards. They have actually demostrated a real vehicle under power and in flight. I know give it time. :p
Thanks for your interest in this. A couple of additional notes:Also participating in the press availability will be:- Gwynne Shotwell, President of SpaceX- A TBD senior executive of the United Launch Alliance- Patti Grace Smith, former Associate Administrator of FAA/ASTThe announcement is one of importance to the space industry as a whole, not just to one particular company or combination of companies.John GedmarkExecutive DirectorCommercial Spaceflight Federation
I am saying, again, that $/kg is hardly a fact. That it is a target based on one speech by The Elon. That development and test will have to prove the performance, cost and schedule that is SpaceX's GOAL AND OBJECTIVE.
Quote from: OV-106 on 04/12/2011 03:10 pmI am saying, again, that $/kg is hardly a fact. That it is a target based on one speech by The Elon. That development and test will have to prove the performance, cost and schedule that is SpaceX's GOAL AND OBJECTIVE. "performance, cost and schedule" As someone here has pointed out "pick two". I would have to review Mr. Musk's speech to be sure but I am pretty positive that he said the performance and cost were the goal and objective. Schedule is not a part of that nor should it be. This is developmental science and engineering and should not be driven by schedules, NET is good enough.
Quote from: Norm Hartnett on 04/13/2011 04:50 pmQuote from: OV-106 on 04/12/2011 03:10 pmI am saying, again, that $/kg is hardly a fact. That it is a target based on one speech by The Elon. That development and test will have to prove the performance, cost and schedule that is SpaceX's GOAL AND OBJECTIVE. "performance, cost and schedule" As someone here has pointed out "pick two". I would have to review Mr. Musk's speech to be sure but I am pretty positive that he said the performance and cost were the goal and objective. Schedule is not a part of that nor should it be. This is developmental science and engineering and should not be driven by schedules, NET is good enough.Norm,Schedule has an impact on cost. Cost has an impact on schedule. I appreciate what you are saying but all projects must have a schedule, as does SpaceX, by the NET date they are working toward. Either way, my point is still very much valid.
Guys.. this is all very fascinating (no cheek intended) but what does it have to do with the announcement today?? should this be in a different thread?
Quote from: OV-106 on 04/13/2011 04:58 pmQuote from: Norm Hartnett on 04/13/2011 04:50 pmQuote from: OV-106 on 04/12/2011 03:10 pmI am saying, again, that $/kg is hardly a fact. That it is a target based on one speech by The Elon. That development and test will have to prove the performance, cost and schedule that is SpaceX's GOAL AND OBJECTIVE. "performance, cost and schedule" As someone here has pointed out "pick two". I would have to review Mr. Musk's speech to be sure but I am pretty positive that he said the performance and cost were the goal and objective. Schedule is not a part of that nor should it be. This is developmental science and engineering and should not be driven by schedules, NET is good enough.Norm,Schedule has an impact on cost. Cost has an impact on schedule. I appreciate what you are saying but all projects must have a schedule, as does SpaceX, by the NET date they are working toward. Either way, my point is still very much valid. Oh, I agree that cost and politics drive schedule. That is very different from making it your "GOAL AND OBJECTIVE" though. SpaceX has been beaten up quite a bit for schedule slippages here and elsewhere and has, rightly IMO, ignored such criticisms. While your point that the cost/lb is a goal and not an actuality is valid, I think that the very fact that SpaceX's goal is focused on the cost/lb is a very hopeful sign since this is the driver that will determine whether space exploration is sustainable.
I've scanned the CSF site and found no hint of any sign that there will be any online broadcast. Do any of the websites have someone at the announcement location?
Quote from: Norm Hartnett on 04/13/2011 05:23 pmI've scanned the CSF site and found no hint of any sign that there will be any online broadcast. Do any of the websites have someone at the announcement location?I can't find anything... just noticed however that the announcement is 1:30 MOUNTAIN time which is 3:30 Eastern... just FYI for anyone else that may have been watching for it right now.. (like me )
I'm a little surprised a Boeing exec isn't there, considering the preexisting ties between Bigelow and Boeing's CST-100.
Quote from: docmordrid on 04/12/2011 02:19 pmNotable is the absense of Lockheed Martin or ULA, whose Atlas V was originally to be the launcher for both Dream Chaser and Bigelow. The recent announcement of SpaceX's Falcon Heavy and its $1,000/lb price point (and the possible up-rating of F9 to 16 mT) might have a bit to do with that - option exploring & all that.For goodness sake, is SpaceX even mentioned? Why do some think the world must revolve around them? The "recent announcement" is just that. It is a goal and objective for SpaceX but neither performance, cost or schedule have yet validated that target price. I think people need to cool their jets and stop assuming that everyone, everywhere is dancing the maypole and droping or terminating existing relationships just because The Elon made a speech a few DAYS ago. Besides why would ULA need to be involved? Based on the list, it would seem that Virgin Galactic will buy DreamChaser seats/vehicles for use in operations to and from Bigelow modules, which has essentially been known, or at least theorized, for some time. The method of transport to LEO is somewhat secondary in this regard.
A little over an hour away now. Looking forward to the announcement whatever it is. Wonder as well if there is any live video of the event?
Quote from: mr. mark on 04/13/2011 06:07 pmA little over an hour away now. Looking forward to the announcement whatever it is. Wonder as well if there is any live video of the event?Ah, so the Steidle thing wasn't the major announcement? I'm curious again now.~Jon
Quote from: neilh on 04/13/2011 05:37 pmI'm a little surprised a Boeing exec isn't there, considering the preexisting ties between Bigelow and Boeing's CST-100.It's not that surprising. The presence of a rep from SNC suggests that the S/C is Dreamchaser, which doesn't have anything to do with Boeing. I suspect that the announcement will basically be that Virgin is buying or (more likely) leasing some Dreamchasers and will be flying fare-paying passengers to CSS Alpha or some other Bigelow station.
Of course, things are complicated slightly due to SpaceX having their own crew capsule in development -- perhaps this might even be part of the announcement?
It's not like Falcon can't fly without Dragon. In the end SpaceX gets paid for the rocket. This is a business afterall
It could be a sign that Falcon Heavy may have it's first customer launching part of the Bigelow Station as well as having a Dreamchaser/Virgin Galactic contract for space tourism on ULA launch vehicles. A win-win all around.
Quote from: neilh on 04/13/2011 06:14 pmOf course, things are complicated slightly due to SpaceX having their own crew capsule in development -- perhaps this might even be part of the announcement?Why? It's not like Falcon can't fly without Dragon. In the end SpaceX gets paid for the rocket. This is a business afterall and the real "complication" is if verification that Falcon could fly something like DreamChaser.
Quote from: mr. mark on 04/13/2011 06:21 pmIt could be a sign that Falcon Heavy may have it's first customer launching part of the Bigelow Station as well as having a Dreamchaser/Virgin Galactic contract for space tourism on ULA launch vehicles. A win-win all around.I think that a real sign that FH may have its first customer is a customer announcement.
Everybody is going to come together as a joint entity to develop and launch a Sea Dragon, duh!
Quote from: Nate_Trost on 04/13/2011 06:43 pmEverybody is going to come together as a joint entity to develop and launch a Sea Dragon, duh!If only.....I would be surprised if the new general was the announcement. Could be, though, but I would dearly like a plan, architecture, or something along those lines.
"Thanks for your interest in this. A couple of additional notes:Also participating in the press availability will be:- Gwynne Shotwell, President of SpaceX- A TBD senior executive of the United Launch Alliance- Patti Grace Smith, former Associate Administrator of FAA/ASTThe announcement is one of importance to the space industry as a whole, not just to one particular company or combination of companies".John GedmarkExecutive DirectorCommercial Spaceflight FederationSo it's not just Virgin/Bigelow which seems to point to something bigger since ULA and Spacex representatives are both going to be there as well."The announcement is one of importance to the space industry as a whole, not just to one particular company or combination of companies".that statement is keeping me guessing.
Quote from: Silmfeanor on 04/13/2011 06:44 pmQuote from: Nate_Trost on 04/13/2011 06:43 pmEverybody is going to come together as a joint entity to develop and launch a Sea Dragon, duh!If only.....I would be surprised if the new general was the announcement. Could be, though, but I would dearly like a plan, architecture, or something along those lines.You will never get that from commercial. They all have different "plans", or at least that is how it is supposed to work. There is no "architecture", nor should there be, that they all rally behind. They are in competition with each other.This is not NASA, nor is it supposed to be. This is supposed to be about "commercial markets" that NASA should not be wholey subsidizing, but can take advantage of, and the business case is independent and in parallel to NASA.
Quote from: OV-106 on 04/13/2011 06:55 pmQuote from: Silmfeanor on 04/13/2011 06:44 pmQuote from: Nate_Trost on 04/13/2011 06:43 pmEverybody is going to come together as a joint entity to develop and launch a Sea Dragon, duh!If only.....I would be surprised if the new general was the announcement. Could be, though, but I would dearly like a plan, architecture, or something along those lines.You will never get that from commercial. They all have different "plans", or at least that is how it is supposed to work. There is no "architecture", nor should there be, that they all rally behind. They are in competition with each other.This is not NASA, nor is it supposed to be. This is supposed to be about "commercial markets" that NASA should not be wholey subsidizing, but can take advantage of, and the business case is independent and in parallel to NASA.Actually, private entities collaborate to engage in large-scale activities without a central, coercive force directing them all the time. Even while remaining in competition.
Checking the National Space Symposium site indicates no streaming video either;http://www.nationalspacesymposium.org/and neither this announcement nor the presser are listed on their schedule of events. Something might pop up on their twitter or facebook feeds.
Quote from: Diagoras on 04/13/2011 07:01 pmQuote from: OV-106 on 04/13/2011 06:55 pmQuote from: Silmfeanor on 04/13/2011 06:44 pmQuote from: Nate_Trost on 04/13/2011 06:43 pmEverybody is going to come together as a joint entity to develop and launch a Sea Dragon, duh!If only.....I would be surprised if the new general was the announcement. Could be, though, but I would dearly like a plan, architecture, or something along those lines.You will never get that from commercial. They all have different "plans", or at least that is how it is supposed to work. There is no "architecture", nor should there be, that they all rally behind. They are in competition with each other.This is not NASA, nor is it supposed to be. This is supposed to be about "commercial markets" that NASA should not be wholey subsidizing, but can take advantage of, and the business case is independent and in parallel to NASA.Actually, private entities collaborate to engage in large-scale activities without a central, coercive force directing them all the time. Even while remaining in competition.If you are talking about alliances/partnerships advance a common goal/lobbying efforts, which is essentially what the CSF is, you would be correct. However, that is not what I personally believed the poster was suggesting above. In fact, right now these companies are looking to capture, at least a piece, of the market (whatever that really is) in order to make a profit for their respective company, so it seems pre-mature to be discussing consolidation before the industry has even started if that is what you are trying to imply. Now there is something to partial-alliances to reduce or share overhead costs but that is another matter entirely.
Retired U.S. Navy Adm. Craig Steidle is taking the helm of the Commercial Spaceflight Federation (CSF), becoming the 5-year-old organization’s first full-time president, effective May 15. An announcement is planned for April 13 at the National Space Symposium in Colorado Springs, Colo.
Agreement with NASA to outsource all commercial space crew/tourist training to JSC
http://www.spacenews.com/venture_space/110413-steidle-tapped-run-commercial-spaceflight-federation.htmlQuoteRetired U.S. Navy Adm. Craig Steidle is taking the helm of the Commercial Spaceflight Federation (CSF), becoming the 5-year-old organization’s first full-time president, effective May 15. An announcement is planned for April 13 at the National Space Symposium in Colorado Springs, Colo.
Quote from: majormajor42 on 04/13/2011 07:24 pmAgreement with NASA to outsource all commercial space crew/tourist training to JSC I'm not sure I understand... What sort of training will JSC be doing exactly? Do you have a link?
Quote from: ugordan on 04/13/2011 07:43 pmhttp://www.spacenews.com/venture_space/110413-steidle-tapped-run-commercial-spaceflight-federation.htmlQuoteRetired U.S. Navy Adm. Craig Steidle is taking the helm of the Commercial Spaceflight Federation (CSF), becoming the 5-year-old organization’s first full-time president, effective May 15. An announcement is planned for April 13 at the National Space Symposium in Colorado Springs, Colo. Yup, it seems likely that the Q&A with the various companies will have to do more with welcoming Steidle, maybe some words on future direction of CSF, etc. Or maybe not?
Seeing as we are all speculating WILDLY
Quote from: neilh on 04/13/2011 07:45 pmQuote from: ugordan on 04/13/2011 07:43 pmhttp://www.spacenews.com/venture_space/110413-steidle-tapped-run-commercial-spaceflight-federation.htmlQuoteRetired U.S. Navy Adm. Craig Steidle is taking the helm of the Commercial Spaceflight Federation (CSF), becoming the 5-year-old organization’s first full-time president, effective May 15. An announcement is planned for April 13 at the National Space Symposium in Colorado Springs, Colo. Yup, it seems likely that the Q&A with the various companies will have to do more with welcoming Steidle, maybe some words on future direction of CSF, etc. Or maybe not?if thats the case, then this was anti-climactic
The announcement is one of importance to the space industry as a whole, not just to one particular company or combination of companies.
I'm a big Steidle fan.
Quote from: stockman on 04/13/2011 07:47 pmQuote from: neilh on 04/13/2011 07:45 pmQuote from: ugordan on 04/13/2011 07:43 pmhttp://www.spacenews.com/venture_space/110413-steidle-tapped-run-commercial-spaceflight-federation.htmlQuoteRetired U.S. Navy Adm. Craig Steidle is taking the helm of the Commercial Spaceflight Federation (CSF), becoming the 5-year-old organization’s first full-time president, effective May 15. An announcement is planned for April 13 at the National Space Symposium in Colorado Springs, Colo. Yup, it seems likely that the Q&A with the various companies will have to do more with welcoming Steidle, maybe some words on future direction of CSF, etc. Or maybe not?if thats the case, then this was anti-climactic Not only that, but lame. The CSF, in my opinion, tends to over-inflate everything. That could have consequences eventually. They bill something as a "major announcement", issue press releases, etc and it all turns out to be that someone got a new job. Hell, they even trumped themselves by then letting the cat out of the bag early.I hope Adm. Steidle changes this because otherwise it will become increasingly difficult to take the seriously.
#NSS27 Bigelow: Lunar Depot Station architecture built on EELV capabilities
Bigelow Aerospace presents lunar orbital base, outbound vehicle uses 11 centaur upper stages to LLO, follow on from DC FAA AST #nss27
Bigelow sees first flight in 2015, SPaceX few hundred million of outside investment already obtained, could raise money without NASA #NSS27
Bigelow Aerospace looking at care and welfare of leases from habitats as revenue, more than $200M in investment #NSS27
Bigelow: CCDev developments have spurred interest – expect first flight in early 2015
Quote#NSS27 Bigelow: Lunar Depot Station architecture built on EELV capabilities
Quote from: neilh on 04/13/2011 07:51 pmI'm a big Steidle fan. Yeah, he's a cool guy but don't get your hopes up too high. He has no "control" over anything and certainly not the member companies. The CSF doesn't make/operate/analyze anything.
But what exactly is he directing? As far as I know, CSF is primarily a lobbying organization, promoting to Congress the services of of its members. Steidle's role, therefore, seems more of a big-name lobbyist...
......aren't the only people who contribute.~Jon
UNLESS his role is to change that, and to put 'commercial' spaceflight on its own footing - as a consortium of commercial companies coming together (despite) government bungling, perhaps even getting ready to save it in its 'desperate' hour (ISS).Always more powerful when you speak as one voice, and that voice has substance & respect behind it.
Or FH.
Was the announcement the lunar orbital base? And where can I find the video of this presentation (if CSF was smart they'd have one on their website)?
Quote from: jongoff on 04/13/2011 11:10 pm......aren't the only people who contribute.~JonDo me a favor? Remember that.