Author Topic: FAILURE: Proton-M launch with three Glonass-M - December 5, 2010  (Read 102767 times)

Offline Nicolas PILLET

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As quoted by Stan in the Russian launches planning, this launch will use the newest version of the Bloc DM : 11S861-03.

http://www.energia.ru/ru/news/news-2010/news_09-23.html

Can you explain what is the goal of Energiya ? Why do they introduce a new version so late ? Will GLONASS launches use this version in the long term future ?
« Last Edit: 11/25/2010 07:38 pm by anik »
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Online Stan Black

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Rocket sent to Baikonur 24th September 2010

http://interfax.ru/news.asp?id=156523

Offline VR2

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September 28, 2010 - the rocket was delivered to Baikonur
September 30, 2010 - unloaded from wagons

http://www.federalspace.ru/main.php?id=2&nid=12843
http://www.federalspace.ru/main.php?id=2&nid=12866

Offline Danderman

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As quoted by Stan in the Russian launches planning, this launch will use the newest version of the Bloc DM : 11S861-03.

http://www.energia.ru/ru/news/news-2010/news_09-23.html

Can you explain what is the goal of Energiya ? Why do they introduce a new version so late ? Will GLONASS launches use this version in the long term future ?

Remember that Energia has recently invested heavily in SeaLaunch, so they have some rationale for improving the Blok-DM for additional performance.  In this case, they can test the modifications on the Russian government's dime rather than take a chance on first flight on a SeaLaunch that Energia pays for itself.

Offline anik

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The launch is planned at 10:25 UTC on December 5th.

Will GLONASS launches use this version in the long term future?

Yes, DM-03 upper stage will be used for all three Proton-M launches with Glonass-M satellites (one in 2010, one in 2011 and one in 2012). DM-03 will be also used for launches of Russian military satellites with using of Proton-M rockets. But Energiya enterprise is going to make new upper stage in future for DM-03 replacing.

Online Stan Black

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Can you explain what is the goal of Energiya ? Why do they introduce a new version so late ? Will GLONASS launches use this version in the long term future ?

 Vibration tests at TSNIIMASH in 2002. If that was the first flight article then it is getting quite old.

http://www.tsniimash.ru/Vved/srcrus/Vibr_rus.htm
2001разгонный блок ДМ-SL № 16 ("Морской старт")
2002Проведены вибропрочностные испытания разгонного блока ДМ-SL-18 РН "Зенит-SL"
 Проведены вибропрочностные испытания разгонного блока ДМ-03 РН "Протон"

Offline anik

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According to http://www.interfax.ru/society/news.asp?id=164318, the launch is postponed to the end of December due to failure of one of satellites. According to Novosti kosmonavtiki forum, Glonass-M #39 will be returned to factory for repair tomorrow and will arrive back to cosmodrome on November 22nd, and the launch is delayed to December 9th for now.

Offline anik

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According to Novosti kosmonavtiki forum, Glonass-M #39 satellite will be returned to Zheleznogorsk for repair tomorrow, the launch is planned at the end of December.

Offline Nicolas PILLET

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First satellite (n°39) was delivered on 1st november.
Second satellite (n°40) was delivered on 8th november.

http://www.iss-reshetnev.ru/?cid=news&nid=1104

Delivery of satellite n°40 :

« Last Edit: 11/12/2010 10:47 am by Nicolas PILLET »
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Offline patchfree

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N°39 is back in Baïkonur.

Quote
November 19 navigation satellite Glonass-M, manufactured by JSC "Information Satellite Systems" name Reshetnev, shipped to the launch site in preparation for launch.

Spacecraft № 39 delivered to the landfill after the additional work to address the comments received in its preparation in the processing facility. It will be launched into orbit as part of the block № 43 along with two satellites GLONASS-M, which is also currently preparing to launch at Baikonur.

http://www.iss-reshetnev.ru/?cid=news&nid=1116

n°41 was sent to Baïkonur on november 15

Quote
November 15 satellite Glonass-M »№ 41 sent to Baikonur. The spacecraft was developed and manufactured by experts of JSC "Information Satellite Systems" name Reshetnev.

Delivery of the spacecraft to the landfill has been successful. Navigation satellite prepares for the orbit in the unit number 43.

http://www.iss-reshetnev.ru/?cid=news&nid=1111
« Last Edit: 11/20/2010 08:45 pm by patchfree »
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Offline Lewis007

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Some pictures of the roll-out.
Source: http://www.roscosmos.ru/main.php?id=2&nid=14019

Offline anik

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The launch is planned at 10:25:19 UTC on December 5th.

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Into live coverage...

Offline Satori

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Launch preparations of the Uragan-M satellites
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 08:12 am by Satori »

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At this time the service tower is being rolled back.

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Offline Stephan

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Rutube direct link, playable in VLC :
http://webcaster.rutube.ru:8000/3311850?format=flv
Best regards, Stephan

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T-1h for launch!

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« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 08:44 am by Satori »

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8K82KM Proton-M/DM-03 '11S861-03' (53537/1L) at the PU-24 LC81 launch complex.
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 08:47 am by Satori »

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T-30 minutes for launch!

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« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 09:01 am by Satori »

Offline patchfree

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Could somebody give me the direct link to the launch webcast because I cannot reach the Tsenki website this morning?

Many thanks
http://kosmosnews.fr l'actualité spatiale russe en français

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Could somebody give me the direct link to the launch webcast because I cannot reach the Tsenki website this morning?

Many thanks

http://webcaster.rutube.ru:8000/3311850?format=flv

Offline patchfree

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Could somebody give me the direct link to the launch webcast because I cannot reach the Tsenki website this morning?

Many thanks

http://webcaster.rutube.ru:8000/3311850?format=flv

Thanks Satori
http://kosmosnews.fr l'actualité spatiale russe en français

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« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 09:13 am by Satori »

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My VLC feed is not working properly, so if someone could post snapshots during launch, I would be very apreciated.

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T-10m for launch. Everything looks good. We have clear nice skies at Baykonur so I supose we could see the first stage sep.

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T-5m!

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Command ignition sequence start takes place at T-3.10s.

Stage 1 ignition to 40% (initial) thrust at T-1.75s.

Command Stage 1 to full thrust at T-0.15s.


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LAUNCH!!!!

Offline Satori

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Into first stage burn!

Offline Satori

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First / Second stage sep!
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 09:28 am by Satori »

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Stage 3 vernier engine ignition. Stage 2 engine shutdown. Second / Third stage sep! Stage 3 main engine ignition
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 09:31 am by Satori »

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Payload fairing sep!

Offline joshcryer

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Nice clean launch, wish there was sound and a video camera feed on the rocket, though. :)

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Stage 3 main engine shutdown. Stage 3 vernier engine shutdown. Third stage / Orbital Unit separation.

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Tsenki feed has ended.

Offline joshcryer

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Thank you for the play-by-play Satori. Was the separation visible? I couldn't see it if it was.

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Thank you for the play-by-play Satori. Was the separation visible? I couldn't see it if it was.

Barely visible. During night launches one has a better sense of the separation event.

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Separation of the three satellites is schedule to take place at 1357UTC.

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Unsuccessful launch. Failure of Proton-M rocket. DM-03 upper stage with three Glonass-M satellites are in the Pacific Ocean.
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 01:46 pm by anik »

Offline Space Pete

According to RIA Novosti, the launch was a failure!

Quote
A Russian Proton-M carrier rocket, launched from the Baikonur space center in Kazakhstan with three Glonass-M satellites, deviated from its course to 8 degrees, which resulted later in a loss of three spacecrafts in the Pacific Ocean, a source in the aerospace industry said.

Glonass-M sattelites have not reached their planned orbit and may fail to function as normal. The satellites were launched into orbit on Sunday to complete the formation of Russia's global navigation system.

"According to latest information, Proton-M changed the trajectory of a given flight and before booster separation left the pitch to 8 degrees," the source said. "The rocket has entered the so-called non-closed orbit."

"The launch proceeded in the normal regime, at the designated time of 13:25 p.m. Moscow time. Three Glonass-M space vehicles will be delivered into orbit at 16:27 p.m. Moscow time to complete the formation of the Russian satellite grouping Glonass," a spokesman for the Russian space agency Roscosmos said earlier on Sunday.

Glonass is the Russian equivalent of the U.S. Global Positioning System, or GPS, and is designed for both military and civilian use. Both systems allow users to determine their positions to within a few meters.

Russia currently has a total of 26 Glonass satellites in orbit, but three of them are not operational. The three Glonass-M satellites to be put into orbit on Sunday will allow Russia to operate a complete Glonass network of 24 operational satellites and have several satellites in reserve.

The three satellites are planned to be put into operation in about 6 weeks.

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20101205/161637583.html
NASASpaceflight ISS Writer

Offline Nicolas PILLET

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Someone recorded the TsENKI video of the launch preparations ?
Nicolas PILLET
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Offline robertross

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According to RIA Novosti, the launch was a failure!

Quote
A Russian Proton-M carrier rocket, launched from the Baikonur space center in Kazakhstan with three Glonass-M satellites, deviated from its course to 8 degrees, which resulted later in a loss of three spacecrafts in the Pacific Ocean, a source in the aerospace industry said.

Darn.

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Oh, and thanks for the coverage again Rui !

Offline Danderman

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It appears that the Proton-M worked perfectly, but the Blok-DM-03 failed at ignition. Apparently, mission control never received a signal from the Blok-DM-03.

Is this the new version of Blok-DM that was discussed earlier?

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Unsuccessful launch. Failure of Proton-M rocket. DM-03 upper stage with three Glonass-M satellites are in the Pacific Ocean.

The problem was on the Proton-M third stage?

Offline robertross

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Nice clean launch, wish there was sound and a video camera feed on the rocket, though. :)

Thanks for the link.

Looked like excessive N2O4 on the first stage during launch.
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 02:30 pm by robertross »

Offline Nicolas PILLET

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Is this the new version of Blok-DM that was discussed earlier?

Yes, it was first flight of new version (11S861-03 n°1L).
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Offline anik

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The problem was on the Proton-M third stage?

The problem with control system of Proton-M rocket (incorrect software or something else).
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 02:38 pm by anik »

Offline Lee Jay

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Does this failure have any potential implications for any other launch systems (i.e. common components etc.)?

Offline Satori

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Does this failure have any potential implications for any other launch systems (i.e. common components etc.)?

Yes, if is a Proton-M related problem.

Offline Satori

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Looked like excessive N2O4 on the first stage during launch.

Looks like a normal operation of the first stage.
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 02:43 pm by Satori »

Offline Danderman

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http://www.vesti.ru/doc.html?id=411659

This article claims that the failure occurred because the Proton-M provided too much impulse.

 ???

Offline Satori

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Launch images from Roscosmos at http://www.roscosmos.ru/main.php?id=2&nid=14066

Online Stan Black

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Unsuccessful launch. Failure of Proton-M rocket. DM-03 upper stage with three Glonass-M satellites are in the Pacific Ocean.

What was the launch azimuth? Was it heading to a 65° parking orbit? Proton-M 3rd stage was meant to go orbital?

Offline SiberianTiger

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http://www.vesti.ru/doc.html?id=411659

This article claims that the failure occurred because the Proton-M provided too much impulse.

 ???

No, that's an already refuted information.

Offline Lee Jay

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Does this failure have any potential implications for any other launch systems (i.e. common components etc.)?

Yes, if is a Proton-M related problem.

I don't know much about these vehicles' details.  Could this potentially ground Soyuz during the investigation?

Offline Satori

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Does this failure have any potential implications for any other launch systems (i.e. common components etc.)?

Yes, if is a Proton-M related problem.

I don't know much about these vehicles' details.  Could this potentially ground Soyuz during the investigation?

No, there is no relation between the two launch vehicle operations.

Offline Chris Bergin

Thanks for the coverage Rui and the update Andrey. Wonder if this will impact on ILS?
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Thanks for the coverage Rui and the update Andrey. Wonder if this will impact on ILS?

What about KAZSAT where they were asking for a different launch azimuth?

Offline Satori

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Thanks for the coverage Rui and the update Andrey. Wonder if this will impact on ILS?

I won't be surprised if the next ILS Proton-M is delayed.

Offline Lee Jay

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Quote
A Russian Proton-M carrier rocket, launched from the Baikonur space center in Kazakhstan with three Glonass-M satellites, deviated from its course to 8 degrees, which resulted later in a loss of three spacecrafts in the Pacific Ocean, a source in the aerospace industry said.

It appears that the Proton-M worked perfectly, but the Blok-DM-03 failed at ignition. Apparently, mission control never received a signal from the Blok-DM-03.

The problem with control system of Proton-M rocket (incorrect software or something else).

Quotes 1 and 3 would appear to be consistent with each other, while quote 2 contradicts the other two.

Offline Targeteer

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The DM-3 booster with three Glonass-M satellites fell into the Pacific Ocean in 1500 kilometers northwest of Honolulu, a source in the aerospace industry said.

"Three Glonass-M satellites fell into a non-navigational area of the Pacific Ocean in some 1500 kilometers northwest of the city of Honolulu, administrative center of the state of Hawaii," the source said adding that there were no casualties or damage.

A Russian Proton-M carrier rocket, launched from the Baikonur space center in Kazakhstan with three Glonass-M satellites and the booster, deviated from its course to 8 degrees.

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20101205/161637911.html

Any of the smart trajectory folks out there able to guess on the failure time based on the impact? 
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 05:01 pm by Targeteer »
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Offline edkyle99

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The DM-3 booster with three Glonass-M satellites fell into the Pacific Ocean in 1500 kilometers northwest of Honolulu, a source in the aerospace industry said.

"Three Glonass-M satellites fell into a non-navigational area of the Pacific Ocean in some 1500 kilometers northwest of the city of Honolulu, administrative center of the state of Hawaii," the source said adding that there were no casualties or damage.

A Russian Proton-M carrier rocket, launched from the Baikonur space center in Kazakhstan with three Glonass-M satellites and the booster, deviated from its course to 8 degrees.

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20101205/161637911.html

Any of the smart trajectory folks out there able to guess on the failure time based on the impact? 

Some earlier message mentioned that the 8 degree deviation was in pitch, which could explain a failure to reach orbital velocity.

Does this new DM-03 stage introduce a new flight control system for the Proton phase of ascent?

 - Ed Kyle

Offline Nicolas PILLET

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Does this new DM-03 stage introduce a new flight control system for the Proton phase of ascent?

I don't thnik so, since the flight control system is located in third stage (Bisser-3 computer).
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Offline FinalFrontier

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Its really not often we find ourselves here discussing a failed launch, I never expected a proton to fail, literally proton never seems to fail. I imagine this may lead spacex to get a few new contracts, but not many I don't think ILS will take a huge hit as a result. Terrible shame to loose three spacecraft though.
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Offline Targeteer

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Today, December 5 from Baikonur, was launched rocket Proton-M rocket with three spacecraft GLONASS-M.
According to the analysis of telemetry is established that the block of spacecraft launched into orbit unplanned.
Established a commission to determine the reasons and in order to proceed.  (Chrome translation)

http://www.federalspace.ru/main.php?id=2&nid=14068

I guess a burn in the wrong direction would be the same as a no/incomplete burn...
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 05:17 pm by Targeteer »
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Offline Liss

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Is this the new version of Blok-DM that was discussed earlier?

Yes.

Quote
It appears that the Proton-M worked perfectly, but the Blok-DM-03 failed at ignition. Apparently, mission control never received a signal from the Blok-DM-03.

No, all published reports indicate a failure of Proton-M to provide the correct state vector at the time of Block DM-03 separation.
This message reflects my personal opinion based on open sources of information.

Offline William Graham

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I never expected a proton to fail, literally proton never seems to fail.
This is the fourth Proton failure (including upper stages) in a little under five years. The last failure was in March 2008, when the upper stage of a Proton-M/Briz-M failed, leaving AMC-14 in a lower than planned orbit. The last failure of the core vehicle was in September 2007, and resulted in the loss of JCSAT-11.

Offline mr. mark

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Wasn't the Bigelow Sundancer supposed to be launched on a Proton? He might be starting to think more about Falcon 9 now especially if Tuesday's test of the Falcon is successful.

Offline Targeteer

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Remains of satellites Glonass fell in the Pacific

Moscow. December 5. INTERFAX.RU - After removing non-standard carrier rocket Proton-M remains Block DM with three satellites Glonass-M "fell into the Pacific Ocean near Hawaii, told Interfax-AVN on Sunday, a source in the space industry . "Booster" Proton-M was supposed to take the upper stage with the satellites in orbit, but instead it brought them to the unclosed orbit "- a spokesman said. "As a result, the upper stage, separated from the satellites from the launch vehicle, had no time to get to work and together with companions entered the atmosphere" - the source added. (Chrome translation)

http://interfax.ru/news.asp?id=167831
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Offline robertross

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Its really not often we find ourselves here discussing a failed launch, I never expected a proton to fail, literally proton never seems to fail. I imagine this may lead spacex to get a few new contracts, but not many I don't think ILS will take a huge hit as a result. Terrible shame to loose three spacecraft though.


Oh come on...SpaceX doesn't have enough launches under their belt to have companies moving in that direction. Now if SpaceX were to have a good 3-year track record of spotless launches, then MAYBE.

Online Stan Black

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Is this the new version of Blok-DM that was discussed earlier?

Yes.

Quote
It appears that the Proton-M worked perfectly, but the Blok-DM-03 failed at ignition. Apparently, mission control never received a signal from the Blok-DM-03.

No, all published reports indicate a failure of Proton-M to provide the correct state vector at the time of Block DM-03 separation.

 Would the Proton-M have initiated DM-03 separation if it detected a failure?

Online Stan Black

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Its really not often we find ourselves here discussing a failed launch, I never expected a proton to fail, literally proton never seems to fail. I imagine this may lead spacex to get a few new contracts, but not many I don't think ILS will take a huge hit as a result. Terrible shame to loose three spacecraft though.

I.L.S. could say ‘unique configuration’, as they did with the Mars-96 failure.

Offline edkyle99

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Its really not often we find ourselves here discussing a failed launch, I never expected a proton to fail, literally proton never seems to fail. I imagine this may lead spacex to get a few new contracts, but not many I don't think ILS will take a huge hit as a result. Terrible shame to loose three spacecraft though.
Oh come on...SpaceX doesn't have enough launches under their belt to have companies moving in that direction. Now if SpaceX were to have a good 3-year track record of spotless launches, then MAYBE.

Also there is the fact that Falcon 9 can maybe lift 3.5-4 tonnes to a GTO 1,800 m/s short of GEO (a capability yet to be demonstrated) while Proton M/Briz M can lift 6.3 tonnes to a GTO only 1,500 m/s short of GEO - a capability repeatedly demonstrated during that particular rocket's 42 flight history - though including three failures.

Sure, Proton does fail at times.  It failed four times during the past decade during which it flew 82 times.  How does that compare to Western launch vehicles?  It does not compare - because no Western rocket flew anywhere close to that many times during that period.  Not to mention China.  Proton outflew China all by itself during that time frame - something that all U.S. launch vehicles combined will likely fail to do this year.

'Hate to mention it, but space launch failures seem to come in clusters.  That doesn't mean that the next launch will necessarily fail, but the next launch is Falcon 9 No. 2.

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 09:11 pm by edkyle99 »

Offline zaitcev

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Its really not often we find ourselves here discussing a failed launch, I never expected a proton to fail, literally proton never seems to fail. I imagine this may lead spacex to get a few new contracts, but not many I don't think ILS will take a huge hit as a result. Terrible shame to loose three spacecraft though.
GLONASS was Putin's favourite space program, too. If it were ILS payload, there would be a FROB report, corrective actions. But now heads are going to roll.
Update in a few hours: President D. Medvedev ordered Prosecutor General Yu. Chaika to inspect the spending on GLONASS in light of the loss of 3 satellites. http://www.rian.ru/economy/20101205/304924819.html
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 07:21 pm by zaitcev »

Online Stan Black

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Its really not often we find ourselves here discussing a failed launch, I never expected a proton to fail, literally proton never seems to fail. I imagine this may lead spacex to get a few new contracts, but not many I don't think ILS will take a huge hit as a result. Terrible shame to loose three spacecraft though.
Oh come on...SpaceX doesn't have enough launches under their belt to have companies moving in that direction. Now if SpaceX were to have a good 3-year track record of spotless launches, then MAYBE.

Also there is the fact that Falcon 9 can maybe lift 3.5-4 tonnes to a GTO 1,800 m/s short of GEO (a capability yet to be demonstrated) while Proton M/Briz M can lift 6.3 tonnes to a GTO only 1,500 m/s short of GEO - a capability repeatedly demonstrated during that particular rocket's 42 flight history - though including three failures.

Sure, Proton does fail at times.  It failed four times during the past decade during which it flew 82 times.  How does that compare to Western launch vehicles?  It does not compare - because no Western rocket flew anywhere close to that many times during that period.  Not to mention China - Proton outflew China all by itself during that time frame.

 - Ed Kyle

6,150 kg for the current phase III Proton-M; 6,920 for 1,800 m/s
6,300 kg for future phase IV

Offline edkyle99

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Also there is the fact that Falcon 9 can maybe lift 3.5-4 tonnes to a GTO 1,800 m/s short of GEO (a capability yet to be demonstrated) while Proton M/Briz M can lift 6.3 tonnes to a GTO only 1,500 m/s short of GEO - a capability repeatedly demonstrated during that particular rocket's 42 flight history - though including three failures.

 - Ed Kyle

6,150 kg for the current phase III Proton-M; 6,920 for 1,800 m/s
6,300 kg for future phase IV

Echostar 14, launched by Proton on March 20, 2010 to a 3120 x 35786 km x 26.7 deg orbit, weighed 6,379 kg.  I'm not quite sure where that fits on the delta-v table.

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 06:52 pm by edkyle99 »

Offline HIPAR

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Russia has been heavily promoting GLONASS attempting to lure commercial applications. It is a shame to lose three satellites through a single launch failure.  If they had achieved orbit, GLONASS would have been close to restoring its 24 satellite constellation. 

The US Air Force has mentioned multiple satellite GPS launches for cost reductions but they seem to have more difficulty procuring satellites than do the Russians. So I hope they don't gamble.

Seems everybody wants to own a satellite navigation system these days.  This failure is illustrative of difficulties inherent with building and sustaining these systems.

---  CHAS
« Last Edit: 12/05/2010 09:24 pm by HIPAR »

Offline mdo

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Echostar 14, launched by Proton on March 20, 2010 to a 3120 x 35786 km x 26.7 deg orbit, weighed 6,379 kg.  I'm not quite sure where that fits on the delta-v table.

1640 m/s short of GEO

Offline JimO

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Any UFO reports from airliners in the area?


Offline Jim

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Wasn't the Bigelow Sundancer supposed to be launched on a Proton? He might be starting to think more about Falcon 9 now especially if Tuesday's test of the Falcon is successful.

Why not Atlas or Delta

Offline Jim

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Its really not often we find ourselves here discussing a failed launch, I never expected a proton to fail, literally proton never seems to fail. I imagine this may lead spacex to get a few new contracts, but not many I don't think ILS will take a huge hit as a result. Terrible shame to loose three spacecraft though.

Why not ULA?

Offline HIPAR

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Its really not often we find ourselves here discussing a failed launch, I never expected a proton to fail, literally proton never seems to fail. I imagine this may lead spacex to get a few new contracts, but not many I don't think ILS will take a huge hit as a result. Terrible shame to loose three spacecraft though.

I distinctly remember a Proton failure .. consternation about some kind of environmental hazard presented at the crash site by unspent rocket fuel.

I'll be surprised when there is a discussion of a Soyuz launch failure.  Upon roll out to the pad, that rocket leaves on time and works every time.  It's scheduled for a GLONOSS launch later this month.

Concerning an American alternative, I'd trust my payload to ULA if they could schedule its launch.  Just an observation; they seem to be at capacity with US Government launches at about one launch/month apportioned between the east and west ranges.

Seeing only two EELV pads at the Cape I'd be concerned about getting on the manifest.  When a 'Heavy' goes to the pad it ties it up for months.

Protons and Soyuz's go off at an incredible launch rate.

---  CHAS

 

Offline eeergo

Russia has been heavily promoting GLONASS attempting to lure commercial applications. It is a shame to lose three satellites through a single launch failure.  If they had achieved orbit, GLONASS would have been close to restoring its 24 satellite constellation. 

---  CHAS

Just nitpicking, but the constellation is actually complete with 26 satellites. Of course, there are 4 in maintenance -which means there's still not global coverage- and there are some spares still to be launched.
-DaviD-

Offline gospacex

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Russia has been heavily promoting GLONASS attempting to lure commercial applications. It is a shame to lose three satellites through a single launch failure.  If they had achieved orbit, GLONASS would have been close to restoring its 24 satellite constellation. 

--- CHAS

Just nitpicking, but the constellation is actually complete with 26 satellites. Of course, there are 4 in maintenance -which means there's still not global coverage- and there are some spares still to be launched.

Don't trust this data too much. For example, #715 is dead, #718 is almost dead.
« Last Edit: 12/06/2010 01:09 am by gospacex »

Offline hop

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Upon roll out to the pad, that rocket leaves on time and works every time.
Neither of these statements are accurate. One failed to leave the pad on time this year, and there are plenty of failures on record. While it's record is very good, Soyuz has failed more times than most other LVs have launched...

RE ULA, keep in mind that Protons streak of successful launches (~24 for all variants, if I've counted right) is about the same as the number of Atlas Vs that have flown, and significantly more than the number of Delta IVs.

Also a lesson here for the people who seem to think one success means smooth sailing for F9...

Offline edkyle99

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Wasn't the Bigelow Sundancer supposed to be launched on a Proton? He might be starting to think more about Falcon 9 now especially if Tuesday's test of the Falcon is successful.

Why not Atlas or Delta

As long as Mr. Bigelow doesn't mind paying the extra cost compared to Proton.

 - Ed Kyle

Offline HIPAR

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Russia has been heavily promoting GLONASS attempting to lure commercial applications. It is a shame to lose three satellites through a single launch failure.  If they had achieved orbit, GLONASS would have been close to restoring its 24 satellite constellation. 

--- CHAS

Just nitpicking, but the constellation is actually complete with 26 satellites. Of course, there are 4 in maintenance -which means there's still not global coverage- and there are some spares still to be launched.

Don't trust this data too much. For example, #715 is dead, #718 is almost dead.

For anyone interested, GLONASS status is reported here:

http://www.glonass-ianc.rsa.ru/pls/htmldb/f?p=202:20:3739813012386696::NO

Note #715 and #718 are in different planes so  two launches are required to replace them.  I don't recall seeing reference to the destinations of the ill fated satellites.

Other satellites have been 'In maintenance' for an inordinate time.  Realistically, it's not strictly the number of healthy satellites that matters but the number healthy in prime orbital slots.  For a 24 satellite constellation optimized for worldwide coverage, they are all prime slots so you need them all.

---  CHAS

Offline woods170

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Sure, Proton does fail at times.  It failed four times during the past decade during which it flew 82 times.  How does that compare to Western launch vehicles?  It does not compare - because no Western rocket flew anywhere close to that many times during that period.

I don't agree Ed. Four mishaps in 82 launches. That one-in-twenty on average.

Delta 2 flew 55 times in the past decade without a single failure. (And yes, I'm well aware of the fact that Delta 2 is not nearly as powerfull as Proton.)

Offline osiossim

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Does anybody have any idea if this launch was insured or not? I wonder it the global launch insurance cost will increase if this launch is not insured by Roscosmos.

Also, is there any picture from the 3rd stage drop zone area? Is there any 3rd party insurance claim so far?
« Last Edit: 12/06/2010 08:49 am by osiossim »

Offline Nicolas PILLET

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Don't trust this data too much. For example, #715 is dead, #718 is almost dead.

Are you sure of this ? What is your source ?
Nicolas PILLET
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Offline jcm

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I tried to match the data as best I can being half a planet away from my
Proton notebooks. If the stage 3 pitch was off by 8 deg during its whole
burn, the thing should have crashed in central Russia - I estimate a
-240 x 500 km  orbit with reentry over circa 100E 63N.  Assuming the
traditional Glonass ground track, it goes over Kamchatka and the
Aleutians before reaching the North Pacific. To reach the latitude of
Hawaii (treating "vicinity" very generously) the error must have
occurred fairly late in the burn, leading to a downward velocity
component of only around 100 m/s, an orbit of around 70 to 78 km  x 250 km and
reentry around 20-25 min after third stage cutoff.

- jonathan
-----------------------------

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Offline Ben the Space Brit

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It is my understanding that ILS has launched payloads with Atlas-V before.  How quickly could ULA schedule new launches if Proton is grounded and how difficult would it be to convert payloads to Atlas-V? This is a valid question because, if it costs too much and takes too long, it would be more rational for ILS to wait for the fix to Proton rather than spend money on a slower option.
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Offline William Graham

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It is my understanding that ILS has launched payloads with Atlas-V before.  How quickly could ULA schedule new launches if Proton is grounded and how difficult would it be to convert payloads to Atlas-V? This is a valid question because, if it costs too much and takes too long, it would be more rational for ILS to wait for the fix to Proton rather than spend money on a slower option.

Atlas has a huge military backlog, so it would take some time. If any payloads shift, they'll probably go to Ariane. If there is a significant delay then Zenit could get some as well, which would be good for Sea Launch given their financial situation.
« Last Edit: 12/06/2010 11:59 am by GW_Simulations »

Offline Jim

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It is my understanding that ILS has launched payloads with Atlas-V before.  How quickly could ULA schedule new launches if Proton is grounded and how difficult would it be to convert payloads to Atlas-V? This is a valid question because, if it costs too much and takes too long, it would be more rational for ILS to wait for the fix to Proton rather than spend money on a slower option.

Atlas is not longer one of ILS vehicles, once LM left to form ULA.

Anyways, no issue in "converting" payloads.  Most, if not all comsat are standard buses and can fly on Atlas, Delta, Proton, Ariane.   It is plug and play when it comes to comsats

Offline input~2

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Does anybody have any idea if this launch was insured or not? I wonder it the global launch insurance cost will increase if this launch is not insured by Roscosmos.

Also, is there any picture from the 3rd stage drop zone area? Is there any 3rd party insurance claim so far?

Apparently the satellites were insured.

See http://www.rian.ru/science/20101206/305288261.html  (in Russian and with a little drop zone map..)
« Last Edit: 12/06/2010 05:23 pm by input~2 »

Online Stan Black

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"Program error caused Russian Glonass satellite loss"

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20101206/161647533.html   (in English)

No it didn’t!

Proton-M LV systems did not cause space rocket accident - manufacturer
http://www.interfax.com/newsinf.asp?pg=6&id=207016
« Last Edit: 12/06/2010 06:55 pm by Stan Black »

Offline robertross

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"Program error caused Russian Glonass satellite loss"

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20101206/161647533.html   (in English)

No it didn’t!

Proton-M LV systems did not cause space rocket accident - manufacturer
http://www.interfax.com/newsinf.asp?pg=6&id=207016

HAHA...welcome to capitalism. Next it will be litigation for the lawyers.

From that site, they think it might be fuel quality (weird, but I guess plausible), or incorrect masss properties of the upper stage elements.

We'll all have to wait on the final word.

Offline Lee Jay

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"Program error caused Russian Glonass satellite loss"

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20101206/161647533.html   (in English)

No it didn’t!

Proton-M LV systems did not cause space rocket accident - manufacturer
http://www.interfax.com/newsinf.asp?pg=6&id=207016

They could not have looked into this with enough care to assure a denial of responsibility is accurate given the time that has passed.  Proving something didn't fail is much harder than demonstrating that it did.  If it failed, it may have left a smoking gun.  If it left no smoking gun, it might have failed, and it might not have.  In my opinion, they've only had time to look for smoking guns.

Offline McDew

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The propellant tank capacity for the Block DM is 15,000 kg.  The standard propellant loading to support a Block DM mission profile for a GLONASS M mission is 15,000kg.   RSC Energia provided a new Block DM-03 upper stage for this mission.  This was the first flight of the upgraded Block DM-03.  The propellant tank capacity of the Block DM-03 was increased to approximately 18,700 kg. 

Guess what happens when you don't load the correct amount of propellants in the tank???

Should be relatively easy to check the propellant loading records to determine the ammount of propellants RSC Energia loaded on the Block DM-03 and determine if this matches the actual flight profile!!!!

Offline jcm

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I tried to match the data as best I can being half a planet away from my
Proton notebooks. If the stage 3 pitch was off by 8 deg during its whole
burn, the thing should have crashed in central Russia - I estimate a
-240 x 500 km  orbit with reentry over circa 100E 63N.  Assuming the
traditional Glonass ground track, it goes over Kamchatka and the
Aleutians before reaching the North Pacific. To reach the latitude of
Hawaii (treating "vicinity" very generously) the error must have
occurred fairly late in the burn, leading to a downward velocity
component of only around 100 m/s, an orbit of around 70 to 78 km  x 250 km and
reentry around 20-25 min after third stage cutoff.

- jonathan

OK, I see my mistake - based on the latest Russian statements it sounds like the burn was 8 deg too *high*, so energy that should have gone into horizontal velocity went instead into vertical velocity. So it ended up in some orbit like -1000 x 500 km, reaching a high apogee but then falling back to the ocean. Will be interesting to see more details as they emerge.
-----------------------------

Jonathan McDowell
http://planet4589.org

Online catdlr

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Just read this on the net:  ::)

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20101206/wl_asia_afp/russiaspacescience

Check out this one statement from the above article dated  Mon Dec 6, 5:58 am ET  MOSCOW (AFP) –     ........

Quote
"Once separated from the Proton launch rocket, the upper-stage booster rocket with the three satellites aboard should have put them in orbit about 20 kilometres (12 miles) above the earth."
    :o

« Last Edit: 12/07/2010 02:05 am by catdlr »
It's Tony De La Rosa, ...I don't create this stuff, I just report it.

Offline edkyle99

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Sure, Proton does fail at times.  It failed four times during the past decade during which it flew 82 times.  How does that compare to Western launch vehicles?  It does not compare - because no Western rocket flew anywhere close to that many times during that period.

I don't agree Ed. Four mishaps in 82 launches. That one-in-twenty on average.

Delta 2 flew 55 times in the past decade without a single failure. (And yes, I'm well aware of the fact that Delta 2 is not nearly as powerfull as Proton.)

When it comes to space launch, one in twenty (95% success rate) is pretty good.  When it comes to big commercial geosat launch, 95% is about as good as it gets.  There are currently only two major players in this market.  One, Ariane 5 ECA has a 96% realized success rate in 28 flights (if we don't count the recent W3B satellite loss - still under investigation - as an Ariane failure).  The other, Proton M/Briz M, has a 93% realized success rate in 42 flights.  Sea Launch Zenit was the third major player until it went bankrupt.  It had a 90% realized success rate in 30 launches. 

Delta 2 currently is working a string of 93 consecutive successes, best in U.S. history.  But, as you noted, Delta 2 is a smaller, less complex rocket than Proton, with half as many liquid stages and only two, rather than Proton's 12, liquid engines (and one of them pressure-fed hypergolic - as close to failure proof as it comes in spaceflight).   

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/07/2010 05:53 pm by edkyle99 »

Offline zaitcev

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The propellant tank capacity for the Block DM is 15,000 kg.  The standard propellant loading to support a Block DM mission profile for a GLONASS M mission is 15,000kg.   RSC Energia provided a new Block DM-03 upper stage for this mission.  This was the first flight of the upgraded Block DM-03.  The propellant tank capacity of the Block DM-03 was increased to approximately 18,700 kg. 

Guess what happens when you don't load the correct amount of propellants in the tank???

Should be relatively easy to check the propellant loading records to determine the ammount of propellants RSC Energia loaded on the Block DM-03 and determine if this matches the actual flight profile!!!!

Suspiciously though, the excess is quoted as only 1000 kg, although perhaps that was the quantity of extra fuel with the oxidizer making up the remaining mass. As for the records, I suppose you're going to find "filled 'er up".

Someone up the thread calculated the difference in dV as 100 m/s, which was almost exactly the actual shortfall. That is pretty amazing!

Offline osiossim

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Ground track is here;

« Last Edit: 12/07/2010 01:57 pm by osiossim »

Offline gospacex

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When it comes to space launch, one in twenty (95% success rate) is pretty good.  When it comes to big commercial geosat launch, 95% is about as good as it gets.  There are currently only two major players in this market.  One, Ariane 5 ECA has a 96% realized success rate in 28 flights (if we don't count the recent W3B satellite loss - still under investigation - as an Ariane failure).  The other, Proton M/Briz M, has a 93% realized success rate in 42 flights.  Sea Launch Zenit was the third major player until it went bankrupt.  It had a 90% realized success rate in 30 launches. 

Delta 2 currently is working a string of 93 consecutive successes, best in U.S. history.  But, as you noted, Delta 2 is a smaller, less complex rocket than Proton, with half as many liquid stages (and one of them pressure-fed hypergolic - as close to failure proof as it comes in spaceflight).   

 - Ed Kyle

IIRC:
Atlas II never had a launch failure, 63 successful launches.
Atlas III never had a launch failure, 6 successful launches.
Atlas IV had a single partial launch failure (but reached usable orbit), 23 launches total to date.

Offline Chris Bergin

ILS:

STATUS OF GLONASS LAUNCH FAILURE INVESTIGATION
AND UPCOMING ILS PROTON MISSION FOR KA-SAT

 

RESTON, VA, December 7, 2010 –On December 5th a Russian Federal mission of a Proton M Block DM-03 vehicle was launched with three GLONASS-M navigation satellites from the Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan and resulted in a mission failure.
 

A Russian State Commission was established on December 5th to determine the cause of the failure and to establish corrective actions.  We expect to receive an interim report in approximately one week that may include details on the respective performance of the Block DM-03 upper stage built and operated by RSC Energia (Energia) and the three lower Proton M stages, all built and operated by Khrunichev Research and State Production Center (Khrunichev), the majority owner of ILS. While the Proton M is a flight-proven configuration, this was a maiden flight of the Block DM-03 upper stage, which is a derivative of Energia’s Block DM-3.

 

The KA-SAT satellite built by Astrium for Eutelsat is scheduled for launch on December 20th at 03:47 (Baikonur) using the Proton M Breeze M launch vehicle. The Breeze M upper stage, like the Proton M stages, is built and operated by Khrunichev. The KA-SAT satellite launch campaign continued with the completion of the spacecraft propellant loading yesterday, and the start of joint operations today with mating to the payload adapter system.

Further information will be provided on the status of the December 5 Proton M Block DM-03 GLONASS-M mission investigation as well as the upcoming ILS Proton KA-SAT launch as soon as it becomes available.

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Offline Liss

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Well, the overfill of oxygen tank of DM-03 (which is made on pad, of course) is the leading version as of today. Flight telemetry was exactly matched on the computer model with larger mass of DM-03. Maybe human or instrumentation error, can't say yet, but not flight hardware.
Versions of wrong flight data load or control system failure are essentially rejected.
The 8 degrees figure seems to be misquoted or misinterpreted.
Hats off to Jonathan for brilliant calculations.
This message reflects my personal opinion based on open sources of information.

Offline input~2

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More on the "one ton too much" scenario at:

http://www.interfax.ru/politics/txt.asp?id=168014  (in Russian)

Offline edkyle99

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Atlas II never had a launch failure, 63 successful launches.
Atlas III never had a launch failure, 6 successful launches.
Atlas [V] had a single partial launch failure (but reached usable orbit), 23 launches total to date.

The Atlas 2, 2A, 2AS series posted a solid record of 63 successes and no failures during its 1991-2004 run.  Those vehicles were able to lift 2.8 to 3.8 tonnes to GTO.  That's about 208 tonnes to GTO equivalent delivered.

During the same period, the contemporary Proton K/DM-2(M) series posted 92 success in 97 attempts (that 95% success rate again).  These rockets could lift 4.9 tonnes to GTO.  As a result, the 92 successful Protons delivered nearly 451 tonnes GTO equivalent - more than twice as much as Atlas.

If Atlas had flown 97 times during that same period, we would have expected - statistically - to see a failure or two based on the history of the type (giving 98% reliability), but even if all 97 had succeeded, Atlas would still have delivered 131 tonnes less GTO equivalent than ILS-class Proton.   

History gives the final verdict.  Proton is still flying.  Rocketdyne/Atlas is gone.

 - Ed Kyle

Offline Jim

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Atlas II never had a launch failure, 63 successful launches.
Atlas III never had a launch failure, 6 successful launches.
Atlas [V] had a single partial launch failure (but reached usable orbit), 23 launches total to date.

The Atlas 2, 2A, 2AS series posted a solid record of 63 successes and no failures during its 1991-2004 run.  Those vehicles were able to lift 2.8 to 3.8 tonnes to GTO.  That's about 208 tonnes to GTO equivalent delivered.

During the same period, the contemporary Proton K/DM-2(M) series posted 92 success in 97 attempts (that 95% success rate again).  These rockets could lift 4.9 tonnes to GTO.  As a result, the 92 successful Protons delivered nearly 451 tonnes GTO equivalent - more than twice as much as Atlas.

If Atlas had flown 97 times during that same period, we would have expected - statistically - to see a failure or two based on the history of the type (giving 98% reliability), but even if all 97 had succeeded, Atlas would still have delivered 131 tonnes less GTO equivalent than ILS-class Proton.   

History gives the final verdict.  Proton is still flying.  Rocketdyne/Atlas is gone.

 - Ed Kyle

No Atlas-centaur is still fliying.    If you deem that not applicable, then the Protons must be segregated by upperstage.   

Offline edkyle99

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No Atlas-centaur is still fliying.    If you deem that not applicable, then the Protons must be segregated by upperstage.   

Today's Atlas is, of course, a completely new rocket stage, from the ground up.  Proton is essentially still Proton, though incrementally improved since the 1990s.  In my comparisons, I've segregated the results of the Block DM and Briz M upper stage variants. 

Atlas 5 has a chance to be a very reliable rocket, but it has to fly another 50-100 times before we'll know for sure.  At current flight rates, that will be another 10 to 30 years.

 - Ed Kyle

Offline gospacex

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Atlas II never had a launch failure, 63 successful launches.
Atlas III never had a launch failure, 6 successful launches.
Atlas [V] had a single partial launch failure (but reached usable orbit), 23 launches total to date.

The Atlas 2, 2A, 2AS series posted a solid record of 63 successes and no failures during its 1991-2004 run.  Those vehicles were able to lift 2.8 to 3.8 tonnes to GTO.  That's about 208 tonnes to GTO equivalent delivered.

During the same period, the contemporary Proton K/DM-2(M) series posted 92 success in 97 attempts (that 95% success rate again).  These rockets could lift 4.9 tonnes to GTO.  As a result, the 92 successful Protons delivered nearly 451 tonnes GTO equivalent - more than twice as much as Atlas.

For some reason, you chose to not spell out Atlas II success rate. Basically, it makes your post sound like a spin.

It can easily be spun the other way:

"Atlas II failure rate is 0%, which is infinitely many times better than Proton".

Offline edkyle99

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Atlas II never had a launch failure, 63 successful launches.
Atlas III never had a launch failure, 6 successful launches.
Atlas [V] had a single partial launch failure (but reached usable orbit), 23 launches total to date.

The Atlas 2, 2A, 2AS series posted a solid record of 63 successes and no failures during its 1991-2004 run.  Those vehicles were able to lift 2.8 to 3.8 tonnes to GTO.  That's about 208 tonnes to GTO equivalent delivered.

During the same period, the contemporary Proton K/DM-2(M) series posted 92 success in 97 attempts (that 95% success rate again).  These rockets could lift 4.9 tonnes to GTO.  As a result, the 92 successful Protons delivered nearly 451 tonnes GTO equivalent - more than twice as much as Atlas.

For some reason, you chose to not spell out Atlas II success rate. Basically, it makes your post sound like a spin.

It can easily be spun the other way:

"Atlas II failure rate is 0%, which is infinitely many times better than Proton".

I thought that "63 successes and no failures" sufficiently implied a 100% realized success rate.  But the rate was realized over only 63 flights.  We'll never know how the 64th launch would have turned out.

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/08/2010 01:03 am by edkyle99 »

Offline yinzer

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What is your general opinion of the Atlas-Centaur and related programs, Ed?
California 2008 - taking rights from people and giving rights to chickens.

Offline McDew

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From http://www.russianspaceweb.com/index.html
Now reporting that RKK Energia's Block DM-03 upper stage oxygen tank was overloaded by an extra 2,000 kg based upon a 90% fill level which is the same fill level used on the previous version of the Block DM.  Proton M could be cleared for return-to-flight by the end of the week.

Zaitcev predicted that the records would show they "filled 'er up"!   
« Last Edit: 12/08/2010 02:55 am by McDew »

Offline Lee Jay

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Now that's what I'd call a "process escape" - not using the correct amount of propellant and/or not knowing what your upper stage weighs.  Unbelievable.

Offline edkyle99

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What is your general opinion of the Atlas-Centaur and related programs, Ed?

Atlas and Centaur were both bleeding edge technology miracles in their day.  Atlas-Centaur was a NASA machine merged to a modified Air Force rocket, successfully developed only after massive amounts of cash - far beyond original plans - had been expended.  That is what it took to get the world's first space launch vehicle with a liquid hydrogen-fueled stage flying.

But NASA's Atlas Centaur was a cranky beast.  Only 56 of the first 68 Atlas Centaurs were successful under Agency control.  Once released to "commercial" management, as "Atlas I", the rocket continued to struggle with only 8 successes in 11 flights.  Only when it was re-developed under U.S. Air Force tutelage (by application of even more money for the MLV-2 program) as Atlas 2/2A(S), with a modern control system, simplified Centaur insulation, and improved propulsion, did the rocket finally begin to thrive, compiling that final 63 for 63 mark.   

Then, in an oft-repeated story, the Air Force moved on, killing Atlas-Centaur just as it hit its stride - just as it began to pay back some of its original investment.  Classic Atlas-Centaur ended up flying only 142 times and succeeding only 127 times in 42 years.  Lockheed Martin smartly did its best to salvage some of that investment by keeping Centaur for Atlas 5, but the new rocket still needed a new first stage, new launch infrastructure, and so on, requiring many more dollars. 

Proton, by comparison, continues to fly 45 years on, reaping returns on its original investment.  It has logged 321 successes in 362 flights.  And it isn't just still flying, it is one of two dominant GTO commercial launch vehicles in the world.

After next year, the most oft-flown active U.S. orbital launch vehicle will be Pegasus, which has flown 40 times in 21 years, but not since 2008 - making it hard to call it "active".  Second place will be Atlas 5, with a grand total of 23 launches.

So yes, I think Atlas Centaur was a good system overall.  I only wish it were still flying.

 - Ed Kyle

Offline jimvela

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Now that's what I'd call a "process escape" - not using the correct amount of propellant and/or not knowing what your upper stage weighs.  Unbelievable.

Wow.  Although I understand how that could happen, it's a shocking outcome.

After next year, the most oft-flown active U.S. orbital launch vehicle will be Pegasus, which has flown 40 times in 21 years, but not since 2008 - making it hard to call it "active".  Second place will be Atlas 5, with a grand total of 23 launches.

Between now and the final Delta II, the Delta II will hold that title.  I'll miss the Delta II much more than the Atlas...

Offline gospacex

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Atlas-Centaur was a NASA machine merged to a modified Air Force rocket, successfully developed only after massive amounts of cash - far beyond original plans - had been expended.

Russian efforts to build working R7 were no less dramatic, with literally dozens of failures in a row.

Quote
Proton, by comparison, continues to fly 45 years on, reaping returns on its original investment.  It has logged 321 successes in 362 flights.  And it isn't just still flying, it is one of two dominant GTO commercial launch vehicles in the world.

It does so not for the lack of trying by the Russians to build newer, more advanced systems. Unlike newer US launchers, almost all of newer Russian launch systems failed, either technologically or economically, the only exception being Zenith. So here we are, with ancient R7, Proton, and Zenith. Incremental updates to these systems seem to fare better. Proton even has *digital* avionics nowadays, yay, progress...

Mind you, I am not impressed by the progress on US side, but Russian side is worse. The only discernible advantage there is cheap labor. EDIT: and kerolox engines. They do rock.
« Last Edit: 12/08/2010 04:34 am by gospacex »

Offline edkyle99

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Mind you, I am not impressed by the progress on US side, but Russian side is worse. The only discernible advantage there is cheap labor. EDIT: and kerolox engines. They do rock.

You'll have to define "progress".  Shuttle, the worlds most complex rocket, is being shelved.  Russia leads the world in orbital space launch capability by far, and has done so for decades.  This year, the U.S. is not even standalone second to Russia, as it has been caught for the first time by China.

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/08/2010 05:45 am by edkyle99 »

Offline Ben the Space Brit

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Proton M could be cleared for return-to-flight by the end of the week.

That is a key point.

That and that they need to now demonstrate that this problem has been identified and rectified (probably bad pad procedures - someone had the wrong version of the tanking procedures manual, maybe).  Confidence from customers is now a key.
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Offline gospacex

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Mind you, I am not impressed by the progress on US side, but Russian side is worse. The only discernible advantage there is cheap labor. EDIT: and kerolox engines. They do rock.

You'll have to define "progress".  Shuttle, the worlds most complex rocket, is being shelved.  Russia leads the world in orbital space launch capability by far, and has done so for decades.  This year, the U.S. is not even standalone second to Russia, as it has been caught for the first time by China.

Cheap labor in Russia/China + US space program being taken hostage by special interest groups in Congress since the beginning of STS program = today's situation.

Offline mrryndrsn

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Atlas-Centaur was a NASA machine merged to a modified Air Force rocket, successfully developed only after massive amounts of cash - far beyond original plans - had been expended.

Russian efforts to build working R7 were no less dramatic, with literally dozens of failures in a row.

Quote
Proton, by comparison, continues to fly 45 years on, reaping returns on its original investment.  It has logged 321 successes in 362 flights.  And it isn't just still flying, it is one of two dominant GTO commercial launch vehicles in the world.

It does so not for the lack of trying by the Russians to build newer, more advanced systems. Unlike newer US launchers, almost all of newer Russian launch systems failed, either technologically or economically, the only exception being Zenith. So here we are, with ancient R7, Proton, and Zenith. Incremental updates to these systems seem to fare better. Proton even has *digital* avionics nowadays, yay, progress...

Mind you, I am not impressed by the progress on US side, but Russian side is worse. The only discernible advantage there is cheap labor. EDIT: and kerolox engines. They do rock.
I think you're exaggerating the trying. There have been quite a few proposals by design bureaus seeking money, but not much funding. The Angara is the only one that seems to be funded, sort of, and it's making progress slowly.
The Proton covers the heavy-lift requirement with acceptable reliability and cost (compared with Titan 4), so that removes the incentive to develop an EELV-equivalent. The R-7 family fills in the lower end and there are alternative launchers available, like Rockot.
The low wages give Russia a comparative advantage in commercial launches (as you mentioned in another post), and without a larger market there's no incentive to develop anything else. Only the rocket companies need the money and the glory of new developments.
The U.S. has an advantage in high-energy upper stages, but these are all Centaur, or at least RL-10 based upper stages, and the RL-10 is a 60's engine. Plans for something new, like the RL-60 have gone nowhere.
The U.S. has just been wasting more of what it has more, money.

Murray Anderson

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In ILS's Proton Mission Planner's Guide, they insist the Breeze M upper stage have improved payload performance and operational capabilities as compared with the  Block DM.

Why are the Block DM used when GLONASS (or military satellites, Raduga comsat, US-KMO early warning satellite and so on.) launch? ???

Offline zaitcev

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Why are the Block DM used when GLONASS (or military satellites, Raduga comsat, US-KMO early warning satellite and so on.) launch?
I know this sounds funny in light of the recent failure, but as far as I know, Blok DM boasted better historic reliability than Briz (even if only M is considered). Also, before Khrunichev took over, the supply of S5.95 engines was constrained by production difficulties. It made complete sense to the military to fly Proton-M/Blok DM-03 before failure, and if it were fueled properly, the flight would have only served to improve Blok DM's reputation further. All of this may need to be recalculated now.

Offline Danderman

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I have to say that the lack of robustness in the Proton-M/Blok-DM system is pretty disappointing. Block-DM should have responded to the delta-V anomaly by adjusting its burn, not by packing up and plunging into the ocean, especially with an extra ton of prop in it tank.
« Last Edit: 12/08/2010 10:02 pm by Danderman »

Offline Nickolai

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I have to say that the lack of robustness in the Proton-M/Blok-DM system is pretty disappointing. Block-DM should have responded to the delta-V anomaly by adjusting its burn, not by packing up and plunging into the ocean, especially with an extra ton of prop in it tank.


Agreed. Another show of robustness would be loading the correct mass of propellant required, not percentage!

Offline William Graham

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I have to say that the lack of robustness in the Proton-M/Blok-DM system is pretty disappointing. Block-DM should have responded to the delta-V anomaly by adjusting its burn, not by packing up and plunging into the ocean, especially with an extra ton of prop in it tank.


It was reported to be off course. That could have caused a passive flight termination.

Offline edkyle99

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I have to say that the lack of robustness in the Proton-M/Blok-DM system is pretty disappointing. Block-DM should have responded to the delta-V anomaly by adjusting its burn, not by packing up and plunging into the ocean, especially with an extra ton of prop in it tank.

In this configuration, the Blok DM-03 stage was not slated to perform a burn to reach a parking orbit.  Proton was supposed to do the job, with the upper stage just along for the ride until called upon to perform its first transfer orbit burn, probably an hour or more after liftoff. 

Even if Blok DM-03 had been able to fire, it would have been a pointless effort.  The stage might have been able to push the payload into low earth orbit, but not all the way to the planned 10,100 km circular operational orbit.  The satellites would have been lost either way.

I believe that one or more U.S. rockets have in the past suffered similar launch failures due to incorrect propellant loading.

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/10/2010 02:24 am by edkyle99 »

Offline Art LeBrun

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[quote author=edkyle99 link=topic=22810.msg669770#
I believe that one or more U.S. rockets have in the past suffered similar launch failures due to incorrect propellant loading.

 - Ed Kyle

February 19, 1976:  Thor-Burner II with DMSP suffered a propellant loading issue on the Thor stage.
« Last Edit: 12/18/2010 04:18 pm by Art LeBrun »
1958 launch vehicle highlights: Vanguard TV-4 and Atlas 12B

Offline Jim

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Agreed. Another show of robustness would be loading the correct mass of propellant required, not percentage!

most propellant systems on upperstages measure percentage

Offline Chris Bergin

ILS:

PRELIMINARY REPORT FROM RUSSIAN STATE COMMISSION RULES OUT PROTON M AS CAUSE OF GLONASS LAUNCH FAILURE

ILS Proton Launch of the KA-SAT Satellite Delayed Until Review of Data Complete

 

Reston, VA, December 10, 2010 –Today’s preliminary report of the Russian State Commission investigating the cause of the Proton M Block DM-03 GLONASS launch failure on December 5 exonerates the performance of the Proton M, built and operated by Khrunichev State Research and Production Center (Khrunichev) as a cause of the Proton M Block DM-03 GLONASS mission failure. However, the KA-SAT mission team of ILS, Khrunichev, Eutelsat and Astrium are standing down at the launch site for about a week and will use the additional time to thoroughly review the preliminary report and data issued by the Russian State Commission.

The KA-SAT satellite was originally scheduled to launch on December 20th from the Baikonur Cosmodrome using the Proton Breeze M launch vehicle. The KA-SAT spacecraft is currently in a nominal configuration mated atop the Breeze M upper stage and adaptor awaiting resumption of joint operations for the mission.

 

The State Commission was convened on December 5th to determine the cause of the Proton M Block DM-03 GLONASS mission failure as well as corrective actions. According to the preliminary State Commission report, dated 10 December, the three lower Proton M stages performed nominally. It states that there were “no issues with the functioning of LV systems and assemblies that have been detected. The trajectory parameters calculated by the LV motion control system conform to the trajectory measurements obtained from external sources. Command generation times of the flight timeline correspond to estimated values. The LV motion control system was found to have been functioning nominally, in line with the preset algorithms.”

The final report, which is anticipated within one week, will include details on the performance of the Block DM-03 upper stage built and operated by RSC Energia (Energia).

 

Further information will be provided on the status of the upcoming ILS Proton KA-SAT launch and final State Commission report release as soon as it is available.

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Offline Danderman

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How can the Proton-M function normally if the upper stage contained a couple of tons of extra propellant?

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How can the Proton-M function normally if the upper stage contained a couple of tons of extra propellant?

Because it delivered the proper amount of total impulse and delivered the upper stage to the "proper" injection point? It's not the fault of the vehicle if the upper stage stack was too heavy to make it the actual proper injection point - one that wasn't suborbital. The vehicle guidance can only compensate for so much until the built-in performance margin dries out.

Offline Targeteer

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What may be a simple/stupid question.  If the upper stage had extra propellant, why didn't it use it to try and compensate for insufficient velocity caused by it's own extra weight?  Was it "waiting" for it's planned burn time at the planned altitude which never came because it's orbit decayed?  This would seem to indicate the burn logic was at least partially based on time and not velocity.  From what I understand of the shuttle guidance system it's based on reaching a targeted velocity, not running to a certain time.  If the propulsion system performs as planned, then it operates for the planned time.  When the propulsion system doesn't however, the system burns as long as it can and tries to reach the targeted velocity (as was the case when there was an oxygen leak--flight I can't remember--and the because of the inefficient burn the engines ran till a low level cutoff and there was a velocity under-speed.) I'm curious what the basic logic of most upper stages is based on...
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Offline Danderman

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What may be a simple/stupid question.  If the upper stage had extra propellant, why didn't it use it to try and compensate for insufficient velocity caused by it's own extra weight?

I have to say that the lack of robustness in the Proton-M/Blok-DM system is pretty disappointing. Block-DM should have responded to the delta-V anomaly by adjusting its burn, not by packing up and plunging into the ocean, especially with an extra ton of prop in it tank.



Offline Space Lizard

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Russian flight software just don't "think" that way.
I watch rockets

Offline hop

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Russian flight software just don't "think" that way.
Nor does any other software... Do you really think any LV is going to recognize that it has underperformed (or over loaded), and somehow program the upper stage to perform a burn that didn't even exist in the original flight profile ? ::)
I have to say that the lack of robustness in the Proton-M/Blok-DM system is pretty disappointing. Block-DM should have responded to the delta-V anomaly by adjusting its burn, not by packing up and plunging into the ocean, especially with an extra ton of prop in it tank.

In this configuration, the Blok DM-03 stage was not slated to perform a burn to reach a parking orbit.  Proton was supposed to do the job, with the upper stage just along for the ride until called upon to perform its first transfer orbit burn, probably an hour or more after liftoff. 

Online Stan Black

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Russian flight software just don't "think" that way.
Nor does any other software... Do you really think any LV is going to recognize that it has underperformed (or over loaded), and somehow program the upper stage to perform a burn that didn't even exist in the original flight profile ? ::)
I have to say that the lack of robustness in the Proton-M/Blok-DM system is pretty disappointing. Block-DM should have responded to the delta-V anomaly by adjusting its burn, not by packing up and plunging into the ocean, especially with an extra ton of prop in it tank.

In this configuration, the Blok DM-03 stage was not slated to perform a burn to reach a parking orbit.  Proton was supposed to do the job, with the upper stage just along for the ride until called upon to perform its first transfer orbit burn, probably an hour or more after liftoff. 


 The mission was doomed because the DM-03 expected to start it's journey from orbit. During one of the Cluster-II missions Fregat recovered from a Blok-I failure; and DM has also corrected Proton-K injection accuracies.

Offline McDew

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The mission was doomed because the DM-03 expected to start it's journey from orbit. During one of the Cluster-II missions Fregat recovered from a Blok-I failure; and DM has also corrected Proton-K injection accuracies.
The mission was doomed by the Block DM-03 even if Proton had the excess performance to deliver it to orbit.  The Block DM-03 had loaded an extra 1500-2000kg of LOX.  DM Engine does not have the MR control to correct out this huge imbalance in loading.  Most of the excess LOX would still be unusable and remain as dead weight for the mission.  End result is still a mission failure.
« Last Edit: 12/13/2010 08:08 pm by McDew »

Offline hop

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 The mission was doomed because the DM-03 expected to start it's journey from orbit. During one of the Cluster-II missions Fregat recovered from a Blok-I failure; and DM has also corrected Proton-K injection accuracies.
Agreed. Extending a burn to make up for under performance of a previous stage is not uncommon, and failing to do that can rightly be called a lack of robustness. What I was trying to say (and I think you are saying too) is that DM would have to have invent an entirely new burn. Maybe I'm wrong, but I don't think any LV in the world is smart enough to do this.

All this neglecting the question of whether DM would have been able to do anything useful. Maybe it should also have been smart enough to eject one or two of the three Glonass to lighten it's load ? ;)

Offline Space Lizard

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All this neglecting the question of whether DM would have been able to do anything useful. Maybe it should also have been smart enough to eject one or two of the three Glonass to lighten it's load ? ;)
Then we could really talk about a 'smart' upper stage!
I watch rockets

Offline jcm

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Well, the overfill of oxygen tank of DM-03 (which is made on pad, of course) is the leading version as of today. Flight telemetry was exactly matched on the computer model with larger mass of DM-03. Maybe human or instrumentation error, can't say yet, but not flight hardware.
Versions of wrong flight data load or control system failure are essentially rejected.
The 8 degrees figure seems to be misquoted or misinterpreted.
Hats off to Jonathan for brilliant calculations.

Thanks Igor - was quite proud of managing to do that from my Tokyo hotel room! I've done a much more detailed study, which I present here.


The standard Glonass parking orbit is around 160 x 170 km at 64.8 deg 
inclination. To reach the latitude of Hawaii along the standard Glonass
launch groundtrack, you need to be almost in orbit. If the perigee             
is above 80 km it would probably survive the first rev. A simple
solution is a 100m/s additional downward velocity  which makes the
parking orbit around 70-75 km x 165 km, with perigee over the Pacific,
but it's more likely that the perigee was actually negative.

The components of the upper composite are:
- `perekhodnik' jettisonable adapter   870 kg?
- `SOZ' ullage motors, two             220 kg full
- DM3 stage, dry                      2340 kg
- Payload adapter                      100 kg?
- DM3 nominal mission propellant     15000 kg
- Three Glonass-M                     4350 kg
This gives a total mass of           22880 kg.
The dry mass of stage 3 is around     3500 kg
so at the end of the stage 3 burn, mass of everything is 26380 kg. The
stage 3 propellant is around 46600 kg; Ve = Isp * g is 3207 m/s so the
expected delta-V is  Ve ln( m1/m2) = 3263 m/s. Adding an extra 1600 kg
to both m1 and m2 gives 3144 m/s, a shortfall of 119 m/s. So this naive
calculation is in the right ballpark.


Impact was reported to be 1500 km NW of Honolulu, which on the Glonass 
groundtrack corresponds to around 167--169W 30--32N. I use data from the
stage 3 orbit for the Sep 2010 launch; sloppily, I didn't propagate drag
corrections back to the separation epoch, so this orbit is a bit lower
than it should be, at 156 x 176 km x 64.8 deg.


Case 1: I assume injection at Dec 6 1035 UTC at an altitude of 165 km   
above a 6378 km spherical Earth. We can match the reentry point with an
underburn  of only 4 m/s and only a slight velocity vector pitch error
(0.8 deg down at separation) giving an orbit of 75 x 270 km and reentry
at around 1053 UTC. So it doesn't take much to make the launch fail.
This corresponds to about 100 m/s downward velocity component relative
to nominal, but unchanged total velocity.

Case 2: With a 100 m/s horizontal underburn and no pitch error we get -157 x 165 km
and reentry  a little further north (42N) at 1051 UTC.

Case 3: A little upward pitch correction on case 2, to +0.35 deg gives
-161 x 169 km and a reentry  closer to 30-35N.

Case 4: If the reported 8 degree pitch error were correct (and it's not
clear to me how that would come about in the overfuelling scenario) then
one can assume a 580 m/s underburn and a -1800 x 500 km orbit with
reentry at 1057 UTC. That jibes with some early reports of a lofted
trajectory but not with the calculations above.

Case 5: Let's stick with 100 m/s underburn and play with the pitch: then
with the 165 km initial altitude only a fairly small range of pitch
leads to an impact in the right region, orbits of -156 to -173 x 164 to
181 km form an over-generous range.

Now let's mess with the injection altitude (the loss of velocity during ascent may lead
to a higher or lower injection altitude.)
 
Case 6: 150 km injection - we need +0.6 deg pitch to match the reentry area, giving -210 x 162 km.
Case 7: 180 km injection - +0.2 deg pitch is sufficient, say -116 x 182 km.
Case 8: 200 km injection:  -0.2 deg is needed, -60 x 202 km. I consider this high an injection
altitude unlikely.


Conclusion: The three reported constraints (A) 8 degree pitch, (B) 100 m/s underburn, (C) NW of Hawaii impact,
can't all be right - pick at most two. The exact meaning of (A) is open to possible other interpretations
so I choose to discount it. This leads us to perigees in the -150 km (+/- 50 km) range and apogees
in the 165 km (+/-20 km) range. I adopt my Case 3 as the orbit that seems most likely to me,
with reentry around 1053 UTC over 169W 32N.

I would be interested in other people's conclusions.

- Jonathan
-----------------------------

Jonathan McDowell
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Offline jcm

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Oh, and here are my pseudo-TLEs to characterize the  various speculative orbits:
 
1F01354U 10F03    10340.44097222 0.00000000 +00000-0 +00000-0 0    19
2F01354  64.8304 266.7126 0259160 260.4811 166.0470 17.02667702     7
1F01354U 10F03    10340.44097222 0.00000000 +00000-0 +00000-0 0    19
2F01354  64.8304 266.7126 0252251 247.2190 180.0035 17.02757994     0
1F01354U 10F03    10340.44097222 0.00000000 +00000-0 +00000-0 0    19
2F01354  64.8304 266.7126 0277894 271.4016 154.4913 17.02741956     7
1F01354U 10F03    10340.44097222 0.00000000 +00000-0 +00000-0 0    19
2F01354  64.8304 266.7126 0203691 236.4257 191.2405 16.76273897     8
1F01354U 10F03    10340.44097222 0.00000000 +00000-0 +00000-0 0    19
2F01354  64.8304 266.7126 0233006 256.6159 170.1629 16.91331875     8
1F01354U 10F03    10340.44097222 0.00000000 +00000-0 +00000-0 0    19
2F01354  64.8304 266.7126 0293376 267.8334 158.1807 17.13945003     6
1F01354U 10F03    10340.44097222 0.00000000 +00000-0 +00000-0 0    19
2F01354  64.8300 266.7200 2008918 284.4455 126.9869 20.02468117     1
1F01354U 10F03    10340.44097222 0.00000000 +00000-0 +00000-0 0    19
2F01354  64.8300 266.7200 0148518 153.4088 275.7534 16.37406619     1
1F01354U 10F03    10340.44097200 0.00000000 +00000-0 +00000-0 0    15
2F01354  64.8300 266.7200 0134000 159.0000 270.0000 16.40972000     2
1F01354U 10F03    10340.44097200 0.00000000 +00000-0 +00000-0 0    15
2F01354  64.8304 266.7126 0015545 346.0300  81.0150 16.39711188     6
 
-----------------------------

Jonathan McDowell
http://planet4589.org

Online Stan Black

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Mr. McDowell you make it sound so easy!

 So if I understand you, the Proton-M did not deviate much just the speed was insufficient? Is the 8 degrees figure missing a decimal point?

 According to Proton Launch System Mission Planner’s Guide Proton-M 3rd stage dry mass is 3,500 kg but that is for the current phase III 935 series [Revision 7, July 2009]? The previous 535 series was 3,700 kg [Revision 6, December 2004].

 11С861-03 dry mass 2,350 kg. There is also a lower adapter from the DM which remains attached to the Proton third stage.
в том числе массу отделяемых в полёте элементов - 1090 кг
http://www.buran.ru/htm/gud%2025.htm

 My own attempt to understand the problem involved an empty cardboard tube and running around in short trousers making whoosh noises.

Offline jcm

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Mr. McDowell you make it sound so easy!

 So if I understand you, the Proton-M did not deviate much just the speed was insufficient? Is the 8 degrees figure missing a decimal point?

 According to Proton Launch System Mission Planner’s Guide Proton-M 3rd stage dry mass is 3,500 kg but that is for the current phase III 935 series [Revision 7, July 2009]? The previous 535 series was 3,700 kg [Revision 6, December 2004].

 11С861-03 dry mass 2,350 kg. There is also a lower adapter from the DM which remains attached to the Proton third stage.
в том числе массу отделяемых в полёте элементов - 1090 кг
http://www.buran.ru/htm/gud%2025.htm

 My own attempt to understand the problem involved an empty cardboard tube and running around in short trousers making whoosh noises.


Stan - I can't figure out the 8 degree thing. Maybe Russia will release a more detailed failure report that will explain what angle they were actually talking about. But in general, it's clear that the main problem was extra inert mass during the burn, and that leads to insufficient speed.
The 1070 kg figure for separable stuff includes the upper adapter and the lower adapter - I believe the upper adapter is circa 800 kg so that would
make the lower adapter 270 kg - but does it include the SOZ ullage motors as well? Perhaps for the -03 they don't separate.

Do we know the serial for this Proton, whether it was a 535- or a 935- ?
I really appreciate all the work you've done into tracking down all the serial numbers!

 - Jonathan
-----------------------------

Jonathan McDowell
http://planet4589.org

Online Stan Black

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Mr. McDowell you make it sound so easy!

 So if I understand you, the Proton-M did not deviate much just the speed was insufficient? Is the 8 degrees figure missing a decimal point?

 According to Proton Launch System Mission Planner’s Guide Proton-M 3rd stage dry mass is 3,500 kg but that is for the current phase III 935 series [Revision 7, July 2009]? The previous 535 series was 3,700 kg [Revision 6, December 2004].

 11С861-03 dry mass 2,350 kg. There is also a lower adapter from the DM which remains attached to the Proton third stage.
в том числе массу отделяемых в полёте элементов - 1090 кг
http://www.buran.ru/htm/gud%2025.htm

 My own attempt to understand the problem involved an empty cardboard tube and running around in short trousers making whoosh noises.


Stan - I can't figure out the 8 degree thing. Maybe Russia will release a more detailed failure report that will explain what angle they were actually talking about. But in general, it's clear that the main problem was extra inert mass during the burn, and that leads to insufficient speed.
The 1070 kg figure for separable stuff includes the upper adapter and the lower adapter - I believe the upper adapter is circa 800 kg so that would
make the lower adapter 270 kg - but does it include the SOZ ullage motors as well? Perhaps for the -03 they don't separate.

Do we know the serial for this Proton, whether it was a 535- or a 935- ?
I really appreciate all the work you've done into tracking down all the serial numbers!

 - Jonathan

53537
http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=1133.msg631771#msg631771

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Do we know the serial for this Proton, whether it was a 535- or a 935- ?
I really appreciate all the work you've done into tracking down all the serial numbers!

 - Jonathan

53537
http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=1133.msg631771#msg631771

Thanks!
-----------------------------

Jonathan McDowell
http://planet4589.org

Online Stan Black

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« Last Edit: 10/28/2017 07:18 pm by Stan Black »

Offline Nickolai

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Agreed. Another show of robustness would be loading the correct mass of propellant required, not percentage!

most propellant systems on upperstages measure percentage

Is that because most designers figure the additional weight of a mass measurement device isn't necessary when you can just measure percentage? Or is there some other reason?

Offline McDew

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Conclusion: The three reported constraints (A) 8 degree pitch, (B) 100 m/s underburn, (C) NW of Hawaii impact,
can't all be right - pick at most two. The exact meaning of (A) is open to possible other interpretations
so I choose to discount it. This leads us to perigees in the -150 km (+/- 50 km) range and apogees
in the 165 km (+/-20 km) range.
You got very close!
Perigee = -154 km
Apogee = 189 km
Inclination = 64.8 deg.
« Last Edit: 12/17/2010 09:06 pm by McDew »

Offline jcm

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Conclusion: The three reported constraints (A) 8 degree pitch, (B) 100 m/s underburn, (C) NW of Hawaii impact,
can't all be right - pick at most two. The exact meaning of (A) is open to possible other interpretations
so I choose to discount it. This leads us to perigees in the -150 km (+/- 50 km) range and apogees
in the 165 km (+/-20 km) range.
You got very close!
Perigee = -154 km
Apogee = 189 km
Inclination = 64.8 deg.

Very interesting - care to give a hint as to the source of those numbers?
(Russian data? US tracking? News report I missed?)
 Thanks, Jonathan
-----------------------------

Jonathan McDowell
http://planet4589.org

Offline McDew

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Conclusion: The three reported constraints (A) 8 degree pitch, (B) 100 m/s underburn, (C) NW of Hawaii impact,
can't all be right - pick at most two. The exact meaning of (A) is open to possible other interpretations
so I choose to discount it. This leads us to perigees in the -150 km (+/- 50 km) range and apogees
in the 165 km (+/-20 km) range.
You got very close!
Perigee = -154 km
Apogee = 189 km
Inclination = 64.8 deg.

Very interesting - care to give a hint as to the source of those numbers?
(Russian data? US tracking? News report I missed?)
 Thanks, Jonathan
Russian data

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Agreed. Another show of robustness would be loading the correct mass of propellant required, not percentage!

most propellant systems on upperstages measure percentage

Is that because most designers figure the additional weight of a mass measurement device isn't necessary when you can just measure percentage? Or is there some other reason?

No such thing as mass measurement device  for launch vehicles or propellants.  Especially for a propellant that boils off (it does no good in totaling the propellant being loaded).  Launch vehicles use liquid level devices to measure propellant load.

Offline anik

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(B) 100 m/s underburn

107 m/s.

Offline edkyle99

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I can't figure out the 8 degree thing.
 - Jonathan

Perhaps this is the deviation (I suppose in pitch) only at the very end of the third stage burn?  When rockets fall off program, their guidance systems sometimes do goofy looking things to try to compensate, especially right toward the end of a burn.  (I think I remember reading that the Apollo 6 S-IVB stage ended up pointing nearly backward, or flying sideways, or some-such, near the end of its first burn.)

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/18/2010 04:03 pm by edkyle99 »

Offline jcm

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(B) 100 m/s underburn

107 m/s.

Thanks! And can you confirm the orbital params quoted above?

So with Stan's corrections my updated mass breakdown is

- `perekhodnik'
         jettisonable upper adapter    840 kg?
- lower adapter                        250 kg?
- DM3 stage, dry                      2350 kg
- Payload adapter                      100 kg?
- DM3 nominal mission propellant     15000 kg
- Three Glonass-M                     4350 kg
This gives a total OB mass of        22890 kg.   
The dry mass of stage 3 is around     3700 kg
so post burn mass is                 26590 kg
with 1600 kg extra prop              28190 kg
(sorry for the formatting, cut and paste does funny things here)
« Last Edit: 12/18/2010 06:02 pm by jcm »
-----------------------------

Jonathan McDowell
http://planet4589.org

Offline Danderman

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The only caveat being that Stage 3 probably had some residual propellants, since AFAIK, Stage 3 does not burn to depletion. If Stage 3 HAD burned to depletion, the payload would probably had been injected into orbit.

:(

Offline McDew

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http://www.roscosmos.ru/main.php?id=2&nid=11066

FOR NEWS MEDIA: Failed Launch of GLONASS Satellites Blamed on RSC-Energia Designers’ Error – Interagency Commission

:: 18.12.2010

The Interagency Commission has presented its conclusion on technical causes of the failed launch of Proton-M/DM-03/three Glonass-M satellites.
It has been concluded that the Proton rocket had injected the upper stage with a cluster of Glonass spacecraft into the non-targeted (opened) orbit. The satellites had fell down into the Pacific. Objectives of the launch had not been accomplished.
Off-nominal mission of Proton-M was caused by exceeded mass of the DM-03 upper stage due to designers’ error in calculation of the liquid oxygen volume in the prop filling manual of the upper stage (the system is developed by RSC-Energia).
Launch program – 2011 is to be updated in order to achieve full scope of the GLONASS constellation of 24 satellites.

Anatoly Perminov
Head of the Russian Federal Space Agency

Dec. 18, 2010




Online ugordan

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The only caveat being that Stage 3 probably had some residual propellants, since AFAIK, Stage 3 does not burn to depletion. If Stage 3 HAD burned to depletion, the payload would probably had been injected into orbit.

It wouldn't burn to depletion if the target insertion is a stable orbit and it had performance reserve to do that in the nominal case. What makes you think it didn't burn to depletion trying to insert the stack into the desired orbit this time?

Online Stan Black

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The only caveat being that Stage 3 probably had some residual propellants, since AFAIK, Stage 3 does not burn to depletion. If Stage 3 HAD burned to depletion, the payload would probably had been injected into orbit.

It wouldn't burn to depletion if the target insertion is a stable orbit and it had performance reserve to do that in the nominal case. What makes you think it didn't burn to depletion trying to insert the stack into the desired orbit this time?

 Remember reading the burning to depletion is not always possible. Something to do with propellant thinning and engine spinning faster and overheating before exploding…

 Saljut-2 third stage could have contained up to 290 kg of reserve fuel at time of seperation.
http://www.novosti-kosmonavtiki.ru/content/numbers/204/49.shtml

 Molnija failure 12th September 1962
http://www.novosti-kosmonavtiki.ru/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=304&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=1035

Offline McDew

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The only caveat being that Stage 3 probably had some residual propellants, since AFAIK, Stage 3 does not burn to depletion. If Stage 3 HAD burned to depletion, the payload would probably had been injected into orbit.

It wouldn't burn to depletion if the target insertion is a stable orbit and it had performance reserve to do that in the nominal case. What makes you think it didn't burn to depletion trying to insert the stack into the desired orbit this time?
The Stage 3 had reserves available which could have corrected for a 600 kg overload of the Block DM-03 to the target orbit, but 1600 kg was beyond its capabilities given the ascent profile. 

Offline anik

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http://www.kremlin.ru/news/9950

President of Russia Dmitriy Medvedev has fired out the vice-president of RSC Energia Vyacheslav Filin and the deputy head of Roskosmos Victor Remishevskiy. The reprimand is declared to the head of Roskosmos Anatoliy Perminov.

Offline Danderman

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http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20101229/sc_afp/russiaspacepoliticstechnology

English translation of the above:

"President Dmitry Medvedev on Wednesday fired two top space officials and reprimanded the space agency chief after a launch failure caused Russia to delay the deployment of its own navigation system.

This month's failed launch of three Glonass-M orbiters marked a humiliating setback to the country's efforts to introduce a global rival to the US Global Positioning System (GPS).

A presidential statement said Energia Vice President Vyacheslav Filin and Roskosmos deputy head Viktor Remishevsky had been fired for "the mistakes made in the fuel calculations".

The Russian Proton-M rocket failed to reach its initial orbit during the December 5 launch, causing it to dump the three high-tech Glonass-M satellites near the Hawaii Islands.

The brief statement also said Medvedev had reprimanded Roskosmos chief Anatoly Perminov and order the agency to be more careful in its future work.

"On the Russian president's instructions, Roskosmos will undertake additional measures to strengthen its performance discipline," the Kremlin statement said."

Offline Satori

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I'm looking for technical information about the Blok DM-03. I know it has enlarged propolent tanks and that it was developed for the Proton-M. Does anyone has the dimensions and other characteristics of thus upper-stage?

Thanks!

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