Author Topic: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2  (Read 345713 times)

Offline JonSBerndt

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #620 on: 08/03/2008 05:50 pm »
[...]  We've heard rumors that the full video shows a violent recontact of the 1st stage with the 2nd stage, causing the destruction of the vehicle. [...]

Maybe they need to implement the Apollo solution, drop the stage first, then the spacer ring.

This occurred to me as well. It introduces some complexity, but if they could avoid any possibility of recontact by separating first at the nozzle exit plane, then get the second stage burning so they have some authority to null the rates, I would think that would reduce the chance of recontact with a spacer. Seems logical. What's done on other launchers?

Jon

Offline synchrotron

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #621 on: 08/03/2008 05:51 pm »
Now - the email was sent to all his employees. All employees have access to the telemetry, most in read-only but they can all see it.

What does this mean?  Some employees have write permissions on the telemetry data?  I wish I had write permissions on my car's odometer.

Commands (uplink) --> generally VERY restricted.
Telemetry (downlink) --> often times broadcast/multicast.

So, just the difference between telemetry and telecommand.

To the matter at hand though, I am a little surprised there isn't proprietary or export control issues that would limit the reviewing rights to groups who need to see the information.  But Elon has mandated full transparency on the telemetered performance data for the launch vehicles?

Offline clongton

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #622 on: 08/03/2008 05:53 pm »
Now - the email was sent to all his employees. All employees have access to the telemetry, most in read-only but they can all see it.

What does this mean?  Some employees have write permissions on the telemetry data?  I wish I had write permissions on my car's odometer.

Commands (uplink) --> generally VERY restricted.
Telemetry (downlink) --> often times broadcast/multicast.

So, just the difference between telemetry and telecommand.

To the matter at hand though, I am a little surprised there isn't proprietary or export control issues that would limit the reviewing rights to groups who need to see the information.  But Elon has mandated full transparency on the telemetered performance data for the launch vehicles?

AFAIK, full transparency within SpaceX.
Chuck - DIRECT co-founder
I started my career on the Saturn-V F-1A engine

Offline Ronsmytheiii

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #623 on: 08/03/2008 06:13 pm »
According to abc13, it is said that the failure is due to a fuel leak:

http://abclocal.go.com/ktrk/story?section=news/technology&id=6303974

Quote
HOUSTON (KTRK) -- The ashes of a Hollywood astronaut and a NASA astronaut were destroyed after the launch failure of a private rocket due to an appaprent fuel leak.

The Falcon 1 rocket launched from the central Pacific last night. The company sending it up, Space X, says the rocket broke up two minutes after launch. Officials suspect it was caused by a fuel leak.

This is the third time a Falcon rocket launch has failed. The first one happened in March of 2006. Yesterday's rocket was carrying the ashes of more than 200 people who paid to have their remains shot into space. They include astronaut Gordon Cooper and actor James Doohan, best known as Scotty from Star Trek.

The founder of Space X, Elon Musk, posted a notice on the company's web site about the accident and future projects. Read the memo here.

Offline jimvela

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #624 on: 08/03/2008 06:14 pm »

So, just the difference between telemetry and telecommand.

To the matter at hand though, I am a little surprised there isn't proprietary or export control issues that would limit the reviewing rights to groups who need to see the information. 

Spacecraft TT&C is full of details like those- controlling whom has and doesn't have access to what.  And yes, ITAR and control of proprietary data and techniques potentially apply to this.  This is an area where SpaceX will no doubt find itself evolving/maturing (or forced to "mature") over time.


Quote
But Elon has mandated full transparency on the telemetered performance data for the launch vehicles?

As Chuck says above, transparency within the building is very different than throwing a stream out to the whole world.  I'll bet that there are more than a couple of SpaceX personnel that spend 100% of their time working exactly this problem of containing sensitive data to within the building.  (and the related problem of making sure that the streams make it to all the needed places in a reliable and deterministic manner).
« Last Edit: 08/03/2008 06:40 pm by jimvela »

Offline sandrot

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #625 on: 08/03/2008 06:18 pm »
[...] but if they could avoid any possibility of recontact by separating first at the nozzle exit plane, then get the second stage burning so they have some authority to null the rates, I would think that would reduce the chance of recontact with a spacer. [...]

I recall one Apollo mission had anyway a close call WRT to recontact during spacer jettison.
« Last Edit: 08/03/2008 06:18 pm by sandrot »
"Paper planes do fly much better than paper spacecrafts."

Offline pippin

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #626 on: 08/03/2008 06:44 pm »
A big part that was the credo of alt.space indeed did:
That if you enter the stage with an entrepreneurial approach and a management style derived from the new economy you can do everything "cheaper, faster, more reliable".
That was SpaceX original claim. It may have died already earlier but tonight's failure was the last nail in the coffin.

The other fundamental of alt.space, which is that there will be a transition from public to private funding for space transportation and maybe space flight has not died.
That one stems from political changes, a more mature market and the increasing reluctance from the public to fund spaceflight through taxes. But it is about more than companies like SpaceX, that one includes old.space as well as the rest of the world. Let's see whether Orbital's more experienced guys will in the end be the ones to launch a "privately funded liquid fueled rocket" into orbit...

You are just plain wrong on all of this.  Nothing that SpaceX has done has invalidated their business case and managerial model.  It's an issue with the design, something they still have to work out and hopefully eventually will do so.

If you want to assume that this is the end, everything is done and finished and decry all hope is lost, then do so but when you say it I expect some sort of back-up to such claims.

Rocket science is not easy and there will be bumps on the way but that does not mean by any means it still can't be done more efficiently and at lower cost so relax a bit.

Please read my post again.
I didn't say something invalidated their business case. But they started out by claiming they will have the most reliable rocket on the market, at, when, 4 years ago or so, because they do everything better and faster at an order of magnitude lower cost than others and none of this came true. They had three failures in a row are 4 or 5 years behind schedule on F1 and I doubt that the end result is an order of magnitude cheaper than other designs in the market.

Where did I say it's the end and all hope is lost? Actually I said the opposite but I doubt what SpaceX does will be fundamentally different from what other companies in the market do. Part of this is because others have moved, too, but a lot is due to SpaceX having to find out that rocket science is still not as simple as it seemed.

I DO believe that private spaceflight will become dominant over the coming decade or two and I also believe SpaceX will be part of that. But I also believe the main driver behind this will NOT be that doing things the "New Economy" way brought an order of magnitude in cost reduction, development times or reliability but because it's where the market is heading.

And the Orbital point was just made because if SpaceX continues with their current track reckord (1-1.5 years between launches) it will take them until at least until early 2010 before they have a successful orbital attempt, maybe they speed up, maybe they don't. Will depend a lot on what comes out of the analysis of this failure.

Offline Patchouli

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #627 on: 08/03/2008 06:47 pm »
Maybe they should switch Falcon to a wren truss like on Russian vehicles because of the clearance issues with the upper stage engine.

Though a Saturn Style ring interstage also would make this type of failure less likely.

I think one Saturn I had it's interstage stay attached to the second stage but it still managed to achieve orbit.

Oh and some ullage motors to force the stages apart might be a good thing to add on all future vehicles.

The precursor of NASA discover their need the hard way.

They wouldn't have to be very big or expensive they just need to make enough thrust to impart a 2g acceleration into the second stage for just 2 seconds.

A set of stage separation motors also could be fitted to the first stage instead to push it back away from the F1 second stage these could be smaller since the first stage is empty.

Though the second stage would defiantly need a small ullage motor to resettle the propellants since the stage separation motor will expose the upper stage to a negative g for a fraction of a second and the fact the first stage is no longer performing the ullage function.

Before the next all up flight maybe they should take a lesson from Armadillo and do a few incremental tests such as launching a few F1s with just a first stage and a stripped second stage filled with water.

Or just use a big steel weight even and just the bottom of a second stage.

If they can recover the F1 first stage then they should be able to perform a few tests in very rapid succession and get this stage separation gremlin locked in a cage very quickly.

They could kill that bug in just six months with some partial test flights of the hardware.

I think part of their problem is they are depending too much on FEA and CFD simulations a few real world tests will help refine the model and uncover issues that are not showing up in the computer model.
« Last Edit: 08/03/2008 07:07 pm by Patchouli »

Offline Jim

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #628 on: 08/03/2008 06:48 pm »
Of the first 92 Atlas missile launches only 60 were successful.
The first two had problems and the third was a complete success.
They need to start flying a bunch of falcon 1's.

One big question is will they fly Falcon 9 if they have not yet achieved a successful falcon 1?

The question may be: would NASA sign off on a COTS-demo launch attempt prior to a successful Falcon 1 launch?

I suspect that a Falcon 9 launch attempt is many months away at best, regardless of Falcon 1 status.  2009 seems unlikely to me.

 - Ed Kyle

More like years

Offline Danderman

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #629 on: 08/03/2008 07:07 pm »
Remember, we really don't know anything about the failure, except the approximate time that the vehicle broke up or otherwise exhibited the failure. All this speculation and discussion about possible fixes does not take into account that we have no idea what we are talking about.

It might have been a separation problem, it might have been a catastrophic failure of the engine, perhaps the rocket collided with a passing errant airplane, we don't know.

Offline Patchouli

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #630 on: 08/03/2008 07:14 pm »
Remember, we really don't know anything about the failure, except the approximate time that the vehicle broke up or otherwise exhibited the failure. All this speculation and discussion about possible fixes does not take into account that we have no idea what we are talking about.

It might have been a separation problem, it might have been a catastrophic failure of the engine, perhaps the rocket collided with a passing errant airplane, we don't know.


It could even be something as simple as someone forgot to hook all the explosive bolts up since they had that rocket apart to replace the second stage engine.

With a single plane stage separation like what they use you only need one explosive bolt to not fire to cause a stage separation failure.

I don't know of any airplanes that can reach 32KM except for Heilos and maybe some black aircraft the government says do not exist.

They did say the first stage worked perfectly so that leaves stage separation and the upper stage to blame.

I wish I had access to a higher resolution video because the last few seconds it looked like the pyros fired but the stage was staying attached.
« Last Edit: 08/03/2008 07:20 pm by Patchouli »

Offline jimvela

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #631 on: 08/03/2008 07:15 pm »
Remember, we really don't know anything about the failure, except the approximate time that the vehicle broke up or otherwise exhibited the failure.

Not really- SpaceX itself indicated it was a sep/staging problem, and that fits the timeline. 

Telemetry and analysis will say exactly what things went wrong.

Quote
It might have been a separation problem, it might have been a catastrophic failure of the engine,

Yes, both very possible.  Possibly both, or a chain involving both.  Could also be something else- for example that naggy slow-to-load helium.  A sticky valve could've been a real problem and could lead to failure of the 2nd stage to ignite.

We'll have to wait impatiently and see what SpaceX finds/reveals. 

Quote
perhaps the rocket collided with a passing errant airplane, we don't know.

I'm 100% sure that didn't happen.


Offline jimvela

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #632 on: 08/03/2008 07:23 pm »
It could even be something as simple as someone forgot to hook all the explosive bolts up since they had that rocket apart to replace the second stage engine.

That would be a triple failure:
+  Someone would have had to fail to hook up the sep hardware
+  There would have to be a failure of a QA process to detect that failure.
+  There would have to be a lack of instrumentation to show these as being hooked up.

Many times in the slow space world, that type of failure (which we don't know if it happened here) gets caught by a 2nd person peer inspection , by a QA inspect, by a closeout paper/photo review following the rework, or by telemetry prior to a launch attempt.



Quote
With a single plane stage separation like what they use you only need one explosive bolt to not fire to cause a stage separation failure.

Which would be a design failure if the sep isn't reliable.  (could be the avionics or the harness, not just a problem with the actual bolts- those bolts are pretty damned reliable in the rest of the industry).

Offline jimvela

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #633 on: 08/03/2008 07:26 pm »
SpaceX just sent that same internal email (that Chris quoted from Elon) to subscibers of the news mailing list... 

Bet there's lots of folks whom went in today to see what they could do to help.  I sure would've if it'd been something I worked on...

Offline Patchouli

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #634 on: 08/03/2008 07:29 pm »
It could even be something as simple as someone forgot to hook all the explosive bolts up since they had that rocket apart to replace the second stage engine.

That would be a triple failure:
+  Someone would have had to fail to hook up the sep hardware
+  There would have to be a failure of a QA process to detect that failure.
+  There would have to be a lack of instrumentation to show these as being hooked up.

Many times in the slow space world, that type of failure (which we don't know if it happened here) gets caught by a 2nd person peer inspection , by a QA inspect, by a closeout paper/photo review following the rework, or by telemetry prior to a launch attempt.



Quote
With a single plane stage separation like what they use you only need one explosive bolt to not fire to cause a stage separation failure.

Which would be a design failure if the sep isn't reliable.  (could be the avionics or the harness, not just a problem with the actual bolts- those bolts are pretty damned reliable in the rest of the industry).

The Russians had some go bad on the Soyuz SM.
 I don't know where Spacex buys their pyro bolts but sice they are going for low cost they might have used a Russian supplier for them and got some from the same bad batch.

But it might have been a helium problem plus I think they fire the second stage while it's still on the first stage eliminating the need for ullage motors.

Most other LVs use stage separation motors and ullage motors to force the stages apart reducing the chances of recontact if there are hiccups in second stage startup.
« Last Edit: 08/03/2008 07:34 pm by Patchouli »

Offline sandrot

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #635 on: 08/03/2008 07:53 pm »
[...] I think they fire the second stage while it's still on the first stage eliminating the need for ullage motors. [...]

I don't think so. Please see following video starting at 9:25.

"Paper planes do fly much better than paper spacecrafts."

Offline Patchouli

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #636 on: 08/03/2008 08:10 pm »
I guess it's supposed to shut down the first stage and then uses a spring system to push them apart.
 But in the last test I swear the first stage looked like it was still still firing before the video cut off.
I guess maybe they should switch to an interstage ring at least for the near term.

Offline Jim

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #637 on: 08/03/2008 08:20 pm »
[...]  We've heard rumors that the full video shows a violent recontact of the 1st stage with the 2nd stage, causing the destruction of the vehicle. [...]

Maybe they need to implement the Apollo solution, drop the stage first, then the spacer ring.

This occurred to me as well. It introduces some complexity, but if they could avoid any possibility of recontact by separating first at the nozzle exit plane, then get the second stage burning so they have some authority to null the rates, I would think that would reduce the chance of recontact with a spacer. Seems logical. What's done on other launchers?

Jon


Most don't have this.  None of the US liquid launchers don't.  Only Saturn V

Offline Jim

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #638 on: 08/03/2008 08:24 pm »


Most other LVs use stage separation motors and ullage motors to force the stages apart reducing the chances of recontact if there are hiccups in second stage startup.

Wrong again.  Delta II and IV don't.  None of the OSC's.

Offline Jim

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Re: FAILURE: SpaceX Falcon I Launch III - August 2
« Reply #639 on: 08/03/2008 08:26 pm »
I guess it's supposed to shut down the first stage and then uses a spring system to push them apart.
 But in the last test I swear the first stage looked like it was still still firing before the video cut off.
I guess maybe they should switch to an interstage ring at least for the near term.

no.  that is stupid.  The design is fine, the implementation is bad

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