Author Topic: Space Ship Two - General Thread  (Read 748573 times)

Offline Nomadd

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #600 on: 05/30/2012 11:23 pm »
 Scaled has been 100% owned by Northrop for almost 5 years.
 Paul Allen owns Mojave Aerospace Ventures which owns the SS1 technology that's being licensed by TSC.
 It's kind of a mess.
Those who danced were thought to be quite insane by those who couldn't hear the music.

Offline Garrett

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #601 on: 05/31/2012 08:31 am »
TSC and Stratolaunch are both at least partially owned by Paul Allen, AFAIK.

I'm not sure Paul Allen has any direct involvement with TSC. According to Wikipedia, Paul Allen and Burt Rutan founded "Mojave Aerospace Ventures (MAV)" to handle the commercial spinoffs from the Tier One project. So MAV has licensed WK2 and SS2 technology to TSC. It's certainly a bit of a twisted circular business structure seeing as employees from TSC, Scaled and MAV are practically colleagues and work either under the same roof or in a building close by.

Even if Allen is a part owner it doesn't imply a professional relationship between TSC and Stratolaunch.
Elon Musk is CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, but I am not aware of any official interaction between the two (though of course, both companies tend to see themselves as Musk babies, making them sister companies).
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Offline docmordrid

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #602 on: 05/31/2012 10:17 am »
http://www.thespaceshipcompany.com/about/who_we_are

Quote
History

In 2005 at EAA Airventure Oshkosh, Sir Richard Branson and Burt Rutan announced their signing of an agreement to form The Spaceship Company – a new aerospace production company to build a fleet of commercial sub-orbital spaceships and carrier aircraft.
DM

Offline baldusi

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #603 on: 05/31/2012 05:27 pm »
Elon Musk is CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, but I am not aware of any official interaction between the two (though of course, both companies tend to see themselves as Musk babies, making them sister companies).
I think the Dragon batteries where developed by Tesla.

Offline Moe Grills

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #604 on: 05/31/2012 07:46 pm »
  Yea! Let's test it carefully, slowly, taking our time, not rushing
anything.

  If I were the manager at Scaled Composites and some young, wet-behind-the-ears greenhorn engineer or technician came to me and impatiently demanded we rush the tests and development of the SS2, I wouldn't hesitate to fire them.

Online Robotbeat

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #605 on: 05/31/2012 08:13 pm »
For those of you wondering about why SS2 is taking "so long," remember they had people die because of an accident with their propulsion system. They are still pursuing it anyway. That should also be a strong response to those suggesting that commercial spaceflight can't survive a major failure. Commercial spaceflight already has, and is now more interesting and successful than ever before, even if they are late by a few years. Still a long road ahead, of course.
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Offline QuantumG

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #606 on: 06/01/2012 02:45 am »
No.. it's "taking so long" because they decided to make a whole fleet of eight-seater vehicles, rolled out in multiple countries around the world, in parallel with flight testing a brand new airframe.

They're going after the big bang entry into the market over incremental development. In some alternate history they could have fixed whatever problems they had with SS1 and flown customers the year after they won the X-Prize as everyone at the time thought they would be doing.

If anything, the engine development fatalities are proof of their hubris and handing that task back to SNC gave them one less thing to do. If no-one had died they'd be even further behind the expectations of the public.


Human spaceflight is basically just LARPing now.

Offline Garrett

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #607 on: 06/01/2012 08:07 am »
No.. it's "taking so long" because they decided to make a whole fleet of eight-seater vehicles, rolled out in multiple countries around the world, in parallel with flight testing a brand new airframe.

They're going after the big bang entry into the market over incremental development. In some alternate history they could have fixed whatever problems they had with SS1 and flown customers the year after they won the X-Prize as everyone at the time thought they would be doing.

If anything, the engine development fatalities are proof of their hubris and handing that task back to SNC gave them one less thing to do. If no-one had died they'd be even further behind the expectations of the public.


(My opinion is you are) wrong on all counts.
The making of a fleet is not an issue. The issues are rocket motor development and the technical and regulatory problems surrounding the challenge of sending passengers (not test pilots) to 100km.

Remember, WK2 was rolled out 4 years ago, and SS2 was rolled out nearly 2 and a half years ago.

SS1 did not have "problems". It was a prototype test vehicle. Even if they used an upgraded SS1, they would not have been able to fly passengers the year after winning the X-Prize. It would still have taken several years to complete flight testing, get regulatory approval, and complete a solid business plan.

The rocket motor accident happened during a test procedure they had carried out multiple times previously while working on the SS1 project, so linking it to some sort of SS2 development "hubris" is very disingenuous. 
« Last Edit: 06/02/2012 05:27 pm by Chris Bergin »
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Offline QuantumG

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #608 on: 06/01/2012 12:06 pm »
The issues are rocket motor development and the technical and regulatory problems surrounding the challenge of sending passengers (not test pilots) to 100km.

No it's not. The rocket motor is done. It was done before SS1 even flew. SNC's rocket motor is mature, and Scaled Composites isn't doing rocket development anymore. As for regulation, there's a moratorium.. you may have heard.

Quote
Remember, WK2 was rolled out 4 years ago, and SS2 was rolled out nearly 2 and a half years ago.

And there's been a 6 month hiatus in the test program since they nearly lost the vehicle..

Quote
SS1 did not have "problems". It was a prototype test vehicle. Even if they used an upgraded SS1, they would not have been able to fly passengers the year after winning the X-Prize. It would still have taken several years to complete flight testing, get regulatory approval, and complete a solid business plan.

There is no regulatory approval required.

Quote
The rocket motor accident happened during a test procedure they had carried out multiple times previously while working on the SS1 project, so linking it to some sort of SS2 development "hubris" is very disingenuous. 

WTF? Everyone who works in the industry said they were being reckless and their own report said they had been lax on n2o2 safety.

« Last Edit: 06/02/2012 05:26 pm by Chris Bergin »
Human spaceflight is basically just LARPing now.

Offline Garrett

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #609 on: 06/01/2012 12:52 pm »

No it's not. The rocket motor is done. It was done before SS1 even flew. SNC's rocket motor is mature, and Scaled Composites isn't doing rocket development anymore. As for regulation, there's a moratorium.. you may have heard.
This is a new rocket motor. The SS1 rocket (RocketMotor1) is not powerful enough for SS2 flights. The technology maybe have been close to maturity, RM2 wasn't. As for the "moratorium", you seriously think that the FAA would allow flights without regulatory approval? I'll let the following text from HobbySpace.com explain it better than I could:

"the term "moratorium" exaggerates the limitations in the CSLAA. The FAA can take a number of regulatory actions such as issuing advisory circulars, propose rules in response to particular incidents in licensed/permitted flights, etc. There's no outright prohibition on any and all rules regarding participant safety. It's more proper to call it a time of limited regulation and a learning period to observe design approaches, hardware, and operational techniques in action in the real world."

Quote
There is no regulatory approval required. You don't know what you're talking about.
http://www.virgingalactic.com/news/item/faa-launch-permit-gives-virgin-galactics-space-vehicles-the-green-light-for-powered-flight/
Announced this week. Just one of the approvals that was required.

Quote
WTF? Everyone who works in the industry said they were being reckless and their own report said they had been lax on n2o2 safety.
I never said the opposite. I was trying to make it clear that any recklessness was inherited from the SS1 program. I said it was disingenuous to imply that the accident was linked to "their hubris" (your words) from the SS2 project.
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Offline mmeijeri

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #610 on: 06/01/2012 01:03 pm »
OMG.. I am so sick of trying to educate people on this. The rocket motor that SS2 will be using was developed by SpaceDev.. in the 90s. Scaled Composites was going to use it for SS1 but the price was too high. In the end it cost lives.

Trent, are you talking about SS2 or DreamChaser? I thought you were highly critical of SC's decision to go with hybrids (rather than buying engines from XCOR) and highly skeptical about progress on RM2.
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Offline QuantumG

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #611 on: 06/01/2012 01:07 pm »
Trent, are you talking about SS2 or DreamChaser? I thought you were highly critical of SC's decision to go with hybrids (rather than buying engines from XCOR) and highly skeptical about progress on RM2.

Oh, I was.. and SNC's official comment for 3 years was "no comment".. suddenly, in the last 12 months, they started actually answering questions and became clear that they've been covering for Scaled.

Hybrids vs liquids is a completely different question and yeah, I still think XCOR will win in the long run.
Human spaceflight is basically just LARPing now.

Offline mmeijeri

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #612 on: 06/01/2012 01:10 pm »
Oh, I was.. and SNC's official comment for 3 years was "no comment".. suddenly, in the last 12 months, they started actually answering questions and became clear that they've been covering for Scaled.

Did I miss a major development? Is SS2 going to use different motors than originally planned? Or were they further along than we all thought? In what way was SNC covering for SC?
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Offline QuantumG

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #613 on: 06/01/2012 01:16 pm »
Did I miss a major development? Is SS2 going to use different motors than originally planned? Or were they further along than we all thought?


Originally planned? Scaled Composites originally planned to develop their own engines.. people died. Remember? Then they went back to SNC for the SpaceDev hybrid.. which was developed in the 90s.

Quote
In what way was SNC covering for SC?

Scaled Composites has been blaming the schedule slips on the rocket motor for years.. when SNC was asked about it, they said no comment.. about 12 months ago, something changed.. not sure what.. but they made it clear that the delay isn't on their end.
Human spaceflight is basically just LARPing now.

Offline mmeijeri

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #614 on: 06/01/2012 01:21 pm »
Scaled Composites has been blaming the schedule slips on the rocket motor for years.. when SNC was asked about it, they said no comment.. about 12 months ago, something changed.. not sure what.. but they made it clear that the delay isn't on their end.

Very interesting. Any ideas on what the real culprit is?
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Offline QuantumG

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #615 on: 06/01/2012 01:34 pm »
Very interesting. Any ideas on what the real culprit is?

6 years to first flight. But let's ignore that.

My speculation is that all this rocket motor testing, which SNC insists are being demanded by Scaled Composites, are not about maturing a rocket.. they're trying to solve a structural issue with SS2.
Human spaceflight is basically just LARPing now.

Offline Garrett

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #616 on: 06/01/2012 01:41 pm »
You disagreed with my statement that the rocket motor development was part of the slow progress. Yet you later state that Scaled turned to SNC after their rocket accident in 2007, thereby pointing out that Scaled lost almost four years (2004-2008) in rocket motor development.
Where in all that do you think that RM2 is not part of the slow progress? Heck, even in one of your blog articles that I've just come across, you lambasted Scaled for their rocket motor development choices.
« Last Edit: 06/02/2012 05:25 pm by Chris Bergin »
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Offline JohnFornaro

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #617 on: 06/01/2012 02:11 pm »
  Yea! Let's test it carefully, slowly, taking our time, not rushing
anything.

  If I were the manager at Scaled Composites and some young, wet-behind-the-ears greenhorn engineer or technician came to me and impatiently demanded we rush the tests and development of the SS2, I wouldn't hesitate to fire them.

Well, I would first explain to him the benefits of patience and then have him review the testing procedures.  After he was familiar with the procedures, I'd ask him for suggestions which could save time.  With his suggestions listed, I would then ask him to carefully justify the benefits from the time savings, including a sound risk analysis.  Maybe he would have a good argument based on sound theory and supported with verified facts.

But if he didn't want to do all that, then I'd fire him.

Just sayin'.
Sometimes I just flat out don't get it.

Offline Jason1701

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #618 on: 06/01/2012 02:13 pm »
Quantum, if there's no problem with RM2, then why will they be using a "battleship" "baby" motor for the first powered flights?

Offline QuantumG

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Re: Space Ship Two - Updates
« Reply #619 on: 06/01/2012 02:18 pm »
Quantum, if there's no problem with RM2, then why will they be using a "battleship" "baby" motor for the first powered flights?

I don't know.. but why do you think? Can you maybe guess?

SNC says there's nothing wrong with their motor and that they're sick of SC saying that there is (yes, they actually said that.. it was "off the record" but multiple people reported the same exasperation). So, if there's nothing wrong with the motor, then maybe there's something wrong with... can you guess?
Human spaceflight is basically just LARPing now.

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