Author Topic: COTS Award Announcement Thread  (Read 77934 times)

Offline Jim

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #140 on: 02/21/2008 11:48 am »
Quote
marsavian - 21/2/2008  1:54 AM

Let's see, it's got 2 EELVs it barely uses, it's now building an unnecessary EELV clone in Ares I and it's got a cheaper private EELV clone in Falcon 9 coming online and is now adding another private one which doesn't promise cheaper cost upfront to the first one although granted their record is much better than anyone else on keeping to cost once given. Comment certainly is supported by current history.

EELV are not NASA's and they are the DOD's.   NASA doesn't have Spacex on contract for  spacecraft launches and if it did, it can not use Falcon for any missions at this time.

Offline antonioe

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #141 on: 02/21/2008 03:33 pm »

Quote
yinzer - 20/2/2008 12:07 AM Also, isn't the diameter of the MPLM noticeably bigger at about 4.5m than the 3.9m diameter proposed for the Taurus II? Is there going to be a hammerhead fairing?

Good question.  No, the PCM has a smaller external diameter than MPLM's 4.52 m, and fits within the 3.75 m or so internal dynamic envelope of the T II 3.9 m ("4 m") fairing.  It is significantly smaller than the MPLM (from memory, the numbers are something like 17m3 vs. 75m3) but also considerably lighter (less than 1 mT vs. 4.5 mT), since it lacks a lot of the MLPM's "bells and whistles" and also is not reusable, so things such as MMOD shielding, etc. become easier and lighter (no need to cum up exposure).  Also, structurally, the load paths are a bit simpler than MPLM's Shuttle-induced quasistatic loads...

It ends up a bit more "cramped" than an MPLM (140 Kg/m3 vs. 120 Kg/m3) but, like the famous/infamous "what do you really want to intact return from ISS if you really have to pay for it", when you go commercial, full cost accounting, etc. all of suddent you become a lot more "efficient"... :laugh:

ARS LONGA, VITA BREVIS...

Offline antonioe

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #142 on: 02/21/2008 03:36 pm »

On the COTS I ReAward Final Cut Poll thread, now closed, I promised to explain elements and rationale of our COTS proposal.  If anybody is interested, I can deliver.  Question: is this the appropriate thread?  Moderators?

By the way, that was a very interesting and enjoyable thread.  Thanks to all that participated!

ARS LONGA, VITA BREVIS...

Offline antonioe

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #143 on: 02/21/2008 04:28 pm »

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Lampyridae - 21/2/2008 1:17 AM It sounds like you're saying you have something up your sleeve, but then you state you don't. I reckon some people are thinking you have a Capability D proposal.

For the record: we do NOT have a capability D proposal.  We showed NASA what we would/could do if the business situaiton changed significantly.  that work was based on our 2000-2004 STAS studies, and it shows a two-person capsule considerably more spacious than Geminy, but not any better than Apollo.

Quote
However, you can't do that with the Taurus II anyway unless you somehow split functionality a la Kliper / Parom.

I'm not sure what you mean by "split functionality".  If you mean, not mix crew and cargo, Orbital has been repeating that mantra since 2000.  Why, our COTS Visiting Vehicle (CVV) extends that paradigm to not mixing pressurizedm unpressurized and return cargo the the same flight!!!

ARS LONGA, VITA BREVIS...

Offline Bret

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #144 on: 02/21/2008 04:42 pm »
"The Cygnus spacecraft to be launched aboard the Taurus II rocket will be capable of delivering up to 2,300 kg of cargo to the ISS"

How does this upmass compare to Progress, ATV, SpaceX, HTV? Anyone have a handy comparison chart?

Offline dmc6960

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #145 on: 02/21/2008 05:19 pm »
Quote
antonioe - 21/2/2008  11:28 AM

Quote
Lampyridae - 21/2/2008 1:17 AM
Quote
However, you can't do that with the Taurus II anyway unless you somehow split functionality a la Kliper / Parom.

I'm not sure what you mean by "split functionality".  If you mean, not mix crew and cargo, Orbital has been repeating that mantra since 2000.  Why, our COTS Visiting Vehicle (CVV) extends that paradigm to not mixing pressurizedm unpressurized and return cargo the the same flight!!!


I believe what he means is using the Cygnus SM as an in-orbit tug that would rendezvous with a separately launched crew module then bring it up to the ISS or another orbiting station.
-Jim

Offline dmc6960

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #146 on: 02/21/2008 05:21 pm »
Quote
antonioe - 21/2/2008  10:36 AM

On the COTS I ReAward Final Cut Poll thread, now closed, I promised to explain elements and rationale of our COTS proposal.  If anybody is interested, I can deliver.  Question: is this the appropriate thread?  Moderators?

By the way, that was a very interesting and enjoyable thread.  Thanks to all that participated!


I would love to get all the details of your COTS proposal.  I think this thread is as good as any, or just start your own!
-Jim

Offline marsavian

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #147 on: 02/21/2008 05:35 pm »
Quote
Bret - 21/2/2008  11:42 AM

"The Cygnus spacecraft to be launched aboard the Taurus II rocket will be capable of delivering up to 2,300 kg of cargo to the ISS"

How does this upmass compare to Progress, ATV, SpaceX, HTV? Anyone have a handy comparison chart?

More than Progress but less than Dragon, HTV, ATV in ascending order.

Offline Jim

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #148 on: 02/21/2008 05:48 pm »
Quote
antonioe - 21/2/2008  11:33 AM

Quote
yinzer - 20/2/2008 12:07 AM Also, isn't the diameter of the MPLM noticeably bigger at about 4.5m than the 3.9m diameter proposed for the Taurus II? Is there going to be a hammerhead fairing?

Good question.  No, the PCM has a smaller external diameter than MPLM's 4.52 m, and fits within the 3.75 m or so internal dynamic envelope of the T II 3.9 m ("4 m") fairing.  It is significantly smaller than the MPLM (from memory, the numbers are something like 17m3 vs. 75m3) but also considerably lighter (less than 1 mT vs. 4.5 mT), since it lacks a lot of the MLPM's "bells and whistles" and also is not reusable, so things such as MMOD shielding, etc. become easier and lighter (no need to cum up exposure).  Also, structurally, the load paths are a bit simpler than MPLM's Shuttle-induced quasistatic loads...

It ends up a bit more "cramped" than an MPLM (140 Kg/m3 vs. 120 Kg/m3) but, like the famous/infamous "what do you really want to intact return from ISS if you really have to pay for it", when you go commercial, full cost accounting, etc. all of suddent you become a lot more "efficient"... :laugh:


So no ISPR's?

Offline antonioe

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #149 on: 02/21/2008 06:05 pm »

Quote
Jim - 21/2/2008 12:48 PM

So no ISPR's?

We did not plan for an ISS rack hard-mounted on the side wall;  however, the JSC folks looked at the PCM interior arrangement and think they can fit an ISRP "vertically" along the axis, with the launch loads going directly to the lower bulkhead.  It would occupy the normal astronaut "working space", so it would have to be the last thing in and the first thing out.

Frankly, I don't understand that stuff too much myself.

ARS LONGA, VITA BREVIS...

Offline Jim

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #150 on: 02/21/2008 06:18 pm »
Quote
antonioe - 21/2/2008  11:36 AM

On the COTS I ReAward Final Cut Poll thread, now closed, I promised to explain elements and rationale of our COTS proposal.  If anybody is interested, I can deliver.  Question: is this the appropriate thread?  Moderators?

By the way, that was a very interesting and enjoyable thread.  Thanks to all that participated!


New thread

OSC COTS I Proposal Discussion

http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/forums/thread-view.asp?tid=11980&mid=247719#M247719

Offline antonioe

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #151 on: 02/21/2008 06:21 pm »

Quote
Bret - 21/2/2008 11:42 AM  Anyone have a handy comparison chart?

This is the best I can come up with.  I vouch for the Orbital numbers, the others are my best data and may be wrong:

 

 

Mass at

Max net cargo

Combined

Payload

Vehicle

Launch, Kg

press.

unpress.

fuel

Limit

Ratio

Comments

Progress M17,1501,80001,9502,230

0.31

ATV20,7505,50004,7007,700

0.37

HTV16,5006,000006,000

0.36

SpaceX10,0001,4001,70003,100

0.31

S/C has two sections:press reenters, unpress burns up

Orbital
SM+PCM5,4002,300002,300

0.43

SM+UCM5,400       -   2,00002,000

0.37

SM+RCM5,4001,300001,300

0.24

 
ARS LONGA, VITA BREVIS...

Offline marsavian

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #152 on: 02/21/2008 06:51 pm »
Very competitive numbers against Dragon if true Antonio ! Beat them on absolute amounts of each type which is always handy for emergencies and their unpressurised won't be in the same league as yours. I'm sold, this maybe a two horse race after all ;)

HTV does 1600 Kg unpressurised too although the max does not change.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H-II_Transfer_Vehicle

Offline Jim

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #153 on: 02/21/2008 06:54 pm »
Quote
antonioe - 21/2/2008  2:21 PM

Quote
Bret - 21/2/2008 11:42 AM  Anyone have a handy comparison chart?

This is the best I can come up with.  I vouch for the Orbital numbers, the others are my best data and may be wrong:


return capability?

Offline tnphysics

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #154 on: 02/21/2008 08:52 pm »
That's the RCM.

Offline antonioe

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #155 on: 02/21/2008 09:14 pm »
I go into a little bit more detail in the new "OSC COTS I Proposal Discussion" thread
ARS LONGA, VITA BREVIS...

Offline Danderman

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #156 on: 02/21/2008 10:28 pm »
Quote
antonioe - 21/2/2008  11:21 AM  

This is the best I can come up with.  I vouch for the Orbital numbers, the others are my best data and may be wrong:

 


Mass at

Max net cargo

Combined

Payload


Vehicle

Launch, Kg

press.

unpress.

fuel

Limit

Ratio

Comments

Progress M17,1501,80001,9502,230

0.31


Progress M
7,270
1,718
0
860
2,578
           0.35
 






  






 

      






  


 


  






  

I inserted current data for Progress M in the table above. Progress M1 is not in use at this time. The Progress data is for Progress M-63, which was launched a few weeks ago. The data comes from TsUP:

http://www.mcc.rsa.ru/progres_m63.htm  


Offline Lampyridae

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #157 on: 02/21/2008 11:18 pm »
Quote
antonioe - 22/2/2008 2:28 AM

For the record: we do NOT have a capability D proposal.  We showed NASA what we would/could do if the business situaiton changed significantly.  that work was based on our 2000-2004 STAS studies, and it shows a two-person capsule considerably more spacious than Geminy, but not any better than Apollo.

In other words, taking the "mini" out of Gemini but still costing $200 million a pop. Maybe 3 people to 200km 28.5 deg with sardine can arrangement but not any more.

Quote
I'm not sure what you mean by "split functionality".  If you mean, not mix crew and cargo, Orbital has been repeating that mantra since 2000.  Why, our COTS Visiting Vehicle (CVV) extends that paradigm to not mixing pressurizedm unpressurized and return cargo the the same flight!!!

I was thinking along the lines of multiple launches a reentry vehicle with 3 or 4 astronauts and an OM / SM combination which stays in orbit and is reused like the Parom tug. But that's a ridiculous proposal, anyway. Far, far easier (and safer!) to develop a larger launcher. Then of course, you could persuade NASA to only recruit dwarfs for the ISS...


Offline antonioe

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #158 on: 02/22/2008 02:20 am »

Quote
Lampyridae - 21/2/2008 6:18 PM Then of course, you could persuade NASA to only recruit dwarfs for the ISS...

Hey!  I'm 5'6"!!! :angry:

ARS LONGA, VITA BREVIS...

Offline Comga

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Re: COTS Award Announcement Thread
« Reply #159 on: 02/22/2008 03:48 am »
Quote
antonioe - 21/2/2008  8:20 PM

Quote
Lampyridae - 21/2/2008 6:18 PM Then of course, you could persuade NASA to only recruit {mass efficient people  :laugh: } for the ISS...

Hey!  I'm 5'6"!!! :angry:

We all can guess which even-more-mass-efficient NASA scientist/administrator would get ahead of you on that basis! ;)
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

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