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#60
by
psloss
on 07 Feb, 2008 14:21
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A more recent SMG forecast...looks like they've removed the chance of a crosswind violation at KSC from the forecast (at least for now).
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#61
by
jacqmans
on 07 Feb, 2008 14:24
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#62
by
rdale
on 07 Feb, 2008 14:24
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I questioned that from the get-go anyways... I'm "mildly" more optimistic given the current radar picture, and my analysis of the morning data not showing quite enough convergence (winds coming together) to kick off widespread showers and storms. I'm definately on the "good" side of 50/50 now
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#63
by
Chris Bergin
on 07 Feb, 2008 14:43
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Sounds good. Such a smooth count right now, would be a real shame to have to scrub due to weather.
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#64
by
psloss
on 07 Feb, 2008 14:48
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Chris Bergin - 7/2/2008 10:43 AM
Sounds good. Such a smooth count right now, would be a real shame to have to scrub due to weather.
I would think it would be disappointing not to get a chance to launch, but validating that the feed-through connector changes worked is still a good thing.
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#65
by
rdale
on 07 Feb, 2008 14:50
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Chris Bergin - 7/2/2008 10:43 AM
would be a real shame to have to scrub due to weather.
Why does the weatherman always take the blame for bad conditions
It's not like we throw a Frosty on the news guy when gas prices go up :bleh:
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#66
by
Lee Jay
on 07 Feb, 2008 14:51
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What about low/mid-level winds? Those clouds on NASA TV right now sure appear to be "cookin'".
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#67
by
Avron
on 07 Feb, 2008 14:57
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rdale - 7/2/2008 10:50 AM
Chris Bergin - 7/2/2008 10:43 AM
would be a real shame to have to scrub due to weather.
Why does the weatherman always take the blame for bad conditions
It's not like we throw a Frosty on the news guy when gas prices go up :bleh:
The term "weatherman" sounds like someone accountable

Looks like things are getting a little more exciting of the west coast, little nasty heading NE.. any impact? or will it arrive late
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#68
by
rdale
on 07 Feb, 2008 15:01
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Low level winds are 15-25kts, stuff west of Tampa Bay is moving northeast so no direct impact but if it develops into storm action then we worry about anvils.
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#69
by
rdale
on 07 Feb, 2008 15:40
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Front is not moving much at all, absolutely no precip in the area -- I'm feeling better!
(Plus I need something to cheer me up - I broke my snowblower on a rock and have 60 feet of driveway with 8-12 inches of snow to shovel!)
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#70
by
DaveS
on 07 Feb, 2008 15:47
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rdale - 7/2/2008 5:40 PM
Front is not moving much at all, absolutely no precip in the area -- I'm feeling better!
(Plus I need something to cheer me up - I broke my snowblower on a rock and have 60 feet of driveway with 8-12 inches of snow to shovel!)
How about the cloud decks? They just went RED on the ceilings.
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#71
by
psloss
on 07 Feb, 2008 15:55
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Just noted by PAO that they could go back and forth from RED to GREEN on clouds and ceilings...
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#72
by
dember
on 07 Feb, 2008 15:55
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Back to GREEN on cloud ceilings! for now
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#73
by
Avron
on 07 Feb, 2008 16:09
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rdale - 7/2/2008 11:40 AM
Front is not moving much at all, absolutely no precip in the area -- I'm feeling better!
(Plus I need something to cheer me up - I broke my snowblower on a rock and have 60 feet of driveway with 8-12 inches of snow to shovel!)
so do we have a Rob probability for launch ?
( may just need to replace the shear pin on that snowblower )
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#74
by
rdale
on 07 Feb, 2008 16:10
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DaveS - 7/2/2008 11:47 AM
How about the cloud decks? They just went RED on the ceilings.
It's not an overcast deck - so they'll be in-n-out all day.
Storms just now firing WELL offshore of Tampa Bay (good) but due to strong winds aloft the anvils are streaming far in advance... Anvil rules are tricky so don't get too worked up.
Yet.
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#75
by
nathan.moeller
on 07 Feb, 2008 16:38
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Thanks for all the updates Rob. Fingers crossed on the weather. At least the winds slowed down.
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#76
by
on 07 Feb, 2008 16:43
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Does it look like we have a chance to make it toady?
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#77
by
ETEE
on 07 Feb, 2008 16:46
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Chance of weather violations reduced from 70% to 60% from Kathy Winters via PAO
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#78
by
James (Lockheed)
on 07 Feb, 2008 16:46
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nathan.moeller - 7/2/2008 11:38 AM
Thanks for all the updates Rob. Fingers crossed on the weather. At least the winds slowed down.
Yes, it's been good to follow the updates on the weather here.
"Hi, I'm Kathy Winters and when I'm checking my launch weather conditions, I always cross reference with RDale, on NSF."
Chris, make it happen
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#79
by
rdale
on 07 Feb, 2008 17:11
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Shower forming west of Orlando, it's path would keep it out of the 20mi zone and doubt it'll get lightning.