This week marked the end of the Orbiter Endeavour, which I find to be a spectacular spacecraft. She has served her country brilliantly. Her landing got me thinking about this: Would she have been built if Challenger did not get destroyed in 1986? This is a question that has been on my mind for sometime.
Since the spares were already usd up, there was no chance that a repacement for Columbia could have been considered, irrespective of George W Bush's administration's decision to close down shuttle operations.
Quote from: Phillip Clark on 06/05/2011 11:01 amSince the spares were already usd up, there was no chance that a repacement for Columbia could have been considered, irrespective of George W Bush's administration's decision to close down shuttle operations.Didn't they again consider upgrading Enterprise?
This left Columbia, Challenger, Discovery and Atlantis as the four-shuttle fleet with a further orbiter being on the "wanted but unfunded" list. It was only after the loss of Challenger that a further orbiter was authorised, using the spares which were already available as its basis.Since the spares were already usd up, there was no chance that a repacement for Columbia could have been considered, irrespective of George W Bush's administration's decision to close down shuttle operations.
So, regardless of which orbiter was destroyed in the first accident, I think Endeavour was a fore-gone conclusion.
FWIW, in that period of time ("Post-Challenger") Rockwell was given a little bit of money to start a second set of structural spares, but that project (money) ended very quickly with little or no hardware to show for it.
I have all of the 1st 25 missions on DVD and it is EXTREMELY interesting to watch the world and the media "turn" on the program. It is almost like it started around STS-9 when they had the nozzle issue. VERY interesting to watch the flip and to see how their reporting changed.
But you gotta wonder how the program would have been with large budgets and no accidents......i can only think, WOW!
What really hurt the program was a photo that ran in at least two of the three big news weekly magazines, Time and Newsweek, that showed a shuttle on the back of a 747 SCA missing a lot of tiles. (I have included a photo, but it is not the one that appeared in the magazines and a lot of newspapers.). I cannot remember if it was shipped that way or if they fell off during flight.
So alot of the new densified tiles had not yet been installed when they ferried Columbia from Edwards to KSC. So they had to complete the tile installation process in the OPF which lead to record long first stay in OPF.
Thanks for the info. I imagine that after that incident, NASA regretted shipping the orbiter like that. It was a major publicity hit for them, because the photo (not the one I included, but a better one that really showed the missing tiles quite well) appeared in articles with titles like "America's flying boondoggle." If there had been no photo, I doubt that there would have been as many articles.
Though there was discussion and some sentiment in Congress even before Challenger's accident for a fifth Orbiter, nothing came from that, other than the knowledge that there were some spare structural elements available that would provide a "head start" on building an additional Orbiter, as I recall. She was, as has been noted, built as a replacement vehicle after the loss of Challenger.
NASA knew what they were doing. They were already catching flack for schedule delays and overruns. They were faced with the choice of moving back the delivery and publicly missing another date or shipping on time but with the missing tiles. They obviuosly chose the latter.
These are close ups. But at the time there was one really famous photo that hit all the print media. It was an in-flight picture.
I always wondered how feasible it would have been to utilize any structural spares to repair a damaged orbiter. The Rudder/speed break and payload bay doors stand out as easy fixes if you needed to replace them. But anything liable to cause severe damage, would probably result in the orbiter not coming back (unless you have something like the main gear failing at wheel stop, resulting in severe damage to the crew compartment...or something like that, or if by some miracle Columbia managed to limp home with a mangled wing on STS-107).
While alternate realities may be fun for some to speculate on what could have/would have happened, it was the capabilities of the orbiter that allowed Hubble to be fixed.As for structural spares, yes Endeavour was partially constructed from some. Just recently, we scrapped some additional spares which were designated to OV-106 or could have been used in the event of damage from landing or whatever reason (within reasonalbe limits). On STS-9, the issue was with the APU GG injector stem and issue with corrosion. They were chromised in a subsequent mod and have performed exceptionally ever since.
While alternate realities may be fun for some to speculate on what could have/would have happened, it was the capabilities of the orbiter that allowed Hubble to be fixed.
Quote from: OV-106 on 06/08/2011 03:47 pmWhile alternate realities may be fun for some to speculate on what could have/would have happened, it was the capabilities of the orbiter that allowed Hubble to be fixed.And the delay caused by the Challenger explosion that caused the Gallieo High-Gain Antenna to fail, resulting in only about 10% of the planned science return, and the need to send Juno now to plug the gaps. And while something the size of Shuttle was needed to launch HST, a Dragon or CST-100 is plenty capable of doing a servicing mission.Reading Riding Rockets by Mike Mullane is downright scary when he gets to the mid-1980s. He definitely seems of the camp that had 51L not exploded, another flight that year would have. Considering Mullane was supposed to be on the next launch (from VAFB), I'll take his word for it...
Reading Riding Rockets by Mike Mullane is downright scary when he gets to the mid-1980s. He definitely seems of the camp that had 51L not exploded, another flight that year would have. Considering Mullane was supposed to be on the next launch (from VAFB), I'll take his word for it...
Where the programme failed was not taking the core OV-100 design and evolving into a new fleet of OV-200 spacecraft, with technology and aerospace upgrades that were 25 years on from the original ideas.We had 3 main evolutions of the ET in this time, why did the next generation orbiter development for the "NSTS" programme stand still?
That's the fail.
Who knows what would happen. I could see Challenger with the same look as the shuttles have today with the present logos on it. The drag chute......? It probably would have come later than we saw with Endeavour. *shrugs* Yeah, many speculated after Columbia is NASA will build a new orbiter to replace OV-102. Hmm, that did give me an idea for my current shuttle model kit. Any ideas for a good name for OV-106 in 1/72 scale?
Keep in mind that this is just a snapshot of a discussion that was going on. There were undoubtedly other inputs and opinions.
Just acquired this. It is a December 1982 document about internal US government discussions about purchasing a fifth orbiter. I don't know if there is anything new here.Note in particular page 5 on the Office of Science and Technology Policy position: "Purchase of a fifth orbiter now would produce a large overcapacity of U.S. Government launch services, resulting in a reduction of U.S. space capability and technology, and higher costs of doing both government and commercial business in space. This will reduce the utility of space to the U.S. Government and discourage private sector investment.The U.S. Government therefore should not commit to a fifth orbiter, but should maintain adequate support for a four-orbiter fleet."Keep in mind that this is just a snapshot of a discussion that was going on. There were undoubtedly other inputs and opinions.
Quote from: simonbp on 06/08/2011 07:47 pmReading Riding Rockets by Mike Mullane is downright scary when he gets to the mid-1980s. He definitely seems of the camp that had 51L not exploded, another flight that year would have. Considering Mullane was supposed to be on the next launch (from VAFB), I'll take his word for it...A little OT but it depends on the circumstances. Had Challenger not encountered the vertical wind shear it did and held together, I would have liked to have seen NASA's response after recovering the right SRB and analyzing it. I bet it would have scared the *blank* out of them. Maybe the flights would have been halted and Thiokol would have been redesigning the SRB's.
1. As far as the Gallieo mission is concerned, the only way the high-gain antenna problem could have been avoided was if the plans to load a fully fueled Centaur booster in the payload bay had continued on. 2. Even if Challenger hadn't have happened, I'm not convinced a centaur in the Shuttle payload bay would have ever flown. 3. If it ever did fly, it very well could have caused an accident similar in nature to Challenger.
They probably would have just added a low temperature constraint to the launch commit criteria and kept on flying with the old boosters.
QuoteThey probably would have just added a low temperature constraint to the launch commit criteria and kept on flying with the old boosters.Well said. The writting was on the wall; sooner or later there was to be an accident, one way or another. NASA was ramping up the shuttle flight rate to 24 a year, the holy grail, where the shuttle started to make economic sense, as promised to Congress 15 years earlier. It was like a steamroller; no way they stopped for weeks or months. Not when they were proving the (economic) soundness of the vehicle...
I thought the failure had something to do with the lubricants used on bearings to deploy the antenna - it was stored for all that time without being re-lubricated, resulting in enough drying out so that the antenna stuck (bearings literally grinding to a halt) during the deployment...
Quote from: OV-106 on 06/08/2011 03:47 pmWhile alternate realities may be fun for some to speculate on what could have/would have happened, it was the capabilities of the orbiter that allowed Hubble to be fixed.As for structural spares, yes Endeavour was partially constructed from some. Just recently, we scrapped some additional spares which were designated to OV-106 or could have been used in the event of damage from landing or whatever reason (within reasonalbe limits). On STS-9, the issue was with the APU GG injector stem and issue with corrosion. They were chromised in a subsequent mod and have performed exceptionally ever since. I am curious to know what kind of spares designated as OV-106 were still in storage and could they not also possibly have been displayed at a museum?
Somebody like Dennis Jenkins - known Shuttle expert and chronicler - would have to be consulted to perhaps clear up some of these questions about an 'OV-106'.
Quote from: MATTBLAK on 11/18/2020 10:22 amSomebody like Dennis Jenkins - known Shuttle expert and chronicler - would have to be consulted to perhaps clear up some of these questions about an 'OV-106'.Do we know any contact details of Mr. Jenkins (maybe published in his newer shuttle books, I only have the old one from 2000)? Is he open to e-mail exchange with readers/space afficionados?
Just found this old threat. Still it is not completely clear to me, which parts of OV-106 were finished, which parts were begun and which parts were at least planned? And what was the fate of those parts? Thanks for any insights.