IMHO. The Next Gen OPIR constellation of 2 polar orbit and 3 geostationary orbital surveillance platforms seems to be a step backward in operational doctrine. Too few surveillance platforms to covered platform attrition from whatever cause. A replacement platform takes a lot of lead time and substantial funding.The DoD is better off with a large constellation of surveillance platforms that can be replenished quickly and cheaply. IMO.
The Next Gen OPIR Polar program is tracking several risks associated with FORGE, including, primarily, FORGE readiness for Next Gen OPIR Polar system-level testing in fiscal year 2026.
If FORGE command and control functions are still immature by the end of fiscal year 2026, the first polar satellite launch is likely to be delayed and program costs are likely to increase.
It added that it continues to be resolute in overcoming challenges to remain on-track for the first space vehicle delivery in 2028. The program stated that it anticipates successful completion of its critical design review campaign in August 2024, at which point it plans to enter the assembly, integration and test phase.