Author Topic: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1  (Read 1333097 times)

Offline cixelsyD

  • Full Member
  • *
  • Posts: 173
  • San Diego, CA
  • Liked: 0
  • Likes Given: 1
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2820 on: 07/20/2009 08:23 pm »
Doesn't sound like anything new, just CxP coming to grips with their own mortality.

I'd be willing to bet the delay of Ares IX is going to be the nail in the coffin. It's a SRB with dummy stuff attached and they can't get it up and running let alone a full Ares IX

The thing that fraks me off, is if you went to NASA's website you'd think everything there was going according to plan. Like TO is just a "minor issue", they don't talk about delays or anything. If I have to go elsewhere to find accurate news on CxP how honest does that make them look.

Lies of ommission seem to be the standard nowadays. It makes me furious, and I can't trust anything that comes out of www.nasa.gov anymore.

/rant

Offline gladiator1332

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2431
  • Fort Myers, FL
  • Liked: 7
  • Likes Given: 6
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2821 on: 07/20/2009 08:29 pm »
For those centered on Direct, there's an interesting post in the EELV thread  :)

Looks like Ares-I might go the way of the dodo....enter Jupiter.

http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=17671.msg441996#msg441996

I would think that this is someway connected with the rumor that Marshall was looking at a scaled-down Ares V that Danny Dot brought up on here.

The only problem I have with this '"Ares IV" is the fact that it continues to use the larger Ares V core. More development needed there then using the old 8.4m core. Ares V also remains unchanged...which I take to mean the 6x RS-68 and 5.5seg boosters. This requires extensive infrastructure changes.

Close, but still not cutting it for me. They need to scale it down to the point where we have as much infrastructure commonality with the STS as possible.

Offline gladiator1332

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2431
  • Fort Myers, FL
  • Liked: 7
  • Likes Given: 6
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2822 on: 07/20/2009 08:30 pm »
Doesn't sound like anything new, just CxP coming to grips with their own mortality.

I'd be willing to bet the delay of Ares IX is going to be the nail in the coffin. It's a SRB with dummy stuff attached and they can't get it up and running let alone a full Ares IX

The thing that fraks me off, is if you went to NASA's website you'd think everything there was going according to plan. Like TO is just a "minor issue", they don't talk about delays or anything. If I have to go elsewhere to find accurate news on CxP how honest does that make them look.

Lies of ommission seem to be the standard nowadays. It makes me furious, and I can't trust anything that comes out of www.nasa.gov anymore.

/rant

I agree. For example, there were rumors about Ares I-X delays for awhile. Then NASA announces Oct 31st as the new date. Still, if you go on the KSC Hot Pics site to look at images of the Ares I-X, Aug 30th is still the official date.

Offline robertross

  • Canadian Member
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 17949
  • Westphal, Nova Scotia
  • Liked: 674
  • Likes Given: 7991
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2823 on: 07/20/2009 08:32 pm »
For those centered on Direct, there's an interesting post in the EELV thread  :)

Looks like Ares-I might go the way of the dodo....enter Jupiter.

http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=17671.msg441996#msg441996

I would think that this is someway connected with the rumor that Marshall was looking at a scaled-down Ares V that Danny Dot brought up on here.

The only problem I have with this '"Ares IV" is the fact that it continues to use the larger Ares V core. More development needed there then using the old 8.4m core. Ares V also remains unchanged...which I take to mean the 6x RS-68 and 5.5seg boosters. This requires extensive infrastructure changes.

Close, but still not cutting it for me. They need to scale it down to the point where we have as much infrastructure commonality with the STS as possible.

It has to start somewhere...

Perhaps when they go through the paces now they might just find a more 'Direct' architecture that fits the bill.

Ending Ares-I is the first step.

Offline ar-phanad

  • Member
  • Posts: 72
  • world systems architect
  • Midwest
    • jesse michael renaud
  • Liked: 1
  • Likes Given: 0
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2824 on: 07/20/2009 08:40 pm »
For those centered on Direct, there's an interesting post in the EELV thread  :)

Looks like Ares-I might go the way of the dodo....enter Jupiter.

http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=17671.msg441996#msg441996

I would think that this is someway connected with the rumor that Marshall was looking at a scaled-down Ares V that Danny Dot brought up on here.

The only problem I have with this '"Ares IV" is the fact that it continues to use the larger Ares V core. More development needed there then using the old 8.4m core. Ares V also remains unchanged...which I take to mean the 6x RS-68 and 5.5seg boosters. This requires extensive infrastructure changes.

Close, but still not cutting it for me. They need to scale it down to the point where we have as much infrastructure commonality with the STS as possible.

It has to start somewhere...

Perhaps when they go through the paces now they might just find a more 'Direct' architecture that fits the bill.

Ending Ares-I is the first step.

And maybe they already anticipate that, and this is the best route to save face?

Offline kraisee

  • Expert
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10565
  • Liked: 816
  • Likes Given: 40
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2825 on: 07/20/2009 09:01 pm »
I wish they'd stop dilly-dallying around, just grab the ball from us and run with it.

Progressing with a program that is affordable, sustainable, which closes the gap in a short period of time, which allows all contractors and states to stay in the game at acceptable funding levels and which will actually allow the agency to do the job at hand is the best possible way to "Save Face".

The political world is going to want heads on blocks for the debacle we are currently in.   If those heads continue to drag this out any longer it will only look worse for them.

The only way they have a chance of saving their careers at this point is to move forwards with a much better, more thoroughly thought-out plan at this point -- a plan which hits *ALL* of the techno-econo-political nails firmly on the head this time, not just a select few of them.

DIRECT could actually save their butts -- if they're willing to let it.   If not, I think their civil service careers are going to effectively come to an end in a matter of weeks.   Its entirely up to them at this point.

Ross.
« Last Edit: 07/20/2009 09:03 pm by kraisee »
"The meek shall inherit the Earth -- the rest of us will go to the stars"
-Robert A. Heinlein

Offline gladiator1332

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2431
  • Fort Myers, FL
  • Liked: 7
  • Likes Given: 6
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2826 on: 07/20/2009 09:02 pm »
I wish they'd stop dilly-dallying around, just grab the ball from us and run with it.

Progressing with a program that is affordable, sustainable, which closes the gap in a short period of time, which allows all contractors and states to stay in the game at acceptable funding levels and which will actually allow the agency to do the job at hand is the best way to save face, IMHO.

The political world is going to want heads for the debacle we are in.   If those heads continue to drag this out any longer it will only look worse for them IMHO.

The only way they have a chance of saving their careers at this point is to move forwards with a much better, more thoroughly thought-out plan at this point -- a plan which hits *ALL* of the nails firmly on the head this time, not just a few.

DIRECT could actually save their butts -- if they're willing to let it.   If not, I think their civil service careers are going to effectively come to an end in a matter of weeks.   Its entirely up to them at this point.

Ross.

How I see it, the Titanic is sinking and the last lifeboat is being lowered.

Offline kraisee

  • Expert
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10565
  • Liked: 816
  • Likes Given: 40
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2827 on: 07/20/2009 09:05 pm »
If the "Captains" ego's are interfering too much that they simply aren't willing to change their minds, then perhaps they should go down with their ship then.

But they don't have to.   All they have to do is get past this stupid schoolyard "Anything but DIRECT" mentality and they too can be saved, along with all the passengers.

But the water is up to their ankles already and it is now time to make that final choice.

Ross.
« Last Edit: 07/20/2009 09:06 pm by kraisee »
"The meek shall inherit the Earth -- the rest of us will go to the stars"
-Robert A. Heinlein

Offline Ben the Space Brit

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 7217
  • A spaceflight fan
  • London, UK
  • Liked: 818
  • Likes Given: 914
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2828 on: 07/20/2009 09:08 pm »
I've noticed that NASA's SDLV-Side-mount is usually given the shorthand designation 'Not Shuttle-C' or 'NSC' to differentiate from the specifically-named Shuttle-C proposals.  What is the bet that SDLV-In-line becomes known as 'ABD' for 'Anything But DIRECT'?

;D
"Oops! I left the silly thing in reverse!" - Duck Dodgers

~*~*~*~

The Space Shuttle Program - 1981-2011

The time for words has passed; The time has come to put up or shut up!
DON'T PROPAGANDISE, FLY!!!

Offline kraisee

  • Expert
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10565
  • Liked: 816
  • Likes Given: 40
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2829 on: 07/20/2009 09:10 pm »
That's okay by me...

My only concern is that they do need a name which conjures 'imagery' in the minds eye of members of the public.

But ABD is no worse than STS :)

Ross.
"The meek shall inherit the Earth -- the rest of us will go to the stars"
-Robert A. Heinlein

Offline cixelsyD

  • Full Member
  • *
  • Posts: 173
  • San Diego, CA
  • Liked: 0
  • Likes Given: 1
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2830 on: 07/20/2009 09:15 pm »
Hey Ross, Steve or other Direct leaders, do you know how Bolden feels about Direct... he seems to be playing it pretty quiet. He hasn't really made large speeches of a new direction or whatnot. Will he probably just go along with what ever the Augustine Commission recommends?

Offline kraisee

  • Expert
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10565
  • Liked: 816
  • Likes Given: 40
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2831 on: 07/20/2009 09:19 pm »
We have not yet had a chance to speak to Administrator Bolden about DIRECT and do not know his position on the subject yet.

As for how he will react to the Augustine Committee -- I'm not sure its going to be his call.   I believe that the Blue Ribbon group reports back primarily to the OSTP and the President's Science Adviser.

I'm sure there will be plenty of closed-door consultations, but I don't know what the relationship will be between the White House and E Street.   I hope its a good one.

Ross.
« Last Edit: 07/20/2009 09:23 pm by kraisee »
"The meek shall inherit the Earth -- the rest of us will go to the stars"
-Robert A. Heinlein

Offline cixelsyD

  • Full Member
  • *
  • Posts: 173
  • San Diego, CA
  • Liked: 0
  • Likes Given: 1
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2832 on: 07/20/2009 09:32 pm »
Actually that brings up a good question:
Who actually does give the order to change plans at NASA. Does the president the power to force NASA to change... does the Administrator have any actual power at all? What if both have legal power to choose what is best for NASA.

I'm guessing that the president says what NASA's objective must be, and the administrator takes what he views as the necessary steps to carry it out.

Politics of space flight =/

Offline clongton

  • Expert
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12423
  • Connecticut
    • Direct Launcher
  • Liked: 8246
  • Likes Given: 4128
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2833 on: 07/20/2009 09:45 pm »
Actually that brings up a good question:
Who actually does give the order to change plans at NASA. Does the president the power to force NASA to change... does the Administrator have any actual power at all? What if both have legal power to choose what is best for NASA.

I'm guessing that the president says what NASA's objective must be, and the administrator takes what he views as the necessary steps to carry it out.

Politics of space flight =/

NASA is an Executive Agency. The President sets policy. The Administrator is there to execute the President's policy. The Administrator has as much latitude as the President wishes to give him wrt how he executes the policy, but ultimately it is the President’s who is responsible for the big decisions. The degree of latitude the President provides the Administrator ultimately depends on how much he trusts the Administrator to execute his policy. Unless you have a situation like the previous POTUS/Administrator where one didn't care and the other ran amok. But I don’t think you’ll see that with this POTUS/Administrator.
Chuck - DIRECT co-founder
I started my career on the Saturn-V F-1A engine

Offline brihath

  • Member
  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 891
  • Liked: 53
  • Likes Given: 28
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2834 on: 07/20/2009 10:49 pm »
I tend to agree, Chuck.  Personally, I think they will be a good team.  Also with Lori Garver in there, I hope the Administrator will get the President's ear now and then.  We'll see.

Whatever anyone's politics, the President seems inclined to act sooner rather than later on a number of issues.  Hopefully Space will get some priority, too.

Offline cgrunska

  • Full Member
  • **
  • Posts: 248
  • Austin Tx
  • Liked: 2
  • Likes Given: 1
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2835 on: 07/20/2009 11:09 pm »
Likely not. People will be up in arms as it's a "luxury" expenditure in the eyes of the majority.

it's a shame really

Offline clongton

  • Expert
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12423
  • Connecticut
    • Direct Launcher
  • Liked: 8246
  • Likes Given: 4128
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2836 on: 07/20/2009 11:15 pm »
Likely not. People will be up in arms as it's a "luxury" expenditure in the eyes of the majority.

it's a shame really

Think about it. If you spend $35 billion on the space program, where do you think that money goes? Do they box it up, offload it on the lunar surface and scatter it there? No. It's ONE HELL of an economic stimulus package. Every dime of that money gets spent right here in salaries, mortgages, rents, groceries, clothing, gas for cars, going to the movies, spending in the retail outlets, families going to restaurants, kids buying school lunches, etc, etc. It ALL STAYS HERE FOLKS! It gets spent in the economies all over the country. The space program is an economic boon to the nation! Apollo raised the economies if many states and regions. Those areas are better off to this day than if Apollo had not happened.
Chuck - DIRECT co-founder
I started my career on the Saturn-V F-1A engine

Offline cgrunska

  • Full Member
  • **
  • Posts: 248
  • Austin Tx
  • Liked: 2
  • Likes Given: 1
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2837 on: 07/20/2009 11:25 pm »
Oh i know that! Not only that, but as a R&D field, NASA is (was) great! Maybe putting a few more billion back to allow for proper R&D and science spending would help that out...

Offline robertross

  • Canadian Member
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 17949
  • Westphal, Nova Scotia
  • Liked: 674
  • Likes Given: 7991
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2838 on: 07/21/2009 12:32 am »
Likely not. People will be up in arms as it's a "luxury" expenditure in the eyes of the majority.

it's a shame really

Think about it. If you spend $35 billion on the space program, where do you think that money goes? Do they box it up, offload it on the lunar surface and scatter it there? No. It's ONE HELL of an economic stimulus package. Every dime of that money gets spent right here in salaries, mortgages, rents, groceries, clothing, gas for cars, going to the movies, spending in the retail outlets, families going to restaurants, kids buying school lunches, etc, etc. It ALL STAYS HERE FOLKS! It gets spent in the economies all over the country. The space program is an economic boon to the nation! Apollo raised the economies if many states and regions. Those areas are better off to this day than if Apollo had not happened.

Oh absolutely. I've said this before too wrt paying for Soyuz launches during the gap.

The worst is the flip side when you pull funding. Whole towns disappear, and eventually, a way of life & a future for children.

Offline robertross

  • Canadian Member
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 17949
  • Westphal, Nova Scotia
  • Liked: 674
  • Likes Given: 7991
Re: DIRECT v3.0 - Thread 1
« Reply #2839 on: 07/21/2009 12:36 am »
I wish they'd stop dilly-dallying around, just grab the ball from us and run with it.

Progressing with a program that is affordable, sustainable, which closes the gap in a short period of time, which allows all contractors and states to stay in the game at acceptable funding levels and which will actually allow the agency to do the job at hand is the best possible way to "Save Face".

The political world is going to want heads on blocks for the debacle we are currently in.   If those heads continue to drag this out any longer it will only look worse for them.

The only way they have a chance of saving their careers at this point is to move forwards with a much better, more thoroughly thought-out plan at this point -- a plan which hits *ALL* of the techno-econo-political nails firmly on the head this time, not just a select few of them.

DIRECT could actually save their butts -- if they're willing to let it.   If not, I think their civil service careers are going to effectively come to an end in a matter of weeks.   Its entirely up to them at this point.

Ross.

Well, a while back I had said that there WAS a way out of this mess. The path they 'apparently' are on now is NOT the right door. I give them to the end of the Augustine review. If they haven't come to their senses by then, heaven help them.

Surely Bolden knows about this through channels??? He could put a stop to it right away, couldn't he?

Tags:
 

Advertisement NovaTech
Advertisement
Advertisement Margaritaville Beach Resort South Padre Island
Advertisement Brady Kenniston
Advertisement NextSpaceflight
Advertisement Nathan Barker Photography
0