Quote from: Robert_the_Doll on 03/17/2022 09:11 pmQuote from: DrHeywoodFloyd on 03/10/2022 09:09 amJeff Bezos’ Blue Origin rocket engine company expanding in Alabama[ https://www.al.com/news/2022/03/jeff-bezos-blue-origin-rocket-engine-company-expanding-in-alabama.html ]edit/gongora: Trimmed, do not post entire articles.An excellent find! The local news outlets seem to be better for getting the inside scoops for what Blue Origin is doing than many of the main aerospace new organizations. This answers part of the questions I had in joining NASAspaceflight, namely what Huntsville was doing and now we know the following:1.) The past year they've been supplying parts to Kent with BE-4 and BE-3U parts until sometime relatively recently when they started to switch over to production of their own engines.2.) Now that they are in production, they are producing not one, but a set of BE-4s and possibly a set of BE-3Us as well.3.) Marshall test stand 4670 is targeting the first test firing within two months time with a BE-3U firing and then sometime shortly thereafter, BE-4.Very encouraging news indeed that Blue Origin can meet its obligations to ULA and to itself.Thank you concerning the article… [ https://www.al.com/news/2022/03/jeff-bezos-blue-origin-rocket-engine-company-expanding-in-alabama.html ], and your comments, and especially point 3:"3.) Marshall test stand 4670 is targeting the first test firing within two months time with a BE-3U firing and then sometime shortly thereafter, BE-4.”…This test stand is an item I have been tracking for some time… but with respet to “….is targeting the first test firing within two months time with a BE-3U…”I am excited if they are to start using this critical resource within the next two months, but the article was more vague…"Harris said he expects to be testing the BE-3 “in the next couple of months followed shortly by the BE-4.”…If you do not mind me asking, where did one get the ‘two month” reference from…. insider info? Thank you.
Quote from: DrHeywoodFloyd on 03/10/2022 09:09 amJeff Bezos’ Blue Origin rocket engine company expanding in Alabama[ https://www.al.com/news/2022/03/jeff-bezos-blue-origin-rocket-engine-company-expanding-in-alabama.html ]edit/gongora: Trimmed, do not post entire articles.An excellent find! The local news outlets seem to be better for getting the inside scoops for what Blue Origin is doing than many of the main aerospace new organizations. This answers part of the questions I had in joining NASAspaceflight, namely what Huntsville was doing and now we know the following:1.) The past year they've been supplying parts to Kent with BE-4 and BE-3U parts until sometime relatively recently when they started to switch over to production of their own engines.2.) Now that they are in production, they are producing not one, but a set of BE-4s and possibly a set of BE-3Us as well.3.) Marshall test stand 4670 is targeting the first test firing within two months time with a BE-3U firing and then sometime shortly thereafter, BE-4.Very encouraging news indeed that Blue Origin can meet its obligations to ULA and to itself.
Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin rocket engine company expanding in Alabama[ https://www.al.com/news/2022/03/jeff-bezos-blue-origin-rocket-engine-company-expanding-in-alabama.html ]edit/gongora: Trimmed, do not post entire articles.
You are welcome. It has been good to see that there are people here actually interested in providing and learning new things about what Blue Origin is actually doing and has accomplished in terms of milestones in an objective and rational manner. So my many thanks to you.As for your question, it is answered in the article:"We’re getting very close,” Harris said. “They’re still doing quite a bit of retrofitting. As you learn, anytime you retrofit something that’s over 60 years old, it takes a little bit more and there’s a little bit more that you unearth that was undiscovered.”Harris said he expects to be testing the BE-3 “in the next couple of months followed shortly by the BE-4.”“We’re growing with our capability over at Test Stand 4670,” Harris said. “As I always tell the team, within the next couple of months, I look forward to hearing Blue Roar as you start seeing us test engines over at the historic site over there.”
Quote from: Zed_Noir on 03/15/2022 03:15 pmQuote from: edzieba on 03/14/2022 11:15 amQuote from: Zed_Noir on 03/14/2022 08:55 amQuote from: AnnK on 03/14/2022 12:44 amIt will be expensive to get insurance for the first commercial flight. I could let them use my 87 Firebird as a mass simulator. OK, being serious New Glenn or Vulcan has not flown a single test flight. It needs to have 3 to 5 successful test flights before being approved for commercial use and even more before being crew rated.The Vulcan Centaur and the New Glenn needs about 3 flights before commercial insurance is available for commercial flights.However in the case of the New Glenn, the insurance could be from one of companies that Bezos have.Also it will surprise me if there are more than a handful of commercial flights for the Vulcan Centaur during it's service life.If BO wish, they could provide insurance for their initial commercial launches ("Your payload in orbit or your money back, plus a bonus!") rather than engaging a middleman. There is no requirement for commercial launches to take out launch insurance, it's just a really bad idea not to.We are in agreement. If BO provide the insurance for their initial commercial launches, it isn't really commercial insurance.Thats not how things work. Loss of satellite is more than money, its years of time, both to rebuild, and lost time you cannot run use it. Insurance or not, its a HUGE commercial deal
Quote from: edzieba on 03/14/2022 11:15 amQuote from: Zed_Noir on 03/14/2022 08:55 amQuote from: AnnK on 03/14/2022 12:44 amIt will be expensive to get insurance for the first commercial flight. I could let them use my 87 Firebird as a mass simulator. OK, being serious New Glenn or Vulcan has not flown a single test flight. It needs to have 3 to 5 successful test flights before being approved for commercial use and even more before being crew rated.The Vulcan Centaur and the New Glenn needs about 3 flights before commercial insurance is available for commercial flights.However in the case of the New Glenn, the insurance could be from one of companies that Bezos have.Also it will surprise me if there are more than a handful of commercial flights for the Vulcan Centaur during it's service life.If BO wish, they could provide insurance for their initial commercial launches ("Your payload in orbit or your money back, plus a bonus!") rather than engaging a middleman. There is no requirement for commercial launches to take out launch insurance, it's just a really bad idea not to.We are in agreement. If BO provide the insurance for their initial commercial launches, it isn't really commercial insurance.
Quote from: Zed_Noir on 03/14/2022 08:55 amQuote from: AnnK on 03/14/2022 12:44 amIt will be expensive to get insurance for the first commercial flight. I could let them use my 87 Firebird as a mass simulator. OK, being serious New Glenn or Vulcan has not flown a single test flight. It needs to have 3 to 5 successful test flights before being approved for commercial use and even more before being crew rated.The Vulcan Centaur and the New Glenn needs about 3 flights before commercial insurance is available for commercial flights.However in the case of the New Glenn, the insurance could be from one of companies that Bezos have.Also it will surprise me if there are more than a handful of commercial flights for the Vulcan Centaur during it's service life.If BO wish, they could provide insurance for their initial commercial launches ("Your payload in orbit or your money back, plus a bonus!") rather than engaging a middleman. There is no requirement for commercial launches to take out launch insurance, it's just a really bad idea not to.
Quote from: AnnK on 03/14/2022 12:44 amIt will be expensive to get insurance for the first commercial flight. I could let them use my 87 Firebird as a mass simulator. OK, being serious New Glenn or Vulcan has not flown a single test flight. It needs to have 3 to 5 successful test flights before being approved for commercial use and even more before being crew rated.The Vulcan Centaur and the New Glenn needs about 3 flights before commercial insurance is available for commercial flights.However in the case of the New Glenn, the insurance could be from one of companies that Bezos have.Also it will surprise me if there are more than a handful of commercial flights for the Vulcan Centaur during it's service life.
It will be expensive to get insurance for the first commercial flight. I could let them use my 87 Firebird as a mass simulator. OK, being serious New Glenn or Vulcan has not flown a single test flight. It needs to have 3 to 5 successful test flights before being approved for commercial use and even more before being crew rated.
Why do they need this extra capacity?Did they grossly underestimate the throughput of the factory?Do they foresee a large increase in demand that is out of sync with current flight rates?Or is this just a case of trying to throw money at a problem: BE-4 delays in production?
Quote from: GWH on 03/11/2022 02:04 amWhy do they need this extra capacity?Did they grossly underestimate the throughput of the factory?Do they foresee a large increase in demand that is out of sync with current flight rates?Or is this just a case of trying to throw money at a problem: BE-4 delays in production?Oh ok - there's the large increase in demand.What would be 76 more BE-4's for Vulcan although ULA has just stated that they plan to move ahead on SMART recovery.
Quote from: GWH on 04/05/2022 04:24 pmQuote from: GWH on 03/11/2022 02:04 amWhy do they need this extra capacity?Did they grossly underestimate the throughput of the factory?Do they foresee a large increase in demand that is out of sync with current flight rates?Or is this just a case of trying to throw money at a problem: BE-4 delays in production?Oh ok - there's the large increase in demand.What would be 76 more BE-4's for Vulcan although ULA has just stated that they plan to move ahead on SMART recovery.I'll believe it when I see it. They've been talking about SMART for years, its a panacea against "what about spaceX". If ULA was actually serious on it, they still need permission from both Boeing AND Lockheed Martin to do that.
Quote from: deadman1204 on 04/05/2022 05:10 pmQuote from: GWH on 04/05/2022 04:24 pmQuote from: GWH on 03/11/2022 02:04 amWhy do they need this extra capacity?Did they grossly underestimate the throughput of the factory?Do they foresee a large increase in demand that is out of sync with current flight rates?Or is this just a case of trying to throw money at a problem: BE-4 delays in production?Oh ok - there's the large increase in demand.What would be 76 more BE-4's for Vulcan although ULA has just stated that they plan to move ahead on SMART recovery.I'll believe it when I see it. They've been talking about SMART for years, its a panacea against "what about spaceX". If ULA was actually serious on it, they still need permission from both Boeing AND Lockheed Martin to do that.ok.https://twitter.com/Free_Space/status/1511360115752026116
Quote from: GWH on 04/05/2022 05:19 pmQuote from: deadman1204 on 04/05/2022 05:10 pmQuote from: GWH on 04/05/2022 04:24 pmQuote from: GWH on 03/11/2022 02:04 amWhy do they need this extra capacity?Did they grossly underestimate the throughput of the factory?Do they foresee a large increase in demand that is out of sync with current flight rates?Or is this just a case of trying to throw money at a problem: BE-4 delays in production?Oh ok - there's the large increase in demand.What would be 76 more BE-4's for Vulcan although ULA has just stated that they plan to move ahead on SMART recovery.I'll believe it when I see it. They've been talking about SMART for years, its a panacea against "what about spaceX". If ULA was actually serious on it, they still need permission from both Boeing AND Lockheed Martin to do that.ok.https://twitter.com/Free_Space/status/1511360115752026116Which is EXACTLY what ULA has said multiple times. I'd be VERY happy if they do it, but since they've talked it up so many times, its only reasonable to be skeptical
Quote from: deadman1204 on 04/05/2022 06:24 pmQuote from: GWH on 04/05/2022 05:19 pmQuote from: deadman1204 on 04/05/2022 05:10 pmQuote from: GWH on 04/05/2022 04:24 pmQuote from: GWH on 03/11/2022 02:04 amWhy do they need this extra capacity?Did they grossly underestimate the throughput of the factory?Do they foresee a large increase in demand that is out of sync with current flight rates?Or is this just a case of trying to throw money at a problem: BE-4 delays in production?Oh ok - there's the large increase in demand.What would be 76 more BE-4's for Vulcan although ULA has just stated that they plan to move ahead on SMART recovery.I'll believe it when I see it. They've been talking about SMART for years, its a panacea against "what about spaceX". If ULA was actually serious on it, they still need permission from both Boeing AND Lockheed Martin to do that.ok.*snip tweet* Which is EXACTLY what ULA has said multiple times. I'd be VERY happy if they do it, but since they've talked it up so many times, its only reasonable to be skepticalBut what is different now is this massive influx of potential cash to ULA that at least justifies the costs associated with the expense of developing out SMART to their parent companies. Now, the real issue for me is if the current engine section for Vulcan has baked into it the necessary spacing and such needed for SMART to be implemented. Otherwise a very major redesign and rebuilding will be needed to account for the room the decelerator, parachutes and such will require, and then there will be the modifications to the launch pad and GSE to support the increase in size.
Quote from: GWH on 04/05/2022 05:19 pmQuote from: deadman1204 on 04/05/2022 05:10 pmQuote from: GWH on 04/05/2022 04:24 pmQuote from: GWH on 03/11/2022 02:04 amWhy do they need this extra capacity?Did they grossly underestimate the throughput of the factory?Do they foresee a large increase in demand that is out of sync with current flight rates?Or is this just a case of trying to throw money at a problem: BE-4 delays in production?Oh ok - there's the large increase in demand.What would be 76 more BE-4's for Vulcan although ULA has just stated that they plan to move ahead on SMART recovery.I'll believe it when I see it. They've been talking about SMART for years, its a panacea against "what about spaceX". If ULA was actually serious on it, they still need permission from both Boeing AND Lockheed Martin to do that.ok.*snip tweet* Which is EXACTLY what ULA has said multiple times. I'd be VERY happy if they do it, but since they've talked it up so many times, its only reasonable to be skeptical
Quote from: deadman1204 on 04/05/2022 05:10 pmQuote from: GWH on 04/05/2022 04:24 pmQuote from: GWH on 03/11/2022 02:04 amWhy do they need this extra capacity?Did they grossly underestimate the throughput of the factory?Do they foresee a large increase in demand that is out of sync with current flight rates?Or is this just a case of trying to throw money at a problem: BE-4 delays in production?Oh ok - there's the large increase in demand.What would be 76 more BE-4's for Vulcan although ULA has just stated that they plan to move ahead on SMART recovery.I'll believe it when I see it. They've been talking about SMART for years, its a panacea against "what about spaceX". If ULA was actually serious on it, they still need permission from both Boeing AND Lockheed Martin to do that.ok.*snip tweet*
Quote from: deadman1204 on 04/05/2022 06:24 pmSNIPWhich is EXACTLY what ULA has said multiple times. I'd be VERY happy if they do it, but since they've talked it up so many times, its only reasonable to be skepticalBut what is different now is this massive influx of potential cash to ULA that at least justifies the costs associated with the expense of developing out SMART to their parent companies. Now, the real issue for me is if the current engine section for Vulcan has baked into it the necessary spacing and such needed for SMART to be implemented. Otherwise a very major redesign and rebuilding will be needed to account for the room the decelerator, parachutes and such will require, and then there will be the modifications to the launch pad and GSE to support the increase in size.
SNIPWhich is EXACTLY what ULA has said multiple times. I'd be VERY happy if they do it, but since they've talked it up so many times, its only reasonable to be skeptical
The irony of this Amazon contract giving so many launches to ULA over Blue is it may result in ULA buying less engines, not more.If the tipping point for SMART was this contract, then the best possible return for ULA and it's parents is to get it done ASAP. Previously ULA has 35 launches booked, 70 engines. Now an additional 38 flights. At only 5 uses for each engine the entire 38 launch Amazon contract would only require 8 new engine pairs, then if they can use SMART on the last 20 originally booked flights they would only need 4 new pairs. Add in 15 pairs for the first 15 Vulcan flights for a total of 27 pairs- 54 engines total vs the original 70.
Quote from: GWH on 05/03/2022 12:58 pmThe irony of this Amazon contract giving so many launches to ULA over Blue is it may result in ULA buying less engines, not more.If the tipping point for SMART was this contract, then the best possible return for ULA and it's parents is to get it done ASAP. Previously ULA has 35 launches booked, 70 engines. Now an additional 38 flights. At only 5 uses for each engine the entire 38 launch Amazon contract would only require 8 new engine pairs, then if they can use SMART on the last 20 originally booked flights they would only need 4 new pairs. Add in 15 pairs for the first 15 Vulcan flights for a total of 27 pairs- 54 engines total vs the original 70.As we have seen with Rocket Lab yesterday, catching the engine module mid-air has a chance of not succeeding on the first or even second try. Alternatively, if ULA goes back to Boeing's original concept for a recoverable engine module that would splashdown into the ocean, then it makes things much easier and safer.https://web.archive.org/web/19970118100149/https://www.boeing.com/news.release.960620.html
Quote from: Robert_the_Doll on 05/03/2022 07:47 pmQuote from: GWH on 05/03/2022 12:58 pmThe irony of this Amazon contract giving so many launches to ULA over Blue is it may result in ULA buying less engines, not more.If the tipping point for SMART was this contract, then the best possible return for ULA and it's parents is to get it done ASAP. Previously ULA has 35 launches booked, 70 engines. Now an additional 38 flights. At only 5 uses for each engine the entire 38 launch Amazon contract would only require 8 new engine pairs, then if they can use SMART on the last 20 originally booked flights they would only need 4 new pairs. Add in 15 pairs for the first 15 Vulcan flights for a total of 27 pairs- 54 engines total vs the original 70.As we have seen with Rocket Lab yesterday, catching the engine module mid-air has a chance of not succeeding on the first or even second try. Alternatively, if ULA goes back to Boeing's original concept for a recoverable engine module that would splashdown into the ocean, then it makes things much easier and safer.https://web.archive.org/web/19970118100149/https://www.boeing.com/news.release.960620.htmlAs we also saw with the exact same Rocket Lab test (and every single film bucket return, of which there were several hundred over 3 decades): ditching in the ocean is a backup, but it is far more desirable not to dunk your equipment into seawater in the first place.
Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin rocket engine company expanding in Alabama[ https://www.al.com/news/2022/03/jeff-bezos-blue-origin-rocket-engine-company-expanding-in-alabama.html ]