OK, we know that Chang'e 3 is heading for Sinus Iridum, but does anybody know where exactly in Sinus Iridum?
Quote from: savuporo on 12/03/2013 02:59 amQuote from: Blackstar on 12/03/2013 02:44 amBut that brings us back to some very fundamental questions, such as what is driving the Chinese lunar program. Is it primarily science? Or is it primarily developing engineering capability? Or is it a near equal mix of both? I would not simply assume that they want to go bigger and bigger, not until we have an idea of why they are doing any of this.IMO these are actually pretty useless questions to ask, and no answers given by the source will ever be believed anyway. Poppycock. That position is just an excuse to not think about the why, just watch the pretty pictures and talk about rockets. It's like saying "Why? Reasons!" Somebody sets the policy in the Chinese space program. And they clearly have a policy, both for human spaceflight, and for their lunar robotic program. This stuff just doesn't happen via immaculate conception. Look at the progression from CE-1 to 2 to 3. Increases in technology, capability, and science goals. What's the driver? Is there a roadmap that says "Do X first, followed by Y, followed by Z"? (They must have some kind of roadmap, otherwise they wouldn't be doing X, Y and then Z.) Do they have a science priorities committee that does this? How does the Chinese space program establish their priorities, and what are those priorities? And who is doing it? Who are the officials who are making the call? Just because we don't know the answers now doesn't mean that there are no answers.For starters, the Chinese Academy of Sciences appears to be involved. That would be a good place to start.And I'd note that the reason I'm asking these questions is that I'm pretty familiar with how it happens in the United States (being directly involved in it). Over here stuff doesn't "just happen," so my guess is that it doesn't just happen in China either.Understanding that is a good step to figuring out what they might do after CE-6.
Quote from: Blackstar on 12/03/2013 02:44 amBut that brings us back to some very fundamental questions, such as what is driving the Chinese lunar program. Is it primarily science? Or is it primarily developing engineering capability? Or is it a near equal mix of both? I would not simply assume that they want to go bigger and bigger, not until we have an idea of why they are doing any of this.IMO these are actually pretty useless questions to ask, and no answers given by the source will ever be believed anyway.
But that brings us back to some very fundamental questions, such as what is driving the Chinese lunar program. Is it primarily science? Or is it primarily developing engineering capability? Or is it a near equal mix of both? I would not simply assume that they want to go bigger and bigger, not until we have an idea of why they are doing any of this.
China news reporting debris hit 2 houses, no injuries reported so far.http://www.chinanews.com/tp/hd2011/2013/12-03/272452.shtml
The 2nd mid-course correction burn should have occurred at 08:20 UTC, but nothing has been reported till right now. I'm hoping that this is not an indication of a problem....
Quote from: Blackstar on 12/03/2013 03:58 amQuote from: savuporo on 12/03/2013 02:59 amQuote from: Blackstar on 12/03/2013 02:44 amBut that brings us back to some very fundamental questions, such as what is driving the Chinese lunar program. Is it primarily science? Or is it primarily developing engineering capability? Or is it a near equal mix of both? I would not simply assume that they want to go bigger and bigger, not until we have an idea of why they are doing any of this.IMO these are actually pretty useless questions to ask, and no answers given by the source will ever be believed anyway. Poppycock. That position is just an excuse to not think about the why, just watch the pretty pictures and talk about rockets. It's like saying "Why? Reasons!" Somebody sets the policy in the Chinese space program. And they clearly have a policy, both for human spaceflight, and for their lunar robotic program. This stuff just doesn't happen via immaculate conception. Look at the progression from CE-1 to 2 to 3. Increases in technology, capability, and science goals. What's the driver? Is there a roadmap that says "Do X first, followed by Y, followed by Z"? (They must have some kind of roadmap, otherwise they wouldn't be doing X, Y and then Z.) Do they have a science priorities committee that does this? How does the Chinese space program establish their priorities, and what are those priorities? And who is doing it? Who are the officials who are making the call? Just because we don't know the answers now doesn't mean that there are no answers.For starters, the Chinese Academy of Sciences appears to be involved. That would be a good place to start.And I'd note that the reason I'm asking these questions is that I'm pretty familiar with how it happens in the United States (being directly involved in it). Over here stuff doesn't "just happen," so my guess is that it doesn't just happen in China either.Understanding that is a good step to figuring out what they might do after CE-6.Some history on this, from official Chinese new reports (in Chinese of course)http://news.163.com/13/1201/00/9EVGR1GO00014JB6.htmlSome highlights of the timeline1. Chinese Lunar Exploration Study group was established in 1991 as part of Project 863. (That project itself was started in 1986 headed then by Wang Ganchang to found technology and science programs in China)2. The Study group submitted its conclusions as a feasibility study to the State Council in 19943. Lunar Resource, Exploration and Scientific study group was established in 1998 to come up with a detailed plan of lunar exploration in 2000. 《中国月球资源探测卫星科学目标》From the official "leaks" since, we know the following: The plan sets 3 large phases, with each phase containing 3 major phase. The Large phase are 探 (Probe or Unmanned exploration)、登 (Walk, or manned exploration)、驻(住) (Stay, or Moon base). The first 3 little phase plan, later would become CE1 to CE6.4. In 2000, parts of the plan was published as part of the 2006 white paper on Chinese Space exploration. You can read it here in English.http://www.fas.org/spp/guide/china/wp2006.pdf5. Between 2000 and 2004, a series of working group was established on specific goals, instructions, vehicles etc. And submitted a formal space program for approval.6. The program was approved in 2004, and formally named Chang'e and CLEP was established.7. CE1 completed in 2006, with CE2 starting work in 2006. CE1 launched in 2007, CE2 in 20108. CE3 Started work in 2009, and launched in 2013So the whole thing took 10 years to plan it, without funding to launching a single thing. That's a lot of time to figure out why, how and when. Would love to read the internal memos.