Author Topic: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 F2 - CCSFS SLC-41 - NET 13/14 November 2025  (Read 149498 times)

Offline Chris Bergin

Presser:

  VIASAT SELECTS UNITED LAUNCH ALLIANCE’S PROVEN ATLAS V ROCKET FOR COMMERCIAL SATELLITE LAUNCH

PARIS, Sept. 10, 2018 – Global communications company, Viasat Inc., (Nasdaq: VSAT) announced today it selected United Launch Alliance’s (ULA’s) proven Atlas V vehicle to launch one of its ViaSat-3 satellite missions. This is the first commercial contract ULA has directly signed since assuming responsibility for the marketing and sales of the Atlas V launch vehicle from Lockheed Martin Commercial Launch Services earlier this year.

The Viasat mission will carry one of the ViaSat-3 series spacecraft and is scheduled to launch in the 2020 - 2022 timeframe from Space Launch Complex-41 at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station in Florida. This mission will launch aboard an Atlas V 551 configuration vehicle, the largest in the Atlas V fleet. The 551 configuration provides the performance to deliver a ViaSat-3 satellite into a high-energy geostationary transfer orbit where it can begin on-orbit operations faster than with other available launch vehicles.

The selection of Atlas V for one of the ViaSat-3 missions is the next step in implementing Viasat’s integrated launch strategy which is designed to ensure the on-time launch of all of the ViaSat-3 spacecraft through launch vehicle diversity and an integrated approach to launch planning. Viasat will announce specific mission assignments for each of the contracted launch vehicles at a later date.

“ULA continues to demonstrate schedule certainty and flexibility, as well as be a trustworthy and reliable business partner. This coupled with unmatched Atlas V launch vehicle reliability and tailored mission design capabilities made ULA a strong partner for a ViaSat-3 launch mission,” said Dave Ryan, president, Space Systems at Viasat. “ULA is known for providing an innovative launch solution that is focused on mission success, which will allow us to meet our business objectives to bring high-speed, high-quality broadband connectivity to meet end-user demand.”       

“ULA’s Atlas V launch vehicle is the most reliable launch vehicle in the world and we could not be more pleased that Viasat, a leading satellite broadband innovator, has recognized the value the Atlas V can offer, and decided to select this rocket to launch its critical commercial communications satellite,” said Tory Bruno, ULA’s president and CEO.

The ViaSat-3 class of Ka-band satellites is expected to provide unprecedented capabilities in terms of service speed and flexibility for a satellite platform. The first two satellites will focus on the Americas and on Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA), respectively, with the third satellite planned for the APAC region, completing Viasat's global service coverage. Each ViaSat-3 class satellite is expected to deliver more than 1-Terabit per second of network capacity, and to leverage high levels of flexibility to dynamically direct capacity to where customers are located.

Atlas V has launched 78 missions with 100 percent success including 17 successful commercial missions. The workhorse rocket also delivered critical science missions for NASA such as Mars Science Lab, Pluto New Horizons and Mars InSight, and critical missions for the Department of Defense including Space-Based Infrared System (SBIRS) and Wideband Global SATCOM (WGS).



ViaSat-3 Americas Falcon Heavy launch thread
« Last Edit: 11/08/2025 01:27 am by Galactic Penguin SST »
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Offline soltasto

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #1 on: 09/11/2018 04:41 pm »
According to statements by SpaceX's COO and ArianeSpace's CEO neither company bid on this launch.

Source, PBdeS: https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/1039537710434840576

Offline russianhalo117

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #2 on: 09/11/2018 05:48 pm »
According to statements by SpaceX's COO and ArianeSpace's CEO neither company bid on this launch.

Source, PBdeS: https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/1039537710434840576
Let me make it clear that this launch is the first of 2 ViaSat-3 EMEA satellites with still present options for further ViaSat-3 EMEA and ViaSat-3 APAC satellites.

Original full sized constellation coverage plan including expansion options before EUTELSAT backed out was:
ViaSat-3 EMEA-1 (Europe and Middle East)
ViaSat-3 EMEA-2 (Atlantic)
ViaSat-3 EMEA-3 (Central)
ViaSat-3 EMEA-4 (Pacific)
ViaSat-3 APAC-1 (West)
ViaSat-3 APAC-2 (Central)
ViaSat-3 APAC-3 (East)

Current initial coverage plan post EUTELSAT:
ViaSat-3 EMEA-1 (Europe and Middle East)
ViaSat-3 EMEA-2 (Central (Americas))
ViaSat-3 APAC (Central (Pan Asia))
« Last Edit: 09/11/2018 08:21 pm by russianhalo117 »

Online gongora

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #3 on: 09/11/2018 06:09 pm »
According to statements by SpaceX's COO and ArianeSpace's CEO neither company bid on this launch.

Source, PBdeS: https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/1039537710434840576
let me make it clear that this launch is the first of 2 ViaSat-3 EMEA satellites with options for further ViaSat-3 EMEA and ViaSat-3 Asia satellites.
Original full sized constellation coverage plan including expansion options before EUTELSAT backed out was:
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Europe and Middle East)
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Atlantic)
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Central)
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Pacific)
ViaSat-3 Asia (West)
ViaSat-3 Asia (Central)
ViaSat-3 Asia (East)

Current initial coverage plan post EUTELSAT:
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Europe and Middle East)
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Central)
ViaSat-3 Asia (East)

I don't think that is correct?  The first two are supposed to be for the Americas and for EMEA, with a later one for Asia.  Considering the problems ViaSat has had even trying to arrange the first 3 I would have to think that expanded plan was very speculative and not all that serious.

Offline russianhalo117

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #4 on: 09/11/2018 06:21 pm »
According to statements by SpaceX's COO and ArianeSpace's CEO neither company bid on this launch.

Source, PBdeS: https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/1039537710434840576
let me make it clear that this launch is the first of 2 ViaSat-3 EMEA satellites with options for further ViaSat-3 EMEA and ViaSat-3 Asia satellites.
Original full sized constellation coverage plan including expansion options before EUTELSAT backed out was:
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Europe and Middle East)
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Atlantic)
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Central)
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Pacific)
ViaSat-3 Asia (West)
ViaSat-3 Asia (Central)
ViaSat-3 Asia (East)

Current initial coverage plan post EUTELSAT:
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Europe and Middle East)
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Central)
ViaSat-3 Asia (East)

I don't think that is correct?  The first two are supposed to be for the Americas and for EMEA, with a later one for Asia.  Considering the problems ViaSat has had even trying to arrange the first 3 I would have to think that expanded plan was very speculative and not all that serious.
There are still contract options to build the rest of the satellites. The bottom list is what is currently procured. The plan changed quickly after EUTELSAT backed out and joint funding for the 4 ViaSat-3 EMEA sats went away.
« Last Edit: 09/11/2018 06:27 pm by russianhalo117 »

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #5 on: 09/11/2018 06:26 pm »
According to statements by SpaceX's COO and ArianeSpace's CEO neither company bid on this launch.

Source, PBdeS: https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/1039537710434840576
let me make it clear that this launch is the first of 2 ViaSat-3 EMEA satellites with options for further ViaSat-3 EMEA and ViaSat-3 Asia satellites.
Original full sized constellation coverage plan including expansion options before EUTELSAT backed out was:
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Europe and Middle East)
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Atlantic)
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Central)
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Pacific)
ViaSat-3 Asia (West)
ViaSat-3 Asia (Central)
ViaSat-3 Asia (East)

Current initial coverage plan post EUTELSAT:
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Europe and Middle East)
ViaSat-3 EMEA (Central)
ViaSat-3 Asia (East)

I don't think that is correct?  The first two are supposed to be for the Americas and for EMEA, with a later one for Asia.  Considering the problems ViaSat has had even trying to arrange the first 3 I would have to think that expanded plan was very speculative and not all that serious.
There are still contract options to build the rest of the satellites. The bottom list is what is currently procured:

They didn't procure two satellites for EMEA and they haven't procured the third satellite yet.

Offline Brovane

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #6 on: 09/12/2018 02:25 am »
Quote
The 551 configuration provides the performance to deliver a ViaSat-3 satellite into a high-energy geostationary transfer orbit where it can begin on-orbit operations faster than with other available launch vehicles.

ViaSat must really want that bird into operation faster considering they are willing to pay the extra money for a 551 configuration.   
"Look at that! If anybody ever said, "you'll be sitting in a spacecraft naked with a 134-pound backpack on your knees charging it", I'd have said "Aw, get serious". - John Young - Apollo-16

Online gongora

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #7 on: 09/12/2018 02:41 am »
Quote
The 551 configuration provides the performance to deliver a ViaSat-3 satellite into a high-energy geostationary transfer orbit where it can begin on-orbit operations faster than with other available launch vehicles.

ViaSat must really want that bird into operation faster considering they are willing to pay the extra money for a 551 configuration.

It's a really big electric propulsion sat (if previous reports are still correct it will be bigger than SES-12).  ViaSat's current birds generate higher revenue than a typical GEO comsat.  Shaving a few months off of the orbit raising time might make up for the difference in launch costs.  Considering the new version of FH hasn't flown yet and may only have a few flights before ViaSat-3 starts launching it's not an unreasonable decision.
« Last Edit: 09/12/2018 01:59 pm by gongora »

Offline Steven Pietrobon

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #8 on: 09/12/2018 05:55 am »
According to statements by SpaceX's COO and ArianeSpace's CEO neither company bid on this launch.

The next question I have is why didn't they bid? Was the required orbit too high for either Falcon Heavy or Ariane 5? Was the required timeline too short?
Akin's Laws of Spacecraft Design #1:  Engineering is done with numbers.  Analysis without numbers is only an opinion.

Offline russianhalo117

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #9 on: 09/12/2018 06:07 am »
According to statements by SpaceX's COO and ArianeSpace's CEO neither company bid on this launch.

The next question I have is why didn't they bid? Was the required orbit too high for either Falcon Heavy or Ariane 5? Was the required timeline too short?
Other factors as before EUTELSAT dropped out to create its own new fleet of HTS and VHTS sats Ariane-5ECA was the launcher of choice due to domestic cost advantage.

Offline woods170

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #10 on: 09/12/2018 07:00 am »
According to statements by SpaceX's COO and ArianeSpace's CEO neither company bid on this launch.

The next question I have is why didn't they bid? Was the required orbit too high for either Falcon Heavy or Ariane 5? Was the required timeline too short?
Other factors as before EUTELSAT dropped out to create its own new fleet of HTS and VHTS sats Ariane-5ECA was the launcher of choice due to domestic cost advantage.

Like Gwynne suggested: ask Viasat why Arianespace and SpaceX didn't bother to bid.

Speculation: Something about the Viasat-3 RFP must have been either really unattractive or impossible to do for Arianespace and SpaceX.
« Last Edit: 09/12/2018 07:01 am by woods170 »

Offline Semmel

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #11 on: 09/12/2018 09:00 am »
According to statements by SpaceX's COO and ArianeSpace's CEO neither company bid on this launch.

The next question I have is why didn't they bid? Was the required orbit too high for either Falcon Heavy or Ariane 5? Was the required timeline too short?
Other factors as before EUTELSAT dropped out to create its own new fleet of HTS and VHTS sats Ariane-5ECA was the launcher of choice due to domestic cost advantage.

Like Gwynne suggested: ask Viasat why Arianespace and SpaceX didn't bother to bid.

Speculation: Something about the Viasat-3 RFP must have been either really unattractive or impossible to do for Arianespace and SpaceX.

Yeah, and we will not know what that is. There are too many options, just to speculate about a few: Maybe it does not fit into the F9 fairing and is too large for dual launch in an Ariane. Single launch with Ariane could be too expensive. Or maybe it has vibration requirements that both launchers cannot meet. Or it wants direct GEO insertion which requires expendable core FH or single launch with Ariane. Who knows? The range of possibilities is too large to determine the reason.

Offline soltasto

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #12 on: 09/12/2018 09:29 am »
According to statements by SpaceX's COO and ArianeSpace's CEO neither company bid on this launch.

The next question I have is why didn't they bid? Was the required orbit too high for either Falcon Heavy or Ariane 5? Was the required timeline too short?
Other factors as before EUTELSAT dropped out to create its own new fleet of HTS and VHTS sats Ariane-5ECA was the launcher of choice due to domestic cost advantage.

Like Gwynne suggested: ask Viasat why Arianespace and SpaceX didn't bother to bid.

Speculation: Something about the Viasat-3 RFP must have been either really unattractive or impossible to do for Arianespace and SpaceX.

Yeah, and we will not know what that is. There are too many options, just to speculate about a few: Maybe it does not fit into the F9 fairing and is too large for dual launch in an Ariane. Single launch with Ariane could be too expensive. Or maybe it has vibration requirements that both launchers cannot meet. Or it wants direct GEO insertion which requires expendable core FH or single launch with Ariane. Who knows? The range of possibilities is too large to determine the reason.

Or maybe they just weren't allowed to bid or were asked to not bid. My guess is that ViaSat wants every launch on a different launch vehicle, for some reason. It was said that 3 companies competed for this launch, so if SpaceX and ArianeSpace didn't bid, the possible remaining companies are ULA with Atlas V, ILS with Proton and Angara, and either Blue Origin with the New Glenn or MHI with the H3. China is also a possibility.

Offline russianhalo117

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #13 on: 09/12/2018 04:27 pm »
They didn't procure two satellites for EMEA and they haven't procured the third satellite yet.
This contradicts your statement:

https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_sdat/viasat-3.htm
Quote
...
The new first of the news spacecraft for the american market is scheduled to launch in late 2019 or early 2020 and is expected to provide more than 15 years of service life. The second satellite for EMEA will follow soon after. The asian satellite is not yet ordered. The first two busses were were firmly contracted with Boeing in July 2016 for ViaSat 3 Americas and ViaSat 3 EMEA.

ViaSat 3 EMEA was originally to be procured jointly with Eutelsat, but in May 2018, Eutelsat dropped out of the joint venture.
...

Online gongora

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #14 on: 09/12/2018 04:32 pm »
They didn't procure two satellites for EMEA and they haven't procured the third satellite yet.
This contradicts your statement:

https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_sdat/viasat-3.htm
Quote
...
The new first of the news spacecraft for the american market is scheduled to launch in late 2019 or early 2020 and is expected to provide more than 15 years of service life. The second satellite for EMEA will follow soon after. The asian satellite is not yet ordered. The first two busses were were firmly contracted with Boeing in July 2016 for ViaSat 3 Americas and ViaSat 3 EMEA.

ViaSat 3 EMEA was originally to be procured jointly with Eutelsat, but in May 2018, Eutelsat dropped out of the joint venture.
...

That doesn't contradict what I said at all.  They're currently building one satellite for the Americas and one for EMEA, with the third satellite bus to be procured soon.

Offline ccdengr

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #15 on: 09/12/2018 04:43 pm »
Or maybe they just weren't allowed to bid or were asked to not bid.
Maybe the fact that Viasat had to switch from FH to Ariane for Viasat-2 after the FH schedule slipped contributed.  https://spaceflightnow.com/2016/02/15/viasat-trades-in-falcon-heavy-launch-for-ariane-5/

Offline LouScheffer

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #16 on: 09/12/2018 05:29 pm »
Quote
The 551 configuration provides the performance to deliver a ViaSat-3 satellite into a high-energy geostationary transfer orbit where it can begin on-orbit operations faster than with other available launch vehicles.

ViaSat must really want that bird into operation faster considering they are willing to pay the extra money for a 551 configuration.   
The military did this as well.  They used a 551 to put MUOS-5  (a similar size satellite) into a 3790 km x 35706 km x 19.1o GTO, needing only about 1410 m/s to GEO.

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #17 on: 09/12/2018 06:36 pm »
Tweet from PBdeS:
Quote
.@ViasatInc on choice of @ulalaunch Atlas 5 w/o soliciting bids from @Arianespace or @Spacex: 'Viasat doesn't follow traditional procurement practices. We've engaged in discussions w/ multiple launch providers for the ViaSat-3 constellation, including SpaceX and Arianespace.'

Offline Brovane

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #18 on: 09/12/2018 07:01 pm »
Quote
The 551 configuration provides the performance to deliver a ViaSat-3 satellite into a high-energy geostationary transfer orbit where it can begin on-orbit operations faster than with other available launch vehicles.

ViaSat must really want that bird into operation faster considering they are willing to pay the extra money for a 551 configuration.   
The military did this as well.  They used a 551 to put MUOS-5  (a similar size satellite) into a 3790 km x 35706 km x 19.1o GTO, needing only about 1410 m/s to GEO.

Usually the US military is less price sensitive than private commercial companies.

I am not a expert, but is it usual process for Private companies to want to pay extra for super-sync GTO insertions for launches?   

"Look at that! If anybody ever said, "you'll be sitting in a spacecraft naked with a 134-pound backpack on your knees charging it", I'd have said "Aw, get serious". - John Young - Apollo-16

Offline ncb1397

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #19 on: 09/12/2018 07:25 pm »
Playing with ULA's rocket builder page, an Atlas 551 with the 5 meter longest fairing can put 8856 kg into a GTO with a 1800 m/s deficit. Assuming that the launch services page on SpaceX is the same 1800 m/s deficit GTO, a $95 million Falcon Heavy can put 8000 kg into the same orbit[1]. This satellite could theoretically be in the 8000 kg - 8856 kg range requiring a launch service greater and more expensive than the $95 million tier. These numbers might have an inflation adjustment as they are a few years old for a 2020 launch. NASA also recently purchased a Atlas V 541 for 2020 at a launch cost of $243 million[2]. Now, SpaceX and presumeably others charge somewhat of a premium for government contracted launches and that number includes some additional things not related to ULA costs or comsat costs like planetary protection and nuclear handling. On the other side, we are talking about adding an additional solid and potentially a longer fairing as well. For the sake of argument, let's say that Viasat was able to secure this launch for a cool $200 million. Now, ULA advertises an average industry launch insurance cost savings of $12 million dollars for an Atlas because of a superior reliability record to Arianespace/SpaceX/ILS and these would be on the more expensive side in terms of launch insurance (each satellite is projected to cost $600 million to build/insure/deploy). So, the difference in cost is likely to be less than $100 million and somewhat less likely to be significantly less than $100 million (say $75 million).

Now each Viasat has about 1 terabit of network capacity. Viasat also has various plans but their basic plan is up to 12 mbps that throttles at 40 GB per month for $50-$70 per month. Assuming some deflation, let's say this service level goes for $30/month during Viasat 3's introductory service period. 1 terabit/s of network capacity translates to a theoretical throughput limit of 324,000,000 GB per month or a theoretical limit of servicing the full non throttled capacity of 8.1 million basic subscribers. If the actual throughput per subscriber is double the throttled-free limit, it would be more like 4 million subscribers. 8.1 million subscribers is $243 million dollars per month in revenue and 4 million subscribers is ~120 million dollars per month in revenue. This probably represents the upper bound in cost/GB as it is the cheapest plan and therefore the upper bound in revenue. Viasat also has a $100-$150 plan for up to 50 mbps. Assuming this goes for $60 in the future and every customer uses all their capacity all the time, you could service 200,000 of these customers or monthly revenue of $12 million(this would be the absolute worst case scenario assuming the cost figure is correct). I think it likely that the additonal launch costs could be justified on the basis of just a few months of earlier service. And that isn't even counting the 1/30 possibility of losing the satellite and 1/3 of the revenue potential in the $2 billion dollar Viasat 3 constellation effort on something like a Falcon Heavy. By the time you could replace it, Viasat 3 might already be going obsolete. Not to mention it could potentially decimate their customer base that may or may not be recoverable.

[1] https://www.spacex.com/about/capabilities
[2] https://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-awards-launch-services-contract-for-mars-2020-rover-mission
« Last Edit: 09/12/2018 08:06 pm by ncb1397 »

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #20 on: 09/12/2018 07:27 pm »
For a 6-ton electric propulsion sat, the price difference between an Atlas V-541 and AtlasV-551 is probably worth it.  (It's not usual to launch 6-ton electric propulsion sats, and it's not usual for the satellite operator to build their own payload for a GEO commsat, so we're already on the fringes here.)  Whether you think the Atlas V pricing is worth it compared to other providers is another story.  Viasat is willing to pay for reliability and performance.  If they booked a 551 then recoverable F9 was probably not considered, so you're looking at $90M+ from other providers unless you want to take a chance on Proton.

Offline Brovane

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #21 on: 09/12/2018 08:27 pm »
For a 6-ton electric propulsion sat, the price difference between an Atlas V-541 and AtlasV-551 is probably worth it.  (It's not usual to launch 6-ton electric propulsion sats, and it's not usual for the satellite operator to build their own payload for a GEO commsat, so we're already on the fringes here.)  Whether you think the Atlas V pricing is worth it compared to other providers is another story.  Viasat is willing to pay for reliability and performance.  If they booked a 551 then recoverable F9 was probably not considered, so you're looking at $90M+ from other providers unless you want to take a chance on Proton.

Can't a Atlas-V 521 place 6,000+ kg into GTO-1800 out of CCAFS?

"Look at that! If anybody ever said, "you'll be sitting in a spacecraft naked with a 134-pound backpack on your knees charging it", I'd have said "Aw, get serious". - John Young - Apollo-16

Offline russianhalo117

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #22 on: 09/12/2018 08:29 pm »
For a 6-ton electric propulsion sat, the price difference between an Atlas V-541 and AtlasV-551 is probably worth it.  (It's not usual to launch 6-ton electric propulsion sats, and it's not usual for the satellite operator to build their own payload for a GEO commsat, so we're already on the fringes here.)  Whether you think the Atlas V pricing is worth it compared to other providers is another story.  Viasat is willing to pay for reliability and performance.  If they booked a 551 then recoverable F9 was probably not considered, so you're looking at $90M+ from other providers unless you want to take a chance on Proton.
Proton's manifest is in the process of being finalized with all future domestic and ILS orders starting at some point next year being for the Angara family of launchers from then forward.

Offline envy887

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #23 on: 09/12/2018 08:49 pm »
Playing with ULA's rocket builder page, an Atlas 551 with the 5 meter longest fairing can put 8856 kg into a GTO with a 1800 m/s deficit. Assuming that the launch services page on SpaceX is the same 1800 m/s deficit GTO, a $95 million Falcon Heavy can put 8000 kg into the same orbit[1]. This satellite could theoretically be in the 8000 kg - 8856 kg range requiring a launch service greater and more expensive than the $95 million tier. These numbers might have an inflation adjustment as they are a few years old for a 2020 launch. NASA also recently purchased a Atlas V 541 for 2020 at a launch cost of $243 million[2]. Now, SpaceX and presumeably others charge somewhat of a premium for government contracted launches and that number includes some additional things not related to ULA costs or comsat costs like planetary protection and nuclear handling. On the other side, we are talking about adding an additional solid and potentially a longer fairing as well. For the sake of argument, let's say that Viasat was able to secure this launch for a cool $200 million. Now, ULA advertises an average industry launch insurance cost savings of $12 million dollars for an Atlas because of a superior reliability record to Arianespace/SpaceX/ILS and these would be on the more expensive side in terms of launch insurance (each satellite is projected to cost $600 million to build/insure/deploy). So, the difference in cost is likely to be less than $100 million and somewhat less likely to be significantly less than $100 million (say $75 million).

Now each Viasat has about 1 terabit of network capacity. Viasat also has various plans but their basic plan is up to 12 mbps that throttles at 40 GB per month for $50-$70 per month. Assuming some deflation, let's say this service level goes for $30/month during Viasat 3's introductory service period. 1 terabit/s of network capacity translates to a theoretical throughput limit of 324,000,000 GB per month or a theoretical limit of servicing the full non throttled capacity of 8.1 million basic subscribers. If the actual throughput per subscriber is double the throttled-free limit, it would be more like 4 million subscribers. 8.1 million subscribers is $243 million dollars per month in revenue and 4 million subscribers is ~120 million dollars per month in revenue. This probably represents the upper bound in cost/GB as it is the cheapest plan and therefore the upper bound in revenue. Viasat also has a $100-$150 plan for up to 50 mbps. Assuming this goes for $60 in the future and every customer uses all their capacity all the time, you could service 200,000 of these customers or monthly revenue of $12 million(this would be the absolute worst case scenario assuming the cost figure is correct). I think it likely that the additonal launch costs could be justified on the basis of just a few months of earlier service. And that isn't even counting the 1/30 possibility of losing the satellite and 1/3 of the revenue potential in the $2 billion dollar Viasat 3 constellation effort on something like a Falcon Heavy. By the time you could replace it, Viasat 3 might already be going obsolete. Not to mention it could potentially decimate their customer base that may or may not be recoverable.

[1] https://www.spacex.com/about/capabilities
[2] https://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-awards-launch-services-contract-for-mars-2020-rover-mission

Except ViaSat did book a Falcon Heavy for the Americas ViaSat-3 launch. This appears to be little more than ViaSat hedging their bets and booking around with various providers, and probably has little to do with the cost/benefit of one particular launch.

The real interesting question is "what are they launching that requires the performance of FH and AV551?"

Offline ncb1397

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #24 on: 09/12/2018 09:15 pm »
Playing with ULA's rocket builder page, an Atlas 551 with the 5 meter longest fairing can put 8856 kg into a GTO with a 1800 m/s deficit. Assuming that the launch services page on SpaceX is the same 1800 m/s deficit GTO, a $95 million Falcon Heavy can put 8000 kg into the same orbit[1]. This satellite could theoretically be in the 8000 kg - 8856 kg range requiring a launch service greater and more expensive than the $95 million tier. These numbers might have an inflation adjustment as they are a few years old for a 2020 launch. NASA also recently purchased a Atlas V 541 for 2020 at a launch cost of $243 million[2]. Now, SpaceX and presumeably others charge somewhat of a premium for government contracted launches and that number includes some additional things not related to ULA costs or comsat costs like planetary protection and nuclear handling. On the other side, we are talking about adding an additional solid and potentially a longer fairing as well. For the sake of argument, let's say that Viasat was able to secure this launch for a cool $200 million. Now, ULA advertises an average industry launch insurance cost savings of $12 million dollars for an Atlas because of a superior reliability record to Arianespace/SpaceX/ILS and these would be on the more expensive side in terms of launch insurance (each satellite is projected to cost $600 million to build/insure/deploy). So, the difference in cost is likely to be less than $100 million and somewhat less likely to be significantly less than $100 million (say $75 million).

Now each Viasat has about 1 terabit of network capacity. Viasat also has various plans but their basic plan is up to 12 mbps that throttles at 40 GB per month for $50-$70 per month. Assuming some deflation, let's say this service level goes for $30/month during Viasat 3's introductory service period. 1 terabit/s of network capacity translates to a theoretical throughput limit of 324,000,000 GB per month or a theoretical limit of servicing the full non throttled capacity of 8.1 million basic subscribers. If the actual throughput per subscriber is double the throttled-free limit, it would be more like 4 million subscribers. 8.1 million subscribers is $243 million dollars per month in revenue and 4 million subscribers is ~120 million dollars per month in revenue. This probably represents the upper bound in cost/GB as it is the cheapest plan and therefore the upper bound in revenue. Viasat also has a $100-$150 plan for up to 50 mbps. Assuming this goes for $60 in the future and every customer uses all their capacity all the time, you could service 200,000 of these customers or monthly revenue of $12 million(this would be the absolute worst case scenario assuming the cost figure is correct). I think it likely that the additonal launch costs could be justified on the basis of just a few months of earlier service. And that isn't even counting the 1/30 possibility of losing the satellite and 1/3 of the revenue potential in the $2 billion dollar Viasat 3 constellation effort on something like a Falcon Heavy. By the time you could replace it, Viasat 3 might already be going obsolete. Not to mention it could potentially decimate their customer base that may or may not be recoverable.

[1] https://www.spacex.com/about/capabilities
[2] https://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-awards-launch-services-contract-for-mars-2020-rover-mission

Except ViaSat did book a Falcon Heavy for the Americas ViaSat-3 launch. This appears to be little more than ViaSat hedging their bets and booking around with various providers, and probably has little to do with the cost/benefit of one particular launch. Currently, there are 2 Viasat-3 satellites and 2 launch contracts for Arianespace and ULA. So, the Americas Viasat, which is the first to go up I think is unlikely to do so on Falcon. Possibly the third one.

The real interesting question is "what are they launching that requires the performance of FH and AV551?"

They never booked a Falcon launch for Viasat-3. They have an old launch contract booked for Viasat-2 that was moved to Ariane 5 and launched in June of last year. Last information is that they are evaluating what to do with the contract. It may be used for Viasat-3, transferred to a third party or cancelled.

Quote
Viasat originally signed a contract with SpaceX to launch its ViaSat 2 satellite into space via SpaceX’s Falcon Heavy rocket. But because SpaceX delayed the rocket's launch, Viasat ended up sending the satellite aloft with the help of Arianespace.
Asked about Viasat's contract with SpaceX, Dankberg said "we're still evaluating” it and that the company has not made any decisions about future satellite launches.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/viasat-ceo-talks-satellite-internet-130039242.html

« Last Edit: 09/12/2018 09:23 pm by ncb1397 »

Offline russianhalo117

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #25 on: 09/12/2018 09:20 pm »
Playing with ULA's rocket builder page, an Atlas 551 with the 5 meter longest fairing can put 8856 kg into a GTO with a 1800 m/s deficit. Assuming that the launch services page on SpaceX is the same 1800 m/s deficit GTO, a $95 million Falcon Heavy can put 8000 kg into the same orbit[1]. This satellite could theoretically be in the 8000 kg - 8856 kg range requiring a launch service greater and more expensive than the $95 million tier. These numbers might have an inflation adjustment as they are a few years old for a 2020 launch. NASA also recently purchased a Atlas V 541 for 2020 at a launch cost of $243 million[2]. Now, SpaceX and presumeably others charge somewhat of a premium for government contracted launches and that number includes some additional things not related to ULA costs or comsat costs like planetary protection and nuclear handling. On the other side, we are talking about adding an additional solid and potentially a longer fairing as well. For the sake of argument, let's say that Viasat was able to secure this launch for a cool $200 million. Now, ULA advertises an average industry launch insurance cost savings of $12 million dollars for an Atlas because of a superior reliability record to Arianespace/SpaceX/ILS and these would be on the more expensive side in terms of launch insurance (each satellite is projected to cost $600 million to build/insure/deploy). So, the difference in cost is likely to be less than $100 million and somewhat less likely to be significantly less than $100 million (say $75 million).

Now each Viasat has about 1 terabit of network capacity. Viasat also has various plans but their basic plan is up to 12 mbps that throttles at 40 GB per month for $50-$70 per month. Assuming some deflation, let's say this service level goes for $30/month during Viasat 3's introductory service period. 1 terabit/s of network capacity translates to a theoretical throughput limit of 324,000,000 GB per month or a theoretical limit of servicing the full non throttled capacity of 8.1 million basic subscribers. If the actual throughput per subscriber is double the throttled-free limit, it would be more like 4 million subscribers. 8.1 million subscribers is $243 million dollars per month in revenue and 4 million subscribers is ~120 million dollars per month in revenue. This probably represents the upper bound in cost/GB as it is the cheapest plan and therefore the upper bound in revenue. Viasat also has a $100-$150 plan for up to 50 mbps. Assuming this goes for $60 in the future and every customer uses all their capacity all the time, you could service 200,000 of these customers or monthly revenue of $12 million(this would be the absolute worst case scenario assuming the cost figure is correct). I think it likely that the additonal launch costs could be justified on the basis of just a few months of earlier service. And that isn't even counting the 1/30 possibility of losing the satellite and 1/3 of the revenue potential in the $2 billion dollar Viasat 3 constellation effort on something like a Falcon Heavy. By the time you could replace it, Viasat 3 might already be going obsolete. Not to mention it could potentially decimate their customer base that may or may not be recoverable.

[1] https://www.spacex.com/about/capabilities
[2] https://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-awards-launch-services-contract-for-mars-2020-rover-mission

Except ViaSat did book a Falcon Heavy for the Americas ViaSat-3 launch. This appears to be little more than ViaSat hedging their bets and booking around with various providers, and probably has little to do with the cost/benefit of one particular launch.

The real interesting question is "what are they launching that requires the performance of FH and AV551?"

They never booked a Falcon launch for Viasat-3. They have an old launch contract booked for Viasat-2 that was moved to Ariane 5 and launched in June of last year. Last information is that they are evaluating what to do with the contract. It may be used for Viasat-3, transferred to a third party or cancelled.

Quote
Viasat originally signed a contract with SpaceX to launch its ViaSat 2 satellite into space via SpaceX’s Falcon Heavy rocket. But because SpaceX delayed the rocket's launch, Viasat ended up sending the satellite aloft with the help of Arianespace.
Asked about Viasat's contract with SpaceX, Dankberg said "we're still evaluating” it and that the company has not made any decisions about future satellite launches.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/viasat-ceo-talks-satellite-internet-130039242.html


the Original ViaSat -3 launch contracts which were done by EUTELSAT were kept by EUTELSAT upon the split.

Offline GWH

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #26 on: 09/12/2018 10:03 pm »
Regarding launch mass and capabilities an Atlas V 551 can put 6695 to a GTO-1500 m/s, that same launch mass to GTO-1800 would only require a 421 or 531 (source rocketbuilder.com).
Initial Twitter comments suggested the satellite masses 7 tons, FWIW Gunter's space page lists Viasat3 at 6400kg https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_sdat/viasat-3.htm
It's worth noting that a few months ago rocket builder was tweaked to highlight early to orbit options.
« Last Edit: 09/12/2018 10:13 pm by GWH »

Offline ncb1397

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #27 on: 09/12/2018 10:25 pm »
Initial Twitter comments suggested the satellite masses 7 tons, FWIW Gunter's space page lists Viasat3 at 6400kg

Same launch mass as Viasat 2, but 3x the throughput in 3 years. That's impressive. Who said Moore's law was dead? But seriously though, more likely it is just a placeholder derived from Viasat 2.

Quote
"Completing the bus CDR validates that the satellite meets all necessary requirements for production to begin," said
Paul Rusnock, chairman and CEO, Boeing Satellite Systems International. "Viasat-3 is the largest satellite in both size and power that Boeing is building, and one of the largest satellites in the industry. It will be a highly-capable and advanced spacecraft - with greater than 25kW of power at end of life, and an ability to take full advantage of the efficiency of its all-electric propulsion."
https://www.viasat.com/news/viasat-and-boeing-proceeding-full-construction-first-two-viasat-3-satellites

The "one of the largest satellites" comment suggests under 7000 kg.
« Last Edit: 09/12/2018 10:38 pm by ncb1397 »

Offline LouScheffer

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #28 on: 09/13/2018 02:26 am »
Regarding launch mass and capabilities an Atlas V 551 can put 6695 to a GTO-1500 m/s
Atlas V 551 can do better than that.  It put MUOS-5 at 6740 kg into GEO-1410. 

Offline soltasto

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #29 on: 09/13/2018 10:04 am »
the Original ViaSat -3 launch contracts which were done by EUTELSAT were kept by EUTELSAT upon the split.

Looking at the official SpaceX manifest, they have a Falcon 9 contract for Eutelsat and a Falcon Heavy contract for ViaSat.
« Last Edit: 09/13/2018 12:50 pm by gongora »

Offline GWH

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #30 on: 09/13/2018 12:39 pm »
Atlas V 551 can do better than that.  It put MUOS-5 at 6740 kg into GEO-1410.
Was that the targeted orbit or where it ended up after burning to depletion? Would expect rocketbuilder.com to allow for some margin.

This mission could also benefit from GEM 63's, which have about 10% more propellant and over 10% less dry mass than the AJ-60, although ISP doesn't appear to be published. So performance could be even better.
« Last Edit: 09/13/2018 01:25 pm by GWH »

Online gongora

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #31 on: 09/13/2018 12:59 pm »
the Original ViaSat -3 launch contracts which were done by EUTELSAT were kept by EUTELSAT upon the split.

Looking at the official SpaceX manifest, they have a Falcon 9 contract for Eutelsat and a Falcon Heavy contract for ViaSat.

Eutelsat and Viasat both originally had launch contracts/options with SpaceX that had nothing to do with Viasat-3.  Viasat's contract with SpaceX may have been switched to a Viasat-3 payload.  I really have no idea what Eutelsat contracts russianhalo117 is talking about.

Offline Newton_V

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #32 on: 09/13/2018 01:56 pm »
Atlas V 551 can do better than that.  It put MUOS-5 at 6740 kg into GEO-1410.
Was that the targeted orbit or where it ended up after burning to depletion?

MUOS was not an MRS mission design.  DV to GSO was 1300 m/s.

Offline LouScheffer

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #33 on: 09/13/2018 05:21 pm »
Atlas V 551 can do better than that.  It put MUOS-5 at 6740 kg into GEO-1410.
Was that the targeted orbit or where it ended up after burning to depletion?

MUOS was not an MRS mission design.  DV to GSO was 1300 m/s.
It was only 1300 m/s since MUOS wanted an inclined orbit, and so did not need to cancel all inclination.  To go from the MUOS GTO to a zero inclination GEO (such as ViaSat will need) is 1410 m/s.

Offline Newton_V

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #34 on: 09/13/2018 05:43 pm »
Oops, yep.  My mistake.  1300 m/s to 5 deg inc.

Offline jbenton

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #35 on: 09/18/2018 09:08 am »
Yeah, and we will not know what that is. There are too many options, just to speculate about a few: Maybe it does not fit into the F9 fairing and is too large for dual launch in an Ariane. Single launch with Ariane could be too expensive. Or maybe it has vibration requirements that both launchers cannot meet. Or it wants direct GEO insertion which requires expendable core FH or single launch with Ariane. Who knows? The range of possibilities is too large to determine the reason.

How hard is it to design a satellite smaller than a whale?




Offline vapour_nudge

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #36 on: 09/26/2018 11:00 am »
Quote
The 551 configuration provides the performance to deliver a ViaSat-3 satellite into a high-energy geostationary transfer orbit where it can begin on-orbit operations faster than with other available launch vehicles.

ViaSat must really want that bird into operation faster considering they are willing to pay the extra money for a 551 configuration.   
The military did this as well.  They used a 551 to put MUOS-5  (a similar size satellite) into a 3790 km x 35706 km x 19.1o GTO, needing only about 1410 m/s to GEO.

Usually the US military is less price sensitive than private commercial companies.

I am not a expert, but is it usual process for Private companies to want to pay extra for super-sync GTO insertions for launches?
When ULA announced the switch to the GEMs back in 2015, they were quoted by Spaceflightnow as stating the GEMs will significantly reduce costs. So with 5 SRBs this could be quite a saving over the AR60-a. It would be nice to know exactly how much it reduces the cost.

Offline Sam Ho

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #37 on: 10/02/2018 04:57 pm »
Article in Space News explaining why Viasat and ULA say this was a competitive procurement, while Arianespace and SpaceX say they did not bid.  It boils down to Viasat not using a formal RFP process.

https://spacenews.com/viasat-ula-insist-viasat-3-launch-was-competitively-procured/

Offline envy887

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #38 on: 10/03/2018 11:59 am »
Article in Space News explaining why Viasat and ULA say this was a competitive procurement, while Arianespace and SpaceX say they did not bid.  It boils down to Viasat not using a formal RFP process.

https://spacenews.com/viasat-ula-insist-viasat-3-launch-was-competitively-procured/

Talking to three suppliers and then asking only one of them for a bid is not a competitive procurement. It's sole-sourcing a contract.

Offline speedevil

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #39 on: 10/03/2018 12:25 pm »
Playing with ULA's rocket builder page, an Atlas 551 with the 5 meter longest fairing can put 8856 kg into a GTO with a 1800 m/s deficit. Assuming that the launch services page on SpaceX is the same 1800 m/s deficit GTO, a $95 million Falcon Heavy can put 8000 kg into the same orbit[1]
A recent slide  at IAC2018 gave FH - all droneship recovered - as 10 tons to GTO. Perhaps they aren't actively selling that service, which is an interesting note for the future, if this was the reason to pick ULA.

Online gongora

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #40 on: 10/03/2018 02:50 pm »
I don't think Viasat-3 is 8000kg, and I bet Viasat is looking for better than GTO-1800.

Offline Aurora

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #41 on: 10/09/2018 02:34 pm »
FH was considered for performance, however FH has had only one launch - a demo mission without an insured payload.    If the next two FH missions (STP-2 and ARABSAT) would have been successfully completed prior to the decision for ViaSat 3, then the decision for ULA Atlas V may have been different.

Offline Aurora

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #42 on: 10/09/2018 02:41 pm »
I don't think Viasat-3 is 8000kg, and I bet Viasat is looking for better than GTO-1800.


ViaSat-3 is 6300-6400 kg estimated mass range (to remain launch compatibility with Ariane 5 UB and Falcon 9), with electric propulsion for orbit raising and station keeping.    The key decision of Atlas V-551 was the lift performance (lower deltaV) resulting in shorter time to orbit and, of course the reliability.   Falcon 9 and Ariane 5 UB would have required five to six months orbit raising, while Atlas V-551 should reduce that time period by 50%.

Offline Aurora

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #43 on: 10/09/2018 02:52 pm »
My speculation, based on commercial launch industry experience:

Price competition:  ULA was competing against Arianespace with a dedicated Ariane 5.   Atlas V-551 is competitive against Ariane 5 dedicated mission (to match mission injection requirements).     

Again, SpaceX F9 did not meet injection performance requirements, and FH did not have the minimum flight heritage at time of decision.   

Other new potential launch vehicles such as MHI III, Northrop Grumman OmegA, Blue Origin New Glenn and Arianespace Ariane 64/62 have zero flight heritage at time of decision.

Offline ethan829

Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #44 on: 10/09/2018 08:34 pm »
FH was considered for performance, however FH has had only one launch - a demo mission without an insured payload.    If the next two FH missions (STP-2 and ARABSAT) would have been successfully completed prior to the decision for ViaSat 3, then the decision for ULA Atlas V may have been different.


ViaSat bought a Falcon Heavy launch before it had flown:
https://www.marketwatch.com/press-release/viasat-selects-spacex-to-launch-viasat-2-satellite-2015-01-12

Offline Aurora

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #45 on: 10/09/2018 09:11 pm »
Ethan829 - agree completely on your statement.

At that time, SpaceX was to execute many launches prior to that mission . . . and when that didn't happen, ViaSat switched their mission to Ariane 5 (at great expense).

Technically, ViaSat probably still has a launch contract with some deposit for a Falcon Heavy, and hope to use in the future after two or three successful (and insured - public evaluation of success) mission.

Offline envy887

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #46 on: 10/10/2018 12:31 am »
Ethan829 - agree completely on your statement.

At that time, SpaceX was to execute many launches prior to that mission . . . and when that didn't happen, ViaSat switched their mission to Ariane 5 (at great expense).

Technically, ViaSat probably still has a launch contract with some deposit for a Falcon Heavy, and hope to use in the future after two or three successful (and insured - public evaluation of success) mission.

The USAF certified Falcon Heavy for NSS flights, after reviewing data from the demo flight. Insurers for FH flights undoubtedly also have reviewed that data, as well as NASA, and other major customers.

I rather doubt that any additional flights will result in a more "public" review of confidential mission data. However, they will allow a better statistical analysis of the data, as well as confirm the reliability of the Block 5 upgrades to FH.

Why does Viasat have such a low tolerance for risk, relative to NASA, USAF, and virtually every other commercial and governmental customer? Do they not purchase insurance? The ~$50 million difference from AV551 to FHR would pay for a lot of insurance.
« Last Edit: 10/10/2018 12:33 am by envy887 »

Offline Chasm

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #47 on: 10/10/2018 12:44 pm »
Looks to me like ViaSat needs the capacity ASAP. Satellite on orbit, earning money.

Launch insurance does not really help in that case.
(Does not really matter if they need the capacity or money.)

Offline Aurora

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #48 on: 10/10/2018 01:43 pm »
Chasm,

Agree.

Insurance monies replaces capex expenditures . . . however a replacement satellite will take three years to build and launch.   ViaSat will generate more than $50M in profits on the satellite over those three years . . . and earn nothing if the satellite is destroyed on an unproven launch vehicle.

If ViaSat was to lose those three years of capacity, their primary satellite competitor HughesNet (also known as Spaceway) will capture customers during that period.  Once someone installs a satellite dish, most are reluctant to install a second dish to switch.

Offline envy887

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #49 on: 10/10/2018 03:22 pm »
Chasm,

Agree.

Insurance monies replaces capex expenditures . . . however a replacement satellite will take three years to build and launch.   ViaSat will generate more than $50M in profits on the satellite over those three years . . . and earn nothing if the satellite is destroyed on an unproven launch vehicle.

If ViaSat was to lose those three years of capacity, their primary satellite competitor HughesNet (also known as Spaceway) will capture customers during that period.  Once someone installs a satellite dish, most are reluctant to install a second dish to switch.

They can also insure operating revenues, in fact this is fairly typical. Since launch failures are infrequent, the cost of the insurance is much lower than the actual revenues.

The market share, of course, they can't insure, and it is much more difficult to that win back than to replace a satellite.

Offline envy887

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #50 on: 10/25/2018 01:24 pm »
My speculation, based on commercial launch industry experience:

Price competition:  ULA was competing against Arianespace with a dedicated Ariane 5.   Atlas V-551 is competitive against Ariane 5 dedicated mission (to match mission injection requirements).     

Again, SpaceX F9 did not meet injection performance requirements, and FH did not have the minimum flight heritage at time of decision.   

Other new potential launch vehicles such as MHI III, Northrop Grumman OmegA, Blue Origin New Glenn and Arianespace Ariane 64/62 have zero flight heritage at time of decision.

Viasat just announced a Viasat-3 on FH with near-direct injection. FH doesn't have any more flight heritage recently, so they were probably mainly spreading the launches around between FH and AV551 to put their eggs in different baskets.

I wonder if the third one will go on Ariane 5 ES, since ECA can't do direct injection.

Offline Zed_Noir

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #51 on: 10/25/2018 01:36 pm »
....

Viasat just announced a Viasat-3 on FH with near-direct injection. FH doesn't have any more flight heritage recently, so they were probably mainly spreading the launches around between FH and AV551 to put their eggs in different baskets.

I wonder if the third one will go on Ariane 5 ES, since ECA can't do direct injection.

Nope. The Ariane 5 ES is retired.

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - SLC-41 - NET 2020
« Reply #52 on: 10/25/2018 07:09 pm »
Ariane 64 would be the ticket. The user manual (revision1) has the (preliminary) direct to to GSO performance as 5000kg.
First A62 launches are in 2020, first A64 launches in 2021. A more complex mission probably a bit later, say as 5th launch at the end of 2021 or in 2022. Not too bad, the FH launch just announced is for a 2020-2022 time frame.

AV551 performance to GSO is 3856kg according to rocketbuilder.



Edit: Performance is in kg. =)
« Last Edit: 10/25/2018 07:10 pm by Chasm »

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 EMEA - CC SLC-41 - 2022
« Reply #53 on: 12/17/2021 08:11 pm »
Delayed NET early 2021, NLT H2 2022:
https://spacenews.com/viasat-orders-asia-pacific-viasat-3-from-boeing-amid-record-revenue/
Quote
In a Feb. 7 earnings call, Dankberg said the launch of the first ViaSat-3 satellite, expected to cover the Americas, will likely slip a few months to early 2021.
...
Carlsbad, California-based Viasat has three launch contracts for ViaSat-3 — one with Arianespace for an Ariane 5, one with United Launch Alliance for an Atlas 5, and one with SpaceX for a Falcon Heavy — but has not said which will launch first. Viasat is expected to launch the first ViaSat-3 to cover the Americas, followed be the second ViaSat-3 for Europe, the Middle East and Africa six months later. Dankberg said the third ViaSat-3, designated for the Asia Pacific, is expected to launch in the second half of 2022.
[dated Feb 8, 2019]

NET 2021 launch:
https://spaceflightnow.com/2019/06/30/barring-a-surprise-spacexs-next-falcon-heavy-flight-is-planned-in-late-2020/
Quote
Viasat has booked firm launch contracts with SpaceX, United Launch Alliance and Arianespace to carry one ViaSat 3 satellite at a time toward their operating positions in geostationary orbit beginning in 2021. But the California-based broadband company has not announced the order of the ViaSat 3 launches, or which rocket will launch each satellite.

Launch delayed to mid-2021.
https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/1226906375315501090
Quote
Viasat shows continued rev, EBITDA growth on flat US consumer subscriber base, outlines diverse demand profiles in Americas, EMEA, Asia-Pac in preparation for global Viasat-3 play. 1st Viasat-3 launch mid-2021. [dated Feb 10, 2020]

Launch delayed to H1 2022:
https://spacenews.com/baldridge-replaces-dankberg-as-ceo-as-viasat-prepares-to-launch-viasat-3-americas/
Quote
Demand for residential broadband and government connectivity grew during the quarter, and should continue to climb once the first ViaSat-3 satellite, designed to beam a terabit or more of capacity over North and South America, is in orbit, he said.
...
That satellite should still launch by the end of 2021, he said, but lacks a more specific launch date until the payload shipment.
[dated Nov 5, 2020]

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/viasat-to-accelerate-european-broadband-strategy-ahead-of-viasat-3-satellite-launch-will-acquire-remaining-stake-in-its-european-broadband-joint-venture-including-the-ka-sat-satellite-301176735.html
Quote
The second ViaSat-3 class satellite in that constellation will cover Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA), and is targeted for launch in 2022.
[dated Nov 19, 2020]

https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/business/story/2020-11-05/viasat-shuffles-executive-suite-as-it-moves-closer-to-launch-of-new-internet-satellites
Quote
Viasat designs bus-sized, high-orbit Internet satellites. It is building a constellation of three new ones — each with a one terabyte of capacity — that will give the company a global Internet footprint. The first is slated to launch late next year and provide coverage across North and South America, delivering faster speeds than the current satellites and hefty data usage allowances.

The second is expected to be in orbit six months later with coverage across Europe, the Middle East and Africa. The exact timing for the third ViaSat-3 over Asia is to be determined.
[dated Nov 5, 2020]

Launch delayed to (NET?) midyear 2022:
https://advanced-television.com/2021/06/09/viasat-gets-closer-to-version-3-0-launch/
Quote
Viasat of California says the first of its trio of its Version 3.0 satellites has completed testing and payload integration at Viasat’s own facility. Boeing will now take care of the further integration with performance testing.

The satellite, destined to cover the Americas, will launch early next year. Two more V 3.0 will follow. One will cover Europe, the Mid-East and Africa and the third will serve the Asia-Pacific region.

Viasat says that its European/MEA bird will be delivered to Boeing later next year.

“I can’t predict that there won’t be any other COVID impacts,” Rick Baldridge, Viasat’s president and CEO, said on the company’s recent fiscal Q4/2021 earnings call, noting that the second payload (for the EMEA) region is running about six months behind the first payload for the Americas. “It has definitely hit us pretty hard this last year on that payload.”
[dated June 9]
« Last Edit: 12/17/2021 08:45 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline Yiosie

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 EMEA - CC SLC-41 - 2022
« Reply #54 on: 12/17/2021 11:18 pm »
Launch delayed to Q4 2022:

Returning airline traffic boosts Viasat and Intelsat financials [dated Aug. 5]

Quote
The company said the first ViaSat-3 satellite, which will cover the Americas, has been delivered to Boeing for final spacecraft integration and testing, ahead of a launch in the first or second quarter of 2022.

A second ViaSat-3, for covering Europe, the Middle East and Africa, is due to launch five to six months later, followed by a third spacecraft for Asia.

Payload issue delays SpaceX’s next Falcon Heavy launch to early 2022 [dated Oct. 4]

Quote
The next commercial Falcon Heavy launch is also scheduled for the second quarter of 2022, carrying a Viasat 3 broadband communications satellite toward geostationary orbit.

5-6 months after Q2 2022 = Q4 2022.

Offline GWR64

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 EMEA - CC SLC-41 - Q4 2022
« Reply #55 on: 03/16/2022 04:01 pm »
problems:
https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/1503745190208712720

Quote
@ViasatInc
 & Israel, rebuffed in Oct., return to @ITU
 to ask for Covid-caused in-service deadline extension for Viasat-3/EMEA, to launch on @ulalaunch
 Atlas 5 in late March 2023.

https://advanced-television.com/2022/03/16/viasat-asks-for-itu-launch-extension/

Quote
Viasat asks for ITU launch extension
...

Offline GWR64

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 EMEA - CC SLC-41 - March 2023
« Reply #56 on: 04/22/2022 01:10 pm »
https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/1517451252640141315

Quote
.@ITU gives @ViasatInc until July 29, 2023, to start service on Viasat-3 EMEA satellite at 13.8E using Israel-registered spectrum. Late-March 2023 launch on @ulalaunch Atlas 5.

tight schedule,
approximately 4 months for the remaining ascent to the geostationary orbit, testing and commissioning  ???
« Last Edit: 04/22/2022 01:12 pm by GWR64 »

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 EMEA - CC SLC-41 - March 2023
« Reply #57 on: 05/27/2022 12:53 pm »
Viasat Shareholder Letter: Q4 and Fiscal Year 2022 Financial Results
https://investors.viasat.com/static-files/066bd869-c157-4b16-85bd-7c626ddd49b7
Quote
The second ViaSat-3 payload (EMEA) is anticipated to complete and ship
to Boeing in Q1 FY2023.

Q1 FY2023 is Q2 CY2022 (the current quarter)





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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 EMEA - CC SLC-41 - March 2023
« Reply #58 on: 06/25/2022 07:34 pm »
Cross-post; launch perhaps later than late March 2023?
hm, SpaceNews article June 22, 2022
original version? in google webcache [June 24]

Quote
Viasat is a global provider of satellite broadband and is looking to sign up military customers for its new Viasat-3 geostationary constellation of three highcapacity satellites. The first ViaSat-3, projected to launch in early 2023, will cover the Americas, to be followed later in the year by a second satellite to service Europe, the Middle East and Africa. A third satellite will cover Asia.
https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:laRwmAjMFQsJ:https://spacenews.com/dod-satcom-big-money-for-military-satellites-slow-shift-to-commercial-services/+&cd=14&hl=de&ct=clnk&gl=de&client=firefox-b-d

current version:
you can see that the section at the date for the second satellite doesn't make sense now, that's why I looked in the cache
Quote
Viasat is a global provider of satellite broadband and is looking to sign up military customers for its new Viasat-3 geostationary constellation of three highcapacity satellites. The first ViaSat-3, projected to launch in late 2022, will cover the Americas, to be followed later in the year by a second satellite to service Europe, the Middle East and Africa. A third satellite will cover Asia.

https://spacenews.com/dod-satcom-big-money-for-military-satellites-slow-shift-to-commercial-services/
« Last Edit: 06/25/2022 07:37 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 EMEA - CC SLC-41 - March 2023
« Reply #59 on: 07/30/2022 01:20 pm »
Viasat Shareholder Letter: Q4 and Fiscal Year 2022 Financial Results
https://investors.viasat.com/static-files/066bd869-c157-4b16-85bd-7c626ddd49b7
Quote
The second ViaSat-3 payload (EMEA) is anticipated to complete and ship
to Boeing in Q1 FY2023.

Q1 FY2023 is Q2 CY2022 (the current quarter)

almost without further delay

Quote
Viasat Completes Major Milestone with Second ViaSat-3 Satellite Payload

Jul 13, 2022, 08:00 ET


Payload Delivered to Boeing to Prepare for Broadband Service to EMEA Region


CARLSBAD, Calif., July 13, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Viasat Inc. (NASDAQ: VSAT), a global leader in satellite communications, announced delivery of the second ViaSat-3 payload module to Boeing's El Segundo, CA facility where it will be integrated with Boeing's 702 spacecraft bus platform and undergo rigorous spacecraft environmental testing in preparation for launch. The second ViaSat-3 class satellite is expected to provide broadband service over Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA) in 2023.


Viasat's satellite payload, designed and built in-house, provides state-of-the-art electronics for receiving, transmitting and processing broadband internet data to and from the satellite at expected rates greater than 1 terabit a second (1,000 gigabits a second), which is three times faster than ViaSat-2, the fastest communications satellite currently operating.

"Delivery of the second ViaSat-3 payload module marks a major milestone where we transition to spacecraft integration and test on the second satellite in our constellation," said Dave Ryan, president, Space & Commercial Networks at Viasat. "This milestone increases our momentum towards delivering the future of affordable, accessible satellite broadband services, virtually anywhere around the globe."

The ViaSat-3 class of Ka-band satellites is expected to provide the best bandwidth economics in the industry with incredible flexibility to move and concentrate that capacity virtually anywhere there is demand - whether it is over land, the ocean or in the air. The first two satellites are planned to focus on the Americas and on EMEA, respectively. The third ViaSat-3 satellite is undergoing final integration and testing and will focus on the Asia Pacific region, completing Viasat's global service coverage.
Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements that are subject to the safe harbors created under the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward looking statements include among others, statements about the performance, capabilities and anticipated benefits of the ViaSat-3 class satellite platform, expected capacity, service, speeds, coverage, flexibility and other features of the ViaSat-3 constellation, and the timing of hardware delivery and service launch. Readers are cautioned that actual results could differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ include: risks associated with the construction, launch and operation of the ViaSat-3 class satellites and Viasat's other satellites, including the effect of any anomaly, operational failure or degradation in satellite performance; the ability to realize the anticipated benefits of the ViaSat-3 satellite platforms; unexpected expenses or delays related to the satellite system; the ability to successfully implement Viasat's business plan for broadband satellite services on Viasat's anticipated timeline or at all, including with respect to the ViaSat-3 satellite platforms; contractual problems, product defects, manufacturing issues or delays; regulatory issues; technologies not being developed according to anticipated schedules, or that do not perform according to expectations; and increased competition and other factors affecting the connectivity sector, generally. In addition, please refer to the risk factors contained in Viasat's SEC filings available at www.sec.gov, including Viasat's most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made. Viasat undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements for any reason.
About Viasat

Viasat is a global communications company that believes everyone and everything in the world can be connected. For more than 36 years, Viasat has helped shape how consumers, businesses, governments and militaries around the world communicate. Today, the Company is developing the ultimate global communications network to power high-quality, secure, affordable, fast connections to impact people's lives anywhere they are—on the ground, in the air or at sea. To learn more about Viasat, visit: www.viasat.com, go to Viasat's Corporate Blog, or follow the Company on social media at: Facebook, Instagram, LinkedIn, Twitter or YouTube.

Copyright © 2022 Viasat, Inc. All rights reserved. Viasat, the Viasat logo and the Viasat signal are registered trademarks of Viasat, Inc. All other product or company names mentioned are used for identification purposes only and may be trademarks of their respective owners.

SOURCE Viasat, Inc.

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/viasat-completes-major-milestone-with-second-viasat-3-satellite-payload-301585512.html
« Last Edit: 07/30/2022 01:25 pm by GWR64 »

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 EMEA - CC SLC-41 - 2023
« Reply #60 on: 08/06/2022 04:54 pm »
https://www.viasat.com/about/newsroom/blog/faq--what-is-viasat-3-/
[August 5]
Quote
When will the ViaSat-3 satellites launch?

For the first ViaSat-3 satellite over The Americas, service launch to support commercial services is anticipated in the first quarter of 2023 (Viasat’s Q4 for fiscal year 2023). The second ViaSat-3 payload (EMEA) shipped to Boeing July 8, 2022. Its service launch is anticipated for 2023. The launch date of the third satellite over APAC is TBD.
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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 EMEA - CC SLC-41 - 2023
« Reply #61 on: 10/05/2022 02:13 am »
According to a Twitter post from last March, launch of the ViaSat-3 is scheduled for March 2023:
https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/1503745190208712720

The ViaSat-3 will be the last commercial geostationary satellite launched by an Atlas V following today's launch of SES-20 & SES-21, and after it is launched, the Kuiper Systems satellites will be the only remaining commercial satellites to be launched from the Atlas V.
« Last Edit: 10/05/2022 02:31 pm by Vahe231991 »

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 EMEA - CC SLC-41 - 2023
« Reply #62 on: 10/05/2022 03:18 am »

The ViaSat-3 will be the last geostationary satellite launched by an Atlas V following today's launch of SES-20 & SES-21,

Not true. We don't know what USSF 51 is.

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 EMEA - CC SLC-41 - 2023
« Reply #63 on: 10/05/2022 02:34 pm »

The ViaSat-3 will be the last geostationary satellite launched by an Atlas V following today's launch of SES-20 & SES-21,

Not true. We don't know what USSF 51 is.
I wanted to clarify that the ViaSat-3 is the last remaining commercial geostationary satellite scheduled for launch aboard an Atlas V, but you're right, most orbital parameters for USSF-51 remain classified for the moment.

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 EMEA - CC SLC-41 - 2023
« Reply #64 on: 11/09/2022 07:32 am »
Launch is now expected during the summer of 2023 per the Q2FY2023 Shareholder Letter

https://investors.viasat.com/static-files/e701f1a2-b4b5-42fb-8cc8-e8affb19a8a1

Quote
The programs for the second and third ViaSat-3 satellites remain on schedule, with the launch of ViaSat-3 (EMEA) expected during the summer of 2023.
Lukas C. H. • May the force be with you my friend, Ad Astra Per Aspera ✨️

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Cross-post:
Said they're planning April 8, after the two NASA ISS missions.  [ViaSat-3 Americas] Reach[es] orbital slot a couple weeks after launch.  Viasat-3 EMEA on ULA in September.
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Belated update:
SFN Launch Schedule update, March 22:
Launch vehicle AV-100
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Belated update:
SFN Launch Schedule update, March 22:
Launch vehicle AV-100

https://twitter.com/Cygnusx112/status/1657379120076955652

AV-100 first stage on the right, confirmed for ViaSat-3 EMEA.
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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2023?
« Reply #68 on: 07/13/2023 05:29 pm »
Cross-posts; I'm sure that this will delay the Viasat-3.2 launch:
https://twitter.com/coastal8049/status/1677884377697763328

Quote
VIASAT 3 [56370, 2023-060A] was launched from the cape by a @SpaceX Falcon Heavy for @ViasatInc on May 1st.  Today, I was updating my Ku beacon library and came across the TT&C signal of what I believe is this object.  However, something seems off.🧵⬇️

Quote
From the previous tweet's video you can see the telemetry signal for the object being tracked fade very deeply in a periodic manner.  This is very unusual for a geostationary satellite that should have 3-axis stabilization to aim it's giant antenna and smaller TT&C antennas. ⬇️

https://twitter.com/coastal8049/status/1677884385536913408

Quote
An astute reader would wonder why I heard the TT&C beacon on Ku-band and not the operational Ka-Band the spacecraft intends (is) using.  They have their TT&C on Ku according to FCC filings.  See page 5-6. ⬇️ https://fcc.report/IBFS/SAT-MOD-20190617-00047/1737836.pdf

Quote
The plot below shows the odd signal level behaviour from suspected VIASAT 3 over this afternoon when compared to a 'normal' GEO satellite beacon from SES 2 beside it.  Notice the suspect VIASAT 3 fades in and out while SES 2 is stable for the ~10 minute period of this plot.⬇️

https://twitter.com/coastal8049/status/1677884390825922560

Quote
Here's a plot of the suspected VIASAT 3 signal over four hours showing wild yet usually periodic variations in the central carrier's signal level.  The period appears to slowly change over time.  It could suggest commissioning activity or an issue with the spacecraft. 👀 🛰️🛑

That's not good.
https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/1679227217425866752
Quote
.@ViasatInc's Viasat-3 Americas satellite launched May 1 suffers major antenna-deployment anomaly. After more than a month of effort, it's still not fixed. Possible $420M insurance claim and a serious blow to Viasat's near-term growth plans.

Viasat Provides Status Update on ViaSat-3 Americas Satellite
12 Jul, 2023, 16:37 ET

CARLSBAD, Calif., July 12, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Viasat, Inc. (NASDAQ: VSAT), a global leader in satellite communications, today disclosed that an unexpected event occurred during reflector deployment that may materially impact the performance of the ViaSat-3 Americas satellite. Viasat and its reflector provider are conducting a rigorous review of the development and deployment of the affected reflector to determine its impact and potential remedial measures.

"We're disappointed by the recent developments," said Mark Dankberg, Chairman and CEO, Viasat. "We're working closely with the reflector's manufacturer to try to resolve the issue. We sincerely appreciate their focused efforts and commitment."

Contingency plans are currently being refined to minimize the economic effect to the company. Potential options include redeploying satellites from Viasat's extensive fleet to optimize global coverage, and/or reallocating a subsequent ViaSat-3 class satellite to provide additional Americas bandwidth. The initial service priority for ViaSat-3 Americas has been to facilitate growth in the company's North American fixed broadband business.

There is no disruption to customers from this event, and no impact to coverage or capacity of the respective Viasat and Inmarsat constellations currently in service. Following the Inmarsat acquisition, Viasat has 12 Ka-band satellites in space, excluding ViaSat-3, with eight additional Ka-band satellites under construction.

The company will share additional information on the status of the ViaSat-3 Americas satellite and any necessary contingency plans during its earnings call which is planned for August 9, 2023.
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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2023?
« Reply #69 on: 07/15/2023 05:10 pm »
https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/1517451252640141315

Quote
.@ITU gives @ViasatInc until July 29, 2023, to start service on Viasat-3 EMEA satellite at 13.8E using Israel-registered spectrum. Late-March 2023 launch on @ulalaunch Atlas 5.
...

It's still effective I believe. How will the ITU react?
« Last Edit: 07/15/2023 05:13 pm by zubenelgenubi »

Offline Rebel44

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2023?
« Reply #70 on: 07/16/2023 12:22 am »
ITU usually grants extensions as long as the request is reasonable - but at some point, if there are too many delays it could be trouble.

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2023?
« Reply #71 on: 07/16/2023 01:45 pm »
ITU usually grants extensions as long as the request is reasonable - but at some point, if there are too many delays it could be trouble.

That was extended last year. Shorter than Viasat wanted at the time. It may be extended again, we'll see.
https://advanced-television.com/2022/04/25/itu-warns-viasat-that-time-is-tight-for-emea-launch/

The satellite is already too late. In addition, there will probably be a delay due to the first satellite's antenna problem. And if Viasat-3 EMEA takes over the duties of Viasat 3 America, another delay.
This is going to be a long letter to the ITU.
« Last Edit: 07/16/2023 01:55 pm by GWR64 »

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2023?
« Reply #72 on: 09/18/2023 04:35 pm »
According to the Next SpaceFlight website, the ViaSat-3.2 EMEA is now scheduled to launch NET January 2024.

= TBD 2024
[zubenelgenubi: edit/add]
« Last Edit: 10/08/2023 06:32 pm by zubenelgenubi »

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2024
« Reply #73 on: 09/19/2023 12:53 pm »
Quote
Viasat: We understand what caused the Viasat 3 Americas antenna defect
September 18, 2023

 Viasat Inc. said it has a “pretty good understanding” of why the 18-meter-diameter mesh antenna reflector on its Viasat-3 Americas satellite did not correctly deploy, and that its manufacturer expects to correct the problem on an identical antenna on the Viasat 3 EMEA satellite to launch in the coming months.

Viasat Chief Executive Mark D. Dankberg said the EMEA satellite is still scheduled to launch before the third and last Viasat-3, covering the Asia-Pacific, which does not carry the same antenna.

[Paywalled from here]
« Last Edit: 09/23/2023 06:45 am by GewoonLukas_ »
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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2024
« Reply #74 on: 10/08/2023 06:35 pm »
More(?) confirmation re: launch delay into 2024 from last ULA/SLC-41 launch of 2023:
Following the launch of the Project Kuiper Protoflight:

Quote
United Launch Alliance Successfully Launches First Mission in Partnership with Amazon
October 6, 2023

[...]

ULA’s next launch is the inaugural Vulcan mission from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida. The next generation Vulcan rocket will offer unprecedented flexibility in a single system with streamlined operations and greater affordability, while continuing to provide unmatched reliability and orbital precision. 
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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2024
« Reply #75 on: 10/08/2023 06:54 pm »
More(?) confirmation re: launch delay into 2024 from last ULA/SLC-41 launch of 2023:
Following the launch of the Project Kuiper Protoflight:

Quote
United Launch Alliance Successfully Launches First Mission in Partnership with Amazon
October 6, 2023

[...]

ULA’s next launch is the inaugural Vulcan mission from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida. The next generation Vulcan rocket will offer unprecedented flexibility in a single system with streamlined operations and greater affordability, while continuing to provide unmatched reliability and orbital precision. 
Yes delayed indefinitely as 3.1 is in the process of getting written off and the 3.4 spare will have to be launched to replace 3.1 via insurance payout with all additional costs beared by the satellite manufacturer and their suppliers.

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2024
« Reply #76 on: 11/15/2023 04:33 pm »
Cross-post:
Viasat Shareholder Letter: Q2 Fiscal Year 2024 Financial Results

Quote
Our satellite manufacturer and antenna supplier have made significant progress in determining the root cause of the ViaSat-3 F1 deployment anomaly. The rest of the spacecraft and payload are performing nominally, or better. Detailed analyses of the antenna status indicate we can obtain sufficient bandwidth, speed and coverage, combined with our existing and planned fleet, and partner space resources, to support our growing global mobility business. Even at less than 10% of its original design capacity, the design of ViaSat-3 F1 allows its available capacity to be allocated flexibly across an expanded coverage area. The anomaly does significantly impact the U.S. residential fixed broadband business, which will remain a smaller portion of current revenue until new capacity can be allocated. Eventually ViaSat-3 F2 or ViaSat-3 F3 will replace ViaSat-3 F1 over the Americas given the opportunities in that market, and the combination of ViaSat-3 F1 with the space assets available in other markets. The ViaSat-3 F3 antennas use a different design from a different supplier. It has a launch contract for the fourth quarter of calendar 2024 (about 1 year away) and is not affected by the anomaly. We expect the ViaSat-3 F1 anomaly investigation will conclude next week and will include recommended corrective actions for ViaSat-3 F2. The details of the corrective actions will drive the launch schedule. We expect to file insurance claims for both ViaSat-3 F1 and Inmarsat-6 F2 before the end of calendar 2023.
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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2024
« Reply #77 on: 12/08/2023 10:02 pm »
Boeing made a FCC permit filing for a satellite payload checkout at the Cape for a ULA flight, maybe it's for this?  Time period of the permit is first half of 2024.
« Last Edit: 12/08/2023 10:03 pm by gongora »

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2024
« Reply #78 on: 12/09/2023 09:31 am »
Boeing made a FCC permit filing for a satellite payload checkout at the Cape for a ULA flight, maybe it's for this?  Time period of the permit is first half of 2024.
According to the NSF US launch thread. The only non DoD, NRO & NASA launches in the first half of 2024 for ULA is Viasat 3.2, Cargo Dreamchaser flight 1 & maybe a Kuiper deployment flight. So it probably is the Viasat 3.2 comsat.

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2024
« Reply #79 on: 12/11/2023 05:39 pm »
Boeing made a FCC permit filing for a satellite payload checkout at the Cape for a ULA flight, maybe it's for this?  Time period of the permit is first half of 2024.
According to the NSF US launch thread. The only non DoD, NRO & NASA launches in the first half of 2024 for ULA is Viasat 3.2, Cargo Dreamchaser flight 1 & maybe a Kuiper deployment flight. So it probably is the Viasat 3.2 comsat.

Definitely fits since the ViaSat-3 family uses the Boeing 702 satellite bus.

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2024
« Reply #80 on: 02/06/2024 08:11 pm »
NET H1 2025 according to the Q3FY2024 Shareholder Letter:

Quote
Viasat Shareholder Letter: Q3 Fiscal Year 2024 Financial Results
February 6th, 2024
[...]

During the quarter our antenna supplier completed its root cause investigation of the ViaSat-3 F1 antenna deployment anomaly. Based on its findings and recommendations, we are implementing several corrective actions on the ViaSat-3 F2 antenna. We expect to complete those actions as well as extensive testing and spacecraft integration by early calendar 2025 with launch expected shortly thereafter. The scheduled launch of ViaSat-3 F3 remains on track for late in the fourth quarter of calendar 2024. The F3 satellite has a different antenna design by a different supplier, and its schedule is not affected by the ViaSat-3 F1 anomaly.

[...]

The antenna supplier concluded its ViaSat-3 F1 reflector anomaly investigation with root causes identified and corrective actions developed for application to the ViaSat-3 F2 satellite. We expect the reflectors with supplier corrective actions implemented will be delivered to Boeing in late calendar 2024 with anticipated spacecraft launch in the first half of calendar 2025.

[...]
« Last Edit: 02/06/2024 08:16 pm by GewoonLukas_ »
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Online Galactic Penguin SST

NET H1 2025 according to the Q3FY2024 Shareholder Letter:

Quote
Viasat Shareholder Letter: Q3 Fiscal Year 2024 Financial Results
February 6th, 2024
[...]

During the quarter our antenna supplier completed its root cause investigation of the ViaSat-3 F1 antenna deployment anomaly. Based on its findings and recommendations, we are implementing several corrective actions on the ViaSat-3 F2 antenna. We expect to complete those actions as well as extensive testing and spacecraft integration by early calendar 2025 with launch expected shortly thereafter. The scheduled launch of ViaSat-3 F3 remains on track for late in the fourth quarter of calendar 2024. The F3 satellite has a different antenna design by a different supplier, and its schedule is not affected by the ViaSat-3 F1 anomaly.

[...]

The antenna supplier concluded its ViaSat-3 F1 reflector anomaly investigation with root causes identified and corrective actions developed for application to the ViaSat-3 F2 satellite. We expect the reflectors with supplier corrective actions implemented will be delivered to Boeing in late calendar 2024 with anticipated spacecraft launch in the first half of calendar 2025.

[...]

I wonder if they will swap this with the F3 satellite (originally planned as ViaSat-3 APAC) instead, since the later remains planned for launch in Q4 2024 - now before F2 is ready - and is currently without a ride after Arianespace’s Ariane 6 contract was dismissed. I expected the new launch contract to be announced here (very likely SpaceX) but that didn’t happen.
« Last Edit: 02/06/2024 10:59 pm by Galactic Penguin SST »
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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2024
« Reply #82 on: 02/07/2024 01:28 am »
I wonder if they will swap this with the F3 satellite (originally planned as ViaSat-3 APAC) instead, since the later remains planned for launch in Q4 2024 - now before F2 is ready - and is currently without a ride after Arianespace’s Ariane 6 contract was dismissed. I expected the new launch contract to be announced here (very likely SpaceX) but that didn’t happen.

ViaSat-3.3; the assumption is that Falcon Heavy is/will be the launch vehicle.
Previous references:
Didn't Viasat cancel their Ariane 6 contract?
edit: https://spaceflightnow.com/2023/04/30/viasat-seeks-replacement-for-ariane-6-for-launch-of-third-viasat-3-satellite/
Quote
Blue Origin’s New Glenn rocket is not expected to be available for a commercial mission in time for when Viasat says the third ViaSat 3 satellite is scheduled for launch in late 2024.

That leaves SpaceX’s Falcon Heavy and ULA’s Vulcan rocket as the most likely contenders for the contract to launch the ViaSat 3 satellite for the Asia-Pacific region.

Scheduled:
Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)

2024
TBD - ViaSat 3.3 (ViaSat 3 APAC) - Falcon Heavy - Kennedy LC-39A

Changes on July 28th

https://spacenews.com/viasat-not-ready-to-declare-viasat-3-americas-a-total-loss/
[Aug 9]
Quote
The second ViaSat-3 satellite was slated to launch on an Atlas 5 rocket from United Launch Alliance this fall to cover Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (EMEA). The third and final ViaSat-3 satellite targeting Asia Pacific (APAC) is due to launch half a year later.

ViaSat-3 EMEA uses the same antenna as ViaSat-3 Americas, and Dankberg said changes to its launch schedule also depend on the corrective actions it takes.

“It was pretty close to being able to launch when we had this antenna anomaly, he added.

ViaSat-3 APAC uses a different antenna so its launch is unaffected.

https://fagenwasanni.com/news/viasat-faces-short-term-challenges-due-to-deployment-issues-with-viasat-3-satellite/180117/
Quote
Satellite operator Viasat has encountered unexpected business challenges as a result of problems with the deployment of its ViaSat-3 Americas satellite. During the launch earlier this year, an issue with the giant reflector for the antenna occurred, which could impact the satellite’s performance. Analysts estimate that the total costs, including construction and launch expenses, amounted to $700 million. The satellite was intended to play a crucial role in providing faster broadband coverage across a wider area.
...
Flight 2, which was scheduled for launch in September, has been postponed, and a rescheduled launch date will be announced next quarter. Viasat is currently investigating the root cause of the reflector anomaly with the antenna manufacturer and satellite supplier. Dankberg mentioned that Flight 3, which has a different design from a different manufacturer, is expected to be unaffected by the Flight 1 anomaly.

https://www.theregister.com/2023/08/10/viasat_reports_revenue_up_but/
Quote
Flight 1 refers to the ViaSat-3 Americas satellite, launched to provide coverage in the Americas, which should mean that Flight 2 is the ViaSat-3 EMEA unit and Flight 3 would be the remaining ViaSat-3 unit intended to cover the Asia-Pacific region.

The Flight 2 satellite was understood to be scheduled for launch in September, but this has now been postponed, and the company said it will have more information on a rescheduled launch next quarter.

Dankberg revealed that Flight 2 uses the same antenna "from a major aerospace supplier" as the first satellite, but that "Flight 3 uses a completely different design from a different manufacturer," and that satellite is expected to be unaffected by the Flight 1 anomaly.
...
Viasat is currently working with the antenna manufacturer and its satellite supplier to determine the root cause of the reflector anomaly and appropriate corrective actions for Flight 2, Dankberg said. The company expects to have more to report on the fault in the next three months.
...
When asked whether Viasat might procure a "Flight 4" satellite to cover the region intended to be served by Flight 1, Dankberg said it does have plans which cover that eventuality, but added "what we'll do for a replacement satellite depends a lot on what the performance of this one is."

Scheduled:Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)

2024
NET Midyear - ViaSat 3.3 (ViaSat 3 APAC) - Falcon Heavy - Kennedy LC-39A

Changes on August 11th



Edit/add; apparently:
ViaSat-3.3 (APAC) will launch on Falcon Heavy in (CY) late Q4 2024.  However, the launch vehicle/launch contract has not yet been confirmed.

That lack of confirmation is also why there is not yet a forum launch thread for 3.3.

ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) will launch on Atlas V 551 in (CY) H1 2025.
« Last Edit: 02/07/2024 03:33 am by zubenelgenubi »
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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - 2024
« Reply #83 on: 02/07/2024 01:47 am »
NET H1 2025 according to the Q3FY2024 Shareholder Letter:

Quote
Viasat Shareholder Letter: Q3 Fiscal Year 2024 Financial Results
February 6th, 2024
[...]

During the quarter our antenna supplier completed its root cause investigation of the ViaSat-3 F1 antenna deployment anomaly. Based on its findings and recommendations, we are implementing several corrective actions on the ViaSat-3 F2 antenna. We expect to complete those actions as well as extensive testing and spacecraft integration by early calendar 2025 with launch expected shortly thereafter. The scheduled launch of ViaSat-3 F3 remains on track for late in the fourth quarter of calendar 2024. The F3 satellite has a different antenna design by a different supplier, and its schedule is not affected by the ViaSat-3 F1 anomaly.

[...]

The antenna supplier concluded its ViaSat-3 F1 reflector anomaly investigation with root causes identified and corrective actions developed for application to the ViaSat-3 F2 satellite. We expect the reflectors with supplier corrective actions implemented will be delivered to Boeing in late calendar 2024 with anticipated spacecraft launch in the first half of calendar 2025.

[...]
OK, I'm confused. There are two satellites here: ViaSat-3 F2 and ViaSat-3 F3. There were originally three. F1 launched and then failed to fully deploy its antenna.  The satellites were originally supposed to launch on Arianne 6, Atlas V, and Falcon Heavy, in that order, but ViaSat cancelled the Arianne 6 contract and launched F1 on a Falcon Heavy. So, which of F2  or F3 is now supposed to launch on Atlas V, what LV will be used for the other one?  The shareholder letter says F3 will launch in calendar Q4 2024, and F2 will launch in calendar 2025.

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - H1 2025
« Reply #84 on: 02/07/2024 02:05 am »
NET H1 2025 according to the Q3FY2024 Shareholder Letter:

Quote
Viasat Shareholder Letter: Q3 Fiscal Year 2024 Financial Results
February 6th, 2024
[...]

During the quarter our antenna supplier completed its root cause investigation of the ViaSat-3 F1 antenna deployment anomaly. Based on its findings and recommendations, we are implementing several corrective actions on the ViaSat-3 F2 antenna. We expect to complete those actions as well as extensive testing and spacecraft integration by early calendar 2025 with launch expected shortly thereafter. The scheduled launch of ViaSat-3 F3 remains on track for late in the fourth quarter of calendar 2024. The F3 satellite has a different antenna design by a different supplier, and its schedule is not affected by the ViaSat-3 F1 anomaly.

[...]

The antenna supplier concluded its ViaSat-3 F1 reflector anomaly investigation with root causes identified and corrective actions developed for application to the ViaSat-3 F2 satellite. We expect the reflectors with supplier corrective actions implemented will be delivered to Boeing in late calendar 2024 with anticipated spacecraft launch in the first half of calendar 2025.
[...]
OK, I'm confused. There are two satellites here: ViaSat-3 F2 and ViaSat-3 F3. There were originally three. F1 launched and then failed to fully deploy its antenna.  The satellites were originally supposed to launch on Ariane 6, Atlas V, and Falcon Heavy, in that order, but ViaSat cancelled the Ariane 6 contract and launched F1 on a Falcon Heavy. So, which of F2 or F3 is now supposed to launch on Atlas V, what LV will be used for the other one?  The shareholder letter says F3 will launch in calendar Q4 2024, and F2 will launch in calendar 2025.

F2/EMEA is launching on an Atlas V, F3's LV is still unknown.

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - H1 2025
« Reply #85 on: 02/07/2024 05:50 am »
NET H1 2025 according to the Q3FY2024 Shareholder Letter:

Quote
Viasat Shareholder Letter: Q3 Fiscal Year 2024 Financial Results
February 6th, 2024
[...]

During the quarter our antenna supplier completed its root cause investigation of the ViaSat-3 F1 antenna deployment anomaly. Based on its findings and recommendations, we are implementing several corrective actions on the ViaSat-3 F2 antenna. We expect to complete those actions as well as extensive testing and spacecraft integration by early calendar 2025 with launch expected shortly thereafter. The scheduled launch of ViaSat-3 F3 remains on track for late in the fourth quarter of calendar 2024. The F3 satellite has a different antenna design by a different supplier, and its schedule is not affected by the ViaSat-3 F1 anomaly.

[...]

The antenna supplier concluded its ViaSat-3 F1 reflector anomaly investigation with root causes identified and corrective actions developed for application to the ViaSat-3 F2 satellite. We expect the reflectors with supplier corrective actions implemented will be delivered to Boeing in late calendar 2024 with anticipated spacecraft launch in the first half of calendar 2025.
[...]
OK, I'm confused. There are two satellites here: ViaSat-3 F2 and ViaSat-3 F3. There were originally three. F1 launched and then failed to fully deploy its antenna.  The satellites were originally supposed to launch on Ariane 6, Atlas V, and Falcon Heavy, in that order, but ViaSat cancelled the Ariane 6 contract and launched F1 on a Falcon Heavy. So, which of F2 or F3 is now supposed to launch on Atlas V, what LV will be used for the other one?  The shareholder letter says F3 will launch in calendar Q4 2024, and F2 will launch in calendar 2025.

F2/EMEA is launching on an Atlas V, F3's LV is still unknown.
There are contract option for additional SpaceX flights of which an MoU to keep the options was exercised following the first launch. There is also a ViaSat-3.4 which was relegated to ground spare status when it's previous project partner backed out of the joint venture for the series.

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 (EMEA) - CC SLC-41 - H1 2025
« Reply #86 on: 06/02/2024 12:06 pm »
The Viasat 3F3 has now overtaken Viasat 3F2.
The dates given are the start of service. A launch date cannot be determined from this.
After the launch with an Atlas V 551, Viasat 3F2 will need a few months to reach GEO.
[Viasat 5/21/2024]
« Last Edit: 06/02/2024 06:20 pm by GWR64 »

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3.2 - CC SLC-41 - H1 2025
« Reply #87 on: 08/07/2024 11:20 pm »
This satellite will go over Americas or Asia Pacific region..

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 - CC SLC-41 - NET late 2024
« Reply #88 on: 08/18/2024 03:22 am »
The next Viasat 3 bird to launch, which is Viasat 3 F3, is expected to serve Asia/Pacific and launch late this year.

https://runwaygirlnetwork.com/2024/08/delta-now-eyeing-mid-late-2025-for-free-wi-fi-on-transpacific-routes/

Also, see article quote here.
« Last Edit: 08/18/2024 04:22 am by zubenelgenubi »

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So, when will Viasat ship F3 to Florida?
ViaSat-3 F1 Satellite Enters Commercial Service
New Viasat Capacity to Enhance Passenger Wi-Fi Services for Airlines Operating Over North America, Including Routes to Hawaii
August 05, 2024
Quote
<snip>
[Craig Miller, President, Global Space Networks, Viasat, Inc]: “A further two ViaSat-3 satellites are currently in the late stages of production and testing, including the successful completion of thermal vacuum testing on ViaSat-3 F3 recently and the successful completion of mechanical environmental testing on ViaSat-3 F2.”
« Last Edit: 10/05/2024 01:58 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Tory confirmed there are no more Atlas V launching this year, so ViaSat-3 F3 is not launching on Atlas V in Q4.

ViaSat-3 F2's launch is planned for the 1st half of 2025 as mentioned earlier in the thread.

Quote
Are there any more Atlas launches planned for this year? Or will it only be USSF-106 and USSF-87?
Quote
No more Atlas V launch for this year. As project Kuiper Mission 2 delayed to Q1 2025 as told by NSF's 
@dpoddolphinpro
Quote
Correct

https://twitter.com/GewoonLukas_/status/1844315671750152504

https://twitter.com/torybruno/status/1844403575927210045
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We currently do not have a launch thread for the third ViaSat-3 satellite launch.

Seeking confirmation or correction:

ViaSat-3 F3 is currently scheduled to launch in H1 2025 and will serve APAC (east Asia and the Pacific).

ViaSat-3 F2 will launch later in 2025 and serve EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and west Asia). No launcher has been confirmed.  We have mentions on the forum of launch by Falcon Heavy and Ariane 64.

Will Viasat launch F4 (the ground spare/test article)?

Edited
« Last Edit: 10/22/2024 10:36 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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There isn't an F4.  F1 will move over Europe.

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Cross-post:
They're still not saying launch vehicles or launch dates.  Notes from today's earnings telecon:
In-service dates: F2 late 2025, F3 mid-late 2025
F2 over Americas, F3 over Asia-Pacific
F2 has longer orbit raising time than F3
« Last Edit: 11/08/2024 09:24 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline GewoonLukas_

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Scheduled to ship to Cape Canaveral for launch this summer:

Quote
Q3 FY25 Shareholder Letter


[...]

We continue to expect VS-3 F2 to be completed and shipped to Cape Canaveral this summer and to enter commercial service late CY2025.

[...]

I don't know why the thread title says ViaSat-3 F3, but ULA will launch ViaSat-3 F2.
« Last Edit: 02/06/2025 10:03 pm by GewoonLukas_ »
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I don't know why the thread title says ViaSat-3 F3, but ULA will launch ViaSat-3 F2.

Where did you get that information?

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I don't know why the thread title says ViaSat-3 F3, but ULA will launch ViaSat-3 F2.

Where did you get that information?

I could only find that reference here:  https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/913

F3 launches before F2 I guess.
« Last Edit: 02/06/2025 11:37 pm by catdlr »
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Offline StraumliBlight

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This quote could be interpreted as launching on a reusable Falcon 9.

Quote
The VS-3 F3 manufacturing and test schedule outlook is unchanged from last quarter, but given our significantly increased coverage and capacity resources, we have chosen a less capital intensive launch configuration that has slightly extended the orbit raising time, which is expected to shift the commercial in-service date for VS-3 F3 into CY2026.

Offline abaddon

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This quote could be interpreted as launching on a reusable Falcon 9.

Quote
The VS-3 F3 manufacturing and test schedule outlook is unchanged from last quarter, but given our significantly increased coverage and capacity resources, we have chosen a less capital intensive launch configuration that has slightly extended the orbit raising time, which is expected to shift the commercial in-service date for VS-3 F3 into CY2026.
Or a configuration with fewer SRBs.
« Last Edit: 02/07/2025 12:38 pm by abaddon »

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I don't know why the thread title says ViaSat-3 F3, but ULA will launch ViaSat-3 F2.

Where did you get that information?

ViaSat-3 F2 was awarded to ULA (see multiple posts upthread), and as far as I know, there have been no statements made by Viasat that would confirm or imply that they have switched.
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Something from Boeing with TT&C frequencies that match Viasat 3 will undergo testing in Florida at Astrotech and "ULA Atlas Launch Pad SLC 41" NET July

Offline GewoonLukas_

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From Viasat's Q3FY2025 earnings result: ViaSat-3 F2 is targeting Late-Summer for launch: https://investors.viasat.com/static-files/d7afaa12-4d26-4b09-a1cc-9d7f0fa45a97
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Offline GewoonLukas_

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From the Q4FY2025 Shareholder Letter from today: https://investors.viasat.com/static-files/c89c3424-4ad3-4fe2-b064-72fa222990c9

Quote
[...]

One of our very highest priorities is getting VS-3 F2 and F3 into service, and we have been updating status on our satellite roadmap. For VS-3 F2 the critical path includes corrective actions and testing the reflectors and integrating with the spacecraft. We are still planning to ship VS-3 F2 to the launch site this summer. We have adjusted the in-service date roadmap to better reflect various potential schedule uncertainties post-shipment. The VS-3 F3 schedule critical path goes through antenna subsystem integration – which uses a different manufacturer and design not requiring corrective actions. We are monitoring the launch manifest and range priorities. As previously shared, VS-3 F2 will be launched via ULA. As we achieve satellite integration and test milestones on the spacecraft, we reduce the magnitude of the “bring into service” schedule risk, but of course, that does not eliminate schedule risks extrinsic to our own spacecraft or launch campaign that could, as in the past, affect schedules by weeks or more.

[...]
« Last Edit: 05/20/2025 08:15 pm by GewoonLukas_ »
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Offline StraumliBlight

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Assuming this is ViaSat-3 F2, as it mentions the 702MP+ satellite bus.

1286-EX-ST-2025 [Jun 27]

Quote
Purpose: Short duration satellite Telemetry RF Functional Check at the launch site facility and in the fairing.

Astrotech Process Facility: Titusville, FL 32780
Coordinates: 28-31-32.8 N, 80-49-7.3 W

ULA Atlas Launch Pad SLC 41: Titusville, FL 32780
Coordinates: 28-35-0.7 N, 80-34-58.7 W

Operation Start Date: 07/18/2025
Operation End Date: 01/18/2026

There's also this Viasat STA (SES-STA-20250513-00681). [Jun 27]

Unfortunately the new ICFS is password protected for FCC authorised users only, so the Narrative is inaccessable.
« Last Edit: 06/27/2025 08:55 pm by StraumliBlight »

Does this imply that we will see another Atlas launch before Vulcan? Last ULA statement seemed to indicate Vulcan.

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Does this imply that we will see another Atlas launch before Vulcan? Last ULA statement seemed to indicate Vulcan.
No. Testing starts before the launch campaign, completes on orbit and is a six month testing window that can be renewed via modifications to the FCC. It is expected NET September (equals late summer)
« Last Edit: 06/28/2025 03:40 pm by russianhalo117 »

Offline tottaway22

Assuming this is ViaSat-3 F2, as it mentions the 702MP+ satellite bus.

1286-EX-ST-2025 [Jun 27]

Quote
Purpose: Short duration satellite Telemetry RF Functional Check at the launch site facility and in the fairing.

Astrotech Process Facility: Titusville, FL 32780
Coordinates: 28-31-32.8 N, 80-49-7.3 W

ULA Atlas Launch Pad SLC 41: Titusville, FL 32780
Coordinates: 28-35-0.7 N, 80-34-58.7 W

Operation Start Date: 07/18/2025
Operation End Date: 01/18/2026

There's also this Viasat STA (SES-STA-20250513-00681). [Jun 27]

Unfortunately the new ICFS is password protected for FCC authorised users only, so the Narrative is inaccessable.

I posted this in the launch manifest page, but figured here would be good too. ULA filed an STA for a Atlas V launch a couple months back and interestingly it states 2 satellites. Will they add the F3 to this launch?

ULA filed an STA for a Atlas V Launch on 4/15/2025 approved on 5/1/2025 for Atlas V Launches. It lists start of launch as 6/11/2025 in the Narrative and interestingly says it is for 2 satellites at 500km & 30deg.

"The Atlas V vehicle will be launched on an easterly trajectory from Eastern Range (ER) Launch
Complex 41 (SLC-41). A single Centaur main engine burn with a Guidance Commanded
Shutdown (GCS) will place the two spacecraft into a Low Earth Orbit (500 km circular at 30.0
deg inclination). Spacecraft separation will occur at approximately 18 minutes after
liftoff."

The only Atlas V booked outside of Kuiper is for ViaSat-3 EMA (I think same as ViaSat-3 F2?) which is a single, or is ViaSat adding a 2nd satellite to the launch like the ViaSat-3 F3 which was slated for early 2026?

https://apps.fcc.gov/els/GetAtt.html?id=373575&x=.

Offline Skyrocket

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Assuming this is ViaSat-3 F2, as it mentions the 702MP+ satellite bus.

1286-EX-ST-2025 [Jun 27]

Quote
Purpose: Short duration satellite Telemetry RF Functional Check at the launch site facility and in the fairing.

Astrotech Process Facility: Titusville, FL 32780
Coordinates: 28-31-32.8 N, 80-49-7.3 W

ULA Atlas Launch Pad SLC 41: Titusville, FL 32780
Coordinates: 28-35-0.7 N, 80-34-58.7 W

Operation Start Date: 07/18/2025
Operation End Date: 01/18/2026

There's also this Viasat STA (SES-STA-20250513-00681). [Jun 27]

Unfortunately the new ICFS is password protected for FCC authorised users only, so the Narrative is inaccessable.

I posted this in the launch manifest page, but figured here would be good too. ULA filed an STA for a Atlas V launch a couple months back and interestingly it states 2 satellites. Will they add the F3 to this launch?

ULA filed an STA for a Atlas V Launch on 4/15/2025 approved on 5/1/2025 for Atlas V Launches. It lists start of launch as 6/11/2025 in the Narrative and interestingly says it is for 2 satellites at 500km & 30deg.

"The Atlas V vehicle will be launched on an easterly trajectory from Eastern Range (ER) Launch
Complex 41 (SLC-41). A single Centaur main engine burn with a Guidance Commanded
Shutdown (GCS) will place the two spacecraft into a Low Earth Orbit (500 km circular at 30.0
deg inclination). Spacecraft separation will occur at approximately 18 minutes after
liftoff."

The only Atlas V booked outside of Kuiper is for ViaSat-3 EMA (I think same as ViaSat-3 F2?) which is a single, or is ViaSat adding a 2nd satellite to the launch like the ViaSat-3 F3 which was slated for early 2026?

https://apps.fcc.gov/els/GetAtt.html?id=373575&x=.

I guess, they accidentally copied the text from the Kuiper pathfinder launch.
The ViaSat-3 satellites won't go to LEO and they are far too large to be launched two at a time.

Offline GewoonLukas_

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Quote
Q1 FY2026 Shareholder Letter

[...]

For VS-3 F2 we completed implementation and testing of the corrective actions for the deployable reflectors and have begun the process of final flight installations and closeouts.  We have also completed ground operations and defined launch campaign schedules and launch day operational plans with our launch partner.  We expect to ship VS-3 F2 to the launch site by the end of next month (September 2025).

[...]

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Offline Steven Pietrobon

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Q1 FY2026 Shareholder Letter

For VS-3 F2 we completed implementation and testing of the corrective actions for the deployable reflectors and have begun the process of final flight installations and closeouts.  We have also completed ground operations and defined launch campaign schedules and launch day operational plans with our launch partner.  We expect to ship VS-3 F2 to the launch site by the end of next month (September 2025).

Seem like late Summer (August) is out. Launch could be NET September.
« Last Edit: 08/06/2025 05:56 am by Steven Pietrobon »
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Online AmigaClone

Q1 FY2026 Shareholder Letter

For VS-3 F2 we completed implementation and testing of the corrective actions for the deployable reflectors and have begun the process of final flight installations and closeouts.  We have also completed ground operations and defined launch campaign schedules and launch day operational plans with our launch partner.  We expect to ship VS-3 F2 to the launch site by the end of next month (September 2025).

Seem like late Summer (August) is out. Launch could be NET September.

I'm used to using two definitions of when seasons begin, with the astronomical seasons starting or ending at the equinoxes or solstices. The meteorological seasons start and end approximately three weeks ahead the corresponding dates.

Even using the astronomical definition, it appears that the end of the 2025 northern hemisphere summer is not possible for this launch.

Offline GewoonLukas_

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 F2 - CCSFS SLC-41 - NET Q4 2025
« Reply #111 on: 09/04/2025 12:06 pm »
Launch has officially been scheduled for the second half of October. I suspect this will be the next launch after KA-03:

Quote
Viasat Announces ViaSat-3 F2 Scheduled to Launch in October, Expected to More Than Double Viasat’s Bandwidth Capacity
Sep 4, 2025

Viasat, Inc. (NASDAQ: VSAT), a global leader in satellite communications, today announced that the ViaSat-3 Flight 2 (F2) satellite is scheduled to launch aboard a United Launch Alliance (ULA) Atlas V551 from Space Launch Complex 41 (SLC-41) at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida in the second half of October 2025.

[...]

The precise ViaSat-3 F2 launch date and time will be provided closer to launch in conjunction with ULA.
« Last Edit: 09/04/2025 12:08 pm by GewoonLukas_ »
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Offline Abdullah Hussain

Launch has officially been scheduled for the second half of October. I suspect this will be the next launch after KA-03:

Quote
Viasat Announces ViaSat-3 F2 Scheduled to Launch in October, Expected to More Than Double Viasat’s Bandwidth Capacity
Sep 4, 2025

Viasat, Inc. (NASDAQ: VSAT), a global leader in satellite communications, today announced that the ViaSat-3 Flight 2 (F2) satellite is scheduled to launch aboard a United Launch Alliance (ULA) Atlas V551 from Space Launch Complex 41 (SLC-41) at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida in the second half of October 2025.

[...]

The precise ViaSat-3 F2 launch date and time will be provided closer to launch in conjunction with ULA.

Yeah, Next ULA launch but then what happened to USSF-87. I think the new planning would be after KA-03
ViaSat-3 EMEA - Mid October
USSF-87 - Mid November
GPS-III 09 - December
KV-01 & KA-04 possibly between November and December.

Online DanClemmensen

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Re: ULA Atlas V 551 - ViaSat-3 F2 - CCSFS SLC-41 - NET Q4 2025
« Reply #113 on: 09/04/2025 04:03 pm »
Launch has officially been scheduled for the second half of October. I suspect this will be the next launch after KA-03:

Quote
Viasat Announces ViaSat-3 F2 Scheduled to Launch in October, Expected to More Than Double Viasat’s Bandwidth Capacity
Sep 4, 2025

Viasat, Inc. (NASDAQ: VSAT), a global leader in satellite communications, today announced that the ViaSat-3 Flight 2 (F2) satellite is scheduled to launch aboard a United Launch Alliance (ULA) Atlas V551 from Space Launch Complex 41 (SLC-41) at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida in the second half of October 2025.

[...]

The precise ViaSat-3 F2 launch date and time will be provided closer to launch in conjunction with ULA.

Yeah, Next ULA launch but then what happened to USSF-87. I think the new planning would be after KA-03
ViaSat-3 EMEA - Mid October
USSF-87 - Mid November
GPS-III 09 - December
KV-01 & KA-04 possibly between November and December.
I have no idea how much time VIF reconfiguration takes. If it takes significant time to reconfigure VIF-G back and forth between Atlas and Vulcan, then if may make sense to launch KA-04 either immediately before or immediately after ViaSat-3.

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Quote
Lukas C. H.@GewoonLukas_
·

Viasat has announced that the Atlas V 551 launch of their ViaSat-3 F2 satellite is scheduled for the 2nd half of next month! It was originally supposed to launch a few months after ViaSat-3 Americas in 2023, but the F1 antenna anomaly delayed it due to additional checks and work.

https://x.com/GewoonLukas_/status/1963627816437604812
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Quote
Viasat@viasat
🛰️🚀 ViaSat-3 F2 is scheduled to launch in the second half of October aboard @ulalaunch
's Atlas V551 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, and is anticipated to provide more bandwidth capacity than the entire existing fleet when it comes into service:

ARTICLE:  https://vsat.co/4mH64eZ

https://twitter.com/viasat/status/1963584112255521234
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If they pull off launching in late October, that would be the fastest turnaround yet for ULA this year. I am curious to see if they can.

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If they pull off launching in late October, that would be the fastest turnaround yet for ULA this year. I am curious to see if they can.

Is there any word on when the new VIF will be ready? It’s got to be close at this point.

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If they pull off launching in late October, that would be the fastest turnaround yet for ULA this year. I am curious to see if they can.

Is there any word on when the new VIF will be ready? It’s got to be close at this point.

Tory Bruno being his usually vague self, the wording of which leads me to suspect that it will be later than previously planned, i.e. December.

Offline ddspaceman

Lukas C. H.
@GewoonLukas_
After the successful launch of KA-03 yesterday, ULA confirmed that their next launch will be the ViaSat-3 F2 mission on another Atlas V 551.

ULA's next Project Kuiper launch is expected to be the KV-01 mission on Vulcan, which is set to launch before the end of the year.

https://twitter.com/GewoonLukas_/status/1971553883823771907

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https://www.ulalaunch.com/missions/next-launch/atlas-v-viasat-3-f2

Quote
Mission Overview
An Atlas V 551 rocket, configured with five side-mounted solid rocket boosters and a standard-length payload fairing, will utilize several launch optimization features to place the ViaSat-3 Flight 2 spacecraft into a geosynchronous transfer orbit. The craft is one of the heaviest single-satellite payloads. Liftoff will occur from Space Launch Complex-41 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida.

Satellite mass is 6 tons.





https://twitter.com/viasat/status/1974126181453623296

https://twitter.com/viasat/status/1978181243356283339
« Last Edit: 10/18/2025 07:33 pm by StraumliBlight »

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So 400 kilograms less than ViaSat 3 Americas (ViaSat 3.1)?

I thought since all three ViaSat-3 satellites are nearly identical, they would all weigh the same (6.4 metric tons).
SECO confirmed. Nominal orbit insertion.

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So 400 kilograms less than ViaSat 3 Americas (ViaSat 3.1)?

I thought since all three ViaSat-3 satellites are nearly identical, they would all weigh the same (6.4 metric tons).

Didn't the previous one, launched on an FH, become inoperable because the larger antenna didn't fold out? Maybe they fixed that, and now it weighs less. The only other option is less maneuvering fuel.
« Last Edit: 09/28/2025 03:28 pm by catdlr »
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So 400 kilograms less than ViaSat 3 Americas (ViaSat 3.1)?

I thought since all three ViaSat-3 satellites are nearly identical, they would all weigh the same (6.4 metric tons).

Didn't the previous one, launched on an FH, become inoperable because the larger antenna didn't fold out? Maybe they fixed that, and now it weighs more. The only other option is more fuel for a longer lifespan.
The heavier one launched on a FH. I suspect this one launched with less fuel, at the maximum mass that the Atlas 551 can handle for this mission. Let's face it: long life for a GEO Commsat is no longer a good investment.

Offline GewoonLukas_

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Quote
ViaSat-3 Flight 2 arrives at Cape Canaveral ahead of launch
09-30-2025
Viasat’s state-of-the-art VS-3 satellite journeys to launch site aboard an Antonov cargo aircraft.

Viasat’s ultra-high-capacity ViaSat-3 Flight 2 (VS-3 F2) satellite has completed its cross-country flight from Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) to Kennedy Space Center, Florida.

The smooth delivery of our cutting-edge satellite to its launch destination brings us one step closer to delivering major benefits to our global commercial, consumer, and defense customers. 

VS-3 F2 was delivered to LAX by Boeing from its El Segundo, CA, facility, before being transported in one of the world’s largest cargo airplanes, an Antonov AN-124, touching down in Florida in the early hours of September 30, 2025.

The Antonov shipment
The satellite was safely and securely shipped in a specialized container that carefully controls environmental factors such as temperature and air cleanliness as required to protect the highly complex technology throughout the flight. 

With precision down to the millimeter, loading the container onto an AN-124 cargo bay is an exceptionally intricate procedure that takes around four to six hours.

Now that VS-3 F2 has arrived at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, the Boeing and Viasat teams, together with launch partner United Launch Alliance (ULA), are readying the spacecraft for launch in late October 2025, aboard a powerful ULA Atlas V 551 rocket. 

[...]

Launch preparations
VS-3 F2 will now undergo comprehensive testing to verify all systems are go for launch following transport.

After this, the satellite will be secured to the Atlas V launch vehicle adapter, enclosed within the payload fairing, which protects it during the three minutes of atmospheric flight, and then mated (attached) to the rocket. 

The Atlas V rocket, which stands 196 feet (59.7 meters) tall and will weigh 1.3 million pounds (587,000 kg) when fully fueled at liftoff, will be rolled out to Space Launch Complex 41 (SLC-41) at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station the day before launch.

From there, it will be put through final preparations ahead of launching VS-3 F2 into a geostationary transfer orbit, from which the satellite will propel itself over the coming few months into geostationary orbit approximately 22,000 miles (36,000 km) above the Earth’s equator. 



Quote
Boeing Delivers Second ViaSat‑3 Satellite to Viasat
Sept. 30, 2025

- Boeing 702MP+ platform coupled with a Viasat payload designed to add more than 1Tbps capacity to satellite operator’s global network
- Spacecraft features electric propulsion, structural enhancements, as well as high‑power generation and storage to support sustained high‑throughput operations

Boeing [NYSE: BA] has delivered ViaSat‑3 F2, the second spacecraft in Viasat’s next‑generation, ultra‑high‑capacity constellation. The Boeing 702MP+ platform, optimized for high power and all‑electric propulsion, was integrated with Viasat’s payload at Boeing’s satellite factory in California and is proceeding toward launch in the second half of October aboard a United Launch Alliance Atlas rocket.

“Our goal is to enable missions with reliability and timely delivery,” said Michelle Parker, vice president, Boeing Space Mission Systems. “With ViaSat‑3 F2, we leveraged proven 702 heritage, advanced power systems and all‑electric propulsion to enable high-speed connectivity for users who rely on it.”

As the second of three ViaSat-3 satellites, F2 marks another step toward Viasat’s flexible global network designed to connect users on land, at sea and in the air. ViaSat-3 features a highly flexible payload designed by Viasat to add 1Tbps capacity to the operator’s global network.

“ViaSat‑3 F2 is the next important step in our roadmap to meet the increasing demand for resilient, global satellite communications from commercial mobility and defense customers,” said David Abrahamian, vice president, Space Systems, Viasat. “Completion and delivery of the satellite to the launch site is a big milestone in our partnership with Boeing and is the direct result of years of collaboration between the Boeing and Viasat teams.”

The Boeing‑built 702MP+ features efficient all‑electric propulsion, structural enhancements to host Viasat’s advanced payload, and high‑power generation and storage to support sustained high‑throughput operations.

The satellite incorporates advanced solar array technology from Boeing subsidiary Spectrolab and benefits from Boeing’s decades of geostationary mission success, including more than 60 702-class spacecraft built for commercial and government customers.

Boeing and Viasat teams will support launch operations in Florida as part of the companies’ long‑standing collaboration across satellite programs.
« Last Edit: 09/30/2025 02:43 pm by GewoonLukas_ »
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Timelapse of the above post

Quote
Viasat@viasat
·

High capacity. Highly flexible. One step closer to launch! 🛰️🚀

ViaSat-3 F2 has completed its flight from @flyLAXairport to @NASAKennedy on board an Antonov! Discover what’s next as we prepare for launch late Oct 2025 with  @ULALaunch. https://vsat.co/46EjGlP
#VS3F2 #AtlasV


https://twitter.com/viasat/status/1973033877351375024
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Quote
Boeing Space@BoeingSpace
·
We delivered the ViaSat‑3 F2 satellite to@Viasat — on track for an October launch. 🚀

More capacity on orbit = more reliable connectivity when demand and distance are highest.

Learn more:    Boeing delivers second ViaSat‑3 satellite

https://x.com/BoeingSpace/status/1973078713118937398/photo/1
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https://www.ulalaunch.com/missions/next-launch/atlas-v-viasat-3-f2

Quote
Mission Overview
An Atlas V 551 rocket, configured with five side-mounted solid rocket boosters and a standard-length payload fairing, will utilize several launch optimization features to place the ViaSat-3 Flight 2 spacecraft into a geosynchronous transfer orbit. The craft is one of the heaviest single-satellite payloads. Liftoff will occur from Space Launch Complex-41 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida.

Satellite mass is 6 tons.

More from same source:
Quote
The vehicle's height with the 5-meter medium PLF is approximately 196 ft (59.7 m).

Apparently, there will be no use of the 5m Long PLF on Atlas V.  As said elsewhere here, the reconnaissance payloads requiring the 5L PLF in recent years (apparently) launched on Delta IV-Heavy.
« Last Edit: 10/03/2025 01:48 am by zubenelgenubi »
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https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1975985998598168682

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A new launch campaign is underway for Atlas V and the United Launch Alliance team! Stacking of the Atlas V 551 rocket commenced today at Cape Canaveral for launching the ViaSat-3 F2 ultra-high-capacity broadband spacecraft, designed to deliver throughput in excess of 1Tbps when it comes into service from geosynchronous orbit.

Launch info: http://bit.ly/av_viasat

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The Flickr album was updated with 5 photos yesterday.

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Four photos added on October 17th for solid rocket booster mate.
« Last Edit: 10/18/2025 07:33 pm by StraumliBlight »

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Centaur has also been stacked:

Quote
Initial buildup of the Atlas V 551 rocket is complete at ULA's Vertical Integration Facility with five side-mounted solid rocket boosters and Centaur upper stage. Pre-flight testing is underway ahead of the ViaSat-3 F2 commercial satellite deployment mission. 

Launch info: http://bit.ly/av_viasat 
Photos: https://flic.kr/s/aHBqjCvrUm

https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1980624815552884895



They also posted the timeline. Spacecraft separation will occur at T+3 hours, 29 minutes. Targeted orbit is 11,673 by 23,638 km with an inclination of 5.99°, which should result in 1059 m/s to GEO for the satellite.
« Last Edit: 10/21/2025 02:01 pm by GewoonLukas_ »
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Centaur has also been stacked:

Quote
Initial buildup of the Atlas V 551 rocket is complete at ULA's Vertical Integration Facility with five side-mounted solid rocket boosters and Centaur upper stage. Pre-flight testing is underway ahead of the ViaSat-3 F2 commercial satellite deployment mission. 

Launch info: http://bit.ly/av_viasat 
Photos: https://flic.kr/s/aHBqjCvrUm

https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1980624815552884895



They also posted the timeline. Spacecraft separation will occur at T+3 hours, 29 minutes. Targeted orbit is 11,673 by 23,638 km with an inclination of 5.99°, which should result in 1,059 m/s to GEO for the satellite.

You're one digit off for the perigee and apogee, GewoonLukas_. Converting those parameters from nautical miles to kilometers results in 11,674 by 23,639 kilometers.

And the delta-v to GEO is 1,053.6 m/s.

Though I wonder why a subsynchronous apogee is being targeted.
SECO confirmed. Nominal orbit insertion.

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https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1980998173024800885

Quote
United Launch Alliance Atlas V ViaSat-3 Flight 2 Planned for Nov. 3

The launch of a United Launch Alliance (ULA) Atlas V 551 rocket carrying the ViaSat-3 Flight 2 (F2) mission for @viasat is planned for no earlier than Monday, Nov. 3, 2025, pending range approval.
 
The launch is scheduled for 10:36 p.m. EST at the opening of a 44-minute window, from Space Launch Complex-41 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida.
« Last Edit: 10/28/2025 03:30 am by zubenelgenubi »
Jacques :-)

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ViaSat-3 F2 Launch Update [Oct 22]

Quote
The ViaSat-3 F2 launch campaign has continued to complete significant milestones in the lead up to launch.  The spacecraft has successfully completed standalone launch site testing, been mated to the launch vehicle payload adapter, and it has now been encapsulated in the payload fairing in preparation to join its Atlas V rocket later this week.

[...]

We are grateful to our launch partner and for the Viasat, ULA and Boeing teams on the ground in Cape Canaveral who have been working tirelessly through the unusual weather challenges to stay on track for a successful launch.

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PDF of online press kit.
Akin's Laws of Spacecraft Design #1:  Engineering is done with numbers.  Analysis without numbers is only an opinion.

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Though I wonder why a subsynchronous apogee is being targeted.

because it is a three burn mission.

edited
« Last Edit: 10/24/2025 01:47 pm by Jim »

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Though I wonder why a subsynchronous apogee is being targeted.

because it is a tree burn mission.

What the h@ll does a plant have to do with this launch? ;)
« Last Edit: 10/24/2025 07:55 am by woods170 »

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Though I wonder why a subsynchronous apogee is being targeted.

because it is a tree burn mission.

What the h@ll does a plant have to do with this launch? ;)

The fuel comes from trees that have decayed over thousands of years and the oxygen that burns the fuel is made by current day trees.
« Last Edit: 10/24/2025 08:07 pm by StarryKnight »
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Though I wonder why a subsynchronous apogee is being targeted.

Because it is a three burn mission.

edited

I know it's a three-burn mission. But I was expecting a typical target orbit apogee of 35,786 kilometers.
SECO confirmed. Nominal orbit insertion.

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Though I wonder why a subsynchronous apogee is being targeted.

because it is a tree burn mission.

What the h@ll does a plant have to do with this launch? ;)

The fuel comes from trees that have decayed over thousands of years and the oxygen that burns the fuel is made by current day trees.
2 funny.
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Placemarker for my coverage of this launch

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48-hour delay:

Quote
Due to the continuation of severe weather impacting launch processing, the launch of a United Launch Alliance (ULA) Atlas V 551 rocket carrying the ViaSat-3 Flight 2 (F2) mission for @viasat is now planned for no earlier than Wednesday, Nov. 5, 2025, pending range approval.
 
The launch is scheduled for 10:24 p.m. EST at the opening of a 44-minute window, from Space Launch Complex-41 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida.

https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1983173417806561629
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Though I wonder why a subsynchronous apogee is being targeted.

because it is a tree burn mission.

What the h@ll does a plant have to do with this launch? ;)

The fuel comes from trees that have decayed over thousands of years and the oxygen that burns the fuel is made by current day trees.

Bravo sir! Well played.

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Encapsulation pictures:

Quote
While @ulalaunch preps the Atlas V our ViaSat-3 F2 satellite’s been making progress of its own🛰️

✅ Launch site testing complete
✅ Mated to payload adapter
✅ Encapsulated in the fairing

Next stop: payload integration with the Atlas V! More here: https://vsat.co/3LzJKWM

https://twitter.com/viasat/status/1983550484070735939
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« Last Edit: 10/29/2025 02:34 pm by catdlr »
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ViaSat-3 F2: Engineering marvel will use Atlas V for launch to space [Oct 29]

Quote
Release of ViaSat-3 from Atlas V is expected three hours and 32 minutes after liftoff. The free-flying satellite is due to complete its climb to a circular geostationary orbit, where it is anticipated to match Earth’s rotation and appear “parked” over the Americas, using its all-electric propulsion.

8 new photos uploaded to Flickr today.
« Last Edit: 10/29/2025 03:06 pm by StraumliBlight »

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https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1983564497332867433

Quote
T-minus 7 days!

ULA has integrated the ViaSat-3 Flight 2 satellite atop our next Atlas V rocket at Cape Canaveral. The state-of-the-art, ultra-high-capacity broadband spacecraft is expected to provide in excess of one Terabit of data per second capacity to users on land, at sea or in the air. Launch is planned for Nov. 5.

📝 Preview blog: https://blog.ulalaunch.com/blog/viasat-3-f2-engineering-marvel-uses-atlas-v-for-launch-to-space
 📸 Photos: https://flic.kr/s/aHBqjCvrUm

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Are the unfurled antennas on such GEO satellites visible to Earth-based telescopes?  Even at a few pixels resolution?
« Last Edit: 10/29/2025 10:27 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1983873846915830002

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Atlas V Flight Path: Launching ViaSat-3 F2 Enhancing Global Connectivity

A mission designed to expand high-capacity broadband coverage around the world.

@viasat


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https://www.cadenaois.org/vpublic_anspdetail.jsp?view=15

Quote
Primary Launch Day 04 Nov 0336Z-0513Z
Backup Launch Day 05 Nov 0328Z-0505Z
Backup Launch Day 06 Nov 0324Z-0501Z
Backup Launch Day 07 Nov 0316Z-0453Z
Backup Launch Day 08 Nov 0308Z-0445Z
Backup Launch Day 09 Nov 0300Z-0437Z
Backup Launch Day 10 Nov 0256Z-0433Z

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Are the unfurled antennas on such GEO satellites visible to Earth-based telescopes?  Even at a few pixels resolution?

has an Orion/Magnum, Rhyolite, Chalet, Vortex, etc photos been shared on the internet?

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Are the unfurled antennas on such GEO satellites visible to Earth-based telescopes?  Even at a few pixels resolution?

has an Orion/Magnum, Rhyolite, Chalet, Vortex, etc photos been shared on the internet?

I saw a photo on the internet, and been unable to find it ever since, years ago taken from from the ground that reportedly showed a Orion/Magnum/etc main dish deployed in orbit.  If accurate/real, the photo confirms the reported configuration/size of those main dishes...
« Last Edit: 10/30/2025 05:06 pm by Targeteer »
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Are the unfurled antennas on such GEO satellites visible to Earth-based telescopes?  Even at a few pixels resolution?
Has an Orion/Magnum, Rhyolite, Chalet, Vortex, etc photos been shared on the internet?
I saw a photo on the internet, and been unable to find it ever since, years ago taken from from the ground that reportedly showed a Orion/Magnum/etc main dish deployed in orbit.  If accurate/real, the photo confirms the reported configuration/size of those main dishes...
Only NOW do I know what might have been a masters degree observing program for me, if I pursued an advanced degree: we had a 1 meter reflecting telescope on campus.
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Belated update:
SFN Launch Schedule update, March 22:
Launch vehicle AV-100

https://twitter.com/Cygnusx112/status/1657379120076955652

AV-100 first stage on the right, confirmed for ViaSat-3 EMEA.

https://blog.ulalaunch.com/blog/viasat-3-f2-engineering-marvel-uses-atlas-v-for-launch-to-space

2.5 years later and it's finally going to be flown:

Quote
This particular Atlas V 551 rocket, designated AV-100, stands 196 feet (59.7 meters) tall and will weigh 1.3 million pounds (587,000 kg) when fully fueled at liftoff. It will ascend from Florida’s Space Coast and head easterly on 2.7 million pounds (12 megaNewtons) of thrust from its kerosene-fueled main engine and SRBs. 
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Jacques :-)

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https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1985902345004208229

Quote
📸 Rollout day was picturesque for Atlas V and ViaSat-3 F2 in final preparation to launch Wednesday night. Liftoff time is 10:24 p.m. EST (0324 UTC) from Cape Canaveral.

Photo album: https://flic.kr/s/aHBqjCvrUm
Launch info: http://bit.ly/av_viasat

@viasat
 //
@BoeingSpace

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https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1986133486235779363

Quote
How do you prepare a 20-story-tall rocket to launch one of the heaviest commercial satellites in history? Watch this video to find out the process that ULA is using to ready its powerful Atlas V 551 rocket to deliver the ViaSat-3 F2 satellite into space tonight.

https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1986162966199193697

Quote
It looks like a good day to go to space, and our Atlas V 551 rocket is targeting 10:24 p.m. EST (0324 UTC) tonight for ignition at Cape Canaveral.

ULA has initiated the launch countdown, a tightly scripted sequence of procedures and steps over the next seven hours that will complete pre-launch testing, fill the rocket with propellants and put systems into flight mode.

Tonight's mission will deliver the ViaSat-3 F2 satellite into orbit for an anticipated 15+ year lifespan.



Quote
Live updates:

[Nov 05 20:04] Activities are on schedule for liftoff to occur at 10:24 p.m. EST (0324 UTC) from Space Launch Complex-41 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida. The available launch window remains open until 11:08 p.m., a duration of 44 minutes.



« Last Edit: 11/06/2025 09:11 am by StraumliBlight »

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Countdown holding at L-04:00, before launch poll.
Announced at L-05:23, as it became obvious that the poll was not occurring.  Why: Troubleshooting a technical issue.  Launch window 44 minutes long (03:24 to 04:08 UTC).
« Last Edit: 11/06/2025 03:31 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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SCRUB! 24 hour recycle to next launch attempt.
7 November 03:16 UTC = 6 November 10:16 pm EST.

https://www.cadenaois.org/vpublic_anspdetail.jsp?view=15
Quote
Primary Launch Day 04 Nov 0336Z-0513Z
Backup Launch Day 05 Nov 0328Z-0505Z
Backup Launch Day 06 Nov 0324Z-0501Z
Backup Launch Day 07 Nov 0316Z-0453Z
Backup Launch Day 08 Nov 0308Z-0445Z
Backup Launch Day 09 Nov 0300Z-0437Z
Backup Launch Day 10 Nov 0256Z-0433Z
« Last Edit: 11/06/2025 03:32 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1986283881645920654

Quote
The launch of a United Launch Alliance Atlas V carrying the ViaSat-3 F2 mission for @viasat is scrubbed for tonight's launch attempt due to an issue encountered while cycling the booster liquid oxygen tank vent valve during final checkouts. The team will require additional time for troubleshooting and is setting up for a 24-hour recycle.

The launch is now planned for Thurs., Nov. 6 at 10:16 p.m. EST at the opening of a 44-minute window.



« Last Edit: 11/06/2025 03:35 am by Galactic Penguin SST »
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CFT-1 was scrubbed due to an Atlas valve cycling problem. Was this the same valve?  Edit: NOPE.

(I'm going from memory here. I think @Jim provided some of this info and ULA the rest. Please correct me if I messed up.)
During the CFT-1 scrub, we were told that Atlas V has occasionally had similar issues with that valve cycling and the usual solution was simply to reset the valve and try again. That solution could not be applied on CFT-1 because it constituted a change in configuration of the system and this is disallowed after the crew is in the capsule. Since the actual failure mode was very fast cycling ("buzzing") and they were prohibited from resetting, the valve on CFT-1 exceeded its rated number of cycles and ULA was forced to roll the Atlas back and replace the valve.

EDIT: Different valve. CFT problem was a valve on Centaur. Viasat problem was (we think) a valve on the booster. No particular reason to think there is any commonality whatsoever, or that ULA has seen this booster valve problem before, until we get more info from ULA. In contrast with CFT, there is not a lot of scrutiny from the outside and ULA has no reason to enlighten us, but we can hope.
« Last Edit: 11/06/2025 05:46 pm by DanClemmensen »

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https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1986550529569214854

Quote
The official Atlas V forecast calls for a 50 percent chance of meeting the launch weather rules at Cape Canaveral tonight. Thick-layered clouds over the launch site and rain showers in the area are the main areas of weather concern.

https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1986595694770004268?

Quote
ULA Launch Director James Whelan authorized cryogenic tanking operations to begin as today's Atlas V countdown proceeds on schedule to launch the ViaSat-3 F2 satellite at 10:16 p.m. EST (0316 UTC). However, weather is currently red due to thick clouds.

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Quote
ULA
@ulalaunch
The launch of a United Launch Alliance Atlas V carrying the ViaSat-3 F2 mission for Viasat is scrubbed for tonight's launch attempt due to a reoccurrence of the issue with the Atlas V booster liquid oxygen tank vent valve.

The team will evaluate the hardware, and we will release a new launch date when available.

http://bit.ly/av_viasat

https://twitter.com/ulalaunch/status/1986615591919083916
It's Tony De La Rosa, ...I don't create this stuff, I report it. (now a moderator too - Watch out).

Online Galactic Penguin SST

New marine navigation warnings zones has been filed fitting with ones used on this, and it looks like despite the original launch windows slipping toward earlier into the night later this month, ULA has figured out how to accommodate with the FAA commercial launch restrictions with them filing a daily 10 pm - 12:05 am launch window, NET November 13 EST/14 UTC:

NAVAREA IV 1218/2025 (11, 24, 25, 26)


080202Z NOV 25
NAVAREA IV 1218/25(GEN).
NORTH ATLANTIC.
FLORIDA.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
  140300Z TO 140505Z NOV, ALTERNATE 0300Z TO 0505Z
   DAILY 15 THRU 20 NOV IN AREAS BOUND BY:
   A. 28-38.25N 080-37.16W, 28-44.00N 079-54.00W,
      28-40.00N 079-35.00W, 28-29.00N 079-12.00W,
      28-25.00N 079-12.00W, 28-19.00N 079-41.00W,
      28-20.00N 080-12.00W.
   B. 28-16.00N 078-30.00W, 28-29.00N 078-28.00W,
      28-20.00N 077-16.00W, 28-07.00N 077-18.00W.
   C. 27-05.00N 071-45.00W, 27-47.00N 071-36.00W,
      27-18.00N 068-49.00W, 26-38.00N 068-57.00W.
   D. 22-04.00N 051-42.00W, 23-16.00N 051-15.00W,
      21-41.00N 046-26.00W, 20-30.00N 046-55.00W.
2. CANCEL NAVAREA IV 1178/25.
3. CANCEL THIS MSG 200605Z NOV 25.

/


(graphics by Domi207 @ https://space-notices.vercel.app)
Astronomy & spaceflight geek penguin. In a relationship w/ Space Shuttle Discovery.

Online Galactic Penguin SST

New marine navigation warnings zones has been filed fitting with ones used on this, and it looks like despite the original launch windows slipping toward earlier into the night later this month, ULA has figured out how to accommodate with the FAA commercial launch restrictions with them filing a daily 10 pm - 12:05 am launch window, NET November 13 EST/14 UTC:

NAVAREA IV 1218/2025 (11, 24, 25, 26)


080202Z NOV 25
NAVAREA IV 1218/25(GEN).
NORTH ATLANTIC.
FLORIDA.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
  140300Z TO 140505Z NOV, ALTERNATE 0300Z TO 0505Z
   DAILY 15 THRU 20 NOV IN AREAS BOUND BY:
   A. 28-38.25N 080-37.16W, 28-44.00N 079-54.00W,
      28-40.00N 079-35.00W, 28-29.00N 079-12.00W,
      28-25.00N 079-12.00W, 28-19.00N 079-41.00W,
      28-20.00N 080-12.00W.
   B. 28-16.00N 078-30.00W, 28-29.00N 078-28.00W,
      28-20.00N 077-16.00W, 28-07.00N 077-18.00W.
   C. 27-05.00N 071-45.00W, 27-47.00N 071-36.00W,
      27-18.00N 068-49.00W, 26-38.00N 068-57.00W.
   D. 22-04.00N 051-42.00W, 23-16.00N 051-15.00W,
      21-41.00N 046-26.00W, 20-30.00N 046-55.00W.
2. CANCEL NAVAREA IV 1178/25.
3. CANCEL THIS MSG 200605Z NOV 25.

/


(graphics by Domi207 @ https://space-notices.vercel.app)

This has also resurfaced on CADENA OIS with a daily 10:00 - 11:56 pm EST window:

Primary Launch Day 14 NOV 0300Z-0456Z Backup Launch Day 15 NOV 0300Z-0456Z Backup Launch Day 16 NOV 0300Z-0456Z Backup Launch Day 17 NOV 0300Z-0456Z Backup Launch Day 18 NOV 0300Z-0456Z Backup Launch Day 19 NOV 0300Z-0456Z Backup Launch Day 20 NOV 0300Z-0456Z
Astronomy & spaceflight geek penguin. In a relationship w/ Space Shuttle Discovery.

 

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