Author Topic: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread  (Read 663921 times)

Offline zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1400 on: 06/18/2025 08:57 pm »
Cross-post; are the DtC launches complete for now?
How many Group 12 flights/43 deg Gen 1 DtC planes remain to be launched/filled?

From raptorx2

Starlink 12-15, launched 21 May UTC:
Primary Launch Day 20 May 0340Z-0446Z
66-minute window.

Appears to be heading to Plane 5 with Plane 4 as the window backup.
Plane 1 - Group 12-1
Plane 2 - Group 12-5
Plane 3 - Group 12-11
Plane 4 -
Plane 5 -  Group 12-15 (May 20)
Plane 6 - Group 12-16
Plane 7 - Group 12-4
Plane 8 - Group 12-12
Plane 9 - Group 12-2
Plane 10 - Group 12-3
Plane 11 -
Plane 12 - Group 12-8
Plane 13 -
Plane 14 - Group 12-6
Plane 15 - Group 12-13
Plane 16 - Group 12-20
Plane 17 -Group 12-25
Plane 18 - Grouop 12-23
Plane 19 -Group 12-10 
Plane 20 - Group 12-7
Plane  21 - Group 12-21
Plane  22 -Group 12-9
Plane 23 - Group 12-18
Plane 24 - Group 12-14

Starlink 12-19, 3 June UTC:
Launch 23 of 25 for the 43° Gen. 1 DTC constellation

+ Starlink 12-24 on June 10.

Is [Starlink 12-26] launch 25 of 25?  If so, perhaps there is one open plane left to fill?
Were Starlink 12-17 and 12-22 not launched to fill a particular orbital plane?
« Last Edit: 06/18/2025 11:13 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1401 on: 06/26/2025 03:18 pm »
Near-term not-Starlink launch schedule; also noting LC-39A use; UTC:

✅️ MTG-S1 (Jul 1, LC-39A SLC-40)

✅️ Starlink 10-25 (Jul 2 1, SLC-40 LC-39A)

✅️ Dror-1 (Jul 13 12, SLC-40 or LC-39A)

✅️ Kuiper Falcon-01 (Jul 16 NET Jul, SLC-40 or LC-39A)

<Starlink launches from LC-39A through mid July>

✅️ O3b mPOWER 9/10 (Jul 22 summer mid/late Jul 21, SLC-40 or LC-39A)

✅️ TRACERS rideshare (Jul 23 NET late July 22, SLC-4E)

✅️ Crew-11 (Aug 1 NET Jul 31 31, LC-39A)

SpX-33 (Aug 21 late Aug, SLC-40 or LC-39A)

USSF-36/OTV-8 (Aug 21 TBD 2025, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Bandwagon-4 (Aug 24 Jul NET Aug, SLC-4E?)

Nusantara 5 (Lima) (late Aug, LC-39A or SLC-40)

SDA T1TL-B (NET Aug Jul, SLC-4E)

8 Globalstar satellites (NET Aug-NLT Sep NET Jun NET Jul, LC-39A or SLC-40)

NROL-48 (early Sep Jul NET Aug, SLC-4E)

Updated through July
« Last Edit: 08/05/2025 10:47 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Online StraumliBlight

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1402 on: 06/26/2025 10:18 pm »
Via Satellite: US Space Force Requests $277M for MILNET, Halts Tranche 3 of Transport Layer [Jun 26]

Quote
The U.S. Space Force’s fiscal 2026 budget request provides $277 million for the MILNET proliferated Low-Earth Orbit (LEO) constellation and halts funding for the Space Development Agency’s Tranche 3, Transport Layer effort for advanced LEO communications satellites.

The Space Force $277 million request combines two program elements and derives from a National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) classified MILNET effort, based on SpaceX‘s Starshield. The Department of the Air Force, which is conducting an Analysis of Alternatives on future satellite communications, intends MILNET to be a “plug and play” architecture that is not SpaceX-reliant.

“In the FY 26 budget we learned DoD is halting the Space Development Agency’s Tranche 3, Transport Layer and that work which has been going on for several years and had robust competition and open standards has been replaced by something called MILNET, which is being sole sourced to SpaceX,” Sen. Chris Coons (D-Del.), the ranking member of the Senate Appropriations Committee’s defense panel, said at a Thursday hearing on the Department of the Air Force’s fiscal 2026 funding request.

Online StraumliBlight

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1403 on: 06/27/2025 09:41 pm »
Space Systems Command Set to Strengthen Operational Environment with Enhanced Global Weather Sensing [Jun 27]

Quote
The U.S. Space Force’s Space Systems Command (SSC) laid the groundwork for enhanced weather, research, development, and prototyping capabilities with the USSF-178 National Security Space Launch Phase 3 Lane 1 task order awarded today.
 
The $81,613,951 multi-manifest mission awarded to SpaceX makes use of available launch vehicle capacity to efficiently deliver capability to orbit. This award leverages industry advancements to streamline integration and condense timelines, providing responsive launch options to meet emergent operational needs, including the rapid integration of spacecraft within three months of launch.
 
The USSF-178 mission will include SSC’s Weather System Follow-on – Microwave Space Vehicle 2 (WSF-M2), which will provide global sensing to increase prediction model performance. It will also include BLAZE-2, a launch opportunity for operational, research, development, and prototype small satellites from across the DoD.  The mission is expected to launch in the first half of Fiscal Year 2027.
 
“We deliver assured access to space and maximize value for the American taxpayer, a commitment reflected in this USSF-178 launch service award,” explained USSF Col. Matthew Flahive, chief, Launch Mission Solutions Delta, Space Systems Command. “It is a strategic advantage when we can flexibly manifest small satellites on our launch vehicles with additional capacity to support emergent operational requirements and the research and development community.”
 
USSF-178 is the third Task Order issued under Phase 3 Lane 1. SSC intends to award more missions later this year for our valued mission partners, NRO and SDA.
« Last Edit: 06/27/2025 09:41 pm by StraumliBlight »

Online crandles57

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1404 on: 07/04/2025 03:26 pm »
Just one planned date 8th July 2025 in next 6 months seems unusually little. Anything going on to cause such a paucity of planned dates?

Online scr00chy

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1405 on: 07/04/2025 03:29 pm »
Maybe employees got some deserved extended time off for the 4th of July holiday?

Online GewoonLukas_

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1406 on: 07/07/2025 07:34 am »
Stage 2 Reentry NOTAM for the launch of "GTO-1" has appeared. Area is identical to the same NOTAM for MTG-S1, suggesting a similar GTO launch. Assuming the same gap between launch and reentry, launch should be at 03:52 UTC on July 12th.

Quote
A0051/25 NOTAMN
       Q) FSSS/QRALW/IV/NBO/W/000/999/0000S05232E999
       A) FSSS B) 2507122319 C) 2507190515
       D) DLY BTN 2319 - 0515
       E) HAZARDOUS OPS BY SPACEX GTO 1 STAGE 2 REENTRY WI AN AREA NE
OF
         FSSS BOUNDED BY THE FOLLOWING COOR:0000S 05232E - 0518N
05330E
         - 0918N 05830E - 0911N 06000E - 0042S 06000E - 0000S 05232E
       F) SFC
       G) UNL

Could this be the Israeli Dror-1 (PR-8000) satellite?

PR-8000 (Dror 1) satellite manufactured by Israel Aerospace Industries is launching NET July 1st, 2025. (SES-STA-INTR2025-02191, SES-STA-INTR2025-02192) [May 1]

Its licensed by Israel and managed by Telespazio, with a final location of 4.0° W.L.

[...]

Launcher is unknown but probably SpaceX?

Edit: Another NOTAM identical to MTG-S1, although this one says launch is NET July 13th:

Quote
A0264/25 NOTAMN
Q) VRMF/QWMLW/IV/NBO/W/000/999/0001N06839E100
A) VRMF
B) 2507132319 C) 2507200515
D) DAILY 2319-0515
E) US AEROSPACE COMPANY (SPACE X) WILL BE CONDUCTING HAZARDOUS
OPR ACTIVITIES. THE SAID ACT FALLS
IN MALE FIR WI THE AREA BOUNDED BY COORD
0125S06800E-
0000N06800E-
0133N06900E-
0130S06900E-
0125S06800E
PRIMARY LAUNCH 250713
F) SFC G) UNL
« Last Edit: 07/07/2025 01:04 pm by GewoonLukas_ »
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Offline zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1407 on: 07/07/2025 05:57 pm »
Stage 2 Reentry NOTAM for the launch of "GTO-1" has appeared. Area is identical to the same NOTAM for MTG-S1, suggesting a similar GTO launch. Assuming the same gap between launch and reentry, launch should be at 03:52 UTC on July 12th.
Another possibility: USSF-36?
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Online StraumliBlight

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1408 on: 07/13/2025 12:23 pm »
Launch postponed again / Luxembourg satellite is not scheduled to be launched into space until September
[Jun 27, translated]

Quote
The launch of Luxembourg's Earth observation satellite LUXEOSys remains pending. Previously planned for the first semester of 2025, the launch date has now been postponed again.

The project, which was launched in 2017 under the previous government, has a long history of difficulties, disagreements, delays and budget overruns.

Article is behind a paywall but if September 2025 is correct, it doesn't match existing SpaceX rideshare launches.



LUXEOSys in figures

Quote
Orbit: 450 km
Satellite speed: 8 km/s
1 revolution of the Earth: every 94 min, 15 revolutions/day
Launch weight: +/- 645 kg, Hexagonal shape with a diameter of 1.84 m
One image: 10 x 10 km area covered (2.5 Gigabytes)
Lifespan: 7 + 3 years
Minimum response time between request and available image: 17 hours
« Last Edit: 08/11/2025 11:07 am by StraumliBlight »

Offline plutogno

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1409 on: 07/18/2025 03:16 pm »
Article is behind a paywall but if September 2025 is correct, it doesn't match existing SpaceX rideshare launches.

Hint hint, to read the full article open the source of the page in your browser...

Anyway, it does not specifically mention September, only a generic 3rd quarter. And the source of the article is none less than nextspaceflight.com
« Last Edit: 07/18/2025 09:09 pm by zubenelgenubi »

Online StraumliBlight

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1410 on: 07/22/2025 02:26 pm »
STORIE Fit Test at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center [Jul 18]

Quote
NASA’s STORIE mission, or Storm Time O+ Ring current Imaging Evolution, has completed its design, build, and testing campaign at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, ahead of its mission onboard the International Space Station (ISS).

From its unique vantage point on the ISS, STORIE will use neutral atom imaging to provide an “inside out” view of Earth’s ring current – a region of the magnetosphere where energetic particles are trapped in near-Earth space. In addition to answering fundamental questions about the ring current’s intensity and composition, STORIE will also provide a more detailed understanding of how geomagnetic storms affect Earth.

From NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, STORIE will be shipped to NASA’s Johnson Space Center in Houston, Texas, where it will be integrated onto a pallet to be installed outside the ISS’s Columbus Module. STORIE will head to the ISS aboard a SpaceX commercial resupply flight no earlier than spring 2026.

STORIE Thermal Vacuum Test at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center [Jul 28]

HELIOTECH and Suborbital Symposium [Sep 8]

Quote
The Storm Time O+ Ring Current Imaging Evolution (STORIE) mission scheduled for launch in 2026 will provide continuous inside-out global geospace weather imaging with its ENA instrument hosted on the International Space Station (ISS).

Probably CRS-34?
« Last Edit: 10/09/2025 08:33 pm by StraumliBlight »

Offline plutogno

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1411 on: 07/26/2025 07:56 am »
Article is behind a paywall but if September 2025 is correct, it doesn't match existing SpaceX rideshare launches.

Hint hint, to read the full article open the source of the page in your browser...

Anyway, it does not specifically mention September, only a generic 3rd quarter. And the source of the article is none less than nextspaceflight.com
Anyway, since NAOS was originally scheduled to fly on Vega-C Vv27 together with the CO3D sats, it can now be said that the Lux DoD has paid to fly later than originally planned :D

Online StraumliBlight

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1412 on: 07/31/2025 08:13 pm »
0847-EX-CN-2025 [Jul 31]

Quote from: Narative
Accenture LLP (“Accenture”) seeks experimental authority to launch and operate the CARET-1 cubesat spacecraft to conduct technical evaluations of emerging space cybersecurity technology within the low-earth orbit environment. This mission will include assessment of post-quantum scamgraphic solutions and zero-trust networking architectures along with experiments to evaluate these defenses against adversaries’ capabilities to attack and disrupt commercial satellite operations. The testing under this experimental license will comprise fundamental security experiments that will support future manned missions to space. Moreover, the experimental license will support Accenture in developing future dual-use technology, which will support innovation and growth in both military applications and commercial applications.

[...]

CARET-1 will be launched to the International Space Station (“ISS”) and then deployed from the ISS into a 52-degree LEO orbit at an orbital altitude of approximately 420-425 km

Launcher not stated but likely SpaceX.

Delayed from 2024.

Quote
The satellite will be launched to the International Space Station (ISS) later this year and from there pushed into Low Earth Orbit by an ISS astronaut
« Last Edit: 07/31/2025 08:19 pm by StraumliBlight »

Offline zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1413 on: 08/05/2025 04:37 pm »
Near-term not-Starlink launch schedule; also noting LC-39A use; UTC:

<Starlink launches from LC-39A through early? August>

SpX-33 (Aug 21, SLC-40)

USSF-36/OTV-8 (Aug 21, LC-39A)

Bandwagon-4 (Aug 24, SLC-4E)

Nusantara 5 (Lima) (late Aug, LC-39A or SLC-40)

SDA T1TL-B (NET Aug, SLC-4E)

8 Globalstar satellites (NET Aug-NLT Sep, LC-39A or SLC-40)

NROL-48 (early Sep, SLC-4E)


Updated through August
« Last Edit: 08/05/2025 10:55 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Online catdlr

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Online StraumliBlight

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1415 on: 10/29/2025 01:17 pm »
Besxar Signs Launch Agreement with SpaceX to Pioneer Orbital Semiconductor Manufacturing [Oct 28]

Quote
Fabships will be integrated on Falcon 9 first stage boosters and retrieved post launch after the rocket safely returns to land.

Is there space in F9's Interstage to fit two "Microwave" sized boxes or would they be situated somewhere else (e.g. mounted externally)?

EDIT: Podcast [Oct 30]

Quote
[07:10] Eventually scaling to "mini-fridge" size for next iteration.
[14:40] First cliipper class launch before the "end of the year".
« Last Edit: 10/31/2025 01:37 pm by StraumliBlight »

Online WmThomas

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1416 on: 10/29/2025 10:21 pm »
Falcon 9 first stage is now the biggest and most reusable sounding rocket??

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