Total Members Voted: 274
Voting closed: 12/23/2013 05:50 am
"How many times will a SpaceX mission that's intended to reach orbit lift off in 2013?"
BTW: I believe the poll should close on 31 december 2012 because otherwise it would be unfair for those of us who voted early. What's the point in poll if some people will vote on it in November 2013?
Quote from: hrissan on 12/23/2012 06:28 pmBTW: I believe the poll should close on 31 december 2012 because otherwise it would be unfair for those of us who voted early. What's the point in poll if some people will vote on it in November 2013?Reason being is that new members to the forum will certainly join within the coming year. I want everyone who wants to vote to be able to vote.
Quote from: tigerade on 12/23/2012 06:39 pmQuote from: hrissan on 12/23/2012 06:28 pmBTW: I believe the poll should close on 31 december 2012 because otherwise it would be unfair for those of us who voted early. What's the point in poll if some people will vote on it in November 2013?Reason being is that new members to the forum will certainly join within the coming year. I want everyone who wants to vote to be able to vote.I understand your rationale but I think a better rationale would be something that levels the field a little better. Something like a sequence of Polls that close at the end of the year, or at the next SpaceX launch which ever comes first. Of course the closing of a Poll causes a new Poll to open again with a nominal closing at the end of the year or at next launch. That way, the early voters could stick with their first guess or adjust it in the next Poll, while new members would enter the playing field equal to old members - as near as experience allows. Such a scheme would encourage everyone to vote, improve the validity of the statistics as well as providing a larger statistical basis for evaluation of accuracy of forum projections.
My prediction of flights:1) CRS-2 – March (CCAFS)2) MDA – April (VAFB)3) SES – June (CCAFS)4) Orbcomm - August (CCAFS)5) CRS-3 - October (CCAFS)6) Thaicom - December (CCAFS)This is hopefull that everything launched has no problems. As far as hardware production I do not see any choke points in the production of 5 F9 v1.1 flight units in a period of 1 year. The units are already in the pipeline and several are completed or are nearing completion just waiting for somewhere to send them. Engine production and testing is currently greater than what is needed to do 5 v1.1 launches in 2013. Doing 11 launches or more in 2014 is another story.
Such a scheme would encourage everyone to vote...