Poll

What can we expect when the Falcon Heavy launches?

Catastrophic failure before clearing the launch tower
5 (1%)
Clearing launch tower but failure to reach orbit
83 (16.2%)
Successful flight to orbit
425 (82.8%)

Total Members Voted: 513

Voting closed: 01/28/2018 10:13 PM


Author Topic: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!  (Read 15169 times)

Offline Paul451

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #80 on: 02/08/2018 01:34 AM »
I was wrong! Wooo!

Offline Johnnyhinbos

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #81 on: 02/08/2018 01:37 AM »
conventional wisdom says a staggered boostback or slightly different trajectories will keep the two boosters separated (distance while in flight, and staggered arrival times at the LZ)
Wrong!

(I always wanted to say that!)

Huh - itís kinda Trumpy too tho.

Donít like it anymore.

John Hanzl. Author, action / adventure www.johnhanzl.com

Offline Johnnyhinbos

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #82 on: 02/08/2018 01:40 AM »
I'll answer in the accepted poll justification discussion format:

I think this launch will result in one or fewer successes, with zero or more boosters sticking a landing, and not more than one (but maybe fewer) Teslas injected into orbit around the sun or some other orbit, or not. I'll report back on how I did after the launch!

(Just kidding - I'm feeling good that this beast will have 100% mission success with the two side boosters completing a RTLS and the center core RUDing on the ASDS due to a hot entry)
I think Iím going to just pat myself on the back with a 100% accurate and fully qualified prediction!

Whereís my t-shirt?
John Hanzl. Author, action / adventure www.johnhanzl.com

Online jebbo

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #83 on: 02/08/2018 10:36 AM »
Well, I got this one wrong. I though it would clear the tower,  but fail at MaxQ or booster sep ...

--- Tony
« Last Edit: 02/08/2018 10:36 AM by jebbo »

Offline deruch

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #84 on: 02/14/2018 04:10 PM »
I'll answer in the accepted poll justification discussion format:

I think this launch will result in one or fewer successes, with zero or more boosters sticking a landing, and not more than one (but maybe fewer) Teslas injected into orbit around the sun or some other orbit, or not. I'll report back on how I did after the launch!

(Just kidding - I'm feeling good that this beast will have 100% mission success with the two side boosters completing a RTLS and the center core RUDing on the ASDS due to a hot entry)
I think Iím going to just pat myself on the back with a 100% accurate and fully qualified prediction!

Whereís my t-shirt?

97%.  Center core missed the ASDS and, so far as Elon is willing to tell via Twitter, the crash wasn't due to a hot entry.  You're being docked points not for being incorrect but, rather, for being over-specific in your prediction.  Or at least for being over-specific wherever you weren't being under-specific.   ;D
Shouldn't reality posts be in "Advanced concepts"?  --Nomadd

Offline Bubbinski

I voted successful flight to orbit and it happened that way :) Good luck Arabsat and STP!
I'll even excitedly look forward to "flags and footprints" and suborbital missions. Just fly...somewhere.

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