Author Topic: Kanopus-ST - Soyuz-2.1v/Volga - Plesetsk 43/4 - December 5, 2015 (14:09 UTC)  (Read 62675 times)

Offline Galactic Penguin SST

Anyone knows if the last known launch date of February 1st is still holding or not? I think chances are that air-space and maritime closure notices should have been issued for this by now if this is true....  ::)
« Last Edit: 12/05/2015 01:33 pm by Galactic Penguin SST »
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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

Anyone knows if the last known launch date of February 1st is still holding or not? I think chances are that air-space and maritime closure notices should have been issued for this by now if this is true....  ::)

A cursory check of NOTAMs of the probable drop zones yields zero results. With another top secret thing confirmed to use the same launch pad in late February I guess this one won't get off till at least March?  :-X
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Offline zubenelgenubi

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How long does it take to change out the pad equipment between the set-up for a Soyuz-2-1V launch vs. a Soyuz-2-1A or Soyuz-2-1B launch?  This operation would add to the pad turn-around time, would it not?

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Offline russianhalo117

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How long does it take to change out the pad equipment between the set-up for a Soyuz-2-1V launch vs. a Soyuz-2-1A or Soyuz-2-1B launch?  This operation would add to the pad turn-around time, would it not?

Zubenelgenubi
the only items removed and added to configure between the versions is the launch pedestal arm extensions and that is only 16 bolts per pedestal or 64 bolts total. there is little piping to the core stage that will need a tad bit of adjustment and caps installed at the ends of unused piping when the outboard boosters arent flown.

Offline Satori

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According to http://www.militarynews.ru/story.asp?rid=1&nid=364937 (in Russian), launch will take place on the second quarter of 2015.

Offline zubenelgenubi

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How long does it take to change out the pad equipment between the set-up for a Soyuz-2-1V launch vs. a Soyuz-2-1A or Soyuz-2-1B launch?  This operation would add to the pad turn-around time, would it not?

Zubenelgenubi
the only items removed and added to configure between the versions is the launch pedestal arm extensions and that is only 16 bolts per pedestal or 64 bolts total. there is little piping to the core stage that will need a tad bit of adjustment and caps installed at the ends of unused piping when the outboard boosters arent flown.
Thank you, RH117!
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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

Today a VKO spokesperson confirms that this one will fly in the summer of 2015: http://tass.ru/kosmos/1786800
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According to this picture, launch will take place on September 4th, 2015.
Payload will be Kanopus-ST and satellite КЮА-1, whatever it is.
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Offline Satori

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Previous information was that this launch was schedule for September 4, 2015. Do we have any other info about this?

Offline Galactic Penguin SST

Previous information was that this launch was schedule for September 4, 2015. Do we have any other info about this?

Well, NK's "official schedule" is now showing it as 3Q/4Q 2015.

I do wonder what will happen at Plesetsk for the remaining part of 2015 - early in the year I remember that they planned as many as 10 Soyuz rockets launching from there this year. Only 3 has flown so far.  :-X
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Offline russianhalo117

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Previous information was that this launch was schedule for September 4, 2015. Do we have any other info about this?

Well, NK's "official schedule" is now showing it as 3Q/4Q 2015.

I do wonder what will happen at Plesetsk for the remaining part of 2015 - early in the year I remember that they planned as many as 10 Soyuz rockets launching from there this year. Only 3 has flown so far.  :-X
well we have 43/3 and 16/2 in active upgrades for their future launchings. also have some of the Plesetsk MIK's undergoing work too, so I have no clue when we'll have a launch.

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Giving this one a bump....

any news?  This was the same basic engine as Orbital used.
 
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Re: Kanopus-ST - Soyuz-2.1v/Volga - 4Q 2015 (?) - Plesetsk 43/4
« Reply #12 on: 10/07/2015 01:37 pm »
Test fire

http://www.russianspaceweb.com/nk33.html#2015

"On October 5, 2015, the United Engine Corporation, ODK, announced that it had conducted a successful 40-second test firing of the NK-33 engine to certify it for the use on the Soyuz-2-1v rocket
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Re: Kanopus-ST - Soyuz-2.1v/Volga - 4Q 2015 (?) - Plesetsk 43/4
« Reply #13 on: 10/07/2015 02:18 pm »
According to this picture, launch will take place on September 4th, 2015.
Payload will be Kanopus-ST and satellite КЮА-1, whatever it is.

Ooh wish I could read the numbers on that chart properly.  KYuA-1 mass 15.8 kg, is that right?
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Re: Kanopus-ST - Soyuz-2.1v/Volga - 4Q 2015 (?) - Plesetsk 43/4
« Reply #14 on: 10/07/2015 11:06 pm »
According to this picture, launch will take place on September 4th, 2015.
Payload will be Kanopus-ST and satellite КЮА-1, whatever it is.

Ooh wish I could read the numbers on that chart properly.  KYuA-1 mass 15.8 kg, is that right?

I think, this is right. Did some attempts to improve the readability of the photo and "15.8 kg" seems to be correct.

BTW: the KYuA-1 looks somewhat similar to the SKRL-756 calibration spheres on the maiden flight of the Soyuz-2-1v

Offline russianhalo117

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Re: Kanopus-ST - Soyuz-2.1v/Volga - 4Q 2015 (?) - Plesetsk 43/4
« Reply #15 on: 10/07/2015 11:10 pm »
According to this picture, launch will take place on September 4th, 2015.
Payload will be Kanopus-ST and satellite КЮА-1, whatever it is.

Ooh wish I could read the numbers on that chart properly.  KYuA-1 mass 15.8 kg, is that right?

I think, this is right. Did some attempts to improve the readability of the photo and "15.8 kg" seems to be correct.

BTW: the KYuA-1 looks somewhat similar to the SKRL-756 calibration spheres on the maiden flight of the Soyuz-2-1v
SKRL-756 calibration spheres: Yes

Offline russianhalo117

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Re: Kanopus-ST - Soyuz-2.1v/Volga - 4Q 2015 (?) - Plesetsk 43/4
« Reply #16 on: 10/09/2015 04:26 pm »
Test fire

http://www.russianspaceweb.com/nk33.html#2015

"On October 5, 2015, the United Engine Corporation, ODK, announced that it had conducted a successful 40-second test firing of the NK-33 engine to certify it for the use on the Soyuz-2-1v rocket
You left out the most important part of the entire post:
Quote
On October 5, 2015, the United Engine Corporation, ODK, announced that it had conducted a successful 40-second test firing of the NK-33 engine to certify it for the use on the Soyuz-2-1v rocket, which at the time was being prepared for its second launch. The firing tested an upgraded combustion chamber and a newly manufactured ignition chamber. (Both components were modified in the wake of an Antares rocket failure in 2014.) The ODK said that the final processing of the fifth NK-33 engine would be completed within next two weeks before its shipment to RKTs Progress, the developer of the Soyuz rocket family.
« Last Edit: 10/09/2015 04:27 pm by russianhalo117 »

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Re: Kanopus-ST - Soyuz-2.1v/Volga - 4Q 2015 (?) - Plesetsk 43/4
« Reply #17 on: 10/09/2015 06:01 pm »
Test fire

http://www.russianspaceweb.com/nk33.html#2015

"On October 5, 2015, the United Engine Corporation, ODK, announced that it had conducted a successful 40-second test firing of the NK-33 engine to certify it for the use on the Soyuz-2-1v rocket
You left out the most important part of the entire post:
Quote
On October 5, 2015, the United Engine Corporation, ODK, announced that it had conducted a successful 40-second test firing of the NK-33 engine to certify it for the use on the Soyuz-2-1v rocket, which at the time was being prepared for its second launch. The firing tested an upgraded combustion chamber and a newly manufactured ignition chamber. (Both components were modified in the wake of an Antares rocket failure in 2014.) The ODK said that the final processing of the fifth NK-33 engine would be completed within next two weeks before its shipment to RKTs Progress, the developer of the Soyuz rocket family.

Just thought of something .....maybe we can get more details of the Antares from the Russian point of view?

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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

anik's list on NK is now showing this launch scheduled on December 9 - not sure what his source is.  :P
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Offline russianhalo117

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anik's list on NK is now showing this launch scheduled on December 9 - not sure what his source is.  :P
most likely valid

Offline Nicolas PILLET

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anik is himself a source ! :D
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A3138/15 - RECEIVED FROM MAIN AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT CENTER OF RUSSIA: ROCKET IMPACT AREA IN THE BARENTS SEA 7559N 02126E-7550N 02202E-7531N 02256E-7521N 02252E-7515N 02213E-7524N 02129E-7536N 02051E-7550N 02030E-7559N 02126E. 04 DEC 14:00 2015 UNTIL 06 DEC 03:00 2015. CREATED: 27 NOV 15:01 2015

G4720/15 - TEMPO DANGER AREA ACT WI COORD: 701800N 0334900E-701200N 0340800E-695400N 0344300E- 693300N 0344700E-692500N 0341500E-693500N 0333700E- 695300N 0330500E-701200N 0331100E-701800N 0334900E. SFC - UNL, DAILY 1400-0300, 04 DEC 14:00 2015 UNTIL 06 DEC 03:00 2015. CREATED: 30 NOV 05:59 2015 

Somethings due out of PLESETSK between 4 dec- 6 dec, and it might be this launch.


Offline input~2

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Also this one:
G4719/15 -  ATS RTE B488 SEGMENT NUTLA - LIMUS CLSD. SFC - UNL, DAILY 1400-0300, 04 DEC 14:00 2015 UNTIL 06 DEC 03:00 2015. CREATED: 30 NOV 05:46 2015

Southernmost zone: 1st stage impact zone
Northernmost zone: Fairing impact zone
« Last Edit: 12/05/2015 09:12 pm by input~2 »

Offline input~2

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That was right! ;)
Launch confirmed for December 4 in the afternoon
http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/2866989

Offline input~2

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NOTAM for Volga debris (same zone as for first flight)
B6862/15 -  TEMPO DANGER AREA NZD025 (EAST AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR) IS PRESCRIBED AS FLW: ALL THAT AIRSPACE BOUNDED BY A LINE JOINING: S 30 00, W 131 00 S 60 00, W 131 00 S 60 00, W 175 00 S 30 00, W 175 00 S 30 00, W 131 00. ACTIVITY: SPACE DEBRIS RETURN. USER AGENCY: FOREIGN SPACE AGENCY. PRESCRIBED PURSUANT TO CIVIL AVIATION RULE PART 71 UNDER A DELEGATED AUTHORITY ISSUED BY THE DIRECTOR OF CIVIL AVIATION. SFC - UNL, 04 DEC 14:00 2015 UNTIL 05 DEC 03:00 2015. CREATED: 30 NOV 18:51 2015

Offline Galactic Penguin SST

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Offline Satori

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Expected lanch time as come and gone... Checking for updates.

Offline Artyom.

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Expected lanch time as come and gone... Checking for updates.
Launch rescheduled for tomorrow.

Offline input~2

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Updated NOTAM for Volga
B6962/15 -  TEMPO DANGER AREA NZD025 (EAST AUCKLAND OCEANIC FIR) IS PRESCRIBED AS FLW: ALL THAT AIRSPACE BOUNDED BY A LINE JOINING: S 30 00, W 131 00 S 60 00, W 131 00 S 60 00, W 175 00 S 30 00, W 175 00 S 30 00, W 131 00. ACTIVITY: SPACE DEBRIS RETURN. USER AGENCY: FOREIGN SPACE AGENCY. PRESCRIBED PURSUANT TO CIVIL AVIATION RULE PART 71 UNDER A DELEGATED AUTHORITY ISSUED BY THE DIRECTOR OF CIVIL AVIATION. SFC - UNL, 05 DEC 14:00 2015 UNTIL 06 DEC 03:00 2015. CREATED: 04 DEC 14:58 2015

and for fairing 1st stage
G4781/15 -  TEMPO DANGER AREA ACT: 701800N 0334900E-701200N 0340800E-695400N 0344300E- 693300N 0344700E-692500N 0341500E-693500N 0333700E- 695300N 0330500E-701200N 0331100E-701800N 0334900E. SFC - UNL, 05 DEC 14:00 2015 UNTIL 06 DEC 03:00 2015. CREATED: 04 DEC 17:04 2015
G4780/15 -  ATS RTE B488 SEGMENT NUTLA - LIMUS CLSD. SFC - UNL, 05 DEC 14:00 2015 UNTIL 06 DEC 03:00 2015. CREATED: 04 DEC 16:56 2015
« Last Edit: 12/07/2015 11:47 am by input~2 »

Offline input~2

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According to Russianspaceweb on December 4 liftoff was scheduled for 14:08 UTC

Offline Galactic Penguin SST

Everyone is talking about the Cygnus RTF and somehow the NK-33 RTF slips under the radar...  ::)

Has the launch occurred yet?
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Offline Artyom.

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« Last Edit: 12/05/2015 01:20 pm by Artyom. »

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Volga separation - http://tass.ru/kosmos/2502405.

All OK  :) !

Offline edkyle99

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It seems that Volga still has "several hours" of work to do before payload separation.

Anatoly tells us that Kanopus-ST will test methods for detecting submerged submarines using a UHF radiometer.

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/05/2015 02:54 pm by edkyle99 »

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Spacecraft separation, according to Dmitry Rogozin .
« Last Edit: 12/05/2015 02:58 pm by Artyom. »

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http://www.vesti.ru/videos/show/vid/664606/#

This video on YouTube:



According to the reporter, the names of these satellites - Kosmos-2511 and  Kosmos-2512.

« Last Edit: 12/05/2015 03:23 pm by Artyom. »

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Russian media also confirmed the information about the separation of the satellites.

http://www.interfax.ru/world/483365

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http://www.vesti.ru/videos/show/vid/664606/#

This video on YouTube:

According to the reporter, the names of these satellites - Kosmos-2511 and  Kosmos-2512.


Is one of them a 14Ф147?
Quote
Закупка и поставка услуги по организации перевозки МКА 14Ф147 авиатранспортом, иных сопутствующих услуг, связанных с перевозкой.
http://www.zakupki.gov.ru/223/purchase/public/purchase/info/common-info.html?noticeId=3089261

Offline zubenelgenubi

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I also read Anatoly's article on his website.  Interesting!
That information also explains why these satellites received Kosmos designations.
It also explains why we had no live launch coverage.

The Seasat conspiracists claimed that the satellite power failure was a cover for stopping the satellite's unforeseen abilities from disclosing the position of submerged submarines.

(I think the above conspiracy theory is baloney.)

Is there anything in the open literature to suggest that such a capability CAN exist, much less does?
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Offline edkyle99

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I also read Anatoly's article on his website.  Interesting!
That information also explains why these satellites received Kosmos designations.
It also explains why we had no live launch coverage.

The Seasat conspiracists claimed that the satellite power failure was a cover for stopping the satellite's unforeseen abilities from disclosing the position of submerged submarines.

(I think the above conspiracy theory is baloney.)

Is there anything in the open literature to suggest that such a capability CAN exist, much less does?
Search for "internal waves" and submarines.  The focus of research seems to be on using microwaves to detect subtle ocean surface effects.  My supposition.

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/05/2015 03:41 pm by edkyle99 »

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« Last Edit: 12/05/2015 03:52 pm by Artyom. »

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Offline input~2

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A first object has been cataloged by USSTRATCOM
2015-071C/41100 in 208 x 681 km x 98.19°

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41098 and 41099 too.
98.17° 687x695 km 98.62 min
 
This message reflects my personal opinion based on open sources of information.

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Some more video (low quality) from different angles from Russian TV channel Zvezda.

http://tvzvezda.ru/news/vstrane_i_mire/content/201512051945-t5ta.htm
« Last Edit: 12/05/2015 05:18 pm by Artyom. »

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Some more video (low quality) from different angles from Russian TV channel Zvezda.

http://tvzvezda.ru/news/vstrane_i_mire/content/201512051945-t5ta.htm
  That last angle looked like the media were allowed to place a camera near the pad, something I can't remember seeing for Plesetsk launches (or Russian launches in general). Must admit I kind of forgot about this one thinking it was after Atlas/Cygnus, then the Atlas got delayed. So, NK-33's still work apparently, but nobody will ever roll the dice on the remaining Americanized ones.   

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From the Russian Ministry of Defense Facebook page  https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=1683981968511219
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Offline input~2

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LTDN for Object A is 5:59:30 am

Offline input~2

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A first object has been cataloged by USSTRATCOM
2015-071C/41100 in 208 x 681 km x 98.19°
This could be the second stage remaining in orbit

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A first object has been cataloged by USSTRATCOM
2015-071C/41100 in 208 x 681 km x 98.19°
This could be the second stage remaining in orbit

Indeed - or, the Volga stage after depletion?  I lean towards second stage but I'm not sure if we're sure :-)

Edit - Zak's article says the 2nd stage is suborbital, which would make this the Volga
« Last Edit: 12/05/2015 10:56 pm by jcm »
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Offline Nicolas PILLET

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Satellites are officially named Cosmos-2511 and Cosmos-2512.

http://tass.ru/kosmos/2502405
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Offline Nicolas PILLET

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One of the satellites did not separate from Volga !

http://www.gazeta.ru/army/news/7977329.shtml
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Offline Artyom.

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Oh, no, we have a problem  :-[ !

Quote
One of the satellites did not separate from the Volga upper stage.
http://ria.ru/space/20151206/1336931176.html
« Last Edit: 12/06/2015 10:07 am by Artyom. »

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Hope the problem is with KYuA !
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Offline Skyrocket

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Hm, strange - there have been three objects registered in orbit (2015-071A [41098], 2015-071B [41099] and 2015-071C [41100]), which hints, that both satellites have separated.

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Hm, strange - there have been three objects registered in orbit (2015-071A [41098], 2015-071B [41099] and 2015-071C [41100]), which hints, that both satellites have separated.

Comparing the first and the second Soyuz-2-1V launches, I think that 41100 is the second stage.

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Hm, strange - there have been three objects registered in orbit (2015-071A [41098], 2015-071B [41099] and 2015-071C [41100]), which hints, that both satellites have separated.

Comparing the first and the second Soyuz-2-1V launches, I think that 41100 is the second stage.

Yes, Zak's story no longer says stage 2 is suborbital. I agree.

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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

I doubt that it was Kanopus-ST that failed to separate - the Russians would be alarmed immediately if it doesn't. The passive sphere on the other hand.....

Also this new Russian report seems to hint on that too - of the 2 satellites named as "K" and "S" in the report, "S" separated while "K" didn't. The rest is left to the reader as an exercise.....  :-X
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I doubt that it was Kanopus-ST that failed to separate - the Russians would be alarmed immediately if it doesn't. The passive sphere on the other hand.....

Also this new Russian report seems to hint on that too - of the 2 satellites named as "K" and "S" in the report, "S" separated while "K" didn't. The rest is left to the reader as an exercise.....  :-X

Yeah, I was puzzled by that. I was worried that 'K' was Kanopus and 'S' was  sfera (sphere)...  what's your interpretation?
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I doubt that it was Kanopus-ST that failed to separate - the Russians would be alarmed immediately if it doesn't. The passive sphere on the other hand.....

Also this new Russian report seems to hint on that too - of the 2 satellites named as "K" and "S" in the report, "S" separated while "K" didn't. The rest is left to the reader as an exercise.....  :-X

Yeah, I was puzzled by that. I was worried that 'K' was Kanopus and 'S' was  sfera (sphere)...  what's your interpretation?

...or 'K' is KYuA and 'S' is (Kanopus-)ST

Offline edkyle99

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The reporting seems to suggest that Volga was to perform a "deorbit burn", and may now have to perform the burn with one of the satellites still attached - assuming my translator is correct.

 - Ed Kyle

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Last elset for 41098 is now 19 hours old. I wonder if it still exists in orbit.
This message reflects my personal opinion based on open sources of information.

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Some more video (low quality) from different angles from Russian TV channel Zvezda.

http://tvzvezda.ru/news/vstrane_i_mire/content/201512051945-t5ta.htm
  That last angle looked like the media were allowed to place a camera near the pad, something I can't remember seeing for Plesetsk launches (or Russian launches in general). Must admit I kind of forgot about this one thinking it was after Atlas/Cygnus, then the Atlas got delayed. So, NK-33's still work apparently, but nobody will ever roll the dice on the remaining Americanized ones.   
It is very rare for the public to have camera access. but foreign governments/agencies have been allowed to have cameras only if they contributed or had a payload on board.

they replaced several pieces of legacy  (herritage) hardware before this launch could be committed to space. This is one reason the launch was rescheduled to this year. the other was payload delays
« Last Edit: 12/06/2015 07:13 pm by russianhalo117 »

Offline ethan829

Kommersant reporting that it was Kanopus-ST that failed to deploy.


http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/2871516


Bad Google translation:
Quote
As the "Y", an emergency situation, which arose during the second launch in the history of the carrier rocket "Soyuz-2.1V" actually led to the loss of the latest remote sensing satellite "Canopus-ST". According to preliminary information, the spacecraft could not be separated from the upper stage, so that the whole bunch began to move on the wrong path. A few days later the satellite with which it would be possible to detect foreign submarines at depth, enter the dense layers of the atmosphere, where destroyed and burned.

Offline russianhalo117

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Kommersant reporting that it was Kanopus-ST that failed to deploy.


http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/2871516


Bad Google translation:
Quote
As the "Y", an emergency situation, which arose during the second launch in the history of the carrier rocket "Soyuz-2.1V" actually led to the loss of the latest remote sensing satellite "Canopus-ST". According to preliminary information, the spacecraft could not be separated from the upper stage, so that the whole bunch began to move on the wrong path. A few days later the satellite with which it would be possible to detect foreign submarines at depth, enter the dense layers of the atmosphere, where destroyed and burned.
Last posted Elset shows deployment with 0.02 period of separation between them

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New TLEs out. Object A has changed orbit to 104 x 564 km. Presumably Kanopus/Volga.
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There are three new elsets for 41098, but the earliest one is incorrectly assigned to 41100.
It indicates the Volga depletion burn may have occurred  during a pass over Baykonur around 0200 UTC Dec 6, about 10 hours after the
failure to separate. Presumably the extra mass of the attached payload meant there was not enough prop to
entirely deorbit the spacecraft, leaving it with the low perigee. Should reenter in a few days.
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Offline edkyle99

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So, is this a Volga failure or a Kanopus ST failure?  One of the accounts appeared to assign the problem to the payload, but isn't the upper stage in charge of performing the separation events, etc.?

 - Ed Kyle

Offline input~2

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So in summary, as I understand it:
 - Original object A was Volga + Kanopus-ST, first in circular orbit then sent for a de-orbit which resulted in a low perigee orbit sometime on December 6 between 01:23 and 09:38 UTC
 - Original Object B is the radar reflector sphere KYuA in circular orbit since separation
 - Original Object C is the Soyuz 2nd stage in a low perigee orbit
 

Offline Galactic Penguin SST

So in summary, as I understand it:
 - Original object A was Volga + Kanopus-ST, first in circular orbit then sent for a de-orbit which resulted in a low perigee orbit sometime on December 6 between 01:23 and 09:38 UTC
 - Original Object B is the radar reflector sphere KYuA in circular orbit since separation
 - Original Object C is the Soyuz 2nd stage in a low perigee orbit

The only problem I can see is that the identity of the satellites come from one single newspaper, which isn't much. You might want to dig into the latest posts on it at NK for further thoughts, which only muddles the water even further...
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Offline input~2

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According to JSpOC, Object A (Volga+Kanopus ST?) will re-enter in 15 hours



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Russian MOD sources confirmed to Vedomosti, that Kanopus ST will be lost in next few days.

article in Czech:
http://www.novinky.cz/zahranicni/evropa/388482-rusko-ohlasilo-ztratu-armadni-druzice-mela-sledovat-ponorky.html

Offline Galactic Penguin SST

So in summary, as I understand it:
 - Original object A was Volga + Kanopus-ST, first in circular orbit then sent for a de-orbit which resulted in a low perigee orbit sometime on December 6 between 01:23 and 09:38 UTC
 - Original Object B is the radar reflector sphere KYuA in circular orbit since separation
 - Original Object C is the Soyuz 2nd stage in a low perigee orbit

The only problem I can see is that the identity of the satellites come from one single newspaper, which isn't much. You might want to dig into the latest posts on it at NK for further thoughts, which only muddles the water even further...

OK in view of this news report I think I need to retract my statement...  :-X
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Offline northenarc

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So, is this a Volga failure or a Kanopus ST failure?  One of the accounts appeared to assign the problem to the payload, but isn't the upper stage in charge of performing the separation events, etc.?

 - Ed Kyle

 Technically it's a Volga failure right? Since the Volga/payload stack was successfully released by the Soyuz 2.1v. That is, unless the fault was introduced during Volga separation, may have to wait for the official report  :-\ When the Progress had a bad separation and went spinning it was considered a launch vehicle failure, but that was the third stage. This would be more like a Briz-M failing to release a payload (don't think that's happened?) or hitting the wrong orbit (which has), which I think is usually called a 'partial launch vehicle failure'.   

Offline input~2

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OK in view of this news report I think I need to retract my statement...  :-X
An interesting paragraph in this news report:
Quote
A source in the space industry explained to Tass that the reason for abnormality has been preliminary established - one of four [pyro] hold-downs, holding  Kanopus did not work

Offline Jarnis

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So... this is polar orbit and fairly big chunk (upper stage + satellite together) that could fall anywhere. Any predictions where it'll come down?

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Latest orbital data is 95 x 472 km

Perigee is at 64 deg S latitude so probably will reenter at that lat, in a non populated area

In my system of launch vehicle statistics I score correct orbit reached, propulsion good, but failure to separate primary payload, and successful
delivery of secondary payload, as a 44% success for the LV
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Offline zubenelgenubi

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When is the last time a payload was lost due to failure to separate from the upper stage?

Are there any other instances of a primary payload failing to separate from the upper stage, but any secondary payloads do separate as planned?

Thank you in advance.
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When is the last time a payload was lost due to failure to separate from the upper stage?

Are there any other instances of a primary payload failing to separate from the upper stage, but any secondary payloads do separate as planned?

Thank you in advance.

Hmm... there was the SAC-B/HETE Pegasus failure in 1996 in which both primary payloads failed to separate.
Can't think of one with a successful secondary and failed primary, offhand.
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Online ZachS09

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In November 1996, a Pegasus rocket lofted into orbit the High Energy Transient Explorer (HETE) for NASA and the SAC-B satellite for CONAE. However, the third stage failed to separate the payloads because of a discharged battery intended to start the separation pyrotechnics. Battery damage in the third stage during launch was the cause of the failed separation.
« Last Edit: 12/31/2016 05:31 am by ZachS09 »
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Offline Skyrocket

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When is the last time a payload was lost due to failure to separate from the upper stage?

Are there any other instances of a primary payload failing to separate from the upper stage, but any secondary payloads do separate as planned?

Thank you in advance.

Hmm... there was the SAC-B/HETE Pegasus failure in 1996 in which both primary payloads failed to separate.
Can't think of one with a successful secondary and failed primary, offhand.


I also do not find another case, where the primary was not deployed, but the secondary deployed.

There was also a Kosmos-3M cluster launch (TopSat 1 / China-DMC+4 / Mozhayets 5 / SSETI-Express / Sina 1 / cubesats), where Mozhayets-5 was stuck on the upper stage, while the others separated. But in this case it is hard to define a single primary payload, as it consisted of 5 similar sized satellites and a bunch of cubesats.


Offline input~2

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According to JSpOC, Object A (Volga+Kanopus ST?) will re-enter in 15 hours
According to their most recent prediction, reentry should now occur between 03:54 and 09:54 UTC on December 8
« Last Edit: 12/07/2015 07:12 pm by input~2 »

Offline DeanG1967

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According to JSpOC, Object A (Volga+Kanopus ST?) will re-enter in 15 hours
According to their most recent prediction, reentry should now occur between 03:54 and 09:54 UTC on December 8

Hope this stays accurate....at 1412Z on the 8th (~5 hours after predicted decay) it will pass almost over my house.  I don't really need a big rocket lawn ornament for Christmas (especially on with toxic fuel).  Santa...I haven't been that bad!

Offline NovaSilisko

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I would have been able to see a great pass of it overhead a few hours ago but it was too foggy/cloudy here...

Offline input~2

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According to JSpOC, Volga+Kanopus-ST reentered over the South Atlantic (35S 001W) at 05:43 UTC
« Last Edit: 12/08/2015 07:24 am by input~2 »

Offline input~2

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A new object D was cataloged early this morning with a decreasing altitude in an orbit close to that of Object A (87 x 280 km x 98.14° at 0155UTC)
Maybe that was Kanopus after the faulty hold-down let off! :(

Offline Jarnis

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According to JSpOC, Volga+Kanopus-ST reentered over the South Atlantic (35S 001W) at 05:43 UTC

Ouch. Expensive fireworks. That's gotta sting.

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A new object D was cataloged early this morning with a decreasing altitude in an orbit close to that of Object A (87 x 280 km x 98.14° at 0155UTC)
Maybe that was Kanopus after the faulty hold-down let off! :(

Or it could be the Kanopus radiometer, whose extra drag (big flat dish held on by thin booms) might have broken it off?
Hard to tell for sure, not enough data to get an accurate mass-to-area ratio I suspect
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Offline input~2

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JSpOC has now identified 2015-071C/41100 as Soyuz-2.1v 2nd stage

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JSpoC now calls object D the Volga. This implies they concluded Kanopus and Volga did split on Dec 7.
It's not fully clear they know for sure which of A and D are Kanopus and Volga.
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Offline Prober

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JSpoC now calls object D the Volga. This implies they concluded Kanopus and Volga did split on Dec 7.
It's not fully clear they know for sure which of A and D are Kanopus and Volga.

this is becoming a weird story :o

somewhere else its reported both objects burned up.
« Last Edit: 12/12/2015 01:41 am by Prober »
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Can I ask Chris and moderators a question?

How come there is no article for this launch on the website?

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Is one of them a 14Ф147?
Quote
Закупка и поставка услуги по организации перевозки МКА 14Ф147 авиатранспортом, иных сопутствующих услуг, связанных с перевозкой.
http://www.zakupki.gov.ru/223/purchase/public/purchase/info/common-info.html?noticeId=3089261
Think Kanopus-ST was article 14Ф147, because it was manufactured by Polyot?

Offline russianhalo117

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Is one of them a 14Ф147?
Quote
Закупка и поставка услуги по организации перевозки МКА 14Ф147 авиатранспортом, иных сопутствующих услуг, связанных с перевозкой.
http://www.zakupki.gov.ru/223/purchase/public/purchase/info/common-info.html?noticeId=3089261
Think Kanopus-ST was article 14Ф147, because it was manufactured by Polyot?
probably

Offline Danderman

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I should mention that Kanopus did not fail to separate from Volga, but rather from a special adapter carried by Volga as a payload. Nothing touching the launch vehicle and upper stage actually failed. 

In other words, it's as if a subsatellite carried by Apollo 17 had failed to deploy around the Moon, would that be a launch vehicle failure?

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I should mention that Kanopus did not fail to separate from Volga, but rather from a special adapter carried by Volga as a payload. Nothing touching the launch vehicle and upper stage actually failed. 

In other words, it's as if a subsatellite carried by Apollo 17 had failed to deploy around the Moon, would that be a launch vehicle failure?


The key words there are "as a payload". This is the same adapter design that was carried on the previous Volga mission,
so it seems like it's standard Volga equipment. But perhaps it was integrated/managed as part of the payload
rather than the launch vehicle. I still suspect the separation command is controlled from the Volga - just because
it's my impression that's usually how launch vehicles operate. So I am not convinced by your Apollo 17 analogy.
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Offline russianhalo117

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I should mention that Kanopus did not fail to separate from Volga, but rather from a special adapter carried by Volga as a payload. Nothing touching the launch vehicle and upper stage actually failed. 

In other words, it's as if a subsatellite carried by Apollo 17 had failed to deploy around the Moon, would that be a launch vehicle failure?


The key words there are "as a payload". This is the same adapter design that was carried on the previous Volga mission,
so it seems like it's standard Volga equipment. But perhaps it was integrated/managed as part of the payload
rather than the launch vehicle. I still suspect the separation command is controlled from the Volga - just because
it's my impression that's usually how launch vehicles operate. So I am not convinced by your Apollo 17 analogy.
I understood that Volga has two separation modes like Blok-DM series in that the first Separation mode separation is commanded by the US for the and in the second separation mode the Spacecraft commands the separation for the US. Then there is the so called redundant hybrid of the two where separation is commanded by synced timers on both the Spacecraft and the US. The main issue i see with this flights separation phase is that the breakwire confirmations was received from only the US and that the SC breakwire confirmation appeared to have not been received.
When later flights transition to Luch tracking and monitoring the majority of the Telemetry grey area will disappear.

Offline Danderman

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I should mention that Kanopus did not fail to separate from Volga, but rather from a special adapter carried by Volga as a payload. Nothing touching the launch vehicle and upper stage actually failed. 

In other words, it's as if a subsatellite carried by Apollo 17 had failed to deploy around the Moon, would that be a launch vehicle failure?


The key words there are "as a payload". This is the same adapter design that was carried on the previous Volga mission,
so it seems like it's standard Volga equipment. But perhaps it was integrated/managed as part of the payload
rather than the launch vehicle. I still suspect the separation command is controlled from the Volga - just because
it's my impression that's usually how launch vehicles operate. So I am not convinced by your Apollo 17 analogy.

Nope. That weird cylinder on top of the Volga stage is definitely not standard equipment. The separation plane for Volga is below the cylinder.

In all cases, the separation command was given, but a bolt between the satellite and the cylinder failed.

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I also read Anatoly's article on his website.  Interesting!
That information also explains why these satellites received Kosmos designations.
It also explains why we had no live launch coverage.

The Seasat conspiracists claimed that the satellite power failure was a cover for stopping the satellite's unforeseen abilities from disclosing the position of submerged submarines.

(I think the above conspiracy theory is baloney.)

Is there anything in the open literature to suggest that such a capability CAN exist, much less does?
Search for "internal waves" and submarines.  The focus of research seems to be on using microwaves to detect subtle ocean surface effects.  My supposition.

 - Ed Kyle

Found this:-
Quote
ТЗ «Создание ракетно-космического комплекса «Канопус-СТ» космической системы-демонстратора освещения подводной и гидрометеорологической обстановки на базе МКА» (шифр РКК «Канопус-СТ»)
Any one translate (without using Googleese)?
« Last Edit: 02/15/2018 07:55 am by Stan Black »

Offline B. Hendrickx

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Found this:-
Quote
ТЗ «Создание ракетно-космического комплекса «Канопус-СТ» космической системы-демонстратора освещения подводной и гидрометеорологической обстановки на базе МКА» (шифр РКК «Канопус-СТ»)
Any one translate (without using Googleese)?
[/quote]

This describes Kanopus-ST as a small experimental satellite to "monitor the situation under water as well as the hydrometeorological situation". It is apparently the title of a document that gives the technical specifications (TZ) for the satellite.

Actually, the general director of the company that built the Kanopus-ST payload (NTTs Kosmonit) more or less confirmed several years ago that it would be used both for civilian and military purposes. He said it would be used for "remote sensing of the ocean, monitoring the situation above and under water and detecting submerged submarines".

https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/2871516



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