Total Members Voted: 274
Voting closed: 12/23/2013 05:50 am
When I asked Elon about the 2013 flight rate, he said he felt very confident that they'd launch 5. So I voted for 4.
Quote from: peter-b on 12/26/2012 11:47 amWhen I asked Elon about the 2013 flight rate, he said he felt very confident that they'd launch 5. So I voted for 4. Given that the official SpaceX manifest is for seven (or eight, depending on how you count Orbcomm) his is a curious prediction. I'm sure customers are wondering which of their missions are not going to make their promised dates, since Elon apparently knows.
Given that the official SpaceX manifest is for seven (or eight, depending on how you count Orbcomm) his is a curious prediction. I'm sure customers are wondering which of their missions are not going to make their promised dates, since Elon apparently knows.
Quote from: HMXHMX on 12/26/2012 04:40 pmQuote from: peter-b on 12/26/2012 11:47 amWhen I asked Elon about the 2013 flight rate, he said he felt very confident that they'd launch 5. So I voted for 4. Given that the official SpaceX manifest is for seven (or eight, depending on how you count Orbcomm) his is a curious prediction. I'm sure customers are wondering which of their missions are not going to make their promised dates, since Elon apparently knows.Manifest is for "hardware at the launch site." much of that will be in 2014, and 2014 will have a higher launch rate than 2013. I say that as someone who thinks it will be a good year if SpaceX gets 4 launches in 2013.
Well, my opinion is that I'm still pretty new with the company to make a well-informed guess. But, based on things I've heard/know, state of hardware, etc. (Things I obviously can't talk about) how about I just say that my personal opinion falls with the general consensus of the board and ill keep it at that....
Yves Feltes, an SES spokesman, told Spaceflight Now the SES 8 launch is scheduled before the middle of 2013. The international operator has arranged a backup launch opportunity with Arianespace for an Ariane 5 launch.
There is a movie opening next December featuring a large Dragon in a mountain. So hoping the FH will make an appearance at the same time.
Can somebody please provide evidence to these optimistic claims of 4+ launches.(snip)
Quote from: spectre9 on 12/27/2012 12:29 amCan somebody please provide evidence to these optimistic claims of 4+ launches.(snip)We know your opinion. We saw your vote.Please give it a rest.You can come back in twelve months and say how you told us so. Until then, let's wait and see. OK?
Modifications for v1.1 will take ages...
...and once they've launched it once they'll want to sit back for 6-8 months going over the data.
Antares didn't launch all year, nothing bad happened to Orbital.
SpaceX hasn't looked like launching a rocket with a payload fairing...
Many people are voting 4-5. Falcon 9 v1.1 hasn't even been seen yet. I think it's alarming that people have so much faith in a rocket that might not exist yet.