Quote from: SpaceLizard on 10/22/2025 12:48 amQuote from: OTV Booster on 10/22/2025 12:31 amWhen the airstream hits them just right I bet they whistle. A whistling rocket?...that could be very interesting during lift-offs(if you can hear it over the engines) and the banking maneuver during landings.
Quote from: OTV Booster on 10/22/2025 12:31 amWhen the airstream hits them just right I bet they whistle. A whistling rocket?...that could be very interesting during lift-offs(if you can hear it over the engines) and the banking maneuver during landings.
When the airstream hits them just right I bet they whistle.
Quote from: Robotbeat on 10/21/2025 10:04 pmYou just need a sunshade, maybe an earth shade, to keep methalox boiloff low. Heck, a flat plate shielded from direct sunshine, painted the Earthside white with 95% reflectivity and the space-side at 0 albedo, the equilibrium temperature is around 115-120K at 500km or so.A cylinder is more complicated, but a deployable shade really helps."Sunshade," eh? Well I guess I never thought about it before, but technically paint does cast a shadow on the surface immediately below it... A deployable system is doable (certainly for SpaceX), but R&D tends to be slow. I expect they prefer a static system. "The best part is no part. The best process is no process."Deployment can't fail if there's no deployment.
You just need a sunshade, maybe an earth shade, to keep methalox boiloff low. Heck, a flat plate shielded from direct sunshine, painted the Earthside white with 95% reflectivity and the space-side at 0 albedo, the equilibrium temperature is around 115-120K at 500km or so.A cylinder is more complicated, but a deployable shade really helps.
Quote from: Twark_Main on 10/22/2025 08:48 am"Sunshade," eh? Well I guess I never thought about it before, but technically paint does cast a shadow on the surface immediately below it... I know you're kidding, but just for the sake of completeness, the paint conducts heat because it's in physical contact with the insulation, while a sunshade doesn't.
"Sunshade," eh? Well I guess I never thought about it before, but technically paint does cast a shadow on the surface immediately below it...
in my fanboi mind, I could see an uncrewed HLS starship take off from starbase, and wait in orbit for dragon to bring the crew anad dock with it--then land on the moon, take off, return to earth orbit, and wait for a dragon to remove the crew.if the solar system were littered with fully fueled depots -> probably not far from possible.what is the actual math on this, assuming budget for multiple depots and dozens of tanker launches? I think this is a delta-V question but if not, go ahead and talk down to me about delta-v, I deserve it By the way, just saying: I figger a successful artemis III will take about 6 depot launches, what with practice and dry-run-lnding-on-moon-with-uncrewed-hls-test-article. and gross estimate, 90 tanker launches.
I'm curious about launch windows for orbitil refueling.assumption: a depot is launched then number of tankers are launched, with some amount of "haste". all launches are from starbase.after the depot is launched, there is* a one orbit (about 90 minute) delay until the first tanker can be launched--the depot won't be overhead until then.by "is*" I mean: it's easier for the 1st tanker if the depot passes "right overhead". But that's not trivial--the earth has turned in the mean time, so starbase is 90 minutes "to the east" of where it should be, at the speed of earth's spin.how would this work in practice? I can think of a few options but I'd just be stumbling around mentally.
2nd question: how long do you think a "depot" load will last? for example, 50% boil-off in 3 days? 3 months? Answer can be really sloppy ("musks promises plus murphy's law plus some physics plus some engineering. and a little red bull")
3rd question: could a depot self-transport to LRHO? how much fuel would be left at that point? asking for a friend
What we can say is that sun- and earth-shades together are very complicated, so boiloff is most annoying during the VLEO depot prop accumulation phase. (Things are easier in deep space.) However, depots can launch empty, so their "payload" can be tens of tonnes of solar arrays and cryomachinery. Throw enough power and mass at the problem and you can get to zero boiloff. However, if your depot has to travel up to a higher apogee to refuel stuff in HEEO, then that mass can be a problem.
Keep the nose towards the sun.
Quote from: dchenevert on 10/27/2025 01:55 pm2nd question: how long do you think a "depot" load will last? for example, 50% boil-off in 3 days? 3 months? Answer can be really sloppy ("musks promises plus murphy's law plus some physics plus some engineering. and a little red bull") assume we face the sun, so the sunshine never hits the tanks, so we only have to deal with earthshine.Now the tank area facing the earth is about 270m2 facing 100W of earthshine. assuming none of this is radiated back out (it will be), that's a rate of heat absorption of 27kW.It takes 4.6GJ to evaporate 10t of liquid methane. 4.6GJ/27kW = 2 days. 5t a day.In reality it's going to be on the order of 2t a day because we radiate into the dark night half the orbit, the tiles do absorb heat without conducting it all back into the ship, there is a heat gradient into the ship and so some of the energy is lost due to Stefan-Boltzmann radiation (which the tiles are extraordinarily good at), only part of the time is the ship facing full profile at the earth, etc.This is with no white paint, no sunshades, no nothing, just a bog-standard Starship V3.So a starship V3, this coming year, should be able to launch 100t of fuel into LEO and still have between zero and little less than half of it left after a month in LEO.that's your kinda-sloppy-but-probably-close answer.Note: Sorry it's 200W/m2 average earth shine. oops. SO that's 54kW.OTOH, stefan-boltzmann for the entire starship at the boiling point of methane (130K) is -10kW/m2.The tiles themselves will have a heat gradient on them and stay at 170K while conducting little heat to the inside, so half the ship is really at -20kW/m2. So that's 34kW/m2 net just to have the entire starship at boiling point of methane (an equilibrium).So I'll extend the range of possibilities to be 2-6t per day of boiled methane assuming the whole ship was methane.. I haven't done the LOX side yet. Probably shoiuld, it's 4/5 the mass.
Heh, I did the LOX with the same heat numbers you used and got 17.3 tons/day, which is decently close. I'll leave it since I already wrote it out....First guess (please correct this)Oxygen heat of vaporization is 6.82 kJ/mol, molar mass of O2 is 32 g/mol, so about 213 kJ/kg. That's assuming the oxygen is already at boiling point and only needs the heat of vaporization.So using your same 200W/m^2 x 270 m^2 = 54kW then that is ~ 200 grams per second, 12kg/minute, 720kg/hr, 17.3 tons per day.That seems significantly worse than the methane, but I may have messed up the numbers.(BTW, when you calculated the 4.6GJ per 10 tons, are you assuming the methane is already at boiling point or is down at O2 boiling point?)
Quote from: Vultur on 10/28/2025 04:56 pmHeh, I did the LOX with the same heat numbers you used and got 17.3 tons/day, which is decently close. I'll leave it since I already wrote it out....First guess (please correct this)Oxygen heat of vaporization is 6.82 kJ/mol, molar mass of O2 is 32 g/mol, so about 213 kJ/kg. That's assuming the oxygen is already at boiling point and only needs the heat of vaporization.So using your same 200W/m^2 x 270 m^2 = 54kW then that is ~ 200 grams per second, 12kg/minute, 720kg/hr, 17.3 tons per day.That seems significantly worse than the methane, but I may have messed up the numbers.(BTW, when you calculated the 4.6GJ per 10 tons, are you assuming the methane is already at boiling point or is down at O2 boiling point?)You are ignoring stefan-boltzmann, which rids us of a little under half the heat. (heat conduction through the tiles leaves us an equilibrium equation with the inside boiling point and the outside radiating away and a temperature gradient)Which means if our numbers are the same, I or you must have done something wrong... and it's probably the 270m2 in yours. Just to check, the tank is about 30m long and 9m in diameter.area = circumference x length = 9*3.14 * 30 = 850m2The half that is subject to earth shine is the same half that's tiled so that's 4252 (as opposed to your 270)So you 2x error in one area offsets the 0.5x area in ignoring Stefan-Boltzmann.
Assume we face the sun, so the sunshine never hits the tanks, so we only have to deal with earthshine.
Now the tank area facing the earth is about 270m2 facing 100W of earthshine. assuming none of this is radiated back out (it will be), that's a rate of heat absorption of 27kW.
OTOH, stefan-boltzmann for the entire starship at the boiling point of methane (130K) is -10kW/m2.The tiles themselves will have a heat gradient on them and stay at 170K while conducting little heat to the inside, so half the ship is really at -20kW/m2. So that's 34kW/m2 net just to have the entire starship at boiling point of methane (an equilibrium).
Quote from: InterestedEngineer on 10/28/2025 03:50 pmAssume we face the sun, so the sunshine never hits the tanks, so we only have to deal with earthshine.Note that this requires some amount of attitude control to oppose tidal forces. It's small but probably not trivial.
Quote from: InterestedEngineer on 10/28/2025 03:50 pmNow the tank area facing the earth is about 270m2 facing 100W of earthshine. assuming none of this is radiated back out (it will be), that's a rate of heat absorption of 27kW.Just taking the Google AI answer at face value, IR re-radiation from Earth is 150-350W/m², average 230W/m². Average Earth albedo is about 0.3,¹ which would translate to ~400W/m². So your average luminance from Earth is 630W/m².QuoteOTOH, stefan-boltzmann for the entire starship at the boiling point of methane (130K) is -10kW/m2.The tiles themselves will have a heat gradient on them and stay at 170K while conducting little heat to the inside, so half the ship is really at -20kW/m2. So that's 34kW/m2 net just to have the entire starship at boiling point of methane (an equilibrium).I'm on shaky ground here, but I think you're doing this wrong. Yes, the skin itself will be at 90K-130K, but you can't really calculate the emittance without knowing the thermal resistance of the insulation (SOFI, MLI, who knows?), which should give the gradient, and eventually the outer surface temperature. The net result should give a better result than what you're estimating, i.e., the outside of the insulation should be hotter than you estimated.________¹I'm unclear if that number is for the whole Earth, or just the illuminated side. If the former, then my back-of-napkin should be about right. If the latter, divide by roughly 2.
Quote from: TheRadicalModerate on 10/29/2025 07:45 pmQuote from: InterestedEngineer on 10/28/2025 03:50 pmNow the tank area facing the earth is about 270m2 facing 100W of earthshine. assuming none of this is radiated back out (it will be), that's a rate of heat absorption of 27kW.Just taking the Google AI answer at face value, IR re-radiation from Earth is 150-350W/m², average 230W/m². Average Earth albedo is about 0.3,¹ which would translate to ~400W/m². So your average luminance from Earth is 630W/m².QuoteOTOH, stefan-boltzmann for the entire starship at the boiling point of methane (130K) is -10kW/m2.The tiles themselves will have a heat gradient on them and stay at 170K while conducting little heat to the inside, so half the ship is really at -20kW/m2. So that's 34kW/m2 net just to have the entire starship at boiling point of methane (an equilibrium).I'm on shaky ground here, but I think you're doing this wrong. Yes, the skin itself will be at 90K-130K, but you can't really calculate the emittance without knowing the thermal resistance of the insulation (SOFI, MLI, who knows?), which should give the gradient, and eventually the outer surface temperature. The net result should give a better result than what you're estimating, i.e., the outside of the insulation should be hotter than you estimated.________¹I'm unclear if that number is for the whole Earth, or just the illuminated side. If the former, then my back-of-napkin should be about right. If the latter, divide by roughly 2.Yes, correct. Easy way to solve is to take the thermal conductivity equation and the radiant balance equation and then "goal seek" the surface temperature until the two equations give the same thermal flux.Yet another reason to have a CMG. You can (without burning propellant) roll the Starship so the black insulated heat shield aims at the brightest + hottest part of the Earth. This also reduces brightness as a side-effect, or as an intentional goal.TUFI is a documented material, you can find the thermal conductivity (0.843 W/m-K +/- 0.0421) and emissivity (87.3% +/- 4.36%).Source: https://tpsx.arc.nasa.gov/Material?id=8Solar reflectivity should be around 10%, can't find a good source at the moment.