Yaogan-30 Group 10 & Tianqi-15 - CZ-2C - Xichang - 19 July 2021 (00:19 UTC)

[zubenelgenubi]

Cross-posts:

There are reports from tour operators that 4 launches from Xichang...are expected in May-June.

After YG-30-08 launched it was reported that they plan for another 7 (!) LM-2C launches this year. They also reported that procedures are being simplified to compress launch processing flows starting with the launch campaign for YG-30-10, so at least two more such triplets are going up soon.

Maybe even more since tour operators at Xichang is reporting 2 launches per month there through to August. Next one there should be FY-4B.

Re: Yaogan-30 Group 09 launch:

https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/6788
NET Jun 18, 2021

Schedule for launches from Xichang LC2 and 3, since the 2020 improvements were completed:

China launches in 2020 (times in UTC)

30 - October 11 (16:57:04.250) - CZ-3B/G2 (Y63) - XSLC (07-119), LC2 - Gaofen-13

31 - October 26 (15:19:05.115) - CZ-2C (Y43) - XSLC (07-118), LC3 - Yaogan Weixing-30 Group-07 'Chuangxin-5 (19/21)'; Tianqi-6

34 - November 12 (15:59:04.053) - CZ-3B/G3 (Y73) - XSLC (07-120), LC2 - Tiantong-1 (020

36 - December 6 (03:58:14.250) - CZ-B/G5 (Y70) - XSLC (07-121), LC3 - Gaofen-14

China launches in 2021 (times in UTC)

01 - January 19 (16:25:04.723) - CZ-3B/G3 (Y74) - XSLC (07-123?), LC2 - Tiantong-1 (03)

04 - February 4 (15:36:04.286) - CZ-3B/G3 (Y77) - XSLC (07-124?), LC3 - TJSW-6

Chinese New Year

13 - May 6 (18:11:04.959) - CZ-2C (Y47) - XSLC, LC3 - Yaogan-30 Group-08, Tianqi-12

16 - June 2 (16:17:04.273) - CZ-3B/G3 (Y72) - XSLC, LC2 - Fengyun-4B

19 - June 18 (06:30) - CZ-2C (Y48) - XSLC, LC3 - Yaogan-30 Group-09, Tianqi-14

China launch schedule
2021

July 3 ?? July 5 - CZ-3B/G3 - XSLC, LC2 - Tianhui-3

July 21 ?? - CZ-2C - XSLC, LC3 - Yaogan-30 Group-10, Tianqi-??

Changes June 11
Changes June 14
Changes June 18
Changes June 19
zubenelgenubi

Launch threads:
Yaogan-30 Group 01
Yaogan-30 Group 02
Yaogan-30 Group 03
Yaogan-30 Group 04
Yaogan-30 Group 05
Yaogan-30 Group 06
Yaogan-30 Group 07
Yaogan-30 Group 08
Yaogan-30 Group 09

[zubenelgenubi]

Tianqi-10 series

Tianqi-12 launched with Yaogan-30 Group 08.
Tianqi-14 launched with Yaogan-30 Group 09.

From the Yaogan-30 Group 09 launch thread:

Tianqi-14 was namend Jiaxing-1(嘉兴号)
According to this source http://www.3snews.net/smartcity/260000072347.html the next satellites of the constellation will be launched on July 21st (Ruijin-1;瑞金号) and September 20th (Yan'an-1;延安号)

If the pattern continues, a Tianqi satellite will launch with Yaogan-30 Group 10.

The launch would be on July 21, an apparently sufficient time to turn around the facilities after the launch of Tianhui-3 from Xichang.

[zubenelgenubi]

Information conflict?

Spaceflightfans.cn <snip>
CZ-3C (Y18) with Tianlian-1 (05) on July 23.
<snip>

Tianlian-1 (05) launch thread.

[zubenelgenubi]

Cross-post; no scheduling conflict:

Spaceflightfans.cn is giving July 6 (TBC) as the launch date for Tianlian1 (05).

Information conflict?

Spaceflightfans.cn <snip>
CZ-3C (Y18) with Tianlian-1 (05) on July 23.
<snip>

Tianlian-1 (05) launch thread.

[Fmedici]

According to spaceflightfans.cn the launch of the Yaogan 30-10 satellites is now scheduled for August 23 (here)

[zubenelgenubi]

According to spaceflightfans.cn the launch of the Yaogan 30-10 satellites is now scheduled for August 23 (here)

Linked page lists July 23, on CZ-2C Y49.

[Liss]

According to https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/GSGR4gzEfTMt2XTVbuc_vw , CZ-2C Y49 is indeed in her launch campaign.

[zubenelgenubi]

Hypothesized near-term schedule for Xichang launches from LC 2 and 3:

China launch schedule

2021

July 19 TBA 21 23? - Yaogan-30 Group-10, Tianqi-15 "Ruijin-1" - CZ-2C (Y49) - XSLC, LC3 - 00:19 00:16 ~00:15

August 5 6 9 - Zhongxing-2E - CZ-3B/G3? - XSLC, LC2 - ~15:00 UTC     thread

~August 22 - ?? - ?? - XSLC, LC3

September 8 August 7 - Zhongxing-9B - CZ-3B/G3? - XSLC, LC2?     thread

September 23? TBA 20 - CZ-2C (Y49) - XSLC, LC3 - Yaogan-30 Group-11?, Tianqi-? "Yan'an-1"

TBA July 5 (or 6) - Tianhui-3 (GEOSAR) - CZ-3B/G3 - XSLC, LC?     thread

Changes on May 6
Changes on June 11
Changes on June 19
Changes on June 22
Changes on June 29
Changes on July 1
Changes on July 2
Changes on July 8
Changes on July 16
Changes on July 17
Changes on July 19
zubenelgenubi

[Liss]

Guodian Gaoke has announced launch of Tianqi 14 on July 21, probably with this trio.

[Steven Pietrobon]

Guodian Gaoke has announced launch of Tianqi 14 on July 21, probably with this trio.

That's confusing. Tianqi 14 was launched on 18 June.

https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_sdat/tianqi-8.htm

[Liss]

Guodian Gaoke has announced launch of Tianqi 14 on July 21, probably with this trio.

That's confusing. Tianqi 14 was launched on 18 June.

https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_sdat/tianqi-8.htm

That's true, I'm sorry for misunderstanding. So, no new information for this launch.

[zubenelgenubi]

Cross-post; third of eight CZ-2C launches scheduled for this calendar year 2021.  Known or scheduled launches thus far:
1. May 6
2. June 18
3. scheduled July 23
4. scheduled September 23
5. scheduled December

...CZ-2C some more refined information for 2021 launch schedule were given (https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Ftr52RWO0izA9GNqvfNaEg): 7 more launches are planned (including the June 18th launch); a new configuration with increased payload capacity will be introduced; the payload fairing of the May 6th launch contained an altimeter combination to measure the height changes during the reentry into the atmosphere.

[otter]

For this launch?

A1574/21 NOTAMN
Q) ZPKM/QRTCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/2815N10202E005
A) ZPKM B) 2107190008 C) 2107190026
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED CENTERED AT N2815E10202 WITH RADIUS OF 10KM. ALL ACFT ARE FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA.
VERTICAL LIMITS:GND-UNL.
F) GND G) UNL
Issue Date UTC: 07/16/2021 0118

A1575/21 NOTAMN
Q) ZPKM/QRTCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/2647N10713E015
A) ZPKM B) 2107190011 C) 2107190028
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED BY: N263510E1072251-N264300E1065708-N265820E1070259-N265028E1072844
BACK TO START. VERTICAL LIMITS:GND-UNL.
F) GND G) UNL
Issue Date UTC: 07/16/2021 0121

[zubenelgenubi]

For this launch?
<NOTAMs snipped>

The coordinates at the center of the 10km exclusion circle match the coordinates of XSLC.

The July 19 UTC launch time is 4 days "early" compared to the next-most recent launch date revealed.  It may be a consequence of this:

Cross-posts:

After YG-30-08 launched it was reported that they plan for another 7 (!) LM-2C launches this year. They also reported that procedures are being simplified to compress launch processing flows starting with the launch campaign for YG-30-10, so at least two more such triplets are going up soon.

[Josh_from_Canada]

The launch time listed by the NOTAMs lines up with Group 02 (2017-075).

[zubenelgenubi]

chinaspaceflightfans.cn now lists launch time on July 19 as 08:16 BST.
08:16 BST - 8 hours = 0016 UTC

Launch site at XSLC stated as LC-2.  This would break the alternating cadence between use of LC-2 and LC-3 and would break the practice of using LC-3 for Yaogan-30 Group launches.

[Josh_from_Canada]

This is likely a typo as the previous launch from LC-2 was less then 2 weeks ago.

Launch site at XSLC stated as LC-2.  This would break the alternating cadence between use of LC-2 and LC-3 and would break the practice of using LC-3 for Yaogan-30 Group launches.

[Conexion Espacial]

Launch confirm.
https://cutt.ly/rmBu1D1

[Fmedici]

Launch confirm.
https://cutt.ly/rmBu1D1

By the way this seems LC-3 to me

[Conexion Espacial]