Musk said it, and they're probably not going to hit that number, so you have two reasons for the inevitable gratuitous criticism that's surely to follow at year's end.
60 and 61 were December 28 and 29. They might get 100, if all the stars and payloads line up. Still, 40 more will be remarkable. It's not being critical to be wary of this particular prediction. Whatever it is, numbers don't really matter; they're the launch leader and their service has settled into a reliable, dependable, capable state of affairs that is the envy of the competition.
Quote from: alugobi on 02/20/2023 04:15 pm60 and 61 were December 28 and 29. They might get 100, if all the stars and payloads line up. Still, 40 more will be remarkable. It's not being critical to be wary of this particular prediction. Whatever it is, numbers don't really matter; they're the launch leader and their service has settled into a reliable, dependable, capable state of affairs that is the envy of the competition. So far this year, they're on track for 85 Falcon launches. If they increase their overall launch rate by a small amount, they'll beat 100 this year.Again, I was wary of 60. Very wary. I was proven very wrong. We're in the exponential part of the growth curve for launch rates, or at least not yet at a plateau. F9 (and Falcon Heavy, which is starting to become a regular thing) has not stopped growing in launch rate. Starship will almost certainly get 2 orbital flight attempts this year, and 5 is not out of the question. (We have B7 complete, B9 with SN25 nearly complete, and B10 nearing completion, with parts for B11 and B12 and B13 and even B14 already spotted... and this assumes no recovery.)I wouldn't say the odds are like 90% or even necessarily over 50%... But we were basically all dismissive of 60 in 2022, and this would be a smaller relative growth rate than 2021 (32 launches) to 2022 (61).
#SpaceX's #Falcon9 & #FalconHeavy flightworthy boosters as of Mar 17, 2023
Statistics of #SpaceX's #Falcon9 & #FalconHeavy booster missions as of Mar 17, 2023
https://twitter.com/alexphysics13/status/1668375943868547072QuoteI was thinking of doing a tweet with all the landing stats on text format but there's a lot so here's a screenshot of my spreadsheet which is easier It feels like there were more but only 11 surface landings failed, last one occurred 126 landings ago!QuoteFor "surface landing" I refer to those landings that attempted to land the booster on a solid surface for recovery. There were splashdown landings as you can see on the sheet but even then there'd be only two more failures to add, not a lot of failures overall.
I was thinking of doing a tweet with all the landing stats on text format but there's a lot so here's a screenshot of my spreadsheet which is easier It feels like there were more but only 11 surface landings failed, last one occurred 126 landings ago!
For "surface landing" I refer to those landings that attempted to land the booster on a solid surface for recovery. There were splashdown landings as you can see on the sheet but even then there'd be only two more failures to add, not a lot of failures overall.
Rocket reusability enables increased reliability and launch cadence
Flight-proven first stages have launched ~90% of the last 100+ missions since the start of 2022
How many launches has SpaceX had this year?
Latest SpaceX animation really shows increase in launch cadence enabled by reuse:twitter.com/spacex/status/1668399552771297285QuoteRocket reusability enables increased reliability and launch cadencehttps://twitter.com/spacex/status/1668399691216855042QuoteFlight-proven first stages have launched ~90% of the last 100+ missions since the start of 2022
Covering the latest in the busy world of Spaceflight with @elysiasegal!📺:
https://twitter.com/nasaspaceflight/status/1678254802164232195Quote Falcon 9 B1058 conducts a record 16th mission with landing on SpaceX drone ship Just Read The Instructions.#ReusabiltyMilestones youtube.com/watch?v=KSxh8d…
Falcon 9 B1058 conducts a record 16th mission with landing on SpaceX drone ship Just Read The Instructions.#ReusabiltyMilestones youtube.com/watch?v=KSxh8d…
New engines on B1058.16 since its last flight? - Ed Kyle
Got a ways to go to catch Space Shuttle discovery's 39 flights.However, only 2 RS-25 engines flew more than 15 times. One 19 times, and the other 17 times.SX is most likely closing in on engine reuse records
Quote from: freddo411 on 07/12/2023 12:36 pmGot a ways to go to catch Space Shuttle discovery's 39 flights.However, only 2 RS-25 engines flew more than 15 times. One 19 times, and the other 17 times.SX is most likely closing in on engine reuse recordsAre they? Do F9 boosters keep the same engines for their entire lives?
