Author Topic: Commercial LEO Destinations Development  (Read 169821 times)

Offline yg1968

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« Last Edit: 01/20/2022 01:32 pm by yg1968 »

Offline yg1968

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #181 on: 01/18/2022 11:09 pm »
See below (the presentation includes slides on Commercial LEO Destinations habitats):

Robyn Gatens' presentation on the ISS extension:

https://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/atoms/files/nacjan2022_iss_final.pdf

Offline yg1968

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Offline yg1968

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« Last Edit: 01/19/2022 03:09 pm by yg1968 »

Offline yg1968

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #184 on: 01/20/2022 03:34 am »
See Phil McAlister's presentation on Commercial LEO Destinations habitats:
https://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/atoms/files/nac_-_csd_-_jan_2022.pdf

Offline yg1968

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #185 on: 01/22/2022 12:13 am »
NASA preps for ISS retirement, commercial stations:
https://www.mynews13.com/fl/orlando/news/2022/01/19/nasa-preps-for-iss-retirement--commercial-stations-

Quote from: the article
McAlister said that by retiring the ISS, it should save NASA about $1.5 billion annually.

“And in this case, we don’t need any increased appropriations. We’re just using our money smarter,” McAlister said. “And that is going to be a key enabler for our Artemis missions going forward as well as freeing up the personnel resources.”

In response to a question from one of the committee members, McAlister said that NASA’s obligation of running the ISS is about $3.5 billion each year. He noted that half a billion of that are activities that NASA will want to continue to do in LEO with or without the Space Station and it will cost about $1 billion to purchase the services they need from a commercial LEO destination.

Offline DreamyPickle

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #186 on: 01/23/2022 01:12 pm »
There is a lot of discussion in this thread of Starship as a crew option but I think it's more interesting to consider using it as a plain-old LEO launcher.

All the competitors are presumably designing to fit inside inside the mass and volume capabilities of current launchers but Starship promises a huge increase. Space stations that takes full advantage of Starship will greatly outperform those that don't so nobody can afford to ignore this possibility.

This program has a huge amount of potential: if a market can be established for multiple crewed habitat providers then this will be extremely relevant for bases on Moon and Mars.

Online DanClemmensen

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #187 on: 01/23/2022 06:04 pm »
There is a lot of discussion in this thread of Starship as a crew option but I think it's more interesting to consider using it as a plain-old LEO launcher.

All the competitors are presumably designing to fit inside inside the mass and volume capabilities of current launchers but Starship promises a huge increase. Space stations that takes full advantage of Starship will greatly outperform those that don't so nobody can afford to ignore this possibility.

This program has a huge amount of potential: if a market can be established for multiple crewed habitat providers then this will be extremely relevant for bases on Moon and Mars.
The Starship cargo version will fly long before the crew version. Among other reasons, the plan is to use the cargo version to gain lots of experience with launch, re-entry, and landing before flying the crewed version. Further, SpaceX has planned for large launches of Starlink payloads on Starship instead of F9.

The question you did not ask:  why have a specialized "Commercial LEO Destination" at all? Starship is huge. Just launch a Starship and leave it in LEO as a space station. With no modifications, a crewed Starship has about the same pressurized living volume as ISS. With modifications, the propellant tanks can be converted to more pressurized volume, approximately tripling the volume.

Since Starship is bigger than most of the proposed stations, why would a crew want to transfer from the big Starship into the smaller station at all? just go to LEO in Starship and stay there for the duration of the mission.  Starship can accommodate up to 100 crew for transit to Mars. Outfitting a Starship for a six-month LEO science expedition for 20 crew would allow for plenty of room for all experiments.  ISS has never had more than nine crew aboard at any one time.

EDIT: I was wrong. On at least two occasions a Shuttle with a crew of 7 docked with ISS and added to the 6 already aboard raised the ISS crew count to 13 for the period in which the Shuttle was docked.
« Last Edit: 01/24/2022 01:21 am by DanClemmensen »

Offline RonM

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #188 on: 01/23/2022 06:43 pm »
There is a lot of discussion in this thread of Starship as a crew option but I think it's more interesting to consider using it as a plain-old LEO launcher.

All the competitors are presumably designing to fit inside inside the mass and volume capabilities of current launchers but Starship promises a huge increase. Space stations that takes full advantage of Starship will greatly outperform those that don't so nobody can afford to ignore this possibility.

This program has a huge amount of potential: if a market can be established for multiple crewed habitat providers then this will be extremely relevant for bases on Moon and Mars.
The Starship cargo version will fly long before the crew version. Among other reasons, the plan is to use the cargo version to gain lots of experience with launch, re-entry, and landing before flying the crewed version. Further, SpaceX has planned for large launches of Starlink payloads on Starship instead of F9.

The question you did not ask:  why have a specialized "Commercial LEO Destination" at all? Starship is huge. Just launch a Starship and leave it in LEO as a space station. With no modifications, a crewed Starship has about the same pressurized living volume as ISS. With modifications, the propellant tanks can be converted to more pressurized volume, approximately tripling the volume.

Since Starship is bigger than most of the proposed stations, why would a crew want to transfer from the big Starship into the smaller station at all? just go to LEO in Starship and stay there for the duration of the mission.  Starship can accommodate up to 100 crew for transit to Mars. Outfitting a Starship for a six-month LEO science expedition for 20 crew would allow for plenty of room for all experiments.  ISS has never had more than nine crew aboard at any one time.

The problem with using StarShip as a space station is what about long duration experiments?

Offline JayWee

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #189 on: 01/23/2022 07:13 pm »
Spaceship-as-a-station would be essentially shuttle+spacehab.

Offline punder

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #190 on: 01/23/2022 07:14 pm »
The problem with using StarShip as a space station is what about long duration experiments?
The ultimate purpose of Starship is to carry large crews on months-long voyages to Mars. So SpaceX has to develop long duration power and life support as a matter of course.

Offline RonM

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #191 on: 01/23/2022 07:29 pm »
The problem with using StarShip as a space station is what about long duration experiments?
The ultimate purpose of Starship is to carry large crews on months-long voyages to Mars. So SpaceX has to develop long duration power and life support as a matter of course.

Some experiments, such as AMS, ASIM, and long-term exposure platforms, are operated for several years. A dedicated space station allowing relatively cheap access to orbit for experiments is a valuable resource. Flying Starship is good for short-term experiments such as six months to a year but that leaves out some options.

Starship is not the answer to everything.

Offline kevinof

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #192 on: 01/23/2022 10:19 pm »
The problem with using StarShip as a space station is what about long duration experiments?
The ultimate purpose of Starship is to carry large crews on months-long voyages to Mars. So SpaceX has to develop long duration power and life support as a matter of course.

Some experiments, such as AMS, ASIM, and long-term exposure platforms, are operated for several years. A dedicated space station allowing relatively cheap access to orbit for experiments is a valuable resource. Flying Starship is good for short-term experiments such as six months to a year but that leaves out some options.

Starship is not the answer to everything.
Sure but a station is made up of the experiments lab(s) and then the crew quarters with the galley and living areas, food and water storage and fuel. A station module for experiments is relatively cheap but starts to get very expensive when you have to add in all the other bits for the crew.

Starship will have to be built with all the bits needed to keep a crew fed and watered so why not use it as the crew section that attaches to the “space lab” part?

Would save a ton of money and has to be developed anyway for Moon and Mars.

Online DanClemmensen

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #193 on: 01/23/2022 10:59 pm »
There is a lot of discussion in this thread of Starship as a crew option but I think it's more interesting to consider using it as a plain-old LEO launcher.

All the competitors are presumably designing to fit inside inside the mass and volume capabilities of current launchers but Starship promises a huge increase. Space stations that takes full advantage of Starship will greatly outperform those that don't so nobody can afford to ignore this possibility.

This program has a huge amount of potential: if a market can be established for multiple crewed habitat providers then this will be extremely relevant for bases on Moon and Mars.
The Starship cargo version will fly long before the crew version. Among other reasons, the plan is to use the cargo version to gain lots of experience with launch, re-entry, and landing before flying the crewed version. Further, SpaceX has planned for large launches of Starlink payloads on Starship instead of F9.

The question you did not ask:  why have a specialized "Commercial LEO Destination" at all? Starship is huge. Just launch a Starship and leave it in LEO as a space station. With no modifications, a crewed Starship has about the same pressurized living volume as ISS. With modifications, the propellant tanks can be converted to more pressurized volume, approximately tripling the volume.

Since Starship is bigger than most of the proposed stations, why would a crew want to transfer from the big Starship into the smaller station at all? just go to LEO in Starship and stay there for the duration of the mission.  Starship can accommodate up to 100 crew for transit to Mars. Outfitting a Starship for a six-month LEO science expedition for 20 crew would allow for plenty of room for all experiments.  ISS has never had more than nine crew aboard at any one time.

The problem with using StarShip as a space station is what about long duration experiments?
Combine the concepts. Leave one Starship in LEO permanently for long-term experiments. Send up crewed Starships for six-month expeditions to perform all other functions including living quarters. The permanent "station" ship can either be modified to have multiple docking ports or a separate multi-port module like the HALO lunar Gateway module can be attached, whichever is cheaper. At any given time, the station complex would have the the station ship plus at least one docked crewed Starship, and could have up to five docked Starships.

Offline whitelancer64

Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #194 on: 01/23/2022 11:25 pm »
*snip*

ISS has never had more than nine crew aboard at any one time.

Just to correct that, the most crew that have been on the ISS is 13, which has happened twice, once during the flight of STS-127 in July 2009, and again during STS-131 in April 2010.
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Offline DreamyPickle

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #195 on: 01/24/2022 01:39 pm »
It seems self-evident that a space station assembled using Starship will be much more capable than using starship itself as a space station. This really applies to all vehicles, modular space stations are extremely powerful.

And if we're assuming that Starship can launch passengers into LEO then this will greatly reduce prices and expand demand for habitable volume. Solid demand already exists for Dragon and suborbital vehicles like New Shepard; what would happen if orbital flight becomes available at suborbital prices?

There is a huge opportunity here.

Online DanClemmensen

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #196 on: 01/24/2022 05:28 pm »
It seems self-evident that a space station assembled using Starship will be much more capable than using starship itself as a space station. This really applies to all vehicles, modular space stations are extremely powerful.

And if we're assuming that Starship can launch passengers into LEO then this will greatly reduce prices and expand demand for habitable volume. Solid demand already exists for Dragon and suborbital vehicles like New Shepard; what would happen if orbital flight becomes available at suborbital prices?

There is a huge opportunity here.

Why "self-evident"? Starship has a larger diameter than an Airbus A380 fuselage. I think it's larger diameter than any currently-proposed "LEO destination" (but I have not been following this so I could be wrong). How big a station do you want? If bigger than a single Starship with propellant tanks converted to pressurized space, then hook two or more of them together. This is a modular station built from modified Starships as modules.

I'm not sure there is a market for thousands of people paying $50,000 each to go to an LEO destination who would not pay the same amount to just hang out in the Starship itself for a week instead of transferring to a station, especially if the station is not as large or as comfortable as the ship. I've never been on a cruise, but as I understand it it's mostly about the ship, not the destinations.

Offline DreamyPickle

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #197 on: 01/24/2022 06:30 pm »
People fly on airplanes in order to board cruise ships: my claim is that Starship will be much more like an airliner than a cruise ship.

Yes: it's possible to build comfortable accommodations on a plane but if you're looking to optimize then you give everybody the minimum possible space, even if they don't get to look out the window. This would be especially effective to Starship because the minimum flight duration to LEO can be very low.

A stationary destination people means that you can allocate the minimum mass and volume during flight but still grant them individual cabins at the destination.

The claim that docking together starships is the best way to a space station is very dubious: the wet workshop idea has been around for a very long time but never put into practice: everybody went for special-purpose habitat modules instead. The current LEO destination proposals are small but this is because they can't yet rely on Starship as a launcher.

Offline JayWee

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #198 on: 01/24/2022 06:53 pm »
...
 How big a station do you want? If bigger than a single Starship with propellant tanks converted to pressurized space, then hook two or more of them together. This is a modular station built from modified Starships as modules.
...

But what about MMOD? Starship has rather thin skin.
Besides, one has to wonder how will the crewed starships be actually made. Build it inside SS? Build a module somewhere else with all the necessary stuff (ELCSS etc) and then plug it into SS?
But then you've actually built a station module. Add docking interfaces and build a station then using normal cargo SS.

Offline JayWee

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Re: Commercial LEO Destinations Development
« Reply #199 on: 01/24/2022 06:54 pm »
...
The claim that docking together starships is the best way to a space station is very dubious: the wet workshop idea has been around for a very long time but never put into practice: everybody went for special-purpose habitat modules instead. The current LEO destination proposals are small but this is because they can't yet rely on Starship as a launcher.

I think he rather meant launching fully equipped crew starships and then connecting them.

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